XVG

Verge · native · gru_s0

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0324

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual +0.0000

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002616	0.002601	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.002608	0.002595	-0.49%	0.002616	+0.33%	0.0062	✗	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002575	-0.51%	0.002608	+0.75%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.002496	-0.42%	0.002588	+3.27%	0.0245	✗	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002508	-0.37%	0.002506	-0.44%	0.0011	✓	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002558	-0.38%	0.002517	-1.97%	0.0228	✓	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002586	-0.38%	0.002567	-1.10%	0.0060	✓	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002625	-0.40%	0.002596	-1.52%	0.0047	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002618	-0.40%	0.002636	+0.27%	0.0008	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002759	-0.51%	0.002629	-5.19%	0.0324	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002721	-0.48%	0.002773	+1.43%	0.0050	✗	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002917	-0.58%	0.002734	-6.80%	0.0466	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002952	-0.58%	0.002933	-1.21%	0.0135	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002824	-0.44%	0.002969	+4.69%	0.0469	✗	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002779	-0.40%	0.002837	+1.67%	0.0125	✗	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002953	-0.47%	0.00279	-5.97%	0.0426	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003059	-0.48%	0.002967	-3.48%	0.0111	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.003131	-0.52%	0.003074	-2.32%	0.0165	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.003165	-0.54%	0.003147	-1.10%	0.0009	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003198	-0.60%	0.003182	-1.09%	0.0204	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003095	-0.53%	0.003217	+3.37%	0.0364	✗	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003186	-0.60%	0.003112	-2.90%	0.0204	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.003256	-0.68%	0.003205	-2.23%	0.0273	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.003124	-0.59%	0.003278	+4.31%	0.0489	✗	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.003112	-0.63%	0.003142	+0.35%	0.0081	✗	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.003428	-1.39%	0.003132	-9.91%	0.0811	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003155	-0.56%	0.003476	+9.55%	0.0964	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.003108	-0.52%	0.003173	+1.57%	0.0178	✗	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.003006	-0.42%	0.003124	+3.48%	0.0412	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002842	-0.27%	0.003019	+5.93%	0.0603	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003175	-0.49%	0.00285	-10.67%	0.0921	✓	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003128	-0.46%	0.003191	+1.51%	0.0231	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.00303	-0.43%	0.003143	+3.29%	0.0147	✓	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003134	-0.51%	0.003043	-3.41%	0.0289	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003185	-0.59%	0.003151	-1.65%	0.0142	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002959	-0.55%	0.003204	+7.68%	0.0377	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002791	-0.40%	0.002975	+6.17%	0.0619	✗	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002635	-0.24%	0.002802	+6.08%	0.0560	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002742	-0.27%	0.002642	-3.93%	0.0133	✓	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.002667	-0.27%	0.00275	+2.80%	0.0177	✗	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.00268	-0.27%	0.002674	-0.47%	0.0024	✓	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.00258	-0.17%	0.002687	+3.97%	0.0401	✗	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002575	-0.16%	0.002584	+0.19%	0.0030	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002704	-0.25%	0.00258	-4.85%	0.0310	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.00291	-0.35%	0.002711	-7.17%	0.0694	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002898	-0.41%	0.00292	+0.36%	0.0138	✗	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002864	-0.31%	0.00291	+1.29%	0.0279	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002794	-0.36%	0.002873	+2.46%	0.0231	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002825	-0.37%	0.002804	-1.09%	0.0088	✓	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002634	-0.15%	0.002835	+7.49%	0.0902	✗	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002742	-0.74%	0.002638	-4.54%	0.0865	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002456	-0.07%	0.002763	+12.41%	0.1188	✗	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002548	-0.11%	0.002458	-3.65%	0.0219	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002395	-0.04%	0.002551	+6.47%	0.0518	✗	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002444	-0.05%	0.002396	-2.00%	0.0128	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002442	-0.04%	