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2022-08-31 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1390
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
31.7%
in alpha space · 61.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.76%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000221560.000203223-8.28%0.00043861+97.96%0.7978✗0.74429k2022-09-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.86117.3169-6.92%7.6265-2.98%0.0551✓0.367.0M2022-09-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.25e-78.81e-7-4.81%8.10e-7-12.47%0.0522✓0.831.3M2022-09-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.90230.86031-4.65%0.8265-8.40%0.0157✓1.45167k2022-09-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.62946.3366-4.42%6.9285+4.51%0.0980✗0.235.4M2022-09-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80145.5676-4.03%5.1445-11.32%0.0750✓0.10115k2022-09-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.2716.5888-3.94%17.6+1.91%0.0856✗0.69818k2022-09-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00512.5011-3.87%12.639-2.81%0.0310✓0.529.7M2022-09-07
OPTIMOptimism1.1291.0877-3.66%1.172+3.81%0.1405✗1.713.2M2022-09-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.081490.078557-3.60%0.07081-13.11%0.1019✓0.05451k2022-09-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0303140.029253-3.50%0.024937-17.74%0.1548✓0.13280k2022-09-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.82764.6599-3.47%4.8-0.57%0.0680✗1.00150k2022-09-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.3811.9544-3.44%12.2966-0.67%0.0654✗0.9730k2022-09-07
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0781.0417-3.36%0.901-16.42%0.0968✓1.261.5M2022-09-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11610.112221-3.34%0.1238+6.63%0.1263✗0.73216k2022-09-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.510382-3.34%0.499-5.49%0.0177✓1.0576k2022-09-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,021.078,722.73-3.31%9,334.02+3.47%0.1207✗1.386.0M2022-09-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.21790.210712-3.30%0.1935-11.20%0.0529✓0.843.1M2022-09-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.615.425-3.30%5.33-4.99%0.0002✓0.452.0M2022-09-07
FLOWFlownative2.0722.0055-3.21%1.861-10.18%0.0229✓1.351.3M2022-09-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4131.3807-3.18%37.27+15.00%0.2298✗1.5112.7M2022-09-07
QTUMQtumQtum3.1493.0492-3.17%3.096-1.68%0.0540✗1.0125k2022-09-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064950.00629-3.15%0.006303-2.96%0.0179✓0.4158k2022-09-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.431.3853-3.13%1.436+0.42%0.0808✗1.17116k2022-09-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13240.128328-3.08%0.1298-1.96%0.0315✗0.523.5M2022-09-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.132.0655-3.03%2.48+16.43%0.2120✗0.76287k2022-09-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.8181.7633-3.01%1.717-5.56%0.0083✓0.91121k2022-09-07
METISMetisEthereum31.0330.1017-2.99%29.12-6.16%0.0396✗1.90288k2022-09-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.910.882857-2.98%1.047+15.05%0.1848✗0.374.0M2022-09-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06220.060353-2.97%0.0605-2.73%0.0514✗1.28908k2022-09-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.512.1301-2.96%14.81+18.48%0.2402✗1.061.9M2022-09-07
HIVEHivenative0.55730.541005-2.92%0.5294-5.01%0.0105✓0.841.1M2022-09-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.311720.30284-2.85%0.27496-11.79%0.0564✓1.0512k2022-09-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.5889-2.84%8.83-0.11%0.0464✗0.491.9M2022-09-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.794.6547-2.83%4.49-6.26%0.0156✓0.531.1M2022-09-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0121.9556-2.80%2.036+1.19%0.0838✗1.1342k2022-09-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.667.4508-2.73%7.48-2.35%0.0455✗1.08430k2022-09-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072740.070754-2.73%0.07208-0.91%0.0632✗1.1626k2022-09-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1413.7609-2.68%13.5-4.53%0.0232✓1.10909k2022-09-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062110.060447-2.68%0.06023-3.03%0.0374✗1.072.0M2022-09-07
