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2022-08-09 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3051
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.4%
in alpha space · 41.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13360.12564-5.96%0.1024-23.35%0.2299✓0.85203k2022-08-16
OPTIMOptimism1.6181.5279-5.57%1.454-10.14%0.1078✓1.953.1M2022-08-16
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.3537.1995-5.47%40.61+3.20%0.0515✓1.221.3M2022-08-16
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0014790.001402-5.19%0.001587+7.27%0.0972✗0.881.3M2022-08-16
CELLCellframeEthereum0.44530.42744-4.01%0.3985-10.51%0.1028✓1.1080k2022-08-16
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.17650.170133-3.61%0.1546-12.41%0.1170✓0.713.9M2022-08-16
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01750.016891-3.48%0.01753+0.17%0.0166✓0.69167k2022-08-16
FLOWFlownative2.9972.8946-3.42%2.685-10.41%0.1136✓1.29587k2022-08-16
MOVRMoonriverBase17.038916.4813-3.27%15.0779-11.51%0.1196✓1.0358k2022-08-16
GMTGMTEthereum0.9490.918001-3.27%1.072+12.96%0.1104✗1.50469k2022-08-16
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.08250.079916-3.13%0.08258+0.10%0.0098✓0.779072022-08-16
LUNATerraTerra 20.000096780.000093792-3.09%0.0000971+0.33%0.0162✓0.62421k2022-08-16
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.4326.6252-2.93%27.11-1.17%0.0238✓1.4030.7M2022-08-16
ZECZcashZcash79.8177.507-2.89%75.95-4.84%0.0566✓1.222.0M2022-08-16
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.089460.086906-2.85%0.08578-4.11%0.0200✓0.231.1M2022-08-16
NMRNumeraireEthereum20.5719.9859-2.84%20.32-1.22%0.0048✓0.722.6M2022-08-16
DODODODOEthereum0.17140.166553-2.83%0.1676-2.22%0.0248✓1.042.8M2022-08-16
APEApeCoinEthereum7.0246.8324-2.73%6.197-11.77%0.1391✓1.3911.9M2022-08-16
QNTQuantEthereum125.81122.387-2.72%116.11-7.71%0.0790✓0.884.2M2022-08-16
ELAElastosEthereum2.1012.0447-2.68%2.061-1.90%0.0226✓1.03261k2022-08-16
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.4616.2899-2.65%6.018-6.86%0.0496✓0.183.4M2022-08-16
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03821.0107-2.65%1.4706+41.65%0.3467✗0.95907k2022-08-16
UOSUltraEthereum0.34890.339679-2.64%0.35342+1.30%0.0129✓0.90396k2022-08-16
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.21e-7-2.64%7.44e-7+125.94%0.8215✗0.68150k2022-08-16
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.786868-2.62%0.818+1.24%0.0110✓0.93377k2022-08-16
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.38911.0927-2.60%11.396+0.06%0.0094✓1.2214.4M2022-08-16
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3372.2777-2.54%2.016-13.74%0.1565✓1.16172k2022-08-16
ETHEthereumEthereum1,703.351,660.28-2.53%1,876.57+10.17%0.0837✗1.30453.9M2022-08-16
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405040.39495-2.49%0.40858+0.87%0.0026✓1.05481k2022-08-16
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7630.744031-2.49%0.71-6.95%0.0843✓1.262,7022022-08-16
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8257.6322-2.46%7.773-0.66%0.0130✓1.055.9M2022-08-16
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.3951-2.44%1.41-1.40%0.0278✓1.291.2M2022-08-16
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7160.698578-2.43%0.7-2.23%0.0375✓1.33137k2022-08-16
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9540.930822-2.43%0.84-11.95%0.1326✓1.01263k2022-08-16
METISMetisEthereum42.6541.618-2.42%38.9-8.79%0.1234✓1.88328k2022-08-16
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0321.9829-2.42%1.924-5.31%0.0658✓1.20234k2022-08-16
