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2022-08-30 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0998
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-4.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.8%
in alpha space · 43.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3122.4059+0.43%19.03-14.70%0.1719✗0.721.5M2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.072.0723+0.11%2.03-1.93%0.0266✗0.5197k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5561.5577+0.11%1.522-2.19%0.0371✗1.1877k2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.891.892+0.11%1.915+1.32%0.0077✗1.6890k2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.65660.657029+0.07%0.6723+2.39%0.0066✓1.39226k2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.0970.09706+0.06%0.1003+3.40%0.0243✓0.722,7842022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95130.951885+0.06%0.9427-0.90%0.0240✗1.21963k2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.148739+0.03%0.1531+2.96%0.0159✓1.111,5282022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0360.036008+0.02%0.0357-0.83%0.0180✗0.809,5472022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32520.325242+0.01%0.3203-1.51%0.0291✗1.17138k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30980.309734-0.02%0.3041-1.84%0.0310✓1.07111k2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.6321.6314-0.04%1.65+1.10%0.0004✗0.93579k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336470.336331-0.04%0.33416-0.69%0.0182✓1.0046k2022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14640.146336-0.04%0.1445-1.30%0.0248✓1.03138k2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.670686-0.05%0.663-1.19%0.0217✓0.86228k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020380.02037-0.05%0.02026-0.59%0.0153✓0.8411.4M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029930.002991-0.06%0.002994+0.03%0.0099✓0.921.1M2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.36130.361071-0.06%0.365+1.02%0.0030✓1.17393k2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.00620.006196-0.07%0.00619-0.16%0.0084✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.208753-0.07%0.2112+1.10%0.0006✓1.0459k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0429660.042935-0.07%0.043128+0.38%0.0016✓0.5228k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7115.7067-0.08%5.746+0.61%0.0033✓0.869.5M2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash59.8759.8224-0.08%59.88+0.02%0.0127✓1.161.7M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.002920.002918-0.08%0.00335+14.73%0.1264✗1.00486k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.3819.3637-0.08%19.13-1.29%0.0275✓1.3023.0M2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8094.8047-0.09%4.761-1.00%0.0250✓1.348.7M2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum31.0531.0215-0.09%31.03-0.06%0.0222✓1.90288k2022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008640.008632-0.10%0.00858-0.69%0.0146✓0.735.6M2022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.496504-0.10%0.475-4.43%0.0587✓1.222,7102022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana31.4831.4485-0.10%31.5+0.06%0.0121✓1.1665.9M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0152.9567-0.10%53.84+1.57%0.0050✗0.9812.7M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.33410.33375-0.10%0.3462+3.62%0.0219✗1.24176k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04290.042854-0.11%0.044+2.56%0.0150✗0.97156k2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.514442-0.11%0.515+0.00%0.0124✓1.1483k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046610.046555-0.12%0.04593-1.46%0.0219✓0.7116k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.212.1839-0.13%12.5+2.46%0.0131✗1.061.9M2022-08-31
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024867-0.13%0.0257+3.21%0.0261✗0.5849k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,813.1719,786.56-0.13%20,048.26+1.19%0.0013✓1.00490.8M2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.2331.2313-0.14%1.275+3.41%0.0209✗1.19460k2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.05061.0492-0.14%1.0347-1.51%0.0283✓1.23973k2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0492.0462-0.14%2.012-1.81%0.0303✓1.1444k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.11583.1115-0.14%3.149+1.06%0.0000✓1.0125k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.49731.4952-0.14%1.5108+0.90%0.0029✓1.12296k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08150.081386-0.14%0.0821+0.74%0.0024✓0.9513k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83240.831208-0.14%0.8327+0.04%0.0105✓1.041.8M2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.102851-0.14%0.1026-0.39%0.0151✓1.083.3M2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.25494.2485-0.15%4.3008+1.08%0.0031✗0.77775k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024740.024703-0.15%0.02455-0.77%0.0213✓1.283,3752022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.319820.319336-0.15%0.31794-0.59%0.0144✓0.85350k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.05760.057512-0.15%0.0577+0.17%0.0101✓1.13258k2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.063270.063172-0.16%0.06211-1.83%0.0296✓1.072.1M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.07682.0736-0.16%2.1594+3.98%0.0274✗1.1113k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0086.9969-0.16%7.033+0.36%0.0071✓1.0411.6M2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061420.061319-0.16%0.061277-0.23%0.0132✓1.061.6M2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8518-0.17%4.86+0.00%0.0084✓0.861.5M2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1746.1635-0.17%6.142-0.52%0.0189✓1.309.5M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050614-0.17%0.0503-0.79%0.0178✓0.98237k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.102524-0.17%0.1033+0.58%0.0026✓0.86192k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.69114.4906-0.17%115.16+0.41%0.0076✓1.144.6M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5586.5465-0.18%6.628+1.07%0.0001✓1.0617.7M2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000012158-0.18%0.00001208-0.82%0.0177✓0.95828k2