METRONOME

METRONOME · · gru_s0

token id: #733
symbol: METRONOME
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 4,302

Track record at +1d

assessed

389

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0486

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual -0.0012

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.35966	0.356714	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.12
2026-10-21	oos	0.35826	0.355551	-0.76%	0.35966	+0.39%	0.0089	✗	1.11
2026-10-20	oos	0.338725	0.336444	-0.67%	0.35826	+5.77%	0.0486	✗	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.33786	0.335631	-0.66%	0.338725	+0.26%	0.0055	✓	1.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.33508	0.332926	-0.64%	0.33786	+0.83%	0.0169	✗	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.348475	0.345978	-0.72%	0.33508	-3.84%	0.0404	✓	1.10
2026-10-16	oos	0.37041	0.367409	-0.81%	0.348475	-5.92%	0.0513	✓	1.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.376245	0.372993	-0.86%	0.37041	-1.55%	0.0014	✓	1.09
2026-10-14	oos	0.381055	0.377565	-0.92%	0.376245	-1.26%	0.0110	✓	1.10
2026-10-13	oos	0.386015	0.382523	-0.90%	0.381055	-1.28%	0.0175	✗	1.15
2026-10-12	oos	0.384375	0.380997	-0.88%	0.386015	+0.43%	0.0058	✓	1.14
2026-10-11	oos	0.42445	0.419921	-1.07%	0.384375	-9.44%	0.0643	✓	1.03
2026-10-10	oos	0.42258	0.416302	-1.49%	0.42445	+0.44%	0.0099	✓	1.03
2026-10-09	oos	0.408225	0.402122	-1.49%	0.42258	+3.52%	0.0451	✗	1.03
2026-10-08	oos	0.442135	0.43202	-2.29%	0.408225	-7.67%	0.0676	✓	1.05
2026-10-07	oos	0.445645	0.433534	-2.72%	0.442135	-0.79%	0.0396	✗	1.04
2026-10-06	oos	0.32764	0.323987	-1.11%	0.445645	+36.02%	0.3540	✗	1.31
2026-10-05	oos	0.296605	0.294005	-0.88%	0.32764	+10.46%	0.1115	✗	1.31
2026-10-04	oos	0.302195	0.299675	-0.83%	0.296605	-1.85%	0.0014	✓	1.33
2026-10-03	oos	0.304885	0.302285	-0.85%	0.302195	-0.88%	0.0280	✓	1.34
2026-10-02	oos	0.29436	0.291993	-0.80%	0.304885	+3.58%	0.0394	✗	1.34
2026-10-01	oos	0.30098	0.298708	-0.75%	0.29436	-2.20%	0.0093	✓	1.32
2026-09-30	oos	0.316625	0.314226	-0.76%	0.30098	-4.94%	0.0641	✓	1.37
2026-09-29	oos	0.32638	0.323856	-0.77%	0.316625	-2.99%	0.0213	✓	1.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.330185	0.327618	-0.78%	0.32638	-1.15%	0.0068	✓	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.38139	0.377391	-1.05%	0.330185	-13.43%	0.1179	✓	1.32
2026-09-26	oos	0.350575	0.347454	-0.89%	0.38139	+8.79%	0.0925	✗	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.359145	0.355129	-1.12%	0.350575	-2.39%	0.0181	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.3288	0.325811	-0.91%	0.359145	+9.23%	0.1021	✗	1.36
2026-09-23	oos	0.34299	0.338084	-1.43%	0.3288	-4.14%	0.0280	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.331615	0.327586	-1.22%	0.34299	+3.43%	0.0757	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.284465	0.281913	-0.90%	0.331615	+16.57%	0.1690	✗	1.45
2026-09-20	oos	0.2558	0.254165	-0.64%	0.284465	+11.21%	0.0225	✗	1.39
2026-09-19	oos	0.258475	0.256481	-0.77%	0.2558	-1.03%	0.0014	✓	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.260795	0.258217	-0.99%	0.258475	-0.89%	0.0050	✓	1.36
2026-09-17	oos	0.22627	0.22464	-0.72%	0.260795	+15.26%	0.0744	✗	1.30
2026-09-16	oos	0.20022	0.19969	-0.26%	0.22627	+13.01%	0.1214	✗	1.35
2026-09-15	oos	0.196575	0.196167	-0.21%	0.20022	+1.85%	0.0103	✗	1.37
2026-09-14	oos	0.220695	0.219748	-0.43%	0.196575	-10.93%	0.0682	✓	1.28
2026-09-13	oos	0.220065	0.218905	-0.53%	0.220695	+0.29%	0.0151	✓	1.31
2026-09-12	oos	0.226265	0.224825	-0.64%	0.220065	-2.74%	0.0135	✓	1.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.231085	0.228418	-1.15%	0.226265	-2.09%	0.0104	✓	1.32
2026-09-10	oos	0.21234	0.211229	-0.52%	0.231085	+8.83%	0.0785	✗	1.30
