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2022-09-12 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0928
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.27%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.2%
in alpha space · 93.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.78%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.000285736-4.75%0.00031125+3.75%0.1223✗0.272.3M2022-09-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.391569-4.33%0.2908-28.95%0.1864✓0.8189k2022-09-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.208119-3.83%0.1327-38.68%0.3477✓0.7526k2022-09-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.5391-3.79%15.52-14.87%0.0494✓0.53396k2022-09-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.0623-3.77%0.05812-10.23%0.1012✗1.251.2M2022-09-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.4791-3.58%1.365-11.02%0.0736✗1.1371k2022-09-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5566.3287-3.47%5.478-16.44%0.0119✓0.976.2M2022-09-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.9271-3.35%12.487+1.19%0.0972✗0.3816.0M2022-09-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.5107-3.35%1.258-19.51%0.0156✓1.2343k2022-09-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.124345-3.31%0.1014-21.15%0.0328✓1.252.5M2022-09-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-77.24e-7-3.29%5.57e-7-25.56%0.1427✓0.872.3M2022-09-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3527-3.21%1.1772-15.77%0.0089✓1.08922k2022-09-19
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.3156-3.21%5.865+6.79%0.2895✗1.406.4M2022-09-19
FLOWFlownative2.1022.0353-3.17%1.696-19.31%0.0114✓1.42967k2022-09-19
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2271-3.15%0.955-24.63%0.0191✓1.692.7M2022-09-19
PROPropyEthereum0.730.707275-3.11%0.66-9.59%0.0363✓0.2444k2022-09-19
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5721-3.07%1.485-8.45%0.0433✗0.7329k2022-09-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.426-3.06%5.92-22.72%0.1924✓0.2511.9M2022-09-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1048-3.05%1.845-15.02%0.0423✗1.2732k2022-09-19
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.185763-3.05%0.1112-41.96%0.4941✓0.1483k2022-09-19
METISMetisEthereum29.9329.0222-3.03%24.04-19.68%0.0392✗1.66159k2022-09-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.427.1989-2.98%6.52-12.13%0.0508✗1.10224k2022-09-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001284-2.98%0.0011-16.90%0.0418✓0.832.2M2022-09-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.552332-2.93%0.473-16.87%0.0015✓1.1466k2022-09-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.195533-2.91%0.2531+25.67%0.3926✗0.983.2M2022-09-19
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.071851-2.90%0.0621-16.08%0.1275✓0.13378k2022-09-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.650666-2.89%0.598-10.75%0.0612✗1.07111k2022-09-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4537.3437-2.88%30.44-20.83%0.0109✓1.5810.6M2022-09-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.839082-2.86%0.7721-10.62%0.0774✗1.17946k2022-09-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.720777-2.85%0.6251-15.74%0.0681✗1.54210k2022-09-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.3143-2.79%1.167-13.68%0.0556✗1.28323k2022-09-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.130981-2.76%0.1151-14.55%0.0189✓1.082.7M2022-09-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,482.37-2.76%8,481.63-13.02%0.0822✗1.424.1M2022-09-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1857-2.71%5.15-3.38%0.0812✗0.642.0M2022-09-19
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.7324-2.69%5.2403+7.76%0.3060✗1.49122k2022-09-19
HIVEHivenative0.58020.564637-2.68%0.5271-9.15%0.0156✓0.62836k2022-09-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008811-2.64%0.00746-17.57%0.0375✓0.943.3M2022-09-19
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011687-2.64%0.011007-8.31%0.0767✗1.006492022-09-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.7216-2.64%13.68-9.52%0.0634✗1.001.8M2022-09-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.342382-2.57%0.3113-11.41%0.0649✗1.1772k2022-09-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3739-2.56%1.19-15.60%0.0013✓1.0668k2022-09-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.312267-2.55%0.271513-15.27%0.0051✓0.99471k2022-09-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8857-2.55%1.699-12.20%0.1298✗1.7160k2022-09-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.8271-2.54%5.54-20.91%0.1952✓0.109.1M2022-09-19
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,574.27-2.53%1,331.44-17.57%0.0308✓1.003.3M2022-09-19
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.3446-2.53%11.4637-9.49%0.0654✗1.0221k2022-09-19
