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2022-08-18 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0659
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
41.5%
in alpha space · 93.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.1961.2031+0.59%1.222+2.17%0.2222✓1.933.6M2022-08-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023490.023592+0.43%0.0224-4.64%0.0506✓0.9613.9M2022-08-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8810.880768-0.03%0.847-3.86%0.0093✗0.454.4M2022-08-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.41990.419631-0.06%0.3796-9.60%0.0491✗1.39203k2022-08-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2493.2464-0.08%2.801-13.79%0.0210✗1.575.2M2022-08-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2960.295763-0.08%0.272-8.11%0.0074✓0.71972k2022-08-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.3483.3452-0.08%3-10.39%0.0454✓0.59853k2022-08-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7711.7694-0.09%1.661-6.21%0.0718✗1.26142k2022-08-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.11461.1135-0.10%1.0504-5.76%0.1079✗1.555.0M2022-08-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007820.007812-0.11%0.00743-4.99%0.0702✗1.12420k2022-08-19
TRXTRONTron0.0674180.067326-0.14%0.063977-5.10%0.0143✗0.61179k2022-08-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.923220.921721-0.16%0.84451-8.53%0.0127✗0.94574k2022-08-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0746320.07451-0.16%0.067937-8.97%0.0180✗1.031.9M2022-08-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.90020.898619-0.18%0.879-2.36%0.1040✗1.182.2M2022-08-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1414.1146-0.18%12.8-9.48%0.0214✗1.112.6M2022-08-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36730.366579-0.20%0.3103-15.52%0.0471✓1.12105k2022-08-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7715.7592-0.20%5.106-11.52%0.0255✗1.3611.8M2022-08-19
STXStacksnative0.44530.444369-0.21%0.3909-12.22%0.0093✓1.11628k2022-08-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.202562-0.22%0.186-8.37%0.0312✗1.09657k2022-08-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53970.538531-0.22%0.4967-7.97%0.0068✗0.82750k2022-08-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.8696.8536-0.22%6.409-6.70%0.0363✗0.975.3M2022-08-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18330.182882-0.23%0.1722-6.06%0.0933✗1.431,3972022-08-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43750.4365-0.23%0.4043-7.59%0.0461✗1.1564k2022-08-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40860.407654-0.23%0.36-11.89%0.0110✗1.26223k2022-08-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.042601-0.23%0.0398-6.79%0.0317✗0.9311k2022-08-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00661.0043-0.23%1.0221+1.54%0.0828✗0.613.9M2022-08-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13410.133777-0.24%0.1279-4.62%0.0193✗0.604.1M2022-08-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062880.006273-0.24%0.005861-6.79%0.0072✗0.703,0362022-08-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1316.09-0.25%14.23-11.78%0.0088✗1.231.5M2022-08-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.16680.166381-0.25%0.1502-9.95%0.0078✗1.03140k2022-08-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.39280.391812-0.25%0.36149-7.97%0.0260✗1.0090k2022-08-19
PROPropyEthereum0.770.768058-0.25%0.74-3.90%0.0063✗0.4186k2022-08-19
DODODODOEthereum0.14560.14523-0.25%0.1293-11.20%0.0123✓0.972.0M2022-08-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04940.049274-0.25%0.0447-9.51%0.0060✗0.97207k2022-08-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0580.057852-0.26%0.0532-8.28%0.0256✗1.02253k2022-08-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.156091-0.26%0.1513-3.32%0.0827✗1.06586k2022-08-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02860.028525-0.26%0.02581-9.76%0.0391✗1.302,9402022-08-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3892.3826-0.27%2.151-9.96%0.0236✗1.1862k2022-08-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.076860.076653-0.27%0.07173-6.67%0.0581✗1.162.3M2022-08-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.18570.185197-0.27%0.1767-4.85%0.0670✗1.061,7402022-08-19
BANDBandEthereum1.4711.467-0.27%1.325-9.93%0.0351✗1.28518k2022-08-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30550.304644-0.28%0.2828-7.43%0.0308✗0.983.6M2022-08-19