2026-09-09	oos	0.21066	0.209737	-0.44%	0.21234	+0.80%	0.0423	✗	1.33
2026-09-08	oos	0.19427	0.193742	-0.27%	0.21066	+8.44%	0.0866	✗	1.35
2026-09-07	oos	0.19936	0.198779	-0.29%	0.19427	-2.55%	0.0119	✓	1.35
2026-09-06	oos	0.212595	0.21168	-0.43%	0.19936	-6.23%	0.0394	✓	1.32
2026-09-05	oos	0.19052	0.190084	-0.23%	0.212595	+11.59%	0.1037	✗	1.30
2026-09-04	oos	0.18475	0.184455	-0.16%	0.19052	+3.12%	0.0299	✗	1.25
2026-09-03	oos	0.19852	0.198226	-0.15%	0.18475	-6.94%	0.0462	✓	1.23
2026-09-02	oos	0.1945	0.193992	-0.26%	0.19852	+2.07%	0.0483	✓	1.43
2026-09-01	oos	0.19183	0.191473	-0.19%	0.1945	+1.39%	0.0174	✗	1.45
2026-08-31	oos	0.19649	0.196216	-0.14%	0.19183	-2.37%	0.0024	✓	1.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.187005	0.186814	-0.10%	0.19649	+5.07%	0.0365	✗	1.22
2026-08-29	oos	0.202865	0.202537	-0.16%	0.187005	-7.82%	0.0713	✓	1.16
2026-08-28	oos	0.20862	0.208257	-0.17%	0.202865	-2.76%	0.0321	✓	1.16
2026-08-27	oos	0.222835	0.222422	-0.19%	0.20862	-6.38%	0.0290	✓	1.14
2026-08-26	oos	0.2163	0.21593	-0.17%	0.222835	+3.02%	0.0137	✗	1.14
2026-08-25	oos	0.21093	0.210631	-0.14%	0.2163	+2.55%	0.0193	✗	1.14
2026-08-24	oos	0.226415	0.225958	-0.20%	0.21093	-6.84%	0.0623	✓	1.14
2026-08-23	oos	0.245235	0.244277	-0.39%	0.226415	-7.67%	0.0944	✓	1.16
2026-08-22	oos	0.220335	0.219656	-0.31%	0.245235	+11.30%	0.1002	✗	1.14
2026-08-21	oos	0.217115	0.216513	-0.28%	0.220335	+1.48%	0.0362	✗	1.14
2026-08-20	oos	0.210285	0.20914	-0.54%	0.217115	+3.25%	0.0499	✓	1.24
2026-08-19	oos	0.200015	0.198471	-0.77%	0.210285	+5.13%	0.0107	✓	1.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.17428	0.172973	-0.75%	0.200015	+14.77%	0.0618	✗	1.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.16274	0.161691	-0.64%	0.17428	+7.09%	0.0712	✗	1.21
2026-08-16	oos	0.161375	0.160282	-0.68%	0.16274	+0.85%	0.0166	✓	1.23
2026-08-15	oos	0.16419	0.163104	-0.66%	0.161375	-1.71%	0.0071	✓	1.23
2026-08-14	oos	0.163555	0.162504	-0.64%	0.16419	+0.39%	0.0095	✗	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.16973	0.168559	-0.69%	0.163555	-3.64%	0.0213	✓	1.24
2026-08-12	oos	0.15757	0.156688	-0.56%	0.16973	+7.72%	0.0797	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.158535	0.157661	-0.55%	0.15757	-0.61%	0.0018	✓	1.26
2026-08-10	oos	0.157425	0.156616	-0.51%	0.158535	+0.71%	0.0199	✗	1.30
2026-08-09	oos	0.162275	0.161451	-0.51%	0.157425	-2.99%	0.0063	✓	1.30
2026-08-08	oos	0.168105	0.167113	-0.59%	0.162275	-3.47%	0.0282	✓	1.30
2026-08-07	oos	0.16172	0.160764	-0.59%	0.168105	+3.95%	0.0443	✗	1.28
2026-08-06	oos	0.162615	0.161627	-0.61%	0.16172	-0.55%	0.0118	✓	1.28
2026-08-05	oos	0.16908	0.167953	-0.67%	0.162615	-3.82%	0.0256	✓	1.28
2026-08-04	oos	0.16407	0.162998	-0.65%	0.16908	+3.05%	0.0259	✗	1.25
2026-08-03	oos	0.16092	0.159909	-0.63%	0.16407	+1.96%	0.0143	✗	1.25
2026-08-02	oos	0.163095	0.162078	-0.62%	0.16092	-1.33%	0.0065	✓	1.24
2026-08-01	oos	0.16794	0.166792	-0.68%	0.163095	-2.88%	0.0371	✓	1.26
2026-07-31	oos	0.178355	0.176899	-0.82%	0.16794	-5.84%	0.0507	✓	1.27
2026-07-30	oos	0.173235	0.172031	-0.69%	0.178355	+2.96%	0.0757	✗	1.33
2026-07-29	oos	0.173	0.171733	-0.73%	0.173235	+0.14%	0.0084	✓	1.33
2026-07-28	oos	0.16936	0.16822	-0.67%	0.173	+2.15%	0.0270	✗	1.33
2026-07-27	oos	0.161515	0.160597	-0.57%	0.16936	+4.86%	0.0499	✗	1.33
2026-07-26	oos	0.17849	0.177222	-0.71%	0.161515	-9.51%	0.0604	✓	1.27
2026-07-25	oos	0.1624	0.16152	-0.54%	0.17849	+9.91%	0.0799	✗	1.24
2026-07-24	oos	0.162015	0.161136	-0.54%	0.1624	+0.24%	0.0037	✓	1.25
2026-07-23	oos	0.162055	0.161266	-0.49%	0.162015	-0.02%	0.0234	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.160925	0.160234	-0.43%	0.162055	+0.70%	0.0315	✗	1.28
2026-07-21	oos	0.162495	0.161776	-0.44%	0.160925	-0.97%	0.0030	✓	1.28
