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2022-09-14 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0649
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.129627-0.67%0.1218-6.67%0.0147✓0.5283k2022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7978-0.67%2.02+11.60%0.1583✗0.4656k2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36651.993-0.71%47.682-8.94%0.0088✓0.85221k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012281-0.72%0.01042-15.76%0.1090✓0.61233k2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,110.28-0.73%18,203.70-10.15%0.0166✓0.9113k2022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.8148.6762-0.75%135.48-9.56%0.0032✓0.981.5M2022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7720,075.59-0.75%18,462.64-8.73%0.0076✓1.00480.9M2022-09-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.439636-0.76%0.35-20.99%0.1200✓1.184,5592022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.217751-0.80%0.208-5.24%0.0362✗0.90504k2022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.104318-0.85%0.110695+5.21%0.1374✗0.866.5M2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.162236-0.89%0.1377-15.88%0.0629✓1.111,5602022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,624.24-0.91%1,245.65-24.01%0.1474✓1.29569.9M2022-09-21
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9283.084-1.00%71.58-14.70%0.0172✓1.446.2M2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.023006-1.01%0.02131-8.30%0.0209✗1.072,9142022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.1355-1.04%5.89-5.00%0.0015✓0.432.1M2022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9703-1.06%3.59-10.54%0.0694✓0.342.0M2022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.195369-1.08%0.1706-13.62%0.0486✓0.95130k2022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.508766-1.12%0.44504-13.50%0.0029✓1.5039k2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum99.0597.9404-1.12%100.7+1.67%0.1078✗0.883.5M2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000012052-1.13%0.00001039-14.77%0.0609✓0.96951k2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.482709-1.15%0.4173-14.54%0.0541✓1.00366k2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.906443-1.15%0.871-5.02%0.0580✗1.071.5M2022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.06092-1.18%0.059212-3.95%0.0107✓0.43129k2022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042492-1.18%0.0371-13.72%0.0306✓1.15546k2022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.8997-1.22%13.34-26.38%0.2268✓0.741.4M2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.065912-1.24%0.06031-9.63%0.0025✓0.958692022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.474761-1.30%0.4389-8.75%0.0081✓0.9536.8M2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.057444-1.30%0.0524-9.97%0.0217✓0.7782k2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.033961-1.33%0.02917-15.25%0.0553✓1.0629k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003370.003325-1.33%0.00321-4.75%0.0455✗0.88483k2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.093727-1.34%0.0964+1.47%0.1185✗0.99319k2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.6619-1.34%4.929-14.11%0.0923✓0.513.1M2022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.2374-1.39%8.775-6.33%0.0260✗0.851.2M2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.883-1.40%3.588-8.89%0.0338✓0.492.1M2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.372299-1.40%0.3067-18.78%0.1060✓0.96202k2022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035785-1.44%0.03345-7.88%0.0025✓0.712,2982022-09-21
SGBSongbirdnative0.02620.025817-1.46%0.02-23.66%0.2018✓0.5945k2022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1715-1.46%1.0124-14.85%0.0494✓1.061.2M2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.02039-1.47%0.019175-7.34%0.0020✓0.6512k2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.060215-1.49%0.057369-6.14%0.0364✗0.931.1M2022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.186072-1.50%0.169-10.53%0.0029✓1.0286k2022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.406747-1.50%0.3965-3.99%0.0643✗0.98379k2022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.79944-1.52%0.75889-6.51%0.0175✗0.7613k2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.0984-1.52%6.125-15.02%0.0522✓1.049.9M2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.001507-1.53%0.001377-10.00%0.0192✓0.785,8832022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99118.1347-1.55%108.98-9.18%0.0206✗1.114.3M2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.317814-1.55%0.38128+18.11%0.2525✗0.77326k2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.04204-1.58%0.038758-9.26%0.0011✓0.9028k2022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.0843-1.58%5.338-13.65%0.0088✓1.346.9M2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3104-1.59%4.2-4.11%0.0209✗0.511.4M2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.259.2415-1.59%51.08-15.15%0.0624✓0.9414.4M2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.7709-1.63%3.3008-13.90%0.0767✓0.626.3M2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020087-1.63%0.01932-5.39%0.0122✓0.56173k2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.089905-1.64%0.0794-13.13%0.0482✓0.8310k2022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.304475-1.66%0.273-11.82%0.0253✓0.9289k2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2371-1.66%4.1321-4.09%0.0381✗0.69696k2022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.146199-1.68%0.13-12.58%0.0152✓1.128922022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.771-1.69%5.55-5.45%0.0074✓0.512.1M2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002823-1.69%0.002142-25.42%0.1930✓0.911.2M2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5695-1.70%2.296-12.17%0.0363✓0.83464k2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0523-1.71%0.8625-19.44%0.0645✓1.474.5M2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.731584-1.71%0.68363-8.15%0.0289✗1.06584k2022-09-21