0.002445	+0.08%	0.0036	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002575	-0.07%	0.002443	-5.20%	0.0237	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002555	-0.11%	0.002577	+0.76%	0.0061	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.002458	-0.07%	0.002557	+3.96%	0.0337	✗	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.00253	-0.13%	0.00246	-2.88%	0.0227	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002629	-0.29%	0.002533	-3.94%	0.0524	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002548	-0.38%	0.002637	+3.11%	0.0263	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.00244	-0.17%	0.002557	+4.62%	0.0626	✗	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002205	-0.18%	0.002445	+10.66%	0.0403	✗	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002102	-0.28%	0.002209	+4.79%	0.0023	✓	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001974	-0.38%	0.002108	+6.36%	0.0036	✓	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.00201	-0.41%	0.001982	-1.78%	0.0169	✓	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.00202	-0.46%	0.002018	-0.54%	0.0256	✓	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002066	-0.47%	0.002029	-2.24%	0.0152	✓	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.002095	-0.49%	0.002076	-1.40%	0.0099	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.00206	-0.49%	0.002105	+1.69%	0.0286	✗	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002096	-0.50%	0.00207	-1.76%	0.0129	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002105	-0.48%	0.002107	-0.40%	0.0028	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002191	-0.53%	0.002116	-3.97%	0.0288	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002235	-0.59%	0.002203	-2.00%	0.0014	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002093	-0.48%	0.002248	+6.89%	0.0725	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.00201	-0.40%	0.002103	+4.21%	0.0450	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001992	-0.39%	0.002018	+0.90%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001976	-0.38%	0.002	+0.83%	0.0177	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001945	-0.39%	0.001984	+1.56%	0.0102	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.002004	-0.49%	0.001953	-3.03%	0.0358	✓	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001903	-0.45%	0.002014	+5.36%	0.0573	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001914	-0.50%	0.001912	-0.62%	0.0143	✓	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001907	-0.51%	0.001924	+0.34%	0.0096	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001881	-0.43%	0.001917	+1.48%	0.0537	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001884	-0.40%	0.001889	-0.16%	0.0131	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.00199	-0.43%	0.001892	-5.35%	0.0516	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002099	-0.52%	0.001999	-5.26%	0.0518	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002164	-0.37%	0.00211	-2.85%	0.0060	✗	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.002132	-0.33%	0.002172	+1.54%	0.0012	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002133	-0.31%	0.002139	-0.05%	0.0015	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002096	-0.23%	0.00214	+1.86%	0.0394	✗	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002162	-0.22%	0.002101	-3.05%	0.0092	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.00212	-0.20%	0.002167	+2.02%	0.0301	✗	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002092	-0.33%	0.002124	+1.19%	0.0082	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002165	-0.38%	0.002099	-3.41%	0.0406	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002023	-0.04%	0.002173	+7.36%	0.0735	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002037	-0.06%	0.002024	-0.69%	0.0218	✓	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002067	-0.08%	0.002038	-1.50%	0.0165	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002117	-0.08%	0.002069	-2.36%	0.0098	✓	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002114	-0.07%	0.002119	+0.14%	0.0059	✗	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002105	-0.11%	0.002116	+0.43%	0.0350	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002129	-0.10%	0.002107	-1.13%	0.0121	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002152	-0.10%	0.002131	-1.07%	0.0093	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.00217	-0.10%	0.002154	-0.83%	0.0021	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002131	-0.09%	0.002172	+1.83%	0.0050	✗	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002109	-0.07%	0.002133	+1.09%	0.0027	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002143	-0.06%	0.00211	-1.59%	0.0015	✗	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002236	-0.09%	0.002144	-4.20%	0.0316	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.00226	-0.11%	0.002238	-1.06%	0.0162	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002289	-0.13%	0.002262	-1.31%	0.0199	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.00231	-0.16%	0.002292	-0.95%	0.0171	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002237	-0.13%	0.002314	+3.30%	0.0169	✗	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002191	