2026-07-20	oos	0.16915	0.167992	-0.68%	0.162495	-3.93%	0.0594	✓	1.32
2026-07-19	oos	0.144955	0.144444	-0.35%	0.16915	+16.69%	0.1471	✗	1.32
2026-07-18	oos	0.13779	0.137428	-0.26%	0.144955	+5.20%	0.0557	✗	1.33
2026-07-17	oos	0.129155	0.12891	-0.19%	0.13779	+6.69%	0.0482	✗	1.31
2026-07-16	oos	0.14296	0.142497	-0.32%	0.129155	-9.66%	0.1009	✓	1.33
2026-07-15	oos	0.15883	0.158054	-0.49%	0.14296	-9.99%	0.0817	✓	1.26
2026-07-14	oos	0.149005	0.148442	-0.38%	0.15883	+6.59%	0.0730	✗	1.28
2026-07-13	oos	0.14746	0.14687	-0.40%	0.149005	+1.05%	0.0440	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.147985	0.147453	-0.36%	0.14746	-0.35%	0.0325	✗	1.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.15215	0.151577	-0.38%	0.147985	-2.74%	0.0233	✓	1.37
2026-07-10	oos	0.155895	0.155307	-0.38%	0.15215	-2.40%	0.0127	✓	1.41
2026-07-09	oos	0.16099	0.160364	-0.39%	0.155895	-3.16%	0.0498	✓	1.44
2026-07-08	oos	0.160795	0.160187	-0.38%	0.16099	+0.12%	0.0167	✓	1.45
2026-07-07	oos	0.15845	0.157949	-0.32%	0.160795	+1.48%	0.0431	✗	1.46
2026-07-06	oos	0.170965	0.170235	-0.43%	0.15845	-7.32%	0.0562	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.174945	0.174154	-0.45%	0.170965	-2.28%	0.0280	✓	1.46
2026-07-04	oos	0.177015	0.176158	-0.48%	0.174945	-1.17%	0.0184	✓	1.46
2026-07-03	oos	0.19151	0.190027	-0.77%	0.177015	-7.57%	0.0842	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.175245	0.174204	-0.59%	0.19151	+9.28%	0.0707	✗	1.44
2026-07-01	oos	0.17795	0.176498	-0.82%	0.175245	-1.52%	0.0442	✓	1.48
2026-06-30	oos	0.16175	0.160825	-0.57%	0.17795	+10.02%	0.0660	✗	1.45
2026-06-29	oos	0.1678	0.166571	-0.73%	0.16175	-3.61%	0.0106	✗	1.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.157895	0.157107	-0.50%	0.1678	+6.27%	0.0497	✗	1.40
2026-06-27	oos	0.16549	0.164323	-0.70%	0.157895	-4.59%	0.0291	✓	1.40
2026-06-26	oos	0.1664	0.16481	-0.96%	0.16549	-0.55%	0.0057	✓	1.40
2026-06-25	oos	0.149765	0.148841	-0.62%	0.1664	+11.11%	0.1046	✗	1.39
2026-06-24	oos	0.1521	0.151109	-0.65%	0.149765	-1.54%	0.0175	✗	1.25
2026-06-23	oos	0.16124	0.160024	-0.75%	0.1521	-5.67%	0.0175	✓	1.24
2026-06-22	oos	0.156905	0.155634	-0.81%	0.16124	+2.76%	0.0618	✗	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.162165	0.160305	-1.15%	0.156905	-3.24%	0.0361	✓	1.30
2026-06-20	oos	0.1601	0.157968	-1.33%	0.162165	+1.29%	0.0452	✗	1.23
2026-06-19	oos	0.1357	0.133747	-1.44%	0.1601	+17.98%	0.1659	✗	1.19
2026-06-18	oos	0.10642	0.106343	-0.07%	0.1357	+27.51%	0.2332	✗	1.12
2026-06-17	oos	0.112555	0.112423	-0.12%	0.10642	-5.45%	0.0278	✓	1.10
2026-06-16	oos	0.114125	0.113953	-0.15%	0.112555	-1.38%	0.0074	✗	1.10
2026-06-15	oos	0.11853	0.118236	-0.25%	0.114125	-3.72%	0.0243	✓	1.10
2026-06-14	oos	0.109245	0.109133	-0.10%	0.11853	+8.50%	0.0732	✗	1.09
2026-06-13	oos	0.105045	0.104986	-0.06%	0.109245	+4.00%	0.0182	✗	1.10
2026-06-12	oos	0.103575	0.103518	-0.06%	0.105045	+1.42%	0.0004	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.10421	0.104126	-0.08%	0.103575	-0.61%	0.0049	✓	1.07
2026-06-10	oos	0.0975	0.097522	+0.02%	0.10421	+6.88%	0.0307	✓	1.05
2026-06-09	oos	0.101115	0.101109	-0.01%	0.0975	-3.58%	0.0323	✓	1.05
2026-06-08	oos	0.1019	0.101889	-0.01%	0.101115	-0.77%	0.0158	✗	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.0992	0.099263	+0.06%	0.1019	+2.72%	0.0302	✓	1.06
2026-06-06	oos	0.0983	0.098451	+0.15%	0.0992	+0.92%	0.0348	✗	1.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.1041	0.104218	+0.11%	0.0983	-5.57%	0.0553	✗	1.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.1215	0.121231	-0.22%	0.1041	-14.32%	0.1096	✓	0.96
2026-06-03	oos	0.1327	0.13216	-0.41%	0.1215	-8.44%	0.0807	✓	0.92
2026-06-02	oos	0.13	0.129434	-0.44%	0.1327	+2.08%	0.0645	✗	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.1322	0.131614	-0.44%	0.13	-1.66%	0.0571	✗	1.03
