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2022-06-30 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 180 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2106
180 of 180 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.2%
in alpha space · 55.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.67%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (180 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0019720.001986+0.71%0.001956-0.81%0.0256✓1.097,2732022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash54.4554.6905+0.44%53.47-1.80%0.0280✓1.352.1M2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.718390.721099+0.38%0.76202+6.07%0.0875✓0.875002022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase10.832510.871+0.36%11.9157+10.00%0.1399✓1.29276k2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5820.583966+0.34%0.562-3.44%0.0067✓1.211.0M2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.29103.6137+0.31%101.28-1.95%0.0208✓1.176.1M2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6190.620911+0.31%0.644+4.04%0.0999✓1.70274k2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.68670.688603+0.28%0.7454+8.55%0.1324✓1.423.7M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07410.074291+0.26%0.0761+2.70%0.0724✓1.297,0142022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003690.003699+0.26%0.00367-0.54%0.0456✓1.43176k2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13360.133929+0.25%0.1357+1.57%0.0637✓1.35149k2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,842.3019,891.04+0.25%19,383.00-2.31%0.0109✓0.9843k2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18480.185239+0.24%0.1856+0.43%0.0565✓1.46167k2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6140.615456+0.24%0.607-1.14%0.0367✓1.35207k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05040.050519+0.24%0.0494-1.98%0.0070✓0.79233k2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49120.492348+0.23%0.4743-3.44%0.0058✓1.15154k2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.39e-73.40e-7+0.23%3.27e-7-3.47%0.0004✓1.00647k2022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056340.005647+0.23%0.00559-0.79%0.0286✓1.043,8152022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.00280.002806+0.22%0.00278-0.71%0.0429✓1.40650k2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047703+0.22%0.0457-3.99%0.0097✓1.411.1M2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum57.0757.1924+0.21%56.18-1.56%0.0441✓1.667.8M2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative1515.0306+0.20%14.61-2.60%0.0182✓1.252.0M2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.05430.054411+0.20%0.0516-4.97%0.0046✓1.54138k2022-07-01
DASHDashDash42.2342.311+0.19%41.74-1.16%0.0292✓1.14766k2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23830.238754+0.19%0.2384+0.04%0.0445✓1.2327k2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09550.095681+0.19%0.0921-3.56%0.0136✓1.383.7M2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002755+0.17%0.002578-6.25%0.0261✗1.081.6M2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3975.4063+0.17%5.342-1.02%0.0335✓1.222.3M2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2760.276465+0.17%0.271-1.81%0.0192✓1.05746k2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,070.081,071.86+0.17%1,057.57-1.17%0.0304✓1.17342.4M2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006490.006501+0.17%0.00653+0.62%0.0298✓0.68134k2022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero113113.1741+0.15%115.07+1.83%0.0608✓1.181.4M2022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.9089.9228+0.15%8.797-11.21%0.0784✗1.133.0M2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8611.8638+0.15%1.802-3.17%0.0289✓1.67101k2022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006590.0066+0.14%0.00657-0.30%0.0339✓1.03421k2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.3089+0.14%1.272-2.68%0.0276✓1.50430k2022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.160631+0.14%0.1616+0.75%0.0570✓1.374,0222022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11230.112451+0.13%0.1095-2.49%0.0115✓1.024.0M2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase13.0713.0873+0.13%13.27+1.53%0.0674✓1.4359k2022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.123170.123321+0.12%0.12129-1.53%0.0458✓1.67203k2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,412.375,418.66+0.12%5,458.52+0.85%0.0571✓1.334.1M2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.11670.11683+0.11%0.1191+2.06%0.0696✓1.353.6M2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.355.3558+0.11%5.224-2.36%0.0257✓1.359.0M2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.42121.4227+0.10%1.3775-3.07%0.0167✓1.31654k2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11380.113915+0.10%0.1119-1.67%0.0340✓1.3934k2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05150.051551+0.10%0.0491-4.66%0.0041✗1.20100k2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration48.2848.328+0.10%48.36+0.17%0.0455✓1.20722k2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048750.048796+0.10%0.04899+0.49%0.0609✓1.521.1M2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0198450.019862+0.08%0.020523+3.42%0.0740✓1.101,8282022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.05940.059449+0.08%0.0578-2.69%0.0278✓1.50403k2022-07-01