UNIUniswapEthereum7.5747.5527-0.28%6.895-8.96%0.0492✗1.3110.3M2022-08-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07380.073592-0.28%0.0618-16.26%0.0853✓0.83130k2022-08-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.340840.339867-0.29%0.29333-13.94%0.0351✓1.0513k2022-08-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11490.114569-0.29%0.1055-8.18%0.0357✗1.103.7M2022-08-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09440.094124-0.29%0.0848-10.17%0.0001✓0.9712k2022-08-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.451.4457-0.29%1.32-8.97%0.0136✗0.98182k2022-08-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39930.398126-0.29%0.3724-6.74%0.0529✗1.12176k2022-08-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6420.640088-0.30%0.609-5.14%0.0779✗1.19114k2022-08-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11950.119143-0.30%0.1065-10.88%0.0385✓0.694,2082022-08-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4082.4008-0.30%2.112-12.29%0.0600✗1.76132k2022-08-19
XVGVergenative0.003660.003649-0.30%0.0032-12.57%0.0217✓1.02508k2022-08-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.13232.1258-0.30%1.8825-11.72%0.0089✓1.0533k2022-08-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.52950.527877-0.31%0.4754-10.22%0.0159✗1.13376k2022-08-19
SCSiacoinnative0.004650.004636-0.31%0.00412-11.40%0.0106✓1.00152k2022-08-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158490.157999-0.31%0.13844-12.65%0.0006✓1.23250k2022-08-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32685.3102-0.31%5.2071-2.25%0.0051✓0.14204k2022-08-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05440.05423-0.31%0.051-6.25%0.0482✗1.02877k2022-08-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.4787.4543-0.32%6.466-13.53%0.0552✓0.819.9M2022-08-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.007640.007616-0.32%0.00703-7.98%0.0119✓0.641.4M2022-08-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.31.2959-0.32%1.18-9.23%0.0407✗1.261.1M2022-08-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.32%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0127✓0.7720k2022-08-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6210.619015-0.32%0.562-9.50%0.0274✗1.1695k2022-08-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68892.6803-0.32%2.3044-14.30%0.0229✓1.2013k2022-08-19
ZENHorizenBase17.8917.8314-0.33%16.17-9.61%0.0222✗1.12130k2022-08-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7410.738556-0.33%0.676-8.77%0.0631✗1.424.6M2022-08-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0838.0563-0.33%7.303-9.65%0.0119✗1.0314.0M2022-08-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6660.663789-0.33%0.574-13.81%0.0159✓1.212,9182022-08-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11920.118803-0.33%0.1085-8.98%0.0010✓0.86300k2022-08-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1511.1472-0.33%1.045-9.21%0.0395✗1.241.1M2022-08-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.18951.1855-0.33%1.068-10.21%0.0104✓0.8855k2022-08-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1159280.115541-0.33%0.108067-6.78%0.0285✗0.897.5M2022-08-19
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.57e-7-0.33%8.70e-7-9.37%0.0104✓0.794.6M2022-08-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0530140.052836-0.34%0.04825-8.99%0.0374✓0.5030k2022-08-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7310.728531-0.34%0.678-7.25%0.0299✗0.95333k2022-08-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.11.0962-0.34%0.94175-14.38%0.0505✓0.9512k2022-08-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4780.476363-0.34%0.429-10.25%0.0013✓0.999,5622022-08-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.371970.370683-0.35%0.33831-9.05%0.0270✗1.11426k2022-08-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6905-0.35%2.3-14.81%0.0294✓1.19259k2022-08-19
XMRMoneroMonero160.98160.4136-0.35%142.31-11.60%0.0149✓0.981.2M2022-08-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,189.4623,107.01-0.36%20,834.94-10.15%0.0036✓1.00472.7M2022-08-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10360.103229-0.36%0.0975-5.89%0.0480✗0.98430k2022-08-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050350.050168-0.36%0.04452-11.58%0.0421✓0.7216k2022-08-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.074940.074664-0.37%0.06643-11.36%0.0336✓0.788802022-08-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.9529.8394-0.37%26.41-11.82%0.0228✓0.938.9M2022-08-19
COMPCompoundEthereum56.0555.8402-0.37%49.91-10.95%0.0210✗1.2517k2022-08-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24860.247668-0.37%0.2209-11.14%0.0060✓1.0177k2022-08-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash129.12128.6342-0.38%114.49-11.33%0.0019✓1.115.1M2022-08-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0240.023909-0.38%0.02251-6.21%0.0351✗0.89369k2022-08-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343160.333046-0.38%0.302298-9.58%0.0209✗1.10884k2022-08-19
