8=======>

2022-05-17 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1039
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.99%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.3%
in alpha space · 51.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-33.01%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DIADIAEthereum0.397630.425062+6.90%0.37966-4.52%0.2081✓0.8070k2022-06-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009050.009577+5.82%0.006722-25.72%0.0206✓0.83222k2022-06-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.380480.398931+4.85%0.24344-36.02%0.0821✓1.441.4M2022-06-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.6924+4.36%2.29-11.24%0.5386✓1.75390k2022-06-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.21090.219846+4.24%0.1494-29.16%0.0401✓1.062,6012022-06-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01670.017353+3.91%0.02059+23.29%1.0648✓2.2325.3M2022-06-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7651.8315+3.77%1.348-23.63%0.2731✓1.45500k2022-06-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14520.150393+3.58%0.1134-21.90%0.3474✓1.576.0M2022-06-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.717.9763+3.45%6.352-17.61%0.3008✓1.3218.8M2022-06-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,984.1310,314.27+3.31%4,598.44-53.94%0.3407✗1.172.9M2022-06-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0342.1008+3.28%1.105-45.67%0.0279✓1.6799k2022-06-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.08920.09172+2.82%0.0552-38.12%0.1760✓1.71239k2022-06-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin73.0475.0764+2.79%44.74-38.75%0.0536✗1.1619.1M2022-06-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.6614.0303+2.71%7.91-42.09%0.2016✗0.93571k2022-06-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.422.9882+2.63%13.61-39.24%0.0604✓1.463.4M2022-06-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13110.134535+2.62%0.1049-19.98%0.1541✓1.0119k2022-06-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche34.3835.2622+2.57%15.77-54.13%0.2244✗1.4548.8M2022-06-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.3991.4347+2.55%0.807-42.32%0.1118✓1.72665k2022-06-16
STXStacksnative0.580.59441+2.48%0.3286-43.34%0.1376✗1.14314k2022-06-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03530.036146+2.40%0.0275-22.10%0.2762✓1.37189k2022-06-16
AAVEAaveEthereum92.5394.5952+2.23%56.51-38.93%0.0919✓1.528.7M2022-06-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash206.73211.3244+2.22%109.37-47.10%0.2005✗1.145.4M2022-06-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0573.1177+1.99%2.344-23.32%0.1387✓1.0699k2022-06-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.209630.213792+1.99%0.12518-40.29%0.1089✓1.61273k2022-06-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.4611.6777+1.90%6.329-44.77%0.0599✗1.3821.0M2022-06-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.5326+1.86%10.81+4.55%0.6492✓1.56154k2022-06-16
XVSVenusEthereum4.734.8158+1.81%4.05-14.38%0.4248✓1.492.8M2022-06-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.41490.422315+1.79%0.32127-22.57%0.2415✓1.29223k2022-06-16
NANOnanopayBase1.16071.181+1.75%0.798118-31.24%0.1098✓1.25161k2022-06-16
QNTQuantEthereum74.4675.7614+1.75%44.42-40.34%0.1208✗1.033.6M2022-06-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8604+1.66%1.27-30.60%0.2961✓1.69452k2022-06-16
SCSiacoinnative0.005610.005701+1.63%0.00341-39.22%0.0847✓1.49403k2022-06-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20220.205472+1.62%0.1448-28.39%0.2318✓1.45683k2022-06-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3420.347507+1.61%0.822+140.35%1.5551✓1.731.8M2022-06-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36140.36721+1.61%0.2314-35.97%0.0568✓1.2991k2022-06-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072130.073253+1.56%0.04558-36.81%0.0604✗1.0318k2022-06-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.970.984643+1.51%0.48-50.52%0.3284✗0.97119k2022-06-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5770.585595+1.49%0.4756-17.57%0.3169✓1.3148.6M2022-06-16
DASHDashDash60.1161.0009+1.48%41.86-30.36%0.1042✓1.201.2M2022-06-16
