HIVE

Hive · native · gru_s0

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0192

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0021

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05055	0.050374	-0.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.050305	-0.29%	0.05055	+0.20%	0.0073	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048749	-0.21%	0.05045	+3.28%	0.0230	✗	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.048469	-0.17%	0.04885	+0.62%	0.0096	✗	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049765	-0.17%	0.04855	-2.61%	0.0312	✓	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.051442	-0.21%	0.04985	-3.30%	0.0302	✓	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.051543	-0.21%	0.05155	-0.19%	0.0065	✗	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.051461	-0.17%	0.05165	+0.19%	0.0020	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.052553	-0.18%	0.05155	-2.09%	0.0036	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.052073	-0.15%	0.05265	+0.96%	0.0028	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.056011	-0.25%	0.05215	-7.12%	0.0530	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.055722	-0.23%	0.05615	+0.54%	0.0004	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.055237	-0.20%	0.05585	+0.90%	0.0076	✗	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.053326	-0.14%	0.05535	+3.65%	0.0292	✗	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.054857	-0.17%	0.0534	-2.82%	0.0122	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.05741	-0.24%	0.05495	-4.52%	0.0238	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.057706	-0.25%	0.05755	-0.52%	0.0009	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.057821	-0.22%	0.05785	-0.17%	0.0071	✗	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.056421	-0.23%	0.05795	+2.48%	0.0114	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.056077	-0.22%	0.05655	+0.62%	0.0063	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.056619	-0.23%	0.0562	-0.97%	0.0044	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.056604	-0.26%	0.05675	+0.00%	0.0089	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.05573	-0.21%	0.05675	+1.61%	0.0189	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.055843	-0.19%	0.05585	-0.18%	0.0015	✓	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.059416	-0.31%	0.05595	-6.12%	0.0510	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.059705	-0.41%	0.0596	-0.58%	0.0022	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.057626	-0.39%	0.05995	+3.63%	0.0367	✗	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.057184	-0.72%	0.05785	+0.43%	0.0142	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.053971	-0.24%	0.0576	+6.47%	0.0650	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.055972	-0.32%	0.0541	-3.65%	0.0189	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.055365	-0.33%	0.05615	+1.08%	0.0173	✗	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.053559	-0.35%	0.05555	+3.35%	0.0109	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.054842	-0.38%	0.05375	-2.36%	0.0194	✓	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.053273	-0.33%	0.05505	+2.99%	0.0296	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.051204	-0.19%	0.05345	+4.19%	0.0009	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.052167	-0.25%	0.0513	-1.91%	0.0187	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.053948	-0.83%	0.0523	-3.86%	0.0365	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.052125	-0.52%	0.0544	+3.82%	0.0695	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.050441	-1.19%	0.0524	+2.64%	0.0241	✗	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.048675	-0.36%	0.05105	+4.50%	0.0525	✗	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.045593	-0.13%	0.04885	+7.01%	0.0684	✗	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.043748	-0.00%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0357	✗	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.045569	-0.07%	0.04375	-4.06%	0.0233	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.045629	-0.05%	0.0456	-0.11%	0.0011	✗	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.045584	-0.03%	0.04565	+0.11%	0.0081	✗	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.046813	-0.08%	0.0456	-2.67%	0.0133	✓	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.04671	-0.09%	0.04685	+0.21%	0.0023	✓	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.046355	-0.21%	0.04675	+0.65%	0.0069	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.045899	-0.54%	0.04645	+0.65%	0.0278	✗	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.044159	-0.09%	0.04615	+4.41%	0.0008	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.043726	-0.06%	0.0442	+1.03%	0.0118	✗	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.043357	+0.02%	0.04375	+0.92%	0.0221	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.042015	+0.03%	0.04335	+3.21%	0.0225	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.042863	+0.03%	0.042	-1.98%	0.0142	✗	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043255	+0.01%	0.04285	-0.92%	0.0136	✗	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.043945	