8=======>

2022-05-07 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 165 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2000
165 of 165 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+16.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
87.9%
in alpha space · 94.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.60%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (165 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.316.3703-10.54%12.17-33.50%0.1282✓1.362.3M2022-06-06
GMTGMTEthereum2.5622.2985-10.29%1.005-60.77%0.7039✓1.009.0M2022-06-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7321.5558-10.17%1.559-9.99%0.1434✗1.1517.4M2022-06-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.21650.194639-10.10%0.1106-48.91%0.3565✓1.691.1M2022-06-06
STEEMSteemnative0.38560.347733-9.82%0.284-26.35%0.0791✓1.003.5M2022-06-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.119949-9.81%0.0634-52.33%0.5688✓0.56134k2022-06-06
TRXTRONTron0.0833540.075372-9.58%0.081464-2.27%0.1692✗0.74304k2022-06-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.390.352838-9.53%0.281-27.95%0.0890✓1.124.3M2022-06-06
ZENHorizenBase35.3832.0089-9.53%20.95-40.79%0.2588✓1.34173k2022-06-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.74840.682882-8.75%0.4126-44.87%0.3823✓0.9910.9M2022-06-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0125430.01149-8.39%0.00958-23.62%0.0715✓0.8939k2022-06-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.667580.611982-8.33%0.428069-35.88%0.2184✓1.135.6M2022-06-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08580.078863-8.09%0.0536-37.53%0.2810✓0.852.4M2022-06-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.15410.141776-8.00%0.06821-55.74%0.6083✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
APEApeCoinEthereum12.35311.3703-7.96%6.382-48.34%0.3313✓2.0075.7M2022-06-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum3.523.2424-7.89%1.75-50.28%0.4362✓1.46349k2022-06-06
MINAMina Protocolnative1.721.585-7.85%0.873-49.24%0.4523✓1.17835k2022-06-06
PROPropyEthereum1.681.552-7.62%1.07-36.31%0.2952✓0.62507k2022-06-06
COMPCompoundEthereum99.0691.5618-7.57%59.38-40.06%0.2809✓1.2331k2022-06-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13480.124604-7.56%0.069-48.81%0.4275✓1.333.8M2022-06-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.69460.642409-7.51%0.5543-20.20%0.0163✓1.33296k2022-06-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.82654.4677-7.43%3.2249-33.18%0.1886✓1.118.6M2022-06-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2991.2025-7.43%0.874-32.72%0.1938✓1.02501k2022-06-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.63622.4438-7.30%1.9814-24.84%0.0880✓0.9910.0M2022-06-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.87460.811758-7.19%0.6122-30.00%0.1183✓1.336.3M2022-06-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.2182.0589-7.18%1.349-39.18%0.2307✓1.56665k2022-06-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.3154.9437-6.99%3.611-32.06%0.2339✓0.651.4M2022-06-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.541590.504149-6.91%0.42235-22.02%0.0272✓1.2148k2022-06-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.7920.2931-6.87%12.56-42.36%0.3246✓1.26532k2022-06-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016270.015155-6.85%0.01214-25.38%0.0222✓1.6248.2M2022-06-06
XYMSymbolnative0.08410.078348-6.84%0.059309-29.48%0.1938✓0.69657k2022-06-06
XECeCashnative0.000069860.000065085-6.84%0.00005296-24.19%0.0788✓1.037.2M2022-06-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.29180.272049-6.77%0.1585-45.68%0.3852✓1.266.3M2022-06-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.5770.538163-6.73%0.369-36.05%0.2816✓0.781.3M2022-06-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003070.002864-6.71%0.001275-58.47%0.6665✓1.163.9M2022-06-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum3.4563.2274-6.61%1.98-42.71%0.2773✓1.711.2M2022-06-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.6640.620392-6.57%0.3392-48.92%0.4559✓1.2097k2022-06-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.3164.0361-6.49%2.776-35.68%0.1859✓1.537.1M2022-06-