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2022-08-07 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2896
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.0%
in alpha space · 37.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.92%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.040570.037836-6.74%0.02573-36.58%0.4346✓1.02159k2022-08-14
OPTIMOptimism1.9121.7927-6.24%1.44-24.69%0.3126✓1.953.1M2022-08-14
CELLCellframeEthereum0.46930.447047-4.74%0.4118-12.25%0.1365✓1.1380k2022-08-14
MOVRMoonriverBase18.297317.5127-4.29%16.2019-11.45%0.1308✓1.1053k2022-08-14
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8296.5449-4.16%6.354-6.96%0.0504✓0.432.7M2022-08-14
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1090.104862-3.80%0.1275+16.97%0.1587✗0.77163k2022-08-14
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017880.017261-3.46%0.01762-1.45%0.0166✓0.78175k2022-08-14
ELAElastosEthereum2.1832.1088-3.40%2.039-6.60%0.0873✓1.12225k2022-08-14
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15880.153444-3.37%0.1641+3.34%0.0269✓0.843.6M2022-08-14
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011930.001153-3.32%0.001432+20.01%0.1595✗1.181.3M2022-08-14
NMRNumeraireEthereum22.1921.4678-3.25%21.24-4.28%0.0469✓0.762.6M2022-08-14
FLOWFlownative2.6242.5414-3.15%2.832+7.93%0.0474✗1.27505k2022-08-14
GMTGMTEthereum0.9310.902417-3.07%0.981+5.37%0.0062✓1.61462k2022-08-14
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099560.000096518-3.06%0.00010014+0.58%0.0490✓1.79466k2022-08-14
QNTQuantEthereum126.46122.619-3.04%118.61-6.21%0.0774✓0.924.5M2022-08-14
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.4831.4951-3.03%39.27+20.91%0.1501✗1.471.1M2022-08-14
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.927.0769-2.95%28.19+1.04%0.0343✓1.5529.2M2022-08-14
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.107270.104119-2.94%0.09281-13.48%0.1860✓1.481.2M2022-08-14
DODODODOEthereum0.18190.176712-2.85%0.171-5.99%0.0902✓1.203.3M2022-08-14
METISMetisEthereum44.2243.0057-2.75%43.26-2.17%0.0840✓1.87293k2022-08-14
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2087.0131-2.70%6.368-11.65%0.1731✓1.6011.9M2022-08-14
C98Coin98Ethereum0.58870.573006-2.67%0.5344-9.22%0.1238✓1.1346k2022-08-14
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.04391.0166-2.62%1.4588+39.75%0.3089✗1.09933k2022-08-14
PROPropyEthereum0.840.8181-2.61%0.81-3.57%0.0377✓0.5878k2022-08-14
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.42e-73.33e-7-2.61%4.26e-7+24.32%0.2016✗0.88150k2022-08-14
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.079690.077625-2.59%0.08115+1.83%0.0093✓0.738502022-08-14
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.254662-2.58%0.2611-0.11%0.0244✓0.0131k2022-08-14
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.37411.0823-2.56%11.588+1.88%0.0180✓1.3113.7M2022-08-14
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.786383-2.55%0.839+3.97%0.0206✓0.92380k2022-08-14
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8110.790492-2.53%0.753-7.15%0.1156✓1.402,7022022-08-14
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33262.2741-2.51%2.3122-0.87%0.0393✓1.1738k2022-08-14
LCXLCXEthereum0.06050.058991-2.49%0.0765+26.45%0.1920✗1.42339k2022-08-14
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7590.740149-2.48%0.7-7.77%0.1250✓1.44135k2022-08-14
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.427190.416617-2.48%0.40475-5.25%0.0903✓1.28507k2022-08-14
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2498.045-2.47%8.001-3.01%0.0630✓1.206.8M2022-08-14
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.372.3114-2.47%2.187-7.72%0.1177✓1.30160k2022-08-14