-0.01%	0.04325	-1.59%	0.0098	✗	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.043581	-0.04%	0.04395	+0.80%	0.0047	✓	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.041903	+0.01%	0.0436	+4.06%	0.0344	✓	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.042842	-0.02%	0.0419	-2.22%	0.0174	✓	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.043916	-0.08%	0.04285	-2.50%	0.0382	✓	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.043727	-0.17%	0.04395	+0.34%	0.0024	✓	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.045085	-0.14%	0.0438	-2.99%	0.0151	✓	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.042025	-0.18%	0.04515	+7.24%	0.0134	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.040071	-0.20%	0.0421	+4.86%	0.0069	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.03796	-0.24%	0.04015	+5.52%	0.0000	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.038563	-0.23%	0.03805	-1.55%	0.0160	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038762	-0.23%	0.03865	-0.51%	0.0247	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.039261	-0.23%	0.03885	-1.27%	0.0081	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.039126	-0.19%	0.03935	+0.38%	0.0051	✗	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.039527	-0.18%	0.0392	-1.01%	0.0023	✓	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.039468	-0.21%	0.0396	+0.13%	0.0031	✗	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.040067	-0.21%	0.03955	-1.49%	0.0113	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.040855	-0.23%	0.04015	-1.95%	0.0120	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.041495	-0.25%	0.04095	-1.56%	0.0001	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041736	-0.27%	0.0416	-0.60%	0.0024	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.041337	-0.27%	0.04185	+0.97%	0.0121	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.041228	-0.42%	0.04145	+0.12%	0.0032	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.04154	-0.26%	0.0414	-0.60%	0.0013	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.041241	-0.26%	0.04165	+0.73%	0.0022	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041729	-0.29%	0.04135	-1.19%	0.0171	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.042337	-0.27%	0.04185	-1.41%	0.0111	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.041658	-0.22%	0.04245	+1.68%	0.0076	✗	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.042358	-0.22%	0.04175	-1.65%	0.0135	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.042428	-0.17%	0.04245	-0.12%	0.0301	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.042081	-0.16%	0.0425	+0.83%	0.0027	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.043882	-0.16%	0.04215	-4.10%	0.0410	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.043841	-0.14%	0.04395	+0.11%	0.0001	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.047235	-0.14%	0.0439	-7.19%	0.0493	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.046982	-0.14%	0.0473	+0.53%	0.0086	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.046099	-0.11%	0.04705	+1.95%	0.0173	✗	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.04686	-0.08%	0.04615	-1.60%	0.0012	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.048014	-0.07%	0.0469	-2.39%	0.0087	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048708	-0.09%	0.04805	-1.44%	0.0076	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.048151	-0.10%	0.04875	+1.14%	0.0057	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.0479	-0.10%	0.0482	+0.52%	0.0012	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047905	-0.09%	0.04795	+0.00%	0.0026	✗	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.048391	-0.12%	0.04795	-1.03%	0.0226	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.04834	-0.12%	0.04845	+0.10%	0.0004	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.049391	-0.12%	0.0484	-2.12%	0.0062	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.049249	-0.10%	0.04945	+0.30%	0.0081	✗	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.048135	-0.14%	0.0493	+2.28%	0.0185	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.048785	-0.13%	0.0482	-1.33%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.049378	-0.15%	0.04885	-1.21%	0.0103	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.049229	-0.14%	0.04945	+0.30%	0.0098	✗	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.048724	-0.15%	0.0493	+1.02%	0.0026	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.048617	-0.17%	0.0488	+0.21%	0.0106	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.048773	-0.16%	0.0487	-0.31%	0.0152	✗	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.050307	-0.19%	0.04885	-3.08%	0.0191	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.050592	-0.21%	0.0504	-0.59%	0.0101	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051705	-0.28%	0.0507	-2.22%	0.0272	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.051452	-0.29%	0.05185	+0.48%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.050261	-0.28%	0.0516	+2.38%	0.0107	✗	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.050254	-0.29%	0.0504	+0.00%	0.0210	