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.57e-7-2.67%8.80e-7+0.00%0.0575✗0.791.9M2022-09-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.340758-2.64%0.3732+6.63%0.1269✗0.94347k2022-09-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.298090.290307-2.61%0.283458-4.91%0.0179✓1.09547k2022-09-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6630.645704-2.61%0.632-4.68%0.0160✓0.98207k2022-09-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.226454-2.60%0.231-0.65%0.0545✗0.9076k2022-09-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5221.4828-2.57%1.458-4.20%0.0282✗1.1870k2022-09-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.27475-2.57%0.262-7.09%0.0198✓0.72668k2022-09-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79391.7481-2.56%1.8105+0.93%0.0765✗1.0830k2022-09-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4390.427974-2.51%0.4026-8.29%0.0168✓1.15100k2022-09-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131760.012846-2.50%0.012555-4.71%0.0013✓0.63932k2022-09-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007990.00779-2.50%0.00764-4.38%0.0236✓1.12477k2022-09-07
COMPCompoundEthereum47.1445.9678-2.49%48.66+3.22%0.1049✗1.259,8512022-09-07
XVGVergenative0.003350.003267-2.47%0.00306-8.66%0.0269✓1.01486k2022-09-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4180.40771-2.46%0.41-1.91%0.0446✗1.027,9102022-09-07
PROPropyEthereum0.730.712048-2.46%0.74+1.37%0.0497✗0.2979k2022-09-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30410.296685-2.44%0.3055+0.46%0.0704✗1.07107k2022-09-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.07081.0447-2.43%1.0053-6.12%0.0055✓0.8644k2022-09-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.49e-7-2.42%8.90e-7+2.30%0.0776✗0.7916k2022-09-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.82511.5396-2.41%12.933+9.37%0.1566✗1.1111.4M2022-09-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013420.00131-2.41%0.001314-2.06%0.0337✗0.792.1M2022-09-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3374.2337-2.38%4.093-5.63%0.0154✓0.482.0M2022-09-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05770.056327-2.38%0.0525-9.01%0.0269✓1.13258k2022-09-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.2792-2.35%1.41+7.63%0.1322✗0.91111k2022-09-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10030.097939-2.35%0.0988-1.50%0.0363✗0.722,5272022-09-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.647432-2.35%0.656-1.06%0.0463✗0.86228k2022-09-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0475.906-2.33%6.217+2.81%0.0696✗0.484.4M2022-09-07
XECeCashnative0.000044520.000043493-2.31%0.00004184-6.02%0.0056✓0.861.7M2022-09-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045930.044872-2.30%0.04288-6.64%0.0180✓0.7115k2022-09-07
DODODODOEthereum0.12760.124672-2.29%0.1286+0.78%0.0707✗1.031.7M2022-09-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9592.8915-2.28%2.988+0.98%0.0918✗1.543.7M2022-09-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5150.503254-2.28%0.52+0.97%0.0765✗1.1483k2022-09-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9222.8556-2.27%3.12+6.78%0.1077✗0.50650k2022-09-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001560.001525-2.27%0.001547-0.83%0.0412✗0.709,0932022-09-07
XTZTezosTezos1.51081.4769-2.25%1.4901-1.37%0.0521✗1.12296k2022-09-07
ZECZcashZcash59.8858.5407-2.24%59.37-0.85%0.0585✗1.161.7M2022-09-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.2010.196505-2.24%0.1972-1.89%0.0419✗1.00116k2022-09-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.19.8746-2.23%10.18+0.79%0.0774✗1.22313k2022-09-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50540.49417-2.22%0.5039-0.30%0.0484✗0.75544k2022-09-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05030.049198-2.19%0.0487-3.18%0.0272✗0.97217k2022-09-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021520.021049-2.19%0.020266-5.83%0.0069✓0.8113k2022-09-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.67230.657702-2.17%0.6503-3.27%0.0420✗1.39226k2022-09-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.101067-2.16%0.1151+11.42%0.1629✗0.86188k2022-09-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.83270.814699-2.16%0.8269-0.70%0.0547✗1.041.7M2022-09-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7614.6589-2.14%4.42-7.16%0.0014✓1.348.5M2022-09-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash115.16112.6931-2.14%118.71+3.08%0.0958✗1.144.6M2022-09-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35130.343783-2.14%0.341-2.93%0.0331✗1.07116k2022-09-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72761.6909-2.13%1.7442+0.96%0.0680✗0.961.2M2022-09-07
