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2022-09-05 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2029
189 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.0%
in alpha space · 30.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000363306-10.28%0.0003-25.91%0.2842✓0.75679k2022-09-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6737.5904-5.24%38.45-3.08%0.1653✓1.529.5M2022-09-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3216.5978-4.17%18.23+5.25%0.0089✓0.69454k2022-09-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.13891-4.00%0.1347-6.91%0.0944✓0.513.4M2022-09-12
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.1516-3.95%1.267+5.67%0.1131✓1.682.9M2022-09-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37817.0898-3.91%7.6604+3.83%0.0338✓0.357.7M2022-09-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.9923-3.70%15.12+4.06%0.0503✓1.031.6M2022-09-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.125494-3.69%0.1144-12.20%0.1788✓0.70203k2022-09-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.619,143.68-3.69%9,751.47+2.72%0.1093✓1.405.2M2022-09-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.9166-3.65%6.556+6.76%0.0029✓0.857.2M2022-09-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.9468-3.64%7.0049-2.83%0.0197✓0.236.9M2022-09-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-78.24e-7-3.58%7.49e-7-12.42%0.2029✓0.861.8M2022-09-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.061747-3.55%0.06474+1.12%0.0869✓1.081.8M2022-09-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.4476-3.55%12.665-1.86%0.1054✓0.9930k2022-09-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1172.0429-3.50%2.171+2.55%0.0819✓1.1538k2022-09-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.4151-3.41%1.534+4.71%0.0647✓1.1779k2022-09-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,427.26-3.39%1,615.21+9.34%0.0001✓1.003.2M2022-09-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5199-3.37%1.563-0.64%0.1184✓1.1851k2022-09-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.073307-3.33%0.074-2.41%0.0026✓0.06389k2022-09-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006143-3.26%0.006234-1.83%0.0403✓0.4441k2022-09-12
METISMetisEthereum30.5329.5373-3.25%29.93-1.97%0.2190✓1.88219k2022-09-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0561.0219-3.23%1.01-4.36%0.0568✓0.362.9M2022-09-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.6464-3.19%4.863+1.32%0.2236✓2.17141k2022-09-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.6967-3.15%1.622-7.42%0.1573✓0.9195k2022-09-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001289-3.14%0.001323-0.53%0.0727✓0.802.4M2022-09-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3271-3.13%1.41+2.92%0.0530✓0.9283k2022-09-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.5231-3.10%5.33-6.49%0.0917✓0.452.3M2022-09-12
PROPropyEthereum0.720.697666-3.10%0.73+1.39%0.0041✓0.3363k2022-09-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.505858-3.09%0.569+9.00%0.0143✓1.0763k2022-09-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00812.6132-3.04%12.34-5.14%0.0879✓0.5315.8M2022-09-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.201024-3.03%0.2014-2.85%0.1022✓0.843.1M2022-09-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2401-3.03%2.46+6.49%0.0005✓0.76262k2022-09-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.3034-3.01%7.42-1.46%0.1195✓1.09290k2022-09-12
HIVEHivenative0.53880.522638-3.00%0.5802+7.68%0.0013✓0.83924k2022-09-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.248-3.00%3.2933-1.64%0.1112✓1.0118k2022-09-12
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.327876-2.97%0.3627+7.34%0.0119✓0.916202022-09-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.289932-2.93%0.32043+7.28%0.0340✓1.08514k2022-09-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.06069-2.90%0.0654+4.64%0.0840✓1.28713k2022-09-12
FLOWFlownative1.9191.8635-2.89%2.102+9.54%0.0484✓1.361.3M2022-09-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.810.4901-2.87%11.02+2.04%0.1045✓1.24277k2022-09-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.305682-2.80%0.2976-5.37%0.1622✓1.0999k2022-09-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.1058-2.79%1.3976+22.87%0.1235✗0.891.1M2022-09-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.017122-2.78%0.018489+4.99%0.0470✓1.00492022-09-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3616.1851-2.76%5.948-6.49%0.0939✓0.444.4M2022-09-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.823877-2.76%0.8638+1.95%0.0806✓1.031.3M2022-09-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.9569-2.75%8.95-2.82%0.0620✓0.502.1M2022-09-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.152002-2.69%0.1642+5.12%0.0518✓1.041,4472022-09-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.674088-2.66%0.7419+7.13%0.0769✓1.40210k2022-09-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.645374-2.66%0.67+1.06%0.0692✓0.86183k2022-09-12