2026-05-31	oos	0.1291	0.128577	-0.40%	0.1322	+2.40%	0.0617	✗	1.09
2026-05-30	oos	0.127	0.126555	-0.35%	0.1291	+1.65%	0.0226	✗	1.02
2026-05-29	oos	0.12515	0.124799	-0.28%	0.127	+1.48%	0.0119	✗	1.02
2026-05-28	oos	0.1275	0.12712	-0.30%	0.12515	-1.84%	0.0136	✓	1.02
2026-05-27	oos	0.13255	0.132025	-0.40%	0.1275	-3.81%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.136	0.135297	-0.52%	0.13255	-2.54%	0.0004	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.1323	0.13181	-0.37%	0.136	+2.80%	0.0496	✗	0.99
2026-05-24	oos	0.1323	0.131871	-0.32%	0.1323	+0.00%	0.0002	✓	0.99
2026-05-23	oos	0.1383	0.137766	-0.39%	0.1323	-4.34%	0.0449	✓	1.03
2026-05-22	oos	0.13665	0.136164	-0.36%	0.1383	+1.21%	0.0008	✓	1.03
2026-05-21	oos	0.1478	0.146992	-0.55%	0.13665	-7.54%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.14585	0.145074	-0.53%	0.1478	+1.34%	0.0177	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.1409	0.140293	-0.43%	0.14585	+3.51%	0.0297	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.1438	0.143172	-0.44%	0.1409	-2.02%	0.0137	✓	1.02
2026-05-17	oos	0.1436	0.143005	-0.41%	0.1438	+0.14%	0.0116	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.1471	0.146434	-0.45%	0.1436	-2.38%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.1533	0.152534	-0.50%	0.1471	-4.04%	0.0241	✓	1.01
2026-05-14	oos	0.16025	0.159443	-0.50%	0.1533	-4.34%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.1536	0.15291	-0.45%	0.16025	+4.33%	0.0244	✗	1.01
2026-05-12	oos	0.17095	0.169896	-0.62%	0.1536	-10.15%	0.0864	✓	0.96
2026-05-11	oos	0.1787	0.177523	-0.66%	0.17095	-4.34%	0.0234	✓	0.93
2026-05-10	oos	0.1787	0.177616	-0.61%	0.1787	+0.00%	0.0115	✗	0.93
2026-05-09	oos	0.1799	0.178688	-0.67%	0.1787	-0.67%	0.0178	✓	0.94
2026-05-08	oos	0.1814	0.180071	-0.73%	0.1799	-0.83%	0.0063	✓	0.93
2026-05-07	oos	0.1734	0.172256	-0.66%	0.1814	+4.61%	0.0496	✗	0.91
2026-05-06	oos	0.16795	0.167022	-0.55%	0.1734	+3.25%	0.0539	✗	0.93
2026-05-05	oos	0.1666	0.165657	-0.57%	0.16795	+0.81%	0.0077	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.1678	0.166715	-0.65%	0.1666	-0.72%	0.0128	✓	0.92
2026-05-03	oos	0.1622	0.161039	-0.72%	0.1678	+3.45%	0.0263	✗	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.1645	0.163408	-0.66%	0.1622	-1.40%	0.0060	✓	0.92
2026-05-01	oos	0.1595	0.158542	-0.60%	0.1645	+3.13%	0.0317	✗	0.92
2026-04-30	oos	0.1549	0.153962	-0.61%	0.1595	+2.97%	0.0122	✗	0.93
2026-04-29	oos	0.1522	0.151299	-0.59%	0.1549	+1.77%	0.0168	✗	0.93
2026-04-28	oos	0.1531	0.152223	-0.57%	0.1522	-0.59%	0.0066	✗	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.1546	0.153853	-0.48%	0.1531	-0.97%	0.0075	✗	0.91
2026-04-26	oos	0.1622	0.161427	-0.48%	0.1546	-4.69%	0.0278	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.1564	0.155723	-0.43%	0.1622	+3.71%	0.0289	✗	0.91
2026-04-24	oos	0.163	0.162246	-0.46%	0.1564	-4.05%	0.0390	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.1759	0.174902	-0.57%	0.163	-7.33%	0.0608	✓	0.92
2026-04-22	oos	0.18475	0.183081	-0.90%	0.1759	-4.79%	0.0409	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.1801	0.178534	-0.87%	0.18475	+2.58%	0.0120	✗	0.92
2026-04-20	oos	0.14705	0.146402	-0.44%	0.1801	+22.48%	0.2013	✗	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.1406	0.140057	-0.39%	0.14705	+4.59%	0.0231	✗	0.94
2026-04-18	oos	0.14645	0.146068	-0.26%	0.1406	-3.99%	0.0142	✓	0.94
2026-04-17	oos	0.1514	0.151049	-0.23%	0.14645	-3.27%	0.0144	✓	0.93
2026-04-16	oos	0.1517	0.151189	-0.34%	0.1514	-0.20%	0.0224	✓	0.94
2026-04-15	oos	0.141	0.14069	-0.22%	0.1517	+7.59%	0.0713	✗	0.93
2026-04-14	oos	0.1345	0.134274	-0.17%	0.141	+4.83%	0.0406	✗	0.93
2026-04-13	oos	0.1398	0.139522	-0.20%	0.1345	-3.79%	0.0333	✓	0.93
