8=======>

2022-05-14 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1297
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+30.04%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.8%
in alpha space · 27.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.23%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000460.000223297-51.46%0.00006043-86.86%0.4560✓2.938.4M2022-06-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.0740.068464-7.48%0.04897-33.82%0.0443✓1.003.8M2022-06-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1211.0458-6.70%1.458+30.06%0.7270✗1.3614.9M2022-06-13
GMTGMTEthereum1.5331.4371-6.25%0.591-61.45%0.5978✓1.008.1M2022-06-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25420.240244-5.49%0.1835-27.81%0.0214✓1.002.1M2022-06-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6350.60017-5.48%0.392-38.27%0.0040✓1.4517k2022-06-13
APEApeCoinEthereum8.6468.3036-3.96%3.485-59.69%0.1095✓2.6194.8M2022-06-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum5.58e-75.36e-7-3.83%3.58e-7-35.81%0.2537✓0.521.4M2022-06-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.629.2716-3.62%8.03-16.53%0.3081✗1.555.9M2022-06-13
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3571.3154-3.07%0.778-42.67%0.2343✓1.005.2M2022-06-13
PROPropyEthereum1.111.0813-2.58%0.9-18.92%0.0155✓0.68470k2022-06-13
TRXTRONTron0.072360.070613-2.41%0.063701-11.97%0.1320✗0.811.1M2022-06-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.22389-1.80%0.189-17.11%0.2616✗1.484.0M2022-06-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4175280.410561-1.67%0.252041-39.63%0.0995✓1.346.1M2022-06-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67441.6498-1.47%1.0426-37.73%0.2742✓0.6416k2022-06-13
XYMSymbolnative0.06970.068836-1.24%0.0486-30.27%0.1336✓0.74568k2022-06-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.4131.3967-1.15%0.718-49.19%0.2484✓1.436.6M2022-06-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.07290.072127-1.06%0.048-34.16%0.1047✓1.04115k2022-06-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.7313.6917-1.05%3.092-17.13%0.1262✗1.041.5M2022-06-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12070.119445-1.04%0.0833-30.99%0.1851✗1.88694k2022-06-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.73291.7192-0.79%1.2396-28.47%0.0304✗1.239.6M2022-06-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04610.045741-0.78%0.03724-19.22%0.0752✗0.978,2452022-06-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.399530.396833-0.67%0.25719-35.63%0.0550✗1.6832k2022-06-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010130.010066-0.63%0.00971-4.15%0.4443✗1.6543.3M2022-06-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.73262.7173-0.56%2.313-15.36%0.3106✗1.628.0M2022-06-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.18290.182008-0.49%0.1272-30.45%0.0565✗1.43375k2022-06-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28640.285448-0.33%0.1335-53.39%0.6205✓0.48458k2022-06-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0093150.009313-0.02%0.00763-18.09%0.0999✗1.0327k2022-06-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.065.073+0.26%5.3088+4.92%0.1238✓0.27285k2022-06-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.33181.3367+0.37%0.82849-37.79%0.0326✗1.531.1M2022-06-13
GTGateEthereum5.55515.5758+0.37%4.2445-23.59%0.1163✗0.544.9M2022-06-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.9214.9895+0.47%8.36-43.97%0.2042✗1.31822k2022-06-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.4630.465445+0.53%0.3039-34.36%0.0807✗1.1914.3M2022-06-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,041.8830,228.05+0.62%22,460.97-25.23%0.0062✓1.00672.6M2022-06-13
FTTFTXEthereum31.5331.7302+0.64%24.51-22.26%0.0206✓0.9615.2M2022-06-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.48951.5013+0.80%1.7211+15.55%0.4499✓1.084.3M2022-06-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8271.8418+0.81%1.255-31.31%0.1910✓1.98973k2022-06-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19581.2082+1.03%0.939069-21.47%0.0542✓1.0598k2022-06-13