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.048	-0.21%	0.0504	+4.78%	0.0262	✗	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.050471	-0.26%	0.0481	-4.94%	0.0229	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.051208	-0.37%	0.0506	-1.56%	0.0224	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.049953	-0.29%	0.0514	+2.59%	0.0356	✗	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.05016	-0.28%	0.0501	-0.40%	0.0002	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.048973	-0.26%	0.0503	+2.44%	0.0222	✗	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.047795	-0.22%	0.0491	+2.51%	0.0471	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.048209	-0.29%	0.0479	-0.93%	0.0194	✗	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.049467	-0.27%	0.04835	-2.52%	0.0031	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.048843	-0.32%	0.0496	+1.22%	0.0047	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.049313	-0.28%	0.049	-0.91%	0.0082	✗	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.048331	-0.24%	0.04945	+2.06%	0.0119	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.04992	-0.26%	0.04845	-3.20%	0.0390	✓	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.051531	-0.33%	0.05005	-3.19%	0.0053	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.051025	-0.44%	0.0517	+0.88%	0.0309	✗	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.051222	-0.35%	0.05125	-0.29%	0.0105	✗	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.050479	-0.34%	0.0514	+1.48%	0.0096	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.050248	-0.30%	0.05065	+0.50%	0.0114	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.050596	-0.30%	0.0504	-0.69%	0.0177	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.051787	-0.60%	0.05075	-2.59%	0.0198	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.048078	-0.67%	0.0521	+7.64%	0.0482	✗	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.047026	-0.05%	0.0484	+2.87%	0.0325	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.049148	-0.11%	0.04705	-4.37%	0.0228	✓	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.050158	-0.08%	0.0492	-1.99%	0.0158	✓	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.050853	+0.10%	0.0502	-1.18%	0.0511	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.051187	+0.17%	0.0508	-0.59%	0.0047	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.056065	-0.06%	0.0511	-8.91%	0.0528	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.058456	-0.08%	0.0561	-4.10%	0.0379	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.060096	-0.50%	0.0585	-3.15%	0.0085	✗	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.060147	-0.58%	0.0604	-0.17%	0.0664	✗	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.06621	-3.20%	0.0605	-11.55%	0.0640	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.058086	-0.37%	0.0684	+17.32%	0.1657	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.057759	-0.33%	0.0583	+0.60%	0.0047	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.057973	-0.30%	0.05795	-0.34%	0.0013	✓	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.059816	-0.31%	0.05815	-3.08%	0.0191	✓	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.060806	-0.32%	0.06	-1.64%	0.0035	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.062616	-0.77%	0.061	-3.33%	0.0109	✓	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.059801	-0.41%	0.0631	+5.08%	0.0508	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.060436	-1.25%	0.06005	-1.88%	0.0099	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.058928	-0.29%	0.0612	+3.55%	0.0249	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.06018	-0.28%	0.0591	-2.07%	0.0043	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.059408	-0.24%	0.06035	+1.34%	0.0150	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.058092	-0.19%	0.05955	+2.32%	0.0174	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.059282	-0.20%	0.0582	-2.02%	0.0165	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.058022	-0.13%	0.0594	+2.24%	0.0284	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.060213	-0.14%	0.0581	-3.65%	0.0284	✓	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.061117	-0.14%	0.0603	-1.47%	0.0034	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.06408	-0.19%	0.0612	-4.67%	0.0253	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.06209	-0.10%	0.0642	+3.30%	0.0154	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.06676	-0.21%	0.06215	-7.10%	0.0599	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.066969	-0.34%	0.0669	-0.45%	0.0106	✗	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.066578	-0.18%	0.0672	+0.75%	0.0137	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.066075	-0.19%	0.0667	+0.76%	0.0052	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.06735	-0.37%	0.0662	-2.07%	0.0216	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.066025	-0.42%	0.0676	+1.96%	0.0219	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.067181	-0.77%	0.0663	-2.07%	0.0002	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.071678	-2.21%	0.0677	-7.64%	0.0627	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.05945	-0.08%	0.0733	+23.19%	0.1985	