XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · lstm_s3

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

64.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0520

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0173

actual -0.0085

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.307238	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.306139	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.303528	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.29137	-3.07%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.291491	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.291812	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.305952	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.30286	-3.14%	0.31645	+1.20%	0.0149	✓	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.299306	-3.21%	0.31537	+1.99%	0.0182	✓	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.311835	-3.35%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0063	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.29312	-3.20%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0238	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.312996	-3.12%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0179	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.291535	-2.95%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0526	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.289959	-2.82%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0996	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.281407	-2.59%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0997	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.304115	-2.64%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0385	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.324497	-2.59%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0235	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.32808	-2.53%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0309	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.322339	-2.34%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0364	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.315114	-2.20%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0255	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.309558	-2.01%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0125	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.319509	-1.99%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0621	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.310776	-1.79%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0086	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.306665	-1.68%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0590	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.308057	-1.62%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0598	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.315932	-1.68%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0182	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.323154	-1.71%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0071	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.326232	-1.79%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0374	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.324942	-1.84%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0027	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.318811	-1.80%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0031	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.340432	-2.05%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0562	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.332097	-2.24%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0203	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.339595	-2.89%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.1041	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.353109	-3.78%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.1181	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.289089	-2.18%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.0917	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.250861	-1.50%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1709	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.249719	-1.54%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1522	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.245678	-1.51%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.2028	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.267389	-2.00%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1344	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.276534	-2.53%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1770	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.260405	-2.02%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2898	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.246379	-1.77%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1328	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.248058	-2.04%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0290	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.257409	-2.37%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0143	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.246088	-1.42%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0528	✗	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.233861	-0.56%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1668	✗	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.240644	-0.10%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.2136	✗	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.239524	+0.29%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1395	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.23249	+0.96%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.1089	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.232788	+1.81%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1482	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.219385	+0.72%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1690	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.216645	+1.06%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.1257	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.217248	+2.07%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0717	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.21477	+1.83%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0766	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.224297	+2.11%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0402	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.224139	+1.56%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0011	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.237385	+2.84%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0512	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.232555	+2.02%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0408	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.227372	+1.68%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0426	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.233809	+1.60%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0879	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.235487	+0.17%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1093	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.231582	-0.36%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0700	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.240793	-0.17%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0802	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.217876	-1.67%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0473	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.210722	-1.86%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0726	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.196308	-1.90%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.0959	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.195639	-1.88%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0752	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.19114	-1.87%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0429	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.194134	-1.93%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0557	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.192765	-1.93%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0331	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.192906	-1.94%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0278	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.19053	-1.93%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0146	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.190619	-2.01%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0276	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.194401	-2.09%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0150	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.198098	-2.06%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0202	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.203542	-2.16%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0069	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.197356	-2.03%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0315	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.196665	-2.03%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0159	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.192772	-1.99%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0300	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.194108	-2.00%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0119	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.199131	-2.10%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0114	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.195914	-2.13%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0061	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.194465	-2.14%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0267	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.196741	-2.17%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0156	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.201295	-2.03%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0059	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.199793	-2.09%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0290	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.20244	-2.17%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0257	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.202923	-2.16%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0067	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.218351	-2.18%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0536	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.218865	-2.20%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0687	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.223253	-2.20%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0817	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.230129	-2.16%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1075	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.223145	-1.85%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0500	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.224555	-1.78%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0338	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.224332	-1.69%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0508	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.219923	-1.53%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0030	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.22211	-1.42%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0166	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.219507	-1.25%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0357	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.217918	-1.16%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0529	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.224826	-1.20%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0131	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.229018	-1.24%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0288	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.21826	-1.07%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0099	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.224383	-1.10%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0219	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.228265	-1.12%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0313	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.232917	-1.22%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0426	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.23249	-1.24%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0638	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.238224	-1.39%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.0913	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.249808	-1.72%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1043	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.246279	-1.72%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0781	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.248227	-2.16%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.0928	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.234657	-1.87%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0289	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.240338	-2.04%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0481	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.210998	-1.59%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0801	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.206366	-1.61%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.1172	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.199077	-1.62%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1597	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.208299	-1.62%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.1190	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.207071	-1.58%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1321	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.209341	-1.55%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0783	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.212734	-1.51%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0986	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.209621	-1.47%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0088	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.211971	-1.44%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0079	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.217945	-1.38%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0008	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.225197	-1.35%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0046	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.226021	-1.29%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0050	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.234157	-1.24%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0220	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.241527	-1.22%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0504	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.228369	-1.16%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0148	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.242371	-1.12%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0604	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242129	-1.09%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0415	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.238682	-1.09%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0070	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237005	-1.06%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0057	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.23594	-0.97%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0083	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.23202	-0.86%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0535	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.232525	-0.80%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0052	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.226351	