ZECZcashZcash105.67106.8368+1.10%65.48-38.03%0.1214✗1.275.3M2022-06-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.533.569+1.11%2.75-22.10%0.0461✗0.74777k2022-06-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0893580.090441+1.21%0.054172-39.38%0.1903✗1.116.3M2022-06-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.64381.6647+1.27%2.0689+25.86%0.5356✓1.092.5M2022-06-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04720.04783+1.34%0.0358-24.15%0.0478✓1.161.5M2022-06-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026460.026832+1.41%0.018258-31.00%0.0911✗1.0126k2022-06-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.9754.7678+1.48%46.677-13.51%0.1210✓0.971.8M2022-06-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08790.089229+1.51%0.0654-25.60%0.0658✗0.84169k2022-06-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8180.830417+1.52%0.776-5.13%0.2515✓1.103.3M2022-06-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1381110.140222+1.53%0.106761-22.70%0.0384✓1.0713.6M2022-06-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0193.0672+1.60%2.414-20.04%0.0645✓1.0596k2022-06-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.013760.013985+1.63%0.00905-34.23%0.1264✗1.063.2M2022-06-13
KCSKuCoinnative12.96813.1834+1.66%11.706-9.73%0.1525✓0.934.1M2022-06-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001110.000001129+1.67%8.10e-7-27.03%0.1025✗0.797.9M2022-06-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08660.088049+1.67%0.0508-41.34%0.1057✗1.533.6M2022-06-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.064483+1.71%0.0519-18.14%0.1157✓1.14415k2022-06-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,053.332,089.55+1.76%1,207.82-41.18%0.2488✗1.03494.1M2022-06-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.0521.4291+1.80%14.4-31.59%0.0320✗1.264.2M2022-06-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.58832.6355+1.82%1.8846-27.19%0.0236✓1.23173k2022-06-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.635.7378+1.92%4.53-19.54%0.1642✓1.38572k2022-06-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.630.642074+1.92%0.493-21.75%0.1909✓1.571.7M2022-06-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07140.072842+2.02%0.0561-21.43%0.2863✓1.88176k2022-06-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.880.89792+2.04%0.68-22.73%0.1703✓1.54801k2022-06-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,968.5030,584.75+2.06%22,471.70-25.02%0.0250✗0.9768k2022-06-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.6210.633859+2.07%0.332-46.54%0.2982✗1.2040k2022-06-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.547610.559334+2.14%0.37168-32.13%0.0071✓1.4393k2022-06-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.891.9308+2.16%1.52-19.58%0.0580✓1.02381k2022-06-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003950.004036+2.17%0.00331-16.20%0.0785✓0.9519k2022-06-13
DASHDashDash60.8662.1907+2.19%42.59-30.02%0.0345✗1.181.1M2022-06-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009440.009651+2.23%0.00632-33.05%0.1040✗1.101.1M2022-06-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.876511+2.28%0.7-18.32%0.2192✓1.537.6M2022-06-13
COMPCompoundEthereum71.4573.1005+2.31%35.73-49.99%0.3185✗1.3730k2022-06-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.20080.205536+2.36%0.1611-19.77%0.1827✓1.47649k2022-06-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.183.256+2.39%4.2+32.08%0.5276✓0.94798k2022-06-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7532.8219+2.50%1.912-30.55%0.0975✓1.677.4M2022-06-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.7811.8256+2.50%3.335+87.25%0.8095✓0.711.9M2022-06-13
HIVEHivenative0.50930.522069+2.51%0.3584-29.63%0.0133✓1.251.5M2022-06-13
XMRMoneroMonero153.49157.3408+2.51%132.56-13.64%0.1285✓1.033.2M2022-06-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7113.0298+2.52%8.14-35.96%0.2083✗0.90555k2022-06-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.085.2094+2.55%6.79+33.66%0.5024✓0.821.3M2022-06-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053370.05478+2.64%0.04329-18.89%0.0533✓0.9925k2022-06-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004710.004836+2.67%0.00285-39.49%0.1780✗1.211.8M2022-06-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.1411.1726+2.77%0.80971-29.04%0.0830✗0.9924k2022-06-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.19240.197849+2.83%0.1066-44.59%0.1668✗1.558.6M2022-06-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.42.4681+2.84%3.52+46.67%0.6598✓1.05548k2022-06-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015660.016106+2.85%0.01967+25.61%0.3998✓0.69400k2022-06-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64010.658372+2.85%0.5649-11.75%0.2502✓1.396.1M2022-06-13