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.333-2.52%55.26-12.17%0.0551✗1.171.1M2022-09-19
XVGVergenative0.003570.003481-2.51%0.00326-8.68%0.0698✗0.99483k2022-09-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.063768-2.50%0.0563-13.91%0.0418✗1.22563k2022-09-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.111578-2.47%0.0903-21.07%0.1298✓0.60188k2022-09-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.8019-2.46%5.296-10.96%0.0034✓0.643.1M2022-09-19
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6159-2.45%1.4887-10.13%0.0629✗1.06241k2022-09-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.7335-2.42%8-10.61%0.0071✓0.592.4M2022-09-19
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.353938-2.42%0.3044-16.07%0.0064✓1.061,1592022-09-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.006085-2.39%0.006367+2.13%0.0959✗0.3730k2022-09-19
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.128753-2.39%0.1251-5.16%0.1322✗1.181.4M2022-09-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.15104-2.37%0.1384-10.54%0.0509✗1.01336k2022-09-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.469731-2.34%0.437-9.15%0.0704✗1.047,9852022-09-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9161-2.34%1.7159-12.55%0.0431✗1.1223k2022-09-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008136-2.33%0.0074-11.16%0.0660✗1.18428k2022-09-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.947476-2.32%0.902-7.01%0.1132✗1.191.5M2022-09-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.986595-2.32%0.893-11.58%0.0438✓0.412.7M2022-09-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.268635-2.31%0.256-6.91%0.0572✗0.77563k2022-09-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.050117-2.31%0.0433-15.59%0.0128✓1.16178k2022-09-19
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.4033-2.30%2.07-15.85%0.0662✓0.61261k2022-09-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8683-2.30%1.4112-26.20%0.1650✓0.851.4M2022-09-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.290783-2.29%0.2802-5.85%0.1105✗1.0874k2022-09-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.8907-2.24%17.28-19.14%0.0016✓1.3818.0M2022-09-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.874824-2.23%0.8509-4.91%0.1864✗1.5789k2022-09-19
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.80e-7-2.23%8.00e-7-11.11%0.0057✓0.741.7M2022-09-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.7747-2.23%9.08-17.60%0.0127✓1.34288k2022-09-19
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.018078-2.22%0.0155-16.17%0.0172✓1.009912022-09-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.2388-2.21%5.75-9.87%0.0099✓0.522.1M2022-09-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1445-2.21%3.746-11.61%0.0298✓0.522.3M2022-09-19
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7353.5314-2.19%52.16-4.70%0.1479✗1.278,6412022-09-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.4253-2.18%4.135-8.60%0.0609✗0.94273k2022-09-19
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.0734-2.18%40.04-23.31%0.1028✓1.03363k2022-09-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039033-2.17%0.0357-10.53%0.0321✗0.899,1922022-09-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.633939-2.17%0.596-8.02%0.0780✗1.02178k2022-09-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.050495-2.14%0.0498-3.49%0.1173✗0.96234k2022-09-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.012872-2.14%0.011897-9.56%0.0355✗0.84882k2022-09-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.1607-2.13%0.1389-15.41%0.0335✗1.319132022-09-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.346841-2.12%0.30629-13.57%0.0231✗1.0833k2022-09-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004111-2.12%0.00357-15.00%0.0124✓0.94103k2022-09-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.229692-2.09%0.1992-15.09%0.0198✓0.9057k2022-09-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.431086-2.09%0.4068-7.60%0.0762✗0.98379k2022-09-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.6986-2.08%2.425-12.01%0.0067✓0.83523k2022-09-19
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.6821-2.08%32.65-12.84%0.0508✗1.2254.5M2022-09-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.173636-2.07%0.145-18.22%0.0325✓1.08271k2022-09-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4558-2.07%4.26-6.37%0.0382✗0.611.4M2022-09-19
STXStacksnative0.38790.379921-2.06%0.3301-14.90%0.0056✓1.07314k2022-09-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.041802-2.04%0.039404-7.66%0.0139✓0.5323k2022-09-19