2026-04-12	oos	0.1314	0.131095	-0.23%	0.1398	+6.39%	0.0172	✗	0.93
2026-04-11	oos	0.1431	0.142533	-0.40%	0.1314	-8.18%	0.0519	✓	0.91
2026-04-10	oos	0.1364	0.136147	-0.19%	0.1431	+4.91%	0.0487	✗	0.91
2026-04-09	oos	0.13315	0.132925	-0.17%	0.1364	+2.44%	0.0108	✗	0.91
2026-04-08	oos	0.1326	0.132413	-0.14%	0.13315	+0.41%	0.0035	✓	0.91
2026-04-07	oos	0.1428	0.142415	-0.27%	0.1326	-7.14%	0.0610	✓	0.90
2026-04-06	oos	0.1347	0.134287	-0.31%	0.1428	+6.01%	0.0226	✗	0.89
2026-04-05	oos	0.1287	0.128409	-0.23%	0.1347	+4.66%	0.0498	✗	0.89
2026-04-04	oos	0.1271	0.126823	-0.22%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0081	✓	0.90
2026-04-03	oos	0.1282	0.127916	-0.22%	0.1271	-0.86%	0.0109	✓	0.90
2026-04-02	oos	0.1287	0.128413	-0.22%	0.1282	-0.39%	0.0025	✓	0.90
2026-04-01	oos	0.1348	0.134408	-0.29%	0.1287	-4.53%	0.0270	✓	0.91
2026-03-31	oos	0.1343	0.133946	-0.26%	0.1348	+0.37%	0.0078	✗	0.92
2026-03-30	oos	0.1353	0.134928	-0.27%	0.1343	-0.74%	0.0250	✓	0.92
2026-03-29	oos	0.132	0.131707	-0.22%	0.1353	+2.50%	0.0161	✗	0.92
2026-03-28	oos	0.1404	0.14	-0.28%	0.132	-5.98%	0.0538	✓	0.92
2026-03-27	oos	0.15035	0.149606	-0.50%	0.1404	-6.62%	0.0630	✓	0.92
2026-03-26	oos	0.1362	0.135969	-0.17%	0.15035	+10.39%	0.1354	✗	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.1438	0.143571	-0.16%	0.1362	-5.29%	0.0176	✓	0.97
2026-03-24	oos	0.1359	0.135741	-0.12%	0.1438	+5.81%	0.0472	✗	0.96
2026-03-23	oos	0.14015	0.139994	-0.11%	0.1359	-3.03%	0.0250	✓	0.96
2026-03-22	oos	0.1415	0.141284	-0.15%	0.14015	-0.95%	0.0514	✓	0.99
2026-03-21	oos	0.149	0.148773	-0.15%	0.1415	-5.03%	0.0347	✓	0.99
2026-03-20	oos	0.1528	0.152648	-0.10%	0.149	-2.49%	0.0017	✓	0.99
2026-03-19	oos	0.1542	0.154085	-0.07%	0.1528	-0.91%	0.0166	✓	1.00
2026-03-18	oos	0.156	0.155917	-0.05%	0.1542	-1.15%	0.0079	✗	1.01
2026-03-17	oos	0.1648	0.164719	-0.05%	0.156	-5.34%	0.0172	✓	1.01
2026-03-16	oos	0.1716	0.171481	-0.07%	0.1648	-3.96%	0.0267	✓	1.02
2026-03-15	oos	0.1623	0.162198	-0.06%	0.1716	+5.73%	0.0283	✗	1.01
2026-03-14	oos	0.1645	0.164333	-0.10%	0.1623	-1.34%	0.0349	✓	1.01
2026-03-13	oos	0.1699	0.169602	-0.18%	0.1645	-3.18%	0.0347	✓	1.03
2026-03-12	oos	0.1603	0.160154	-0.09%	0.1699	+5.99%	0.0531	✗	1.02
2026-03-11	oos	0.1621	0.161939	-0.10%	0.1603	-1.11%	0.0149	✓	1.02
2026-03-10	oos	0.1587	0.158584	-0.07%	0.1621	+2.14%	0.0184	✗	1.01
2026-03-09	oos	0.158	0.157897	-0.07%	0.1587	+0.44%	0.0175	✓	1.02
2026-03-08	oos	0.155	0.154934	-0.04%	0.158	+1.94%	0.0177	✓	1.02
2026-03-07	oos	0.1602	0.160148	-0.03%	0.155	-3.25%	0.0130	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.1708	0.170689	-0.06%	0.1602	-6.21%	0.0508	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.17205	0.171988	-0.04%	0.1708	-0.73%	0.0341	✗	1.03
2026-03-04	oos	0.1771	0.17704	-0.03%	0.17205	-2.85%	0.0029	✓	1.03
2026-03-03	oos	0.1729	0.172835	-0.04%	0.1771	+2.43%	0.0405	✓	1.05
2026-03-02	oos	0.1774	0.177313	-0.05%	0.1729	-2.54%	0.0176	✓	1.05
2026-03-01	oos	0.1789	0.178799	-0.06%	0.1774	-0.84%	0.0578	✓	1.10
2026-02-28	oos	0.1838	0.183703	-0.05%	0.1789	-2.67%	0.0064	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.1825	0.182449	-0.03%	0.1838	+0.71%	0.0112	✓	1.11
2026-02-26	oos	0.1848	0.184769	-0.02%	0.1825	-1.24%	0.0150	✗	1.12
2026-02-25	oos	0.1859	0.185876	-0.01%	0.1848	-0.59%	0.0025	✗	1.12
2026-02-24	oos	0.181	0.180946	-0.03%	0.1859	+2.71%	0.0419	✓	1.16
2026-02-23	oos	0.1834	0.183382	-0.01%	0.181	-1.31%	0.0033	✓	1.13
2026-02-22	oos	0.1999	0.199704	-0.10%	0.1834	-8.25%	0.0356	✓	1.09
2026-02-21	oos	0.2101	0.209779	-0.15%	0.1999	-4.85%	0.0427	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.2132	0.212831	-0.17%	0.2101	-1.45%	0.0125	✓	1.08
2026-02-19	oos	0.2146	0.214167	-0.20%	0.2132	-0.65%	0.0209	✓	1.09
