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2022-06-26 · +1d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 180 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1885
180 of 180 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 53.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.44%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (180 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029790.002989+0.34%0.00277-7.02%0.0603✗1.095,9452022-06-27
MOVRMoonriverBase11.779611.8176+0.32%11.7151-0.55%0.0102✓1.31212k2022-06-27
ZECZcashZcash63.7863.9815+0.32%62.21-2.46%0.0083✗1.362.3M2022-06-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.530.531635+0.31%0.5109-3.60%0.0230✗1.16117k2022-06-27
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6540.655829+0.28%0.669+2.29%0.0374✓1.211.0M2022-06-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.89113.1969+0.27%111.44-1.28%0.0010✓1.156.1M2022-06-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7490.750955+0.26%0.736-1.74%0.0007✓1.443.7M2022-06-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05420.054337+0.25%0.0531-2.03%0.0115✗0.80241k2022-06-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028120.002818+0.23%0.003071+9.21%0.1015✓1.082.0M2022-06-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6940.69548+0.21%0.683-1.59%0.0068✓1.72305k2022-06-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24910.249621+0.21%0.2624+5.34%0.0678✓1.2329k2022-06-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006930.006944+0.21%0.007011+1.17%0.0195✓0.69131k2022-06-27
SCSiacoinnative0.003980.003988+0.20%0.00407+2.26%0.0414✓1.45228k2022-06-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21880.219227+0.20%0.2279+4.16%0.0585✓1.36220k2022-06-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11710.117313+0.18%0.1222+4.36%0.0611✓1.4035k2022-06-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.838010.839507+0.18%0.76875-8.26%0.0758✗0.849942022-06-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.72.7047+0.17%2.7+0.00%0.0147✓1.13636k2022-06-27
NANOnanopayBase0.8509250.852403+0.17%0.84167-1.09%0.0032✓1.09112k2022-06-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20240.202741+0.17%0.2089+3.21%0.0511✓1.46184k2022-06-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.14160.141838+0.17%0.147+3.81%0.0555✓1.36149k2022-06-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,050.2021,085.35+0.17%20,743.60-1.46%0.0021✗0.9843k2022-06-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060670.006077+0.17%0.005987-1.32%0.0000✓1.033,8152022-06-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6760.677059+0.16%0.686+1.48%0.0327✓1.35267k2022-06-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.082128+0.16%0.0828+0.98%0.0269✓1.296,8562022-06-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2991.301+0.15%1.299+0.00%0.0209✓1.55170k2022-06-27
XVGVergenative0.003190.003195+0.15%0.00321+0.63%0.0248✓1.38667k2022-06-27
AAVEAaveEthereum65.4265.5201+0.15%65.55+0.20%0.0253✓1.718.2M2022-06-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.00910.009113+0.15%0.00899-1.21%0.0006✓0.981.3M2022-06-27
HIVEHivenative0.39770.398266+0.14%0.4388+10.33%0.1165✓1.351.1M2022-06-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.06061.0619+0.12%1.1824+11.48%0.1242✓1.1651k2022-06-27
KCSKuCoinnative10.71610.7292+0.12%10.591-1.17%0.0035✓1.143.3M2022-06-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3010.30136+0.12%0.307+1.99%0.0334✓1.03792k2022-06-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006950.006958+0.12%0.00706+1.58%0.0293✓1.02424k2022-06-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8215.8279+0.12%5.773-0.82%0.0083✓1.232.5M2022-06-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.7515.7574+0.11%5.783+0.56%0.0241✓1.3511.0M2022-06-27
XMRMoneroMonero125.18125.3128+0.11%120.31-3.89%0.0236✗1.191.5M2022-06-27
XTZTezosTezos1.44261.4441+0.11%1.5979+10.77%0.1203✓1.32654k2022-06-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05540.055458+0.11%0.0567+2.35%0.0431✓1.451.3M2022-06-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,197.131,198.39+0.11%1,191.27-0.49%0.0111✓1.18347.1M2022-06-27
DASHDashDash49.2549.3006+0.10%49.04-0.43%0.0113✓1.14752k2022-06-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01210.012112+0.10%0.012535+3.60%0.0469✓0.871.7M2022-06-27
