8=======>

2022-04-04 · +1d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2491
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.40%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.5%
in alpha space · 87.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AVTAventusEthereum3.423.3288-2.67%3.16-7.60%0.0425✓0.40372k2022-04-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13690.134442-1.80%0.1185-13.44%0.1022✓1.02184k2022-04-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0544.9856-1.35%4.347-13.99%0.1102✓1.13417k2022-04-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.45946.3809-1.21%7.7193+19.50%0.2158✗1.0723.4M2022-04-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2310.2282-1.21%0.218-5.63%0.0324✓0.5626k2022-04-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.30240.299033-1.11%0.3125+3.34%0.0743✗1.281.9M2022-04-05
MINAMina Protocolnative3.143.1092-0.98%3.25+3.50%0.0684✗1.02810k2022-04-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.28930.287269-0.70%0.2703-6.57%0.0372✓1.001.2M2022-04-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.030110.0299-0.70%0.02894-3.89%0.0034✓1.5252.9M2022-04-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.26370.2619-0.68%0.2476-6.11%0.0295✓1.133.0M2022-04-05
MOVRMoonriverBase84.178683.6433-0.64%77.5258-7.90%0.0437✓1.36175k2022-04-05
NANOnanopayBase2.88352.8655-0.63%2.7111-5.98%0.0287✓1.13209k2022-04-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005510.005476-0.61%0.00506-8.17%0.0482✓1.306.0M2022-04-05
ADACardanoCardano1.21171.2045-0.60%1.1705-3.40%0.0054✓0.9863.5M2022-04-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5720.56874-0.57%0.545-4.72%0.0168✓1.097.0M2022-04-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8918710.887133-0.53%0.805768-9.65%0.0711✓1.061.9M2022-04-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.96e-77.92e-7-0.52%7.72e-7-2.99%0.0340✓-0.381.1M2022-04-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.7866.751-0.52%6.173-9.03%0.0666✓0.97102k2022-04-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.9212.9062-0.51%2.806-3.94%0.0033✓1.349.3M2022-04-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47530.472914-0.50%0.4533-4.63%0.0124✓1.271.7M2022-04-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.037770.037586-0.49%0.03424-9.35%0.0681✓1.06214k2022-04-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.8561.8471-0.48%1.81-2.48%0.0083✗1.203.6M2022-04-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.13810.13744-0.48%0.134-2.97%0.0032✓1.21834k2022-04-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.7582.7453-0.46%2.6355-4.44%0.0230✓0.7512k2022-04-05
COMPCompoundEthereum162.85162.102-0.46%153.42-5.79%0.0283✓1.1362k2022-04-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative46.7646.5456-0.46%44.4-5.05%0.0226✓1.0413.3M2022-04-05
LRCLoopringEthereum1.14371.1385-0.45%1.1027-3.58%0.0006✓1.38752k2022-04-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.42125.3971-0.44%5.3802-0.76%0.0103✗0.575.2M2022-04-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.70330.700224-0.44%0.7228+2.77%0.0629✗1.32652k2022-04-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09010.089712-0.43%0.0875-2.89%0.0028✓1.17416k2022-04-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.840.836394-0.43%0.78-7.14%0.0340✓1.51438k2022-04-05
API3Api3Ethereum5.5815.5571-0.43%5.631+0.90%0.0267✗0.573.9M2022-04-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6616.6325-0.43%6.602-0.89%0.0191✗1.002.6M2022-04-05
IMXImmutableEthereum2.492.4796-0.42%2.334-6.27%0.0371✓0.9910.0M2022-04-05
MANADecentralandEthereum2.65642.6454-0.41%2.5632-3.51%0.0048✓1.131.3M2022-04-05