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.36540.341727-6.48%0.3225-11.74%0.0815✗1.13487k2022-06-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.69e-78.13e-7-6.43%6.31e-7-27.38%0.2530✓0.00717k2022-06-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.37050.347191-6.29%0.1442-61.08%0.8255✓0.43540k2022-06-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.8725.1863-6.27%22.51-16.23%0.0377✓1.224.6M2022-06-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6130.574626-6.26%1.053+71.78%0.7844✗1.451.6M2022-06-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273390.11944-6.20%0.082485-35.22%0.2542✓0.947.1M2022-06-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.722.5533-6.13%3.017+10.92%0.2575✗0.73788k2022-06-06
XMRMoneroMonero204.44192.0583-6.06%189.44-7.34%0.1005✗0.933.0M2022-06-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.941.8227-6.05%1.06-45.36%0.4734✓0.56264k2022-06-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1675110.157596-5.92%0.144814-13.55%0.0394✓1.0113.6M2022-06-06
BTTCBTTC0.000001620.000001525-5.86%0.00000109-32.72%0.2485✓0.717.6M2022-06-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.16740.157596-5.86%0.1296-22.58%0.0492✓1.191.3M2022-06-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.63373.4218-5.83%2.565-29.41%0.1514✓1.11173k2022-06-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.18190.171381-5.78%0.1224-32.71%0.1631✓1.411.8M2022-06-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2272.0984-5.78%1.286-42.25%0.3229✓1.355.1M2022-06-06
UNIUniswapEthereum7.176.7589-5.73%5.369-25.12%0.0918✓1.124.2M2022-06-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.056110.052923-5.68%0.03982-29.03%0.1469✓1.1155k2022-06-06
DODODODOEthereum0.2740.258743-5.57%0.1715-37.41%0.2517✓1.294.9M2022-06-06
SUSHISushiEthereum2.142.0212-5.55%1.62-24.30%0.0542✓1.353.3M2022-06-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.77262.6206-5.48%2.5863-6.72%0.0692✗0.672.8M2022-06-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.32810.310343-5.41%0.1941-40.84%0.3901✓0.643,2632022-06-06
HIVEHivenative0.74230.702658-5.34%0.5692-23.32%0.0800✓1.061.4M2022-06-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00780.007386-5.31%0.00431-44.74%0.3960✓1.161.7M2022-06-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV70.3366.5952-5.31%57.654-18.02%0.0384✓0.862.1M2022-06-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.14190.134375-5.30%0.0872-38.55%0.1902✓1.96256k2022-06-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.484.2438-5.27%4.21-6.03%0.0764✗0.68497k2022-06-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0610.057799-5.25%0.05285-13.36%0.0155✓0.859,8712022-06-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.63191.5465-5.24%1.43-12.37%0.0353✓0.9280k2022-06-06
KSMKusamaHydration117.99111.8821-5.18%70.26-40.45%0.3276✓1.121.0M2022-06-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22422.1118-5.05%1.5277-31.31%0.2423✓0.6614k2022-06-06
LUNATerraTerra 268.0264.604-5.02%0.00008059-100.00%13.4296✓1.346.9M2022-06-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.18950.180037-4.99%0.1709-9.82%0.1171✗1.37109k2022-06-06
XVSVenusEthereum7.437.0604-4.97%4.57-38.49%0.2944✓1.142.6M2022-06-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum16,364.7315,551.50-4.97%7,455.25-54.44%0.6098✓1.022.3M2022-06-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12030.114353-4.94%0.0925-23.11%0.1085✓0.84136k2022-06-06
DASHDashDash83.4179.2952-4.93%60.01-28.05%0.1463✓1.071.1M2022-06-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.807880.768246-4.91%0.6076-24.79%0.0802✓1.2588k2022-06-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.70.665908-4.87%0.84358+20.51%0.3932✗1.27412k2022-06-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum4.5724.3515-4.82%2.866-37.31%0.2684✓1.21174k2022-06-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum12.0511.4715-4.80%7.576-37.13%0.2614✓1.248.3M2022-06-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3763.2148-4.77%4.612+36.61%0.4058✗0.362.4M2022-06-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche55.0352.4043-4.77%25.98-52.79%0.5513✓1.2243.7M2022-06-06
