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2022-08-20 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1492
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.37%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.7%
in alpha space · 61.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.79%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7462.776+1.09%3.111+13.29%0.0862✓1.565.1M2022-08-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021520.02174+1.02%0.02263+5.16%0.0241✓0.9013.9M2022-08-21
OPTIMOptimism1.1311.142+0.97%1.176+3.98%0.0012✓1.723.7M2022-08-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5961.6089+0.81%1.724+8.02%0.0477✓1.20126k2022-08-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6812.7776+0.77%13.18+3.94%0.0112✓1.112.6M2022-08-21
METISMetisEthereum32.4532.6902+0.74%34.76+7.12%0.0283✓1.86383k2022-08-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.068290.068718+0.63%0.06849+0.29%0.0232✗1.122.4M2022-08-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0573.0757+0.61%3.174+3.83%0.0202✓0.64803k2022-08-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5251.5343+0.61%1.562+2.43%0.0035✓1.21156k2022-08-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3056.3425+0.59%6.459+2.44%0.0016✓0.935.3M2022-08-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5690.572352+0.59%0.611+7.38%0.0435✓1.232,9182022-08-21
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.131767+0.59%0.1393+6.34%0.0381✓0.992.1M2022-08-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.99951.0053+0.58%1.0248+2.53%0.0066✗1.455.0M2022-08-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0365.0646+0.57%5.19+3.06%0.0005✓1.3510.9M2022-08-21
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0047.0427+0.55%7.211+2.96%0.0009✓1.2810.7M2022-08-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,539.618,585.63+0.54%8,749.39+2.46%0.0053✓1.367.3M2022-08-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31050.312144+0.53%0.3366+8.41%0.0552✓1.14110k2022-08-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38380.385747+0.51%0.3841+0.08%0.0271✗1.28190k2022-08-21
STXStacksnative0.38960.391327+0.44%0.395+1.39%0.0104✗1.11493k2022-08-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10290.103289+0.38%0.108+4.96%0.0256✓1.073.8M2022-08-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.34613.3579+0.35%3.4692+3.68%0.0152✓0.9848k2022-08-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.171.1741+0.35%1.21+3.42%0.0084✓1.221.1M2022-08-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8430.845891+0.34%0.876+3.91%0.0270✓0.454.4M2022-08-21
AAVEAaveEthereum82.7983.0731+0.34%85.89+3.74%0.0064✓1.526.4M2022-08-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007250.007275+0.34%0.00947+30.62%0.2446✓1.07435k2022-08-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139090.139555+0.33%0.14385+3.42%0.0086✓1.22250k2022-08-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2496.2688+0.32%6.413+2.62%0.0076✓0.8510.1M2022-08-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8332.9291+0.30%33.76+2.83%0.0004✓1.4216.5M2022-08-21
SOLSolanaSolana35.2935.393+0.29%36.48+3.37%0.0096✓1.1675.2M2022-08-21
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.73e-7+0.29%9.00e-7+3.45%0.0168✓0.803.3M2022-08-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12260.12295+0.29%0.1381+12.64%0.1061✓0.574.1M2022-08-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1314.169+0.28%14.47+2.41%0.0007✓1.221.4M2022-08-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0962.1018+0.27%2.17+3.53%0.0016✓1.71122k2022-08-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9026.9199+0.26%7.08+2.58%0.0039✓1.0719.5M2022-08-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017260.00173+0.26%0.001778+3.01%0.0117✓0.87806k2022-08-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.761,579.69+0.25%1,617.84+2.67%0.0003✓1.33534.1M2022-08-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06680.066965+0.25%0.0675+1.05%0.0136✗1.211.3M2022-08-21
XEMNEMnative0.0450830.045194+0.25%0.046233+2.55%0.0077✓0.8534k2022-08-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86170.86381+0.24%0.8737+1.39%0.0079✗1.082.2M2022-08-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.78115.0595+0.24%119.67+4.26%0.0196✓1.105.0M2022-08-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.4118.4547+0.24%18.97+3.04%0.0150✓0.701.8M2022-08-21
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.156860.157219+0.23%0.16409+4.61%0.0051✓2.126672022-08-21
ZENHorizenBase15.8415.8736+0.21%16.73+5.62%0.0329✓1.10125k2022-08-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.86120.862923+0.20%0.8569-0.50%0.0335✗1.49224k2022-08-21
HIVEHivenative0.54280.543865+0.20%0.5638+3.87%0.0201✓0.891.9M2022-08-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04580.045886+0.19%0.0473+3.28%0.0131✓0.97201k2022-08-21
