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2022-08-27 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0396
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.5%
in alpha space · 76.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.41%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00013390.000132155-1.30%0.0001251-6.57%0.0342✓0.85340k2022-08-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57530.570106-0.90%0.4996-13.16%0.1121✓0.82625k2022-08-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157620.156628-0.63%0.15977+1.36%0.0706✗2.086362022-08-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.22713.1499-0.58%12.382-6.39%0.0484✓0.486.1M2022-08-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.59e-77.55e-7-0.57%7.78e-7+2.50%0.0505✗0.82198k2022-08-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001363-0.52%0.001346-1.74%0.0071✗0.802.1M2022-08-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.340040.338312-0.51%0.36389+7.01%0.0958✗0.94321k2022-08-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.37281.3658-0.51%1.201-12.51%0.1059✓0.931.6M2022-08-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0232380.023128-0.48%0.022963-1.18%0.0041✓0.12258k2022-08-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.220.21896-0.47%0.2102-4.45%0.0209✓0.823.1M2022-08-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035990.035823-0.47%0.03552-1.31%0.0160✗1.0031k2022-08-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.08015.0569-0.46%5.4352+6.99%0.0783✗0.254.6M2022-08-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78241.7745-0.44%1.6656-6.55%0.0378✓1.051.2M2022-08-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038280.038112-0.44%0.03732-2.51%0.0010✓0.822,8422022-08-28
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260082-0.43%0.261-0.08%0.0037✓0.0191k2022-08-28
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085470.085106-0.43%0.08638+1.06%0.0164✗0.07613k2022-08-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.1344.1166-0.42%4.106-0.68%0.0212✗0.98245k2022-08-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006712-0.42%0.006708-0.47%0.0101✗0.4458k2022-08-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17311.1277-0.41%10.559-5.50%0.0251✓1.1210.4M2022-08-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9360.93234-0.39%0.916-2.14%0.0121✗1.221.4M2022-08-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22010.219279-0.37%0.2134-3.04%0.0055✗1.34133k2022-08-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022610.02253-0.36%0.02214-2.08%0.0010✓0.76444k2022-08-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015180.015126-0.35%0.01478-2.64%0.0068✓0.67165k2022-08-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.4051-0.35%1.39-1.42%0.0117✓-0.04115k2022-08-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.73533.723-0.33%3.6555-2.14%0.0039✓0.593.7M2022-08-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.6712.6622-0.33%2.607-2.40%0.0000✓0.86749k2022-08-28
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.26554.2516-0.33%4.3886+2.89%0.0561✗1.00158k2022-08-28
ADACardanoCardano0.450.44856-0.32%0.4291-4.64%0.0190✓1.0440.7M2022-08-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.48.3732-0.32%8.09-3.69%0.0233✓0.462.1M2022-08-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.2680.267159-0.31%0.2638-1.57%0.0101✗0.94100k2022-08-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014540.00145-0.30%0.001503+3.37%0.0537✗0.729,7092022-08-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10160.101314-0.28%0.0981-3.44%0.0137✓0.76247k2022-08-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.0352.8807-0.28%53.38+0.66%0.0336✗0.9913.0M2022-08-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.186.1627-0.28%6.04-2.27%0.0098✓0.421.9M2022-08-28
KCSKuCoinnative9.1349.1088-0.28%8.816-3.48%0.0097✓0.941.6M2022-08-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.37452.2318-0.27%51.793-1.11%0.0096✗0.74332k2022-08-28
PROPropyEthereum0.750.748005-0.27%0.73-2.67%0.0160✓0.3486k2022-08-28
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.78e-7-0.27%8.60e-7-2.27%0.0006✓0.8117k2022-08-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05690.056749-0.26%0.0554-2.64%0.0021✓0.9099k2022-08-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00870.008678-0.26%0.00848-2.53%0.0044✓0.776.4M2022-08-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.9744-0.26%9.51-4.90%0.0188✓1.18439k2022-08-28
DASHDashDash45.1345.0162-0.25%44.14-2.19%0.0042✗0.98486k2022-08-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012160.000012129-0.25%0.00001177-3.21%0.0072✓0.94895k2022-08-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06390.06374-0.25%0.0619-3.13%0.0075✓0.90111k2022-08-28
