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2022-08-03 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1566
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.30%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
30.8%
in alpha space · 41.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.88%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.4605-2.51%9.2-14.26%0.1162✓1.38334k2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.9715-1.08%1.918-3.76%0.0101✓1.972.4M2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.7599-1.00%21.62-1.64%0.0011✓0.852.2M2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.99449-0.82%1.0192+1.65%0.0397✗1.72211k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000099193-0.78%0.00009925-0.72%0.0186✗2.04536k2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,642.40-0.77%10,646.82-0.73%0.0130✗1.424.4M2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.2411-0.75%3.1416-3.79%0.0244✓0.761.1M2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.438-0.73%27.99+1.27%0.0319✗1.36773k2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.5960.591658-0.73%0.5813-2.47%0.0072✓1.181.5M2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4522-0.72%2.48+0.40%0.0208✗1.08398k2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0242.0096-0.71%1.967-2.82%0.0089✓1.41255k2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.041008-0.71%0.0421+1.94%0.0371✗1.2376k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.087094-0.70%0.08615-1.78%0.0012✓1.3629k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.037234-0.68%0.03497-6.72%0.0500✓1.4413.9M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.316151-0.68%0.302-5.12%0.0360✓1.11294k2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.9489-0.64%5.156+3.51%0.0457✗0.532.2M2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.775-0.64%0.786+0.77%0.0270✗1.453,6872022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.537671-0.63%0.5776+6.75%0.0840✗1.40222k2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.338-0.62%15.86-3.53%0.0173✓1.412.3M2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.080731-0.59%0.0809-0.38%0.0153✗1.49786k2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.855-0.58%8.819-0.99%0.0082✗1.399.8M2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1186-0.57%1.214+7.91%0.0877✗0.651.8M2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0313-0.57%1.0505+1.28%0.0277✗1.0513k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0878.0416-0.56%8.092+0.06%0.0155✗1.042.4M2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022927-0.56%0.022448-2.64%0.0126✓0.9611k2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.187021-0.54%0.18887+0.44%0.0303✗2.311,1512022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.3398-0.53%3.3721+0.43%0.0175✗0.891.3M2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.13-0.53%7.437+3.75%0.0575✗1.7312.2M2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9867-0.52%2.223+11.32%0.1236✗1.27626k2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum105.18104.6363-0.52%103.74-1.37%0.0002✓0.994.2M2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7902-0.51%5.54-4.81%0.0389✓0.59873k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.811818-0.51%0.846+3.68%0.0566✗1.744.8M2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.8213-0.50%7.98+1.51%0.0309✗1.227.0M2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.085.0545-0.50%4.83-4.92%0.0392✓0.701.3M2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0291-0.50%1.1853+14.60%0.1490✗0.883.9M2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.049046-0.50%0.05021+1.86%0.0340✗1.2035k2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6916-0.50%3.777+1.81%0.0383✗1.745.0M2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.463344-0.49%0.45707-1.84%0.0069✓0.7668k2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.3984-0.49%5.59-13.06%0.1297✓0.611.4M2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7655.4871-0.49%56+0.43%0.0215✗1.3934k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.514496-0.48%0.558+7.93%0.0913✗1.1513k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.054337-0.48%0.0537-1.65%0.0005✓1.28284k2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.347538-0.48%0.36281+3.89%0.0546✗1.3113k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,734.29-0.48%22,495.20-1.53%0.0019✓0.9814k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3276-0.48%1.3286-0.40%0.0140✗1.506.4M2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01781.013-0.47%1.0339+1.58%0.0306✗1.151.1M2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.786284-0.47%0.782-1.01%0.0052✗1.20225k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067881-0.47%0.0667-2.20%0.0092✓0.94229k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1005-0.46%1.1129+0.66%0.0210✗1.1111k2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0785-0.46%1.1273+4.05%0.0564✗1.371.4M2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5131-0.45%1.58+3.95%0.0459✗0.30221k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4011-0.45%6.43+0.00%0.0168✗1.391.2M2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.133199-0.45%0.1447+8.15%0.0924✗1.09779k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2359-0.45%2.252+0.27%0.0194✗1.38177k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.170035-0.45%0.1729+1.23%0.0275✗1.223.5M2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077933-0.44%0.07693-1.72%0.0065✓0.731,0202022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.031132-0.44%0.03231+3.33%0.0481✗1.2314k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1561-0.44%3.09-2.52%0.0168✓0.49102k2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7911-0.44%1.814+0.83%0.0183✗0.64189k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.5085-0.43%8.75-8.38%0.0788