8=======>

2022-05-04 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1117
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.42%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 98.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.63895.6489+0.18%4.9002-13.10%0.0078✗0.46251k2022-06-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0244650.024254-0.86%0.01546-36.81%0.1523✓1.034.2M2022-06-03
DIADIAEthereum0.810.799602-1.28%0.45866-43.38%0.4285✓0.4471k2022-06-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin106.25104.5345-1.61%62.54-41.14%0.2197✓1.0117.3M2022-06-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.126040.123597-1.94%0.06909-45.18%0.3783✓0.7017k2022-06-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.084850.083164-1.99%0.06467-23.78%0.0141✓0.8232k2022-06-03
CBKCobakEthereum1.9351.8939-2.12%1.2799-33.85%0.1724✓0.7624k2022-06-03
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,665.5038,765.89-2.27%29,681.70-25.17%0.0064✓0.9425k2022-06-03
FTTFTXEthereum39.5638.5247-2.62%25.97-34.35%0.1377✓0.8811.7M2022-06-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.565.4137-2.63%3.06-44.96%0.4081✓0.56869k2022-06-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,669.5638,532.31-2.87%29,670.85-25.20%0.0291✓1.00553.2M2022-06-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.0060.975316-3.05%0.496-50.70%0.3370✓1.171.1M2022-06-03
GTGateEthereum6.5236.3232-3.06%5.3737-17.62%0.0321✓0.454.2M2022-06-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.042530.041223-3.07%0.02712-36.23%0.1854✓0.80236k2022-06-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum12.211.8136-3.17%6.847-43.88%0.2184✓1.1318.3M2022-06-03
QNTQuantEthereum101.5898.3144-3.21%65.24-35.77%0.1579✓0.873.4M2022-06-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum24.0823.2893-3.28%11.56-51.99%0.4412✓0.89417k2022-06-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.122.0483-3.38%1.2-43.40%0.2430✓1.00124k2022-06-03
XEMNEMnative0.09170.088543-3.44%0.049645-45.86%0.3076✓0.9355k2022-06-03
GITCOINGITCOIN5.1474.9672-3.49%2.701-47.52%0.1819✓1.4719k2022-06-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.808090.779484-3.54%0.36301-55.08%0.4005✓1.251.4M2022-06-03
KCSKuCoinnative18.40817.7563-3.54%17.046-7.40%0.1842✗0.774.3M2022-06-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041090.039625-3.57%0.02831-31.10%0.0920✓0.8436k2022-06-03
ETHEthereumEthereum2,939.982,834.26-3.60%1,773.25-39.68%0.1760✓1.01438.2M2022-06-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1151.0748-3.60%0.786-29.51%0.0042✓1.093.6M2022-06-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.684.5103-3.63%2.754-41.15%0.2129✓0.9767k2022-06-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45260.435903-3.69%0.2805-38.02%0.1821✓0.89299k2022-06-03
API3Api3Ethereum3.6523.5159-3.73%1.505-58.79%0.5599✓0.993.1M2022-06-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.55380.533099-3.74%0.3465-37.43%0.1323✓1.038.0M2022-06-03
STXStacksnative0.990.952418-3.80%0.5357-45.89%0.2956✓0.96274k2022-06-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00780.007498-3.87%0.00466-40.26%0.2918✓0.6328k2022-06-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.689.2984-3.94%7.21-25.52%0.1282✓0.431.6M2022-06-03
SCSiacoinnative0.008980.008626-3.94%0.00545-39.31%0.1160✓1.18382k2022-06-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.25570.245236-4.09%0.1369-46.46%0.1640✓1.446.9M2022-06-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.019370.018576-4.10%0.01141-41.09%0.2734✓0.743.6M2022-06-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0180.017253-4.15%0.00861-52.17%0.4016✓1.01248k2022-06-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.345.1142-4.23%4.32-19.10%0.0291✓0.681.1M2022-06-03
XTZTezosTezos2.70282.5881-4.24%1.9041-29.55%0.0010✓1.06855k2022-06-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.36643.2215-4.30%2.2381-33.52%0.1995✓0.575.6M2022-06-03
XYMSymbolnative0.09590.091745-4.33%0.057486-40.06%0.2715✓0.67706k2022-06-03