-0.43%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0289	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.236656	-0.48%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0318	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.244217	-0.60%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0647	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.244096	-0.57%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0579	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.243915	-0.23%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0842	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.242962	-0.12%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0799	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.275582	-0.88%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1582	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.29366	-0.92%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2170	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.291168	-1.06%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1258	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.313559	-1.40%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1287	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.322447	-1.68%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1320	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.325933	-1.86%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1142	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.300019	-1.52%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0442	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.304994	-1.55%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0341	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.313572	-1.58%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0758	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.326287	-1.65%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0098	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.328355	-1.65%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0420	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.3297	-1.64%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0365	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.339274	-1.72%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0134	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.328999	-1.66%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0517	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.34372	-1.70%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0562	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.335381	-1.65%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0140	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.328468	-1.64%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0210	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.336154	-1.70%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0104	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.334401	-1.69%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0074	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.350917	-1.81%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0002	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.35836	-1.81%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0268	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.371304	-1.75%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0200	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.368092	-1.82%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0559	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.378131	-1.77%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0828	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.390268	-1.78%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0799	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.393498	-1.76%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.0935	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.380198	-1.71%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0342	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.387431	-1.79%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0477	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.369458	-1.60%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0112	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.37723	-1.52%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0161	✗	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.369487	-1.47%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0458	✗	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.356774	-1.42%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0868	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.357414	-1.48%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0735	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.360837	-1.49%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0472	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.360608	-1.50%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0678	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.359395	-1.62%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0005	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.364609	-1.74%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0169	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.377423	-1.94%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0598	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.371988	-1.69%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0565	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.365226	-1.48%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0053	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.363643	-1.57%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0049	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.366231	-1.64%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0095	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.368069	-1.70%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0161	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.366661	-1.53%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0415	✗	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.36058	-1.66%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0656	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.360255	-1.68%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0308	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.348042	-1.71%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0020	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.358979	-1.68%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0050	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.37339	-1.70%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0073	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.369434	-1.92%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0254	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.354186	-1.86%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0080	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.340192	-1.74%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0476	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.348546	-1.82%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0322	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.335254	-1.94%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0141	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.347046	-1.91%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0167	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.351546	-1.99%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0254	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.345999	-2.08%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0413	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.344307	-2.16%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0019	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.353119	-2.24%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0493	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.334019	-2.23%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0132	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.336965	-2.27%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0093	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.340519	-2.37%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0414	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.34131	-2.41%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0338	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.334625	-2.30%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0139	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.343712	-2.30%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0179	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.344241	-2.32%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0031	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.339004	-2.25%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0227	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.332865	-2.04%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0092	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.33894	-2.07%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0144	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.34215	-2.16%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0130	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.361803	-2.22%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0278	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.380192	-2.24%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0330	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.39067	-2.36%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0704	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.38443	-2.32%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0440	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.370242	-2.21%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0581	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.379341	-2.36%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0541	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.39274	-2.63%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0570	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.379574	-2.52%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0094	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.383424	-2.54%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0134	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.386888	-2.50%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0800	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.390872	-2.45%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0615	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.377018	-2.55%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0740	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.368401	-2.57%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0858	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.363679	-2.58%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.1098	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.359324	-2.38%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0891	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.357085	-2.17%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0823	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.355816	-2.03%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0540	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.355977	-2.02%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0280	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.352212	-1.92%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0061	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.354741	-1.92%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0054	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.363071	-2.11%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0134	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.374983	-2.45%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0134	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.380291	-2.64%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0058	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.367882	-2.21%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0372	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.367271	-2.27%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0048	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.362725	-2.26%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0132	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.37545	-2.35%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0418	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.374058	-2.41%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0432	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.382014	-2.55%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0446	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.38615	-2.49%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0576	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.358526	-2.07%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0176	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.36118	-2.11%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0235	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.370466	-2.26%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0297	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.379821	-2.27%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0271	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.383698	-2.22%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0309	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.374843	-2.07%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0370	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.376995	-2.03%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0256	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.386929	-2.04%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0035	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.391337	-1.98%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0049	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.390455	-1.90%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0123	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.414711	-2.01%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0381	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.399228	-1.76%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.394081	-1.52%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0409	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.389226	-1.25%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.397577	-1.21%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0132	✗	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.406325	-1.07%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0005	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.409123	-0.77%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0059	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.419881	-0.44%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0001	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.42861	-0.29%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0286	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.397281	+0.96%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0488	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.466281	-0.29%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0756	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.471921	-0.25%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0612	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.476875	-0.40%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0275	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.463892	+0.45%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0255	✗	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.46844	+0.48%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0312	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.500308	-1.05%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0334	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.503021	-1.10%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0662	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.526513	-1.77%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0929	