ZENHorizenBase14.5914.6045+0.10%14.59+0.00%0.0198✓1.4361k2022-06-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.88.8085+0.10%8.85+0.57%0.0196✓1.03230k2022-06-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,027.9221,047.26+0.09%20,725.17-1.44%0.0009✗1.00516.9M2022-06-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.09840.098489+0.09%0.1089+10.67%0.1179✓1.20566k2022-06-27
STXStacksnative0.40260.402962+0.09%0.4418+9.74%0.1113✓1.33257k2022-06-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8991.9006+0.08%1.9826+4.40%0.0614✓1.3262k2022-06-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050880.050922+0.08%0.05178+1.77%0.0389✓1.531.2M2022-06-27
DODODODOEthereum0.12540.125498+0.08%0.1274+1.59%0.0349✓1.374.1M2022-06-27
BANDBandEthereum1.4381.4391+0.08%1.446+0.56%0.0266✓1.50514k2022-06-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0560.056041+0.07%0.0576+2.86%0.0449✓1.20114k2022-06-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1080.108076+0.07%0.1078-0.19%0.0176✓1.393.9M2022-06-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15650.156608+0.07%0.156-0.32%0.0165✓1.40730k2022-06-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214750.02149+0.07%0.021938+2.16%0.0365✓1.095,4422022-06-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.6616.6706+0.06%16.55-0.66%0.0108✓1.242.0M2022-06-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.099.0957+0.06%9.41+3.52%0.0516✓1.21374k2022-06-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10460.104663+0.06%0.103-1.53%0.0008✗1.056,7622022-06-27
KSMKusamaHydration52.4952.5216+0.06%52.91+0.80%0.0248✓1.20813k2022-06-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10130.101356+0.06%0.105+3.65%0.0526✓1.19546k2022-06-27
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.60e-7+0.05%8.40e-7-2.33%0.0117✗0.855.3M2022-06-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.064128+0.04%0.0643+0.31%0.0244✓1.50403k2022-06-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3861.3866+0.04%1.43+3.17%0.0524✓1.4982k2022-06-27
DIADIAEthereum0.391540.391692+0.04%0.40604+3.70%0.0461✓0.70152k2022-06-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12310.123138+0.03%0.1183-3.90%0.0271✗0.89228k2022-06-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009810.009813+0.03%0.00979-0.20%0.0119✓0.986.7M2022-06-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8327.8339+0.02%7.734-1.25%0.0057✓1.2813.5M2022-06-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40060.400695+0.02%0.4057+1.27%0.0336✓1.46115k2022-06-27
SGBSongbirdnative0.03230.032307+0.02%0.0318-1.55%0.0092✗0.45128k2022-06-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.5856.5928+0.02%55.86-1.27%0.0045✓1.2118.3M2022-06-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5240.524117+0.02%0.579+10.50%0.1183✓1.29579k2022-06-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07880.078815+0.02%0.0981+24.49%0.2398✓1.44179k2022-06-27
XECeCashnative0.000040390.000040397+0.02%0.00004023-0.40%0.0143✓1.272.6M2022-06-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.276980.277022+0.02%0.27436-0.95%0.0091✓1.30465k2022-06-27
RADRadworksEthereum1.641.6402+0.01%1.66+1.22%0.0292✓1.18235k2022-06-27
QTUMQtumQtum2.94272.943+0.01%2.983+1.37%0.0305✓1.1739k2022-06-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.76.7006+0.01%6.547-2.28%0.0041✗1.3240.5M2022-06-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.820.820012+0.00%0.8346+1.78%0.0403✓1.562.8M2022-06-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142570.142572+0.00%0.14521+1.85%0.0425✓1.67226k2022-06-27
GTGateEthereum4.29554.2954-0.00%4.2843-0.26%0.0085✗0.761.2M2022-06-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.060597-0.01%0.06-0.99%0.0125✗1.55139k2022-06-27
XEMNEMnative0.0410040.040996-0.02%0.042424+3.46%0.0525✗1.2626k2022-06-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.141.1397-0.02%1.15+0.88%0.0317✗1.57912k2022-06-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1202820.120252-0.02%0.118877-1.17%0.0038✗1.0611.6M2022-06-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017070.017066-0.03%0.0228+33.57%0.3015✗0.81354k2022-06-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.10010.100073-0.03%0.1014+1.30%0.0346✗1.48816k2022-06-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.547795-0.04%0.571+4.20%0.0621✗1.42109k2022-06-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3961.3955-0.04%1.4065+0.75%0.0265✗1.291.0M2022-06-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.7119.7023-0.04%19.33-1.93%0.0028✗1.5135.8M2022-06-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3550.354854-0.04%0.357+0.56%0.0234✗1.2014k2022-06-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28410.283977-0.04%0.2892+1.80%0.0364✗1.253.9M2022-06-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153740.015367-0.05%0.015009-2.37%0.0159✓0.53501k2022-06-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9392.9375-0.05%3.003+2.18%0.0336✗0.801.2M2022-06-27