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1024110.102227-0.18%0.104365+1.91%0.0111✗0.817.0M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.08890.088739-0.18%0.0899+1.12%0.0018✓0.95393k2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057870.005777-0.18%0.005668-2.05%0.0271✓0.692,3002022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.58251.4876-0.18%51.915+0.65%0.0006✓0.75322k2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13890.138645-0.18%0.1395+0.43%0.0058✓1.01510k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.127365-0.18%0.1276+0.00%0.0103✓1.031.7M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131480.013124-0.18%0.013176+0.21%0.0034✓0.631.0M2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase12.316712.294-0.18%12.38+0.51%0.0044✓0.9732k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153790.153505-0.19%0.15568+1.23%0.0100✓2.046042022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035235-0.19%0.0349-1.13%0.0204✓0.9287k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.54020.539191-0.19%0.55118+2.03%0.0065✗1.3237k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12270.12247-0.19%0.1236+0.73%0.0033✓1.0625k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.06351.0615-0.19%1.1463+7.79%0.0590✗1.514.5M2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,869.3019,831.84-0.19%19,990.40+0.61%0.0031✓0.9413k2022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29170.291142-0.19%0.2885-1.10%0.0198✓0.916.5M2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.048307-0.19%0.0484+0.00%0.0098✓0.99796k2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase15.815.7695-0.19%15.53-1.71%0.0284✓1.1193k2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001545-0.19%0.001503-2.91%0.0391✓0.98433k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash45.5145.421-0.20%44.55-2.11%0.0308✓0.97438k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.770640.769118-0.20%0.77191+0.16%0.0068✓0.88509k2022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.667667-0.20%0.673+0.60%0.0062✓1.204.3M2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative8.9738.9551-0.20%9.001+0.31%0.0062✓0.961.5M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.4271-0.20%1.43+0.00%0.0118✓1.17123k2022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44710.446201-0.20%0.4594+2.75%0.0157✗1.14364k2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071090.070942-0.21%0.07274+2.32%0.0112✗1.1726k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.04581.0436-0.22%1.0708+2.39%0.0155✗0.8748k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06250.062361-0.22%0.0595-4.80%0.0573✓0.87105k2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35610.355278-0.23%0.3513-1.35%0.0241✓1.09131k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.376440.375561-0.23%0.3717-1.26%0.0217✓0.9640k2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.883310.881241-0.23%0.89656+1.50%0.0052✗1.0214k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.2260.225468-0.24%0.2291+1.37%0.0053✗0.91501k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1881.1852-0.24%1.205+1.43%0.0049✗0.991.7M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13520.134871-0.24%0.13698+1.32%0.0013✓1.20200k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.650398-0.25%0.663+1.69%0.0078✗0.97207k2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0910.0647-0.25%10.1+0.10%0.0109✓1.22318k2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.4530.451857-0.25%0.4458-1.59%0.0247✓0.9537.8M2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26080.260141-0.25%0.247-5.29%0.0520✓0.0191k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0434150.043304-0.26%0.043941+1.21%0.0046✗0.8530k2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.072.0647-0.26%2.15+3.86%0.0270✗1.14232k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19560.195093-0.26%0.201+2.76%0.0180✗1.00121k2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.24420.243566-0.26%0.2447+0.20%0.0069✓0.9881k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.738047-0.26%0.73-1.35%0.0144✓0.2979k2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9005080.898107-0.27%0.894603-0.66%0.0137✓0.8363k2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5190.517612-0.27%0.528+1.73%0.0074✗1.0677k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum26.626.5289-0.27%26.73+0.49%0.0039✓0.977.3M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.004009-0.27%0.00404+0.50%0.0041✓1.00152k2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22110.220496-0.27%0.2184-1.22%0.0250✓1.31135k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.283215-0.28%0.282-0.70%0.0128✓0.72686k2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014860.001482-0.28%0.00156+4.98%0.0432✗0.699,0932022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28790.287079-0.29%0.2809-2.43%0.0331✓0.963.1M2022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.24610.245398-0.29%0.2325-5.53%0.0647✓0.9176k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73011.7251-0.29%1.7276-0.14%0.0100✓0.971.2M2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2989690.298094-0.29%0.29809-0.29%0.0129✓1.09549k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214610.021398-0.29%0.02152+0.27%0.0039✓0.8114k2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,874.588,847.95-0.30%9,021.07+1.65%0.0032✗1.376.2M2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1211-0.31%6.7+9.12%0.0848✗0.471.7M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18110.180522-0.32%0.1824+0.72%0.0059✓1.382,2912022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero148.87148.3895-0.32%149.22+0.24%0.0064✓1.021.3M2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum84.3884.1058-0.32%84.85+0.56%0.0092✓1.526.3M2022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.318.2829-0.33%8.84+6.38%0.0594✗0.481.9M2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.3132.2046-0.33%32.41+0.31%0.0114✓1.5012.9M2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.7752.7659-0.33%2.728-1.69%0.0242✓0.88706k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum95.6395.3163-0.33%96.47+0.88%0.0019✓0.863.5M2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