8=======>

2022-08-16 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0399
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.6%
in alpha space · 88.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.24e-7-2.68%6.87e-7-7.61%0.0378✓0.65164k2022-08-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.051130.050347-1.53%0.04685-8.37%0.0508✓0.9721k2022-08-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.20970.20689-1.34%0.2222+5.96%0.0901✗0.861.2M2022-08-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015870.001567-1.24%0.001546-2.57%0.0041✓0.811.6M2022-08-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8763.8285-1.22%3.682-5.01%0.0205✓0.85124k2022-08-17
FISStafiEthereum0.45140.445972-1.20%0.4142-8.24%0.0548✓0.871922022-08-17
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.09875.0399-1.15%4.6577-8.65%0.0570✓1.00111k2022-08-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000015810.000015636-1.10%0.00001476-6.64%0.0371✓0.94827k2022-08-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.8895.8277-1.04%5.966+1.31%0.0294✗0.271.2M2022-08-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256380.025381-1.00%0.021964-14.33%0.1405✓0.19232k2022-08-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.47061.4572-0.91%1.4107-4.07%0.0114✓0.961.0M2022-08-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.18610.184408-0.91%0.1769-4.94%0.0195✓1.01140k2022-08-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.1024-0.86%9.4-7.75%0.0482✓1.09592k2022-08-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011540.011441-0.85%0.01086-5.89%0.0358✓0.755.8M2022-08-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.6140.2679-0.84%40.09-1.28%0.0194✗1.091.8M2022-08-17
GMTGMTEthereum1.0721.0633-0.81%0.967-9.79%0.0639✓1.42469k2022-08-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,010.1910,921.70-0.80%11,164.62+1.40%0.0510✗1.326.5M2022-08-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.4861-0.79%3.4712-1.22%0.0029✓0.331.7M2022-08-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0870410.086362-0.78%0.080115-7.96%0.0529✓1.011.8M2022-08-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.263.2349-0.77%2.92-10.43%0.0756✓1.22269k2022-08-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.72393.6957-0.76%3.8114+2.35%0.0414✗0.481.9M2022-08-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.091210.090533-0.74%0.0871-4.51%0.0136✓1.1529k2022-08-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,876.571,862.95-0.73%1,834.61-2.24%0.0135✗1.32534.1M2022-08-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9590.952128-0.72%0.928-3.23%0.0010✓1.221.3M2022-08-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.3220.1745-0.72%19.42-4.43%0.0233✓0.682.2M2022-08-17
FORTFortaEthereum0.30190.299754-0.71%0.294-2.62%0.0042✓1.07178k2022-08-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.30010.29798-0.71%0.2913-2.93%0.0026✓0.9281k2022-08-17
API3Api3Ethereum2.4092.3923-0.69%2.266-5.94%0.0337✓0.94680k2022-08-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.9158-0.69%4.94-0.20%0.0144✗0.431.2M2022-08-17
AAVEAaveEthereum109.79109.0343-0.69%100.14-8.79%0.0515✓1.536.4M2022-08-17
UMAUMAEthereum3.3343.3111-0.69%3.263-2.13%0.0037✓0.84696k2022-08-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8294-0.68%8.75-1.57%0.0020✓0.321.8M2022-08-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009710.00009644-0.68%0.0000951-2.06%0.0068✗0.95336k2022-08-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.3612.2767-0.67%11.36-8.09%0.0531✓1.12313k2022-08-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0185.9776-0.67%5.616-6.68%0.0602✓0.103.4M2022-08-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9670.96051-0.67%0.9842+1.78%0.0585✗1.56244k2022-08-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2440.242366-0.67%0.217-11.07%0.0855✓1.14696k2022-08-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.1126.9292-0.67%25.56-5.72%0.0228✓1.3430.5M2022-08-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10690.1062-0.65%0.1018-4.77%0.0201✓1.0110k2022-08-17
QNTQuantEthereum116.11115.3538-0.65%109.91-5.34%0.0304✓0.823.6M2022-08-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.840.834592-0.64%0.781-7.02%0.0460✓0.93280k2022-08-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.089960.089389-0.64%0.08598-4.42%0.0139✓1.142.4M2022-08-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.06960.069166-0.62%0.063-9.48%0.0708✓1.03253k2022-08-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.296.2511-0.62%6.3+0.16%0.0160✗0.371.4M2022-08-17
DODODODOEthereum0.16760.166567-0.62%0.159-5.13%0.0255✓0.962.3M2022-08-17