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3647.0745-2.66%54.73+13.17%0.0070✓1.278,9662022-09-12
ZECZcashZcash63.4161.728-2.65%62.92-0.77%0.1248✓1.161.3M2022-09-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.644542-2.64%0.648-2.11%0.1154✓0.98187k2022-09-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.5957-2.63%4.55-3.60%0.0768✓0.541.3M2022-09-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.8214-2.63%4.5628-7.86%0.1287✓0.595.6M2022-09-12
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.67e-7-2.62%9.00e-7+1.12%0.0624✓0.811.7M2022-09-12
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0441.0167-2.62%0.97-7.09%0.2037✓1.271.5M2022-09-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.804211-2.60%0.8948+8.37%0.0783✓1.50105k2022-09-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.818-2.59%1.962+5.13%0.0588✓1.0925k2022-09-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.010246-2.56%0.012004+14.15%0.0345✗1.004902022-09-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.9226-2.55%5.0452-0.12%0.0119✓0.10115k2022-09-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2738-2.54%1.352+3.44%0.0874✓1.19429k2022-09-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.049509-2.54%0.0513+0.98%0.0785✓0.92190k2022-09-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.346051-2.52%0.3514-1.01%0.1151✓1.0573k2022-09-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75122.5912-2.51%128.87+2.48%0.0920✓1.154.2M2022-09-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008688-2.49%0.00905+1.57%0.0514✓0.744.1M2022-09-12
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.124744-2.47%0.1319+3.13%0.0732✓1.041.5M2022-09-12
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.6334-2.45%5.492+15.62%0.0040✓1.346.8M2022-09-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.070829-2.45%0.07199-0.85%0.1288✓1.1725k2022-09-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.9307-2.45%14.22-0.42%0.1155✓1.101.1M2022-09-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.100013-2.43%0.1013-1.17%0.0773✓0.732,7842022-09-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.26445-2.42%0.275+1.48%0.0538✓0.75597k2022-09-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.4798-2.41%6.38-3.92%0.0729✓0.462.2M2022-09-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.314.207-2.39%4.238-1.67%0.0510✓0.472.3M2022-09-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.332556-2.37%0.35436+4.03%0.0586✓0.9937k2022-09-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.8707-2.37%1.935+0.99%0.1755✓1.6972k2022-09-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.285-2.35%2.19-6.41%0.1860✓1.16217k2022-09-12
STXStacksnative0.36810.359454-2.35%0.3879+5.38%0.0672✓1.16348k2022-09-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.054505-2.32%0.0516-7.53%0.1938✓1.12220k2022-09-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.520698-2.31%0.542+1.69%0.1012✓1.1476k2022-09-12
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.5104-2.31%1.6565+7.15%0.0467✓1.12252k2022-09-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.199887-2.30%0.2053+0.34%0.1355✓1.31111k2022-09-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.228329-2.30%0.2257-3.42%0.1226✓0.9066k2022-09-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.70e-7-2.29%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0529✓0.7915k2022-09-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63312.344-2.29%15.53+22.93%0.0900✗1.1312.5M2022-09-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.012825-2.28%0.013154+0.22%0.0551✓0.65929k2022-09-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.507453-2.28%0.5129-1.23%0.0841✓0.77496k2022-09-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.043193-2.28%0.04747+7.40%0.0033✓0.7414k2022-09-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.101638-2.27%0.1141+9.71%0.0091✓0.86169k2022-09-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005886-2.23%0.006356+5.57%0.0094✓0.702,1662022-09-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.421223-2.22%0.4436+2.97%0.0903✓1.1585k2022-09-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.9847-2.22%4.524+11.02%0.0064✓0.97259k2022-09-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.5849-2.21%6.926+2.85%0.0532✓0.844.4M2022-09-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4419.0113-2.21%21.37+9.93%0.0411✓1.2819.6M2022-09-12