037990.037865-0.33%0.03845+1.21%0.0057✗0.812,8422022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96330.960129-0.33%0.9535-1.02%0.0128✓0.503.6M2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066520.066294-0.34%0.06618-0.51%0.0113✓0.829142022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.062.053-0.34%2.13+3.40%0.0279✗0.76329k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065370.006515-0.34%0.006495-0.64%0.0080✓0.4258k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,524.811,519.49-0.35%1,554.00+1.91%0.0063✗1.37628.3M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration47.4747.3035-0.35%47.42-0.11%0.0092✓0.99543k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.4542-0.35%4.79+7.16%0.0665✗0.531.1M2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1690.168403-0.35%0.168-0.59%0.0140✓0.98340k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.321.3153-0.36%1.31-0.76%0.0148✓0.91121k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8613.8106-0.36%14.14+2.02%0.0106✗1.10909k2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9772.9664-0.36%2.959-0.60%0.0207✓1.543.8M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.114.0952-0.36%4.449+8.25%0.0802✗0.232.3M2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2576.2343-0.36%6.25-0.11%0.0081✓0.905.0M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.39185.3722-0.36%5.8014+7.60%0.0757✗0.10115k2022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81681.8101-0.37%1.7939-1.26%0.0218✓1.0833k2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.77e-7-0.37%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0057✓0.792.0M2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.77e-7-0.37%8.70e-7-1.14%0.0172✓0.8016k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.18811.1837-0.37%1.1394-4.10%0.0487✓0.891.3M2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4250.423366-0.38%0.418-1.65%0.0248✓1.028,1172022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.036.0062-0.39%6.4+6.14%0.0578✗0.482.1M2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.54890.546727-0.40%0.5573+1.53%0.0090✗0.861.3M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.0647050.064448-0.40%0.063428-1.97%0.0232✓0.61129k2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3317.26-0.40%17.27-0.35%0.0076✓0.69880k2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.345820.344417-0.41%0.35+1.21%0.0051✗0.93347k2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082370.082026-0.42%0.08149-1.07%0.0072✓0.05478k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014220.014161-0.42%0.01358-4.50%0.0498✓0.67174k2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227850.022689-0.42%0.030314+33.04%0.2885✗0.10266k2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013480.001342-0.43%0.001342-0.46%0.0096✓0.792.1M2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51230.510046-0.44%0.5054-1.35%0.0181✓0.76579k2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.195829-0.44%0.2179+10.78%0.0969✗0.843.1M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8231.8148-0.45%1.818-0.27%0.0090✓0.91121k2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035290.035128-0.46%0.03519-0.28%0.0102✓1.0240k2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13250.131879-0.47%0.1324-0.08%0.0023✓0.533.6M2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.195.165-0.48%5.61+8.09%0.0774✗0.442.0M2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum4746.768-0.49%47.14+0.30%0.0067✓1.2411k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7515.7219-0.51%6.047+5.15%0.0497✗0.474.4M2022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.293320.291802-0.52%0.31172+6.27%0.0537✗1.0412k2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7953.7753-0.52%3.743-1.37%0.0202✓0.98252k2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.92811.8648-0.53%11.825-0.86%0.0165✓1.1110.8M2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008060.008017-0.53%0.00799-0.87%0.0166✓1.12477k2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.0122.0009-0.55%2.072+2.98%0.0190✗1.351.3M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.84293.8216-0.55%4.0516+5.43%0.0514✗0.603.8M2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.987.9333-0.58%7.66-4.01%0.0479✓1.09462k2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.0831.0766-0.59%1.129+4.25%0.0268✗1.753.2M2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0994.0745-0.60%4.337+5.81%0.0570✗0.462.0M2022-08-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1333.1132-0.63%2.922-6.73%0.0694✓0.51650k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.31864.291-0.64%4.8276+11.79%0.1060✗1.00147k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.61895.5793-0.71%6.6294+17.98%0.1700✗0.215.4M2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.5983-0.73%1.52-5.59%0.0489✓-0.11116k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024050.023874-0.73%0.02304-4.20%0.0451✓0.81459k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43010.426907-0.74%0.439+2.07%0.0143✗1.1596k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05790.057469-0.74%0.0574-0.86%0.0122✓0.9398k2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11150.110662-0.75%0.1161+4.13%0.0395✗0.71220k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06170.061234-0.76%0.0622+0.81%0.0007✓1.27908k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045526-0.79%0.00004452-2.99%0.0326✓0.871.7M2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0191.0095-0.93%1.078+5.79%0.0508✗1.251.4M2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9940.983662-1.04%0.91-8.45%0.0824✓0.384.2M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.48112.3473-1.07%13.005+4.20%0.0457✗0.528.9M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.00235.9347-1.13%7.8611+30.97%0.2774✗0.326.5M2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000158370.000155182-2.01%0.00022156+39.90%0.3478✗0.70429k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.91920.897571-2.35%0.9023-1.84%0.0119✓1.45167k2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010890.000001054-3.21%9.25e-7-14.99%0.1399✓0.851.1M2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.