SGBSongbirdnative0.02880.028823+0.08%0.029+0.69%0.0236✓0.47130k2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.08411.0849+0.08%1.0163-6.25%0.0227✗1.1456k2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.11e-7+0.08%8.10e-7+0.00%0.0308✓0.855.3M2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum0.990.990746+0.08%0.97-2.02%0.0372✓1.56846k2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,985.6220,000.64+0.08%19,252.76-3.67%0.0008✗1.00508.7M2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.40770.408001+0.07%0.3884-4.73%0.0000✓1.32318k2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0647.0691+0.07%6.743-4.54%0.0004✓1.2813.5M2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.9716.9822+0.07%16.09-5.19%0.0029✓1.5232.6M2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.0381130.038138+0.07%0.038066-0.12%0.0447✓1.2520k2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3641.3648+0.06%1.344-1.47%0.0396✓1.4793k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11520.115267+0.06%0.105-8.85%0.0611✗0.86209k2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8202430.82071+0.06%0.812926-0.89%0.0313✓1.09100k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.692.6914+0.05%2.54-5.58%0.0153✗1.14659k2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.09750.097551+0.05%0.0949-2.67%0.0167✓1.18647k2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.26281.2634+0.05%1.2358-2.14%0.0262✓1.29849k2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5090.509249+0.05%0.478-6.09%0.0101✗1.42109k2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83991.8407+0.05%1.8073-1.77%0.0305✓1.3162k2022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038305+0.04%0.0000375-2.06%0.0261✓1.272.6M2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8153.8312+0.04%51.13-4.98%0.0062✗1.2118.4M2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009420.009422+0.02%0.00916-2.76%0.0088✓0.996.4M2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09410.09412+0.02%0.0926-1.59%0.0383✓1.46791k2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum2.81452.8151+0.02%2.7326-2.91%0.0138✓1.1733k2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana33.7433.7463+0.02%32.82-2.73%0.0224✓1.34101.1M2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044508+0.02%0.0421-5.39%0.0032✗1.4012k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.965.9609+0.02%5.97+0.17%0.0205✓0.511.1M2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010311+0.01%0.00001-3.01%0.0172✓1.281.0M2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum24.5924.5922+0.01%24.59+0.00%0.0354✓0.9511.3M2022-07-01
GTGateEthereum4.124.1202+0.00%4.0293-2.20%0.0062✓0.761.2M2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.268410.26842+0.00%0.25771-3.99%0.0076✓1.29480k2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.2776.2772+0.00%6.069-3.31%0.0156✓1.3239.1M2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8142.8139-0.00%2.806-0.28%0.0272✗0.801.1M2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1123070.112299-0.01%0.109884-2.16%0.0178✗1.0611.2M2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38580.38576-0.01%0.3786-1.87%0.0351✗1.44115k2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.503825-0.01%0.4913-2.50%0.0221✗1.27719k2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum44.7844.773-0.02%47.39+5.83%0.1131✗1.5128k2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26950.269454-0.02%0.2636-2.19%0.0246✗1.253.2M2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.45980.459709-0.02%0.4479-2.59%0.0243✗1.3573.7M2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3182.3174-0.03%2.222-4.14%0.0119✗1.4477k2022-07-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18290.182851-0.03%0.1806-1.26%0.0250✗1.004,1902022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027550.027542-0.03%0.02703-1.89%0.0323✗1.3726k2022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.349.3373-0.03%8.39-10.17%0.0623✓1.20398k2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative1.5081.5076-0.03%1.453-3.65%0.0088✗1.22319k2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039210.039196-0.04%0.0395+0.74%0.0473✗1.063,1732022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.160.159941-0.04%0.1481-7.44%0.0243✓1.41717k2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146210.014615-0.04%0.014373-1.70%0.0032✗0.53469k2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.380650.380475-0.05%0.36885-3.10%0.0043✓0.71113k2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.057660.057632-0.05%0.05579-3.24%0.0198✗1.4047k2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.73341.7325-0.05%1.6935-2.30%0.0092✗0.861.4M2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124420.012435-0.06%0.012076-2.94%0.0028✗0.861.6M2022-07-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024440.024423-0.07%0.02439-0.20%0.0360✗1.002,1812022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum53.7453.7024-0.07%52.59-2.14%0.0153✗0.971.9M2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10430.104222-0.08%0.1011-3.07%0.0130✗1.16515k2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00095290.000952175-0.08%0.000932-2.19%0.0299✗1.372.9M2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31460.314352-0.08%0.3061-2.70%0.0194✗1.2311.8M2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.5677.5605-0.09%8.074+6.70%0.1172✗1.3815.0M2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6410.6308-0.09%10-6.02%0.0011✓1.61427k2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0664250.066367-0.09%0.066339-0.13%0.0473✗1.282.0M2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10330.10321-0.09%0.1051+1.74%0.0568✗1.037,0862022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.68155.6322-0.09%51.952-6.70%0.0367✓0.851.1M2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019353-0.09%0.01951+0.72%0.0463✗1.02104k2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.5819-0.09%8.4-2.21%0.0350✗1.511.2M2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.44.3958-0.10%4.37-0.68%0.0194✗0.681.2M2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42832.4258-0.10%2.3996-1.18%0.0303✗1.101.7M2022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6334.6282-0.10%4.521-2.42%0.0444✗1.8216.0M2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5814.5647-0.10%14.02-3.84%0.0145✗1.411.6M2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3580.357618-0.11%0.389+8.66%0.1282✗1.1811k2022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.05952.0573-0.11%2.0691+0.47%0.0377✗0.862.1M2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.033.0267-0.11%3.02-0.33%0.0249✗0.731.1M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.0024.9961-0.12%4.855-2.94%0.0228✗1.385.5M2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