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2022-09-09 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2434
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.7%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.2721-0.05%16.31-5.61%0.0034✗0.801.6M2022-09-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.135664-0.10%0.119-12.37%0.1301✓0.0187k2022-09-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8377-0.66%1.76-4.86%0.0106✓0.4363k2022-09-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012256-0.84%0.01206-2.43%0.0330✗0.65228k2022-09-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51254.9796-0.96%52.013-6.30%0.0017✓0.75287k2022-09-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066657-1.00%0.0652-3.16%0.0448✗0.886022022-09-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,152.04-1.03%19,713.60-7.76%0.0012✓0.9413k2022-09-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.021033-1.07%0.02106-0.94%0.0570✗0.73234k2022-09-16
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.227148-1.11%0.2244-2.31%0.0556✗0.89537k2022-09-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,123.93-1.13%19,801.04-7.32%0.0113✓1.00480.9M2022-09-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.182977-1.15%0.155-16.26%0.0677✓1.291,5202022-09-16
XVGVergenative0.003280.003241-1.19%0.00319-2.74%0.0570✗0.96483k2022-09-16
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6647-1.21%1.475-12.46%0.0639✓0.7551k2022-09-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.113006-1.22%0.107109-6.38%0.0097✓0.836.5M2022-09-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.097255-1.26%0.0976-0.91%0.0723✗0.90359k2022-09-16
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.062582-1.26%0.061288-3.31%0.0241✗0.59123k2022-09-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.168185-1.31%0.15812-7.21%0.1024✗2.164042022-09-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,696.72-1.31%1,433.73-16.61%0.0700✓1.30617.0M2022-09-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.492743-1.31%0.4634-7.19%0.0220✗1.10384k2022-09-16
QNTQuantEthereum103.35101.9681-1.34%107.74+4.25%0.1148✗0.793.4M2022-09-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021499-1.34%0.020411-6.33%0.0071✓0.7813k2022-09-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.02565-1.35%0.02271-12.65%0.0273✓1.242,9582022-09-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.713-1.35%2.56-6.91%0.0050✓0.83630k2022-09-16
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1489.9118-1.35%79.37-12.91%0.0165✓1.426.0M2022-09-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.05937-1.38%0.0555-7.81%0.0014✓0.9180k2022-09-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038421-1.38%0.03549-8.91%0.0206✓0.772,4552022-09-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.550102-1.39%0.49675-10.96%0.0076✓1.2441k2022-09-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.062708-1.40%0.0646+1.57%0.0909✗0.8082k2022-09-16
XMRMoneroMonero161.29158.9766-1.43%149.19-7.50%0.0127✓1.001.3M2022-09-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.062975-1.48%0.060443-5.44%0.0362✗1.021.3M2022-09-16
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.4688-1.48%9.137-4.93%0.0339✗0.921.2M2022-09-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012727-1.49%0.00001157-10.45%0.0262✓0.91898k2022-09-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004098-1.50%0.00373-10.34%0.0239✓0.92111k2022-09-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005752-1.50%0.00531-9.08%0.0328✓0.62951k2022-09-16
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.83377-1.51%0.82039-3.09%0.0527✗0.9114k2022-09-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.489492-1.51%0.418-15.90%0.0673✓1.194,5592022-09-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3706-1.54%6.26-3.25%0.0172✗0.462.1M2022-09-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.050995-1.55%0.0411-20.66%0.1421✓0.97546k2022-09-16
SGBSongbirdnative0.02710.026669-1.59%0.0234-13.65%0.0848✓0.6047k2022-09-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.092405-1.59%0.0859-8.52%0.0040✓0.9113k2022-09-16
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.20911-1.60%0.1847-13.08%0.0359✓1.16111k2022-09-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.2522-1.62%3.874-10.37%0.0706✓0.302.2M2022-09-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.328383-1.62%0.30013-10.08%0.0319✓0.76332k2022-09-16
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.493944-1.64%0.4748-5.46%0.0286✗0.9037.9M2022-09-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.045425-1.66%0.04256-7.86%0.0114✓0.7114k2022-09-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.210932-1.66%0.1907-11.10%0.0067✓1.24139k2022-09-16