STEEMSteemnative0.22110.220548-0.25%0.2183-1.27%0.0119✗0.91504k2022-08-28
HIVEHivenative0.53350.532178-0.25%0.5282-0.99%0.0142✗0.891.6M2022-08-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,491.221,487.60-0.24%1,426.63-4.33%0.0090✓1.35597.1M2022-08-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28890.288198-0.24%0.2823-2.28%0.0018✓0.927.4M2022-08-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.226.205-0.24%5.87-5.63%0.0451✓0.432.5M2022-08-28
GTGateEthereum4.3764.3655-0.24%4.3228-1.22%0.0089✗0.77798k2022-08-28
AAVEAaveEthereum82.1181.9174-0.23%78.57-4.31%0.0039✓1.556.7M2022-08-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.26114.992-0.23%112.59-2.32%0.0065✗1.134.8M2022-08-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,933.0019,887.18-0.23%19,646.40-1.44%0.0109✗0.9511k2022-08-28
MOVRMoonriverBase12.539112.5106-0.23%12.062-3.80%0.0131✓0.9635k2022-08-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24240.241853-0.23%0.2362-2.56%0.0003✓0.9681k2022-08-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.234.2206-0.22%4.096-3.17%0.0266✓0.142.3M2022-08-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35690.356113-0.22%0.34-4.74%0.0193✓1.11175k2022-08-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1461.1435-0.22%1.129-1.48%0.0113✗0.992.1M2022-08-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.541550.540374-0.22%0.52437-3.17%0.0012✓1.2843k2022-08-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1055940.105367-0.22%0.102736-2.71%0.0046✓0.857.4M2022-08-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.06027-0.21%0.0582-3.64%0.0071✓1.14252k2022-08-28
XEMNEMnative0.0447080.044612-0.21%0.042995-3.83%0.0161✓0.8530k2022-08-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068190.068044-0.21%0.06712-1.57%0.0063✗0.829142022-08-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2124.203-0.21%3.998-5.08%0.0409✓0.372.0M2022-08-28
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.68e-7-0.21%8.50e-7-2.30%0.0016✓0.802.4M2022-08-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum38.1738.0896-0.21%37.2-2.54%0.0028✓0.851.7M2022-08-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.00660.006586-0.21%0.00642-2.73%0.0098✓0.651.1M2022-08-28
XMRMoneroMonero145.16144.8582-0.21%146.4+0.85%0.0349✗1.001.2M2022-08-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11860.118358-0.20%0.1184-0.17%0.0253✗1.0232k2022-08-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45670.455768-0.20%0.4349-4.77%0.0196✓1.12386k2022-08-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.2595.2483-0.20%5.5537+5.60%0.0618✗0.215.2M2022-08-28
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19570.195314-0.20%0.1903-2.76%0.0016✓1.00149k2022-08-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007570.007555-0.20%0.00825+8.98%0.1154✗1.13477k2022-08-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08450.084336-0.19%0.0792-6.27%0.0398✓0.9414k2022-08-28
ELAElastosEthereum1.7581.7546-0.19%1.733-1.42%0.0106✗0.94143k2022-08-28
KSMKusamaHydration45.8445.7524-0.19%45.4-0.96%0.0163✗0.99572k2022-08-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.472.4654-0.19%2.33-5.67%0.0440✓0.5189k2022-08-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024690.024644-0.19%0.0242-1.98%0.0130✗1.283,4352022-08-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10350.103307-0.19%0.0996-3.77%0.0192✓0.713,4822022-08-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.295.2802-0.19%5.16-2.46%0.0128✓0.422.6M2022-08-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.16485.1554-0.18%5.175+0.20%0.0071✗0.14138k2022-08-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3036.2919-0.18%6.275-0.44%0.0201✗0.935.2M2022-08-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8828390.881301-0.17%0.862501-2.30%0.0019✓0.8184k2022-08-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2968890.296374-0.17%0.291277-1.89%0.0092✗1.09620k2022-08-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.594.5821-0.17%4.34-5.45%0.0428✓0.471.3M2022-08-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6590.65787-0.17%0.645-2.12%0.0093✗1.195.0M2022-08-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16930.169011-0.17%0.1592-5.97%0.0262✓1.382,1742022-08-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,036.6920,002.52-0.17%19,554.03-2.41%0.0017✓1.00474.0M2022-08-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131780.013156-0.16%0.013002-1.34%0.0040✗0.651.4M2022-08-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1710.17072-0.16%0.164-4.09%0.0138✓1.08434k2022-08-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,782.658,768.69-0.16%8,473.37-3.52%0.0009✓1