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.059539	-0.10%	0.0595	-0.17%	0.0140	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.060232	-0.11%	0.0596	-1.16%	0.0093	✓	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.059441	-0.10%	0.0603	+1.34%	0.0097	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.05897	-0.14%	0.0595	+0.76%	0.0118	✓	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.059408	-0.15%	0.05905	-0.76%	0.0121	✓	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.060508	-0.15%	0.0595	-1.82%	0.0105	✓	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.060429	-0.12%	0.0606	+0.17%	0.0143	✗	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.06232	-0.13%	0.0605	-3.04%	0.0155	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062631	-0.19%	0.0624	-0.56%	0.0148	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.061406	-0.15%	0.06275	+2.03%	0.0196	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.061377	-0.12%	0.0615	+0.08%	0.0110	✗	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.0609	-0.08%	0.06145	+0.82%	0.0082	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.061521	-0.13%	0.06095	-1.06%	0.0300	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.061676	-0.12%	0.0616	-0.24%	0.0067	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.060097	-0.17%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0034	✗	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.064395	-0.32%	0.0602	-6.81%	0.0454	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063989	-0.17%	0.0646	+0.78%	0.0250	✗	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.061639	-0.18%	0.0641	+3.81%	0.0172	✗	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.059521	-0.13%	0.06175	+3.61%	0.0330	✗	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.058381	-0.12%	0.0596	+1.97%	0.0131	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.060108	-0.15%	0.05845	-2.91%	0.0249	✓	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.058366	-0.23%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0134	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.05959	-0.18%	0.0585	-2.01%	0.0099	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.060191	-0.18%	0.0597	-1.00%	0.0092	✓	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.059771	-0.21%	0.0603	+0.67%	0.0056	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058879	-0.20%	0.0599	+1.53%	0.0085	✗	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.060297	-0.25%	0.059	-2.40%	0.0117	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.058439	-0.27%	0.06045	+3.16%	0.0030	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.058441	-0.27%	0.0586	+0.00%	0.0046	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.058879	-0.29%	0.0586	-0.76%	0.0264	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.059449	-0.42%	0.05905	-1.09%	0.0110	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.057062	-0.24%	0.0597	+4.37%	0.0443	✗	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057845	-0.27%	0.0572	-1.38%	0.0043	✗	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.056882	-0.21%	0.058	+1.75%	0.0208	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.056688	-0.20%	0.057	+0.35%	0.0136	✓	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.056168	-0.14%	0.0568	+0.98%	0.0011	✓	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.057716	-0.15%	0.05625	-2.68%	0.0210	✓	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.058011	-0.15%	0.0578	-0.52%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.060449	-0.33%	0.0581	-4.20%	0.0090	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062562	-0.06%	0.06065	-3.12%	0.0001	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062667	-0.05%	0.0626	-0.16%	0.0104	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.06174	-0.02%	0.0627	+1.54%	0.0196	✗	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059837	-0.02%	0.06175	+3.17%	0.0060	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.060901	+0.00%	0.05985	-1.72%	0.0040	✗	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064299	-0.00%	0.0609	-5.29%	0.0350	✓	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.06277	+0.03%	0.0643	+2.47%	0.0171	✓	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.064278	+0.04%	0.06275	-2.33%	0.0079	✗	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.067096	-0.01%	0.06425	-4.25%	0.0116	✓	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.065451	+0.08%	0.0671	+2.60%	0.0360	✓	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.063546	+0.07%	0.0654	+2.99%	0.0048	✓	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.062571	+0.03%	0.0635	+1.52%	0.0045	✗	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.062737	+0.06%	0.06255	-0.24%	0.0065	✗	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063328	+0.04%	0.0627	-0.95%	0.0151	✗	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.063616	+0.02%	0.0633	-0.47%	0.0090	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.06213	+0.05%	0.0636	+2.42%	0.0203	✓	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.062211	+0.02%	0.0621	-0.16%	0.0211	✗	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.060984	-0.03%	0.0622	+1.97%	0.0126	