UMAUMAEthereum3.3143.361+1.42%2.64-20.34%0.4287✓1.672.6M2022-06-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.07110.072102+1.41%0.0558-21.52%0.1991✓1.14407k2022-06-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0162330.016452+1.35%0.011964-26.30%0.1247✓1.114.2M2022-06-16
KSMKusamaHydration82.0483.1183+1.31%49.2-40.03%0.0222✗1.251.4M2022-06-16
MOVRMoonriverBase24.710725.0218+1.26%12.9736-47.50%0.0799✗1.44207k2022-06-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,409.8030,789.73+1.25%20,300.70-33.24%0.0260✗0.9790k2022-06-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.1210.122512+1.25%0.0869-28.18%0.3008✓1.611.7M2022-06-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.21591.2305+1.20%0.80833-33.52%0.1815✓1.501.2M2022-06-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5930.599825+1.15%0.278-53.12%0.1747✗1.48929k2022-06-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.17980.181863+1.15%0.0973-45.88%0.0174✗1.528.8M2022-06-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001440.001456+1.14%0.000783-45.62%0.0248✗1.493.5M2022-06-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012550.000012691+1.12%0.00000795-36.65%0.0637✓1.331.2M2022-06-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.568.655+1.11%5.302-38.06%0.0146✓1.265.8M2022-06-16
ZENHorizenBase22.1422.3799+1.08%13.48-39.11%0.1094✓1.54171k2022-06-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25890.261663+1.07%0.1959-24.33%0.2144✓1.26280k2022-06-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.628.7058+1.00%5.311-38.39%0.0817✓1.448.3M2022-06-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.740.746646+0.90%0.425-42.57%0.0273✓1.47338k2022-06-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.0211.1152+0.86%7.11-35.48%0.0766✓1.3113.7M2022-06-16
MINAMina Protocolnative1.11.1093+0.84%0.593-46.09%0.0634✗1.40775k2022-06-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.985.0199+0.80%5.0538+1.48%0.1099✓0.26294k2022-06-16
SOLSolanaSolana57.0257.3469+0.57%30.1-47.21%0.0774✗1.4293.8M2022-06-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.18040.181425+0.57%0.124-31.26%0.1842✓1.41386k2022-06-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.133.1424+0.40%1.978-36.81%0.1659✓1.57240k2022-06-16
FTTFTXEthereum32.0332.1504+0.38%23.28-27.32%0.0560✓0.9513.2M2022-06-16
XVGVergenative0.005460.00548+0.36%0.00286-47.62%0.0948✗1.39949k2022-06-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.9051.9115+0.34%1.284-32.60%0.1786✓1.442.3M2022-06-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.014070.014109+0.28%0.00877-37.67%0.0515✗1.063.3M2022-06-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.39060.391596+0.25%0.2551-34.69%0.0791✓1.279.0M2022-06-16
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8170.818895+0.23%0.785-3.92%0.4033✓1.113.2M2022-06-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3891.3921+0.22%0.664-52.20%0.1657✗1.436.6M2022-06-16
XTZTezosTezos1.85681.8597+0.15%1.355-27.02%0.1932✓1.271.1M2022-06-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9580.959231+0.13%0.574-40.08%0.0677✗1.11769k2022-06-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3840.384394+0.10%0.253-34.11%0.0028✓1.051.1M2022-06-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.57862.5812+0.10%1.7941-30.42%0.1331✓1.24145k2022-06-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.612540.613048+0.08%0.42782-30.16%0.2290✓1.4793k2022-06-16
ETHEthereumEthereum2,088.962,090.19+0.06%1,066.87-48.93%0.2640✗1.02494.1M2022-06-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.613.6092-0.02%3.86+6.93%0.4526✗0.96798k2022-06-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27050.270299-0.07%0.2052-24.14%0.2979✗1.43172k2022-06-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.120.119834-0.14%0.0922-23.17%0.2895✗1.381.1M2022-06-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.471.4673-0.18%0.6-59.18%0.4597✓1.08134k2022-06-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.042.0359-0.20%1.52-25.49%0.1239✗1.04315k2022-06-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.852.8419-0.29%3.57+25.26%0.6368✗1.02440k2022-06-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.742.7316-0.31%3.11+13.50%0.5498✗1.05553k2022-06-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.01040.010367-0.32%0.00641-38.37%0.0340✓1.121.3M2022-06-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4255-0.