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2022-05-17 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.1391
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-9.70%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
36.7%
in alpha space · 34.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.72%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001447+0.49%0.00127-11.81%0.0429✗1.493.5M2022-05-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.016779+0.47%0.0145-13.17%0.0146✗2.2325.3M2022-05-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.000012606+0.45%0.00001147-8.61%0.0164✗1.331.2M2022-05-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.009089+0.43%0.00898-0.77%0.0369✓0.83222k2022-05-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.381909+0.38%0.35851-5.77%0.0214✓1.441.4M2022-05-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.642379+0.37%0.537-16.09%0.0920✗1.4816k2022-05-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3834.5066+0.37%29.57-13.99%0.0691✗1.4548.8M2022-05-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8365+0.36%1.62-11.48%0.0258✗1.69452k2022-05-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.211608+0.34%0.1857-11.95%0.0679✗1.062,6012022-05-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.259735+0.32%0.2464-4.83%0.0214✓1.26280k2022-05-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.210275+0.31%0.18425-12.11%0.0375✗1.61273k2022-05-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0463+0.31%1.89-7.35%0.0183✗1.04315k2022-05-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.4032+0.30%1.105-21.02%0.1379✗1.72665k2022-05-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.5859+0.30%7.59-11.33%0.0491✗1.265.8M2022-05-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.072344+0.30%0.07027-2.58%0.0318✓1.0318k2022-05-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.071409+0.29%0.06-15.73%0.1125✗1.05113k2022-05-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.7326+0.29%6.79-11.93%0.0523✗1.3218.8M2022-05-18
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.168491+0.29%0.147-12.50%0.0489✗1.494.0M2022-05-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.362401+0.28%0.3371-6.72%0.0038✓1.2991k2022-05-18
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.398714+0.27%0.74+86.10%0.6656✓0.8070k2022-05-18
SOLSolanaSolana57.0257.1728+0.27%49.87-12.54%0.0533✗1.4293.8M2022-05-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.91+0.26%1.694-11.08%0.0353✗1.442.3M2022-05-18
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710724.7754+0.26%21.8174-11.71%0.0423✗1.44207k2022-05-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.8905+0.26%2.49-13.63%0.0495✗1.696.7M2022-05-18
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.1028+0.25%0.977-11.18%0.0384✗1.40775k2022-05-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.7416+0.25%4.32-8.67%0.0052✗1.492.8M2022-05-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.394293+0.23%0.33637-14.49%0.0620✗1.6527k2022-05-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.972272+0.23%0.84-13.40%0.0889✗0.97119k2022-05-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.912075+0.23%0.82-9.89%0.0159✗1.54800k2022-05-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.385945+0.22%0.32988-14.33%0.0570✗1.70331k2022-05-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.6391+0.22%7.49-13.11%0.0581✗1.448.3M2022-05-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.5857+0.22%2.25-12.79%0.0361✗1.75390k2022-05-18
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.7689+0.22%1.566-11.27%0.0366✗1.45500k2022-05-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3625+0.22%9.63-6.87%0.0183✓1.56154k2022-05-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.34274+0.22%0.296-13.45%0.0446✗1.731.8M2022-05-18
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5392.7281+0.21%81.76-11.64%0.0367✗1.528.7M2022-05-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.080471+0.21%0.0702-12.58%0.0316✗1.78169k2022-05-18
XEMNEMnative0.06140.061523+0.20%0.0537-12.54%0.0588✗1.31127k2022-05-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.1310,003.79+0.20%9,070.74-9.15%0.0293✗1.172.9M2022-05-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.4432+0.19%21.59-3.62%0.0472✓1.463.4M2022-05-18
STXStacksnative0.580.581116+0.19%0.51-12.07%0.0637✗1.14314k2022-05-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.089368+0.19%0.0773-13.34%0.0446✗1.71239k2022-05-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.4815+0.19%10.1-11.87%0.0470✗1.3821.0M2022-05-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.131342+0.18%0.1186-9.53%0.0428✗1.0119k2022-05-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6613.6847+0.18%12.73-6.81%0.0177✗0.93571k2022-05-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.120212+0.18%0.1183-1.42%0.0650✓1.381.1M2022-05-18
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001132+0.17%0.00000109-3.54%0.0086✓0.797.7M2022-05-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.0374+0.17%2.081+2.31%0.1197✓1.6799k2022-05-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.091451+0.17%0.0783-14.24%0.0629✗1.573.6M2022-05-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.035357+0.16%0.0313-11.33%0.0411✗1.37189k2022-05-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.090294+0.16%0.082984-7.95%0.0187✗1.126.3M2022-05-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.741143+0.15%0.643-13.11%0.0552✗1.47338k2022-05-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.041001+0.15%0.03561-13.02%0.0610✗1.3694k2022-05-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005127+0.14%0.00461-9.96%0.0338✗1.231.9M2022-05-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.0614+0.14%2.84-7.10%0.0128✗1.0699k2022-05-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.121165+0.14%0.1059-12.48%0.0400✗1.611.7M2022-05-18