SOLSolanaSolana34.6934.1108-1.67%32.23-7.09%0.0236✗1.0660.5M2022-09-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.126.0155-1.71%5.56-9.15%0.0433✓0.473.6M2022-09-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002849-1.73%0.002807-3.17%0.0523✗0.881.2M2022-09-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001596-1.74%0.001455-10.41%0.0420✓0.667,1022022-09-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0287-1.74%0.9744-6.93%0.0141✓0.532.8M2022-09-16
DASHDashDash49.0148.1514-1.75%43.69-10.85%0.0248✓0.95338k2022-09-16
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.3955-1.76%5.824-10.54%0.0008✓1.246.9M2022-09-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.038382-1.76%0.03294-15.69%0.0770✓1.0072k2022-09-16
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.045405-1.77%0.042068-8.99%0.0155✓0.8029k2022-09-16
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.01098-1.77%0.01195+6.91%0.1606✗1.005862022-09-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.6208-1.78%6.906-10.99%0.0228✓1.0010.0M2022-09-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.161138-1.81%0.151-7.98%0.0059✓0.931,1642022-09-16
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2355-1.81%4.2657-1.11%0.0655✗0.77724k2022-09-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.4952-1.82%9.36-12.44%0.0215✓1.22281k2022-09-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.1459-1.83%3.867-8.43%0.0336✓0.472.1M2022-09-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.271434-1.83%0.3024+9.37%0.1692✗0.8184k2022-09-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.147151-1.83%0.1384-7.67%0.0130✓0.98128k2022-09-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.052124-1.84%0.0498-6.21%0.0309✗1.01234k2022-09-16
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.7021-1.87%24.08-11.50%0.0326✓0.936.8M2022-09-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.943937-1.88%0.896-6.86%0.0417✗1.231.5M2022-09-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.8103-1.88%1.541-16.48%0.0943✓0.88627k2022-09-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.960916-1.90%0.8768-10.48%0.0034✓1.16899k2022-09-16
KSMKusamaHydration52.6551.6444-1.91%43.86-16.70%0.0908✓0.96395k2022-09-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.442618-1.92%0.4409-2.30%0.0844✗1.1675k2022-09-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.3006-1.93%1.1346-14.45%0.0527✓1.101.1M2022-09-16
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.79236-1.94%0.7411-8.28%0.0043✓0.82537k2022-09-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.10137-1.96%0.0959-7.25%0.0022✓0.702,7842022-09-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.407321-1.97%0.346-16.73%0.0817✓1.07215k2022-09-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9130.2774-1.97%119.59-10.02%0.0009✓1.114.4M2022-09-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.286365-2.00%0.2626-10.13%0.0168✓0.922.7M2022-09-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.318111-2.00%0.2979-8.23%0.0007✓0.875.8M2022-09-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.407716-2.01%0.38821-6.70%0.0232✗0.95392k2022-09-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.217206-2.03%0.2047-7.67%0.0129✓0.9557k2022-09-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.5865-2.03%7.655-1.15%0.0843✗0.9918.0M2022-09-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.5162-2.04%4.31-6.51%0.0062✓0.531.3M2022-09-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.31e-7-2.05%8.30e-7-12.63%0.0566✓0.7615k2022-09-16
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.908035-2.05%0.810979-12.52%0.0521✓0.8052k2022-09-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1559.8954-2.05%55.93-8.54%0.0046✓0.9613.1M2022-09-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.9807-2.06%18.06-11.47%0.0094✓1.2118.8M2022-09-16
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000043618-2.07%0.00004223-5.19%0.0292✗0.812.5M2022-09-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.8039-2.07%1.8924+2.73%0.1161✗0.901.2M2022-09-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.2574-2.08%5.78-9.55%0.0443✓0.462.2M2022-09-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.006086-2.08%0.005888-5.27%0.0193✓0.692,0942022-09-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038287-2.08%0.0352-9.97%0.0182✓0.8777k2022-09-16
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.389235-2.09%0.37431-5.84%0.0310✗0.9231k2022-09-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.676539-2.09%0.586-15.20%0.0576✓1.133.8M2022-09-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.041673-2.10%0.039113-8.12%0.0258✓0.5025k2022-09-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.7514-2.13%6.63-16.29%0.0741✓1.08255k2022-09-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3994-2.14%1.44+0.70%0.0122✓-0.21128k2022-09-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0571-2.16%1.003-7.17%0.0082✓0.8038k2022-09-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.174948-2.17%0.15442-13.65%0.0533✓0.94268k2022-09-16