-0.10%	0.00224	+2.14%	0.0030	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002088	-0.05%	0.002193	+4.98%	0.0251	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002218	-0.14%	0.002089	-5.94%	0.0332	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002225	-0.15%	0.002221	-0.34%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002239	-0.16%	0.002229	-0.65%	0.0028	✗	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002289	-0.18%	0.002243	-2.20%	0.0194	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002266	-0.15%	0.002293	+1.08%	0.0073	✗	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002346	-0.19%	0.002269	-3.45%	0.0119	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002435	-0.23%	0.00235	-3.71%	0.0089	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002475	-0.24%	0.00244	-1.63%	0.0064	✗	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002511	-0.25%	0.002481	-1.45%	0.0233	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002551	-0.27%	0.002518	-1.56%	0.0024	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002624	-0.32%	0.002557	-2.83%	0.0374	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002547	-0.28%	0.002632	+3.05%	0.0234	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002617	-0.34%	0.002554	-2.74%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002662	-0.42%	0.002626	-1.76%	0.0045	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002729	-0.60%	0.002673	-2.64%	0.0106	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002595	-0.39%	0.002746	+5.39%	0.0478	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002509	-0.33%	0.002605	+3.50%	0.0178	✗	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002453	-0.28%	0.002517	+2.32%	0.0117	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002506	-0.32%	0.00246	-2.13%	0.0179	✓	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002386	-0.17%	0.002514	+5.17%	0.0184	✗	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002461	-0.20%	0.00239	-3.08%	0.0254	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.002546	-0.28%	0.002466	-3.41%	0.0101	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002567	-0.27%	0.002553	-0.82%	0.0019	✓	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002485	-0.06%	0.002574	+3.54%	0.0026	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.002539	-0.08%	0.002486	-2.16%	0.0182	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002624	-0.24%	0.002541	-3.38%	0.0110	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002909	-0.52%	0.00263	-10.05%	0.0972	✓	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002969	-0.67%	0.002924	-2.17%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.003269	-0.99%	0.002989	-9.48%	0.0278	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.003282	-0.95%	0.003302	-0.36%	0.0353	✗	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.0032	-0.88%	0.003314	+2.66%	0.0375	✗	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003181	-0.88%	0.003228	+0.58%	0.0096	✗	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003232	-0.89%	0.00321	-1.58%	0.0052	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003215	-0.84%	0.003261	+0.59%	0.0243	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003217	-0.71%	0.003242	+0.06%	0.0266	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.003306	-0.66%	0.00324	-2.64%	0.0033	✓	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003246	-0.58%	0.003328	+1.95%	0.0219	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.003342	-0.60%	0.003265	-2.91%	0.0273	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003245	-0.57%	0.003363	+3.02%	0.0217	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003422	-0.59%	0.003264	-5.17%	0.0237	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003479	-0.68%	0.003442	-1.74%	0.0115	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003175	-0.48%	0.003503	+9.79%	0.0905	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003203	-0.47%	0.003191	-0.84%	0.0018	✓	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.003159	-0.40%	0.003217	+1.43%	0.0233	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.003236	-0.41%	0.003172	-2.37%	0.0124	✓	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003362	-0.41%	0.003249	-3.76%	0.0239	✓	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.00366	-0.50%	0.003376	-8.21%	0.0599	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003422	-0.46%	0.003678	+6.98%	0.0544	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003546	-0.45%	0.003438	-3.48%	0.0194	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003726	-0.46%	0.003562	-4.84%	0.0337	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003762	-0.44%	0.003743	-0.95%	0.0010	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003682	-0.45%	0.003779	+2.16%	0.0125	✗	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003731	-0.46%	0.003699	-1.31%	0.0127	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.003627	-0.40%	0.003748	+2.94%	0.0313	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.00376	-0.41%	0.003641	-3.55%	0.0163	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.00382	-0.49%	0.003775	-1.67%	0.0175	