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.7131.4457-2.42%136.34+1.22%0.0030✓1.135.0M2022-08-16
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026320.025685-2.41%0.02539-3.53%0.0363✓0.83159k2022-08-16
FORTFortaEthereum0.30380.296542-2.39%0.3019-0.63%0.0145✓1.09294k2022-08-16
ADACardanoCardano0.5130.50075-2.39%0.5571+8.60%0.0741✗1.0940.5M2022-08-16
LCXLCXEthereum0.05890.057511-2.36%0.0734+24.62%0.2066✗1.25339k2022-08-16
AAVEAaveEthereum97.9695.6696-2.34%109.79+12.08%0.0915✗1.558.2M2022-08-16
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.506902-2.33%0.545+5.01%0.0424✗1.0113k2022-08-16
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.29562.2421-2.33%2.2701-1.11%0.0201✓1.0938k2022-08-16
BANDBandEthereum1.7671.726-2.32%1.675-5.21%0.0701✓1.35383k2022-08-16
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0033560.003278-2.31%0.004101+22.20%0.1979✗0.87988k2022-08-16
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.48e-7-2.30%0.000001+3.09%0.0320✗0.7322k2022-08-16
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7442.6812-2.29%2.752+0.29%0.0101✓1.2254k2022-08-16
NEXONEXOEthereum0.810.791476-2.29%0.959+18.40%0.1567✗1.18968k2022-08-16
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.51630.504521-2.28%0.4749-8.02%0.1002✓1.33245k2022-08-16
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.8045-2.28%2.94+2.44%0.0322✗0.50110k2022-08-16
DASHDashDash52.9751.7632-2.28%52.46-0.96%0.0165✓1.00552k2022-08-16
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06420.062737-2.28%0.0642+0.00%0.0105✓1.13827k2022-08-16
XVGVergenative0.003680.003597-2.26%0.00401+8.97%0.0754✗1.12517k2022-08-16
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.1857.8426-2.26%61.33+3.63%0.0273✗1.0513.7M2022-08-16
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.8123.7259-2.26%3.68-3.46%0.0604✓1.615.2M2022-08-16
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04280.041836-2.25%0.0426-0.47%0.0132✓1.0577k2022-08-16
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.255426-2.25%0.2612-0.04%0.0220✓0.0135k2022-08-16
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0153410.014997-2.24%0.015966+4.07%0.0416✗0.712.1M2022-08-16
ORCAOrcaSolana0.95310.931738-2.24%0.967+1.46%0.0107✓1.61296k2022-08-16
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.71958.3808-2.24%61.168+2.43%0.0251✗0.72321k2022-08-16
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0201610.019714-2.22%0.025638+27.17%0.2578✗0.17215k2022-08-16
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.29261.2639-2.22%1.2853-0.56%0.0261✓1.446.8M2022-08-16
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2941.2655-2.21%1.271-1.78%0.0325✓1.241.1M2022-08-16
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8560.837131-2.20%0.87+1.64%0.0058✓1.494.4M2022-08-16
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.670.655264-2.20%0.672+0.30%0.0119✓1.2591k2022-08-16
ZENHorizenBase19.9219.4831-2.19%20.12+1.00%0.0032✓1.19118k2022-08-16
WOOWOOEthereum0.2360.230848-2.18%0.207-12.29%0.1425✓1.121,5612022-08-16
COMPCompoundEthereum59.2457.9482-2.18%61.09+3.12%0.0148✓1.2835k2022-08-16
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085980.084114-2.17%0.09121+6.08%0.0473✗1.1329k2022-08-16
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001621-2.16%0.001761+6.28%0.0590✗0.808,9342022-08-16
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12320.120543-2.16%0.1265+2.68%0.0221✗0.88370k2022-08-16
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51710.505948-2.16%0.5047-2.40%0.0361✓1.1350k2022-08-16
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7022.6438-2.15%2.651-1.89%0.0491✓1.74131k2022-08-16