.376.8M2022-08-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.790.788771-0.16%0.7842-0.73%0.0291✗1.43161k2022-08-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27960.279166-0.16%0.2731-2.32%0.0013✓0.953.3M2022-08-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034747-0.15%0.0345-0.86%0.0150✗0.9186k2022-08-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09080.090664-0.15%0.0854-5.95%0.0367✓0.95414k2022-08-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.329760.329269-0.15%0.31363-4.89%0.0244✓0.99391k2022-08-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.825.7617-0.15%25.35-1.74%0.0073✗0.967.4M2022-08-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.96610.964703-0.14%0.9332-3.41%0.0035✓1.22999k2022-08-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6876-0.14%1.6-5.33%0.0303✓0.94704k2022-08-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.04881.0473-0.14%1.0384-0.99%0.0123✗0.8551k2022-08-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.04791.0464-0.14%0.9934-5.20%0.0156✓1.494.7M2022-08-28
XECeCashnative0.000036880.000036829-0.14%0.00004676+26.79%0.2606✗0.901.7M2022-08-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7845.7762-0.13%5.809+0.43%0.0152✗0.395.3M2022-08-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05090.050832-0.13%0.0493-3.14%0.0065✓0.99252k2022-08-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12360.123436-0.13%0.1202-2.75%0.0126✓0.573.9M2022-08-28
TRXTRONTron0.0629350.062855-0.13%0.061392-2.45%0.0091✓0.59151k2022-08-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20670.206447-0.12%0.2024-2.08%0.0050✗1.0261k2022-08-28
QNTQuantEthereum94.3894.2647-0.12%92.31-2.19%0.0001✓0.863.4M2022-08-28
XTZTezosTezos1.46761.4658-0.12%1.426-2.83%0.0006✓1.11336k2022-08-28
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016060.001604-0.12%0.001587-1.18%0.0130✗0.98538k2022-08-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.510.509419-0.11%0.488-4.31%0.0151✓1.1488k2022-08-28
ZENHorizenBase15.215.1829-0.11%14.8-2.63%0.0016✗1.11125k2022-08-28
SOLSolanaSolana31.5431.5051-0.11%30.45-3.46%0.0058✓1.1668.8M2022-08-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04360.043553-0.11%0.0419-3.90%0.0148✓0.98175k2022-08-28
RADRadworksEthereum2.142.1377-0.11%2.08-2.80%0.0081✓0.79407k2022-08-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8912.8879-0.11%2.966+2.59%0.0652✗1.583.8M2022-08-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023030.023005-0.11%0.02162-6.12%0.0413✓0.8613.0M2022-08-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.631.6283-0.11%1.511-7.30%0.0454✓1.2093k2022-08-28
XYMSymbolnative0.04540.045353-0.10%0.044396-2.21%0.0086✓0.5230k2022-08-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34920.348842-0.10%0.3261-6.62%0.0372✓1.24191k2022-08-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045180.045135-0.10%0.04418-2.21%0.0045✓0.6916k2022-08-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6520.651353-0.10%0.631-3.22%0.0087✓0.94266k2022-08-28
ZECZcashZcash61.3661.3001-0.10%61.17-0.31%0.0253✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.336220.335901-0.09%0.32806-2.43%0.0003✓0.9852k2022-08-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0447.0374-0.09%6.861-2.60%0.0004✓1.0213.7M2022-08-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.280.279741-0.09%0.275-1.79%0.0005✓0.72772k2022-08-28
DIADIAEthereum0.367740.367407-0.09%0.36304-1.28%0.0115✗0.9651k2022-08-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.68530.68474-0.08%0.6463-5.69%0.0228✓1.44257k2022-08-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.840.839323-0.08%0.84+0.00%0.0108✗0.414.2M2022-08-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06750.067446-0.08%0.06897+2.18%0.0516✗1.2028k2022-08-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.13220.132097-0.08%0.13172-0.36%0.0266✗1.21210k2022-08-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.550.549577-0.08%0.525-4.55%0.0191✓1.0984k2022-08-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14040.140293-0.08%0.1337-4.77%0.0245✓0.97624k2022-08-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78791.7866-0.07%1.7152-4.07%0.0146✓1.0733k2022-08-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10150.101425-0.07%0.1013-0.20%0.0200✗0.87212k2022-08-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9630.962294-0.07%0.9334-3.07%0.0169✓0.563.6M2022-08-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.813.79-0.07%13.16-4.64%0.0167✓1.231.1M2022-08-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.411707-0.07%0.412+0.00%0.0248✗0.998,1172022-08-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04740.047372-0.06%0.0455-4.01%0.0166✓0.97843k2022-08-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056180.005615-0.06%0.005519-1.76%0.0008✓0.672,5882022-08-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.5417.5302-0.06%16.67-4.96%0.0331✓0.71965k2022-08-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5316.5274-0.06%6.251-4.29%0.0172✓1.0719.3M2022-08-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.0420.029-0.05%18.53-7.53%0.0464✓1.2923.0M2022-08-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7574.7548-0.05%4.649-2.27%0.0109✗1.379.3M2022-08-28