SOLSolanaSolana39.5139.3591-0.38%35.82-9.34%0.0333✗1.1975.2M2022-08-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01470.014644-0.38%0.01381-6.05%0.0058✗0.602.1M2022-08-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9901460.986306-0.39%0.884025-10.72%0.0290✓0.7577k2022-08-19
XECeCashnative0.000042850.000042683-0.39%0.00003843-10.32%0.0119✓0.871.9M2022-08-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.441.4343-0.40%1.38-4.17%0.0469✓-0.08115k2022-08-19
METISMetisEthereum3837.8457-0.41%32.4-14.74%0.0547✗1.96391k2022-08-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.636040.633441-0.41%0.5697-10.43%0.0350✗1.3246k2022-08-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.6457.6135-0.41%6.899-9.76%0.0171✗1.0820.0M2022-08-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.9140.910238-0.41%0.776-15.10%0.0080✓1.42433k2022-08-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.50257.2635-0.41%51.302-10.78%0.0348✓0.70354k2022-08-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7430.739896-0.42%0.708-4.71%0.0549✗0.92274k2022-08-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.082990.082637-0.43%0.08741+5.33%0.0827✗0.25959k2022-08-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8171.8093-0.43%1.506-17.12%0.0614✓1.14150k2022-08-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.76713.751-0.43%3.3477-11.13%0.0094✓0.9848k2022-08-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0310.9828-0.43%9.77-11.42%0.0089✗1.18305k2022-08-19
KSMKusamaHydration51.6951.4674-0.43%48.63-5.92%0.0513✗1.01543k2022-08-19
DASHDashDash50.3650.1406-0.44%44.86-10.92%0.0073✓0.97521k2022-08-19
GTGateEthereum4.84824.8271-0.44%4.373-9.80%0.0194✓0.74847k2022-08-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.639.4268-0.44%32.98-16.72%0.0303✓1.3916.0M2022-08-19
XTZTezosTezos1.78951.7817-0.44%1.5782-11.81%0.0009✓1.12470k2022-08-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.1110.0653-0.44%9.359-7.43%0.0325✗0.981.9M2022-08-19
DIADIAEthereum0.452120.450107-0.45%0.38673-14.46%0.0562✓0.8970k2022-08-19
ADACardanoCardano0.51210.509816-0.45%0.4497-12.19%0.0150✓1.0342.0M2022-08-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260034-0.45%0.2612+0.00%0.0058✗0.0174k2022-08-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06830.067995-0.45%0.0635-7.03%0.0560✗1.16329k2022-08-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06290.062619-0.45%0.0562-10.65%0.0097✓0.92112k2022-08-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33360.332106-0.45%0.303-9.17%0.0077✗0.938.2M2022-08-19
API3Api3Ethereum2.1132.1035-0.45%1.914-9.42%0.0039✓0.92680k2022-08-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3181.3121-0.45%1.206-8.50%0.0228✗1.002.4M2022-08-19
XEMNEMnative0.048620.048398-0.46%0.045265-6.90%0.0283✗0.8937k2022-08-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin6059.7242-0.46%54.02-9.97%0.0064✗1.0013.1M2022-08-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0037480.003731-0.47%0.003321-11.39%0.0310✓0.801.0M2022-08-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13610.135461-0.47%0.1221-10.29%0.0075✗1.0441k2022-08-19
ZECZcashZcash70.0969.7593-0.47%62.23-11.21%0.0062✗1.122.0M2022-08-19
MOVRMoonriverBase14.497614.4292-0.47%12.9755-10.50%0.0045✓0.9551k2022-08-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.1924.0755-0.47%22.44-7.23%0.0761✗1.3725.9M2022-08-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04490.044687-0.47%0.03963-11.74%0.0338✓0.812,5822022-08-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23410.232987-0.48%0.2125-9.23%0.0562✗1.38110k2022-08-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010170.010121-0.48%0.00905-11.01%0.0348✓0.725.8M2022-08-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.23030.229193-0.48%0.2054-10.81%0.0025✓1.00111k2022-08-19
FLOWFlownative2.5282.5158-0.48%2.121-16.10%0.0342✓1.281.0M2022-08-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.038612-0.48%0.0347-10.57%0.0057✓0.9476k2022-08-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07610.075731-0.49%0.0657-13.67%0.0151✓1.191.4M2022-08-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234780.023363-0.49%0.021066-10.27%0.0167✓0.8112k2022-08-19
STEEMSteemnative0.26460.263291-0.49%0.2304-12.93%0.0397✓0.88550k2022-08-19
AAVEAaveEthereum94.8694.3893-0.50%83.37-12.11%0.0410✗1.546.4M2022-08-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.001920.00191-0.50%0.001717-10.57%0.0003✓1.00901k2022-08-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.28920.287745-0.50%0.2516-13.00%0.0358✓0.9281k2022-08-19
ELAElastosEthereum2.0432.0326-0.51%1.87-8.47%0.0228✗0.99170k2022-08-19
XVSVenusEthereum6.286.2478-0.51%5.8-7.64%0.0175✗0.861.6M2022-08-19