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003932-2.20%0.0042+4.48%0.0561✓0.99127k2022-09-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.04441.0215-2.19%1.091+4.46%0.0400✓0.8639k2022-09-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.024999-2.15%0.024035-5.93%0.0537✓0.12386k2022-09-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.342513-2.14%0.44028+25.79%0.1330✗0.95392k2022-09-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001437-2.13%0.001651+12.47%0.0539✗0.697,6332022-09-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.035922-2.12%0.0399+8.72%0.0092✓0.776,8072022-09-12
KSMKusamaHydration51.3350.2431-2.12%52.21+1.71%0.0834✓0.98442k2022-09-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.169342-2.11%0.17731+2.49%0.0753✓0.98268k2022-09-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.136847-2.11%0.1547+10.66%0.0091✓1.06409k2022-09-12
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.488286-2.09%0.5014+0.54%0.0881✓0.9339.1M2022-09-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.101833-2.08%0.1286+23.65%0.0993✗1.082.8M2022-09-12
DASHDashDash47.5946.5989-2.08%47.17-0.88%0.1084✓0.97419k2022-09-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.298392-2.04%0.3237+6.27%0.0294✓0.905.8M2022-09-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.040638-2.04%0.042673+2.87%0.0139✓0.5125k2022-09-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.135639-2.02%0.14211+2.65%0.1032✓1.21175k2022-09-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.667-2.02%2.756+1.25%0.0767✓0.88682k2022-09-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007693-2.00%0.00833+6.11%0.0606✓1.13406k2022-09-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.066658-2.00%0.06915+1.66%0.0758✓0.916062022-09-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.034914-1.98%0.0373+4.72%0.0594✓1.0151k2022-09-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.946-1.96%2.943-2.06%0.1907✓1.533.5M2022-09-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001533-1.96%0.001626+3.96%0.0561✓0.93413k2022-09-12
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.880957-1.96%0.914216+1.74%0.0665✓0.8454k2022-09-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.4146-1.92%4.285-4.80%0.0596✓0.242.3M2022-09-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.020257-1.92%0.022018+6.61%0.0171✓0.8112k2022-09-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.14203-1.91%0.1518+4.83%0.0590✓1.0199k2022-09-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.5923-1.90%6.71-0.15%0.0412✓0.482.1M2022-09-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.036005-1.89%0.0397+8.17%0.0167✓0.9266k2022-09-12
SOLSolanaSolana32.1831.5713-1.89%37.46+16.41%0.0300✗1.1461.7M2022-09-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.120577-1.89%0.2164+76.08%0.4555✗1.0425k2022-09-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.080255-1.89%0.0915+11.86%0.0141✓0.9510k2022-09-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.6371-1.87%1.9123+14.62%0.0342✗0.981.1M2022-09-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.276915-1.87%0.2917+3.37%0.0660✓0.952.8M2022-09-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.280596-1.87%0.2943+2.93%0.0823✓1.0513k2022-09-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.020943-1.86%0.0228+6.84%0.0093✓0.769.8M2022-09-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7152.7145-1.85%54.609+1.67%0.0583✓0.76302k2022-09-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.036728-1.85%0.04+6.89%0.0162✓0.822,5882022-09-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.043777-1.84%0.0493+10.54%0.0028✓0.98132k2022-09-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.347269-1.84%0.31623-10.61%0.1926✓0.80332k2022-09-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.960445-1.84%1.0045+2.67%0.0168✓0.503.0M2022-09-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.00588-1.83%0.00621+3.67%0.0238✓0.63951k2022-09-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.2662-1.83%2.1488-6.91%0.1935✓1.1313k2022-09-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.1486-1.83%1.279+9.32%0.0128✓0.971.2M2022-09-12
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.373636-1.81%0.39977+5.06%0.0538✓0.9833k2022-09-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3827.249-1.80%7.758+5.09%0.0622✓1.0518.0M2022-09-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.048709-1.80%0.0492-0.81%0.1140✓1.00739k2022-09-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3659.2826-1.79%61.41+1.74%0.0877✓0.9912.8M2022-09-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.9197-1.76%3.245+9.19%0.0401✗0.53653k2022-09-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.4609-1.75%6.659+1.26%0.1316✓1.317.2M2022-09-12