XTZTezosTezos1.80571.7669-2.15%1.8887+4.60%0.0326✗1.15530k2022-08-16
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1270.124274-2.15%0.123-3.15%0.0359✓0.864,5002022-08-16
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59180.579108-2.14%0.5677-4.07%0.0534✓1.13318k2022-08-16
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.758.5629-2.14%8.453-3.39%0.0466✓1.1318.6M2022-08-16
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.3874.2934-2.13%3.62-17.48%0.1935✓0.771.1M2022-08-16
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008710.008524-2.13%0.00854-1.95%0.0320✓1.14457k2022-08-16
KSMKusamaHydration60.2658.9852-2.12%56.07-6.95%0.0824✓1.07489k2022-08-16
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.435250.42606-2.11%0.42922-1.39%0.0236✓1.04124k2022-08-16
DIADIAEthereum0.481560.471588-2.07%0.47192-2.00%0.0146✓0.5268k2022-08-16
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.166226-2.05%0.1798+5.95%0.0456✗1.11548k2022-08-16
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002140.002096-2.04%0.00202-5.61%0.0668✓1.001.2M2022-08-16
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5644.471-2.04%5.889+29.03%0.2681✗0.251.1M2022-08-16
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08810.086312-2.03%0.0811-7.95%0.0886✓0.89127k2022-08-16
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13960.13678-2.02%0.1301-6.81%0.0857✓1.203.1M2022-08-16
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52581.495-2.02%1.635+7.16%0.0508✗1.30698k2022-08-16
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.265.1538-2.02%5.44+3.42%0.0445✗0.322.1M2022-08-16
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05380.05272-2.01%0.0539+0.19%0.0090✓1.04248k2022-08-16
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07120.069777-2.00%0.0688-3.37%0.0381✓0.81151k2022-08-16
XYMSymbolnative0.0552930.05419-1.99%0.054802-0.89%0.0041✓0.5229k2022-08-16
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.102850.100816-1.98%0.08996-12.53%0.1523✓1.291.6M2022-08-16
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25120.246249-1.97%0.2645+5.29%0.0407✗1.0491k2022-08-16
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009870.009678-1.94%0.01154+16.92%0.1540✗0.745.3M2022-08-16
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5004-1.93%1.47-3.92%0.0227✓0.07173k2022-08-16
UMAUMAEthereum2.9452.8882-1.93%3.334+13.21%0.1178✗0.87585k2022-08-16
COTICOTIEthereum0.11290.110723-1.93%0.1138+0.80%0.0045✓1.07566k2022-08-16
API3Api3Ethereum1.961.9223-1.93%2.409+22.91%0.1963✗0.99588k2022-08-16
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.5817.2437-1.91%17.95+2.10%0.0032✓1.241.4M2022-08-16
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22610.221782-1.91%0.2556+13.05%0.1005✗1.3997k2022-08-16
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.435.7084-1.90%39.88+9.56%0.0695✗1.3813.5M2022-08-16
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012050.000011821-1.90%0.00001581+31.20%0.2614✗0.99864k2022-08-16
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.32860.322376-1.89%0.3392+3.23%0.0199✗1.043.5M2022-08-16
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.173820.170536-1.89%0.16955-2.46%0.0452✓1.32216k2022-08-16
LRCLoopringEthereum0.44990.441455-1.88%0.4559+1.33%0.0027✓1.17165k2022-08-16
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.032150.03155-1.87%0.02789-13.25%0.1539✓1.0313.9M2022-08-16
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.10271.0823-1.85%1.1489+4.19%0.0386✗0.714.4M2022-08-16
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.030979-1.84%0.05113+62.01%0.4701✗1.0414k2022-08-16
