8=======>

2022-09-14 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0715
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.91%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.2%
in alpha space · 93.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.73%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000300410.000288172-4.07%0.0002847-5.23%0.0108✓0.012.4M2022-09-21
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.20450.196411-3.96%0.1289-36.97%0.3507✓0.7730k2022-09-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.9816.3316-3.82%15.17-10.66%0.0239✓0.55384k2022-09-21
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060490.058298-3.62%0.05474-9.51%0.0451✗1.181.1M2022-09-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.22861.1852-3.53%1.2073-1.73%0.1138✗1.04844k2022-09-21
PROPropyEthereum0.720.694845-3.49%0.63-12.50%0.0783✓0.2242k2022-09-21
ELAElastosEthereum1.5361.4826-3.47%1.458-5.08%0.0465✗0.6929k2022-09-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.19240.186171-3.24%0.2287+18.87%0.2880✗0.903.1M2022-09-21
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4661.4186-3.24%1.311-10.57%0.0228✓1.1168k2022-09-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9555.7628-3.23%5.248-11.87%0.0054✓0.975.9M2022-09-21
OPTIMOptimism1.2161.1775-3.17%0.892-26.64%0.1347✓1.572.7M2022-09-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.086.8596-3.11%6.28-11.30%0.0070✓1.04210k2022-09-21
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.48484.3474-3.06%5.3357+18.97%0.3249✗1.31118k2022-09-21
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0291.9671-3.05%1.682-17.10%0.0529✓1.1327k2022-09-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3871.345-3.03%1.186-14.49%0.0199✓1.1643k2022-09-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.17210.8396-2.98%12.016+7.55%0.1351✗0.3515.8M2022-09-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.3738.201-2.97%27.69-29.67%0.1839✓1.5110.6M2022-09-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012250.001189-2.97%0.001013-17.27%0.0892✓0.772.1M2022-09-21
FLOWFlownative1.8681.8131-2.94%1.622-13.17%0.0115✓1.35967k2022-09-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063250.006141-2.91%0.006319-0.09%0.0581✗0.3229k2022-09-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1766-2.88%4.93-7.50%0.0069✓0.462.4M2022-09-21
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,547.051,502.87-2.86%1,207.28-21.96%0.1277✓1.003.3M2022-09-21
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6320.61398-2.85%0.573-9.34%0.0221✓1.00114k2022-09-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.7395.5758-2.84%4.929-14.11%0.0770✓0.513.1M2022-09-21
HIVEHivenative0.55510.539406-2.83%0.4905-11.64%0.0433✓0.57836k2022-09-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,194.008,935.83-2.81%7,985.43-13.15%0.0088✓1.334.0M2022-09-21
METISMetisEthereum27.5826.8203-2.75%23.03-16.50%0.0121✓1.54155k2022-09-21
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11380.1107-2.72%0.0951-16.43%0.1091✓0.47182k2022-09-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.34.1833-2.71%3.91-9.07%0.0165✓0.92223k2022-09-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6914.3001-2.65%13.46-8.37%0.0186✓0.871.9M2022-09-21
FISStafiEthereum0.32090.312417-2.64%0.3328+3.71%0.1504✗0.957782022-09-21
COMPCompoundEthereum60.0958.5054-2.64%58.27-3.03%0.0946✗1.088,4972022-09-21
BANDBandEthereum1.2571.224-2.62%1.098-12.65%0.0002✓1.19303k2022-09-21
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82340.802045-2.59%0.7438-9.67%0.0241✓1.09920k2022-09-21
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.068760.066987-2.58%0.0672-2.27%0.0213✓0.20351k2022-09-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.93791.8882-2.57%1.216-37.25%0.3787✓0.671.5M2022-09-21
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.58e-76.41e-7-2.52%5.15e-7-21.67%0.1463✓0.792.1M2022-09-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11280.109961-2.52%0.0932-17.38%0.0490✓1.272.4M2022-09-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.331.2969-2.49%1.14-14.29%0.0397✓0.9856k2022-09-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06010.058609-2.48%0.055-8.49%0.0480✗1.22608k2022-09-21
MOVRMoonriverBase12.057111.7594-2.47%10.5504-12.50%0.0234✓0.9321k2022-09-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12520.122111-2.47%0.1083-13.50%0.0256✓1.032.6M2022-09-21
GLMGolemEthereum0.30960.30197-2.46%0.273-11.82%0.0170✓0.9289k2022-09-21
GMTGMTEthereum0.67510.65854-2.45%0.598-11.42%0.0410✗1.50194k2022-09-21
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1024.9772-2.45%5.793+13.54%0.2638✗1.236.4M2022-09-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.875.727-2.44%5.55-5.45%0.0151✓0.512.1M2022-09-21