FIDABonfidaSolana1.1141.0646-4.44%0.477-57.18%0.5120✓1.0050k2022-06-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021780.000020813-4.44%0.00001081-50.37%0.3444✓1.071.4M2022-06-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2370.225765-4.74%0.1244-47.51%0.3944✓0.6925k2022-06-03
MANADecentralandEthereum1.65851.5799-4.74%0.9797-40.93%0.1489✓1.13886k2022-06-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.05980.056964-4.74%0.0341-42.98%0.1836✓1.13179k2022-06-03
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47792.3603-4.75%1.5331-38.13%0.2381✓0.6715k2022-06-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12950.123276-4.81%0.0859-33.67%0.0983✓0.91156k2022-06-03
XMRMoneroMonero225.24214.413-4.81%193.73-13.99%0.1690✗0.933.5M2022-06-03
NANOnanopayBase1.80611.7176-4.90%1.1198-38.00%0.1168✓1.07149k2022-06-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.95285.2388-4.90%182.82-39.05%0.1577✓0.995.3M2022-06-03
ORCAOrcaSolana1.871.7782-4.91%0.83-55.61%0.5558✓0.71159k2022-06-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.641.5592-4.93%0.88-46.34%0.1841✓1.34951k2022-06-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0922.9358-5.05%2.827-8.57%0.1369✗0.601.2M2022-06-03
ZECZcashZcash134.35127.3811-5.19%90.17-32.88%0.0186✓1.135.5M2022-06-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2130.201871-5.23%0.1283-39.77%0.2143✓0.821.2M2022-06-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.179.6323-5.29%5.25-48.38%0.4977✓0.382.5M2022-06-03
RADRadworksEthereum4.013.798-5.29%2.07-48.38%0.3630✓0.84565k2022-06-03
UMAUMAEthereum5.675.3627-5.42%3.067-45.91%0.1538✓1.391.6M2022-06-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos3.83.5938-5.43%1.733-54.39%0.3334✓1.3679k2022-06-03
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8171.7183-5.43%0.966-46.84%0.2545✓1.118.2M2022-06-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.11090.104836-5.47%0.0636-42.65%0.2440✓0.88425k2022-06-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.015240.014407-5.47%0.0093-38.98%0.1748✓0.911.1M2022-06-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.28290.267224-5.54%0.175-38.14%0.1011✓1.11391k2022-06-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.174.8831-5.55%2.73-47.20%0.1500✓1.49339k2022-06-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.028520.026935-5.56%0.02105-26.19%0.1176✓0.44416k2022-06-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.3215.4128-5.56%9.365-42.62%0.1931✓1.0511.7M2022-06-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.3720.351147-5.61%0.3247-12.72%0.3083✗1.33188k2022-06-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1847210.174351-5.61%0.146016-20.95%0.1067✗0.9813.8M2022-06-03
HIVEHivenative0.82910.782284-5.65%0.5404-34.82%0.0789✓1.001.5M2022-06-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.474.2151-5.70%3.83-14.32%0.1141✗0.72719k2022-06-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin15.7114.8127-5.71%7.374-53.06%0.3864✓1.077.5M2022-06-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.16130.15203-5.75%0.0734-54.49%0.3510✓1.30180k2022-06-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.87651.7681-5.77%1.3256-29.36%0.0278✓0.9084k2022-06-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.021610.020352-5.82%0.01605-25.73%0.0987✓0.48193k2022-06-03
BANDBandEthereum3.3423.1468-5.84%1.612-51.77%0.2999✓1.27537k2022-06-03
BTTCBTTC0.000001780.000001676-5.85%0.00000107-39.89%0.2434✓0.717.7M2022-06-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.95750.900711-5.93%0.57064-40.40%0.1124✓1.1894k2022-06-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.914.6143-6.02%3.96-19.35%0.0403✓0.67648k2022-06-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1359080.127717-6.03%0.080237-40.96%0.1943✓0.937.1M2022-06-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21183.018-6.03%2.4381-24.09%0.0330✓0.623.5M2022-06-03
SOLSolanaSolana92.7687.1406-6.06%38.23-58.79%0.4737✓1.2185.8M2022-06-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.6373.8584-6.07%55.269-29.71%0.0483✓0.832.1M2022-06-03