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.9106-2.18%4.36-13.15%0.0576✓0.81943k2022-09-16
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6093-2.19%1.5208-7.57%0.0232✗1.05247k2022-09-16
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.5098-2.19%14.36-14.93%0.0567✓1.0987k2022-09-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.434195-2.21%0.434-2.25%0.0753✗1.007,7812022-09-16
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.373495-2.23%0.3538-7.38%0.0264✗1.066802022-09-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1428-2.24%1.988-9.31%0.0091✓1.1134k2022-09-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1771-2.25%1.0589-12.07%0.0047✓1.454.5M2022-09-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.2688-2.25%5.31-1.48%0.0415✗0.442.0M2022-09-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.138067-2.28%0.13109-7.22%0.0333✗1.12163k2022-09-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012944-2.29%0.012294-7.20%0.0038✓0.63929k2022-09-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.134209-2.32%0.1213-11.72%0.0634✓0.503.0M2022-09-16
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.669-2.33%11.2265-13.45%0.0511✓0.9222k2022-09-16
PROPropyEthereum0.730.712613-2.38%0.7-4.11%0.0050✓0.3052k2022-09-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.2045-2.39%1.173-4.94%0.0430✗0.911.1M2022-09-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007652-2.39%0.00771-1.66%0.0883✗1.06406k2022-09-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.668401-2.42%0.605-11.68%0.0369✓0.83129k2022-09-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.9609-2.44%1.715-14.68%0.0114✓1.6165k2022-09-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.345514-2.44%0.32095-9.38%0.0008✓0.9635k2022-09-16
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.4553-2.45%4.6927+2.75%0.1695✗1.55129k2022-09-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.282893-2.45%0.26134-9.89%0.0041✓0.9914k2022-09-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.036671-2.47%0.0374-0.53%0.0747✗0.727,8252022-09-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.023641-2.47%0.025951+7.06%0.0980✗0.06465k2022-09-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.0972-2.47%14.52-6.20%0.0287✗0.891.7M2022-09-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001353-2.48%0.001201-13.44%0.0623✓0.752.5M2022-09-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.2915-2.49%1.92-18.30%0.0895✓1.15232k2022-09-16
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3455-2.50%1.237-10.36%0.0047✓1.17385k2022-09-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,178.14-2.50%8,661.73-17.03%0.0562✓1.384.5M2022-09-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.658-2.50%8.46-4.73%0.0126✓0.472.2M2022-09-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.323698-2.50%0.3144-5.30%0.0505✗1.0587k2022-09-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022921-2.51%0.02055-12.59%0.0485✓0.809.2M2022-09-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.072213-2.51%0.06705-9.48%0.0105✓1.1125k2022-09-16
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6950.3936-2.51%54.06+4.59%0.1620✗1.219,1802022-09-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006152-2.51%0.006297-0.22%0.0557✗0.4336k2022-09-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009475-2.52%0.00835-14.09%0.0697✓0.753.5M2022-09-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.10973-2.55%0.1057-6.13%0.0419✗1.042.7M2022-09-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.111463-2.57%0.1034-9.62%0.0131✓0.82169k2022-09-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.641821-2.61%0.616-6.53%0.0289✗0.92178k2022-09-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.04626-2.61%0.043-9.47%0.0047✓0.90138k2022-09-16
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.12094-2.63%0.1059-14.73%0.0811✓0.68195k2022-09-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3142-2.66%1.2302-8.88%0.0053✓0.941.2M2022-09-16
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2229-2.66%2.9941-9.57%0.0003✓0.9719k2022-09-16
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.131694-2.67%0.1221-9.76%0.0022✓1.021.4M2022-09-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.05061-2.67%0.0476-8.46%0.0052✓0.88204k2022-09-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.9102-2.67%6.185-12.89%0.0466✓0.854.4M2022-09-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.533286-2.69%0.497-9.31%0.0127✓1.0977k2022-09-16