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9981.9486-2.47%1.939-2.95%0.0710✓1.38234k2022-08-14
WOOWOOEthereum0.25510.248818-2.46%0.2284-10.47%0.1463✓1.271,5612022-08-14
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4636-2.43%1.48-1.33%0.0553✓1.391.2M2022-08-14
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034230.00334-2.41%0.00419+22.41%0.1808✗0.961.0M2022-08-14
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5510.537872-2.38%0.534-3.09%0.0607✓1.1114k2022-08-14
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash140.98137.6263-2.38%139.45-1.09%0.0434✓1.184.7M2022-08-14
FORTFortaEthereum0.3080.300743-2.36%0.2996-2.73%0.0564✓1.10300k2022-08-14
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56360.550352-2.35%0.5199-7.75%0.1201✓1.32232k2022-08-14
BANDBandEthereum1.8091.7668-2.34%1.732-4.26%0.0869✓1.40371k2022-08-14
FISStafiEthereum0.39040.38129-2.33%0.4905+25.64%0.2068✗0.941492022-08-14
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07350.071786-2.33%0.0721-1.90%0.0407✓0.94158k2022-08-14
AAVEAaveEthereum101.3198.9492-2.33%107.44+6.05%0.0041✓1.639.9M2022-08-14
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04410.043077-2.32%0.0428-2.95%0.0618✓1.1577k2022-08-14
ETHEthereumEthereum1,700.421,661.02-2.32%1,935.85+13.85%0.0899✗1.32407.7M2022-08-14
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.123.0483-2.30%2.98-4.49%0.0468✓0.50116k2022-08-14
XVGVergenative0.003740.003654-2.30%0.00403+7.75%0.0370✗1.27534k2022-08-14
XTZTezosTezos1.8881.8447-2.29%1.8226-3.46%0.0697✓1.20530k2022-08-14
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085320.083368-2.29%0.08572+0.47%0.0149✓0.271.1M2022-08-14
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.966005-2.28%1.0019+1.36%0.0465✓1.73296k2022-08-14
COMPCompoundEthereum63.8562.3995-2.27%63.04-1.27%0.0556✓1.3738k2022-08-14
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06430.06284-2.27%0.067+4.20%0.0044✓1.24799k2022-08-14
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.083.9874-2.27%3.821-6.35%0.1237✓1.695.2M2022-08-14
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.58e-7-2.27%0.00000101+3.06%0.0186✓0.7225k2022-08-14
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.851248-2.27%0.874+0.34%0.0553✓1.704.3M2022-08-14
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7982.7347-2.26%2.773-0.89%0.0524✓1.3848k2022-08-14
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0159520.015592-2.26%0.015677-1.72%0.0345✓0.832.1M2022-08-14
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12940.12649-2.25%0.1308+1.08%0.0168✓1.054,5002022-08-14
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017290.00169-2.24%0.001792+3.64%0.0127✓0.958,9342022-08-14
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0198730.019431-2.22%0.019846-0.14%0.0068✓0.30173k2022-08-14
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010460.010228-2.22%0.01037-0.86%0.0304✓0.925.1M2022-08-14
ADACardanoCardano0.52770.515987-2.22%0.5701+8.03%0.0443✗1.1539.5M2022-08-14
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6820.666934-2.21%0.699+2.49%0.0177✓1.3590k2022-08-14
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009060.00886-2.20%0.00865-4.53%0.0824✓1.22421k2022-08-14
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3191.29-2.20%1.341+1.67%0.0207✓1.241.1M2022-08-14
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.87860.5186-2.20%62.391+0.83%0.0076✓0.79306k2022-08-14
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12640.123647-2.18%0.1284+1.58%0.0103✓1.00398k2022-08-14
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.087394-2.13%0.0854-4.37%0.0766✓1.12124k2022-08-14