HIVEHivenative0.58580.582789-0.51%0.5569-4.93%0.0559✗0.951.9M2022-08-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00170.001691-0.53%0.001479-13.00%0.0619✓0.679,7092022-08-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.333950.332185-0.53%0.29551-11.51%0.0227✓0.88383k2022-08-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.42.3873-0.53%2.29-4.58%0.0532✗0.89726k2022-08-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013480.000013409-0.53%0.00001317-2.30%0.0858✗0.97827k2022-08-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.1373.1203-0.53%2.82-10.11%0.0128✓0.83719k2022-08-19
QNTQuantEthereum108.5107.9177-0.54%99.28-8.50%0.0048✓0.823.4M2022-08-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.28980.288236-0.54%0.2715-6.31%0.0547✗1.07151k2022-08-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.788.7323-0.54%7.67-12.64%0.0137✓1.08523k2022-08-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.44611.3829-0.55%10.759-6.00%0.0669✗1.1511.4M2022-08-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.3919.2824-0.55%17.46-9.95%0.0276✓0.672.2M2022-08-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93720.931996-0.56%0.8698-7.19%0.0973✗1.55244k2022-08-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,215.9110,158.84-0.56%8,613.21-15.69%0.0220✓1.346.8M2022-08-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017730.017629-0.57%0.01707-3.72%0.0355✗0.63153k2022-08-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.181330.180282-0.58%0.16055-11.46%0.1232✗2.236712022-08-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.211.2029-0.58%1.1177-7.63%0.0495✗1.1512k2022-08-19
FISStafiEthereum0.3990.396641-0.59%0.3599-9.80%0.0000✓0.911922022-08-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087920.087394-0.60%0.07429-15.50%0.0409✓1.1429k2022-08-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230530.022915-0.60%0.025967+12.64%0.1503✗0.24232k2022-08-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.113117-0.60%0.1096-3.69%0.0510✗0.77215k2022-08-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000093180.000092594-0.63%0.00008591-7.80%0.0318✗1.00336k2022-08-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9220.916097-0.64%0.834-9.54%0.0374✗1.231.0M2022-08-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,152.4023,003.18-0.64%21,334.30-7.85%0.0289✗0.977,5932022-08-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,845.901,833.49-0.67%1,608.72-12.85%0.0118✗1.33528.6M2022-08-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3961.3862-0.70%1.2326-11.70%0.0162✓0.951.0M2022-08-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070640.007014-0.70%0.006691-5.28%0.0025✓0.4655k2022-08-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.1440.8316-0.75%41.75+1.48%0.1319✗1.021.8M2022-08-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.852.8273-0.80%2.75-3.51%0.0281✗0.5296k2022-08-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6413.6119-0.80%3.13-14.03%0.0525✓0.85127k2022-08-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.76281.7476-0.86%1.7825+1.12%0.1493✗1.21598k2022-08-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20860.206714-0.90%0.1961-5.99%0.0382✗0.851.2M2022-08-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001521-0.93%0.001441-6.18%0.0306✗0.791.6M2022-08-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.044490.044067-0.95%0.0386-13.24%0.0277✓0.9821k2022-08-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.16.0344-1.08%6.23+2.13%0.0737✗0.392.6M2022-08-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.856.7741-1.11%7.02+2.48%0.0773✗0.391.1M2022-08-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.956.8713-1.13%6.87-1.15%0.0422✗0.401.8M2022-08-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4144.358-1.27%4.972+12.64%0.1518✗0.192.1M2022-08-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.49495.4223-1.32%4.0954-25.47%0.1736✓1.00169k2022-08-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6464.5828-1.36%4.701+1.18%0.0610✗0.331.5M2022-08-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.829.6793-1.43%9.57-2.55%0.0350✗0.431.9M2022-08-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.5269-1.66%5.39-4.09%0.0173✗0.401.1M2022-08-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.55194.47-1.80%6.7571+48.45%0.4679✗0.512.0M2022-08-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.02743.9544-1.81%5.0422+25.20%0.2808✗0.352.0M2022-08-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.883.8047-1.94%3.7255-3.98%0.0362✗0.531.3M2022-08-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.18e-77.03e-7-2.10%6.08e-7-15.38%0.0768✓0.64164k2022-08-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana7.4417.2809-2.15%6.927-6.91%0.0415✓0.083.9M2022-08-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.25712.731-3.97%13.488+1.74%0.1075✗0.461.3M2022-08-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.