✓	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.061313	+0.02%	0.061	-0.49%	0.0121	✓	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062317	+0.03%	0.0613	-1.61%	0.0054	✗	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.063925	+0.04%	0.0623	-2.50%	0.0097	✓	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.064928	+0.04%	0.0639	-1.54%	0.0062	✓	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.064123	+0.04%	0.0649	+1.25%	0.0449	✗	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.065544	-0.01%	0.0641	-2.21%	0.0156	✓	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.064097	-0.00%	0.06555	+2.26%	0.0201	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.065806	+0.01%	0.0641	-2.58%	0.0093	✗	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.065558	+0.01%	0.0658	+0.38%	0.0121	✗	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.068261	-0.06%	0.06555	-4.03%	0.0176	✓	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.066274	-0.04%	0.0683	+3.02%	0.0371	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.063482	-0.11%	0.0663	+4.33%	0.0133	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.063619	+0.03%	0.06355	-0.08%	0.0071	✓	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.066003	+0.01%	0.0636	-3.64%	0.0056	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.068429	-0.03%	0.066	-3.58%	0.0314	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.068379	-0.03%	0.06845	+0.07%	0.0014	✗	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.068379	-0.03%	0.0684	+0.00%	0.0139	✓	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.068467	-0.12%	0.0684	-0.22%	0.0089	✓	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.071971	-0.04%	0.06855	-4.79%	0.0342	✓	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.072362	-0.05%	0.072	-0.55%	0.0139	✗	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.071876	-0.03%	0.0724	+0.70%	0.0064	✗	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.076209	-0.12%	0.0719	-5.77%	0.0449	✓	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.073835	-0.09%	0.0763	+3.25%	0.0199	✗	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.07205	+0.00%	0.0739	+2.57%	0.0104	✗	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.071102	+0.00%	0.07205	+1.34%	0.0243	✓	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.070483	+0.05%	0.0711	+0.92%	0.0328	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.073006	+0.01%	0.07045	-3.49%	0.0185	✗	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.071644	+0.06%	0.073	+1.96%	0.0211	✓	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.076668	-0.17%	0.0716	-6.77%	0.0824	✓	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.073667	+0.09%	0.0768	+4.35%	0.0591	✓	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.067084	+0.73%	0.0736	+10.51%	0.0198	✗	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.078994	+0.12%	0.0666	-15.59%	0.0293	✗	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.08096	+0.07%	0.0789	-2.47%	0.0075	✓	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.081655	+0.07%	0.0809	-0.86%	0.0283	✓	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.080234	+0.17%	0.0816	+1.87%	0.0053	✗	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.081362	+0.20%	0.0801	-1.35%	0.0079	✓	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.087285	-0.07%	0.0812	-7.04%	0.0023	✓	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.087016	-0.10%	0.08735	+0.29%	0.0088	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.093233	-0.23%	0.0871	-6.80%	0.0130	✓	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.094317	-0.30%	0.09345	-1.22%	0.0098	✓	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.092609	-0.21%	0.0946	+1.94%	0.0112	✗	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.091245	-0.17%	0.0928	+1.53%	0.0031	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.095095	-0.21%	0.0914	-4.09%	0.0101	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.094515	-0.19%	0.0953	+0.63%	0.0128	✗	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.094479	-0.18%	0.0947	+0.05%	0.0022	✗	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.096587	-0.22%	0.09465	-2.22%	0.0214	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.093835	-0.18%	0.0968	+2.98%	0.0189	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.0999	-0.20%	0.094	-6.09%	0.0133	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.101899	-0.20%	0.1001	-1.96%	0.0061	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.10646	-0.22%	0.1021	-4.31%	0.0262	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.106376	-0.21%	0.1067	+0.09%	0.0072	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.104275	-0.17%	0.1066	+2.06%	0.0229	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.108202	-0.18%	0.10445	-3.64%	0.0212	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.10905	-0.23%	0.1084	-0.82%	0.0225	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.103659	-0.23%	0.1093	+5.20%	0.0074	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.105757	-0.23%	0.1039	-1.98%	0.0213	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.109967	-0.30%	0.106	-3.90%	0.0425	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.107918	