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8593+0.13%1.676-9.74%0.0288✗1.271.1M2022-05-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.582+0.13%2.335-9.45%0.0275✗1.24145k2022-05-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4318+0.12%1.26-11.89%0.0407✗1.483.6M2022-05-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.629727+0.12%0.565-10.17%0.0385✗1.1938k2022-05-18
GTGateEthereum5.75215.7587+0.11%5.4955-4.46%0.0152✗0.545.2M2022-05-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.179992+0.11%0.1571-12.63%0.0467✗1.528.8M2022-05-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,442.17+0.11%28,786.00-5.34%0.0015✓0.9790k2022-05-18
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005616+0.11%0.00488-13.01%0.0525✗1.49403k2022-05-18
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000049412+0.11%0.00004439-10.07%0.0302✗1.316.5M2022-05-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.913967+0.11%0.801-12.27%0.0407✗1.557.6M2022-05-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.415339+0.11%0.37232-10.26%0.0337✗1.29223k2022-05-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.145334+0.09%0.1246-14.19%0.0614✗1.576.0M2022-05-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004434+0.09%0.00411-7.22%0.0175✗0.9919k2022-05-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1609+0.08%1.12-3.45%0.0130✓0.83204k2022-05-18
KSMKusamaHydration82.0482.1054+0.08%75.92-7.46%0.0045✗1.251.4M2022-05-18
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.1616+0.08%1.0587-8.79%0.0190✗1.25161k2022-05-18
DASHDashDash60.1160.1525+0.07%55.59-7.52%0.0082✗1.201.2M2022-05-18
ZENHorizenBase22.1422.1552+0.07%18.99-14.23%0.0636✗1.54171k2022-05-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.254865+0.06%0.2258-11.35%0.0938✗0.46410k2022-05-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.390843+0.06%0.3344-14.39%0.0814✗1.279.0M2022-05-18
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3958+0.06%1.296-7.10%0.0153✗1.004.4M2022-05-18
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.2317+0.06%1.082-12.10%0.0711✗0.9924k2022-05-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.016242+0.06%0.015-7.60%0.0144✗1.114.2M2022-05-18
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,090.09+0.05%1,911.98-8.47%0.0290✗1.02494.1M2022-05-18
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.069734+0.05%0.0658-5.60%0.0138✗0.75536k2022-05-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.253112+0.04%0.216-14.62%0.0689✗1.523.4M2022-05-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.296+0.04%1.1344-12.43%0.0697✗1.0898k2022-05-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.984.9821+0.04%4.9753-0.09%0.0138✓0.26294k2022-05-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.4721+0.04%4.88-10.79%0.0434✗1.213.5M2022-05-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.751+0.04%2.221-19.24%0.1133✗1.7123k2022-05-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.500538+0.03%0.451-9.87%0.0156✗1.51307k2022-05-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1152.1155+0.02%1.913-9.55%0.0166✓1.99903k2022-05-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4703+0.02%1.34-8.84%0.0289✗1.08134k2022-05-18
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.9184+0.02%14.375-3.63%0.0201✓0.974.9M2022-05-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.029045+0.02%0.02554-12.05%0.0696✗1.0025k2022-05-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73206.7499+0.01%186.73-9.67%0.0345✗1.145.4M2022-05-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.008964+0.01%0.008488-5.30%0.0062✓1.0315k2022-05-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.056202+0.00%0.0531-5.52%0.0140✓1.201.5M2022-05-18
XVGVergenative0.005460.00546+0.00%0.00481-11.90%0.0451✗1.39949k2022-05-18
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.2187+0.00%3.8022-9.87%0.0338✗1.19134k2022-05-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.612502-0.01%0.53494-12.67%0.0489✓1.4793k2022-05-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.141532-0.01%0.127544-9.89%0.0404✓1.0813.4M2022-05-18
QNTQuantEthereum74.4674.4539-0.01%64.77-13.01%0.0786✓1.033.6M2022-05-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.202177-0.01%0.1813-10.34%0.0235✓1.45683k2022-05-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.7566-0.02%19.81-8.96%0.0193✓1.264.2M2022-05-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.180366-0.02%0.1653-8.37%0.0042✓1.41386k2022-05-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.071086-0.02%0.0578-18.71%0.1400✓1.14407k2022-05-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0211.0177-0.02%9.47-14.07%0.0744✓1.3113.7M2022-05-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0473.0239-0.02%65.87-9.82%0.0349✓1.1619.1M2022-05-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1230,404.70-0.02%28,672.94-5.72%0.0002✗1.00675.4M2022-05-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.736307-0.03%0.6487-11.92%0.0429✓1.426.1M2022-05-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.1291-0.03%2.946-5.88%0.0321✗1.57240k2022-05-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.141753-0.03%0.1104-22.14%0.1478✓1.74694k2022-05-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.816665-0.04%0.747-8.57%0.0237✓1.113.2M2022-05-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.424605-0.05%0.371298-12.60%0.0539✓1.366.1M2022-05-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.010394-0.05%0.00913-12.21%0.0640✓1.121.3M2022-05-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.758-0.05%3.54-5.85%0.0132✓0.79788k2022-05-18