XVGVergenative0.002920.002919-0.05%0.00289-1.03%0.0154✗1.03520k2022-08-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.06121.0607-0.04%1.0043-5.36%0.0241✓1.25981k2022-08-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0282.0272-0.04%1.944-4.14%0.0140✓1.1549k2022-08-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2895-0.04%1.23-4.65%0.0239✓0.96170k2022-08-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030410.00304-0.04%0.002987-1.78%0.0041✗0.891.1M2022-08-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003888-0.04%0.00393+1.03%0.0349✗1.00152k2022-08-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.3760.375857-0.04%0.3673-2.31%0.0044✗1.1289k2022-08-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.874.8682-0.04%4.82-1.03%0.0109✗0.851.6M2022-08-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206730.020666-0.04%0.020386-1.39%0.0066✗0.8313k2022-08-28
BANDBandEthereum1.2211.2207-0.03%1.192-2.38%0.0064✗1.24518k2022-08-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10330.10328-0.02%0.0992-3.97%0.0137✓1.093.7M2022-08-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03660.036596-0.01%0.0357-2.46%0.0042✓0.8411k2022-08-28
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.35320.353198-0.00%0.32-9.40%0.0711✓1.13152k2022-08-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5090.509022+0.00%0.489-3.93%0.0100✗1.242,6092022-08-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.0946.0935+0.01%43.85-4.86%0.0196✗1.2412k2022-08-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0634220.063432+0.02%0.06175-2.64%0.0015✗1.041.7M2022-08-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.663119+0.02%0.645-2.71%0.0061✗0.89248k2022-08-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14190.141944+0.03%0.1396-1.62%0.0080✓1.01166k2022-08-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative3333.0107+0.03%30.93-6.27%0.0300✗1.4415.4M2022-08-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12460.124644+0.04%0.1182-5.14%0.0304✗0.931.9M2022-08-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.112.111+0.05%1.95-7.58%0.0494✗1.23281k2022-08-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.778420.778807+0.05%0.74832-3.87%0.0176✗0.92512k2022-08-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.78960.790017+0.05%0.7744-1.93%0.0063✓1.082.0M2022-08-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.337.3341+0.06%7.2-1.77%0.0087✓1.11592k2022-08-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.864060.864546+0.06%0.84626-2.06%0.0025✓0.9814k2022-08-28
STXStacksnative0.36380.364062+0.07%0.3529-3.00%0.0026✗1.17432k2022-08-28
QTUMQtumQtum3.12693.1293+0.08%2.9825-4.62%0.0235✗1.0127k2022-08-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.152523+0.08%0.1381-9.38%0.0728✗1.091,7802022-08-28
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0566.0625+0.11%5.739-5.23%0.0228✗1.3210.1M2022-08-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9623+0.12%1.828-6.73%0.0289✗1.7294k2022-08-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.060884+0.14%0.0604-0.66%0.0219✓1.23984k2022-08-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.282280.282702+0.15%0.29294+3.78%0.0611✓1.0512k2022-08-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4041.407+0.21%1.36-3.13%0.0053✗1.18130k2022-08-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31440.315131+0.23%0.3044-3.18%0.0064✗1.16112k2022-08-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.911.9278+0.23%11.33-4.79%0.0238✗1.131.9M2022-08-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08592.0925+0.32%2.0034-3.96%0.0137✗1.2213k2022-08-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.6822.6928+0.40%3.876+44.52%0.3804✓0.66650k2022-08-28
METISMetisEthereum30.0530.1734+0.41%29.26-2.63%0.0153✓1.89327k2022-08-28
OPTIMOptimism1.0251.0298+0.47%1.054+2.83%0.0657✓1.743.4M2022-08-28
FLOWFlownative1.8231.8317+0.48%1.692-7.19%0.0469✗1.331.2M2022-08-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8295.8583+0.50%5.639-3.26%0.0171✗0.8610.1M2022-08-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064280.064618+0.53%0.06229-3.10%0.0095✗1.122.4M2022-08-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.