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.391645-2.03%0.38968-2.52%0.1334✗1.0131k2022-09-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2531-2.03%1.092-14.62%0.0100✓0.931.1M2022-09-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.148729-2.02%0.1312-13.57%0.0111✓1.00119k2022-09-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5315.2176-2.01%15.618+0.57%0.2011✗1.2819.6M2022-09-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1461-2.00%1.88-14.16%0.0418✗1.27227k2022-09-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.50269-1.99%0.4508-12.11%0.0081✓0.86396k2022-09-19
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.201217-1.99%0.1786-13.01%0.0341✗1.12108k2022-09-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.012683-1.99%0.01128-12.83%0.0277✓0.65233k2022-09-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.984601-1.98%0.9446-5.96%0.0365✗0.572.6M2022-09-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2281-1.98%2.9221-11.27%0.0424✗1.0419k2022-09-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.434832-1.98%0.3928-11.45%0.0593✗1.1875k2022-09-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.046533-1.97%0.04122-13.17%0.0325✓0.6514k2022-09-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.7896-1.97%6.057-12.55%0.0224✗1.004.3M2022-09-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.139312-1.97%0.12606-11.29%0.0654✗1.21151k2022-09-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87126.3382-1.96%112.05-13.05%0.0408✗1.184.4M2022-09-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.023563-1.96%0.027182+13.09%0.1551✗0.09465k2022-09-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.531381-1.96%0.485-10.52%0.0754✗1.2277k2022-09-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006089-1.95%0.00502-19.16%0.1064✓0.63911k2022-09-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.258-1.94%14.77-10.92%0.0108✓0.781.5M2022-09-19
DASHDashDash47.1746.256-1.94%40.74-13.63%0.0193✓1.07312k2022-09-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.03658-1.93%0.03126-16.19%0.0122✓1.0635k2022-09-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.8867-1.91%2.506-14.85%0.0706✗1.552.9M2022-09-19
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9957-1.91%4.057-20.34%0.0714✓1.001.4M2022-09-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.099373-1.90%0.0949-6.32%0.0580✗0.762,7302022-09-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.111949-1.89%0.1003-12.09%0.0103✓0.88188k2022-09-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04524.9501-1.88%4.6593-7.65%0.0518✓0.06119k2022-09-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.9525-1.88%12.27-13.71%0.0336✗1.19925k2022-09-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.00162-1.87%0.001428-13.51%0.0334✓0.685,8832022-09-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8057-1.87%2.28+23.91%0.2974✗0.4758k2022-09-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.02161-1.85%0.020248-8.04%0.0196✗0.6212k2022-09-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.048387-1.85%0.0432-12.37%0.0029✓0.85145k2022-09-19
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.492191-1.84%0.4526-9.73%0.0536✗1.0138.3M2022-09-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.31778-1.83%0.3172-2.01%0.1325✗0.986.0M2022-09-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.038975-1.83%0.034-14.36%0.0026✓1.0289k2022-09-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022383-1.83%0.0223-2.19%0.1419✗1.0710.3M2022-09-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.070697-1.80%0.06261-13.03%0.0153✓1.0025k2022-09-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.169476-1.79%0.15899-7.86%0.0403✗0.765152022-09-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.5911-1.77%6.05-9.84%0.0182✓0.492.1M2022-09-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8924-1.76%4.59-7.83%0.0545✗0.87839k2022-09-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.067952-1.73%0.06161-10.90%0.0294✗0.938202022-09-19
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.328883-1.71%0.3026-9.56%0.0590✗1.0482k2022-09-19
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.221844-1.71%0.1798-20.34%0.1063✓0.7667k2022-09-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7724-1.70%1.496-17.03%0.0306✓1.02627k2022-09-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.048366-1.70%0.0393-20.12%0.0468✓1.18546k2022-09-19
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001598-1.70%0.001532-5.78%0.0650✗0.79374k2022-09-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.19-1.69%2.975-8.32%0.0189✓0.37676k2022-09-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062881-1.68%0.05866-8.28%0.0686✗1.011.2M2022-09-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.28935-1.68%0.25224-14.29%0.0138✓0.9015k2022-09-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039329-1.68%0.03487-12.83%0.0250✓0.702,2982022-09-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0728-1.67%0.962594-11.77%0.0031✓0.7736k2022-09-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.286847-1.66%0.2595-11.04%0.0386✗1.022.7M2022-09-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003055-1.64%0.002524-18.74%0.0661✓0.911.2M2022-09-19