SCSiacoinnative0.004040.003954-2.13%0.00388-3.96%0.0191✓0.99144k2022-09-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.136980.134071-2.12%0.13448-1.83%0.0490✗1.20190k2022-09-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.256.1178-2.12%6.476+3.62%0.0897✗0.864.9M2022-09-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.46.2647-2.11%6.38-0.31%0.0372✗0.502.1M2022-09-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.14631.1222-2.10%1.1669+1.80%0.0978✗1.534.5M2022-09-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.91550.8321-2.09%51.856-0.11%0.0485✗0.74302k2022-09-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.896560.878188-2.05%0.82479-8.01%0.0240✓1.0113k2022-09-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7465.6283-2.05%5.852+1.84%0.0719✗0.869.1M2022-09-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12360.121077-2.04%0.1192-3.56%0.0244✗1.0423k2022-09-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03570.034973-2.04%0.035-1.96%0.0310✗0.799,5472022-09-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008580.008406-2.03%0.00887+3.38%0.0815✗0.725.5M2022-09-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0431280.042258-2.02%0.041657-3.41%0.0055✓0.5227k2022-09-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4894-2.02%1.46-3.95%0.0247✓-0.13128k2022-09-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.1318.7449-2.01%19.01-0.63%0.0637✗1.2922.5M2022-09-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056680.005556-1.99%0.005885+3.82%0.0840✗0.692,1952022-09-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13950.136738-1.98%0.1417+1.58%0.0744✗1.01509k2022-09-07
STXStacksnative0.3650.357809-1.97%0.3511-3.81%0.0256✗1.16384k2022-09-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28850.28284-1.96%0.2991+3.67%0.0905✗0.906.0M2022-09-07
ADACardanoCardano0.44580.4371-1.95%0.4788+7.40%0.1270✗0.9437.1M2022-09-07
BANDBandEthereum1.2751.2502-1.95%1.276+0.08%0.0660✗1.19460k2022-09-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13941.1173-1.94%1.234+8.30%0.1332✗0.881.3M2022-09-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.4494.363-1.93%4.366-1.87%0.0101✓0.242.3M2022-09-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28090.27558-1.89%0.2762-1.67%0.0386✗0.953.1M2022-09-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.7282.6768-1.88%2.618-4.03%0.0113✓0.87706k2022-09-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038450.03773-1.87%0.03677-4.37%0.0053✓0.812,7072022-09-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015030.001475-1.87%0.001555+3.46%0.0900✗0.97424k2022-09-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15310.150247-1.86%0.1561+1.96%0.0811✗1.121,5282022-09-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9151.8793-1.86%1.835-4.18%0.0406✗1.6883k2022-09-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066180.064953-1.85%0.06413-3.10%0.0206✗0.877702022-09-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334160.327969-1.85%0.32554-2.58%0.0305✗0.9945k2022-09-07
KSMKusamaHydration47.4246.5461-1.84%48.41+2.09%0.0772✗0.99522k2022-09-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.0440.04319-1.84%0.0466+5.91%0.1129✗0.96147k2022-09-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21840.214385-1.84%0.2023-7.37%0.0080✓1.30135k2022-09-07
DASHDashDash44.5543.7341-1.83%44.91+0.81%0.0636✗0.97438k2022-09-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.771910.757873-1.82%0.76248-1.22%0.0397✗0.88509k2022-09-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.317940.31224-1.79%0.32271+1.50%0.0639✗0.81340k2022-09-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.8452.8756-1.79%57.3+6.43%0.1179✗0.9812.6M2022-09-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.76.5813-1.77%6.41-4.33%0.0079✓0.481.7M2022-09-07
QNTQuantEthereum96.4794.7746-1.76%95.72-0.78%0.0429✗0.863.5M2022-09-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.006190.006083-1.74%0.00557-10.02%0.0635✓0.641.0M2022-09-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.15942.1225-1.71%2.2808+5.62%0.1148✗1.1213k2022-09-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10260.100848-1.71%0.104+1.36%0.0719✗1.073.1M2022-09-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04840.047582-1.69%0.0476-1.65%0.0385✗0.99781k2022-09-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2051.1847-1.69%1.149-4.65%0.0075✓0.991.6M2022-09-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95350.937482-1.68%0.968+1.52%0.0510✗0.493.6M2022-09-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21120.207672-1.67%0.2023-4.21%0.0132✓1.0358k2022-09-07
SOLSolanaSolana31.530.9753-1.67%32.7+3.81%0.0988✗1.1665.9M2022-09-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6730.66183-1.66%0.647-3.86%0.0236✗1.214.1M2022-09-07
XEMNEMnative0.0439410.043215-1.65%0.042524-3.22%0.0164✓0.8529k2022-09-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8946030.879913-1.64%0.879731-1.66%0.0317✗0.8360k2022-09-07