STXStacksnative0.38130.371059-2.69%0.3492-8.42%0.0236✓1.11348k2022-09-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.8354-2.69%4.9422-0.54%0.0288✗0.09115k2022-09-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.76325-2.70%0.6518-16.90%0.0502✓1.42210k2022-09-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.305453-2.70%0.283015-9.85%0.0009✓1.02514k2022-09-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8834-2.72%1.7566-9.27%0.0097✓1.0523k2022-09-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2633-2.75%1.9192-17.54%0.0819✓1.0913k2022-09-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.135068-2.76%0.1457+4.90%0.1389✗0.8324k2022-09-16
HIVEHivenative0.57680.560846-2.77%0.5573-3.38%0.0524✗0.77867k2022-09-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.5023-2.77%1.34-13.27%0.0298✓1.1143k2022-09-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001508-2.79%0.001658+6.90%0.1532✗0.77374k2022-09-16
ZECZcashZcash66.0164.1283-2.85%56.74-14.04%0.0356✓1.141.2M2022-09-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.269055-2.87%0.262-5.42%0.0286✓0.73563k2022-09-16
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,551.37-2.88%1,354.73-15.19%0.0595✓1.003.4M2022-09-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.361396-2.88%0.3247-12.74%0.0284✓1.0471k2022-09-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.199352-2.90%0.2101+2.34%0.1171✗0.853.2M2022-09-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.505-2.91%2.13-17.44%0.1101✓0.69262k2022-09-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1938.0349-2.95%34.05-13.12%0.0003✓1.4511.8M2022-09-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.299986-2.95%0.2667-13.72%0.0410✓1.0195k2022-09-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.441-2.96%1.38-7.07%0.0404✗1.1071k2022-09-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4361-2.96%1.28-13.51%0.0456✓0.9181k2022-09-16
FLOWFlownative2.1112.047-3.03%1.78-15.68%0.0400✓1.311.1M2022-09-16
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.854227-3.04%0.7965-9.59%0.0062✓1.001.0M2022-09-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.062026-3.08%0.0575-10.16%0.0151✓1.20608k2022-09-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.069806-3.11%0.06472-10.17%0.0656✓0.13397k2022-09-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.515501-3.17%0.4698-11.76%0.0400✓0.69467k2022-09-16
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.8848-3.21%4.665-7.57%0.0532✗1.316.4M2022-09-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.149679-3.31%0.1558+0.65%0.1195✗1.04421k2022-09-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8977-3.38%2.596-13.44%0.0026✓1.413.0M2022-09-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.3236-3.39%3.6957-17.42%0.1145✓0.567.3M2022-09-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-77.07e-7-3.39%5.40e-7-26.18%0.2155✓0.702.3M2022-09-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38711.9648-3.41%11.384-8.10%0.0130✓0.4816.0M2022-09-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.2073-3.42%12.83-12.78%0.0219✓1.05925k2022-09-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.1269-3.49%2.987-7.81%0.0037✓0.55720k2022-09-16
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.78e-7-3.50%8.20e-7-9.89%0.0114✓0.751.8M2022-09-16
METISMetisEthereum32.4231.2833-3.51%24.55-24.28%0.1123✓1.71185k2022-09-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.7044-3.51%5.5996-19.41%0.1636✓0.228.6M2022-09-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.221147-3.51%0.19-17.10%0.0936✓0.7767k2022-09-16
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.361-3.54%1.112-21.19%0.0785✓1.632.8M2022-09-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.041.0031-3.55%0.928-10.77%0.0491✓0.382.9M2022-09-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.540925-3.58%0.489-12.83%0.0192✓1.0757k2022-09-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.4412-3.59%16-11.55%0.0371✓0.65396k2022-09-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.067166-3.65%0.06104-12.44%0.0113✓1.111.5M2022-09-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.824976-3.67%0.8516-0.56%0.1361✗1.3794k2022-09-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.5247-3.73%16.596+2.91%0.1539✗1.1515.6M2022-09-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.4933-3.87%4.006-14.29%0.0470✓0.89298k2022-09-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3796.1261-3.96%5.824-8.70%0.0141✓0.856.2M2022-09-16
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017646-4.02%0.016065-12.61%0.0178✓1.004152022-09-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.1822-4.43%5.9681-20.59%0.1627✓0.309.9M2022-09-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000402695-6.49%0.00030458-29.27%0.2414✓0.501.5M2022-09-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.