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18830.187143-0.61%0.1794-4.73%0.0067✗2.236712022-08-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017610.00175-0.61%0.00168-4.60%0.0247✓0.749,4152022-08-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5450.54166-0.61%0.515-5.50%0.0290✓0.9811k2022-08-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.082580.082076-0.61%0.07755-6.09%0.0399✓0.778802022-08-17
GITCOINGITCOIN3.30123.281-0.61%2.9261-11.36%0.0873✓1.2413k2022-08-17
QTUMQtumQtum4.01273.9883-0.61%4.012-0.02%0.0272✗0.9750k2022-08-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.25560.254046-0.61%0.241-5.71%0.0234✓1.34131k2022-08-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.18751.1803-0.61%1.2042+1.41%0.0448✗1.1313k2022-08-17
ZECZcashZcash75.9575.4891-0.61%74.22-2.28%0.0071✗1.102.1M2022-08-17
HIVEHivenative0.61150.607789-0.61%0.5961-2.52%0.0011✓0.942.1M2022-08-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159660.015869-0.61%0.015184-4.90%0.0306✓0.622.1M2022-08-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.12123.1023-0.60%3.0983-0.73%0.0101✗0.521.3M2022-08-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.4268.3754-0.60%8.193-2.77%0.0040✓0.839.5M2022-08-17
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002020.002008-0.59%0.001955-3.22%0.0049✓1.00901k2022-08-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.194.1652-0.59%4.144-1.10%0.0027✓0.361.6M2022-08-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9241.9126-0.59%1.854-3.64%0.0065✓1.12170k2022-08-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.45590.453225-0.59%0.4206-7.74%0.0505✓1.10190k2022-08-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0041010.004077-0.59%0.003936-4.02%0.0180✓0.781.0M2022-08-17
FLOWFlownative2.6852.6694-0.58%2.565-4.47%0.0119✓1.28873k2022-08-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046810.046539-0.58%0.04518-3.48%0.0123✓0.792,5822022-08-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07840.077948-0.58%0.0778-0.77%0.0236✗1.171.4M2022-08-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4168-0.58%1.36-4.56%0.0190✓1.002.5M2022-08-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04260.042355-0.57%0.0439+3.05%0.0571✗0.9776k2022-08-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.063831-0.57%0.0599-6.70%0.0409✓1.04877k2022-08-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.353420.351392-0.57%0.32972-6.71%0.0445✓0.88402k2022-08-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.146.1049-0.57%6.22+1.30%0.0276✗0.411.1M2022-08-17
XEMNEMnative0.0519690.051672-0.57%0.050295-3.22%0.0075✓0.8943k2022-08-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06880.068407-0.57%0.0662-3.78%0.0153✓0.80119k2022-08-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.39611.331-0.57%11.75+3.11%0.0613✗1.1413.2M2022-08-17
ADACardanoCardano0.55710.553944-0.57%0.5386-3.32%0.0057✓1.0243.6M2022-08-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.4538.4051-0.57%8.061-4.64%0.0182✓1.0820.0M2022-08-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,861.5023,726.83-0.56%23,298.30-2.36%0.0030✓0.977,5932022-08-17
KSMKusamaHydration56.0755.7544-0.56%54.77-2.32%0.0044✓1.02645k2022-08-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.7737.7301-0.55%7.38-5.06%0.0249✓0.985.4M2022-08-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.751.7404-0.55%1.61-8.00%0.0559✓1.00190k2022-08-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.07340.073002-0.54%0.0708-3.54%0.0052✓1.16331k2022-08-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.8839.664-0.54%40.29+1.03%0.0457✗1.3716.5M2022-08-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.6351.6262-0.54%1.7066+4.38%0.0761✗1.27598k2022-08-17
ELAElastosEthereum2.0612.0499-0.54%1.991-3.40%0.0075✓0.99181k2022-08-17
STEEMSteemnative0.270.268551-0.54%0.2756+2.07%0.0448✗0.86550k2022-08-17
DIADIAEthereum0.471920.469408-0.53%0.46051-2.42%0.0024✓0.7670k2022-08-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069370.0069-0.53%0.00675-2.70%0.0120✓0.4655k2022-08-17
MOVRMoonriverBase15.077914.9978-0.53%14.8272-1.66%0.0095✗0.9658k2022-08-17
XTZTezosTezos1.88871.8787-0.53%1.8847-0.21%0.0275✗1.11488k2022-08-17
METISMetisEthereum38.938.6942-0.53%38.79-0.28%0.0458✗1.98408k2022-08-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35260.350746-0.53%0.3408-3.35%0.0085✓0.928.3M2022-08-17
RADRadworksEthereum2.362.3476-0.53%2.37+0.42%0.0296✗0.92520k2022-08-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14370.142947-0.52%0.1381-3.90%0.0116✓1.0443k2022-08-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.870.865451-0.52%0.804-7.59%0.0426✓1.424.6M2022-08-17