DASHDashDash45.5844.7976-1.72%39.84-12.59%0.0219✓1.04299k2022-09-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.399195-1.72%0.3588-11.67%0.0029✓1.1466k2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.059644-1.74%0.0569-6.26%0.0500✗1.0677k2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.042348-1.74%0.03911-9.26%0.0085✓0.7814k2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.6349-1.75%1.487-10.64%0.0155✓0.87578k2022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005511-1.76%0.00487-13.19%0.0667✓0.62911k2022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.297838-1.77%0.3352+10.55%0.2034✗0.935.9M2022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.3256-1.78%6.682-10.40%0.0063✓1.0818.0M2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.2703-1.78%7.72-8.31%0.0205✓0.532.4M2022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.00382-1.79%0.00342-12.08%0.0266✓0.9289k2022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.208082-1.80%0.1888-10.90%0.0137✓0.9257k2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.035934-1.82%0.0323-11.75%0.0152✓1.0093k2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.508-1.82%1.458-5.08%0.0296✗0.6929k2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.266916-1.83%0.2516-7.47%0.0298✗0.972.7M2022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.0318-1.84%22.71-10.94%0.0056✓1.016.8M2022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.4011-1.87%5.3357+18.97%0.3126✗1.31118k2022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3836-1.87%1.39-1.42%0.0126✓-0.19113k2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase15.114.816-1.88%13.3-11.92%0.0017✓1.1675k2022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.63e-7-1.88%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0382✓0.7015k2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.881578-1.89%0.8154-9.26%0.0309✗1.19874k2022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.093489-1.90%0.09-5.56%0.0314✗0.762,9132022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.4705-1.90%30.68-10.08%0.0205✗1.1852.2M2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration47.5846.6569-1.94%40.18-15.55%0.0623✓0.95363k2022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.226-1.95%4.93-7.50%0.0164✓0.462.4M2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.01710.996911-1.99%0.916656-9.88%0.0109✓0.8039k2022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.111536-1.99%0.0951-16.43%0.1167✓0.47182k2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.997-2.00%0.8937-12.15%0.0684✓0.452.8M2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8991-2.00%1.216-37.25%0.3844✓0.671.5M2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.188506-2.02%0.2287+18.87%0.2755✗0.903.1M2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.0012-2.03%0.001013-17.27%0.0988✓0.772.1M2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.1808-2.06%5.909-6.37%0.0412✗0.944.3M2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.614984-2.07%0.542-13.69%0.0305✓1.053.2M2022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000045196-2.09%0.00003771-18.31%0.1055✓0.833.5M2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.6783-2.12%13.395-4.14%0.0906✗1.2220.3M2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025404-2.13%0.026042+0.33%0.0207✓-0.04485k2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.011922-2.14%0.011185-8.19%0.0156✓0.87851k2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.122514-2.15%0.1083-13.50%0.0289✓1.032.6M2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02441.9809-2.15%1.7738-12.38%0.0100✓1.1013k2022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.421711-2.16%0.397-7.89%0.0381✗1.087,9852022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.7843-2.16%8.8-12.00%0.0118✓1.29288k2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.039571-2.18%0.036939-8.69%0.0161✓0.5824k2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.9248-2.19%6.28-11.30%0.0024✓1.04210k2022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.136822-2.20%0.1248-10.79%0.0011✓1.00119k2022-09-21
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011473-2.20%0.010823-7.74%0.0330✗1.007452022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005843-2.22%0.004956-17.06%0.1092✓0.611,9622022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.7039-2.23%16.54-13.54%0.0011✓1.3317.5M2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.054053-2.25%0.0454-17.90%0.1104✓0.70234k2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.3583-2.26%13.46-8.37%0.0145✓0.871.9M2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.26291-2.27%0.23945-10.99%0.0165✓0.8415k2022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.06929-2.27%0.06177-12.88%0.0270✓0.9625k2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020132-2.27%0.02112+2.52%0.1328✗0.939.2M2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007867-2.28%0.00702-12.80%0.0104✓1.13463k2022-09-21
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.313558-2.29%0.3328+3.71%0.1467✗0.957782022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9824-2.30%1.682-17.10%0.0607✓1.1327k2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.43e-7-2.33%5.15e-7-21.67%0.1483✓0.792.1M2022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.133139-2.33%0.12-11.97%0.0006✓1.13146k2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.041.9919-2.36%1.8-11.76%0.0154✓1.28226k2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6544-2.38%2.286-15.92%0.0119✓1.512.9M2022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.7676-2.40%10.5504-12.50%0.0241✓0.9321k2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,969.96-2.44%7,985.43-13.15%0.0050✓1.334.0M2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.849091-2.48%0.785702-9.76%0.0019✓0.8347k2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7683-2.52%1.583-12.73%0.0362✗1.6160k2022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7551-2.53%4.3216-11.42%0.0859✓0.11135k2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.495098-2.54%0.455-10.43%0.0229✓1.1870k2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.104855-2.55%0.098-8.92%0.0080✓0.83188k2022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.370325-2.55%0.37235-2.02%0.0924✗0.9529k2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.008282-2.56%0.00682-19.76%0.1129✓0.893.3M2022-09-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5497-2.58%4.4-5.78%0.0410✗0.82808k2022-09-21