✓0.491.7M2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048131-0.43%0.0491+1.57%0.0278✗0.8915k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.4587-0.43%4.616+3.08%0.0397✗0.561.3M2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260078-0.43%0.2611-0.04%0.0040✓0.0129k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7264-0.43%3.1854+16.34%0.1694✗1.5612k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019865-0.42%0.020525+2.89%0.0364✗0.42165k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.901186-0.42%0.909+0.44%0.0243✗1.77513k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.00667-0.42%0.0067+0.03%0.0090✗0.5239k2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9651-0.42%5.82-2.84%0.0186✓0.68725k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.8101-0.42%3.844+0.47%0.0140✗0.591.9M2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3534-0.41%1.399+2.94%0.0445✗1.282.5M2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.206151-0.41%0.2175+5.07%0.0651✗1.311,6972022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087651-0.41%0.08541-2.95%0.0236✓0.261.1M2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7987-0.40%3.12+11.03%0.1221✗1.52198k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009721-0.40%0.00979+0.31%0.0149✗0.885.0M2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9794.5922-0.40%96.34+1.44%0.0330✗1.6610.2M2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.158172-0.40%0.1642+3.40%0.0484✗1.24508k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030678-0.39%0.03038-1.36%0.0017✓1.301,3502022-08-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002246-0.39%0.002189-2.93%0.0169✓1.001.5M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.7783-0.39%11.07+2.31%0.0373✗1.20259k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.76e-7-0.38%9.50e-7-3.06%0.0184✓1.0025k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.08577-0.38%0.0854-0.81%0.0059✗1.15128k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.258836-0.37%0.2606+0.31%0.0167✗1.1265k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4659-0.37%2.415-2.42%0.0130✓0.89110k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6624-0.36%2.596-2.84%0.0098✓1.75109k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.764245-0.36%0.799+4.17%0.0535✗1.02377k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9637-0.36%3.83-3.72%0.0282✓0.691.5M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31160.0961-0.36%60.269-0.07%0.0103✗0.83330k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.438339-0.35%0.4388-0.25%0.0141✗1.48278k2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum35.335.1748-0.35%46.01+30.34%0.2855✗1.92251k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.5704-0.35%14.6359+0.09%0.0147✗1.1563k2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.9333-0.35%34.8-3.49%0.0196✓1.409.4M2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017618-0.35%0.01758-0.57%0.0051✗0.82207k2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001083-0.35%0.001089+0.19%0.0164✗1.241.3M2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.13443-0.35%0.1347-0.15%0.0132✗1.2761k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.646733-0.35%0.66591+2.61%0.0426✗1.5188k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.1298-0.35%10.359+1.91%0.0344✗1.3514.4M2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8387-0.34%2.9175+2.42%0.0361✗0.981.2M2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4252-0.34%1.47+2.80%0.0434✗1.411.1M2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5946-0.34%1.7+6.25%0.0757✗1.32122k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.077045-0.33%0.0733-5.17%0.0400✓1.11952k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6835-0.33%1.755+3.91%0.0542✗1.43341k2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.9671-0.32%23.37+1.43%0.0314✗1.5827.5M2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.48e-7-0.31%3.56e-7+2.01%0.0318✗0.99170k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.110563-0.30%0.1096-1.17%0.0023✓1.25505k2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,613.92-0.30%1,608.16-0.66%0.0077✗1.28404.0M2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021236-0.30%0.02113-0.80%0.0040✗1.02159k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055564-0.30%0.054264-2.63%0.0185✓0.5824k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9551-0.30%2.982+0.61%0.0189✗1.11597k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7153-0.30%1.8249+6.07%0.0732✗1.27530k2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.058331-0.29%0.063+7.69%0.0884✗1.28799k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.248784-0.29%0.2522+1.08%0.0239✗1.17768k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.894-0.28%3.982+1.97%0.0299✗0.86922k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.128439-0.28%0.1269-1.48%0.0032✓1.004,9522022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043331-0.27%0.04386+0.94%0.0205✗0.942,3002022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.199353-0.27%0.1995-0.20%0.0131✗1.401,1742022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.473103-0.27%0.5677+19.67%0.1922✗1.1246k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration61.3161.1431-0.27%61.12-0.31%0.0100✗1.17379k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.334988-0.27%0.340211+1.29%0.0267✗1.271.1M2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6878-0.27%2.728+1.22%0.0275✗1.4349k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.2656-0.27%7.364+1.08%0.0245✗1.2518.3M2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.31738-0.26%0.329+3.39%0.0459✗1.1377k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2558-0.26%1.297+3.02%0.0433✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0025-0.25%5-0.30%0.0010✓0.17219k2