LUNATerraTerra 2116.42115.9643-0.39%116.27-0.13%0.0338✗1.319.1M2022-04-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0424730.04231-0.38%0.041517-2.25%0.0043✗0.983.9M2022-04-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.91.8928-0.38%1.839-3.21%0.0061✓0.961.3M2022-04-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.028280.028173-0.38%0.02734-3.32%0.0117✓0.773.8M2022-04-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45550.453826-0.37%0.4358-4.32%0.0058✓1.479.9M2022-04-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana7.7037.6748-0.37%7.208-6.43%0.0475✓0.651.8M2022-04-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.0020.998423-0.36%0.9796-2.24%0.0096✓0.40676k2022-04-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.551.5446-0.35%1.45-6.45%0.0368✓1.12978k2022-04-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin25.2425.1541-0.34%24.87-1.47%0.0140✗1.077.1M2022-04-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.888530.885569-0.33%0.84089-5.36%0.0270✓1.05244k2022-04-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana17.2517.1931-0.33%16.16-6.32%0.0511✓0.463.5M2022-04-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.8363.6209-0.33%61.64-3.43%0.0009✓1.305.9M2022-04-05
BORABORAKlay Token1.04281.0394-0.32%0.97928-6.09%0.0359✓1.00375k2022-04-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.2831.279-0.31%1.2666-1.28%0.0195✗1.2314.9M2022-04-05
AAVEAaveEthereum238.04237.3039-0.31%221.05-7.14%0.0415✓1.2414.4M2022-04-05
SUSHISushiEthereum4.354.3366-0.31%4.09-5.98%0.0307✓1.187.6M2022-04-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.665.6426-0.31%5.3-6.36%0.0300✓1.38824k2022-04-05
APEApeCoinEthereum11.93511.8987-0.30%11.631-2.55%0.0009✓1.0064.9M2022-04-05
DASHDashDash133.3132.9099-0.29%126.99-4.73%0.0235✓0.932.7M2022-04-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.81535.7983-0.29%5.4681-5.97%0.0373✓0.90269k2022-04-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.9327.8489-0.29%27.35-2.08%0.0131✗1.32752k2022-04-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.747.7179-0.29%7.36-4.91%0.0123✓1.49638k2022-04-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0162720.016226-0.28%0.016174-0.60%0.0176✗0.8818k2022-04-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.57380.572175-0.28%0.5284-7.91%0.0363✓1.832.2M2022-04-05
STORJStorjEthereum1.34421.3405-0.27%1.2783-4.90%0.0215✓1.10150k2022-04-05
UNIUniswapEthereum11.5611.5286-0.27%11.12-3.81%0.0116✓1.037.7M2022-04-05
DODODODOEthereum0.5290.527561-0.27%0.505-4.54%0.0172✓1.123.7M2022-04-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16730.166852-0.27%0.1668-0.30%0.0239✗1.02227k2022-04-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.27060.269877-0.27%0.2591-4.25%0.0133✓1.163.2M2022-04-05
FTTFTXEthereum50.0849.9464-0.27%48.55-3.06%0.0036✓1.0414.1M2022-04-05
BANDBandEthereum5.1755.1612-0.27%5.046-2.49%0.0035✗1.10663k2022-04-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1485380.14815-0.26%0.172689+16.26%0.1729✗0.832.8M2022-04-05
KSMKusamaHydration188.7188.2123-0.26%179.78-4.73%0.0199✓1.09974k2022-04-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0304110.030332-0.26%0.029398-3.33%0.0114✓0.84187k2022-04-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49260.491334-0.26%0.4596-6.70%0.0400✓1.1312.3M2022-04-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.021820.021765-0.25%0.02099-3.80%0.0127✓0.992.1M2022-04-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7781.7735-0.25%1.697-4.56%0.0126✓1.33463k2022-04-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.9037.8832-0.25%7.591-3.95%0.0135✓1.02441k2022-04-05
SOLSolanaSolana132.16131.8286-0.25%126.9-3.98%0.0087✓1.2493.6M2022-04-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,870.8823,811.03-0.25%23,562.70-1.29%0.0160✗1.126.5M2022-04-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.27470.274016-0.25%0.2741-0.22%0.0240✗1.00473k2022-04-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.8821.8257-0.25%21.06-3.75%0.0117✓1.0218.5M2022-04-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.25710.256473-0.24%0.2486-3.31%0.0078✓0.99253k2022-04-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.042330.042227-0.24%0.041-3.14%0.0133✓0.681.1M2022-04-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.8430.7671-0.24%29.3-4.99%0.0227✓1.1037.8M2022-04-05