XVGVergenative0.003090.003036-1.75%0.00357+15.53%0.0355✗1.02481k2022-09-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.840884-1.75%0.85428-0.18%0.1087✓1.0113k2022-09-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.061601-1.74%0.063958+2.01%0.0949✓1.071.3M2022-09-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.206073-1.73%0.2346+11.87%0.0064✓1.0058k2022-09-12
ZENHorizenBase16.115.8227-1.72%16.48+2.36%0.0969✓1.1193k2022-09-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002885-1.70%0.003106+5.83%0.0400✓0.921.2M2022-09-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.664611-1.68%0.672-0.59%0.1404✓1.223.9M2022-09-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.776224-1.68%0.79422+0.60%0.0854✓0.87509k2022-09-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.219-1.68%1.2695+2.40%0.1091✓1.21973k2022-09-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000012398-1.68%0.00001288+2.14%0.0807✓0.96861k2022-09-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3687.2449-1.67%7.664+4.02%0.0731✓1.0510.0M2022-09-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.9372-1.66%1.84-6.60%0.1142✓0.5168k2022-09-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.941959-1.64%0.9591+0.15%0.1324✓1.22865k2022-09-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.184191-1.61%0.1839-1.76%0.1719✓1.382,0092022-09-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6631-1.59%1.803+6.69%0.0340✓0.93540k2022-09-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.2649-1.58%9.715+3.20%0.0720✓0.961.2M2022-09-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.01252-1.57%0.01294+1.73%0.0472✓0.65220k2022-09-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,592.57-1.57%1,716.71+6.10%0.0972✓1.39628.3M2022-09-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.233578-1.57%0.4093+72.48%0.4426✗0.9681k2022-09-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.8541-1.54%4.98+1.01%0.0808✓0.861.2M2022-09-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.135-1.54%1.143-0.84%0.1822✓1.534.4M2022-09-12
FTTFTXEthereum26.6226.2178-1.51%28.46+6.91%0.0380✓0.976.8M2022-09-12
AAVEAaveEthereum91.389.9294-1.50%90.99-0.34%0.1793✓1.545.2M2022-09-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.092497-1.49%0.1027+9.37%0.0150✓0.97372k2022-09-12
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.043083-1.45%0.046711+6.85%0.0235✓0.8427k2022-09-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.022027-1.45%0.02102-5.95%0.1480✓0.82459k2022-09-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.055096-1.44%0.0667+19.32%0.0826✗0.8885k2022-09-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.465467-1.43%0.4948+4.79%0.0812✓1.15384k2022-09-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4299-1.39%1.43-1.38%0.0146✗-0.12128k2022-09-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.302749-1.38%0.3346+8.99%0.0442✓1.17105k2022-09-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.155869-1.35%0.17256+9.22%0.1491✓2.033162022-09-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.369073-1.34%0.408+9.06%0.0558✓1.26202k2022-09-12
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.103664-1.34%0.113859+8.36%0.0088✓0.836.7M2022-09-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.024778-1.32%0.02488-0.92%0.1538✓1.283,2982022-09-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.206327-1.28%0.2063-1.29%0.1659✓1.34142k2022-09-12
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.062154-1.24%0.063883+1.50%0.0488✓0.62123k2022-09-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,565.41-1.16%22,402.71+13.18%0.0116✓1.00480.9M2022-09-12
QNTQuantEthereum93.1492.0853-1.13%106.65+14.51%0.0410✗0.863.4M2022-09-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.549351-1.10%0.563+1.36%0.1387✓1.3239k2022-09-12
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.219577-1.09%0.2355+6.08%0.0456✓0.93468k2022-09-12
XMRMoneroMonero157.52155.8715-1.05%163.77+3.97%0.0790✓1.041.4M2022-09-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.482062-1.01%0.483-0.82%0.1485✓1.223,8602022-09-12
XECeCashnative0.000043720.000043282-1.00%0.00004597+5.15%0.0438✓0.841.9M2022-09-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.056543-0.98%0.06+5.08%0.0572✓0.9490k2022-09-12
GTGateEthereum4.00713.9707-0.91%4.3839+9.40%0.0018✓0.79748k2022-09-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,717.04-0.75%22,320.80+12.36%0.0081✗0.9413k2022-09-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3118.3254+0.08%16.58-9.45%0.1882✗0.711.7M2022-09-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.163212+0.25%0.1916+17.69%0.1570✓0.0393k2022-09-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.