2026-02-18	oos	0.2079	0.20756	-0.16%	0.2146	+3.22%	0.0243	✗	1.09
2026-02-17	oos	0.2246	0.223923	-0.30%	0.2079	-7.44%	0.0567	✓	1.12
2026-02-16	oos	0.22215	0.22152	-0.28%	0.2246	+1.10%	0.0372	✗	1.15
2026-02-15	oos	0.2167	0.216169	-0.24%	0.22215	+2.51%	0.0262	✗	1.15
2026-02-14	oos	0.2296	0.228814	-0.34%	0.2167	-5.62%	0.0378	✓	1.15
2026-02-13	oos	0.2222	0.221556	-0.29%	0.2296	+3.33%	0.0195	✗	1.15
2026-02-12	oos	0.2114	0.210973	-0.20%	0.2222	+5.11%	0.0084	✗	1.13
2026-02-11	oos	0.2095	0.209101	-0.19%	0.2114	+0.91%	0.0236	✗	1.04
2026-02-10	oos	0.2094	0.208989	-0.20%	0.2095	+0.05%	0.0302	✗	1.06
2026-02-09	oos	0.213	0.212533	-0.22%	0.2094	-1.69%	0.0048	✗	1.05
2026-02-08	oos	0.2119	0.211489	-0.19%	0.213	+0.52%	0.0097	✗	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.2196	0.21906	-0.25%	0.2119	-3.51%	0.0487	✓	1.04
2026-02-06	oos	0.2177	0.217028	-0.31%	0.2196	+0.87%	0.0306	✗	1.02
2026-02-05	oos	0.1972	0.197539	+0.17%	0.2177	+10.40%	0.0263	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.22765	0.226788	-0.38%	0.1972	-13.38%	0.0345	✗	1.16
2026-02-03	oos	0.23515	0.234071	-0.46%	0.22765	-3.19%	0.0140	✗	1.17
2026-02-02	oos	0.2402	0.238922	-0.53%	0.23515	-2.10%	0.0307	✗	1.20
2026-02-01	oos	0.2286	0.227594	-0.44%	0.2402	+5.07%	0.0279	✗	1.14
2026-01-31	oos	0.2326	0.23151	-0.47%	0.2286	-1.72%	0.0144	✗	1.20
2026-01-30	oos	0.2533	0.251781	-0.60%	0.2326	-8.17%	0.0000	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.2629	0.261182	-0.65%	0.2533	-3.65%	0.0250	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.2686	0.266745	-0.69%	0.2629	-2.12%	0.0502	✗	1.21
2026-01-27	oos	0.2708	0.268727	-0.77%	0.2686	-0.81%	0.0011	✓	1.19
2026-01-26	oos	0.2391	0.237591	-0.63%	0.2708	+13.26%	0.1196	✗	1.15
2026-01-25	oos	0.24365	0.24208	-0.64%	0.2391	-1.87%	0.0347	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.2692	0.267253	-0.72%	0.24365	-9.49%	0.0604	✓	1.12
2026-01-23	oos	0.2704	0.268383	-0.75%	0.2692	-0.44%	0.0079	✗	1.11
2026-01-22	oos	0.2684	0.266259	-0.80%	0.2704	+0.75%	0.0153	✗	1.10
2026-01-21	oos	0.276	0.273497	-0.91%	0.2684	-2.75%	0.0200	✓	1.10
2026-01-20	oos	0.2557	0.253818	-0.74%	0.276	+7.94%	0.0711	✗	1.07
2026-01-19	oos	0.286	0.283545	-0.86%	0.2557	-10.59%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-01-18	oos	0.2962	0.293295	-0.98%	0.286	-3.44%	0.0137	✓	1.00
2026-01-17	oos	0.2857	0.28315	-0.89%	0.2962	+3.68%	0.0610	✗	1.02
2026-01-16	oos	0.315	0.309725	-1.67%	0.2857	-9.30%	0.0766	✓	1.01
2026-01-15	oos	0.2512	0.249277	-0.77%	0.315	+25.40%	0.2349	✗	1.01
2026-01-14	oos	0.2669	0.26497	-0.72%	0.2512	-5.88%	0.0393	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.27	0.267798	-0.82%	0.2669	-1.15%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-01-12	oos	0.2555	0.253047	-0.96%	0.27	+5.68%	0.0208	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.2624	0.25985	-0.97%	0.2555	-2.63%	0.0203	✓	0.98
2026-01-10	oos	0.2505	0.248301	-0.88%	0.2624	+4.75%	0.0499	✗	0.97
2026-01-09	oos	0.2652	0.262942	-0.85%	0.2505	-5.54%	0.0470	✓	0.97
2026-01-08	oos	0.2732	0.270957	-0.82%	0.2652	-2.93%	0.0160	✓	0.97
2026-01-07	oos	0.2711	0.269035	-0.76%	0.2732	+0.77%	0.0181	✗	0.97
2026-01-06	oos	0.2852	0.283117	-0.73%	0.2711	-4.94%	0.0181	✓	0.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.292	0.289725	-0.78%	0.2852	-2.33%	0.0142	✓	0.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.2783	0.276128	-0.78%	0.292	+4.92%	0.0320	✗	0.93
2026-01-03	oos	0.2846	0.282153	-0.86%	0.2783	-2.21%	0.0230	✓	0.94
2026-01-02	oos	0.2823	0.279571	-0.97%	0.2846	+0.81%	0.0112	✗	0.94
2026-01-01	oos	0.2637	0.261497	-0.84%	0.2823	+7.05%	0.0642	✗	0.90
2025-12-31	oos	0.2514	0.249399	-0.80%	0.2637	+4.89%	0.0434	✗	0.88
2025-12-30	oos	0.2556	0.253574	-0.79%	0.2514	-1.64%	0.0004	✓	0.88
