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2022-08-08 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1654
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.4%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CVCCivicEthereum0.1630.162968-0.02%0.1548-5.03%0.0187✓1.17104k2022-08-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008365-0.06%0.00825-1.43%0.0073✗0.761.6M2022-08-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.84.7961-0.08%5.0218+4.62%0.0506✗0.17300k2022-08-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067160.006707-0.13%0.006485-3.43%0.0117✓0.784,5222022-08-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024866-0.14%0.0249+0.00%0.0167✗0.5546k2022-08-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060615-0.14%0.0589-2.97%0.0105✗1.40331k2022-08-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.36e-7-0.14%3.29e-7-2.21%0.0021✗0.82146k2022-08-09
TRXTRONTron0.0700470.069943-0.15%0.068465-2.26%0.0045✓0.60279k2022-08-09
GTGateEthereum4.90554.8975-0.16%4.7738-2.68%0.0042✓0.76887k2022-08-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0841.0822-0.16%1.018-6.09%0.0449✓0.582.7M2022-08-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.338441-0.17%0.328-3.24%0.0030✓1.011.1M2022-08-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2282-0.18%1.1689-5.00%0.0205✓1.0447k2022-08-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.228084-0.18%0.2261-1.05%0.0331✗1.5089k2022-08-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0700560.069928-0.18%0.069028-1.47%0.0185✗1.121.6M2022-08-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13170.131447-0.19%0.127-3.57%0.0047✓1.064,2082022-08-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0620.06188-0.19%0.0599-3.39%0.0047✗1.33185k2022-08-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6162.4829-0.20%59.18-5.48%0.0234✓1.1013.6M2022-08-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034330.003426-0.20%0.003356-2.24%0.0067✗0.98994k2022-08-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.54143.2417-0.21%134.7-6.16%0.0288✓1.174.8M2022-08-09
XVGVergenative0.003770.003762-0.22%0.00368-2.39%0.0134✗1.26517k2022-08-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429960.429015-0.22%0.43525+1.23%0.0459✗1.12124k2022-08-09
KCSKuCoinnative10.76710.7432-0.22%10.536-2.15%0.0109✗1.081.9M2022-08-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60871.6051-0.22%1.5258-5.15%0.0112✓1.41619k2022-08-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0235790.023526-0.22%0.022829-3.18%0.0036✓0.9512k2022-08-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00630.006286-0.23%0.006181-1.89%0.0014✓0.5549k2022-08-09
STEEMSteemnative0.26240.261782-0.24%0.2508-4.42%0.0121✓1.10701k2022-08-09
QTUMQtumQtum4.16564.1557-0.24%4.0145-3.63%0.0047✓1.0757k2022-08-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,815.6523,758.76-0.24%23,158.27-2.76%0.0024✓1.00427.9M2022-08-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36290.362033-0.24%0.3452-4.88%0.0177✓1.078.3M2022-08-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99752.9903-0.24%2.8368-5.36%0.0289✓0.851.2M2022-08-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.8185-0.24%8.51-3.73%0.0260✓0.341.8M2022-08-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05170.051574-0.24%0.0475-8.12%0.0476✓1.2410k2022-08-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26240.261757-0.25%0.2512-4.27%0.0089✓1.1597k2022-08-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0189740.018927-0.25%0.020161+6.26%0.0708✗0.28194k2022-08-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010440.010414-0.25%0.00987-5.46%0.0279✓0.925.3M2022-08-09
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045775-0.25%0.0000434-5.43%0.0237✓1.061.8M2022-08-09
NANOnanopayBase1.08431.0816-0.25%1.0376-4.31%0.0165✓0.8956k2022-08-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7740.771988-0.26%0.81+4.65%0.0834✗1.26963k2022-08-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.17391.1708-0.26%1.1451-2.45%0.0093✗1.1313k2022-08-09
PROPropyEthereum0.790.787908-0.26%0.78-1.27%0.0063✗0.5983k2022-08-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.046.0237-0.27%5.85-3.15%0.0129✓0.59887k2022-08-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004740.004727-0.28%0.00451-4.85%0.0119✓1.25102k2022-08-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14470.144275-0.29%0.1365-5.67%0.0219✓1.2059k2022-08-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.347-0.29%1.294-4.22%0.0055✓1.241.1M2022-08-09
XTZTezosTezos1.8941.8884-0.29%1.8057-4.66%0.0115✓1.19536k2022-08-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12670.126324-0.30%0.1232-2.76%0.0026✓0.99370k2022-08-09