FLOWFlownative2.1242.128+0.19%2.163+1.84%0.0069✗1.311.2M2022-08-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12230.122522+0.18%0.1243+1.64%0.0038✗1.0239k2022-08-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05030.050386+0.17%0.0514+2.19%0.0026✓0.97827k2022-08-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28420.284656+0.16%0.2949+3.76%0.0184✓0.953.6M2022-08-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.3636+0.15%2.48+5.08%0.0263✓1.23259k2022-08-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47420.474911+0.15%0.4896+3.25%0.0108✓1.11386k2022-08-21
STEEMSteemnative0.23310.233434+0.14%0.2375+1.89%0.0012✓0.90550k2022-08-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3729.3847+0.14%9.628+2.73%0.0088✓0.951.9M2022-08-21
ADACardanoCardano0.45130.451907+0.13%0.4624+2.46%0.0043✓1.0542.0M2022-08-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36990.370363+0.13%0.3918+5.92%0.0339✓1.26223k2022-08-21
FISStafiEthereum0.36660.367042+0.12%0.3715+1.34%0.0042✗0.911922022-08-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22070.220965+0.12%0.224+1.50%0.0043✗1.0172k2022-08-21
TRXTRONTron0.0658570.065933+0.12%0.065924+0.10%0.0107✗0.59179k2022-08-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012910.000012925+0.11%0.00001348+4.42%0.0259✓0.91827k2022-08-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2287.2362+0.11%7.434+2.85%0.0088✓1.0214.0M2022-08-21
DIADIAEthereum0.399830.40028+0.11%0.41334+3.38%0.0153✓0.9470k2022-08-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.154.1605+0.11%55.68+2.92%0.0100✓0.9913.1M2022-08-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10640.106517+0.11%0.109+2.44%0.0103✓0.713,9702022-08-21
GTGateEthereum4.43554.4402+0.11%4.5693+3.02%0.0150✓0.77836k2022-08-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.4125+0.10%2.38-1.24%0.0288✗0.86833k2022-08-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7080.70874+0.10%0.728+2.82%0.0111✓0.88271k2022-08-21
COMPCompoundEthereum49.2349.2797+0.10%50.91+3.41%0.0107✓1.2316k2022-08-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.861.8617+0.09%1.914+2.90%0.0113✓0.92657k2022-08-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.221.2211+0.09%1.243+1.89%0.0003✓0.982.2M2022-08-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.06521.0661+0.09%1.0779+1.19%0.0011✓0.554.3M2022-08-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.077040.077107+0.09%0.07522-2.36%0.0459✗1.1929k2022-08-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.898.8967+0.07%8.93+0.45%0.0041✗0.442.2M2022-08-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.007130.007135+0.07%0.00718+0.70%0.0053✗0.651.3M2022-08-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche22.322.3159+0.07%22.97+3.00%0.0057✓1.3024.7M2022-08-21
ZECZcashZcash62.9262.9606+0.06%64.62+2.70%0.0060✓1.132.0M2022-08-21
QNTQuantEthereum104.84104.9068+0.06%110.77+5.66%0.0395✓0.843.4M2022-08-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084946+0.05%0.0898+5.77%0.0383✓0.979,9252022-08-21
XECeCashnative0.000038990.000039011+0.05%0.00003955+1.44%0.0019✗0.881.8M2022-08-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4630.463237+0.05%0.47+1.51%0.0034✗1.019,8012022-08-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.8571.8579+0.05%1.876+1.02%0.0073✗0.96156k2022-08-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.941440.941845+0.04%0.96387+2.38%0.0059✓0.9712k2022-08-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2991.2995+0.04%1.352+4.08%0.0175✓1.24518k2022-08-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.297240.297356+0.04%0.30199+1.60%0.0033✗1.0513k2022-08-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.060223+0.04%0.0597-0.83%0.0258✗0.96112k2022-08-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.23610.2397+0.04%10.644+3.99%0.0192✓1.1010.8M2022-08-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51720.517387+0.04%0.5133-0.75%0.0227✗0.83713k2022-08-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.557197+0.04%0.572+2.69%0.0061✓1.1390k2022-08-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3016860.301786+0.03%0.308829+2.37%0.0037✓1.09884k2022-08-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20230.202364+0.03%0.2119+4.75%0.0283✓1.00146k2022-08-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058660.005868+0.03%0.005915+0.83%0.0042✗0.692,6422022-08-21
XTZTezosTezos1.56291.5633+0.03%1.6327+4.47%0.0236✓1.11494k2022-08-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30030.300376+0.03%0.3062+1.96%0.0027✓0.938.2M2022-08-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,139.2321,144.41+0.02%21,518.62+1.79%0.0002✗1.00469.5M2022-08-21
