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2022-08-28 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3091
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.19%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
46.2%
in alpha space · 34.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.75%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FLOWFlownative1.6921.7042+0.72%1.919+13.42%0.0694✓1.341.2M2022-08-29
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062290.062668+0.61%0.06651+6.77%0.0187✓1.112.2M2022-08-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6395.6725+0.59%6.015+6.67%0.0270✓0.8610.1M2022-08-29
METISMetisEthereum29.2629.3976+0.47%32.49+11.04%0.0308✓1.88304k2022-08-29
GITCOINGITCOIN2.00342.0118+0.42%2.1453+7.08%0.0201✓1.2013k2022-08-29
OPTIMOptimism1.0541.0576+0.34%1.174+11.39%0.0408✓1.733.3M2022-08-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.3311.3682+0.34%12.6+11.21%0.0639✓1.061.9M2022-08-29
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.320.32099+0.31%0.3367+5.22%0.0050✓1.16146k2022-08-29
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.361.3642+0.31%1.495+9.93%0.0485✓1.17128k2022-08-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30440.305279+0.29%0.3223+5.88%0.0145✓1.08112k2022-08-29
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8281.8332+0.28%1.955+6.95%0.0027✓1.6890k2022-08-29
WOOWOOEthereum0.13810.138474+0.27%0.164+18.75%0.1308✓1.041,7802022-08-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum1.951.9549+0.25%2.15+10.26%0.0502✓1.22255k2022-08-29
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7395.7512+0.21%6.339+10.45%0.0494✓1.3010.0M2022-08-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.9330.9945+0.21%33.55+8.47%0.0244✓1.4914.6M2022-08-29
QTUMQtumQtum2.98252.9886+0.21%3.1823+6.70%0.0256✓1.0126k2022-08-29
DODODODOEthereum0.11820.11839+0.16%0.1311+10.91%0.0667✓0.961.8M2022-08-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06040.060482+0.14%0.0617+2.15%0.0262✗1.26908k2022-08-29
STXStacksnative0.35290.353376+0.13%0.3701+4.87%0.0033✓1.17410k2022-08-29
COMPCompoundEthereum43.8543.9069+0.13%48.57+10.76%0.0556✓1.2312k2022-08-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2315+0.12%1.33+8.13%0.0421✓0.95154k2022-08-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6716.6905+0.12%17.22+3.30%0.0047✓0.72952k2022-08-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.5318.5518+0.12%19.33+4.32%0.0074✗1.3222.5M2022-08-29
CBKCobakEthereum0.846260.847206+0.11%0.87542+3.45%0.0034✗0.9814k2022-08-29
MANADecentralandEthereum0.748320.749155+0.11%0.79536+6.29%0.0269✓0.89509k2022-08-29
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.775229+0.11%0.8693+12.25%0.0761✓1.041.9M2022-08-29
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.645687+0.11%0.698+8.22%0.0461✓0.86242k2022-08-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061750.061809+0.10%0.063828+3.37%0.0066✗1.051.7M2022-08-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.27.2066+0.09%7.74+7.50%0.0303✓1.12534k2022-08-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.13960.139705+0.08%0.148+6.02%0.0205✓1.01149k2022-08-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5111.5121+0.07%1.615+6.88%0.0218✓1.2088k2022-08-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09920.099268+0.07%0.1063+7.16%0.0285✓1.093.6M2022-08-29
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4890.489325+0.07%0.525+7.36%0.0242✓1.252,6092022-08-29
BORABORAKlay Token0.292940.293128+0.06%0.30106+2.77%0.0117✗1.0412k2022-08-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2516.255+0.06%6.7+7.18%0.0298✓1.0619.0M2022-08-29
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9441.9451+0.05%2.089+7.46%0.0292✓1.1547k2022-08-29
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5250.525265+0.05%0.553+5.33%0.0124✓1.0678k2022-08-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1613.1666+0.05%13.83+5.09%0.0076✓1.131.0M2022-08-29
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.840405+0.05%0.946+12.62%0.1035✓0.404.2M2022-08-29
SUSHISushiEthereum1.00431.0048+0.05%1.1021+9.74%0.0468✓1.24973k2022-08-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13370.133758+0.04%0.1447+8.23%0.0413✓1.02553k2022-08-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0203860.020394+0.04%0.020994+2.98%0.0010✗0.8213k2022-08-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4880.488185+0.04%0.527+7.99%0.0344✓1.1486k2022-08-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.32610.326213+0.03%0.3499+7.30%0.0236✓1.26176k2022-08-29