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.4016-2.58%3.64-19.43%0.0987✓1.001.4M2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.330624-2.59%0.2884-15.03%0.0456✓1.0079k2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.35220.342916-2.64%0.3221-8.55%0.0340✗1.06298k2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5675-2.66%1.4095-12.48%0.0141✓1.01236k2022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.159109-2.67%0.13996-14.39%0.0350✓1.02262k2022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash61.9660.2988-2.68%53.54-13.59%0.0214✓1.071.1M2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.277245-2.72%0.2521-11.54%0.0025✓1.0172k2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.109726-2.73%0.0932-17.38%0.0468✓1.272.4M2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0115-2.74%2.7487-11.23%0.0002✓1.0019k2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2855-2.74%1.92-18.30%0.1198✓0.60200k2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.656552-2.75%0.598-11.42%0.0440✗1.50194k2022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.471958-2.75%0.4207-13.31%0.0419✓0.80396k2022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.3485-2.78%1.186-14.49%0.0224✓1.1643k2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7586-2.78%1.6506-8.75%0.0357✗1.0928k2022-09-21
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,503.94-2.79%1,207.28-21.96%0.1284✓1.003.3M2022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.594943-2.79%0.563-8.01%0.0367✗1.01178k2022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.2219-2.79%1.098-12.65%0.0019✓1.19303k2022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.316982-2.80%0.28908-11.36%0.0011✓1.0233k2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.720.699711-2.82%0.63-12.50%0.0852✓0.2242k2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001512-2.82%0.001531-1.61%0.0805✗0.75340k2022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045178-2.84%0.0411-11.61%0.0185✓0.83142k2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.854-2.85%12.016+7.55%0.1338✗0.3515.8M2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047313-2.85%0.0405-16.84%0.0600✓1.05177k2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.613854-2.87%0.573-9.34%0.0223✓1.00114k2022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0958.3563-2.89%58.27-3.03%0.0972✗1.088,4972022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1331-2.90%1.03-11.74%0.0135✓0.901.1M2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.12122-2.95%0.1199-4.00%0.0895✗1.101.4M2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.037947-2.95%0.035-10.49%0.0144✓0.739,5132022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1924-2.95%1.2073-1.73%0.1078✗1.04844k2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8128-2.96%1.622-13.17%0.0117✓1.35967k2022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.3796-2.96%5.2376-5.52%0.0179✓0.109.6M2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.284889-3.06%0.260294-11.42%0.0032✓1.02430k2022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.203339-3.13%0.172-18.06%0.1167✓0.5666k2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3112.8932-3.13%11.82-11.19%0.0127✓1.09874k2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.058215-3.14%0.055-8.49%0.0547✗1.22608k2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006126-3.15%0.006319-0.09%0.0605✗0.3229k2022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.496739-3.17%0.445-13.26%0.0079✓1.1266k2022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2877-3.18%1.14-14.29%0.0327✓0.9856k2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.01-3.19%2.88-7.37%0.0151✓0.32676k2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum27.5826.7012-3.19%23.03-16.50%0.0076✓1.54155k2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55510.537337-3.20%0.4905-11.64%0.0395✓0.57836k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.898288-3.20%0.868-6.47%0.0084✓0.472.5M2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.325758-3.22%0.2926-13.07%0.0081✓1.0972k2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.1571-3.32%3.91-9.07%0.0227✓0.92223k2022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.259047-3.34%0.246-8.21%0.0170✓0.75512k2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4163-3.39%1.311-10.57%0.0244✓1.1168k2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3738.0238-3.42%27.69-29.67%0.1793✓1.5110.6M2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.1431-3.44%0.1316-11.20%0.0020✓0.94322k2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.50e-7-3.46%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0352✓0.691.7M2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.794311-3.53%0.7438-9.67%0.0338✓1.09920k2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.82111-3.57%0.8507-0.09%0.1601✗1.3789k2022-09-21
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016518-3.67%0.01435-16.31%0.0494✓1.001,0682022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.058204-3.78%0.05474-9.51%0.0467✗1.181.1M2022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1696-3.82%0.892-26.64%0.1279✓1.572.7M2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.066066-3.92%0.0672-2.27%0.0352✓0.20351k2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.7163-4.01%5.248-11.87%0.0027✓0.975.9M2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.2932-4.04%15.17-10.66%0.0215✓0.55384k2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.7565-4.06%5.7947-3.42%0.0296✓0.2512.5M2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.196043-4.14%0.1289-36.97%0.3488✓0.7730k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.8904-4.15%5.793+13.54%0.2814✗1.236.4M2022-09-21
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000286804-4.53%0.0002847-5.23%0.0060✓0.012.4M2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.