8=======>

2022-09-03 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1319
187 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.15%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.1%
in alpha space · 23.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.16%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0219.0321+0.06%17.47-8.15%0.1483✗0.721.7M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18340.183354-0.02%0.1307-28.74%0.3396✓0.0198k2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,875.8019,815.69-0.30%21,732.50+9.34%0.0098✗0.9413k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.24944.2072-0.99%4.324+1.76%0.0406✓0.78748k2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero154.44152.885-1.01%157.51+1.99%0.0596✓1.021.4M2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22280.22041-1.07%0.2293+2.92%0.0385✓0.89475k2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024720.024454-1.08%0.02547+3.03%0.0711✓1.283,2982022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5190.513361-1.09%0.516-0.58%0.0999✓1.203,8602022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,835.4719,608.31-1.15%21,651.52+9.16%0.0115✗1.00485.5M2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum93.8392.7496-1.15%105.47+12.41%0.0537✗0.853.5M2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05780.057134-1.15%0.0598+3.46%0.0354✓0.9297k2022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022030.021773-1.17%0.02106-4.40%0.1036✓0.80459k2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.063110.062304-1.28%0.064586+2.34%0.0169✓0.60123k2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30930.305323-1.29%0.3401+9.96%0.0058✓1.16124k2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.541220.53423-1.29%0.55641+2.81%0.0743✓1.3137k2022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17380.171524-1.31%0.1861+7.08%0.0391✓1.382,2552022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum4.844.7755-1.33%5.11+5.58%0.0058✓0.841.3M2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1052380.103828-1.34%0.114707+9.00%0.0281✗0.826.8M2022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45830.452111-1.35%0.5059+10.39%0.0127✓1.14384k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157840.155691-1.36%0.17129+8.52%0.0826✓2.034042022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05720.056404-1.39%0.0658+15.03%0.0791✗0.8699k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07291.0579-1.40%1.2446+16.00%0.0288✗1.534.5M2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.931.9027-1.41%1.89-2.07%0.0509✓0.5082k2022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum87.1885.9282-1.44%92.74+6.38%0.0571✓1.525.6M2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0434960.042871-1.44%0.045736+5.15%0.0091✓0.8429k2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum26.225.8162-1.47%27.69+5.69%0.0149✓0.976.9M2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013360.013163-1.47%0.01306-2.25%0.0648✓0.65220k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36590.360509-1.47%0.4204+14.89%0.0448✗1.24187k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.13281.116-1.48%1.3351+17.86%0.0733✗1.21973k2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001230.000012117-1.48%0.00001328+7.97%0.0087✓0.95828k2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.655-1.49%1.789+6.49%0.0027✓0.92540k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,557.701,534.38-1.50%1,774.69+13.93%0.0249✗1.38660.9M2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.23860.234986-1.51%0.2818+18.11%0.0989✗0.9581k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4674-1.52%1.43-4.03%0.0145✓-0.13116k2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2120.208758-1.53%0.2116-0.19%0.1013✓1.31140k2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.1929.0513-1.53%9.776+6.35%0.0063✓0.951.3M2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000044710.000044025-1.53%0.00004456-0.34%0.0636✓0.861.8M2022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.093406-1.57%0.0989+4.21%0.0268✓0.96375k2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.92950.914731-1.59%0.9875+6.24%0.0289✓1.20841k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3056.2033-1.61%6.674+5.85%0.0408✓1.307.3M2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14180.139508-1.62%0.1491+5.15%0.0228✓1.0299k2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8616.7499-1.62%7.906+15.23%0.0667✗1.0417.9M2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626750.061656-1.63%0.064731+3.28%0.0439✓1.061.4M2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029480.0029-1.63%0.002911-1.26%0.0763✓0.911.1M2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.206744-1.64%0.2208+5.04%0.0234✓1.0258k2022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.297.1699-1.65%7.777+6.68%0.0091✓1.0310.2M2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1591.1397-1.66%1.222+5.44%0.0169✓0.991.4M2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03540.034812-1.66%0.0394+11.30%0.0440✗0.9177k2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.65785-1.67%0.68+1.64%0.0807✓1.304.1M2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase15.5215.2609-1.67%16.85+8.57%0.0019✓1.11107k2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.37540.369128-1.67%0.40366+7.53%0.0049✓0.9735k2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.020236-1.72%0.02305+11.95%0.0581✗0.8210.2M2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96760.950821-1.73%1.0341+6.87%0.0411✗0.493.1M2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.868520.853442-1.74%0.85018-2.11%0.0918✓1.0013k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.047658-1.74%0.051+5.15%0.0184✓0.98758k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26362.2241-1.74%2.3273+2.81%0.0527✓1.1213k2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.787750.773977-1.75%0.8137+3.29%0.0262✓0.87519k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005913-1.77%0.00593-1.50%0.0528✓0.64998k2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase0.8856480.869865-1.78%0.938309+5.95%0.0034✓0.8357k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana31.1230.5621-1.79%35.07+12.69%0.0