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.87e-7-0.30%9.70e-7-2.02%0.0059✗0.836.0M2022-08-09
FTTFTXEthereum31.4931.3965-0.30%29.88-5.11%0.0233✓0.949.1M2022-08-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.31762.1293-0.30%59.719-4.17%0.0176✓0.78321k2022-08-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.16481.1612-0.30%1.1054-5.10%0.0192✓1.0712k2022-08-09
XMRMoneroMonero167.1166.5916-0.30%158.78-4.98%0.0182✓1.061.1M2022-08-09
ZENHorizenBase19.1519.0912-0.31%19.92+4.02%0.0786✗1.29118k2022-08-09
UMAUMAEthereum3.0523.0425-0.31%2.945-3.51%0.0039✓1.02587k2022-08-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012251-0.31%0.00001205-1.95%0.0143✗1.10898k2022-08-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017640.001758-0.32%0.001657-6.07%0.0324✓0.968,8902022-08-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.4334-0.32%1.365-5.08%0.0149✓1.222.5M2022-08-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.993.9773-0.32%4.387+9.95%0.1214✗0.83976k2022-08-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.694778-0.32%0.67-3.87%0.0012✓1.3491k2022-08-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.545-0.32%1.53-1.29%0.0026✓0.26186k2022-08-09
DASHDashDash56.2256.0387-0.32%52.97-5.78%0.0261✓1.08552k2022-08-09
ADACardanoCardano0.53720.535456-0.32%0.513-4.50%0.0107✓1.1540.5M2022-08-09
XYMSymbolnative0.057250.057062-0.33%0.055293-3.42%0.0153✓0.5827k2022-08-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34740.346256-0.33%0.3286-5.41%0.0205✓1.143.6M2022-08-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22820.227448-0.33%0.2183-4.34%0.0013✓1.421,2762022-08-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161310.016077-0.33%0.015341-4.90%0.0238✓0.822.1M2022-08-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1254.1112-0.33%4.013-2.72%0.0107✓0.481.9M2022-08-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.175850.175261-0.33%0.17382-1.15%0.0340✗1.51217k2022-08-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7074.6908-0.34%4.564-3.04%0.0148✓0.451.2M2022-08-09
APEApeCoinEthereum7.3147.2887-0.35%7.024-3.96%0.0070✗1.5711.9M2022-08-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05430.054111-0.35%0.0538-0.92%0.0283✗1.22254k2022-08-09
API3Api3Ethereum2.1412.1335-0.35%1.96-8.45%0.0533✓1.12595k2022-08-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8940.890852-0.35%0.954+6.71%0.1012✗1.17253k2022-08-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17590.175276-0.35%0.1697-3.52%0.0002✓1.15529k2022-08-09
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8682-0.36%1.767-5.76%0.0164✓1.40371k2022-08-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.331070.329857-0.37%0.3489+5.39%0.0840✗0.99383k2022-08-09
IMXImmutableEthereum1.21331.2088-0.37%1.1074-8.73%0.0493✓1.371.8M2022-08-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7670.76417-0.37%0.716-6.65%0.0247✓1.44135k2022-08-09
XEMNEMnative0.0524760.052282-0.37%0.049307-6.04%0.0284✓1.0837k2022-08-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7211.6766-0.37%11.36-3.07%0.0063✗1.21279k2022-08-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2769.2413-0.37%8.902-4.03%0.0046✓1.1711.6M2022-08-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,846.6023,757.07-0.38%23,209.60-2.67%0.0042✗0.9812k2022-08-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27330.272272-0.38%0.2601-4.83%0.0159✓1.0765k2022-08-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.369410.368005-0.38%0.35509-3.88%0.0006✓1.2513k2022-08-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10380.103404-0.38%0.0977-5.88%0.0248✓1.146,7662022-08-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.067736-0.39%0.0642-5.59%0.0190✓1.24803k2022-08-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017630.017561-0.39%0.0175-0.74%0.0178✗0.76172k2022-08-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03320.03307-0.39%0.03156-4.94%0.0142✓1.1614k2022-08-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.715.6875-0.39%5.51-3.50%0.0174✓0.511.1M2022-08-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3852.3756-0.40%2.2956-3.75%0.0019✓1.1638k2022-08-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009110.009073-0.40%0.00871-4.39%0.0073✓1.20450k2022-08-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6262.6154-0.40%2.539-3.31%0.0043✓0.9092k2022-08-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260341-0.41%0.2613-0.04%0.0040✓0.0132k2022-08-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.9997-0.41%4.82-3.98%0.0199✓0.601.3M2022-08-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66570.662998-0.41%0.6234-6.35%0.0316✓1.07726k2022-08-09