-0.26%	0.1103	+1.94%	0.0235	✗	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.10942	-0.35%	0.1082	-1.46%	0.0052	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.107842	-0.51%	0.1098	+1.29%	0.0219	✗	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.102346	-0.25%	0.1084	+5.65%	0.0960	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.101684	-0.31%	0.1026	+0.59%	0.0113	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.098952	-0.25%	0.102	+2.82%	0.0072	✓	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.098568	-0.24%	0.0992	+0.40%	0.0081	✓	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.098284	-0.22%	0.0988	+0.30%	0.0052	✓	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.09651	-0.20%	0.0985	+1.86%	0.0004	✓	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.096327	-0.18%	0.0967	+0.21%	0.0168	✓	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.100686	-0.41%	0.0965	-4.55%	0.0276	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.103985	-0.78%	0.1011	-3.53%	0.0497	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.097791	-1.32%	0.1048	+5.75%	0.0822	✗	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.094738	-0.28%	0.0991	+4.32%	0.0439	✗	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.089854	-0.16%	0.095	+5.56%	0.0473	✗	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090747	-0.17%	0.09	-0.99%	0.0103	✓	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.092034	-0.18%	0.0909	-1.41%	0.0052	✓	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.093865	-0.30%	0.0922	-2.07%	0.0209	✓	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.094684	-0.85%	0.09415	-1.41%	0.0129	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.088269	-0.15%	0.0955	+8.03%	0.0801	✗	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.089522	-0.14%	0.0884	-1.39%	0.0178	✓	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.089776	-0.14%	0.08965	-0.28%	0.0052	✓	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.085313	-0.10%	0.0899	+5.27%	0.0084	✗	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.089041	-0.12%	0.0854	-4.21%	0.0291	✓	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.09366	-0.15%	0.08915	-4.96%	0.0221	✓	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.09454	-0.17%	0.0938	-0.95%	0.0319	✓	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.098274	-0.18%	0.0947	-3.81%	0.0079	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.102209	-0.19%	0.09845	-3.86%	0.0037	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.101554	-0.19%	0.1024	+0.64%	0.0087	✗	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.102807	-0.28%	0.10175	-1.31%	0.0259	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.102903	-0.19%	0.1031	+0.00%	0.0061	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.105674	-0.21%	0.1031	-2.64%	0.0143	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.102187	-0.21%	0.1059	+3.42%	0.0036	✗	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.100717	-0.18%	0.1024	+1.49%	0.0126	✗	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.10433	-0.35%	0.1009	-3.63%	0.0519	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.102594	-0.20%	0.1047	+1.85%	0.0216	✗	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.105363	-0.22%	0.1028	-2.65%	0.0200	✗	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.107863	-0.22%	0.1056	-2.31%	0.0004	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.106066	-0.22%	0.1081	+1.69%	0.0155	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.100613	-0.19%	0.1063	+5.46%	0.0314	✓	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.106687	-0.20%	0.1008	-5.71%	0.0147	✗	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.108569	-0.21%	0.1069	-1.75%	0.0077	✓	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.108841	-0.24%	0.1088	-0.27%	0.0009	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.109929	-0.25%	0.1091	-1.00%	0.0006	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.106791	-0.20%	0.1102	+2.99%	0.0173	✗	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.106542	-0.19%	0.107	+0.23%	0.0509	✓	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.106203	-0.18%	0.10675	+0.33%	0.0219	✗	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.102174	-0.12%	0.1064	+4.01%	0.0144	✗	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.101931	-0.07%	0.1023	+0.29%	0.0359	✓	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.102194	-0.10%	0.102	-0.29%	0.0053	✗	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.107689	-0.10%	0.1023	-5.10%	0.0243	✓	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.110024	-0.16%	0.1078	-2.18%	0.0731	✗	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.110795	-0.18%	0.1102	-0.72%	0.0214	✗	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.107694	-0.10%	0.111	+2.97%	0.0153	✗	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.10976	-0.13%	0.1078	-1.91%	0.0200	✗	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.113605	-0.17%	0.1099	-3.43%	0.0088	✓	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.112263	-0.12%	0.1138	+1.25%	0.0050	✓	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.113404	-0.17%	0.1124	