.442.4369-0.13%2.29-6.15%0.0262✓0.96157k2022-07-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.137080.136892-0.14%0.13699-0.07%0.0381✗1.008412022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.21770.217397-0.14%0.2149-1.29%0.0340✗1.22731k2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.22770.227378-0.14%0.2313+1.58%0.0618✗1.2087k2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.843.8344-0.15%3.79-1.30%0.0131✗0.661.2M2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.064740.06464-0.16%0.064879+0.21%0.0371✗0.89736k2022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.5052.5011-0.16%2.506+0.04%0.0490✗1.26873k2022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.05150.051417-0.16%0.0515+0.00%0.0267✗0.6728k2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.313080.312575-0.16%0.30204-3.53%0.0197✗1.455,5012022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.6672-0.17%1.61-3.59%0.0080✗1.15202k2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.882240.880755-0.17%0.83384-5.49%0.0033✓1.38655k2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3288560.328281-0.17%0.305237-7.18%0.0230✓1.332.6M2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.909230.907442-0.20%0.90067-0.94%0.0373✗1.204,6812022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2591.2565-0.20%1.232-2.14%0.0339✗1.444.3M2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73570.734225-0.20%0.714-2.95%0.0114✗1.0573k2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.2862.2814-0.20%2.227-2.58%0.0445✗1.843.0M2022-07-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.2033-0.21%3.35+4.36%0.0821✗1.00143k2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044130.044038-0.21%0.04378-0.79%0.0312✗0.9911k2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6940.692529-0.21%0.649-6.48%0.0285✓0.97520k2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8020.800246-0.22%0.796-0.75%0.0279✗0.891.6M2022-07-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1231.1205-0.23%1.068-4.90%0.0056✓1.131.5M2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2441.2411-0.23%1.241-0.24%0.0570✗1.53169k2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.880.87793-0.24%0.83-5.68%0.0290✓0.73159k2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018420.018375-0.24%0.01895+2.88%0.0609✗0.81369k2022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.471670.470411-0.27%0.45108-4.37%0.0189✗1.632.4M2022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4262-0.27%1.45+1.40%0.0310✗0.39637k2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.7181.7132-0.28%1.857+8.09%0.1320✗1.37953k2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6354-0.28%1.68+2.44%0.0852✗1.56405k2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.8430.840581-0.29%0.827-1.90%0.0522✗1.83886k2022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04570.045566-0.29%0.0454-0.66%0.0490✗1.41272k2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.145.1247-0.30%5.15+0.19%0.0550✗1.34386k2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5891-0.30%3.56-1.11%0.0160✗0.651.2M2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.699720.697531-0.31%0.65455-6.46%0.0013✓1.6799k2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum4.834.8147-0.32%4.68-3.11%0.0287✗1.531.4M2022-07-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.46390.462428-0.32%0.4613-0.56%0.0349✗1.00100k2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5183.5062-0.34%3.475-1.22%0.0164✗0.682.5M2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2580.257108-0.35%0.243-5.81%0.0061✗1.671.2M2022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392740.391312-0.36%0.39987+1.82%0.0713✗1.33143k2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02340.023308-0.39%0.0226-3.42%0.0350✗1.7628.8M2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09620.09582-0.40%0.0887-7.80%0.0250✓1.40179k2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24170.240644-0.44%0.2312-4.34%0.0099✗1.34392k2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.80722.7949-0.44%2.6694-4.91%0.0193✗1.7512k2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43660.434638-0.45%0.3997-8.45%0.0201✓1.70210k2022-07-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27150.270239-0.46%0.2701-0.52%0.0368✗1.001.0M2022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80415.7769-0.47%5.7902-0.24%0.0103✗0.21255k2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04070.040507-0.47%0.0387-4.91%0.0039✓1.32192k2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.012.9956-0.48%2.958-1.73%0.0124✗0.675.2M2022-07-01
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.542315-0.49%0.529-2.94%0.0125✗1.003.2M2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.52290.519918-0.57%0.4754-9.08%0.0402✓1.321.2M2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.010260.010199-0.59%0.00943-8.09%0.0416✓0.981.2M2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.962.9421-0.60%2.61-11.82%0.0584✓1.64314k2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8510.845412-0.66%0.843-0.94%0.0734✗2.0423.8M2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum1.00220.995258-0.69%0.8969-10.51%0.0465✓1.542.8M2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80130.795586-0.71%0.7298-8.92%0.0464✓1.073.6M2022-07-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066920.066348-0.85%0.06323-5.51%0.0184✓0.801,8752022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7140.705648-1.17%0.744+4.20%0.1117✗1.572,9032022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.3913.3457-1.34%3.173-6.43%0.0304✓0.603.2M2022-07-01
FISStafiEthereum0.42050.414083-1.53%0.2924-30.46%0.3106✓1.009832022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03861.0211-1.68%1.327+27.77%0.3160✗1.44190k2022-07-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000113070.000110292-2.46%0.00013124+16.07%0.2454✗1.91969k2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.5823.4149-4.74%20.56-16.35%0.0913✓1.04230k2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.