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33660.328627-2.37%0.2926-13.07%0.0169✓1.0972k2022-09-21
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9280.906042-2.37%0.868-6.47%0.0002✓0.472.5M2022-09-21
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85150.831361-2.37%0.8507-0.09%0.1476✗1.3789k2022-09-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00850.0083-2.36%0.00682-19.76%0.1150✓0.893.3M2022-09-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14820.144752-2.33%0.1316-11.20%0.0095✓0.94322k2022-09-21
ZECZcashZcash61.9660.5207-2.32%53.54-13.59%0.0251✓1.071.1M2022-09-21
RADRadworksEthereum2.352.2958-2.31%1.92-18.30%0.1243✓0.60200k2022-09-21
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9170.895944-2.30%0.871-5.02%0.0696✗1.071.5M2022-09-21
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0171470.016755-2.28%0.01435-16.31%0.0637✓1.001,0682022-09-21
WOOWOOEthereum0.14870.145372-2.24%0.13-12.58%0.0096✓1.128922022-09-21
UOSUltraEthereum0.412960.403721-2.24%0.3965-3.99%0.0718✗0.98379k2022-09-21
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047618-2.22%0.0405-16.84%0.0664✓1.05177k2022-09-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.428.2334-2.22%7.72-8.31%0.0161✓0.532.4M2022-09-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9383.852-2.18%3.588-8.89%0.0258✓0.492.1M2022-09-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain65.8695-2.17%5.7947-3.42%0.0102✓0.2512.5M2022-09-21
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.61e-7-2.17%7.70e-7-12.50%0.0484✓0.691.7M2022-09-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034420.033673-2.17%0.02917-15.25%0.0468✓1.0629k2022-09-21
XTZTezosTezos1.61041.5755-2.17%1.4095-12.48%0.0192✓1.01236k2022-09-21
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18890.184806-2.17%0.169-10.53%0.0039✓1.0286k2022-09-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.1217.7273-2.17%13.34-26.38%0.2171✓0.741.4M2022-09-21
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0117310.011478-2.16%0.010823-7.74%0.0326✗1.007452022-09-21
DIADIAEthereum0.380030.371913-2.14%0.37235-2.02%0.0882✗0.9529k2022-09-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.54385.4259-2.13%5.2376-5.52%0.0264✓0.109.6M2022-09-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.05530.054131-2.11%0.0454-17.90%0.1119✓0.70234k2022-09-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2938680.28766-2.11%0.260294-11.42%0.0065✓1.02430k2022-09-21
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2850.279028-2.10%0.2521-11.54%0.0089✓1.0172k2022-09-21
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8141.7762-2.08%1.583-12.73%0.0318✗1.6160k2022-09-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.01730.99614-2.08%0.8937-12.15%0.0675✓0.452.8M2022-09-21
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5130.502355-2.07%0.445-13.26%0.0192✓1.1266k2022-09-21
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0259570.025419-2.07%0.026042+0.33%0.0201✓-0.04485k2022-09-21
UMAUMAEthereum2.6142.5599-2.07%2.296-12.17%0.0326✓0.83464k2022-09-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.97413.6864-2.06%13.395-4.14%0.0900✗1.2220.3M2022-09-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.326110.319447-2.04%0.28908-11.36%0.0067✓1.0233k2022-09-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008050.007887-2.03%0.00702-12.80%0.0129✓1.13463k2022-09-21
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012370.012121-2.01%0.01042-15.76%0.0959✓0.61233k2022-09-21
DODODODOEthereum0.12490.122418-1.99%0.1199-4.00%0.0796✗1.101.4M2022-09-21
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03910.038323-1.99%0.035-10.49%0.0243✓0.739,5132022-09-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.7526-1.97%16.54-13.54%0.0037✓1.3317.5M2022-09-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04310.042255-1.96%0.03911-9.26%0.0063✓0.7814k2022-09-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.13990.137159-1.96%0.1248-10.79%0.0035✓1.00119k2022-09-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001530.0015-1.96%0.001377-10.00%0.0148✓0.785,8832022-09-21
SCSiacoinnative0.003890.003814-1.95%0.00342-12.08%0.0249✓0.9289k2022-09-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206930.02029-1.95%0.019175-7.34%0.0029✓0.6512k2022-09-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2680.262778-1.95%0.246-8.21%0.0027✓0.75512k2022-09-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80881.7736-1.95%1.6506-8.75%0.0272✗1.0928k2022-09-21
QTUMQtumQtum3.09633.0361-1.94%2.7487-11.23%0.0080✓1.0019k2022-09-21
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.5184.4307-1.93%3.64-19.43%0.1053✓1.001.4M2022-09-21