2025-12-29	oos	0.2542	0.252183	-0.79%	0.2556	+0.55%	0.0006	✓	0.88
2025-12-28	oos	0.2559	0.253896	-0.78%	0.2542	-0.66%	0.0089	✗	0.88
2025-12-27	oos	0.2562	0.254204	-0.78%	0.2559	-0.12%	0.0060	✓	0.88
2025-12-26	oos	0.2508	0.248917	-0.75%	0.2562	+2.15%	0.0237	✗	0.87
2025-12-25	oos	0.2399	0.238348	-0.65%	0.2508	+4.54%	0.0497	✗	0.86
2025-12-24	oos	0.2433	0.241722	-0.65%	0.2399	-1.40%	0.0033	✓	0.86
2025-12-23	oos	0.2395	0.238022	-0.62%	0.2433	+1.59%	0.0202	✗	0.86
2025-12-22	oos	0.2455	0.243884	-0.66%	0.2395	-2.44%	0.0072	✓	0.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.2415	0.239966	-0.64%	0.2455	+1.66%	0.0236	✗	0.85
2025-12-20	oos	0.2338	0.23244	-0.58%	0.2415	+3.29%	0.0352	✗	0.84
2025-12-19	oos	0.2195	0.218481	-0.46%	0.2338	+6.51%	0.0656	✗	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.208	0.207333	-0.32%	0.2195	+5.53%	0.0335	✗	0.78
2025-12-17	oos	0.2219	0.221059	-0.38%	0.208	-6.26%	0.0542	✓	0.77
2025-12-16	oos	0.2455	0.24438	-0.46%	0.2219	-9.61%	0.0827	✓	0.73
2025-12-15	oos	0.2413	0.240292	-0.42%	0.2455	+1.74%	0.0096	✗	0.72
2025-12-14	oos	0.2389	0.237949	-0.40%	0.2413	+1.00%	0.0288	✗	0.74
2025-12-13	oos	0.2591	0.258158	-0.36%	0.2389	-7.80%	0.0611	✓	0.70
2025-12-12	oos	0.2586	0.25783	-0.30%	0.2591	+0.19%	0.0051	✗	0.70
2025-12-11	oos	0.265	0.26431	-0.26%	0.2586	-2.42%	0.0044	✓	0.70
2025-12-10	oos	0.2906	0.289834	-0.26%	0.265	-8.81%	0.0936	✓	0.73
2025-12-09	oos	0.3209	0.319838	-0.33%	0.2906	-9.44%	0.0908	✓	0.72
2025-12-08	oos	0.3238	0.322593	-0.37%	0.3209	-0.90%	0.0217	✓	0.74
2025-12-07	oos	0.3252	0.32394	-0.39%	0.3238	-0.43%	0.0025	✓	0.74
2025-12-06	oos	0.3261	0.32477	-0.41%	0.3252	-0.28%	0.0080	✓	0.74
2025-12-05	oos	0.3232	0.321926	-0.39%	0.3261	+0.90%	0.0135	✗	0.74
2025-12-04	oos	0.3359	0.334494	-0.42%	0.3232	-3.78%	0.0122	✓	0.73
2025-12-03	oos	0.326	0.324712	-0.40%	0.3359	+3.04%	0.0449	✗	0.75
2025-12-02	oos	0.3233	0.321942	-0.42%	0.326	+0.84%	0.0049	✓	0.75
2025-12-01	oos	0.299	0.297857	-0.38%	0.3233	+8.13%	0.0477	✗	0.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.3245	0.323137	-0.42%	0.299	-7.86%	0.0540	✓	0.51
2025-11-29	oos	0.3338	0.332398	-0.42%	0.3245	-2.79%	0.0215	✓	0.51
2025-11-28	oos	0.3244	0.323266	-0.35%	0.3338	+2.90%	0.0325	✗	0.50
2025-11-27	oos	0.3494	0.347808	-0.46%	0.3244	-7.16%	0.0674	✓	0.50
2025-11-26	oos	0.3366	0.335159	-0.43%	0.3494	+3.80%	0.0373	✗	0.47
2025-11-25	oos	0.3447	0.342932	-0.51%	0.3366	-2.35%	0.0378	✓	0.54
2025-11-24	oos	0.30815	0.306867	-0.42%	0.3447	+11.86%	0.1224	✗	0.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.284	0.282994	-0.35%	0.30815	+8.50%	0.0779	✗	0.44
2025-11-22	oos	0.2968	0.295942	-0.29%	0.284	-4.31%	0.0541	✓	0.52
2025-11-21	oos	0.3199	0.318985	-0.29%	0.2968	-7.22%	0.0675	✓	1.00
2025-11-20	oos	0.3305	0.329548	-0.29%	0.3199	-3.21%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2025-11-19	oos	0.373	0.371282	-0.46%	0.3305	-11.39%	0.0610	✓	1.00
2025-11-18	oos	0.4208	0.417674	-0.74%	0.373	-11.36%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2025-11-17	oos	0.4043	0.401824	-0.61%	0.4208	+4.08%	0.0373	✗	1.00
2025-11-16	oos	0.4342	0.430916	-0.76%	0.4043	-6.89%	0.0414	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.4311	0.427838	-0.76%	0.4342	+0.72%	0.0291	✗	1.00
2025-11-14	oos	0.4591	0.454295	-1.05%	0.4311	-6.10%	0.0634	✓	1.00
2025-11-13	oos	0.4211	0.417485	-0.86%	0.4591	+9.02%	0.1477	✗	1.00
2025-11-12	oos	0.4632	0.456993	-1.34%	0.4211	-9.09%	0.0617	✓	1.00
2025-11-11	oos	0.4332	0.428402	-1.11%	0.4632	+6.93%	0.0915	✗	1.00
2025-11-10	oos	0.3909	0.387467	-0.88%	0.4332	+10.82%	0.1400	✗	1.00
2025-11-09	oos	0.3523	0.349454	-0.81%	0.3909	+10.96%	0.0999	✗	1.00
2025-11-08	oos	0.3654	0.362551	-0.78%	0.3523	-3.59%	0.0520	✓	1.00