BANDBandEthereum1.1921.1924+0.03%1.263+5.96%0.0135✓1.20491k2022-08-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04550.045514+0.03%0.0491+7.91%0.0396✓0.98843k2022-08-29
GMTGMTEthereum0.64630.646469+0.03%0.6813+5.42%0.0004✓1.41242k2022-08-29
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.035709+0.02%0.0373+4.48%0.0144✓0.7911k2022-08-29
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021620.021625+0.02%0.02267+4.86%0.0154✓0.8612.4M2022-08-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93340.933595+0.02%0.9656+3.45%0.0142✓0.533.6M2022-08-29
LRCLoopringEthereum0.340.340056+0.02%0.3664+7.76%0.0351✓1.07170k2022-08-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029870.002987+0.01%0.003238+8.40%0.0470✓0.911.1M2022-08-29
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02420.024202+0.01%0.02554+5.54%0.0068✓1.283,4352022-08-29
C98Coin98Ethereum0.36730.367322+0.01%0.4238+15.38%0.1017✓1.1289k2022-08-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.71521.7153+0.00%1.8412+7.35%0.0308✓1.0931k2022-08-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8616.8606-0.01%7.276+6.05%0.0204✗1.0413.1M2022-08-29
XVGVergenative0.002890.00289-0.01%0.00301+4.15%0.0032✗1.02508k2022-08-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.328060.328013-0.01%0.3476+5.96%0.0219✗0.9850k2022-08-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6310.63091-0.01%0.672+6.50%0.0288✗0.93235k2022-08-29
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6494.6483-0.02%4.983+7.18%0.0201✗1.348.9M2022-08-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.08540.085383-0.02%0.0924+8.20%0.0438✗0.96409k2022-08-29
XVSVenusEthereum4.824.8189-0.02%5.12+6.22%0.0291✗0.861.6M2022-08-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055190.005518-0.03%0.005874+6.44%0.0379✗0.672,5882022-08-29
API3Api3Ethereum1.61.5995-0.03%1.729+8.06%0.0434✗0.94623k2022-08-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.344.3386-0.03%4.53+4.38%0.0250✗0.491.3M2022-08-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,473.378,469.97-0.04%9,081.72+7.18%0.0196✗1.366.5M2022-08-29
TRXTRONTron0.0613920.061365-0.04%0.063437+3.33%0.0111✗0.60142k2022-08-29
SOLSolanaSolana30.4530.4362-0.05%32.41+6.44%0.0193✗1.1867.0M2022-08-29
ZENHorizenBase14.814.7929-0.05%16.44+11.08%0.0655✗1.09119k2022-08-29
GALAGALAEthereum0.04930.049276-0.05%0.0525+6.49%0.0268✗1.00249k2022-08-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.274861-0.05%0.283+2.91%0.0023✗0.73710k2022-08-29
DIADIAEthereum0.363040.362856-0.05%0.3855+6.19%0.0250✗0.9745k2022-08-29
CHRChromiaEthereum0.15920.159119-0.05%0.1725+8.35%0.0298✗1.382,2552022-08-29
XYMSymbolnative0.0443960.044372-0.05%0.044446+0.11%0.0176✓0.5228k2022-08-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101245-0.05%0.1045+3.16%0.0005✓0.87200k2022-08-29
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4252-0.06%1.5357+7.69%0.0338✗1.11319k2022-08-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09960.099542-0.06%0.101+1.41%0.0123✓0.733,2112022-08-29
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003928-0.06%0.00407+3.56%0.0010✓0.99158k2022-08-29
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.93320.932653-0.06%0.987+5.77%0.0119✗1.22972k2022-08-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99340.992817-0.06%1.0799+8.71%0.0287✗1.514.6M2022-08-29
RADRadworksEthereum2.082.0787-0.06%2.13+2.40%0.0048✓0.79384k2022-08-29
QNTQuantEthereum92.3192.2515-0.06%101.16+9.59%0.0614✗0.843.3M2022-08-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044180.044151-0.06%0.04816+9.01%0.0632✗0.6416k2022-08-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.313630.31341-0.07%0.33586+7.09%0.0362✗0.90378k2022-08-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1640.163884-0.07%0.174+6.10%0.0207✗1.07399k2022-08-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.237.172-0.08%35-5.91%0.0863✓0.711.6M2022-08-29
NANOnanopayBase0.8625010.861785-0.08%0.918733+6.52%0.0343✗0.8177k2022-08-29
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12020.120097-0.09%0.1306+8.65%0.0637✗0.553.8M2022-08-29
FTTFTXEthereum25.3525.3274-0.09%27.34+7.85%0.0410✗0.967.3M2022-08-29
ZECZcashZcash61.1761.113-0.09%63.75+4.22%0.0006✓1.131.9M2022-08-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9983.9942-0.09%4.177+4.48%0.0305✗0.392.0M2022-08-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.8643-0.10%6.29+7.16%0.0538✗0.442.1M2022-08-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27310.272832-0.10%0.291+6.55%0.0291✗0.963.2M2022-08-29