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.31921-0.25%0.3306+3.31%0.0454✗1.173.5M2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.393269-0.24%0.40433+2.56%0.0383✗1.19118k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.117719-0.24%0.1202+1.86%0.0330✗1.372.9M2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.841.8357-0.23%2.6+41.30%0.3594✗1.28430k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115737-0.23%0.1168+0.69%0.0186✗1.07370k2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015749-0.23%0.015595-1.20%0.0019✓0.892.1M2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.212524-0.22%0.218+2.35%0.0388✗1.51786k2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.401308-0.22%0.4162+3.48%0.0481✗1.32127k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.602305-0.21%0.5965-1.18%0.0004✓1.14690k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0221-0.21%1.0151-0.90%0.0015✓0.9460k2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.499828-0.21%0.4997-0.24%0.0104✗1.2041.9M2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045703-0.21%0.0482+5.24%0.0647✗1.309,0132022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.631675-0.21%0.686+8.37%0.0949✗1.4088k2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058577-0.21%0.0616+4.94%0.0629✗1.43350k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.230627-0.20%0.2263-2.08%0.0059✓1.4789k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003135-0.19%0.003069-2.29%0.0125✓0.991.0M2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.4767-0.19%38.82+0.70%0.0210✗1.3781.8M2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.144526-0.19%0.1392-3.87%0.0292✓0.953.6M2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008664-0.18%0.009+3.69%0.0494✗1.28375k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011808-0.18%0.00001185+0.17%0.0145✗1.25986k2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.405188-0.18%0.41954+3.36%0.0470✗1.38583k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1721-0.18%2.1899+0.64%0.0188✗1.2032k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.326123-0.18%0.3361+2.88%0.0401✗1.138.1M2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000042440.00004237-0.16%0.00004294+1.18%0.0236✗1.161.9M2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4565-0.16%1.502+2.95%0.0431✗1.40675k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.245749-0.14%0.2485+0.98%0.0219✗1.22110k2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.126-0.14%17.32+0.99%0.0234✗1.37116k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9918-0.14%8.092+1.11%0.0233✗1.2211.0M2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.9436-0.11%159.25+1.36%0.0244✗1.101.2M2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061936-0.10%0.0731+17.90%0.1722✗0.74159k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.114072-0.10%0.113921-0.23%0.0074✗0.997.0M2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.7253-0.09%59.65+3.24%0.0430✗1.1513.7M2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.743332-0.09%0.738-0.81%0.0036✗1.22895k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003730.003727-0.09%0.00377+1.07%0.0230✗1.29551k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.46630.465905-0.08%0.4737+1.59%0.0276✗1.24892k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1717.156-0.08%17.75+3.38%0.0456✗1.311.3M2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.33173-0.08%0.333+0.30%0.0130✗1.041.1M2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8955-0.08%3.9592+1.55%0.0258✗1.0945k2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.740.739497-0.07%0.74+0.00%0.0059✗0.5983k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.8116-0.06%64.38+4.09%0.0518✗1.251.5M2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.50944.5067-0.06%4.55+0.90%0.0162✗0.75920k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,811.49-0.06%22,623.94-0.88%0.0006✓1.00427.9M2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7133.6255-0.06%134.34+0.48%0.0159✗1.204.5M2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.162954-0.05%0.16-1.86%0.0047✓1.53212k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004558-0.05%0.00454-0.44%0.0077✗1.31112k2022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006205-0.05%0.006146-1.00%0.0021✓0.848,9962022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.60e-7-0.05%9.60e-7+0.00%0.0079✗0.846.4M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.959588-0.04%0.99245+3.38%0.0452✗1.30532k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001703-0.03%0.001657-2.76%0.0185✓1.039,4962022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1381-0.03%1.1502+1.03%0.0198✗1.0547k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.058287-0.02%0.0593+1.72%0.0295✗1.39167k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum29.129.1-0.00%29.14+0.14%0.0098✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.1552+0.00%0.1561+0.58%0.0167✓1.23102k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash48.7748.7707+0.00%49.4+1.29%0.0225✓1.10574k2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.00819+0.00%0.00822+0.37%0.0116✓0.901.6M2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.309427+0.04%0.31338+1.32%0.0227✓1.13398k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.09728+0.08%0.0975+0.31%0.0129✓1.206,5342022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.686662+0.10%0.727+5.98%0.0701✓1.47106k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067869+0.10%0.068981+1.74%0.0223✓0.69364k2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066367+0.25%0.067353+1.74%0.0251✓1.171.7M2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.02810.0536+0.25%10.035+0.07%0.0079✓1.102.0M2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.547983+0.49%0.5454+0.02%0.0053✓1.14335k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.