RADRadworksEthereum3.443.2763-4.76%2.22-35.47%0.2825✓0.87541k2022-06-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.9960.948665-4.75%0.652-34.54%0.2139✓1.31344k2022-06-06
NANOnanopayBase1.73281.6511-4.71%1.1816-31.81%0.1955✓1.13145k2022-06-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.9640.918564-4.71%0.719-25.41%0.0910✓1.251.9M2022-06-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.013920.013265-4.71%0.00924-33.62%0.2502✓0.901.0M2022-06-06
XVGVergenative0.007690.007328-4.71%0.00484-37.06%0.2731✓1.15898k2022-06-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.19130.182302-4.70%0.1323-30.84%0.2125✓0.881.2M2022-06-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.1331.08-4.67%0.602-46.87%0.4394✓1.1836k2022-06-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2170.206871-4.67%0.1275-41.24%0.3953✓0.7222k2022-06-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.888.4673-4.65%5.58-37.16%0.3572✓0.482.5M2022-06-06
SOLSolanaSolana78.8375.2297-4.57%42.35-46.28%0.4217✓1.2482.2M2022-06-06
MOVRMoonriverBase34.658833.1014-4.49%20.5584-40.68%0.2989✓1.44173k2022-06-06
ADACardanoCardano0.75980.725892-4.46%0.6087-19.89%0.0322✓1.1740.5M2022-06-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.23550.225022-4.45%0.1942-17.54%0.0019✓1.21372k2022-06-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.556810.532238-4.41%0.40356-27.52%0.1395✓1.11129k2022-06-06
QTUMQtumQtum5.2284.9981-4.40%4.0349-22.82%0.0706✓1.1698k2022-06-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.25650.245219-4.40%0.2146-16.34%0.0323✓1.34675k2022-06-06
UMAUMAEthereum5.2745.0423-4.39%3.103-41.16%0.3059✓1.461.6M2022-06-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.024720.023636-4.38%0.02592+4.85%0.1506✗0.47405k2022-06-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.10110.096738-4.31%0.0684-32.34%0.2427✓0.84416k2022-06-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.49.9542-4.29%6.61-36.44%0.2799✓1.05748k2022-06-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036220.034686-4.23%0.029571-18.36%0.0524✓0.8731k2022-06-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin13.2512.691-4.22%7.563-42.92%0.3755✓1.156.5M2022-06-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000019280.000018468-4.21%0.00001106-42.63%0.3822✓1.061.2M2022-06-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.9115-4.13%4.09+0.25%0.1395✗0.77585k2022-06-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7212.6088-4.12%3.162+16.21%0.2736✗0.661.1M2022-06-06
GTGateEthereum6.30716.0479-4.11%5.4841-13.05%0.0432✓0.444.1M2022-06-06
XTZTezosTezos2.51172.4088-4.10%2.061-17.94%0.0173✓1.12847k2022-06-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.017810.017091-4.04%0.01186-33.41%0.2729✓0.752.9M2022-06-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum28.6527.4979-4.02%20.69-27.78%0.1170✓1.363.5M2022-06-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.4221.3652-3.99%1.04-26.86%0.0970✓1.428.3M2022-06-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.4315.7809-3.95%9.457-42.44%0.3691✓1.1618.8M2022-06-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.4253.2909-3.92%1.794-47.62%0.4289✓1.4475k2022-06-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash267.87257.4591-3.89%185.41-30.78%0.2029✓1.024.9M2022-06-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.648.3081-3.84%7.53-12.85%0.0387✓0.481.2M2022-06-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.33160.318953-3.81%0.306-7.72%0.0998✗1.15188k2022-06-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot13.7513.2308-3.78%9.492-30.97%0.1954✓1.1111.6M2022-06-06
KCSKuCoinnative16.73116.101-3.77%16.559-1.03%0.1242✗0.784.0M2022-06-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01550.01492-3.74%0.00859-44.58%0.4459✓0.86209k2022-06-06
XEMNEMnative0.08060.077595-3.73%0.053095-34.13%0.2572✓0.9954k2022-06-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.03960.038129-3.71%0.02849-28.06%0.1883✓0.84227k2022-06-06
AAVEAaveEthereum132.21127.4214-3.62%105.84-19.95%0.0201✓1.348.3M2022-06-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.9570.922416-3.61%0.485-49.32%0.5053✓1.1143k2022-06-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.371.3205-3.61%0.88-35.77%0.2355✓1.38875k2022-06-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00710.006846-3.57%0.0051-28.17%0.2188✓0.6121k2022-06-06