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7922.7325-2.13%2.808+0.57%0.0579✓1.78126k2022-08-14
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34310.335802-2.13%0.3467+1.05%0.0224✓1.133.6M2022-08-14
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.40241.3726-2.12%1.3892-0.94%0.0608✓1.526.4M2022-08-14
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022850.002237-2.10%0.002102-8.01%0.1103✓1.001.2M2022-08-14
DASHDashDash53.3552.2329-2.09%55.08+3.24%0.0013✓1.08552k2022-08-14
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6854.5871-2.09%5.932+26.62%0.2365✗0.431.2M2022-08-14
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48060.470584-2.08%0.4837+0.65%0.0347✓1.30155k2022-08-14
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.43380.424835-2.07%0.44475+2.52%0.0088✓1.14124k2022-08-14
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57481.5424-2.06%1.6481+4.65%0.0007✓1.40619k2022-08-14
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8580.840351-2.06%0.887+3.38%0.0022✓1.17246k2022-08-14
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,438.5411,203.79-2.05%11,226.83-1.85%0.0655✓1.415.2M2022-08-14
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1259.869-2.05%63.17+3.35%0.0005✓1.1113.5M2022-08-14
ZENHorizenBase19.1718.778-2.05%20.14+5.06%0.0077✓1.30118k2022-08-14
ZECZcashZcash70.2668.8255-2.04%73.71+4.91%0.0098✓1.231.8M2022-08-14
API3Api3Ethereum2.0892.0465-2.03%2.387+14.27%0.1000✗1.12606k2022-08-14
BFCBifrostEthereum0.083860.082154-2.03%0.0883+5.29%0.0095✓1.3129k2022-08-14
COTICOTIEthereum0.11920.116786-2.03%0.1166-2.18%0.0592✓1.20529k2022-08-14
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.348.1715-2.02%8.77+5.16%0.0124✓1.2116.7M2022-08-14
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033020.032354-2.02%0.04879+47.76%0.3544✗1.1814k2022-08-14
DIADIAEthereum0.475240.465661-2.02%0.49265+3.66%0.0241✗0.6770k2022-08-14
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25950.254282-2.01%0.2693+3.78%0.0019✓1.1698k2022-08-14
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05440.053308-2.01%0.0541-0.55%0.0430✓1.20256k2022-08-14
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5387-2.00%1.5-4.46%0.0368✓0.24207k2022-08-14
CHZChilizEthereum0.15130.14829-1.99%0.1811+19.70%0.1513✗1.011.1M2022-08-14
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5379-1.98%5.42-4.07%0.0468✓0.532.1M2022-08-14
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16631.1434-1.96%1.1212-3.87%0.0585✓0.814.1M2022-08-14
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.4918.1282-1.96%18.56+0.38%0.0389✓1.301.4M2022-08-14
KSMKusamaHydration65.4264.1408-1.96%58.87-10.01%0.1404✓1.14419k2022-08-14
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034360.03369-1.95%0.02926-14.84%0.2040✓1.3113.9M2022-08-14
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.7136.9748-1.95%41.57+10.24%0.0485✗1.4313.0M2022-08-14
UMAUMAEthereum3.0332.9744-1.93%3.446+13.62%0.0980✗1.02585k2022-08-14
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23920.234608-1.92%0.2555+6.81%0.0129✓1.5189k2022-08-14
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17580.172426-1.92%0.1842+4.78%0.0103✓1.16529k2022-08-14
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47363.4074-1.91%3.6932+6.32%0.0451✗0.741.7M2022-08-14
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1474.068-1.91%4.102-1.09%0.0144✓0.471.9M2022-08-14
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.8816.5622-1.88%14.53-13.92%0.1964✓1.372.6M2022-08-14
STORJStorjEthereum0.688430.675517-1.88%0.71015+3.16%0.0206✓1.4769k2022-08-14