QTUMQtumQtum5.93685.5761-6.08%3.8179-35.69%0.0390✓1.1798k2022-06-03
DASHDashDash95.8589.9048-6.20%58.15-39.33%0.1346✓1.041.2M2022-06-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum5.3955.0602-6.21%2.83-47.54%0.2305✓1.21184k2022-06-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.0311.2833-6.21%6.3-47.63%0.2872✓1.02963k2022-06-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.91.7821-6.21%1.03-45.79%0.3929✓0.53272k2022-06-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.651350.610397-6.29%0.37809-41.95%0.1687✓1.07126k2022-06-03
DODODODOEthereum0.3230.302678-6.29%0.1646-49.04%0.2662✓1.185.1M2022-06-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.15440.144648-6.32%0.0827-46.44%0.0534✓2.11269k2022-06-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7833.5428-6.35%4.664+23.29%0.3697✗0.332.4M2022-06-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.460.430571-6.40%0.19437-57.75%0.3644✓1.48293k2022-06-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.1821.1054-6.48%0.609-48.48%0.2317✓1.25357k2022-06-03
XVSVenusEthereum8.527.9653-6.51%4.57-46.36%0.2477✓1.063.0M2022-06-03
AAVEAaveEthereum159.43149.0349-6.52%107.05-32.85%0.0390✓1.279.8M2022-06-03
LUNATerraTerra 286.0980.4466-6.56%0.00009548-100.00%13.2797✓1.267.3M2022-06-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9942.795-6.65%2.733-8.72%0.1847✗0.71915k2022-06-03
XVGVergenative0.008960.00836-6.70%0.00467-47.88%0.2630✓1.10943k2022-06-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2220.207089-6.72%0.1632-26.49%0.1638✗1.38114k2022-06-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,332.5917,086.38-6.80%7,417.33-59.54%0.5577✓0.952.7M2022-06-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.38460.358376-6.82%0.1528-60.27%0.6993✓0.534,1372022-06-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.4515.3203-6.87%10.49-36.23%0.0286✓1.40145k2022-06-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.07944.7291-6.90%3.1525-37.94%0.0702✓1.158.6M2022-06-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos19.9118.5339-6.91%9.177-53.91%0.3928✓1.0719.4M2022-06-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.070790.065824-7.01%0.0509-28.10%0.0256✓0.8014k2022-06-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.9522.2697-7.02%11.98-49.98%0.2455✓1.29532k2022-06-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum14.2813.2735-7.05%7.905-44.64%0.1766✓1.188.7M2022-06-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.57e-78.90e-7-7.07%6.99e-7-26.98%0.2586✓-0.06646k2022-06-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6150.571388-7.09%0.364-40.81%0.2266✓0.771.4M2022-06-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.1960.181903-7.19%0.1219-37.81%0.0635✓1.161.5M2022-06-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche67.2862.4347-7.20%22.97-65.86%0.6546✓1.1944.2M2022-06-03
ADACardanoCardano0.89830.833543-7.21%0.5595-37.72%0.0833✓1.0941.1M2022-06-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.23743.928-7.30%2.4133-43.05%0.1930✓1.01173k2022-06-03
PROPropyEthereum1.721.5927-7.40%0.92-46.51%0.3730✓0.61470k2022-06-03
MOVRMoonriverBase43.573440.3203-7.47%20.6845-52.53%0.2410✓1.47182k2022-06-03
KSMKusamaHydration140.48129.8334-7.58%67.99-51.60%0.3279✓1.10954k2022-06-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04390.040568-7.59%0.01977-54.97%0.2385✓1.6523.0M2022-06-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.5962.3984-7.61%1.173-54.82%0.3286✓1.335.1M2022-06-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009340.008622-7.69%0.00413-55.78%0.3994✓1.162.3M2022-06-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0136310.012578-7.73%0.00929-31.85%0.0452✓0.8943k2022-06-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.29790.274659-7.80%0.2103-29.41%0.1120✗1.30763k2022-06-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.820.755469-7.87%0.81108-1.09%0.4044✗1.15430k2022-06-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.2821.179-8.03%0.87-32.14%0.0010✓1.05462k2022-06-03