363✗1.1663.0M2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003110.003054-1.81%0.00322+3.54%0.0341✓0.99486k2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034430.033805-1.81%0.0382+10.95%0.0343✗1.0040k2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04430.043492-1.82%0.0479+8.13%0.0120✓0.96138k2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037620.036924-1.85%0.03978+5.74%0.0038✓0.812,6082022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.080861-1.87%0.0995+20.75%0.1257✗0.9310k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9762.9204-1.87%3.272+9.95%0.0705✗0.49650k2022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10180.099897-1.87%0.1173+15.23%0.0671✗1.072.8M2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.51651.5337-1.87%55.236+5.18%0.0038✓0.75302k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.7402-1.89%6.62-3.64%0.0599✓0.482.1M2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206330.020243-1.89%0.021575+4.57%0.0069✓0.8113k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28040.275068-1.90%0.2949+5.17%0.0135✓0.952.8M2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0263.9494-1.90%4.569+13.49%0.0610✗0.97259k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.166766-1.90%0.17959+5.64%0.0111✓0.97293k2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066480.065215-1.90%0.06911+3.96%0.0193✓0.887702022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration48.8147.8749-1.92%52.32+7.19%0.0031✓0.98459k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1959.0257-1.93%63.32+5.20%0.0156✓0.9812.7M2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9412.884-1.94%3.024+2.82%0.0863✓1.533.6M2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12110.118733-1.95%0.1738+43.52%0.2901✗1.0425k2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2057-1.97%2.34+4.00%0.0417✓1.15227k2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003891-1.98%0.00413+4.03%0.0267✓0.98136k2022-09-10
DASHDashDash46.7745.8446-1.98%48.77+4.28%0.0226✓0.96419k2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13790.135165-1.98%0.1533+11.17%0.0361✗1.02409k2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7974.7008-2.01%4.354-9.23%0.0988✓0.252.4M2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0423070.041456-2.01%0.042535+0.54%0.0195✓0.5226k2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.7442.6885-2.02%2.807+2.30%0.0330✓0.87682k2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137070.134281-2.04%0.14372+4.85%0.0360✓1.19190k2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.48040.47056-2.05%0.5124+6.66%0.0035✓0.9337.1M2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50070.490442-2.05%0.5249+4.83%0.0025✓0.75501k2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.3610.35358-2.06%0.3846+6.54%0.0171✓1.15335k2022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.035063-2.06%0.0379+5.87%0.0097✓0.789,5472022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8811.8423-2.06%2.048+8.88%0.0410✓1.6883k2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.296743-2.07%0.3223+6.37%0.0041✓0.905.8M2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70511.6695-2.09%2.0477+20.09%0.1195✗0.971.1M2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10120.099086-2.09%0.1145+13.14%0.0699✗0.85150k2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334970.327959-2.09%0.35407+5.70%0.0097✓0.9942k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.918.5017-2.11%20.45+8.20%0.0124✓1.2820.7M2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014990.001467-2.11%0.001601+6.80%0.0261✗0.707,6332022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.40323-2.13%0.516+25.24%0.1573✗1.028,1172022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4996.3594-2.15%7.129+9.69%0.0411✗0.834.4M2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.51e-7-2.18%9.10e-7+4.60%0.0025✓0.7915k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.83115.2612-2.18%132.64+12.57%0.0404✗1.144.4M2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.291270.28491-2.18%0.29035-0.32%0.0724✓1.0412k2022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.129.899-2.18%10.95+8.20%0.0062✓1.22297k2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058930.005764-2.19%0.0063+6.91%0.0296✗0.682,1282022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.508599-2.19%0.552+6.15%0.0172✓1.1378k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.52271.4893-2.19%1.6664+9.44%0.0140✓1.12255k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.361790.353783-2.21%0.3323-8.15%0.1324✓0.80332k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007980.007803-2.22%0.00786-1.50%0.0912✓1.12441k2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.043763-2.25%0.04614+3.06%0.0106✓0.7315k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.262951-2.25%0.284+5.58%0.0142✓0.72654k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130810.012785-2.26%0.013066-0.11%0.0339✓0.64932k2022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05560.054342-2.26%0.0508-8.63%0.1657✓1.12220k2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.050.048868-2.26%0.0522+4.40%0.0192✓0.97216k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20360.198893-2.31%0.21+3.14%0.0609✓1.32111k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.341884-2.32%0.46503+32.87%0.2258✗0.93392k2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266850.026064-2.33%0.024191-9.35%0.0859✓0.13287k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.23080.225411-2.33%0.2299-0.39%0.0590✓0.9067k2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008486-2.34%0.00938+7.94%0.0363✗0.735.2M2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.12580.122843-2.35%0.1336+6.20%0.0065✓1.031.6M2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7564.6441-2.35%5.052+6.22%0.0327✓1.337.0M2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3540.345632-2.36%0.3665+3.53%0.0349✓1.0795k2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82430.804732-2.37%0.8719+5.77%0.0108✓1.041.5M2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.148759-2.39%0.1625+6.63%0.0085✓1.111,6102022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.62712.3247-2.39%15.995+26.67