SCSiacoinnative0.005120.005268+2.89%0.00359-29.88%0.0389✓1.45403k2022-06-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot11.2811.6093+2.92%7.032-37.66%0.1242✗1.3012.2M2022-06-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024960.025695+2.94%0.01883-24.56%0.0022✓1.06202k2022-06-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.538.7835+2.97%5.442-36.20%0.0730✗1.408.0M2022-06-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11980.123365+2.98%0.0914-23.71%0.0263✓1.121.1M2022-06-13
XEMNEMnative0.05680.058508+3.01%0.039006-31.33%0.0481✗1.23164k2022-06-13
ZENHorizenBase21.2121.8487+3.01%14.12-33.43%0.0067✓1.52167k2022-06-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.531.5763+3.03%3.225+110.78%1.0177✓1.04683k2022-06-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13750.141735+3.08%0.1013-26.33%0.1459✓1.66109k2022-06-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001340.001383+3.21%0.000828-38.21%0.0806✗1.493.8M2022-06-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.421.4661+3.25%0.88-38.03%0.1964✗1.08140k2022-06-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.175.3406+3.30%3.662-29.17%0.0289✓1.203.6M2022-06-13
NANOnanopayBase1.15951.1979+3.31%0.845884-27.05%0.0176✓1.26161k2022-06-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.264995+3.31%0.1992-22.34%0.1216✓1.40180k2022-06-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1580.163253+3.32%0.136-13.92%0.2404✓1.454.4M2022-06-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,210.4910,550.56+3.33%4,951.67-51.50%0.4183✗1.162.7M2022-06-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.5141.5656+3.41%3.286+117.04%1.0191✓0.95779k2022-06-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.6411.0026+3.41%11.71+10.06%0.4961✓1.49136k2022-06-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.417580.431882+3.42%0.28493-31.77%0.0463✗1.27199k2022-06-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4472.5329+3.51%2.0821-14.91%0.3003✓1.7123k2022-06-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.20080.207931+3.55%0.1305-35.01%0.1633✗1.042,6012022-06-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.572.6624+3.59%4.17+62.26%0.7324✓0.98453k2022-06-13
QNTQuantEthereum72.1174.7859+3.71%49.66-31.13%0.1085✗1.033.6M2022-06-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.115088+3.78%0.0926-16.50%0.2360✓1.561.7M2022-06-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash208.47216.377+3.79%126.93-39.11%0.2057✗1.135.3M2022-06-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum22.423.2513+3.80%13.49-39.78%0.1282✗1.433.5M2022-06-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47580.493905+3.81%0.3765-20.87%0.1565✓1.47307k2022-06-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.9923.1066+3.83%1.997-33.26%0.0425✓1.672.4M2022-06-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.196760.20435+3.86%0.13259-32.61%0.0367✓1.61262k2022-06-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.010010.010408+3.97%0.00733-26.77%0.1194✗0.80269k2022-06-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.10784.2711+3.98%2.7762-32.42%0.0797✗1.21135k2022-06-13
ADACardanoCardano0.53710.558617+4.01%0.4636-13.68%0.1861✓1.2846.3M2022-06-13
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0921.1359+4.02%0.662-39.38%0.1367✗1.39760k2022-06-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.27590.287099+4.06%0.1607-41.75%0.2131✗1.26463k2022-06-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.311.3633+4.07%0.97-25.95%0.0853✓1.463.6M2022-06-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03380.035178+4.08%0.0291-13.91%0.1998✓1.34179k2022-06-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24970.260001+4.13%0.195-21.91%0.0749✓1.25292k2022-06-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.351630.366365+4.19%0.45073+28.18%0.6814✓1.63331k2022-06-13
