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2022-08-04 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1811
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.80%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
45.4%
in alpha space · 8.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.548056+0.49%0.5836+7.00%0.0284✓1.14333k2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.06751+0.23%0.069799+3.63%0.0022✓1.171.7M2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.054+0.19%10.44+4.04%0.0042✓1.102.0M2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069022+0.06%0.069837+1.24%0.0093✗0.69345k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073326+0.03%0.0745+1.64%0.0177✗1.111.1M2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.156108+0.00%0.164+5.06%0.0120✓1.23107k2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008219-0.01%0.00843+2.55%0.0021✓0.901.6M2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001657-0.01%0.001677+1.21%0.0192✓1.039,0682022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.159962-0.02%0.17777+11.11%0.0590✗1.53212k2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.1328-0.02%30.76+5.56%0.0256✗0.9510.0M2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.313289-0.03%0.32566+3.92%0.0046✗1.12396k2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1498-0.03%1.196+3.98%0.0075✗1.0543k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006142-0.06%0.006334+3.06%0.0050✗0.857,1222022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.726551-0.06%0.758+4.26%0.0023✓1.47121k2022-08-05
DASHDashDash49.449.3671-0.07%52.4+6.07%0.0264✗1.10574k2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097434-0.07%0.1005+3.08%0.0055✓1.207,1482022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.59e-7-0.07%9.80e-7+2.08%0.0041✓0.846.4M2022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004537-0.07%0.0047+3.52%0.0043✓1.31112k2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739448-0.07%0.74+0.00%0.0174✓0.6079k2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,606.91-0.08%23,320.81+3.08%0.0008✓1.00427.9M2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.47370.473299-0.08%0.4918+3.82%0.0008✓1.24808k2022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.332711-0.09%0.337+1.20%0.0187✓1.041.1M2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.554.5457-0.09%4.7375+4.12%0.0187✗0.75920k2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059243-0.10%0.061+2.87%0.0131✓1.39172k2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34134.1955-0.11%141.93+5.65%0.0197✗1.204.6M2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.113797-0.11%0.118541+4.06%0.0108✗0.996.9M2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.99133-0.11%1.0756+8.38%0.0422✗1.30532k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.737164-0.11%0.753+2.03%0.0156✓1.21968k2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003770.003765-0.13%0.00385+2.12%0.0170✓1.30551k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero159.25159.0238-0.14%161.87+1.65%0.0159✓1.111.2M2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.2925-0.16%18.43+6.41%0.0217✗1.38116k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.138977-0.16%0.1507+8.26%0.0522✗0.953.6M2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9527-0.16%4.0794+3.04%0.0014✓1.0945k2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.2739-0.16%69.15+7.41%0.0352✗1.251.6M2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0787-0.16%8.81+8.87%0.0497✗1.2211.0M2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.7191-0.17%18.43+3.83%0.0003✓1.311.3M2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003063-0.18%0.003213+4.69%0.0176✗0.991.0M2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.595394-0.19%0.6718+12.62%0.0861✗1.14690k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.5359-0.19%62.49+4.76%0.0134✗1.1513.6M2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.248024-0.19%0.2612+5.11%0.0147✗1.22101k2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.199115-0.19%0.2201+10.33%0.0578✗1.401,2762022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.7443-0.20%40.54+4.43%0.0039✗1.3781.1M2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015564-0.20%0.016324+4.67%0.0206✗0.892.1M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.22584-0.20%0.2419+6.89%0.0242✗1.4787k2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.989-0.22%4.9519-0.96%0.0128✓0.17219k2022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011824-0.22%0.00001212+2.28%0.0131✓1.25951k2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0128-0.23%1.0527+3.70%0.0100✗0.9460k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072933-0.23%0.0739+1.09%0.0089✓0.73159k2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.498523-0.24%0.5176+3.58%0.0011✓1.2040.5M2022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.1266-0.24%0.1296+2.13%0.0068✓1.004,7012022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042838-0.24%0.00004553+6.03%0.0259✗1.161.9M2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217476-0.24%0.228+4.59%0.0014✓1.51782k2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048083-0.24%0.0495+2.70%0.0104✓1.307,5232022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4091-0.24%2.47+2.28%0.0021✓0.89110k2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.335277-0.24%0.3589+6.78%0.0338✗1.138.2M2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4983-0.25%1.6+6.52%0.0233✗1.40594k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.116512-0.25%0.1255+7.45%0.0417✗1.08370k2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008977-0.26%0.00904+0.44%0.0318✓1.28387k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.119889-0.26%0.131+8.99%0.0470✗1.372.9M2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