GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · lstm_s3

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0935

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0206

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.289354	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.301492	-5.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.319538	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.246044	-6.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.21958	-7.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.184978	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.189266	-5.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.208744	-5.41%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3750	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.21073	-6.27%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.4175	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.258867	-8.12%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2798	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.17246	-4.98%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4373	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.175633	-5.34%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.3114	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.181139	-5.32%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0802	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.198454	-6.29%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0014	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.178165	-6.39%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2325	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.14057	-5.51%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.5015	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.175501	-6.32%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5245	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.163256	-6.61%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1429	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.11178	-2.59%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5269	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.127006	-5.39%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4312	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.134967	-6.20%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4842	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.092744	-1.57%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7216	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.08511	-1.37%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5409	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084354	-1.39%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7754	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090018	-0.97%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6443	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090046	-1.05%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2393	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091222	-1.65%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3824	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.085943	-0.57%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5109	✗	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082523	-0.57%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1407	✗	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087634	-0.64%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0087	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.086206	-1.16%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0221	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083031	-1.08%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0562	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084764	-1.10%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0379	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.080544	-1.64%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.1072	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.075631	-1.88%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0477	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.07449	-1.73%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0204	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.073892	-1.52%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0618	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.076815	-0.71%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0368	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077046	-1.07%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0369	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.077607	-0.38%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0551	✗	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.075846	-0.29%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0353	✗	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075279	-0.31%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0258	✗	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078236	-0.24%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0071	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.0825	-0.24%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0604	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080054	-0.14%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0231	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.08239	-0.11%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0137	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082011	-0.25%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0204	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.07918	-0.18%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0114	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.081315	+0.06%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0190	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.078231	-0.65%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0094	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.078919	-0.81%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0338	✗	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.080353	-1.13%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0085	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.079118	-1.21%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0086	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.082734	-0.54%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0246	✓	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.084259	-0.76%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0815	✓	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.087658	-0.90%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.0867	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.08467	-0.76%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0529	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.081621	-0.99%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0126	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.085199	-0.43%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0426	✓	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.087968	-0.76%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.0931	✓	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.085749	-1.35%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0439	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.090474	-1.22%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0582	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.084888	-1.28%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0399	✓	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082408	-1.94%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0777	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079192	-2.72%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1386	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081077	-2.80%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1349	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082526	-3.05%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1356	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.08343	-2.94%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1553	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.081485	-4.05%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.0977	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078454	-2.70%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079342	-2.86%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0365	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.080732	-2.84%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0098	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083723	-2.78%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0131	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.085864	-3.14%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0280	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.086119	-2.63%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0305	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.082459	-2.31%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0619	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.079704	-2.54%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0257	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.077546	-2.07%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0719	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.073354	-1.88%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1331	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.075927	-2.22%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1185	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075792	-1.90%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1350	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074823	-1.88%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1329	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072873	-1.80%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1139	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.072432	-1.41%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1289	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.071996	-1.46%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0835	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.075568	-1.72%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0141	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.0701	-1.46%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1061	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068014	-1.39%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1591	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067791	-1.47%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1436	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.064803	-1.30%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1561	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066181	-1.41%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1095	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.066933	-1.51%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1209	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067233	-1.78%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1749	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.066157	-1.73%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0946	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.065259	-1.73%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0462	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.065159	-1.81%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0616	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.065167	-1.86%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0050	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.065861	-1.94%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0038	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.067848	-2.08%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0143	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.068603	-2.56%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0203	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.066106	-1.92%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0174	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.067726	-2.12%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0309	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.067057	-2.07%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0243	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.0678	-2.33%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0176	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.066922	-2.20%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0046	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.067519	-2.38%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0085	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.068741	-2.54%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0013	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.072181	-3.03%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0449	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.07285	-3.23%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0536	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.073052	-3.09%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0736	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.076986	-4.20%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1241	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.07144	-3.12%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0642	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.070659	-3.77%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0508	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.064289	-2.81%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0344	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.066052	-3.07%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0741	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.066684	-2.59%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0719	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.066096	-3.18%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0935	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.066413	-3.20%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1600	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.066061	-3.13%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0881	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.067528	-3.34%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0955	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.068982	-3.67%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0083	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.073969	-2.97%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0391	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.072892	-3.13%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0200	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.075824	-3.22%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0580	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.072936	-3.97%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0239	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.073504	-3.54%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0395	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.077195	-3.73%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0643	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.079265	-3.61%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0719	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.07727	-4.51%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0096	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.07769	-4.46%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0071	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.075425	-4.45%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0401	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.073509	-4.50%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0333	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.076378	-2.95%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0043	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.070552	-2.67%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.1034	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.074442	