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.0036	-0.54%	0.003839	+6.05%	0.0533	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003506	-0.74%	0.00362	+2.49%	0.0186	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003216	-0.25%	0.003532	+9.55%	0.0951	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003271	-0.29%	0.003224	-1.74%	0.0194	✓	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003049	-0.34%	0.003281	+7.24%	0.0522	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.00311	-0.39%	0.00306	-2.00%	0.0224	✓	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003249	-0.42%	0.003122	-4.32%	0.0336	✓	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.0033	-0.36%	0.003263	-1.48%	0.0004	✓	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003412	-0.31%	0.003312	-3.21%	0.0152	✓	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003357	-0.33%	0.003422	+1.60%	0.0079	✗	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003427	-0.33%	0.003368	-2.05%	0.0196	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.00339	-0.29%	0.003439	+1.13%	0.0235	✗	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003433	-0.24%	0.0034	-1.19%	0.0104	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.003608	-0.26%	0.003441	-4.88%	0.0693	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.003607	-0.25%	0.003618	+0.04%	0.0030	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.003673	-0.31%	0.003616	-1.85%	0.0416	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003531	-0.21%	0.003684	+4.13%	0.0674	✗	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003724	-0.17%	0.003538	-5.15%	0.0340	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004662	-0.32%	0.00373	-20.25%	0.2494	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004585	-0.30%	0.004677	+1.71%	0.0154	✗	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004633	-0.36%	0.004599	-1.11%	0.0168	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004811	-0.40%	0.00465	-3.73%	0.0302	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004727	-0.48%	0.00483	+1.68%	0.0322	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.005002	-0.52%	0.00475	-5.53%	0.0173	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004985	-0.58%	0.005028	+0.28%	0.0073	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004724	-0.53%	0.005014	+5.58%	0.0422	✗	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.004476	-0.53%	0.004749	+5.55%	0.0488	✗	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004642	-0.46%	0.0045	-3.51%	0.0191	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004346	-0.51%	0.004663	+6.75%	0.0251	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.0043	-0.50%	0.004368	+1.06%	0.0179	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004243	-0.49%	0.004322	+1.36%	0.0078	✓	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004213	-0.45%	0.004264	+0.76%	0.0069	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004226	-0.43%	0.004232	-0.29%	0.0003	✓	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004371	-0.42%	0.004245	-3.30%	0.0106	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004484	-0.42%	0.00439	-2.51%	0.0196	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004244	-0.34%	0.004503	+5.72%	0.0362	✗	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004285	-0.33%	0.004259	-0.94%	0.0186	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004459	-0.34%	0.0043	-3.90%	0.0306	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004513	-0.31%	0.004474	-1.17%	0.0082	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004778	-0.30%	0.004527	-5.53%	0.0164	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004923	-0.25%	0.004792	-2.90%	0.0111	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004958	-0.26%	0.004935	-0.72%	0.0161	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004858	-0.24%	0.004971	+2.07%	0.0280	✗	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004666	-0.25%	0.00487	+4.10%	0.0034	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004782	-0.25%	0.004678	-2.42%	0.0055	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004891	-0.21%	0.004794	-2.18%	0.0040	✗	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004957	-0.20%	0.004901	-1.34%	0.0202	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005081	-0.18%	0.004967	-2.41%	0.0027	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.005397	-0.19%	0.00509	-5.86%	0.0196	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005603	-0.23%	0.005407	-3.72%	0.0220	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005351	-0.23%	0.005616	+4.71%	0.0191	✗	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.00529	-0.27%	0.005364	+1.12%	0.0095	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005105	-0.24%	0.005304	+3.65%	0.0340	✗	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.005036	-0.25%	0.005117	+1.35%	0.0097	✗	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005126	-0.28%	0.005049	-1.77%	0.0200	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.00511	-0.28%	0.00514	+0.31%	0.0022	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005184	-0.32%	0.005124	-1.48%	0.0358	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.00506	-0.30%	