XVGVergenative0.013750.013718-0.24%0.01268-7.78%0.0515✓1.142.2M2022-04-05
XVSVenusEthereum12.412.3708-0.24%12.6+1.61%0.0438✗1.073.5M2022-04-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.36030.359475-0.23%0.3454-4.14%0.0142✓1.09376k2022-04-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.1911.1883-0.23%1.133-4.87%0.0167✓1.312.8M2022-04-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9565.9425-0.23%5.9-0.94%0.0023✗0.406.3M2022-04-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.817.7924-0.23%6.7-14.21%0.1333✓0.751.8M2022-04-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche96.295.9835-0.23%91.07-5.33%0.0224✓1.27103.7M2022-04-05
XECeCashnative0.00010880.000108556-0.22%0.00011097+1.99%0.0447✗0.968.5M2022-04-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4981.4947-0.22%1.449-3.27%0.0099✓0.892.9M2022-04-05
QTUMQtumQtum8.26328.245-0.22%7.815-5.42%0.0269✓1.13186k2022-04-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.170430.170056-0.22%0.16751-1.71%0.0049✗0.8416k2022-04-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.9122.8602-0.22%21.78-4.93%0.0233✓1.0622.8M2022-04-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.5761.5726-0.22%1.501-4.76%0.0254✓0.901.4M2022-04-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum19.8219.7774-0.22%18.86-4.84%0.0161✓1.333.1M2022-04-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.442.4349-0.21%2.34-4.10%0.0089✓1.30906k2022-04-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.39234.3832-0.21%4.5666+3.97%0.0559✗0.634.8M2022-04-05
XTZTezosTezos3.8983.89-0.21%3.6763-5.69%0.0314✓1.06977k2022-04-05
ZECZcashZcash173.67173.3137-0.21%165.55-4.68%0.0235✓0.9516.0M2022-04-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06780.067662-0.20%0.0619-8.70%0.0492✓1.6844.1M2022-04-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.0716.0379-0.20%15.95-0.75%0.0229✗1.201.2M2022-04-05
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.3074-0.20%1.2849-1.92%0.0139✗1.321.4M2022-04-05
ORCAOrcaSolana2.322.3155-0.20%2.23-3.88%0.0215✓0.68282k2022-04-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.910.90824-0.19%0.89-2.20%0.0009✓0.901.9M2022-04-05
FIDABonfidaSolana1.9811.9772-0.19%1.956-1.26%0.0098✗0.8753k2022-04-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0774.0692-0.19%4.075-0.05%0.0199✗0.782.4M2022-04-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.9526.9387-0.19%6.131-11.81%0.0945✓1.235.8M2022-04-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash376.11375.4062-0.19%365.33-2.87%0.0050✓0.948.5M2022-04-05
UMAUMAEthereum8.1338.1178-0.19%7.841-3.59%0.0046✓1.275.0M2022-04-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.88240.880761-0.19%0.8348-5.39%0.0312✓0.9517.8M2022-04-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.9497.7581-0.19%95.41-2.58%0.0060✓0.772.7M2022-04-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.117940.117724-0.18%0.11273-4.42%0.0238✓0.8227k2022-04-05
SCSiacoinnative0.012850.012828-0.17%0.01263-1.71%0.0112✗1.13540k2022-04-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3030.302478-0.17%0.318+4.95%0.0695✗0.8228k2022-04-05
STXStacksnative1.451.4475-0.17%1.4-3.45%0.0109✓0.95610k2022-04-05
ETHEthereumEthereum3,520.663,514.63-0.17%3,407.00-3.23%0.0057✓1.07478.7M2022-04-05
ZENHorizenBase49.0448.9563-0.17%46.09-6.02%0.0296✓1.30508k2022-04-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1324.125-0.17%4.147+0.36%0.0204✗0.642.8M2022-04-05
GITCOINGITCOIN7.7137.7001-0.17%7.394-4.14%0.0060✓1.4622k2022-04-05
XLMStellarStellar0.2320590.231672-0.17%0.225057-3.02%0.0060✓0.9719.6M2022-04-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,596.8346,521.67-0.16%45,506.50-2.34%0.0016✗1.00629.7M2022-04-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.09140.091257-0.16%0.08731-4.47%0.0259✓0.7741k2022-04-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.067.049-0.16%7.14+1.13%0.0302✗0.731.1M2022-04-05