-2.70%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0661	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.072544	-2.39%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0933	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.072622	-1.99%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0489	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.075727	-2.12%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0077	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.079726	-2.43%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0108	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.086261	-2.78%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1497	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.087273	-2.61%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0842	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.096197	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092055	-2.63%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1411	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.091025	-2.62%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1143	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.089893	-2.79%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0591	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.090801	-2.87%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0375	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.093624	-2.94%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0173	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.090623	-3.01%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0533	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.095171	-3.35%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0799	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.097913	-3.55%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0114	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.105312	-3.78%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.0985	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.105071	-4.02%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1123	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.104344	-3.88%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.0796	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.100335	-3.85%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0158	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.098499	-3.91%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0459	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.091827	-3.84%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0675	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.094242	-3.81%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0777	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.098211	-4.03%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1192	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.099848	-4.37%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1193	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.110224	-4.53%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0084	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.114909	-3.79%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0828	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.130027	-4.74%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2128	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.167886	-5.55%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5390	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.099259	-2.19%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0184	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.09829	-2.55%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0572	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.090989	-1.96%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2313	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.089909	-1.49%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.3010	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.087244	-1.27%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4515	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.092021	-1.60%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6411	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.091306	-1.74%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0718	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.091437	-1.60%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0792	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.091624	-1.93%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0250	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.091654	-1.91%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0621	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.093904	-1.82%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1088	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.095585	-1.63%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0478	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.090874	-0.72%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0235	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.093499	-1.22%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0174	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.113416	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.106961	-2.25%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1128	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.100433	-1.94%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0441	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.104235	-2.63%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0856	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.110792	-3.09%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1490	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.106073	-3.21%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2064	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.095287	-2.32%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0306	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088923	-1.09%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2641	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.086872	-1.74%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1907	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.081224	-1.45%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1886	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078403	-1.49%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2832	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.082108	-1.57%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3127	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074271	-1.74%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3481	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077236	-1.63%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1993	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.076713	-1.62%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.1063	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.076832	-1.76%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0963	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.077945	-1.86%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0063	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.078928	-1.82%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0216	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.077967	-2.00%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0091	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073243	-1.78%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0070	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075146	-1.90%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0387	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.07199	-1.72%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073099	-1.75%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0031	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.076959	-1.88%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076094	-1.80%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0018	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075022	-1.73%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0271	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.074579	-1.64%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0459	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.077866	-1.75%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0311	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077637	-1.68%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0674	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.07646	-1.57%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0014	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.082224	-1.65%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0003	✓	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.083971	-1.73%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0460	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.081178	-1.56%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0006	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079166	-1.52%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0139	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.078449	-1.43%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0502	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.082255	-1.44%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0220	✗	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.087513	-1.67%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1018	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.089225	-1.57%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0660	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.092137	-1.06%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0251	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.09342	-0.76%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0658	✓	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.093138	-1.33%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0709	✓	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.09316	-1.56%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1217	✓	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.093977	-1.60%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1118	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.105809	-2.20%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1634	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.090537	-1.46%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0147	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.082437	-1.20%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0624	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.081144	-1.24%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0512	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.077692	-1.20%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0873	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.077657	-1.15%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1351	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.080152	-1.14%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1309	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.083826	-1.04%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2607	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.086509	-0.92%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0981	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086024	-1.21%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0574	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.083637	-1.13%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0111	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082504	-1.13%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0515	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.086437	-1.19%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1006	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.088342	-1.23%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1247	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090088	-1.23%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1186	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.09039	-1.21%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1122	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.08554	-1.04%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0578	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.08612	-1.02%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0910	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.089338	-1.12%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0358	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.09245	-1.18%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0382	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.092355	-1.17%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0048	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092281	-1.14%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0207	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.094505	-1.19%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0598	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.099971	-1.40%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0887	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.102988	-1.56%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.0990	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101175	-1.51%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.0943	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.10365	-1.66%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0734	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.10245	-1.59%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0787	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097033	-1.05%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0511	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.094824	-0.84%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0183	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.094915	-0.91%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0872	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097333	-1.09%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0916	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096621	-0.80%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0846	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099665	-0.54%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0474	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.100442	-0.55%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0629	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.092032	+2.37%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0043	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.103469	-0.75%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0268	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.106012	-1.20%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0168	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.109466	-1.56%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0399	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.10377	-0.79%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0410	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104772	-0.97%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1105	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.11545	-1.83%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0737	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.117361	-1.87%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0841	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.127282	-2.17%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0307	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.128506	-2.20%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0102	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.127841	-2.19%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0048	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.122096	-1.97%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0171	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.132679	-2.30%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0860	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.128621	