RARESuperRareEthereum0.26360.262222-0.52%0.2486-5.69%0.0314✓1.00111k2022-08-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3620390.36016-0.52%0.348082-3.86%0.0113✓1.04962k2022-08-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.445.4118-0.52%5.52+1.47%0.0278✗0.372.0M2022-08-17
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3468.3028-0.52%7.961-4.61%0.0138✓1.2910.1M2022-08-17
DASHDashDash52.4652.1922-0.51%52.87+0.78%0.0341✗0.97595k2022-08-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.11380.11322-0.51%0.1091-4.13%0.0152✓1.00456k2022-08-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8180.813845-0.51%0.773-5.50%0.0312✓0.93357k2022-08-17
COMPCompoundEthereum61.0960.7798-0.51%58.31-4.55%0.0146✓1.2323k2022-08-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0246040.02448-0.50%0.023935-2.72%0.0048✓0.8113k2022-08-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.205968-0.50%0.1975-4.59%0.0188✓1.061,7402022-08-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025390.025264-0.50%0.02486-2.09%0.0026✓0.86271k2022-08-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0384.0179-0.50%3.89-3.67%0.0270✓0.242.1M2022-08-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.683.6618-0.49%3.505-4.76%0.0096✓1.565.3M2022-08-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.14891.1432-0.49%1.092-4.95%0.0321✓0.633.9M2022-08-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum1514.9259-0.49%15.74+4.93%0.0784✗1.162.6M2022-08-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2711.2648-0.49%1.218-4.17%0.0106✓1.241.1M2022-08-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13010.129462-0.49%0.1226-5.76%0.0307✓1.083.9M2022-08-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.710.706523-0.49%0.654-7.89%0.0512✓1.192,7912022-08-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.8398.796-0.49%8.372-5.28%0.0270✓1.0214.8M2022-08-17
SOLSolanaSolana43.0942.8802-0.49%40.55-5.89%0.0301✓1.1881.1M2022-08-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.3361.0321-0.49%60.52-1.32%0.0139✗1.0213.5M2022-08-17
XMRMoneroMonero169.61168.7977-0.48%168.3-0.77%0.0181✗0.961.2M2022-08-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.28531.2792-0.48%1.1821-8.03%0.0479✓1.416.4M2022-08-17
KCSKuCoinnative10.3910.3405-0.48%10.256-1.29%0.0132✗0.982.0M2022-08-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017530.017447-0.48%0.01808+3.14%0.0531✗0.79153k2022-08-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.16860.8778-0.47%59.922-2.04%0.0006✓0.69365k2022-08-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash136.34135.6951-0.47%133.83-1.84%0.0102✗1.105.1M2022-08-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17980.17895-0.47%0.1697-5.62%0.0296✓1.07616k2022-08-17
ZENHorizenBase20.1220.025-0.47%19.01-5.52%0.0272✓1.13121k2022-08-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15460.153874-0.47%0.1453-6.02%0.0439✓0.624.4M2022-08-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.44640.44431-0.47%0.4188-6.18%0.0317✓1.25255k2022-08-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.692520.689285-0.47%0.65284-5.73%0.0261✓1.2951k2022-08-17
XECeCashnative0.000044980.000044772-0.46%0.00004333-3.67%0.0136✓0.872.0M2022-08-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6512.6387-0.46%2.476-6.60%0.0258✓1.73144k2022-08-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33920.337629-0.46%0.3198-5.72%0.0331✓0.973.6M2022-08-17
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.47490.472724-0.46%0.4371-7.96%0.0487✓1.35211k2022-08-17
XVGVergenative0.004010.003992-0.46%0.00378-5.74%0.0319✓1.03554k2022-08-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6720.668924-0.46%0.643-4.32%0.0140✓1.17115k2022-08-17
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260012-0.45%0.2613+0.04%0.0052✗0.0159k2022-08-17
GTGateEthereum4.89324.8712-0.45%4.8449-0.99%0.0104✗0.72912k2022-08-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26450.263314-0.45%0.2535-4.16%0.0161✓1.0091k2022-08-17
BANDBandEthereum1.6751.6675-0.45%1.563-6.69%0.0364✓1.30520k2022-08-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.4635-0.44%1.4-4.76%0.0447✓-0.01124k2022-08-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.39850.396732-0.44%0.3741-6.12%0.0347✓1.10101k2022-08-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7522.7398-0.44%2.525-8.25%0.0564✓1.1564k2022-08-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0162.0071-0.44%1.899-5.80%0.0296✓1.18157k2022-08-17
CBKCobakEthereum1.15611.151-0.44%1.1115-3.86%0.0145✓0.9312k2022-08-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008280.008244-0.44%0.00794-4.11%0.0236✓0.641.6M2022-08-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05390.053665-0.44%0.0509-5.57%0.0313✓0.99220k2022-08-17
