8=======>

2022-07-21 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 184 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2562
184 of 184 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.1%
in alpha space · 39.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (184 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.2518.8534-2.06%17.48-9.19%0.0562✓0.952.0M2022-07-22
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5590.548371-1.90%0.508-9.12%0.0525✓1.1811k2022-07-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.076983-1.05%0.0736-5.40%0.0240✓1.03209k2022-07-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.3426.0978-0.92%24.9-5.47%0.0210✓1.281.2M2022-07-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40311.3912-0.85%1.4336+2.17%0.0601✗1.484.7M2022-07-22
ORCAOrcaSolana0.93910.931491-0.81%0.9698+3.27%0.0728✗1.60214k2022-07-22
METISMetisEthereum33.0532.7925-0.78%30.44-7.90%0.0541✓1.00131k2022-07-22
FORTFortaEthereum0.30090.299241-0.55%0.2803-6.85%0.0392✓1.29395k2022-07-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.22592.2143-0.52%2.2893+2.85%0.0516✗0.90890k2022-07-22
OPTIMOptimism0.7770.773027-0.51%0.837+7.72%0.1159✗1.791.1M2022-07-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3343.317-0.51%3.265-2.07%0.0002✓0.77488k2022-07-22
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8770.87262-0.50%0.788-10.15%0.0705✓1.556,1452022-07-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.9912.9297-0.46%12.18-6.24%0.0298✓1.471.1M2022-07-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.943.9226-0.44%3.79-3.81%0.0188✓0.77597k2022-07-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.016150.016091-0.37%0.016355+1.27%0.0350✗0.921.2M2022-07-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05341.0495-0.37%1.0174-3.42%0.0116✓0.961,6652022-07-22
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093970.093694-0.29%0.08966-4.59%0.0237✓1.00626k2022-07-22
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010370.00010343-0.26%0.00010025-3.33%0.0084✗1.95735k2022-07-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.04711.0186-0.26%10.64-3.68%0.0074✓1.3513.0M2022-07-22
APEApeCoinEthereum6.4226.4067-0.24%6.191-3.60%0.0012✓1.7411.7M2022-07-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4222.4169-0.21%2.254-6.94%0.0406✓1.44132k2022-07-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.760.758435-0.21%0.742-2.37%0.0140✗1.765.8M2022-07-22
FISStafiEthereum0.44510.444233-0.19%0.3691-17.07%0.1649✓1.004752022-07-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.2833.2769-0.18%3.014-8.19%0.0494✓1.683.8M2022-07-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8383.8317-0.17%3.68-4.12%0.0290✓0.562.2M2022-07-22
QNTQuantEthereum102.84102.6963-0.14%100.76-2.02%0.0014✓1.002.7M2022-07-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2233.2187-0.13%3.073-4.65%0.0243✓1.08562k2022-07-22
COMPCompoundEthereum58.0858.0065-0.13%55.9-3.75%0.0091✓1.3733k2022-07-22
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.46280.462231-0.12%0.4439-4.08%0.0201✓1.00258k2022-07-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.07551.0742-0.12%1.0787+0.29%0.0270✗1.127,2992022-07-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43060.430119-0.11%0.4043-6.11%0.0346✓1.34104k2022-07-22
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.9482.9449-0.11%2.687-8.85%0.0562✓1.7484k2022-07-22
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.6461.6444-0.10%1.551-5.77%0.0289✓1.45203k2022-07-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.973.9663-0.09%3.98+0.25%0.0162✗0.63723k2022-07-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13950.139378-0.09%0.1368-1.94%0.0022✗1.023.3M2022-07-22
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5287-0.09%1.53+0.00%0.0057✗0.24419k2022-07-22
WOOWOOEthereum0.21810.217917-0.08%0.1887-13.48%0.1154✓1.402,0152022-07-22
GMTGMTEthereum0.9940.993213-0.08%0.945-4.93%0.0131✓1.80561k2022-07-22
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.40e-79.39e-7-0.08%9.50e-7+1.06%0.0317✗1.0026k2022-07-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.670.669494-0.08%0.64923-3.10%0.0009✗1.56104k2022-07-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2233.2207-0.07%3.129-2.92%0.0162✓0.631.7M2022-07-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16610.16599-0.07%0.16-3.67%0.0107✓1.28354k2022-07-22
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.243.2381-0.06%3.18-1.85%0.0083✓0.4886k2022-07-22