XECeCashnative0.000078520.000072124-8.15%0.00004773-39.21%0.1232✓1.007.8M2022-06-03
UNIUniswapEthereum7.947.292-8.16%5.067-36.18%0.0465✓1.094.4M2022-06-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.141.0469-8.17%0.708-37.89%0.0542✓1.162.2M2022-06-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.2220.203768-8.21%0.1216-45.23%0.1351✓1.312.1M2022-06-03
COMPCompoundEthereum114.56105.1071-8.25%56.92-50.31%0.2749✓1.1733k2022-06-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0734.6538-8.26%2.719-46.40%0.1179✓1.447.7M2022-06-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.066750.061229-8.27%0.03786-43.28%0.1700✓1.0775k2022-06-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71530.656038-8.28%0.3809-46.75%0.2697✓0.9410.9M2022-06-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7855.3022-8.35%3.416-40.95%0.2640✓0.601.5M2022-06-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020560.018824-8.44%0.01206-41.34%0.0146✓1.4848.2M2022-06-03
ZENHorizenBase33.730.8436-8.48%19.8-41.25%0.0519✓1.35173k2022-06-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09730.088794-8.74%0.0541-44.40%0.2538✓0.832.8M2022-06-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04480.953192-8.77%0.6072-41.88%0.0865✓1.256.6M2022-06-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.675480.614911-8.97%0.41393-38.72%0.0542✓1.1873k2022-06-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.6127.8605-8.98%21.82-28.72%0.0913✓1.164.9M2022-06-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.4741.3401-9.09%0.602-59.16%0.4815✓1.1055k2022-06-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.75220.683536-9.13%0.3272-56.50%0.3754✓1.24110k2022-06-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum33.3330.2721-9.17%19.94-40.17%0.0428✓1.294.0M2022-06-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.003530.003198-9.40%0.001257-64.39%0.6122✓1.114.2M2022-06-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15920.144178-9.44%0.0654-58.92%0.4217✓1.275.3M2022-06-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34380.311179-9.49%0.1475-57.10%0.4015✓1.196.8M2022-06-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4780.432139-9.59%0.286-40.17%0.1128✓1.034.3M2022-06-03
TRXTRONTron0.0863970.078051-9.66%0.081001-6.25%0.2345✗0.68296k2022-06-03
STEEMSteemnative0.39660.358251-9.67%0.2618-33.99%0.0232✓1.003.9M2022-06-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44150.398592-9.72%0.3183-27.90%0.0893✓1.08491k2022-06-03
SUSHISushiEthereum2.622.3633-9.80%1.53-41.60%0.0630✓1.283.6M2022-06-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.73243.3629-9.90%2.0259-45.72%0.2788✓0.7810.0M2022-06-03
APEApeCoinEthereum15.55713.9736-10.18%6.122-60.65%0.2364✓2.0363.9M2022-06-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7170.643098-10.31%1.068+48.95%0.9178✗1.411.6M2022-06-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8002760.71776-10.31%0.393839-50.79%0.3016✓1.035.3M2022-06-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.1243.6969-10.36%1.871-54.63%0.1759✓1.741.4M2022-06-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.81620.729719-10.60%0.5152-36.88%0.0253✓1.29311k2022-06-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.7642.46-11.00%1.291-53.29%0.1801✓1.60719k2022-06-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0761.845-11.13%1.367-34.15%0.0092✓1.0616.1M2022-06-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.48110.426484-11.35%0.1252-73.98%1.1130✓0.39580k2022-06-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.393.8823-11.57%1.72-60.82%0.3994✓1.43385k2022-06-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum22.1519.5179-11.88%10.83-51.11%0.2125✓1.302.2M2022-06-03
MINAMina Protocolnative2.011.7711-11.89%0.844-58.01%0.4165✓1.121.1M2022-06-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.24780.217642-12.17%0.0937-62.19%0.3482✓1.701.3M2022-06-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1680.142775-15.01%0.0591-64.82%0.7588✓0.42132k2022-06-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.