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085780.085408-0.43%0.0832-3.01%0.0211✓0.231.1M2022-08-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.27012.2603-0.43%2.2016-3.02%0.0033✓1.0538k2022-08-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.411.4039-0.43%1.37-2.84%0.0031✓1.261.2M2022-08-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9517.8737-0.42%16.88-5.96%0.0310✓1.201.7M2022-08-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.25351.2482-0.42%1.2119-3.32%0.0105✓0.8756k2022-08-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56770.565302-0.42%0.5401-4.86%0.0213✓1.11388k2022-08-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.125966-0.42%0.1214-4.03%0.0180✓0.86317k2022-08-17
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.942.9276-0.42%2.92-0.68%0.0089✗0.5296k2022-08-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052050.051832-0.42%0.05073-2.54%0.0061✓0.7016k2022-08-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169550.168845-0.42%0.15873-6.38%0.0345✓1.25250k2022-08-17
XLMStellarStellar0.121780.121279-0.41%0.121305-0.39%0.0195✗0.887.8M2022-08-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.408580.406898-0.41%0.38327-6.19%0.0399✓0.91446k2022-08-17
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031360.031231-0.41%0.0299-4.66%0.0152✓1.293,2032022-08-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.02211.018-0.40%0.9651-5.58%0.0273✓1.192.3M2022-08-17
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1976.1721-0.40%6.107-1.45%0.0185✗1.3312.6M2022-08-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.58970.58734-0.40%0.5653-4.14%0.0203✓0.82784k2022-08-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.355270.353863-0.40%0.34491-2.92%0.0027✓1.0514k2022-08-17
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.549-0.39%30.11-1.83%0.0058✗0.929.2M2022-08-17
XVSVenusEthereum5.965.9367-0.39%6+0.67%0.0334✗1.041.5M2022-08-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008540.008507-0.39%0.00814-4.68%0.0204✓1.08463k2022-08-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,857.9323,766.42-0.38%23,341.17-2.17%0.0038✓1.00482.6M2022-08-17
NANOnanopayBase1.02261.0187-0.38%0.97823-4.34%0.0244✓0.7477k2022-08-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0548020.054593-0.38%0.053519-2.34%0.0091✓0.4936k2022-08-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08110.080795-0.38%0.0793-2.22%0.0006✓0.82134k2022-08-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429220.427611-0.37%0.40986-4.51%0.0209✓0.9896k2022-08-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10240.102029-0.36%0.0997-2.64%0.0049✓0.83220k2022-08-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50470.502904-0.36%0.4701-6.86%0.0426✓1.1460k2022-08-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1230.122563-0.36%0.1209-1.71%0.0029✓0.764,2082022-08-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067670.006743-0.35%0.00652-3.66%0.0182✓0.713,2222022-08-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.70.697602-0.34%0.672-4.00%0.0109✓1.21135k2022-08-17
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21130.210593-0.33%0.1954-7.52%0.0437✓1.421,3972022-08-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.25075.2333-0.33%5.3011+0.96%0.0158✗0.14225k2022-08-17
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.97e-7-0.33%9.70e-7-3.00%0.0105✓0.7621k2022-08-17
PROPropyEthereum0.810.807438-0.32%0.78-3.70%0.0258✓0.40105k2022-08-17
STXStacksnative0.47620.474694-0.32%0.4567-4.09%0.0145✓1.10808k2022-08-17
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.67e-7-0.32%9.60e-7-1.03%0.0099✗0.785.4M2022-08-17
MANADecentralandEthereum1.02991.0267-0.31%0.96777-6.03%0.0384✓0.95623k2022-08-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.6088-0.31%3.413-5.72%0.0407✓0.69976k2022-08-17
SCSiacoinnative0.004760.004745-0.31%0.00468-1.68%0.0084✗1.02158k2022-08-17
OPTIMOptimism1.4541.4497-0.30%1.321-9.15%0.0510✓1.923.7M2022-08-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9670.964191-0.29%0.909-6.00%0.0484✓0.484.4M2022-08-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044375-0.28%0.0427-4.04%0.0185✓0.9111k2022-08-17
TRXTRONTron0.0697640.069603-0.23%0.068126-2.35%0.0081✓0.61182k2022-08-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027890.027829-0.22%0.02575-7.67%0.0568✓0.9514.3M2022-08-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3160.315356-0.20%0.303-4.11%0.0236✓0.751.0M2022-08-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.