2025-11-07	oos	0.3836	0.380435	-0.83%	0.3654	-4.74%	0.0306	✓	1.00
2025-11-06	oos	0.3544	0.351638	-0.78%	0.3836	+8.24%	0.0675	✗	1.00
2025-11-05	oos	0.3667	0.363752	-0.80%	0.3544	-3.35%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2025-11-04	oos	0.3522	0.34933	-0.81%	0.3667	+4.12%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2025-11-03	oos	0.3589	0.356376	-0.70%	0.3522	-1.87%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2025-11-02	oos	0.4039	0.40146	-0.60%	0.3589	-11.14%	0.0754	✓	1.00
2025-11-01	oos	0.4405	0.437855	-0.60%	0.4039	-8.31%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2025-03-14	in	0.1504	0.150244	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	-1.49
2025-03-13	in	0.1504	0.150319	-0.05%	0.1504	+0.00%	0.0556	✗	-1.56
2025-03-12	in	0.2152	0.214024	-0.55%	0.1504	-30.11%	0.4124	✓	-1.90
2025-03-11	in	0.2021	0.201465	-0.31%	0.2152	+6.48%	0.0832	✗	-1.92
2025-03-10	in	0.2911	0.28831	-0.96%	0.2021	-30.57%	0.2858	✓	-1.28
2025-03-09	in	0.539	0.510959	-5.20%	0.2911	-45.99%	0.6096	✓	-1.74
2025-03-08	in	0.1749	0.174648	-0.14%	0.539	+208.18%	1.1552	✗	0.43
2025-03-07	in	0.2203	0.218816	-0.67%	0.1749	-20.61%	0.2215	✓	0.39
2025-03-06	in	0.2163	0.215397	-0.42%	0.2203	+1.85%	0.0384	✗	0.44
2025-03-02	in	0.2357	0.234731	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-02-28	in	0.2236	0.222675	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2025-02-27	in	0.2237	0.222771	-0.42%	0.2236	-0.04%	0.0051	✗	0.36
2025-02-26	in	0.2358	0.234494	-0.55%	0.2237	-5.13%	0.0491	✓	0.33
2025-02-24	in	0.2306	0.229429	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.38
2025-02-20	in	0.269	0.267259	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2025-02-17	in	0.2305	0.228642	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2025-02-16	in	0.2488	0.246115	-1.08%	0.2305	-7.36%	0.0649	✓	0.19
2025-02-15	in	0.2178	0.21739	-0.19%	0.2488	+14.23%	0.1387	✗	0.25
2025-02-14	in	0.2622	0.261327	-0.33%	0.2178	-16.93%	0.1824	✓	0.25
2025-02-13	in	0.262	0.261239	-0.29%	0.2622	+0.08%	0.0014	✓	0.25
2025-02-12	in	0.2635	0.262914	-0.22%	0.262	-0.57%	0.0005	✓	0.23
2025-02-11	in	0.2235	0.223297	-0.09%	0.2635	+17.90%	0.1622	✗	0.15
2025-02-09	in	0.2656	0.265096	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.14
2025-02-07	in	0.2947	0.293675	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.24
2025-02-06	in	0.2796	0.278863	-0.26%	0.2947	+5.40%	0.0553	✗	0.25
2025-02-05	in	0.2741	0.273471	-0.23%	0.2796	+2.01%	0.0224	✗	0.25
2025-02-03	in	0.3005	0.299371	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2025-02-02	in	0.2933	0.292683	-0.21%	0.3005	+2.45%	0.0146	✗	0.31
2025-02-01	in	0.3298	0.328547	-0.38%	0.2933	-11.07%	0.1063	✓	0.24
2025-01-31	in	0.3449	0.343282	-0.47%	0.3298	-4.38%	0.0360	✓	0.23
2025-01-30	in	0.3276	0.326207	-0.43%	0.3449	+5.28%	0.0616	✗	0.26
2025-01-29	in	0.3277	0.325133	-0.78%	0.3276	-0.03%	0.0051	✓	0.26
2025-01-28	in	0.3246	0.323141	-0.45%	0.3277	+0.96%	0.0074	✗	0.28
2025-01-27	in	0.2782	0.277466	-0.26%	0.3246	+16.68%	0.1592	✗	0.31
2025-01-26	in	0.287	0.286476	-0.18%	0.2782	-3.07%	0.0276	✓	0.35
2025-01-24	in	0.2781	0.278154	+0.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2025-01-23	in	0.3231	0.322785	-0.10%	0.2781	-13.93%	0.1522	✓	0.36
2025-01-22	in	0.3872	0.385664	-0.40%	0.3231	-16.55%	0.1779	✓	0.35
2025-01-21	in	0.3045	0.304367	-0.04%	0.3872	+27.16%	0.2520	✗	0.48
2025-01-20	in	0.3486	0.347912	-0.20%	0.3045	-12.65%	0.1547	✓	0.56
2025-01-19	in	0.3346	0.333719	-0.26%	0.3486	+4.18%	0.0385	✗	0.55
2025-01-18	in	0.3351	0.334622	-0.14%	0.3346	-0.15%	0.0165	✗	0.53
2025-01-17	in	0.3974	0.395805	-0.40%	0.3351	-15.68%	0.1681	✓	0.52
2025-01-16	in	0.3835	0.382027	-0.38%	0.3974	+3.62%	0.0192	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.