ADACardanoCardano0.48990.489619-0.06%0.4853-0.94%0.0107✗1.3576.9M2022-06-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.042960.042935-0.06%0.0437+1.72%0.0329✗1.052,9412022-06-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33190.331697-0.06%0.331-0.27%0.0156✗1.2212.3M2022-06-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0511.042-0.07%11.02-0.27%0.0214✗1.61441k2022-06-27
PROPropyEthereum0.860.859372-0.07%0.86+0.00%0.0115✗0.74158k2022-06-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029880.029858-0.07%0.03032+1.47%0.0349✗1.3523k2022-06-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,439.416,434.68-0.07%6,207.44-3.60%0.0165✓1.343.9M2022-06-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.556.5448-0.08%6.61+0.92%0.0173✗0.511.3M2022-06-27
SOLSolanaSolana39.3939.3573-0.08%38.5-2.26%0.0025✓1.35102.4M2022-06-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8070.806328-0.08%0.803-0.50%0.0085✗0.871.7M2022-06-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1582.1561-0.09%2.052-4.91%0.0252✓1.6797k2022-06-27
STEEMSteemnative0.2210.220803-0.09%0.2229+0.86%0.0272✗1.22701k2022-06-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.143.1371-0.09%3.16+0.64%0.0181✗0.751.2M2022-06-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0548.0465-0.09%7.77-3.53%0.0150✓1.3714.5M2022-06-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010950.000010939-0.10%0.00001104+0.82%0.0277✗1.28928k2022-06-27
TRXTRONTron0.0649210.064856-0.10%0.066909+3.06%0.0440✗0.89736k2022-06-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.84041.8383-0.11%1.8891+2.65%0.0401✗0.881.8M2022-06-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020960.020936-0.12%0.02035-2.91%0.0136✓1.02123k2022-06-27
FTTFTXEthereum27.1827.1475-0.12%27.16-0.07%0.0143✗0.9510.7M2022-06-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.594.5845-0.12%4.67+1.74%0.0286✗0.701.3M2022-06-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.730.729114-0.12%0.7719+5.74%0.0782✗1.46158k2022-06-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.61232.609-0.12%2.5998-0.48%0.0124✗1.102.2M2022-06-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04860.048537-0.13%0.0524+7.82%0.0975✗1.4512k2022-06-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3920.391455-0.14%0.38727-1.21%0.0085✗1.33134k2022-06-27
FLOWFlownative1.6321.6296-0.15%1.681+3.00%0.0488✗1.23355k2022-06-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.285.2719-0.15%5.39+2.08%0.0417✗1.35386k2022-06-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.983.9739-0.15%4.04+1.51%0.0262✗0.671.2M2022-06-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.24110.240725-0.16%0.244+1.20%0.0308✗1.1983k2022-06-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.13928-0.16%0.1353-3.01%0.0142✓1.024.0M2022-06-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.320910.320364-0.17%0.32292+0.63%0.0287✗1.437,9102022-06-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4874-0.17%1.6+7.38%0.0953✗1.54456k2022-06-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.1716.1422-0.17%15.9-1.67%0.0052✗1.401.9M2022-06-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.87960.774-0.17%59.935-1.55%0.0016✓0.851.3M2022-06-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.21882.2149-0.17%2.2352+0.74%0.0217✗0.872.1M2022-06-27
FORTFortaEthereum0.28640.285882-0.18%0.2521-11.98%0.1113✓1.001.0M2022-06-27
QNTQuantEthereum61.5261.404-0.19%58.49-4.93%0.0345✓0.971.9M2022-06-27
CHRChromiaEthereum0.210.209595-0.19%0.2071-1.38%0.0025✗1.004,1902022-06-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.6351.6318-0.20%1.602-2.02%0.0017✓1.39953k2022-06-27
COMPCompoundEthereum50.8750.7699-0.20%49.67-2.36%0.0003✓1.5328k2022-06-27
XYMSymbolnative0.05530.055189-0.20%0.056243+1.71%0.0286✗0.6732k2022-06-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3152850.314652-0.20%0.323254+2.53%0.0465✗1.352.3M2022-06-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.84.7903-0.20%4.93+2.71%0.0514✗1.561.4M2022-06-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5922.5867-0.20%2.616+0.93%0.0326✗1.4786k2022-06-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6920.690544-0.21%0.672-2.89%0.0127✓1.00432k2022-06-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.929990.928013-0.21%0.96351+3.60%0.0574✗1.37695k2022-06-27