ZENHorizenBase15.5315.2757-1.64%14.93-3.86%0.0197✗1.11107k2022-09-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.165256-1.63%0.16825+0.15%0.0551✗0.97324k2022-09-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2470.243013-1.61%0.1458-40.97%0.5109✓-0.0091k2022-09-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035190.034625-1.60%0.03452-1.90%0.0356✗1.0140k2022-09-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6286.5244-1.56%7.083+6.86%0.1225✗1.0517.4M2022-09-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.05163.9887-1.55%4.6305+14.29%0.1722✗0.604.2M2022-09-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.24470.2409-1.55%0.231-5.60%0.0059✓0.9475k2022-09-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155680.153289-1.54%0.15269-1.92%0.0741✗2.035722022-09-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.117-1.53%2.38+10.70%0.1610✗1.14217k2022-09-07
FTTFTXEthereum26.7326.3225-1.52%25.99-2.77%0.0246✗0.977.3M2022-09-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.179628-1.52%0.1787-2.03%0.0477✗1.382,2912022-09-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.94270.928418-1.51%0.9023-4.29%0.0178✗1.21912k2022-09-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0336.9265-1.51%7.201+2.39%0.0786✗1.0410.9M2022-09-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.0018.8649-1.51%9.204+2.26%0.0739✗0.951.4M2022-09-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.080866-1.50%0.0973+18.51%0.2210✗0.9411k2022-09-07
AAVEAaveEthereum84.8583.5759-1.50%87.55+3.18%0.1048✗1.526.2M2022-09-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020260.019956-1.50%0.02145+5.87%0.1040✗0.8311.1M2022-09-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45940.452542-1.49%0.466+1.44%0.0732✗1.14383k2022-09-07
TRXTRONTron0.0634280.062492-1.48%0.061842-2.50%0.0129✓0.61142k2022-09-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.08990.088574-1.48%0.0951+5.78%0.1077✗0.95381k2022-09-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,554.001,531.08-1.48%1,629.92+4.89%0.1154✗1.38660.9M2022-09-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03490.034387-1.47%0.0387+10.89%0.1532✗0.9186k2022-09-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029940.00295-1.46%0.002775-7.31%0.0260✓0.921.1M2022-09-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.7433.6885-1.46%3.906+4.35%0.0944✗0.97259k2022-09-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.03471.0198-1.44%1.2517+20.97%0.2518✗1.22996k2022-09-07
DIADIAEthereum0.37170.366388-1.43%0.37324+0.41%0.0551✗0.9540k2022-09-07
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1426.0552-1.41%6.116-0.42%0.0599✗1.308.9M2022-09-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.32030.315873-1.38%0.3125-2.44%0.0340✗1.17138k2022-09-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0612770.060441-1.36%0.061067-0.34%0.0509✗1.061.5M2022-09-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.14450.14253-1.36%0.1353-6.37%0.0128✓1.02130k2022-09-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05740.056621-1.36%0.056-2.44%0.0246✗0.9398k2022-09-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34620.341524-1.35%0.4211+21.63%0.2573✗1.25176k2022-09-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05950.05871-1.33%0.0621+4.37%0.0893✗0.87101k2022-09-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013580.013403-1.31%0.01205-11.27%0.0807✓0.67201k2022-09-07
XLMStellarStellar0.1043650.103004-1.30%0.10297-1.34%0.0307✗0.817.0M2022-09-07
STEEMSteemnative0.22910.226157-1.28%0.2128-7.11%0.0263✓0.90489k2022-09-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012080.000011926-1.28%0.00001225+1.41%0.0632✗0.95776k2022-09-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0318.7958-1.23%17.23-9.46%0.0599✓0.701.6M2022-09-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.651.6301-1.21%1.799+9.03%0.1342✗0.93579k2022-09-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023040.022766-1.19%0.02083-9.59%0.0580✓0.81459k2022-09-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,048.2619,812.95-1.17%19,293.52-3.76%0.0118✓1.00504.7M2022-09-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.551180.544944-1.13%0.51799-6.02%0.0003✓1.3135k2022-09-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.032.0071-1.13%1.9-6.40%0.0354✓0.5193k2022-09-07
GTGateEthereum4.30084.254-1.09%4.0099-6.76%0.0294✓0.77798k2022-09-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.8078-1.07%4.81-1.03%0.0330✗0.851.5M2022-09-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4750.470028-1.05%0.492+3.58%0.0918✗1.202,7102022-09-07
XMRMoneroMonero149.22147.6593-1.05%149.27+0.03%0.0499✗1.021.3M2022-09-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024550.024301-1.02%0.02405-2.04%0.0387✗1.283,4352022-09-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,990.4019,941.15-0.25%19,273.80-3.58%0.0021✓0.9415k2022-09-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.