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.559954	-1.88%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0069	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.555226	-1.80%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0263	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.552599	-1.71%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0527	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.574291	-1.80%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0760	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.578817	-1.76%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0702	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.569488	-1.78%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0533	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.583704	-1.78%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0829	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.542312	-1.81%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0417	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.597011	-2.19%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0086	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.571655	-2.13%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0599	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.589256	-2.10%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0553	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.60624	-2.05%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0341	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.570445	-2.00%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0799	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.566822	-1.93%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1268	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.580581	-1.96%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0266	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.544026	-1.94%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.1006	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.557862	-1.96%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0162	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.570164	-1.98%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0029	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.5676	-2.12%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0300	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.574225	-2.18%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0367	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.555435	-2.09%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0335	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.585636	-2.20%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0100	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.54746	-2.17%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0480	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.531398	-2.28%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0766	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.519536	-2.36%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1160	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.51534	-2.47%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.1105	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.493221	-2.58%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1436	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.480045	-2.98%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1166	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.501836	-3.03%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.1075	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.478273	-2.63%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0695	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.486152	-2.73%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0649	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.471166	-2.81%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0855	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.460214	-3.19%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.1039	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.433703	-2.32%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1346	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.433972	-2.17%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1326	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.434582	-2.14%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1620	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.433656	-2.09%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1435	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.429998	-2.01%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1604	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.442281	-2.06%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0987	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.434535	-2.00%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.1005	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.422846	-1.82%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0256	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.432629	-1.92%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0061	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.451044	-2.14%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0098	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.452108	-2.12%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0494	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.466949	-2.29%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0684	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.488466	-2.62%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0532	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.479825	-2.51%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0503	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.491677	-2.87%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0392	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.481643	-2.44%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0114	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.486374	-2.43%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0091	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.48114	-2.35%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0157	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.4635	-2.09%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0600	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.470604	-2.00%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0507	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.468763	-1.89%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0364	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.4863	-1.90%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0343	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.493132	-1.92%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0194	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.477372	-1.71%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0254	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.462331	-1.61%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0024	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.475782	-1.65%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0055	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.48498	-1.57%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0121	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.49713	-1.51%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0177	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.503168	-1.44%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0257	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.503204	-1.31%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0426	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.502603	-1.12%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.0932	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.499323	-0.98%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0306	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.485814	-0.59%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0574	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.485395	-0.19%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0800	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.497612	-0.09%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0758	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.507148	-0.14%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0663	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.531964	-0.47%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0268	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.542748	-0.51%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0231	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.527843	-0.31%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0153	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.548191	-0.57%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0021	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.568037	-0.83%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0178	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.552105	-0.69%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0474	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.560211	-1.26%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1151	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.574043	-1.64%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0884	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.581732	-1.93%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0920	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.61117	-2.51%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0661	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.610965	-2.64%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0577	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.628094	-3.49%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0151	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.663704	-4.74%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0426	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.579648	-3.18%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0026	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.523825	-2.13%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1415	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.508939	-1.87%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1298	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.521843	-2.02%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1923	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.567374	-2.19%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1875	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.565869	-2.15%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2572	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.568035	-2.11%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2990	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.553778	-2.02%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1856	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.577144	-2.15%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0164	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.579382	-2.05%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0653	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.588077	-2.04%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0136	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.601622	-2.09%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0223	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.593332	-2.06%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0012	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.59147	-1.98%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0034	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.583018	-1.89%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0034	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.572784	-1.71%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0084	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.576303	-1.69%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0429	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.587661	-1.78%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0324	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.587206	-1.62%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0432	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.57898	-1.30%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0231	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.571915	-1.01%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0167	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.588636	-1.29%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0198	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.599154	-1.52%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0213	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.618091	-1.72%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0179	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.645647	-1.88%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0071	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.619348	-1.87%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0559	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.571519	-1.50%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0780	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.554116	-1.70%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1392	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.664426	-1.98%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0586	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.67277	-1.92%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0511	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.66504	-2.12%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0449	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.702379	-2.07%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0458	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.699516	-2.12%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0024	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.679681	-2.01%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0166	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.704398	-2.07%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1111	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.697319	-2.12%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0411	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.687927	-2.16%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0585	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.654237	-2.16%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0524	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.655238	-2.16%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0377	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.659162	-2.17%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0658	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.65607	-2.15%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1166	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.665387	-2.19%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.0928	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.642934	-2.20%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0551	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.682353	-2.26%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0414	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.683266	-2.33%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0501	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.681482	-2.51%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0397	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.731544	-2.51%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0415	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.7411	-2.60%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0183	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.735003	-2.76%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0036	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.76961	-2.81%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0500	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.