CBKCobakEthereum0.965240.963175-0.21%0.99095+2.66%0.0458✗1.205,5992022-06-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6552.6493-0.21%2.592-2.37%0.0081✓0.95147k2022-06-27
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5925.5797-0.22%5.33-4.69%0.0259✓1.374.7M2022-06-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.299.2681-0.24%9.29+0.00%0.0243✗1.511.4M2022-06-27
UMAUMAEthereum2.6882.6816-0.24%2.703+0.56%0.0262✗1.26969k2022-06-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.072890.072706-0.25%0.072161-1.00%0.0109✗1.271.8M2022-06-27
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1610.160562-0.27%0.15728-2.31%0.0062✓1.006902022-06-27
APEApeCoinEthereum4.6954.6818-0.28%5.108+8.80%0.1135✗1.8214.7M2022-06-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.95.8829-0.29%5.7622-2.34%0.0175✓0.22221k2022-06-27
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027170.027088-0.30%0.02783+2.43%0.0415✗1.003,7142022-06-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.723.7085-0.31%3.76+1.08%0.0233✗0.651.7M2022-06-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023680.023602-0.33%0.02551+7.73%0.1036✗1.7836.8M2022-06-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3821.3774-0.33%1.382+0.00%0.0241✗1.434.3M2022-06-27
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1771.1728-0.36%1.185+0.68%0.0266✗1.121.5M2022-06-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6682.6574-0.40%2.426-9.07%0.0643✓1.852.9M2022-06-27
C98Coin98Ethereum0.50940.507336-0.41%0.5001-1.83%0.0001✓1.00115k2022-06-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.30e-74.28e-7-0.41%3.87e-7-9.86%0.0852✓1.00716k2022-06-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1143.1009-0.42%3.11-0.13%0.0127✗0.675.2M2022-06-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048590.048382-0.43%0.04792-1.38%0.0045✗0.9711k2022-06-27
OPTIMOptimism0.5390.536655-0.44%0.535-0.74%0.0114✗1.003.7M2022-06-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7423.7257-0.44%3.798+1.50%0.0292✗0.693.8M2022-06-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.536260.533884-0.44%0.54041+0.77%0.0362✗1.662.4M2022-06-27
WOOWOOEthereum0.22940.228362-0.45%0.1919-16.35%0.1542✓1.374,3732022-06-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5728-0.46%1.61+1.90%0.0290✗0.38614k2022-06-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.822.807-0.46%2.96+4.96%0.0772✗1.66301k2022-06-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.417044-0.47%0.4143-1.12%0.0177✗1.68206k2022-06-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81950.815624-0.47%0.8052-1.74%0.0027✓1.073.3M2022-06-27
FISStafiEthereum0.30510.303588-0.50%0.3708+21.53%0.2145✗1.001,6932022-06-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2750.2736-0.51%0.27-1.82%0.0111✗1.681.2M2022-06-27
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.873.8494-0.53%3.42-11.63%0.1038✓1.00181k2022-06-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03980.039581-0.55%0.0409+2.76%0.0523✗1.34185k2022-06-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.88872.8709-0.61%3+3.85%0.0696✗1.7715k2022-06-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000065740.000065318-0.64%0.00008876+35.02%0.3355✗1.99969k2022-06-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.837310.831819-0.66%0.7857-6.16%0.0328✓1.6795k2022-06-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.066760.066322-0.66%0.06438-3.57%0.0094✓1.4077k2022-06-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010640.001057-0.70%0.0009633-9.46%0.0724✓1.382.6M2022-06-27
GMTGMTEthereum0.940.932891-0.76%0.989+5.21%0.0849✗1.831.3M2022-06-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.133.1052-0.79%3.151+0.67%0.0234✗0.603.4M2022-06-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04840.047889-1.05%0.0461-4.75%0.0176✓1.41274k2022-06-27
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070880.070067-1.15%0.0675-4.77%0.0228✓1.001,5612022-06-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9810.96882-1.24%0.926-5.61%0.0159✓2.0233.4M2022-06-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6880.675116-1.87%0.639-7.12%0.0320✓1.583,0312022-06-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.980.956692-2.38%0.88-10.20%0.0683✓1.0562k2022-06-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.