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.3121-0.06%3.049-8.00%0.0157✗1.672.6M2022-05-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.018689-0.06%0.02137+14.28%0.1736✗0.67400k2022-05-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.152384-0.08%0.1303-14.56%0.0611✓1.62109k2022-05-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.5247-0.08%5.93-9.19%0.0147✓1.37666k2022-05-18
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.2148-0.09%1.0317-15.14%0.0749✓1.501.2M2022-05-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.055174-0.10%0.05016-9.18%0.0356✓1.0125k2022-05-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.355.3446-0.10%6.45+20.56%0.2417✗0.912.7M2022-05-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.7461-0.11%1.843+5.43%0.1166✗1.06714k2022-05-18
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.576371-0.11%0.5053-12.43%0.0544✓1.3148.6M2022-05-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7555.6813-0.12%50.06-10.21%0.0502✓0.951.7M2022-05-18
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6974.5902-0.13%63.7-14.71%0.0771✓1.3728k2022-05-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.090577-0.14%0.0885-2.43%0.0265✗0.84183k2022-05-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.3871-0.14%1.228-11.59%0.0374✓1.436.6M2022-05-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.6794-0.14%1.6365-2.69%0.0107✗0.6215k2022-05-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.084281-0.14%0.0684-18.96%0.1499✓1.003.0M2022-05-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.1883-0.14%13.77-9.47%0.0210✓1.31822k2022-05-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.029666-0.15%0.02797-5.86%0.0000✓1.00194k2022-05-18
FTTFTXEthereum32.0331.9813-0.15%29.64-7.46%0.0204✓0.9513.2M2022-05-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.493941-0.15%0.4328-12.51%0.0616✓1.2015.2M2022-05-18
XMRMoneroMonero172.72172.4546-0.15%155.14-10.18%0.0425✓1.083.5M2022-05-18
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.072028-0.16%0.070977-1.61%0.0329✗0.811.2M2022-05-18
HIVEHivenative0.54110.540241-0.16%0.472-12.77%0.0605✓1.271.5M2022-05-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.27007-0.16%0.2581-4.58%0.0389✗1.43172k2022-05-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.621979-0.16%0.674+8.19%0.1755✗1.621.7M2022-05-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.014046-0.17%0.01331-5.40%0.0085✗1.063.3M2022-05-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.956165-0.19%0.904-5.64%0.0094✗1.11769k2022-05-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.591692-0.22%0.504-15.01%0.0731✓1.48929k2022-05-18
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.2992-0.23%0.2515-16.14%0.1148✓1.001.6M2022-05-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.047263-0.25%0.04358-8.02%0.0238✓0.978,0692022-05-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.601-0.25%4.01+11.08%0.1642✗0.96798k2022-05-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.148911-0.26%0.1273-14.74%0.0938✓1.071.2M2022-05-18
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.8507-0.30%7.969-10.23%0.0472✗2.5894.8M2022-05-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.01532-0.32%0.017393+13.18%0.1720✗0.77198k2022-05-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.9178-0.32%3.0646+4.70%0.1457✗1.649.8M2022-05-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6787-0.32%1.893+12.40%0.1863✗1.124.3M2022-05-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.382642-0.35%0.34-11.46%0.0563✓1.051.1M2022-05-18
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.5743-0.36%1.384-12.41%0.0700✓1.006.6M2022-05-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.6677-0.37%1.748+4.42%0.1053✗0.99779k2022-05-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.8389-0.39%3.62+27.02%0.3031✗1.02440k2022-05-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-77.12e-7-0.39%6.83e-7-4.40%0.0105✓0.521.6M2022-05-18
ZECZcashZcash114.63114.1655-0.41%99.46-13.23%0.0610✓1.315.7M2022-05-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.7289-0.41%2.97+8.39%0.1464✗1.05553k2022-05-18
PROPropyEthereum1.211.2051-0.41%1.17-3.31%0.0122✗0.71429k2022-05-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.188415-0.41%0.1699-10.20%0.0445✓1.004,7802022-05-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.33.2856-0.44%2.863-13.24%0.0788✓1.00213k2022-05-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.344431-0.45%0.3258-5.84%0.0229✗1.33463k2022-05-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.4063-0.48%1.342-5.02%0.0369✗1.4214.3M2022-05-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.014603-0.52%0.01163-20.78%0.1403✓1.4844.1M2022-05-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.182.1682-0.54%2.23+2.29%0.1022✗1.268.8M2022-05-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.8272-0.56%9.72+65.87%0.5645✗0.901.2M2022-05-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4412.3681-0.58%10.48-15.76%0.0748✓1.546.4M2022-05-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.955-0.70%2.0873+6.02%0.1318✗1.132.4M2022-05-18
SGBSongbirdnative0.03430.033996-0.89%0.0333-2.92%0.0005✓0.36138k2022-05-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1264.0874-0.94%4.622+12.02%0.1863✗1.081.5M2022-05-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1482.9936-4.91%4.449+41.33%0.4452✗0.832.1M2022-05-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000162718-14.36%0.00015-21.05%0.0707✓2.588.4M2022-05-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.