-2.11%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0195	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.124058	-1.93%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0277	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.127126	-1.98%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0257	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.123967	-1.85%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0480	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.135337	-2.07%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0172	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.135895	-2.02%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0007	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.144047	-2.14%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0112	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.138109	-1.91%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0207	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.13437	-1.78%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0112	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.140377	-1.77%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0080	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.145572	-2.10%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0569	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.13339	-1.99%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0197	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.138382	-2.13%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0299	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.13961	-2.17%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0027	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.141443	-2.18%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0656	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.141985	-2.15%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0911	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.142569	-2.15%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0889	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.148313	-2.17%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0240	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.150658	-2.23%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0575	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.146321	-2.26%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0238	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.144011	-2.23%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0054	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.141359	-2.17%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0133	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.137741	-2.10%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0135	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.127932	-1.82%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0672	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.131183	-1.88%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0575	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.129266	-1.85%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0623	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.130808	-1.87%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0736	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.132139	-1.90%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0623	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.126478	-1.73%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0893	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.123185	-1.61%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.1069	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.126517	-1.70%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0313	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.126909	-1.70%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0357	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.126443	-1.68%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0653	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.123981	-1.60%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0854	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.125997	-1.64%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0757	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.125073	-1.60%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0423	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.117796	-1.26%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0313	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.120362	-1.34%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0427	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.124113	-1.50%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0467	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.125564	-1.48%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0134	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126361	-1.55%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0110	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.134347	-1.79%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0146	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.136157	-1.83%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0314	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.138127	-1.83%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0236	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140015	-1.88%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0361	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.148553	-2.07%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0825	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.141642	-1.94%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0332	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.138334	-1.82%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0373	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.140804	-1.88%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0456	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.134001	-1.61%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0187	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.140991	-1.75%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0095	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.142315	-1.72%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0261	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.140563	-1.70%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0531	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.137822	-1.56%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0340	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.150092	-1.96%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0638	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.150888	-1.96%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0223	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.154547	-2.06%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.0985	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.157725	-2.16%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1082	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.154497	-2.09%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1179	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.152955	-2.08%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1431	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.155829	-2.18%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0685	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.156839	-2.16%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.0934	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.153237	-1.77%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1187	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.151621	-1.54%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0764	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.157652	-1.90%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0719	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.152363	-1.70%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0563	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.157013	-1.87%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1139	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.156244	-1.73%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.1013	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.159778	-1.86%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1568	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.162625	-1.92%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1882	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.161799	-1.82%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1514	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.166639	-1.92%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2478	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.171949	-1.97%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1108	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.17434	-1.95%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1280	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.186873	-2.06%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1592	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.185807	-2.08%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1120	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.183258	-2.11%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0592	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.185591	-2.11%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0849	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.168408	-1.63%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0465	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.171809	-1.65%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0701	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.164058	-1.29%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0461	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.160619	-1.28%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1857	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.179006	-1.54%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1919	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.180967	-1.54%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2142	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177872	-1.46%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2092	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.176367	-1.36%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1359	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.18564	-1.41%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0800	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.193376	-1.44%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1124	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.202411	-1.50%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0501	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.210655	-1.56%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0596	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.203928	-1.53%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0674	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.204746	-1.54%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0922	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.203363	-1.52%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0871	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.19761	-1.39%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1051	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.206381	-1.49%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1544	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.2142	-1.56%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1215	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.216845	-1.59%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1462	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.211529	-1.43%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1243	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.210907	-1.31%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1204	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.213484	-1.35%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0779	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.223115	-1.49%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0323	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.231896	-1.57%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0072	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.244386	-1.68%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0101	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.227231	-1.46%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1105	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.209795	-1.04%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1037	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.199141	-0.85%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2222	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.274014	-1.50%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0080	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.279814	-1.28%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0101	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.267457	-1.53%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0203	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.281649	-1.07%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0396	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.274775	-1.34%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0268	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.278413	-1.52%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0630	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.283577	-1.57%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1793	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.28169	-1.73%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0314	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.272833	-1.79%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0445	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.251143	-1.71%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0540	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.259617	-1.77%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.0962	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.273073	-1.91%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.1988	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.269894	-1.86%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2081	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.27688	-1.92%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2124	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.266709	-1.73%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1611	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.292904	-2.04%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1579	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.295842	-2.07%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1886	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.299824	-2.08%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1590	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.326418	-2.28%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.0983	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.333676	-2.35%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0716	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.328703	-2.29%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0307	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.359528	-2.53%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1202	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.354546	-2.52%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1091	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.342685	-2.38%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0309	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.34022	-2.45%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0526	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.349284	-2.54%	0.33405	-6.79%	0.0440	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.