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.59270.581615-1.87%0.5947+0.34%0.0333✓1.16303k2022-08-14
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045810.044955-1.87%0.04942+7.88%0.0504✗0.922,3482022-08-14
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7411.5217-1.86%11.81+0.60%0.0332✓1.21263k2022-08-14
XYMSymbolnative0.0550550.054033-1.86%0.056453+2.54%0.0154✓0.5926k2022-08-14
SCSiacoinnative0.004710.004623-1.85%0.00499+5.94%0.0161✓1.26102k2022-08-14
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.177350.174089-1.84%0.1773-0.03%0.0549✓1.53207k2022-08-14
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3544730.347976-1.83%0.374117+5.54%0.0145✓1.211.0M2022-08-14
MANADecentralandEthereum1.05961.0403-1.82%1.0735+1.32%0.0284✓1.25532k2022-08-14
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4660.457518-1.82%0.4793+2.85%0.0267✓1.53207k2022-08-14
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.195980.192432-1.81%0.1917-2.18%0.1136✓2.291,0642022-08-14
GLMGolemEthereum0.27110.266197-1.81%0.2868+5.79%0.0231✗1.0765k2022-08-14
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66390.651904-1.81%0.6094-8.21%0.1191✓1.08726k2022-08-14
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7928.6346-1.79%8.235-6.34%0.0948✓0.994.0M2022-08-14
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21833.1611-1.78%3.5378+9.93%0.0820✗0.641.2M2022-08-14
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012020.000011807-1.77%0.00001688+40.43%0.3032✗1.13926k2022-08-14
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9801-1.77%5.06-0.20%0.0133✓0.611.3M2022-08-14
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10470.10286-1.76%0.0995-4.97%0.0877✓1.145,6912022-08-14
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12830.126049-1.75%0.1393+8.57%0.0347✗1.362.9M2022-08-14
UOSUltraEthereum0.316950.311395-1.75%0.37655+18.80%0.1420✗1.00366k2022-08-14
DKAdKargoEthereum0.053780.052846-1.74%0.05538+2.98%0.0053✓0.8616k2022-08-14
IMXImmutableEthereum1.13871.119-1.73%1.0962-3.73%0.0860✓1.361.7M2022-08-14
XMRMoneroMonero164.87162.0368-1.72%168.04+1.92%0.0137✓1.041.1M2022-08-14
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.811.779-1.71%1.75-3.31%0.0768✓1.26132k2022-08-14
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.35590.349825-1.71%0.3642+2.33%0.0110✓1.078.2M2022-08-14
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,110.7022,716.85-1.70%24,209.70+4.76%0.0166✓0.9812k2022-08-14
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13740.13506-1.70%0.1477+7.50%0.0318✗1.2061k2022-08-14
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.063.0084-1.69%3.06+0.00%0.0516✓1.43234k2022-08-14
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7848.6364-1.68%8.882+1.12%0.0381✓1.389.9M2022-08-14
FTTFTXEthereum30.6730.1558-1.68%30.84+0.55%0.0233✓0.959.1M2022-08-14
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.039.8619-1.68%10.26+2.29%0.0249✓1.34385k2022-08-14
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05120.05035-1.66%0.0472-7.81%0.1245✓1.2510k2022-08-14
HIVEHivenative0.59910.589289-1.64%0.6213+3.71%0.0009✓1.122.1M2022-08-14
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07940.078117-1.62%0.0809+1.89%0.0194✓1.131.3M2022-08-14
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.948.7973-1.60%8.97+0.34%0.0028✓0.351.8M2022-08-14
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7510.73908-1.59%1.008+34.22%0.2497✗1.26963k2022-08-14
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000044604-1.58%0.00004614+1.81%0.0177✓1.081.8M2022-08-14
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.0123.9486-1.58%3.865-3.66%0.0620✓0.85976k2022-08-14