0.005201	+2.48%	0.0127	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005175	-0.29%	0.005075	-2.23%	0.0017	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005129	-0.25%	0.00519	+0.94%	0.0256	✗	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005424	-0.27%	0.005142	-5.45%	0.0098	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005636	-0.29%	0.005438	-3.78%	0.0091	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005445	-0.27%	0.005652	+3.52%	0.0299	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.0054	-0.24%	0.00546	+0.86%	0.0190	✗	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005418	-0.26%	0.005413	-0.34%	0.0502	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.00569	-0.32%	0.005432	-4.84%	0.0263	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005669	-0.33%	0.005708	+0.35%	0.0118	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005893	-0.39%	0.005688	-3.85%	0.0082	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.005968	-0.42%	0.005916	-1.28%	0.0005	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005781	-0.42%	0.005993	+3.24%	0.0308	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005823	-0.45%	0.005805	-0.75%	0.0066	✗	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005934	-0.47%	0.005849	-1.90%	0.0368	✗	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.00601	-0.48%	0.005962	-1.28%	0.0023	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.00614	-0.51%	0.006039	-2.15%	0.0161	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.006036	-0.48%	0.006171	+1.76%	0.0057	✗	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005943	-0.45%	0.006065	+1.59%	0.0111	✗	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005989	-0.46%	0.00597	-0.78%	0.0141	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006088	-0.50%	0.006017	-1.65%	0.0113	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.006002	-0.46%	0.006118	+1.46%	0.0181	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006496	-0.68%	0.00603	-7.80%	0.0592	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006328	-0.63%	0.00654	+2.70%	0.0180	✗	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006195	-0.58%	0.006368	+2.20%	0.0153	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005971	-0.51%	0.006231	+3.82%	0.0558	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.00597	-0.53%	0.006002	+0.00%	0.0338	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005782	-0.44%	0.006002	+3.34%	0.0579	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005815	-0.44%	0.005808	-0.56%	0.0016	✓	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.005802	-0.40%	0.005841	+0.26%	0.0099	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005956	-0.60%	0.005826	-2.77%	0.0014	✓	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005096	+0.48%	0.005992	+18.14%	0.0376	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.00571	-0.44%	0.005072	-11.56%	0.0626	✗	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005627	-0.52%	0.005735	+1.40%	0.0633	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005787	-0.72%	0.005656	-2.97%	0.0269	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.00539	-0.49%	0.005829	+7.61%	0.0511	✗	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005473	-0.58%	0.005417	-1.60%	0.0152	✗	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005987	-0.77%	0.005505	-8.76%	0.0096	✓	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006212	-0.78%	0.006033	-3.63%	0.0238	✓	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006746	-0.79%	0.006261	-7.93%	0.0141	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007228	-0.84%	0.0068	-6.72%	0.0617	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.007157	-0.82%	0.00729	+1.03%	0.0073	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006935	-0.75%	0.007216	+3.28%	0.0176	✗	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007759	-0.97%	0.006987	-10.82%	0.0736	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007647	-0.97%	0.007835	+1.46%	0.0292	✗	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.00709	-0.85%	0.007722	+7.98%	0.0852	✗	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007542	-1.10%	0.007151	-6.23%	0.0545	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.00664	-0.86%	0.007626	+13.85%	0.1258	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.007183	-1.05%	0.006698	-7.73%	0.0218	✓	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.00705	-0.92%	0.007259	+2.02%	0.0415	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.007026	-0.88%	0.007115	+0.38%	0.0292	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.006975	-0.89%	0.007088	+0.72%	0.0205	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.006783	-0.91%	0.007037	+2.80%	0.0377	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007247	-1.09%	0.006845	-6.58%	0.0421	✓	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006999	-1.29%	0.007327	+3.33%	0.0286	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006873	-1.62%	0.007091	+1.50%	0.0189	✓	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005882	-0.95%	0.006986	+17.65%	0.1682	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.005907	-0.91%	0.005938	-0.39%	0.0009	✓	