.418407-0.27%0.42795+2.00%0.0193✓1.38583k2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.184-0.27%2.3513+7.37%0.0374✗1.2032k2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,433.94-0.27%23,205.30+3.16%0.0041✗0.9813k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.403223-0.27%0.42676+5.55%0.0206✗1.19107k2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030296-0.28%0.03111+2.40%0.0130✓1.301,4012022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.328088-0.28%0.4379+33.10%0.2545✗1.1377k2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061428-0.28%0.0624+1.30%0.0277✓1.43350k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.7022-0.28%38.27+9.97%0.0552✗1.4011.4M2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043736-0.28%0.04533+3.35%0.0073✗0.942,0262022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054106-0.29%0.055256+1.83%0.0034✗0.5825k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5883-0.30%2.752+6.01%0.0081✗1.75109k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021067-0.30%0.02241+6.06%0.0310✗1.02159k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3417-0.30%7.878+6.98%0.0326✗1.2516.9M2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9699-0.30%4.154+4.32%0.0193✗0.86922k2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109265-0.31%0.1139+3.92%0.0035✗1.25505k2022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.339167-0.31%0.358859+5.48%0.0179✗1.271.0M2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7196-0.31%2.845+4.29%0.0017✓1.4349k2022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.251422-0.31%0.2623+4.00%0.0071✗1.16768k2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.9309-0.31%63.5+3.89%0.0057✗1.17379k2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,603.18-0.31%1,736.79+8.00%0.0413✗1.28407.7M2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.329573-0.31%0.3403+2.93%0.0033✓1.173.5M2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8176-0.32%3.946+3.03%0.0120✗0.691.5M2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.972-0.34%3.047+2.18%0.0090✓1.12591k2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017521-0.34%0.01819+3.47%0.0126✗0.82193k2022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.47e-7-0.34%9.90e-7+4.21%0.0143✗1.0025k2022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006677-0.35%0.006749+0.73%0.0048✓0.5140k2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.55e-7-0.35%3.48e-7-2.33%0.0499✓0.99164k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2924-0.35%1.35+4.09%0.0059✗1.241.1M2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134218-0.36%0.1383+2.67%0.0086✓1.2761k2022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.2858-0.36%24.97+6.85%0.0219✗1.5826.1M2022-08-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002181-0.37%0.002227+1.74%0.0095✓1.001.4M2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085087-0.37%0.0907+6.21%0.0290✗1.15126k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.259639-0.37%0.2713+4.11%0.0102✗1.1165k2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8181-0.37%1.8665+2.28%0.0122✓1.27530k2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.437166-0.37%0.4587+4.54%0.0032✓1.48278k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.0443-0.37%62.05+2.96%0.0076✗0.83321k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.32-0.38%10.966+5.86%0.0196✗1.3513.7M2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009752-0.39%0.0103+5.21%0.0279✗0.885.1M2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4643-0.39%1.51+2.72%0.0120✓1.411.2M2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.5788-0.39%15.3166+4.65%0.0146✗1.1558k2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001084-0.39%0.001125+3.36%0.0007✓1.241.3M2022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085064-0.41%0.08643+1.19%0.0077✗0.271.1M2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.66321-0.41%0.69514+4.39%0.0012✓1.5188k2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.076615-0.41%0.07814+1.57%0.0025✓0.739772022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053479-0.41%0.0559+4.10%0.0054✗1.28284k2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7956-0.42%6.06+4.12%0.0241✗0.68746k2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.077-0.42%3.17+2.59%0.0148✗0.49109k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.41444-0.42%0.438+5.24%0.0154✗1.31127k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066414-0.43%0.0689+3.30%0.0082✗0.94183k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7474-0.43%1.831+4.33%0.0033✓1.43341k2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7123-0.43%8.9+1.71%0.0065✗0.491.8M2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.795538-0.43%0.833+4.26%0.0151✗1.02377k2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8272-0.44%3.911+1.74%0.0039✓0.581.9M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.90499-0.44%0.939+3.30%0.0166✓1.76496k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4016-0.44%6.65+3.42%0.0041✓1.391.2M2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0293-0.45%1.0748+3.96%0.0084✗1.151.0M2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048881-0.45%0.05101+3.89%0.0158✗0.8915k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3226-0.45%1.4417+8.51%0.0409✗1.495.6M2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5151-0.45%5.7+2.89%0.0150✗0.59873k2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3495.907-0.45%103.27+7.19%0.0238✗1.6610.2M2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7885-0.45%17.22+8.58%0.0441✗1.412.5M2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.7459-0.45%61.31+9.48%0.0530✗1.3935k2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.682869-0.46%0.708+3.21%0.0062✓1.4088k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