GITCOINGITCOIN4.4914.3317-3.55%2.804-37.56%0.2489✓1.5118k2022-06-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0173340.016734-3.46%0.015286-11.81%0.0182✓0.59193k2022-06-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.871.807-3.37%1.29-31.02%0.2091✓1.04134k2022-06-06
ORCAOrcaSolana1.531.4785-3.37%0.84-45.10%0.4766✓0.72142k2022-06-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum4.524.3701-3.32%2.84-37.17%0.2412✓1.54335k2022-06-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.13580.131446-3.21%0.0879-35.27%0.2393✓1.32180k2022-06-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum13.412.9742-3.18%10.96-18.21%0.0077✓1.43136k2022-06-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,634.802,552.84-3.11%1,858.21-29.47%0.1935✓1.01437.0M2022-06-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.1223.0249-3.11%1.562-49.97%0.5266✓1.092.6M2022-06-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.38830.376295-3.09%0.3228-16.87%0.0357✓0.95297k2022-06-06
STXStacksnative0.810.785454-3.03%0.5587-31.02%0.2173✓1.00260k2022-06-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03450.033455-3.03%0.02403-30.35%0.0968✓1.9022.0M2022-06-06
BANDBandEthereum2.7842.703-2.91%1.72-38.22%0.2910✓1.31499k2022-06-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.370.359415-2.86%0.20236-45.31%0.3983✓1.43268k2022-06-06
ZECZcashZcash112.65109.4449-2.85%94.38-16.22%0.0024✓1.185.1M2022-06-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.110270.107135-2.84%0.07063-35.95%0.3285✓0.7117k2022-06-06
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9480.921248-2.82%0.813-14.24%0.0129✓1.123.3M2022-06-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum35,568.5034,626.18-2.65%31,441.50-11.60%0.0230✓0.9726k2022-06-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0613.955-2.61%2.833-30.24%0.2067✓1.0367k2022-06-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin35,458.0034,542.89-2.58%31,343.61-11.60%0.0261✗1.00542.5M2022-06-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.47650.464243-2.57%0.3639-23.63%0.1048✓1.127.9M2022-06-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9040.881212-2.52%0.504-44.25%0.3976✓1.311.0M2022-06-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.073660.071807-2.52%0.06463-12.26%0.0032✓0.8829k2022-06-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.874.751-2.44%4.97+2.05%0.1349✗0.73930k2022-06-06
FTTFTXEthereum35.0934.3451-2.12%27.37-22.00%0.1134✓0.9211.7M2022-06-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04940.048354-2.12%0.035-29.15%0.1739✓1.21176k2022-06-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.6581.6264-1.91%1.3642-17.72%0.0765✓0.8024k2022-06-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.2119.8314-1.87%12.09-40.18%0.3999✓0.77445k2022-06-06
SCSiacoinnative0.007570.007433-1.81%0.00581-23.25%0.0930✓1.24373k2022-06-06
QNTQuantEthereum87.0985.6209-1.69%67.76-22.20%0.1109✓1.003.4M2022-06-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.454.3852-1.46%3.21-27.87%0.2352✓0.62851k2022-06-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.630660.621812-1.40%0.36796-41.65%0.3597✓1.341.3M2022-06-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.76562.7282-1.35%2.3293-15.78%0.0787✓0.645.0M2022-06-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.20940.207105-1.10%0.1476-29.51%0.1564✓1.486.3M2022-06-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.37041.3562-1.03%1.0154-25.90%0.1399✓1.21760k2022-06-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0224810.022252-1.02%0.01521-32.34%0.2598✓0.984.2M2022-06-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin94.2793.3601-0.97%64.38-31.71%0.2442✓1.0317.3M2022-06-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum10.2110.115-0.93%7.971-21.93%0.0907✓1.2017.5M2022-06-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.27335.2302-0.82%5.1334-2.65%0.0183✗0.30278k2022-06-06
DIADIAEthereum0.690.690938+0.14%0.45239-34.44%0.3653✗0.4770k2022-06-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.