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005772	-0.83%	0.005961	+2.42%	0.0341	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005922	-0.79%	0.00582	-2.50%	0.0106	✓	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005764	-0.70%	0.005969	+2.83%	0.0393	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.006219	-0.70%	0.005805	-7.31%	0.0279	✓	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.006082	-0.67%	0.006263	+2.29%	0.0318	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.006087	-0.75%	0.006123	-0.16%	0.0361	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005958	-0.79%	0.006133	+2.13%	0.0130	✗	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005714	-0.75%	0.006005	+4.31%	0.0385	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.005737	-0.82%	0.005757	-0.48%	0.0185	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005709	-0.90%	0.005785	+0.42%	0.0085	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006246	-1.47%	0.005761	-9.12%	0.0634	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005541	-1.31%	0.006339	+12.89%	0.1077	✗	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004996	-0.75%	0.005615	+11.55%	0.1330	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005072	-0.85%	0.005033	-1.61%	0.0091	✓	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.004732	-0.57%	0.005116	+7.50%	0.0675	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004799	-0.55%	0.004759	-1.37%	0.0109	✓	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004851	-0.54%	0.004825	-1.09%	0.0035	✓	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004853	-0.52%	0.004878	-0.02%	0.0013	✓	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.00481	-0.51%	0.004879	+0.91%	0.0378	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004733	-0.46%	0.004835	+1.68%	0.0230	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004984	-0.51%	0.004755	-5.09%	0.0538	✓	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004922	-0.47%	0.00501	+1.30%	0.0128	✗	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004749	-0.33%	0.004946	+3.79%	0.0167	✓	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.005061	-0.48%	0.004765	-6.30%	0.0439	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005545	-0.63%	0.005085	-8.86%	0.0513	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005552	-0.63%	0.00558	-0.13%	0.0259	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005581	-0.63%	0.005587	-0.52%	0.0389	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005957	-0.67%	0.005616	-6.35%	0.0154	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005903	-0.62%	0.005997	+0.96%	0.0163	✗	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006246	-0.63%	0.00594	-5.50%	0.0042	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006087	-0.62%	0.006286	+2.63%	0.0219	✗	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006509	-0.66%	0.006125	-6.52%	0.0477	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006317	-0.67%	0.006552	+3.02%	0.0044	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006284	-0.68%	0.00636	+0.52%	0.0069	✗	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006379	-0.72%	0.006327	-1.53%	0.0317	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006478	-0.75%	0.006425	-1.56%	0.0066	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006218	-0.69%	0.006527	+4.24%	0.1067	✗	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.0064	-0.71%	0.006261	-2.85%	0.0064	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005991	-0.68%	0.006445	+6.85%	0.0286	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.006028	-0.67%	0.006032	-0.61%	0.1182	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.0067	-0.79%	0.006069	-10.13%	0.0034	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006729	-0.78%	0.006753	-0.43%	0.0139	✗	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006863	-0.77%	0.006782	-1.94%	0.0102	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006985	-0.78%	0.006916	-1.76%	0.0006	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007531	-0.87%	0.00704	-7.33%	0.0870	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007405	-0.84%	0.007597	+1.73%	0.0509	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007606	-0.92%	0.007468	-2.72%	0.0048	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007243	-0.85%	0.007677	+5.09%	0.0223	✗	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007634	-1.06%	0.007305	-5.31%	0.1001	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.00678	-0.71%	0.007715	+12.99%	0.1395	✗	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006876	-0.72%	0.006828	-1.41%	0.0319	✗	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007277	-0.84%	0.006926	-5.63%	0.0806	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.008243	-1.22%	0.007339	-12.06%	0.0797	✓	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.00846	-1.98%	0.008345	-3.31%	0.0343	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.007232	-1.07%	0.008631	+18.07%	0.2316	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007597	-1.68%	0.00731	-5.40%	0.0035	✓	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006315	-0.78%	0.007727	+21.40%	0.1756	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006246	