LSKLiskEthereum2.54472.5409-0.15%2.4335-4.37%0.0239✓0.81183k2022-04-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.05730.057214-0.15%0.05595-2.36%0.0020✗1.03572k2022-04-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,644.7045,576.55-0.15%45,530.80-0.25%0.0218✗0.9630k2022-04-05
XMRMoneroMonero222.07221.7422-0.15%222.25+0.08%0.0240✗0.921.5M2022-04-05
RADRadworksEthereum5.715.7018-0.14%5.61-1.75%0.0064✗0.96466k2022-04-05
QNTQuantEthereum139.1138.9052-0.14%133.48-4.04%0.0183✓0.914.2M2022-04-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013440.013421-0.14%0.01325-1.41%0.0029✗0.6614k2022-04-05
HIVEHivenative1.11421.1127-0.13%1.0699-3.98%0.0143✓1.052.1M2022-04-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.3927.3545-0.13%26.52-3.18%0.0003✓1.30298k2022-04-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.2023.1979-0.13%3.0093-6.02%0.0430✓0.753.6M2022-04-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092020.091902-0.13%0.09085-1.27%0.0121✗1.00121k2022-04-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.06940.069314-0.12%0.0699+0.72%0.0220✗0.57221k2022-04-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.53920.538547-0.12%0.5143-4.62%0.0224✓1.00875k2022-04-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.782.7767-0.12%2.68-3.60%0.0123✓0.98160k2022-04-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.699.6785-0.12%9.46-2.37%0.0057✓0.722.4M2022-04-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.86450.863471-0.12%0.8231-4.79%0.0241✓1.017.7M2022-04-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin124.76124.6138-0.12%122.76-1.60%0.0091✗1.0226.1M2022-04-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.29990.299585-0.10%0.2898-3.37%0.0135✓0.831.8M2022-04-05
CELLCellframeEthereum1.5191.5174-0.10%1.4106-7.14%0.0398✓1.40203k2022-04-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5117.4961-0.08%16.75-4.34%0.0194✓1.0226.4M2022-04-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum3.0183.0157-0.08%2.835-6.06%0.0419✓0.8475k2022-04-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.58910.588666-0.07%0.56-4.94%0.0484✓0.065,2242022-04-05
XYMSymbolnative0.1450.144913-0.06%0.1439-0.76%0.0097✗0.71731k2022-04-05
BTTCBTTC0.000002170.000002169-0.06%0.00000212-2.30%0.0073✓0.6511.2M2022-04-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5114.5017-0.06%14.63+0.83%0.0179✗0.383.0M2022-04-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59810.597782-0.05%0.5927-0.90%0.0089✗0.74440k2022-04-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.66.5965-0.05%6.51-1.36%0.0037✗0.711.7M2022-04-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014650.014642-0.05%0.01413-3.55%0.0074✓1.193.7M2022-04-05
PROPropyEthereum1.561.5592-0.05%1.56+0.00%0.0246✗1.02167k2022-04-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.3931.3748-0.05%31.3-0.29%0.0189✗0.90676k2022-04-05
KCSKuCoinnative21.4621.4519-0.04%21.065-1.84%0.0025✗0.875.4M2022-04-05
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0996-0.04%1.06-3.64%0.0276✓0.38169k2022-04-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05260.052581-0.04%0.05121-2.64%0.0072✓0.8131k2022-04-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026480.000026471-0.04%0.00002676+1.06%0.0379✗1.142.2M2022-04-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9641.9635-0.02%1.932-1.63%0.0064✗0.963.4M2022-04-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.02016.0193-0.01%5.7502-4.48%0.0346✓0.47163k2022-04-05
CBKCobakEthereum2.6872.6875+0.02%2.605-3.05%0.0130✗0.7720k2022-04-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.615.612+0.04%5.547-1.12%0.0113✓0.9784k2022-04-05
GTGateEthereum6.98216.9847+0.04%6.9814-0.01%0.0135✓0.594.7M2022-04-05
XEMNEMnative0.11820.118289+0.08%0.1147-2.96%0.0112✗0.8355k2022-04-05
TRXTRONTron0.0707710.070843+0.10%0.069272-2.12%0.0076✗0.63331k2022-04-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.