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5501-1.64%5.479-17.72%0.0135✓1.406.9M2022-09-19
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.95e-7-1.63%8.10e-7-10.99%0.0017✓0.7415k2022-09-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101026-1.63%0.0944-8.08%0.0708✗1.01336k2022-09-19
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.899464-1.61%0.816606-10.68%0.0209✗0.8649k2022-09-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.065626-1.61%0.0609-8.70%0.0686✗1.0579k2022-09-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60953.736-1.60%49.657-9.07%0.0420✗0.88264k2022-09-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2166-1.60%3.728-13.00%0.0730✓0.372.2M2022-09-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.781559-1.59%0.72902-8.21%0.0847✗1.13624k2022-09-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.6345-1.59%7.3-5.90%0.1102✗1.1318.0M2022-09-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.4909-1.58%3.5781-21.58%0.1433✓0.618.1M2022-09-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.661446-1.57%0.572-14.88%0.0103✓1.143.3M2022-09-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020693-1.56%0.01974-6.09%0.0356✗0.61191k2022-09-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.5449-1.55%6.385-16.69%0.0073✓1.1710.0M2022-09-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006258-1.54%0.005618-11.61%0.0205✓0.641,9622022-09-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012682-1.54%0.00001097-14.83%0.0066✓1.011.0M2022-09-19
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.2279-1.53%13.84-16.02%0.0120✓1.2579k2022-09-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.090107-1.52%0.0828-9.51%0.0499✗0.9814k2022-09-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.84131-1.52%0.77846-8.88%0.0302✗0.7913k2022-09-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.311429-1.52%0.38357+21.29%0.3030✗0.69326k2022-09-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,690.76-1.51%1,376.17-19.84%0.0204✓1.36569.9M2022-09-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.945551-1.41%0.8565-10.70%0.0741✗1.27899k2022-09-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4160.5472-1.41%52.89-13.87%0.0074✓1.0414.0M2022-09-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.1193-1.37%1.8797-12.52%0.0342✗1.1313k2022-09-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.402443-1.36%0.3256-20.20%0.0632✓1.09202k2022-09-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2525-1.34%1.0665-15.99%0.0047✓1.141.1M2022-09-19
FTTFTXEthereum28.4628.0822-1.33%24.19-15.00%0.0103✓1.026.8M2022-09-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.488243-1.33%0.4467-9.72%0.0692✗1.16384k2022-09-19
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046099-1.31%0.040881-12.48%0.0019✓0.8928k2022-09-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1281-1.30%0.9829-14.01%0.0734✗1.544.4M2022-09-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9989.8235-1.28%76.38-16.06%0.0469✗1.536.0M2022-09-19
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.5921-1.26%9.098-6.35%0.0651✗0.861.2M2022-09-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.112438-1.25%0.111743-1.86%0.1152✗0.896.5M2022-09-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.203758-1.23%0.1842-10.71%0.0478✗1.09135k2022-09-19
QNTQuantEthereum106.65105.3572-1.21%107.75+1.03%0.1502✗0.933.5M2022-09-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4139-1.13%1.44+0.70%0.0004✓-0.14124k2022-09-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.02461-1.08%0.02205-11.37%0.0380✗1.082,9582022-09-19
XMRMoneroMonero163.77161.9948-1.08%140.37-14.29%0.0112✓0.971.4M2022-09-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,079.47-1.08%19,581.40-12.27%0.0055✓0.9213k2022-09-19
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.0632-1.07%0.060295-5.62%0.0167✗0.47123k2022-09-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,167.35-1.05%19,540.38-12.78%0.0106✓1.00480.9M2022-09-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.181968-1.05%0.1539-16.31%0.0103✓1.151,7442022-09-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.477975-1.04%0.391-19.05%0.0353✓1.214,2692022-09-19
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000045505-1.01%0.0000394-14.29%0.0237✓0.883.0M2022-09-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059406-0.99%0.0547-8.83%0.0333✗0.8590k2022-09-19
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.233243-0.96%0.2188-7.09%0.0553✗0.87527k2022-09-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.55774-0.93%0.47873-14.97%0.0300✗1.3439k2022-09-19
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3449-0.89%4.2119-3.92%0.0701✗0.74688k2022-09-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.