XEMNEMnative0.0490110.048982-0.06%0.047375-3.34%0.0090✓1.2018k2022-07-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.0124.9958-0.06%23.63-5.52%0.0243✓1.5727.5M2022-07-22
ADACardanoCardano0.49960.49932-0.06%0.483-3.32%0.0074✓1.2743.9M2022-07-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6872.6856-0.05%2.489-7.37%0.0578✓0.90105k2022-07-22
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0690.068971-0.04%0.0695+0.72%0.0277✗0.98183k2022-07-22
MOVRMoonriverBase14.89714.8908-0.04%13.7162-7.93%0.0579✓1.19165k2022-07-22
HIVEHivenative0.47010.469955-0.03%0.4574-2.70%0.0017✓1.251.3M2022-07-22
ELAElastosEthereum1.6041.6035-0.03%1.681+4.80%0.0675✗1.00182k2022-07-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.239.2272-0.03%8.93-3.25%0.0090✓1.17282k2022-07-22
UNIUniswapEthereum7.2227.2199-0.03%6.89-4.60%0.0192✓1.355.7M2022-07-22
STEEMSteemnative0.24890.248828-0.03%0.2438-2.05%0.0035✗1.17733k2022-07-22
RADRadworksEthereum1.871.8695-0.03%1.8-3.74%0.0155✓1.10150k2022-07-22
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.134872-0.02%0.1307-3.11%0.0046✓1.3244k2022-07-22
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.681,575.36-0.02%1,535.84-2.53%0.0004✓1.23326.5M2022-07-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42160.421556-0.01%0.4007-4.96%0.0197✓1.53208k2022-07-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5916.5884-0.01%16.77+1.08%0.0424✗1.55431k2022-07-22
FTTFTXEthereum29.4829.481+0.00%28.91-1.93%0.0003✗0.9510.6M2022-07-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52960.529626+0.00%0.5836+10.20%0.1215✓1.20470k2022-07-22
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.261313+0.01%0.2614+0.04%0.0207✓1.0048k2022-07-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.786.7804+0.01%6.59-2.80%0.0185✗0.49670k2022-07-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.216.2108+0.01%6.08-2.09%0.0055✓1.31263k2022-07-22
BORABORAKlay Token0.320190.320234+0.01%0.31385-1.98%0.0072✓1.347,0062022-07-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.688096+0.01%0.661-3.92%0.0205✗0.97434k2022-07-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,719.996,721.23+0.02%6,573.61-2.18%0.0049✓1.334.2M2022-07-22
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49590.495996+0.02%0.475-4.21%0.0209✗1.1049k2022-07-22
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3821.3823+0.02%1.326-4.05%0.0167✗1.221.6M2022-07-22
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4203+0.02%1.32-7.04%0.0431✗1.48910k2022-07-22
DIADIAEthereum0.431230.431343+0.03%0.42214-2.11%0.0066✗0.7351k2022-07-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12970.129735+0.03%0.1186-8.56%0.0698✗0.985,8712022-07-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83190.832125+0.03%0.8742+5.08%0.0695✓0.993.5M2022-07-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019070.019075+0.03%0.01884-1.21%0.0028✓0.75354k2022-07-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047830.047847+0.04%0.04691-1.92%0.0012✗0.919,2922022-07-22
XVSVenusEthereum5.465.4619+0.04%5.37-1.65%0.0118✓1.411.1M2022-07-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6150.615224+0.04%0.593-3.58%0.0079✗1.4284k2022-07-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.31142.3123+0.04%2.3097-0.07%0.0151✓0.80947k2022-07-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.064080.064104+0.04%0.07267+13.41%0.1522✓1.3225k2022-07-22
MANADecentralandEthereum0.940430.940794+0.04%0.93386-0.70%0.0200✓1.35423k2022-07-22
DODODODOEthereum0.15230.152359+0.04%0.1534+0.72%0.0331✓1.292.8M2022-07-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.894.8919+0.04%4.8-1.84%0.0054✗0.67574k2022-07-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12080.120847+0.04%0.1175-2.73%0.0061✗1.08398k2022-07-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.005960.005962+0.04%0.005963+0.06%0.0188✓0.913,1552022-07-22
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27860.278715+0.04%0.2599-6.71%0.0470✗1.1342k2022-07-22
FLOWFlownative1.8771.8778+0.04%1.842-1.86%0.0060✓1.24332k2022-07-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.009230.009234+0.04%0.00898-2.71%0.0093✗0.911.3M2022-07-22
KSMKusamaHydration61.1861.2093+0.05%66.53+8.74%0.1078✓1.20231k2022-07-22
GITCOINGITCOIN2.48132.4826+0.05%2.4085-2.93%0.0015✓1.567,1792022-07-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.464420.464659+0.05%0.44526-4.13%0.0128✗1.47733k2022-07-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05560.055629+0.05%0.0539-3.06%0.0044✗1.33802k2022-07-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021080.021092+0.06%0.02013-4.51%0.0252✗1.06127k2022-07-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.215125+0.06%0.21-2.33%0.0074✓1.55881k2022-07-22