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01981.001-1.84%1.0299+0.99%0.0044✓1.10543k2022-08-16
CHZChilizEthereum0.14570.143035-1.83%0.2097+43.93%0.3560✗0.891.1M2022-08-16
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43170.423804-1.83%0.4464+3.41%0.0119✓1.35207k2022-08-16
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.824.7323-1.82%4.95+2.70%0.0327✗0.411.3M2022-08-16
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.190920.187453-1.82%0.1883-1.37%0.0627✓2.261,0642022-08-16
STORJStorjEthereum0.665210.653168-1.81%0.69252+4.11%0.0175✓1.3857k2022-08-16
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3441840.337971-1.81%0.362039+5.19%0.0355✗1.12875k2022-08-16
FTTFTXEthereum29.8829.3406-1.81%30.67+2.64%0.0168✓0.929.4M2022-08-16
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,188.0110,986.86-1.80%11,010.19-1.59%0.0376✓1.345.4M2022-08-16
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044640.043841-1.79%0.04681+4.86%0.0406✗0.842,3482022-08-16
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.1574-1.78%12.36+8.80%0.0685✗1.14306k2022-08-16
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0690280.067804-1.77%0.087041+26.09%0.2189✗1.041.6M2022-08-16
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050770.049879-1.76%0.05205+2.52%0.0197✗0.7717k2022-08-16
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.2968-1.75%15-3.66%0.0556✓1.212.6M2022-08-16
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0133.9431-1.74%4.038+0.62%0.0156✓0.272.2M2022-08-16
NANOnanopayBase1.03761.0196-1.74%1.0226-1.45%0.0208✓0.8056k2022-08-16
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34520.339209-1.74%0.3526+2.14%0.0095✓0.988.4M2022-08-16
XMRMoneroMonero158.78156.0409-1.73%169.61+6.82%0.0528✗1.031.2M2022-08-16
SCSiacoinnative0.004510.004433-1.71%0.00476+5.54%0.0378✗1.1299k2022-08-16
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.54e-7-1.69%9.70e-7+0.00%0.0058✓0.776.0M2022-08-16
PROPropyEthereum0.780.766783-1.69%0.81+3.85%0.0409✗0.4783k2022-08-16
SOLSolanaSolana40.3539.667-1.69%43.09+6.79%0.0456✗1.2579.4M2022-08-16
UNIUniswapEthereum8.4398.2963-1.69%8.346-1.10%0.0331✓1.319.9M2022-08-16
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.9028.7518-1.69%8.839-0.71%0.0229✓1.1011.8M2022-08-16
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.518.3673-1.68%8.89+4.47%0.0555✗0.171.8M2022-08-16
IMXImmutableEthereum1.10741.0889-1.67%1.0221-7.70%0.1008✓1.262.0M2022-08-16
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13650.134224-1.67%0.1437+5.27%0.0353✗1.1155k2022-08-16
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.06593.0148-1.67%3.514+14.62%0.1420✗0.381.4M2022-08-16
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9273.8617-1.66%4.19+6.70%0.0706✗0.371.6M2022-08-16
GLMGolemEthereum0.26010.255782-1.66%0.3001+15.38%0.1306✗0.9865k2022-08-16
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09770.096086-1.65%0.1069+9.42%0.0767✗1.017,6272022-08-16
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5866-1.65%2.36-10.27%0.1203✓0.96726k2022-08-16
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62340.613332-1.61%0.5897-5.41%0.0660✓0.90755k2022-08-16
HIVEHivenative0.60670.596942-1.61%0.6115+0.79%0.0068✓1.042.4M2022-08-16
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.892.8446-1.57%3.26+12.80%0.0981✗1.28227k2022-08-16
XECeCashnative0.00004340.00004273-1.54%0.00004498+3.64%0.0257✗0.861.9M2022-08-16
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0447.9205-1.54%8.426+4.75%0.0356✗0.885.7M2022-08-16