32%0.96-32.87%0.1977✗1.483.6M2022-06-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,412.1230,315.12-0.32%20,372.00-33.01%0.0032✗1.00675.4M2022-06-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.2115.1595-0.33%7.13-53.12%0.2303✓1.31822k2022-06-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004430.004414-0.36%0.003262-26.37%0.0948✗0.9919k2022-06-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.385080.383578-0.39%0.49666+28.98%0.9388✗1.70331k2022-06-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6230.619631-0.54%0.5-19.74%0.4330✗1.621.7M2022-06-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.029710.029543-0.56%0.01905-35.88%0.0384✓1.00194k2022-06-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.763.7381-0.58%2.57-31.65%0.0580✓0.79788k2022-06-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.005120.005088-0.62%0.002801-45.29%0.1034✓1.231.9M2022-06-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.21874.1897-0.69%2.6461-37.28%0.0176✗1.19134k2022-06-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.752.7294-0.75%2.2619-17.75%0.4972✗1.7123k2022-06-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08030.079681-0.77%0.052-35.24%0.2874✗1.78169k2022-06-16
ZECZcashZcash114.63113.724-0.79%58.94-48.58%0.1339✓1.315.7M2022-06-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040940.040606-0.82%0.02555-37.59%0.0810✗1.3694k2022-06-16
BTTCBTTC0.000001130.000001121-0.82%7.60e-7-32.74%0.0735✓0.797.7M2022-06-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.7621.5809-0.82%13.82-36.49%0.0606✗1.264.2M2022-06-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15250.151207-0.85%0.1016-33.38%0.2516✗1.62109k2022-06-16
XEMNEMnative0.06140.060867-0.87%0.038032-38.06%0.0551✗1.31127k2022-06-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.8832.8561-0.93%1.743-39.54%0.1840✗1.696.7M2022-06-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09070.089849-0.94%0.0581-35.94%0.0980✓0.84183k2022-06-16
UNIUniswapEthereum5.475.4098-1.10%3.829-30.00%0.1382✗1.213.5M2022-06-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.25470.251538-1.24%0.1237-51.43%0.5240✓0.46410k2022-06-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.393370.388388-1.27%0.27575-29.90%0.3167✗1.6527k2022-06-16
COMPCompoundEthereum74.6973.7165-1.30%30.16-59.62%0.3441✓1.3728k2022-06-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.50040.493869-1.31%0.362-27.66%0.2927✗1.51307k2022-06-16
KCSKuCoinnative14.91614.7198-1.32%11.087-25.67%0.1059✗0.974.9M2022-06-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.29541.2783-1.32%0.954432-26.32%0.1397✗1.0898k2022-06-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.897862-1.33%0.62-31.87%0.2459✗1.54800k2022-06-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.2311.2133-1.43%0.84123-31.66%0.0316✗0.9924k2022-06-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.6741.6488-1.51%2.909+73.78%0.9642✗0.99779k2022-06-16
GTGateEthereum5.75215.664-1.53%3.9508-31.32%0.1455✓0.545.2M2022-06-16
XECeCashnative0.000049360.000048579-1.58%0.00003702-25.00%0.2520✗1.316.5M2022-06-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.029040.028574-1.60%0.018988-34.61%0.0075✓1.0025k2022-06-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01870.018391-1.65%0.01773-5.19%0.2324✗0.67400k2022-06-16
XMRMoneroMonero172.72169.8391-1.67%106.33-38.44%0.0375✓1.083.5M2022-06-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153680.0151-1.74%0.014896-3.07%0.2933✗0.77198k2022-06-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.7554.7711-1.76%50.901-8.70%0.3091✗0.951.7M2022-06-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6290.617112-1.89%0.324-48.49%0.1680✓1.1938k2022-06-16
HIVEHivenative0.54110.530806-1.90%0.345-36.24%0.0763✗1.271.5M2022-06-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.161.1379-1.90%1.47+26.72%0.5889✗0.83204k2022-06-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07120.069794-1.97%0.043-39.61%0.0651✓1.05113k2022-06-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9130.89363-2.12%0.685-24.97%0.3550✗1.557.6M2022-06-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0901510.088237-2.12%0.055166-38.81%0.0223✓1.126.3M2022-06-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047380.046354-2.17%0.03838-19.00%0.2016✗0.978,0692022-06-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0089630.008768-2.17%0.00623-30.49%0.0712✗1.0315k2022-06-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.03430.033554-2.17%0.0289-15.74%0.0050✓0.36138k2022-06-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.49470.48341-2.28%0.3018-38.99%0.0092✓1.2015.2M2022-06-16