-0.74%	0.006365	+1.16%	0.1549	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006523	-0.74%	0.006292	-4.26%	0.0159	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006779	-0.74%	0.006572	-3.76%	0.0037	✓	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007401	-0.81%	0.006829	-8.47%	0.0084	✓	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007657	-0.94%	0.007461	-3.47%	0.0572	✓	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.007132	-0.76%	0.007729	+7.54%	0.0206	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.008005	-1.14%	0.007187	-11.24%	0.0837	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.007803	-1.12%	0.008097	+2.61%	0.0117	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.00787	-1.29%	0.007891	-1.03%	0.0659	✗	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.00733	-1.43%	0.007973	+7.22%	0.0253	✗	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007399	-1.27%	0.007436	-0.77%	0.1362	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.007069	-1.25%	0.007494	+4.68%	0.1629	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006846	-1.56%	0.007159	+2.93%	0.0321	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005982	-0.78%	0.006955	+15.36%	0.1379	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005346	-0.63%	0.006029	+12.06%	0.0881	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.00578	-0.68%	0.00538	-7.56%	0.0279	✓	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005737	-0.60%	0.00582	+0.83%	0.0877	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.006036	-0.65%	0.005772	-4.99%	0.0151	✓	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006361	-0.89%	0.006075	-5.34%	0.0345	✓	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005839	-0.68%	0.006418	+9.17%	0.0222	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005424	-0.58%	0.005879	+7.75%	0.0647	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005314	-0.55%	0.005456	+2.11%	0.0027	✓	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005479	-0.58%	0.005343	-3.05%	0.0926	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005658	-0.60%	0.005511	-3.18%	0.0054	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.006104	-0.72%	0.005692	-7.42%	0.0111	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.006097	-0.74%	0.006148	+0.08%	0.0417	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005971	-0.73%	0.006143	+2.13%	0.0111	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005634	-0.61%	0.006015	+6.10%	0.0452	✗	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005818	-0.61%	0.005669	-3.16%	0.0208	✗	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005954	-0.59%	0.005854	-2.25%	0.0527	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006219	-0.61%	0.005989	-4.28%	0.0219	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006571	-0.80%	0.006257	-5.54%	0.0077	✓	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006198	-0.78%	0.006624	+6.03%	0.0613	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005402	-0.40%	0.006247	+15.17%	0.0379	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005442	-0.37%	0.005424	-0.70%	0.0535	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007303	-0.69%	0.005462	-25.73%	0.0997	✓	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007637	-0.89%	0.007354	-4.57%	0.0043	✓	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006978	-0.59%	0.007706	+9.78%	0.0590	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.00755	-0.74%	0.007019	-7.71%	0.0051	✓	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007552	-0.84%	0.007606	-0.13%	0.0173	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008348	-1.56%	0.007616	-10.20%	0.1139	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.008014	-1.54%	0.008481	+4.20%	0.0538	✗	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.009127	-3.08%	0.008139	-13.57%	0.1517	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006185	-1.61%	0.009417	+49.81%	0.3808	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004961	-0.39%	0.006286	+26.22%	0.1521	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.004957	-0.40%	0.00498	+0.06%	0.0103	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.004928	-0.41%	0.004977	+0.59%	0.0328	✓	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004833	-0.41%	0.004948	+1.96%	0.0278	✓	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004907	-0.43%	0.004853	-1.52%	0.0107	✓	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004747	-0.41%	0.004928	+3.38%	0.0236	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005287	-0.52%	0.004767	-10.29%	0.0168	✓	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005188	-0.54%	0.005314	+1.88%	0.0025	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005273	-0.55%	0.005216	-1.62%	0.0033	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005704	-0.61%	0.005302	-7.61%	0.0246	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005741	-0.59%	0.005739	-0.62%	0.0086	✗	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005704	-0.57%	0.005775	+0.66%	0.0111	✗	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005972	-0.60%	0.005737	-4.51%	0.0134	✓	2.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.