SOLSolanaSolana42.242.028-0.41%40.35-4.38%0.0032✓1.3479.4M2022-08-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.053.0376-0.41%2.87-5.90%0.0429✓0.49110k2022-08-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.6943-0.41%8.044-7.86%0.0503✓0.985.1M2022-08-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196530.195723-0.41%0.19092-2.85%0.0386✗2.271,0642022-08-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011920.001187-0.41%0.001479+24.06%0.2530✗1.191.3M2022-08-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6078.5716-0.41%8.75+1.66%0.0544✗1.2117.7M2022-08-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47040.468458-0.41%0.4499-4.36%0.0045✓1.28165k2022-08-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00822.9957-0.42%2.8956-3.74%0.0073✗1.4713k2022-08-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47733.4626-0.42%3.2816-5.63%0.0329✓0.741.7M2022-08-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1301560.129605-0.42%0.122043-6.23%0.0329✓0.977.0M2022-08-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.08922-0.42%0.0881-1.67%0.0184✗1.11126k2022-08-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.15260.151951-0.43%0.1457-4.52%0.0140✓1.001.1M2022-08-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21153.1978-0.43%3.0659-4.53%0.0242✓0.641.2M2022-08-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5533-0.43%1.43-8.33%0.0439✓1.391.2M2022-08-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085570.085204-0.43%0.08598+0.48%0.0448✗1.2829k2022-08-09
HIVEHivenative0.60640.603783-0.43%0.6067+0.05%0.0361✗1.122.1M2022-08-09
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08551.0808-0.43%1.0198-6.06%0.0233✓1.24543k2022-08-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.698950.695879-0.44%0.66521-4.83%0.0041✓1.4669k2022-08-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046444-0.44%0.04464-4.31%0.0138✓0.922,4562022-08-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3631040.361495-0.44%0.344184-5.21%0.0152✓1.21987k2022-08-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086290.085907-0.44%0.08946+3.67%0.0482✗0.271.1M2022-08-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,777.361,769.45-0.45%1,703.35-4.16%0.0012✓1.32427.7M2022-08-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18040.179595-0.45%0.1714-4.99%0.0136✓1.183.1M2022-08-09
STXStacksnative0.50850.50623-0.45%0.4778-6.04%0.0239✓1.21892k2022-08-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8350.831273-0.45%0.808-3.23%0.0026✓0.92377k2022-08-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.11990.119359-0.45%0.1129-5.84%0.0225✓1.18566k2022-08-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46590.463792-0.45%0.4317-7.34%0.0290✓1.53207k2022-08-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.06621.0614-0.45%1.0382-2.63%0.0083✗1.08907k2022-08-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04540.045193-0.46%0.0428-5.73%0.0224✓1.1477k2022-08-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422030.420098-0.46%0.40504-4.03%0.0010✓1.27488k2022-08-09
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7918.7504-0.46%8.439-4.00%0.0022✓1.379.9M2022-08-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16621.1608-0.46%1.1027-5.45%0.0290✓0.804.1M2022-08-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.625.5938-0.47%5.26-6.41%0.0466✓0.532.1M2022-08-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.044.0211-0.47%3.927-2.80%0.0076✓0.581.6M2022-08-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.95e-7-0.47%9.70e-7-3.00%0.0055✓0.7224k2022-08-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.7416.6614-0.47%15.57-6.99%0.0297✓1.362.6M2022-08-09
AAVEAaveEthereum102.58102.0983-0.47%97.96-4.50%0.0040✓1.629.1M2022-08-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.166611-0.47%0.1765+5.44%0.0813✗0.843.6M2022-08-09
DIADIAEthereum0.482930.480618-0.48%0.48156-0.28%0.0211✗0.6968k2022-08-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6718.5806-0.48%17.58-5.84%0.0187✓1.311.4M2022-08-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.9227.7849-0.48%27.43-1.76%0.0302✗1.5430.5M2022-08-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60880.605689-0.51%0.5918-2.79%0.0092✗1.16303k2022-08-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8405-0.51%1.71-7.57%0.0383✓1.26130k2022-08-09