DODODODOEthereum0.1680.164139-2.30%0.1219-27.44%0.2985✗1.494.0M2022-06-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.09130.089198-2.30%0.0526-42.39%0.1000✗1.573.6M2022-06-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1415430.138159-2.39%0.10905-22.96%0.1967✗1.0813.4M2022-06-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.865.7183-2.42%6.05+3.24%0.4157✗0.901.2M2022-06-16
APEApeCoinEthereum8.8778.6502-2.55%3.372-62.01%0.0929✗2.5894.8M2022-06-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.14930.145426-2.59%0.0928-37.84%0.0203✓1.071.2M2022-06-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.3389-2.93%4.34-33.54%0.1712✗1.37666k2022-06-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.053577-2.99%0.04577-17.13%0.2487✗1.0125k2022-06-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.96881.9065-3.17%2.1202+7.69%0.5575✗1.132.4M2022-06-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.7481.6913-3.25%3.078+76.09%1.0250✗1.06714k2022-06-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73650.712112-3.31%0.6143-16.59%0.4220✗1.426.1M2022-06-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.92712.8164-3.78%2.3926-18.26%0.4939✗1.649.8M2022-06-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.15e-76.86e-7-4.03%3.34e-7-53.27%0.5112✓0.521.6M2022-06-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.68411.6156-4.06%1.7294+2.69%0.5179✗1.124.3M2022-06-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.3460.331575-4.17%0.158-54.34%0.2072✓1.33463k2022-06-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4248170.406174-4.39%0.261084-38.54%0.1043✗1.366.1M2022-06-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1263.9412-4.48%2.845-31.05%0.1053✗1.081.5M2022-06-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.609877-4.71%0.381-40.47%0.1226✗1.4816k2022-06-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1152.0148-4.74%1.23-41.84%0.3044✗1.99903k2022-06-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.355.0921-4.82%4.04-24.49%0.1339✗0.912.7M2022-06-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.14180.134704-5.00%0.0817-42.38%0.1953✗1.74694k2022-06-16
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.066142-5.10%0.0501-28.12%0.0234✓0.75536k2022-06-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05620.053282-5.19%0.0345-38.61%0.0471✓1.201.5M2022-06-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.4411.7657-5.42%8.02-35.53%0.2346✗1.546.4M2022-06-16
TRXTRONTron0.0721420.067964-5.79%0.058994-18.23%0.1823✗0.811.2M2022-06-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08440.079295-6.05%0.04718-44.10%0.1185✓1.003.0M2022-06-16
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3951.3062-6.36%0.667-52.19%0.2714✓1.004.4M2022-06-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.68181.571-6.59%0.91995-45.30%0.2861✓0.6215k2022-06-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.014680.013706-6.63%0.00889-39.44%0.1615✗1.4844.1M2022-06-16
PROPropyEthereum1.211.1273-6.83%0.86-28.93%0.0135✓0.71429k2022-06-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2530.235221-7.03%0.212-16.21%0.5060✗1.523.4M2022-06-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.18920.175429-7.28%0.085-55.07%0.3239✓1.004,7802022-06-16
GMTGMTEthereum1.581.452-8.10%0.593-62.47%0.4948✓1.006.6M2022-06-16
STEEMSteemnative0.29990.271602-9.44%0.1854-38.18%0.0189✓1.001.6M2022-06-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.1482.8441-9.65%3.6+14.36%0.5689✗0.832.1M2022-06-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.181.967-9.77%1.3599-37.62%0.1347✗1.268.8M2022-06-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.32.954-10.48%1.699-48.52%0.1525✓1.00213k2022-06-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4131.2526-11.35%1.31-7.29%0.6140✗1.4214.3M2022-06-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000190.000124475-34.49%0.000058-69.47%0.2714✓2.588.4M2022-06-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.