%0.1632✗1.1112.3M2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071350.069638-2.40%0.07598+6.49%0.0152✓1.1725k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79051.7474-2.40%1.9389+8.29%0.0099✓1.0727k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4924.3836-2.41%4.296-4.36%0.0616✓0.472.3M2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3191.2869-2.43%1.372+4.02%0.0398✓1.18460k2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.6831-2.44%6.46-5.69%0.0774✓0.502.2M2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44180.430958-2.45%0.4434+0.36%0.0723✓1.1596k2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13371.1058-2.46%1.325+16.87%0.1037✗0.881.1M2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.6780.661135-2.49%0.7491+10.49%0.0028✓1.39200k2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.58e-7-2.55%9.30e-7+5.68%0.0115✓0.791.8M2022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash62.761.0876-2.57%65.33+4.19%0.0342✓1.161.5M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.653627-2.59%0.686+2.24%0.0272✓0.86210k2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum47.8946.6477-2.59%53.06+10.80%0.0189✓1.259,0502022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.2565-2.60%1.49+15.50%0.0913✗0.90106k2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.05721.0296-2.61%1.0696+1.17%0.0365✓0.8541k2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2927850.285115-2.62%0.312676+6.79%0.0025✓1.08534k2022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.8272-2.68%4.63-6.65%0.0882✓0.531.3M2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1020.099265-2.68%0.1036+1.57%0.0197✓0.712,7842022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0371.0088-2.72%0.978-5.69%0.1408✓1.251.5M2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.15113.0648-2.74%3.3754+7.12%0.0083✓1.0121k2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.059116-2.77%0.067+10.20%0.0134✓1.28810k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.80074.6652-2.82%4.573-4.74%0.0718✓0.594.7M2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.668538-2.83%0.657-4.51%0.1022✓0.97202k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.319.0443-2.85%9.02-3.11%0.0457✓0.492.0M2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013260.001288-2.86%0.001381+4.14%0.0004✓0.792.4M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016550.001608-2.86%0.001548-6.47%0.1210✓0.95406k2022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.708971-2.88%0.73+0.00%0.0057✓0.2774k2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84160.817328-2.88%0.902+7.18%0.0292✓1.46128k2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32080.31149-2.90%0.314-2.12%0.0857✓1.07101k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.54340.527578-2.91%0.5779+6.35%0.0184✓0.83980k2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative1.9511.894-2.92%2.11+8.15%0.0101✓1.351.4M2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17755.0249-2.95%4.9455-4.48%0.0245✓0.10115k2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5431.4969-2.99%1.615+4.67%0.0266✓1.1760k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6096.4097-3.02%6.021-8.90%0.1052✓0.494.4M2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.657.4173-3.04%7.78+1.70%0.0467✓1.08360k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7711.7157-3.12%1.661-6.21%0.1120✓0.91109k2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.785.5977-3.15%5.41-6.40%0.0735✓0.452.3M2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0451.98-3.18%2.224+8.75%0.0168✓1.1438k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.510198-3.19%0.568+7.78%0.0161✓1.0471k2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062790.06078-3.20%0.06588+4.92%0.0130✓1.071.9M2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.1876-3.20%2.61+15.49%0.1096✗0.76269k2022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13630.131927-3.21%0.1391+2.05%0.0072✓0.523.4M2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum30.9829.9778-3.23%32.55+5.07%0.0832✓1.89259k2022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064070.006197-3.28%0.006228-2.79%0.0312✓0.4148k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0140.98067-3.29%1.028+1.38%0.0146✓0.373.3M2022-09-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,432.071,384.80-3.30%1,670.43+16.64%0.0999✗1.003.4M2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.21710.209804-3.36%0.2016-7.14%0.1130✓0.833.1M2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1190.114948-3.41%0.1274+7.06%0.0420✗0.69208k2022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2331.129-3.42%39.23+21.72%0.0991✗1.5110.6M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078010.075319-3.45%0.07197-7.74%0.0498✓0.05397k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2114.6741-3.52%14.72-3.22%0.0928✓1.101.0M2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase12.680812.2339-3.52%13.4676+6.20%0.0118✓0.9632k2022-09-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.0374.8581-3.55%4.4513-11.63%0.1751✓1.00143k2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4821.4292-3.56%1.514+2.16%0.0437✓1.1686k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0313.511-3.70%15.57+10.98%0.0492✗1.061.8M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.80413.2929-3.70%12.214-11.52%0.1307✓0.5315.8M2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.93e-78.59e-7-3.84%6.85e-7-23.35%0.2993✓0.831.7M2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,785.949,409.29-3.85%10,440.99+6.69%0.0167✓1.385.7M2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.1951.1472-4.00%1.387+16.07%0.0401✓1.713.0M2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1316.4335-4.07%17.96+4.85%0.0290✓0.68551k2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5076.2424-4.07%6.359-2.27%0.0561✓0.857.8M2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.32347.0077-4.31%6.9782-4.71%0.0235✓0.226.5M2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.52787.1912-4.47%7.4153-1.49%0.0000✓0.357.6M2022-09-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000261150.00024031-7.98%0.0004348+66.49%0.5258✗0.77600k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.