KSMKusamaHydration64.664.2664-0.52%60.26-6.72%0.0324✓1.14462k2022-08-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.023.0042-0.52%2.89-4.30%0.0011✓1.42234k2022-08-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8892.8738-0.53%2.702-6.47%0.0113✓1.80131k2022-08-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4982.4846-0.54%2.337-6.45%0.0242✓1.32169k2022-08-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5610.557988-0.54%0.5163-7.97%0.0417✓1.29232k2022-08-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8980.893084-0.55%0.856-4.68%0.0051✓1.704.3M2022-08-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9440.938825-0.55%0.949+0.53%0.0559✗1.61462k2022-08-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.81711.7516-0.55%11.389-3.62%0.0049✓1.3014.4M2022-08-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5530.549938-0.55%0.519-6.15%0.0266✓1.1213k2022-08-09
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0161.6657-0.56%59.24-4.47%0.0025✓1.3435k2022-08-09
FISStafiEthereum0.37330.371193-0.56%–pending––0.911602022-08-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.8421.7162-0.57%20.57-5.82%0.0331✓0.752.6M2022-08-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.230.228684-0.57%0.219-4.78%0.0040✓1.40703k2022-08-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.31260.310811-0.57%0.3038-2.82%0.0079✗1.10300k2022-08-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035130.034929-0.57%0.03215-8.48%0.0464✓1.3013.9M2022-08-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099290.000098716-0.58%0.00009678-2.53%0.0341✗1.93421k2022-08-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42811.4198-0.58%1.2926-9.49%0.0515✓1.516.4M2022-08-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.0637.8374-0.58%36.4-4.36%0.0011✓1.4213.5M2022-08-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002240.002227-0.59%0.00214-4.46%0.0118✓1.001.3M2022-08-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07370.073265-0.59%0.0712-3.39%0.0020✓0.95158k2022-08-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08260.082111-0.59%0.0811-1.82%0.0197✗1.151.4M2022-08-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2598.2099-0.59%7.825-5.25%0.0149✓1.186.5M2022-08-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,448.8111,379.34-0.61%11,188.01-2.28%0.0219✗1.395.3M2022-08-09
ELAElastosEthereum2.062.0474-0.61%2.101+1.99%0.0556✗1.06238k2022-08-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0582.0453-0.62%2.032-1.26%0.0322✗1.38234k2022-08-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.57960.575932-0.63%0.5171-10.78%0.0767✓1.1148k2022-08-09
ZECZcashZcash77.5377.0342-0.64%79.81+2.94%0.0703✗1.251.9M2022-08-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.0429.8444-0.65%39.35+30.99%0.3163✗1.421.2M2022-08-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0954.0683-0.65%3.812-6.91%0.0178✓1.695.2M2022-08-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.92.8805-0.67%2.744-5.38%0.0100✓1.3850k2022-08-09
QNTQuantEthereum128.79127.8975-0.69%125.81-2.31%0.0092✗0.924.5M2022-08-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98750.98064-0.69%0.9531-3.48%0.0197✗1.72296k2022-08-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052690.052321-0.70%0.05077-3.64%0.0060✓0.8617k2022-08-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0315.987-0.73%6.461+7.13%0.0876✗0.413.0M2022-08-09
METISMetisEthereum45.6345.2949-0.73%42.65-6.53%0.0083✓1.85304k2022-08-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033330.033081-0.75%0.03179-4.62%0.0035✓1.301,3552022-08-09
XVSVenusEthereum6.926.8632-0.82%6.51-5.92%0.0176✓1.261.4M2022-08-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.742.716-0.88%2.63-4.01%0.0008✓1.12636k2022-08-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.1910.1005-0.88%10.31+1.18%0.0583✗1.35436k2022-08-09
MOVRMoonriverBase19.466619.2881-0.92%17.0389-12.47%0.0929✓1.1153k2022-08-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14910.147662-0.96%0.1396-6.37%0.0173✓1.393.0M2022-08-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.112720.111489-1.09%0.10285-8.76%0.0392✓1.481.4M2022-08-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.51110.505276-1.14%0.4453-12.87%0.0940✓1.1680k2022-08-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0290.028668-1.15%0.02632-9.24%0.0586✓0.96159k2022-08-09
OPTIMOptimism1.8991.8725-1.40%1.618-14.80%0.0921✓1.933.1M2022-08-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.26770.263801-1.46%0.236-11.84%0.0760✓1.261,5612022-08-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8410.826428-1.73%0.763-9.27%0.0402✓1.422,7022022-08-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.089650.088085-1.75%0.0825-7.98%0.0443✓0.768502022-08-09
FLOWFlownative3.0232.9625-2.00%2.997-0.86%0.0478✗1.30540k2022-08-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15450.149369-3.32%0.1336-13.53%0.0879✓0.84184k2022-08-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.