MOVRMoonriverBase13.707113.7102+0.02%14.1071+2.92%0.0116✓0.9544k2022-08-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.06170.061712+0.02%0.0654+6.00%0.0381✓1.12303k2022-08-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.0110.0117+0.02%10.41+4.00%0.0180✓1.18318k2022-08-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1522.1524+0.02%2.229+3.58%0.0144✓1.1660k2022-08-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.341.3402+0.02%1.39+3.73%0.0192✓0.97182k2022-08-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.09560.095611+0.01%0.1011+5.75%0.0392✓0.93430k2022-08-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.128.1207+0.01%8.2+0.99%0.0102✗1.12638k2022-08-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.22149.2273+0.00%154.56+3.58%0.0175✓0.991.2M2022-08-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045160.045161+0.00%0.04674+3.50%0.0218✓0.7116k2022-08-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8965170.89651-0.00%0.927762+3.49%0.0204✗0.7877k2022-08-21
FTTFTXEthereum26.6926.6894-0.00%27.72+3.86%0.0210✗0.958.6M2022-08-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.356030.356004-0.01%0.37086+4.17%0.0237✗0.9795k2022-08-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.290.289973-0.01%0.288-0.69%0.0198✓0.73878k2022-08-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10970.109689-0.01%0.1115+1.64%0.0012✗0.86274k2022-08-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033930.003393-0.01%0.003742+10.29%0.0832✗0.831.0M2022-08-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6760.675909-0.01%0.7+3.55%0.0187✗0.92333k2022-08-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.040291-0.02%0.0412+2.23%0.0062✗0.9111k2022-08-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3142.3134-0.02%2.478+7.09%0.0470✗1.2213k2022-08-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.061.0597-0.03%1.0512-0.83%0.0279✓1.1112k2022-08-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.825.8183-0.03%5.94+2.06%0.0143✗0.362.9M2022-08-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.041.0397-0.03%1.072+3.08%0.0091✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009240.009236-0.04%0.00945+2.27%0.0095✗0.756.2M2022-08-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06590.065874-0.04%0.0696+5.61%0.0385✗0.93126k2022-08-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37130.371146-0.04%0.3848+3.64%0.0171✗1.07175k2022-08-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1090190.108973-0.04%0.110977+1.80%0.0028✗0.877.4M2022-08-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.391.3894-0.05%1.38-0.72%0.0061✓-0.04105k2022-08-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021560.021549-0.05%0.02191+1.62%0.0020✗0.8213k2022-08-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1810.180907-0.05%0.187+3.31%0.0142✗1.06608k2022-08-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.8690.86855-0.05%0.919+5.75%0.0350✗1.211.1M2022-08-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.25490.254764-0.05%0.2628+3.10%0.0142✗0.9583k2022-08-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.1470.14692-0.05%0.1499+1.97%0.0020✗1.01149k2022-08-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.79e-7-0.06%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0416✗0.8018k2022-08-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.831830.831251-0.07%0.85255+2.49%0.0088✗0.93560k2022-08-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0701-0.07%1.0912+1.90%0.0041✗0.8756k2022-08-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022440.022424-0.07%0.02257+0.58%0.0089✓0.87444k2022-08-21
DASHDashDash45.7545.7161-0.07%46.8+2.30%0.0062✗0.97521k2022-08-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694280.069371-0.08%0.069279-0.21%0.0195✓1.021.9M2022-08-21
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004147-0.08%0.00421+1.45%0.0026✓1.00152k2022-08-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.7990.798285-0.09%0.804+0.63%0.0182✓1.42398k2022-08-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41040.410018-0.09%0.4286+4.43%0.0247✗1.1074k2022-08-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0491230.049071-0.11%0.051048+3.92%0.0301✗0.5330k2022-08-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.02570.02567-0.11%0.0259+0.78%0.0024✓0.6337k2022-08-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16730.167105-0.12%0.1759+5.14%0.0274✗1.341,3642022-08-21
KSMKusamaHydration48.5448.4831-0.12%50.64+4.33%0.0263✗0.97560k2022-08-21