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0583.9939-1.58%4.154+2.37%0.0115✓0.581.6M2022-08-14
NANOnanopayBase1.05491.0384-1.56%1.0568+0.18%0.0250✓0.8951k2022-08-14
XVSVenusEthereum6.846.7338-1.55%6.42-6.14%0.1084✓1.271.4M2022-08-14
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4251.4029-1.55%1.445+1.40%0.0289✓1.222.5M2022-08-14
LSKLiskEthereum1.21621.1978-1.52%1.2606+3.64%0.0019✓1.0243k2022-08-14
SOLSolanaSolana40.6240.0054-1.51%44.89+10.51%0.0505✗1.3579.4M2022-08-14
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.068960.067921-1.51%0.0817+18.47%0.1304✗1.131.6M2022-08-14
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4427-1.51%2.55+2.82%0.0087✓1.08507k2022-08-14
STEEMSteemnative0.25950.255649-1.48%0.2723+4.93%0.0108✓1.09766k2022-08-14
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031720.031271-1.41%0.03229+1.80%0.0299✓1.291,3502022-08-14
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063310.006242-1.41%0.00672+6.14%0.0494✗0.5148k2022-08-14
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.56e-7-1.40%0.00000101+4.12%0.0147✗0.836.0M2022-08-14
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.6578.5358-1.40%8.955+3.44%0.0083✓1.1711.0M2022-08-14
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2250.22193-1.36%0.225+0.00%0.0543✓1.42703k2022-08-14
KCSKuCoinnative10.60210.4574-1.36%10.646+0.42%0.0342✓1.091.9M2022-08-14
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4582.4245-1.36%3.944+60.46%0.4439✗0.8992k2022-08-14
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.334425-1.35%0.327-3.54%0.0711✓1.011.1M2022-08-14
GTGateEthereum4.76024.696-1.35%5.0549+6.19%0.0370✗0.76887k2022-08-14
STXStacksnative0.49070.484083-1.35%0.4917+0.20%0.0426✓1.21808k2022-08-14
XLMStellarStellar0.1238730.122224-1.33%0.125646+1.43%0.0191✓0.977.0M2022-08-14
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008259-1.33%0.00825-1.43%0.0374✓0.761.6M2022-08-14
QTUMQtumQtum4.09194.0376-1.33%4.1906+2.41%0.0147✓1.0853k2022-08-14
XEMNEMnative0.0515510.050872-1.32%0.053806+4.37%0.0039✓1.0937k2022-08-14
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.775.6951-1.30%6.12+6.07%0.0474✗0.51964k2022-08-14
CVCCivicEthereum0.16180.159725-1.28%0.1716+6.06%0.0158✗1.16102k2022-08-14
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.98842.9503-1.27%3.1608+5.77%0.0285✗0.841.2M2022-08-14
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1111.0974-1.23%0.932-16.11%0.1921✓0.602.1M2022-08-14
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9666-1.22%6.17+2.15%0.0053✓0.59887k2022-08-14
TRXTRONTron0.0696580.068848-1.16%0.070349+0.99%0.0079✓0.61279k2022-08-14
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11241.0996-1.16%1.207+8.50%0.0403✗1.1013k2022-08-14
CBKCobakEthereum1.16571.1527-1.11%1.2058+3.45%0.0068✓1.0812k2022-08-14
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.8994.8448-1.11%5.1274+4.66%0.0481✗0.18234k2022-08-14
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,177.3922,922.97-1.10%24,316.71+4.92%0.0110✓1.00414.2M2022-08-14
GALAGALAEthereum0.06060.059936-1.10%0.0703+16.01%0.0954✗1.34179k2022-08-14
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0234910.023249-1.03%0.025582+8.90%0.0500✗0.9512k2022-08-14
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21460.212422-1.02%0.2112-1.58%0.0736✓1.411,1742022-08-14
BORABORAKlay Token0.358150.354562-1.00%0.36752+2.62%0.0240✓1.2513k2022-08-14
GITCOINGITCOIN3.05573.0262-0.97%3.077+0.70%0.0543✓1.4813k2022-08-14
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064750.006425-0.77%0.006713+3.68%0.0063✓0.784,5222022-08-14
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.