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07920.079122-0.10%0.0843+6.44%0.0282✗0.9614k2022-08-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.8095.8031-0.10%6.102+5.04%0.0347✗0.425.3M2022-08-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6450.644342-0.10%0.684+6.05%0.0147✗1.224.8M2022-08-29
LSKLiskEthereum1.03841.0374-0.10%1.0621+2.28%0.0076✓0.8550k2022-08-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20240.202189-0.10%0.2102+3.85%0.0013✗1.0261k2022-08-29
XEMNEMnative0.0429950.04295-0.11%0.044565+3.65%0.0058✗0.8529k2022-08-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.006420.006413-0.11%0.00649+1.09%0.0113✓0.631.1M2022-08-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.43490.434413-0.11%0.4607+5.93%0.0175✗1.12364k2022-08-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03450.034461-0.11%0.0365+5.80%0.0231✗0.9386k2022-08-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2912770.290942-0.12%0.305285+4.81%0.0083✗1.08593k2022-08-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,554.0319,531.19-0.12%20,286.97+3.75%0.0012✓1.00474.0M2022-08-29
ORCAOrcaSolana0.78420.783279-0.12%0.7824-0.23%0.0556✓1.48161k2022-08-29
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015870.001585-0.12%0.001636+3.09%0.0037✓0.96538k2022-08-29
MOVRMoonriverBase12.06212.0475-0.12%12.6602+4.96%0.0141✗0.9735k2022-08-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130020.012986-0.12%0.013701+5.38%0.0301✗0.641.3M2022-08-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.1755.1684-0.13%5.2836+2.10%0.0172✗0.13119k2022-08-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.068881-0.13%0.07284+5.61%0.0122✗1.1927k2022-08-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,646.4019,620.63-0.13%20,303.80+3.35%0.0004✓0.9411k2022-08-29
BTTCBTTC8.50e-78.49e-7-0.13%8.90e-7+4.71%0.0186✗0.782.3M2022-08-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.131720.131546-0.13%0.13956+5.95%0.0138✗1.23210k2022-08-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04190.041844-0.13%0.0441+5.25%0.0169✗0.97175k2022-08-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.165.1529-0.14%5.31+2.91%0.0138✗0.442.5M2022-08-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0964.0903-0.14%4.266+4.15%0.0363✗0.162.3M2022-08-29
AAVEAaveEthereum78.5778.4593-0.14%85.76+9.15%0.0339✗1.506.5M2022-08-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.05820.058116-0.14%0.0576-1.03%0.0515✓1.16252k2022-08-29
ETHEthereumEthereum1,426.631,424.55-0.15%1,551.65+8.76%0.0357✗1.35597.1M2022-08-29
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.411398-0.15%0.441+7.04%0.0322✗1.018,1172022-08-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011770.000011753-0.15%0.00001248+6.03%0.0251✗0.95886k2022-08-29
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19030.190014-0.15%0.2019+6.10%0.0239✗1.00146k2022-08-29
ELAElastosEthereum1.7331.7303-0.15%1.768+2.02%0.0131✓0.94137k2022-08-29
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.332.3264-0.16%2.24-3.86%0.0569✓0.5293k2022-08-29
XLMStellarStellar0.1027360.102576-0.16%0.105918+3.10%0.0014✓0.837.1M2022-08-29
GLMGolemEthereum0.23620.235825-0.16%0.2484+5.17%0.0169✗0.9579k2022-08-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2756.2649-0.16%6.682+6.49%0.0315✗0.895.2M2022-08-29
KSMKusamaHydration45.445.3247-0.17%50.12+10.40%0.0647✗0.98560k2022-08-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.519.4942-0.17%10.28+8.10%0.0352✗1.20386k2022-08-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1291.1271-0.17%1.189+5.31%0.0173✗0.981.9M2022-08-29
DASHDashDash44.1444.0645-0.17%47.46+7.52%0.0386✗0.97466k2022-08-29
STORJStorjEthereum0.524370.523471-0.17%0.55401+5.65%0.0090✗1.3041k2022-08-29
PROPropyEthereum0.730.728731-0.17%0.74+1.37%0.0031✗0.3384k2022-08-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28230.281803-0.18%0.2981+5.60%0.0231✗0.907.1M2022-08-29
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11840.118191-0.18%0.123+3.89%0.0022✗1.0230k2022-08-29
KCSKuCoinnative8.8168.7998-0.18%9.1+3.22%0.0020✓0.961.5M2022-08-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06190.061785-0.19%0.0637+2.91%0.0030✓0.91107k2022-08-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008480.008464-0.19%0.00891+5.07%0.0232✗0.766.2M2022-08-29
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09810.097913-0.19%0.1032+5.20%0.0245✗0.76247k2022-08-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9662.9603-0.19%3.47+16.99%0.1040✗1.493.8M2022-08-29