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031790.031304-1.53%0.03136-1.35%0.0369✓1.301,7322022-08-16
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.3110.1524-1.53%10.19-1.16%0.0302✓1.14482k2022-08-16
STXStacksnative0.47780.470607-1.51%0.4762-0.33%0.0232✓1.18892k2022-08-16
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.412-1.51%5.96-8.45%0.1064✓1.121.4M2022-08-16
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5392.501-1.50%3.876+52.66%0.4130✗0.8486k2022-08-16
KCSKuCoinnative10.53610.3787-1.49%10.39-1.39%0.0292✓1.021.9M2022-08-16
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.711.6845-1.49%1.75+2.34%0.0065✓1.06140k2022-08-16
GTGateEthereum4.77384.7032-1.48%4.8932+2.50%0.0184✗0.71887k2022-08-16
XLMStellarStellar0.1220430.120251-1.47%0.12178-0.22%0.0151✓0.937.1M2022-08-16
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,209.6022,869.00-1.47%23,861.50+2.81%0.0136✓0.9712k2022-08-16
STEEMSteemnative0.25080.247155-1.45%0.27+7.66%0.0605✗0.94681k2022-08-16
LSKLiskEthereum1.16891.1519-1.45%1.2535+7.24%0.0563✗0.9552k2022-08-16
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08110.079922-1.45%0.0784-3.33%0.0529✓1.131.4M2022-08-16
XEMNEMnative0.0493070.048593-1.45%0.051969+5.40%0.0370✗1.0137k2022-08-16
AMPAmpEthereum0.008250.008131-1.44%0.00828+0.36%0.0016✓0.661.6M2022-08-16
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04750.046816-1.44%0.0445-6.32%0.0798✓0.9810k2022-08-16
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28163.2345-1.44%3.7239+13.48%0.1259✗0.501.8M2022-08-16
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.14511.1289-1.41%1.1875+3.71%0.0179✗1.1013k2022-08-16
QTUMQtumQtum4.01453.9585-1.40%4.0127-0.04%0.0167✓1.0257k2022-08-16
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3651.346-1.39%1.425+4.40%0.0243✗1.102.5M2022-08-16
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2190.215989-1.38%0.244+11.42%0.0848✗1.25716k2022-08-16
TRXTRONTron0.0684650.067524-1.37%0.069764+1.90%0.0147✗0.60216k2022-08-16
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3280.323627-1.33%0.316-3.66%0.0490✓0.841.1M2022-08-16
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059126-1.29%0.0696+16.19%0.1297✗1.12185k2022-08-16
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061810.006103-1.26%0.006937+12.23%0.1133✗0.5050k2022-08-16
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21830.215605-1.23%0.2113-3.21%0.0625✓1.421,2802022-08-16
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.515.4426-1.22%6.29+14.16%0.1341✗0.361.1M2022-08-16
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.855.78-1.20%6.14+4.96%0.0494✗0.37894k2022-08-16
CBKCobakEthereum1.10541.0922-1.19%1.1561+4.59%0.0276✗0.9812k2022-08-16
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,158.2722,884.84-1.18%23,857.93+3.02%0.0119✓1.00455.4M2022-08-16
CVCCivicEthereum0.15480.153034-1.14%0.1861+20.22%0.1637✗1.07110k2022-08-16
BORABORAKlay Token0.355090.351075-1.13%0.35527+0.05%0.0220✓1.1413k2022-08-16
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0228290.022577-1.10%0.024604+7.78%0.0606✗0.8512k2022-08-16
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83682.8057-1.09%3.1212+10.03%0.0893✗0.581.2M2022-08-16
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.02184.9668-1.09%5.2507+4.56%0.0513✗0.14367k2022-08-16
GITCOINGITCOIN2.89562.8665-1.01%3.3012+14.01%0.1015✗1.3313k2022-08-16
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0181.0083-0.96%0.967-5.01%0.0580✓0.543.7M2022-08-16
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064850.00643-0.85%0.006767+4.35%0.0294✗0.734,4282022-08-16
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.