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5272.5285+0.06%2.36-6.61%0.0404✗1.4143k2022-07-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.11020.110268+0.06%0.1058-3.99%0.0189✗1.10560k2022-07-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09040.090456+0.06%0.0847-6.31%0.0405✗1.24202k2022-07-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.10750.107568+0.06%0.1041-3.16%0.0060✗1.32526k2022-07-22
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.180440.180559+0.07%0.18229+1.03%0.0597✓2.461,0532022-07-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222810.022296+0.07%0.021816-2.09%0.0017✗0.991,5692022-07-22
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072940.07299+0.07%0.07194-1.37%0.0004✓0.731,5492022-07-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94510.945748+0.07%0.9076-3.97%0.0166✗1.211.2M2022-07-22
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3595.4176+0.07%89.42-6.22%0.0316✗1.6410.8M2022-07-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0174540.017469+0.08%0.017566+0.64%0.0154✓0.48167k2022-07-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.228691+0.08%0.225-1.53%0.0138✓1.48117k2022-07-22
DASHDashDash48.1748.2112+0.09%48.39+0.46%0.0259✓1.09606k2022-07-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025980.026003+0.09%0.02601+0.12%0.0331✓1.6114.2M2022-07-22
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.251824+0.09%0.2556+1.59%0.0370✓1.0961k2022-07-22
STXStacksnative0.43060.430991+0.09%0.4273-0.77%0.0172✓1.27414k2022-07-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.06790.067965+0.10%0.0642-5.45%0.0287✗1.39316k2022-07-22
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7850.785772+0.10%0.772-1.66%0.0019✗0.781.1M2022-07-22
NANOnanopayBase0.9532040.954168+0.10%0.965178+1.26%0.0320✓1.0159k2022-07-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5317.5388+0.10%7.295-3.13%0.0078✗1.239.0M2022-07-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.84356.903+0.11%57.86+1.79%0.0336✓0.83387k2022-07-22
BANDBandEthereum1.5171.5186+0.11%1.499-1.19%0.0163✓1.44382k2022-07-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08590.085993+0.11%0.088+2.44%0.0391✓0.79157k2022-07-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.96.9075+0.11%6.478-6.12%0.0383✗1.275.2M2022-07-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1070.107117+0.11%0.1038-2.99%0.0037✗1.362.5M2022-07-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.401070.401516+0.11%0.38654-3.62%0.0130✗1.23123k2022-07-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03690.036942+0.11%0.0359-2.71%0.0035✗1.2385k2022-07-22
XMRMoneroMonero151.18151.3621+0.12%149-1.44%0.0069✓1.111.3M2022-07-22
UOSUltraEthereum0.345310.345762+0.13%0.33887-1.86%0.0050✓1.24411k2022-07-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4741.4759+0.13%1.395-5.36%0.0300✗1.302.8M2022-07-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,097.6023,128.78+0.13%22,716.10-1.65%0.0019✓0.9826k2022-07-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2990.29941+0.14%0.292-2.34%0.0036✗1.05673k2022-07-22
UMAUMAEthereum2.7142.7178+0.14%2.64-2.73%0.0066✗1.10621k2022-07-22
IMXImmutableEthereum0.98440.985801+0.14%0.9287-5.66%0.0307✗1.421.4M2022-07-22
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52252.5261+0.14%2.4983-0.96%0.0090✓0.991.1M2022-07-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05020.050272+0.14%0.0491-2.19%0.0009✓1.20282k2022-07-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin58.0358.1142+0.15%56.09-3.34%0.0124✗1.1314.6M2022-07-22
SOLSolanaSolana43.143.1628+0.15%40.55-5.92%0.0353✗1.3381.1M2022-07-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34940.349912+0.15%0.3378-3.32%0.0115✗1.178.0M2022-07-22
XYMSymbolnative0.054150.05423+0.15%0.054082-0.13%0.0099✓0.6214k2022-07-22
ZENHorizenBase17.0117.035+0.15%16.93-0.47%0.0221✓1.39100k2022-07-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9253.9308+0.15%3.88-1.15%0.0004✓0.621.4M2022-07-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001110.001112+0.15%0.001073-3.36%0.0094✗1.291.7M2022-07-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7290.730119+0.15%0.717-1.65%0.0128✓1.52108k2022-07-22
PROPropyEthereum0.780.781203+0.15%0.79+1.28%0.0256✓0.71107k2022-07-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash123.12123.3119+0.16%123.29+0.14%0.0229✓1.144.0M2022-07-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.482.484+0.16%2.4-3.23%0.0037✗1.51205k2022-07-22