XVSVenusEthereum5.885.8728-0.12%5.91+0.51%0.0089✓0.851.6M2022-08-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.305140.304757-0.13%0.32001+4.87%0.0328✗0.90366k2022-08-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.742.7365-0.13%2.76+0.73%0.0003✓0.5093k2022-08-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.07695.0704-0.13%5.1185+0.82%0.0069✗0.14171k2022-08-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86461.8622-0.13%1.9484+4.50%0.0265✗1.0636k2022-08-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14930.14908-0.15%0.1556+4.22%0.0251✗0.99616k2022-08-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.18320.182908-0.16%0.1872+2.18%0.0086✗0.821.3M2022-08-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.16830.168029-0.16%0.1768+5.05%0.0329✗1.011,7442022-08-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.336.3188-0.18%6.35+0.32%0.0018✓0.381.9M2022-08-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.8242.8189-0.18%2.914+3.19%0.0184✗0.83749k2022-08-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068880.068748-0.19%0.07057+2.45%0.0117✗0.819772022-08-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.0452.9365-0.20%54.958+3.62%0.0244✗0.74349k2022-08-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.567470.566313-0.20%0.58884+3.77%0.0161✗1.2946k2022-08-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.26760.267044-0.21%0.2705+1.08%0.0046✓0.98145k2022-08-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000088070.000087878-0.22%0.00009038+2.62%0.0125✗0.88327k2022-08-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.78711.7831-0.22%1.7908+0.21%0.0155✓1.11667k2022-08-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10340.103152-0.24%0.1006-2.71%0.0378✓0.72220k2022-08-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6110.609484-0.25%0.636+4.09%0.0227✗1.12103k2022-08-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.05230.05217-0.25%0.054+3.25%0.0166✗1.00253k2022-08-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.075.0572-0.25%5.04-0.59%0.0109✓0.421.1M2022-08-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.091570.091338-0.25%0.09106-0.56%0.0046✓0.09959k2022-08-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.36491.3614-0.26%1.3019-4.62%0.0621✓0.981.2M2022-08-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.48593.4762-0.28%3.6812+5.60%0.0479✗0.531.5M2022-08-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.526.5001-0.31%6.56+0.61%0.0022✓0.391.3M2022-08-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014460.001441-0.32%0.001501+3.80%0.0280✗0.719,7092022-08-21
XVGVergenative0.003280.003269-0.33%0.00326-0.61%0.0214✓1.04520k2022-08-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,129.2021,057.12-0.34%21,631.30+2.38%0.0100✗0.957,5932022-08-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0146880.014638-0.34%0.014659-0.20%0.0092✓0.601.9M2022-08-21
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727454-0.35%0.73+0.00%0.0034✓0.39105k2022-08-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4086.3856-0.35%6.594+2.90%0.0299✗0.134.5M2022-08-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7220.719394-0.36%0.722+0.00%0.0209✓1.384.8M2022-08-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.370190.368782-0.38%0.37078+0.16%0.0142✓1.10426k2022-08-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum41.6641.4993-0.39%44.36+6.48%0.0501✗0.931.8M2022-08-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026420.026317-0.39%0.0271+2.57%0.0068✗1.273,2032022-08-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015070.001501-0.40%0.001518+0.74%0.0024✓0.781.6M2022-08-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068550.006827-0.40%0.006771-1.23%0.0166✓0.4757k2022-08-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.260192-0.42%0.2611-0.08%0.0033✓0.0181k2022-08-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0224990.022401-0.44%0.023427+4.12%0.0425✗0.13240k2022-08-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana3.81153.7922-0.51%4.1353+8.50%0.0688✗1.00169k2022-08-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36064.3381-0.52%4.9686+13.94%0.1331✗0.142.1M2022-08-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4874.4626-0.54%4.479-0.18%0.0026✓0.361.6M2022-08-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.69225.66-0.57%5.9198+4.00%0.0421✗0.162.1M2022-08-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037450.03716-0.77%0.03818+1.95%0.0094✗1.0023k2022-08-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9193.8881-0.79%5.094+29.98%0.2537✗0.92127k2022-08-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain10.89410.8024-0.84%12.738+16.93%0.1574✗0.421.4M2022-08-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01770.017544-0.88%0.01736-1.92%0.0220✓0.64155k2022-08-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2390.236838-0.90%0.2298-3.85%0.0544✓1.36110k2022-08-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039004-1.01%0.0377-4.31%0.0512✓0.9777k2022-08-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana5.0514.9976-1.06%5.101+0.99%0.0195✗0.062.1M2022-08-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039560.039102-1.16%0.0402+1.62%0.0130✗0.832,6252022-08-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.06e-76.95e-7-1.64%7.12e-7+0.88%0.0117✓0.76164k2022-08-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.