XYMSymbolnative0.0404550.03968-1.92%0.036939-8.69%0.0188✓0.5824k2022-09-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136320.133749-1.89%0.12-11.97%0.0052✓1.13146k2022-09-21
DASHDashDash45.5844.733-1.86%39.84-12.59%0.0205✓1.04299k2022-09-21
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40620.398661-1.86%0.3588-11.67%0.0016✓1.1466k2022-09-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum109.8148-1.85%8.8-12.00%0.0087✓1.29288k2022-09-21
SOLSolanaSolana34.1233.4924-1.84%30.68-10.08%0.0199✗1.1852.2M2022-09-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020420.020046-1.83%0.01932-5.39%0.0142✓0.56173k2022-09-21
ADACardanoCardano0.4810.472209-1.83%0.4389-8.75%0.0135✓0.9536.8M2022-09-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.384.3002-1.82%4.2-4.11%0.0232✗0.511.4M2022-09-21
NANOnanopayBase0.8707160.854898-1.82%0.785702-9.76%0.0088✓0.8347k2022-09-21
KSMKusamaHydration47.5846.7185-1.81%40.18-15.55%0.0637✓0.95363k2022-09-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.87874.7905-1.81%4.3216-11.42%0.0933✓0.11135k2022-09-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059760.005868-1.80%0.004956-17.06%0.1135✓0.611,9622022-09-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6120.601053-1.79%0.563-8.01%0.0265✗1.01178k2022-09-21
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7777-1.79%2.02+11.60%0.1696✗0.4656k2022-09-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121830.011968-1.77%0.011185-8.19%0.0118✓0.87851k2022-09-21
XVGVergenative0.003370.003311-1.76%0.00321-4.75%0.0498✗0.88483k2022-09-21
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4310.423401-1.76%0.397-7.89%0.0341✗1.087,9852022-09-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.07090.069665-1.74%0.06177-12.88%0.0324✓0.9625k2022-09-21
STXStacksnative0.35220.346165-1.71%0.3221-8.55%0.0245✗1.06298k2022-09-21
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09140.089842-1.70%0.0794-13.13%0.0475✓0.8310k2022-09-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3116.2036-1.70%5.909-6.37%0.0375✗0.944.3M2022-09-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.163480.160712-1.69%0.13996-14.39%0.0450✓1.02262k2022-09-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036310.035699-1.68%0.03345-7.88%0.0001✓0.712,2982022-09-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48530.477147-1.68%0.4207-13.31%0.0528✓0.80396k2022-09-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.26.0967-1.67%5.89-5.00%0.0049✓0.432.1M2022-09-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.499693-1.64%0.455-10.43%0.0137✓1.1870k2022-09-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.042.0067-1.63%1.8-11.76%0.0080✓1.28226k2022-09-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09530.093746-1.63%0.09-5.56%0.0287✗0.762,9132022-09-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.99118.0401-1.63%108.98-9.18%0.0214✗1.114.3M2022-09-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30320.298299-1.62%0.3352+10.55%0.2018✗0.935.9M2022-09-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6751-1.61%2.286-15.92%0.0197✓1.512.9M2022-09-21
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066740.065673-1.60%0.06031-9.63%0.0012✓0.958692022-09-21
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.80e-78.66e-7-1.60%7.80e-7-11.36%0.0411✓0.7015k2022-09-21
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33940.334066-1.57%0.2884-15.03%0.0560✓1.0079k2022-09-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0611250.060167-1.57%0.057369-6.14%0.0372✗0.931.1M2022-09-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.36651.5673-1.53%47.682-8.94%0.0006✓0.85221k2022-09-21
ETHEthereumEthereum1,639.141,614.16-1.52%1,245.65-24.01%0.1412✓1.29569.9M2022-09-21
XVSVenusEthereum4.674.5989-1.52%4.4-5.78%0.0302✗0.82808k2022-09-21
CBKCobakEthereum0.811750.799547-1.50%0.75889-6.51%0.0174✗0.7613k2022-09-21
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020292-1.50%0.02112+2.52%0.1248✗0.939.2M2022-09-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322810.31798-1.50%0.38128+18.11%0.2519✗0.77326k2022-09-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04650.045811-1.48%0.0411-11.61%0.0324✓0.83142k2022-09-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27190.267911-1.47%0.2516-7.47%0.0261✗0.972.7M2022-09-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.005610.005529-1.45%0.00487-13.19%0.0699✓0.62911k2022-09-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6280.61891-1.45%0.542-13.69%0.0368✓1.053.2M2022-09-21