AAVEAaveEthereum86.4490.0622+4.19%59.74-30.89%0.0230✓1.497.8M2022-06-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.11710.122022+4.20%0.0945-19.30%0.1395✓1.361.2M2022-06-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.582.6893+4.24%2.19-15.12%0.3058✓1.76378k2022-06-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.36470.380172+4.24%0.2205-39.54%0.1761✗1.2793k2022-06-13
BANDBandEthereum1.7441.8187+4.28%1.318-24.43%0.0948✓1.43500k2022-06-13
XVGVergenative0.004770.004975+4.30%0.00303-36.48%0.1062✗1.34885k2022-06-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90.938706+4.30%0.6-33.33%0.1768✗0.93137k2022-06-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.9097+4.36%1.29-29.51%0.1022✓1.70418k2022-06-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14290.149153+4.38%0.149+4.27%0.4547✓1.576.2M2022-06-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.038980.040698+4.41%0.02635-32.40%0.0383✓1.3694k2022-06-13
XTZTezosTezos1.83041.9121+4.46%1.4008-23.47%0.0561✓1.26878k2022-06-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.89.1976+4.52%5.329-39.44%0.1825✗1.257.4M2022-06-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.135.3651+4.58%4.54-11.50%0.0858✓0.872.7M2022-06-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7711.269+4.63%6.495-39.69%0.1629✗1.3320.1M2022-06-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5982.7194+4.67%2.042-21.40%0.1557✓1.52221k2022-06-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.64.817+4.72%3.88-15.65%0.2040✓1.452.8M2022-06-13
SOLSolanaSolana52.3754.8601+4.75%28.58-45.43%0.2468✗1.3987.4M2022-06-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.349075+4.83%0.256-23.12%0.0190✓1.001.1M2022-06-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34930.366243+4.85%0.2574-26.31%0.0117✓1.258.5M2022-06-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche33.8935.5546+4.91%16.09-52.52%0.3725✗1.4545.0M2022-06-13
AVTAventusEthereum0.950.996848+4.93%1.61+69.47%0.7088✓0.79201k2022-06-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.8172.2143+4.95%43.45-36.86%0.1747✗1.1518.2M2022-06-13
XECeCashnative0.000042570.00004469+4.98%0.00003827-10.10%0.2443✓1.376.5M2022-06-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9380.985359+5.05%0.599-36.14%0.1757✗1.11769k2022-06-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.09940.104429+5.06%0.0599-39.74%0.0611✗1.70215k2022-06-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.7430.780655+5.07%0.447-39.84%0.1258✗1.48357k2022-06-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.377370.396669+5.11%0.25822-31.57%0.0083✓1.501.4M2022-06-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos22.1033+5.17%1.145-42.75%0.1265✗1.6687k2022-06-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.257.6258+5.18%5.917-18.39%0.1271✓1.3118.3M2022-06-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.8391.9368+5.32%1.149-37.52%0.1046✗1.442.5M2022-06-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068470.07219+5.43%0.04562-33.37%0.1557✗1.0419k2022-06-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4960.522977+5.44%0.301-39.31%0.1310✗1.45869k2022-06-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01710.018034+5.46%0.01829+6.96%0.6637✓2.2325.3M2022-06-13
KSMKusamaHydration74.378.3909+5.51%46.08-37.98%0.1775✗1.221.2M2022-06-13
MOVRMoonriverBase22.493223.7528+5.60%14.6487-34.87%0.0624✗1.45195k2022-06-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11710.123728+5.66%0.0991-15.37%0.0424✓0.9119k2022-06-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0119920.012678+5.72%0.012961+8.08%0.2376✓0.74198k2022-06-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.231.3005+5.73%0.858-30.24%0.0742✓1.69582k2022-06-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0152870.016195+5.94%0.01281-16.20%0.0875✓1.114.3M2022-06-13
DIADIAEthereum0.376460.399402+6.09%0.38009+0.96%0.1740✓0.7770k2022-06-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012570.000013361+6.29%0.00000802-36.20%0.1288✗1.311.3M2022-06-13
STXStacksnative0.560.595311+6.31%0.347-38.04%0.2186✗1.10296k2022-06-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3050.325139+6.60%0.941+208.52%1.5669✓1.731.8M2022-06-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.