.778412-0.46%0.848+8.44%0.0491✗1.20225k2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020431-0.46%0.020288-1.15%0.0198✓0.42167k2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2417-0.46%2.333+3.60%0.0022✓1.39172k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.2165-0.46%0.2306+6.02%0.0234✗1.311,5612022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.564-0.47%5.69+1.79%0.0038✓0.611.4M2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8075-0.47%5.02+3.93%0.0220✗0.701.3M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.692-0.47%1.77+4.12%0.0050✗1.32122k2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.163428-0.47%0.1787+8.83%0.0517✗1.24518k2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.454892-0.48%0.47865+4.72%0.0278✗0.7668k2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022341-0.48%0.023038+2.63%0.0015✓0.9611k2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5724-0.48%1.58+0.00%0.0042✓0.30242k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1075-0.49%1.1532+3.62%0.0069✗1.1111k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.233-0.49%107.26+3.39%0.0083✗0.994.2M2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7585-0.49%4.061+7.52%0.0246✗1.745.0M2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7757-0.49%8.972+1.73%0.0201✓1.399.9M2022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0515-0.50%8.341+3.08%0.0036✓1.042.5M2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.360981-0.50%0.3677+1.35%0.0211✓1.3013k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3919-0.51%1.432+2.36%0.0103✓1.282.6M2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.0132-0.51%12.03+8.67%0.0519✗1.20263k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.939-0.51%8.382+5.04%0.0173✗1.227.0M2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9569-0.51%2.025+2.95%0.0086✓1.41266k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.172003-0.52%0.1844+6.65%0.0325✗1.223.5M2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049948-0.52%0.052815+5.19%0.0195✗1.2035k2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4669-0.53%2.51+1.21%0.0153✓1.08507k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062666-0.53%0.0674+6.98%0.0339✗1.28802k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034784-0.53%0.03628+3.75%0.0016✓1.4413.9M2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.080467-0.54%0.08336+3.04%0.0098✓1.49871k2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1212-0.54%1.1864+5.24%0.0149✗1.371.4M2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.58130.578152-0.54%0.5908+1.63%0.0143✓1.181.8M2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3964-0.55%7.573+1.83%0.0289✓1.7313.1M2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5904-0.56%4.72+2.25%0.0108✗0.561.4M2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.841158-0.57%0.875+3.43%0.0133✓1.744.6M2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.187782-0.58%0.19602+3.79%0.0272✓2.311,1512022-08-05
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.9068-0.59%1.946+1.46%0.0395✓1.972.8M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3522-0.59%3.4602+2.61%0.0047✓0.891.4M2022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.9002-0.59%3.0096+3.16%0.0073✗0.981.2M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0442-0.60%1.0569+0.61%0.0197✓1.0513k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8031-0.60%3.073+69.40%0.5140✗0.63206k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032115-0.60%0.03358+3.93%0.0072✗1.2314k2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.1003-0.63%3.17+1.60%0.0238✓1.52211k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041832-0.64%0.0451+7.13%0.0380✗1.2376k2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.300075-0.64%0.3054+1.13%0.0162✓1.11300k2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2062-0.64%1.159-4.53%0.0597✓0.651.9M2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.085597-0.64%0.0866+0.52%0.0297✓1.3629k2022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.554398-0.65%0.57+2.15%0.0070✓1.1414k2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.780895-0.65%0.824+4.83%0.0096✗1.463,1392022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1639-0.67%3.1425-1.35%0.0542✓1.5612k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.143694-0.70%0.1459+0.83%0.0176✓1.08907k2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.7912-0.71%32.59+16.43%0.1181✗1.36946k2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,570.30-0.72%12,281.30+15.35%0.1068✗1.424.5M2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.2063-0.75%2.195-1.26%0.0437✓1.27626k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.0115-0.75%0.9869-3.17%0.0766✓1.71241k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1175-0.77%3.2379+3.07%0.0147✗0.761.1M2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098486-0.77%0.00010097+1.73%0.0370✓2.04516k2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1157-0.78%5.341+3.59%0.0271✗0.532.4M2022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.572936-0.81%0.5694-1.42%0.0479✓1.38234k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.258991-0.81%0.2615+0.15%0.0093✗0.0129k2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.4308-0.88%21.35-1.25%0.0294✓0.842.4M2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1738-0.97%1.1895+0.35%0.0131✓0.874.1M2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.0966-1.12%10.63+15.54%0.1137✗1.39334k2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.560424-1.28%0.5966+5.09%0.0287✗1.1146k2022-08-05
METISMetisEthereum46.0145.2832-1.58%47.65+3.56%0.0043✓1.82266k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative2.62.5477-2.01%2.732+5.08%0.0316✗1.26448k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.