GALAGALAEthereum0.05420.054287+0.16%0.0521-3.87%0.0111✗1.47119k2022-07-22
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7340.735191+0.16%0.72-1.91%0.0049✓1.27139k2022-07-22
ZECZcashZcash61.8661.964+0.17%59.9-3.17%0.0074✗1.301.5M2022-07-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.91951.9228+0.17%2.0254+5.52%0.0769✓1.2326k2022-07-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,153.9623,193.65+0.17%22,687.68-2.01%0.0017✗1.00398.7M2022-07-22
API3Api3Ethereum1.831.8332+0.18%1.777-2.90%0.0053✗1.27626k2022-07-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.46941.472+0.18%1.403-4.52%0.0191✗1.42651k2022-07-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.7815.8082+0.18%15.36-2.66%0.0009✓1.371.3M2022-07-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.14540.145662+0.18%0.1403-3.51%0.0122✗1.2487k2022-07-22
SCSiacoinnative0.004360.004368+0.18%0.00425-2.52%0.0002✓1.34122k2022-07-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069070.00692+0.18%0.006704-2.94%0.0198✗0.5950k2022-07-22
XVGVergenative0.003730.003737+0.18%0.00367-1.61%0.0092✓1.34612k2022-07-22
QTUMQtumQtum3.10443.1102+0.19%3.2484+4.64%0.0656✓1.0926k2022-07-22
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027320.027372+0.19%0.02715-0.62%0.0196✓1.361,3802022-07-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.364.3683+0.19%4.27-2.06%0.0098✗0.64579k2022-07-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030040.030099+0.20%0.02876-4.26%0.0196✗1.2722k2022-07-22
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19790.198287+0.20%0.1891-4.45%0.0188✗1.412,4852022-07-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29940.299987+0.20%0.3008+0.47%0.0269✓1.192.8M2022-07-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.38785.3985+0.20%5.4073+0.36%0.0056✓0.19274k2022-07-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00680.006814+0.21%0.00659-3.09%0.0130✗1.01376k2022-07-22
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.026456+0.21%0.0257-2.65%0.0191✗0.4956k2022-07-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.9957.01+0.21%6.786-2.99%0.0068✗1.2617.9M2022-07-22
XTZTezosTezos1.68111.6847+0.21%1.638-2.56%0.0024✗1.26494k2022-07-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6215.6331+0.21%5.485-2.42%0.0042✗1.101.9M2022-07-22
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7070.708521+0.22%0.701-0.85%0.0144✓1.23807k2022-07-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.1281.1305+0.22%1.109-1.68%0.0029✓1.0845k2022-07-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030470.003054+0.22%0.003052+0.16%0.0208✓1.051.1M2022-07-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.139750.140056+0.22%0.16712+19.58%0.2092✓1.60155k2022-07-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.5034+0.23%1.46-2.67%0.0000✓1.44134k2022-07-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3213450.322079+0.23%0.310757-3.29%0.0108✗1.231.3M2022-07-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000012017+0.23%0.00001172-2.25%0.0004✓1.251.3M2022-07-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.51490.516109+0.23%0.4976-3.36%0.0134✗1.14333k2022-07-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1135920.11386+0.24%0.112029-1.38%0.0042✓1.007.2M2022-07-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24480.245414+0.25%0.2399-2.00%0.0026✓1.25129k2022-07-22
XECeCashnative0.000040990.000041094+0.25%0.00004172+1.78%0.0393✓1.191.9M2022-07-22
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.22e-7+0.26%9.20e-7+0.00%0.0142✓0.836.2M2022-07-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04450.044616+0.26%0.0431-3.15%0.0072✗1.357,6872022-07-22
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08580.086027+0.26%0.0822-4.20%0.0205✗1.236,9982022-07-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009260.009285+0.27%0.00897-3.13%0.0145✗0.984.9M2022-07-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0699520.070143+0.27%0.067596-3.37%0.0125✗1.202.0M2022-07-22
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.055850.056004+0.28%0.05376-3.74%0.0111✗1.46773k2022-07-22
KCSKuCoinnative10.16210.1945+0.32%10.153-0.09%0.0185✓1.112.2M2022-07-22
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.58e-7+0.32%3.56e-7-0.03%0.0168✓1.00244k2022-07-22
TRXTRONTron0.0680150.068278+0.39%0.06707-1.39%0.0018✓0.79369k2022-07-22
GTGateEthereum4.12464.1424+0.43%4.1052-0.47%0.0053✓0.70930k2022-07-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.