XMRMoneroMonero146.4146.1153-0.19%152.71+4.31%0.0080✗0.981.2M2022-08-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.59112.3709-0.19%119.61+6.24%0.0203✗1.144.7M2022-08-29
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05540.055292-0.20%0.0606+9.39%0.0576✗0.9399k2022-08-29
GTGateEthereum4.32284.3141-0.20%4.397+1.72%0.0094✓0.77775k2022-08-29
HIVEHivenative0.52820.527092-0.21%0.5461+3.39%0.0034✗0.871.3M2022-08-29
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.60e-78.58e-7-0.21%8.80e-7+2.33%0.0047✓0.8116k2022-08-29
ADACardanoCardano0.42910.428154-0.22%0.4505+4.99%0.0146✗0.9939.2M2022-08-29
STEEMSteemnative0.21830.217813-0.22%0.2257+3.39%0.0023✗0.90528k2022-08-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0263-0.23%6.38+5.63%0.0409✗0.441.9M2022-08-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2011.1983-0.23%1.2628+5.15%0.0193✗0.901.5M2022-08-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.79351.6722-0.23%54.194+4.64%0.0205✗0.74328k2022-08-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.098.0711-0.23%8.46+4.57%0.0295✗0.482.1M2022-08-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49960.498409-0.24%0.523+4.68%0.0177✗0.83625k2022-08-29
FORTFortaEthereum0.26380.263153-0.25%0.2566-2.73%0.0594✓0.9394k2022-08-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66561.6614-0.25%1.7099+2.66%0.0076✓0.991.2M2022-08-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037320.03722-0.27%0.03792+1.61%0.0111✓0.812,7072022-08-29
UMAUMAEthereum2.6072.6-0.27%2.856+9.55%0.0623✗0.86734k2022-08-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.3853.2364-0.27%55.79+4.51%0.0106✗0.9812.8M2022-08-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015030.001499-0.28%0.001529+1.73%0.0059✓0.709,7092022-08-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022140.022077-0.28%0.02336+5.51%0.0267✗0.81419k2022-08-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.55910.5285-0.29%11.438+8.32%0.0413✗1.1310.4M2022-08-29
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.386-0.29%1.44+3.60%0.0409✗-0.07105k2022-08-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.21020.20959-0.29%0.2159+2.71%0.0006✓0.822.9M2022-08-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21340.212757-0.30%0.2219+3.98%0.0059✓1.30133k2022-08-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.55375.5366-0.31%5.7778+4.04%0.0353✗0.205.2M2022-08-29
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9160.913161-0.31%0.989+7.97%0.0341✗1.241.4M2022-08-29
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38864.3749-0.31%4.68+6.64%0.0306✗1.00147k2022-08-29
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159770.159268-0.31%0.15839-0.86%0.0817✓2.076362022-08-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38212.3414-0.33%12.777+3.19%0.0162✗0.506.1M2022-08-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1064.0924-0.33%4.203+2.36%0.0101✓1.00245k2022-08-29
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.65553.6433-0.33%3.8811+6.17%0.0414✗0.593.7M2022-08-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067080.006684-0.35%0.006696-0.18%0.0140✓0.4358k2022-08-29
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067120.066868-0.38%0.06742+0.45%0.0218✓0.829142022-08-29
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.259964-0.40%0.2615+0.19%0.0056✗0.0191k2022-08-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035520.035378-0.40%0.03677+3.52%0.0015✓1.0131k2022-08-29
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086380.086034-0.40%0.08429-2.42%0.0227✓0.06598k2022-08-29
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.014780.01472-0.41%0.0151+2.17%0.0002✓0.69165k2022-08-29
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0229630.022868-0.41%0.023085+0.53%0.0055✗0.11262k2022-08-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013460.00134-0.44%0.001401+4.11%0.0152✗0.802.1M2022-08-29
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.78e-77.74e-7-0.45%8.65e-7+11.23%0.0797✗0.85542k2022-08-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008250.00821-0.48%0.00853+3.39%0.0031✓1.12477k2022-08-29
UOSUltraEthereum0.363890.361464-0.67%0.36085-0.84%0.0363✓0.94321k2022-08-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.43525.3955-0.73%6.0774+11.82%0.1101✗0.244.6M2022-08-29
LUNATerraTerra 20.00012510.000123875-0.98%0.0001317+5.28%0.0328✗0.77352k2022-08-29
XECeCashnative0.000046760.000045936-1.76%0.00004993+6.78%0.0519✗0.861.7M2022-08-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8763.8048-1.84%3.276-15.48%0.1717✓0.60650k2022-08-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.