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3899-1.43%1.39-1.42%0.0172✓-0.19113k2022-09-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0430.042386-1.43%0.0371-13.72%0.0281✓1.15546k2022-09-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028720.002831-1.42%0.002142-25.42%0.1957✓0.911.2M2022-09-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03660.036079-1.42%0.0323-11.75%0.0192✓1.0093k2022-09-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1671.1505-1.41%1.03-11.74%0.0287✓0.901.1M2022-09-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.10611-1.38%0.098-8.92%0.0039✓0.83188k2022-09-21
API3Api3Ethereum1.6641.641-1.38%1.487-10.64%0.0192✓0.87578k2022-09-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.3113.1275-1.37%11.82-11.19%0.0053✓1.09874k2022-09-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06070.059868-1.37%0.0569-6.26%0.0463✗1.0677k2022-09-21
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83353.7813-1.36%3.3008-13.90%0.0795✓0.626.3M2022-09-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012190.000012026-1.35%0.00001039-14.77%0.0587✓0.96951k2022-09-21
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13050.128783-1.32%0.1218-6.67%0.0081✓0.5283k2022-09-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.259.4097-1.31%51.08-15.15%0.0653✓0.9414.4M2022-09-21
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1826.1009-1.31%5.338-13.65%0.0116✓1.346.9M2022-09-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.1093.0684-1.31%2.88-7.37%0.0343✓0.32676k2022-09-21
ZENHorizenBase15.114.9036-1.30%13.3-11.92%0.0076✓1.1675k2022-09-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.4587.3622-1.28%6.682-10.40%0.0014✓1.0818.0M2022-09-21
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.89860.887082-1.28%0.8154-9.26%0.0247✗1.19874k2022-09-21
MANADecentralandEthereum0.744320.734829-1.28%0.68363-8.15%0.0244✗1.06584k2022-09-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9618-1.27%3.59-10.54%0.0673✓0.342.0M2022-09-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21190.2092-1.27%0.1888-10.90%0.0190✓0.9257k2022-09-21
BORABORAKlay Token0.269010.265612-1.26%0.23945-10.99%0.0267✓0.8415k2022-09-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48830.482141-1.26%0.4173-14.54%0.0530✓1.00366k2022-09-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2087.118-1.25%6.125-15.02%0.0550✓1.049.9M2022-09-21
LSKLiskEthereum1.01711.0047-1.22%0.916656-9.88%0.0187✓0.8039k2022-09-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19750.195102-1.21%0.1706-13.62%0.0472✓0.95130k2022-09-21
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015560.001537-1.21%0.001531-1.61%0.0641✗0.75340k2022-09-21
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023240.022966-1.18%0.02131-8.30%0.0226✗1.072,9142022-09-21
FORTFortaEthereum0.20990.207428-1.18%0.172-18.06%0.1366✓0.5666k2022-09-21
GITCOINGITCOIN2.02442.0007-1.17%1.7738-12.38%0.0200✓1.1013k2022-09-21
AAVEAaveEthereum83.9282.9645-1.14%71.58-14.70%0.0157✓1.446.2M2022-09-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.0950.093927-1.13%0.0964+1.47%0.1164✗0.99319k2022-09-21
XLMStellarStellar0.1052090.104031-1.12%0.110695+5.21%0.1402✗0.866.5M2022-09-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07061.0589-1.09%0.8625-19.44%0.0707✓1.474.5M2022-09-21
TRXTRONTron0.0616450.060986-1.07%0.059212-3.95%0.0096✓0.43129k2022-09-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,227.7720,013.76-1.06%18,462.64-8.73%0.0106✓1.00480.9M2022-09-21
XEMNEMnative0.0427140.042268-1.05%0.038758-9.26%0.0043✓0.9028k2022-09-21
KCSKuCoinnative9.3689.2704-1.04%8.775-6.33%0.0224✗0.851.2M2022-09-21
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16370.162001-1.04%0.1377-15.88%0.0615✓1.111,5602022-09-21
FTTFTXEthereum25.525.2507-0.98%22.71-10.94%0.0143✓1.016.8M2022-09-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,259.0020,063.78-0.96%18,203.70-10.15%0.0143✓0.9113k2022-09-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37760.37414-0.92%0.3067-18.78%0.1109✓0.96202k2022-09-21
QNTQuantEthereum99.0598.1985-0.86%100.7+1.67%0.1052✗0.883.5M2022-09-21
GTGateEthereum4.30854.2726-0.83%4.1321-4.09%0.0297✗0.69696k2022-09-21
XMRMoneroMonero149.8148.6112-0.79%135.48-9.56%0.0028✓0.981.5M2022-09-21
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05820.05774-0.79%0.0524-9.97%0.0269✓0.7782k2022-09-21
STEEMSteemnative0.21950.21801-0.68%0.208-5.24%0.0350✗0.90504k2022-09-21
SUSHISushiEthereum1.18891.1809-0.67%1.0124-14.85%0.0573✓1.061.2M2022-09-21
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4430.440071-0.66%0.35-20.99%0.1210✓1.184,5592022-09-21
STORJStorjEthereum0.514520.511445-0.60%0.44504-13.50%0.0024✓1.5039k2022-09-21
XECeCashnative0.000046160.000046055-0.23%0.00003771-18.31%0.1243✓0.833.5M2022-09-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.