-1.06%	0.0871	✗	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.118255	-0.38%	0.1136	-4.30%	0.0036	✓	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.118953	-0.54%	0.1187	-0.75%	0.0222	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.125722	-0.30%	0.1196	-5.15%	0.0010	✓	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.124057	-0.28%	0.1261	+1.37%	0.0056	✓	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.122949	-0.28%	0.1244	+0.89%	0.0308	✓	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.123477	-0.42%	0.1233	-0.56%	0.0160	✗	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.111725	-0.16%	0.124	+10.81%	0.0702	✗	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.110964	-0.12%	0.1119	+0.72%	0.0532	✗	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.106752	-0.05%	0.1111	+4.03%	0.0018	✓	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.112513	-0.08%	0.1068	-5.15%	0.0381	✗	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.127583	-0.17%	0.1126	-11.89%	0.0596	✓	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.127897	-0.16%	0.1278	-0.23%	0.0086	✓	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.123568	-0.11%	0.1281	+3.56%	0.0279	✗	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.122391	-0.09%	0.1237	+0.98%	0.0098	✓	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.130684	-0.17%	0.1225	-6.42%	0.0369	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.132077	-0.17%	0.1309	-1.06%	0.0375	✗	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.134594	-0.23%	0.1323	-1.93%	0.0015	✓	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.140305	-0.28%	0.1349	-4.12%	0.0320	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.136133	-0.27%	0.1407	+3.08%	0.0133	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.137525	-0.27%	0.1365	-1.02%	0.0177	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.136727	-0.27%	0.1379	+0.58%	0.0068	✓	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.133477	-0.24%	0.1371	+2.47%	0.0159	✓	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.136262	-0.25%	0.1338	-2.05%	0.0050	✓	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.140881	-0.30%	0.1366	-3.33%	0.0064	✗	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.141521	-0.27%	0.1413	-0.42%	0.0336	✓	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.137947	-0.18%	0.1419	+2.68%	0.0030	✗	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.136405	-0.22%	0.1382	+1.10%	0.0002	✓	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.137732	-0.12%	0.1367	-0.87%	0.0226	✗	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.143327	-0.12%	0.1379	-3.90%	0.0056	✗	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.149143	-0.17%	0.1435	-3.95%	0.0010	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.15485	-0.23%	0.1494	-3.74%	0.0001	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.148355	-0.16%	0.1552	+4.44%	0.0418	✗	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.137703	+0.00%	0.1486	+7.92%	0.0070	✓	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.138094	-0.00%	0.1377	-0.29%	0.0334	✗	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.181751	-0.14%	0.1381	-24.12%	0.1746	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.186924	-0.15%	0.182	-2.78%	0.0089	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.182412	-0.13%	0.1872	+2.49%	0.0053	✗	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.190417	-0.15%	0.18265	-4.22%	0.0072	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.184657	-0.13%	0.1907	+3.14%	0.0199	✗	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.186368	-0.12%	0.1849	-0.91%	0.0189	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.19229	-0.16%	0.1866	-3.12%	0.0315	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.191448	-0.18%	0.1926	+0.42%	0.0118	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.188969	-0.23%	0.1918	+1.27%	0.0062	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.180344	-0.20%	0.1894	+4.81%	0.0020	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.179913	-0.21%	0.1807	+0.22%	0.0079	✗	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.18157	-0.24%	0.1803	-0.93%	0.0341	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.178884	-0.23%	0.182	+1.51%	0.0151	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.180145	-0.25%	0.1793	-0.72%	0.0045	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.175803	-0.23%	0.1806	+2.50%	0.0183	✗	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.186413	-0.26%	0.1762	-5.72%	0.0012	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.185298	-0.27%	0.1869	+0.59%	0.0083	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.183716	-0.32%	0.1858	+0.81%	0.0204	✗	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.196784	-0.31%	0.1843	-6.64%	0.0346	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.198584	-0.31%	0.1974	-0.90%	0.0002	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.198251	-0.30%	0.1992	+0.18%	0.0040	✗	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.205263	-0.36%	0.19885	-3.47%	0.0142	✓	1.43
2025-09-17	oos	0.204	0.203281	-0.35%	0.206	+0.98%	0.0055	✗	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.