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2022-08-04 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3101
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.8%
in alpha space · 15.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.119-6.28%44.8-2.63%0.0651✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4497-5.78%2.971+14.27%0.1214✗1.26448k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8084-5.72%1.558-18.77%0.2609✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.0841-4.75%6.929-6.83%0.1204✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.0393-4.59%3.1366-1.53%0.0572✓1.5612k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9926.8645-4.02%36.12+29.05%0.2190✗1.36946k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0085-3.99%1.2255+16.66%0.1355✗1.0513k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6220.7718-3.92%21.14-2.22%0.0303✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.6345-3.77%4.038+6.91%0.0064✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.833.5082-3.71%42.06+20.86%0.1476✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.815166-3.64%0.889+5.08%0.0120✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.317534-3.49%0.4285+30.24%0.2358✗1.1377k2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.548036-3.46%0.5522-2.73%0.0557✓1.1146k2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.759341-3.39%0.769-2.16%0.0700✓1.463,1392022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.350546-3.38%0.36776+1.36%0.0261✓1.3013k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.083242-3.38%0.08708+1.08%0.0323✓1.3629k2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.558294-3.34%0.5389-6.70%0.1134✓1.38234k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.078228-3.30%0.09833+21.55%0.1444✗1.49871k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4066-3.28%5.28-5.55%0.0584✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,297.99-3.28%11,294.44+6.08%0.0115✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1466-3.27%1.127-4.92%0.0666✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8259-3.14%2.9337+0.56%0.0182✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.3672-3.11%15.6-1.64%0.0647✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2675-3.10%3.3972+0.74%0.0116✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.987764-3.08%1.0027-1.62%0.0822✓1.71241k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0451-3.07%3.2004+1.87%0.0064✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74100.6195-3.01%124.47+19.98%0.1566✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1775-3.01%0.993-18.20%0.2073✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.140372-2.99%0.1497+3.46%0.0029✓1.08907k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.665709-2.96%0.691+0.73%0.0420✓1.4088k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.855-2.93%8.347+3.15%0.0015✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4077-2.91%2.58+4.03%0.0080✓1.08507k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.6901-2.90%4.8-0.62%0.0166✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.033978-2.84%0.03161-9.61%0.1540✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.082998-2.82%0.08746+2.40%0.0370✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9119-2.80%2.005+1.93%0.0326✓1.41266k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.2277-2.79%17.0874+16.75%0.1180✗1.1558k2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.2918-2.77%1.3595+2.33%0.0337✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.0134-2.77%6.256+21.33%0.1916✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.02183-2.75%0.024997+11.36%0.0808✗0.9611k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.707176-2.73%0.74+1.79%0.0381✓1.47121k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5129-2.71%8.57-2.06%0.0210✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.28.951-2.71%10.3+11.96%0.0617✗1.39334k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.3932-2.65%5.8+4.69%0.0392✗0.59873k2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.5864-2.64%8.964+1.64%0.0360✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.168385-2.61%0.1775+2.66%0.0166✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.445596-2.51%0.47814+4.61%0.0272✗0.7668k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.16013-2.48%0.1949+18.70%0.1261✗1.24518k2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.135775-2.46%0.1646+18.25%0.1387✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.322517-2.44%0.3493+5.66%0.0137✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.0857-2.44%1.1706+5.18%0.0126✓1.1111k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.7853-2.44%8.186+2.58%0.0191✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052404-2.41%0.0549+2.23%0.0261✓1.28284k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.294766-2.40%0.3078+1.92%0.0199✓1.11300k2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.1988-2.36%2.326+3.29%0.0225✓1.39172k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.00009693-2.34%0.00009727-1.99%0.1123✓2.04516k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.8913-2.28%4.091+2.74%0.0015✓0.86922k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.780894-2.27%0.864+8.14%0.0433✗1.02377k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.568169-2.26%0.6302+8.41%0.0364✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008797-2.26%0.00871-3.22%0.0825✓1.28387k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0106-2.26%1.4845+43.58%0.3194✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.057964-2.25%0.0621+4.72%0.0102✓1.39172k2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1735-2.22%2.184-1.75%0.0673✓1.27626k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.3576-2.21%18.45+3.94%0.0131✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.759-2.21%4.034+4.94%0.0375✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.071684-2.20%0.0819+11.73%0.0704✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3625-2.17%3.611+49.52%0.3737✗0.89110k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1424-2.17%2.3938+9.31%0.0429✗1.2032k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.255448-2.16%0.2613+0.08%0.0220✗0.0129k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4697-2.15%1.6643+10.81%0.0450✗1.40594k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061647-2.15%0.0749+18.89%0.1220✗1.28802k2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.04292-2.14%0.04793+9.28%0.0571✗0.942,0262022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7482-2.14%4.044+5.59%0.0366✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.8729-2.13%28.54+22.12%0.1317✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041207-2.12%0.0439+4.28%0.0062✓1.2376k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.30e-7-2.11%0.00000102+7.37%0.0356✗1.0025k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020093-2.10%0.019255-6.19%0.0664✓0.42167k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.083607-2.10%0.0916+7.26%0.0261✗1.15126k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009585-2.09%0.01006+2.76%0.0017✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002144-2.07%0.002212+1.05%0.0253✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0562-2.05%3.13+0.32%0.0622✓1.52211k2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.411066-2.02%0.40616-3.19%0.0902✓1.38583k2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.326328-2.00%0.321-3.60%0.0754✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001624-2.00%0.001703+2.78%0.0110✓1.039,0682022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.546971-1.98%0.551-1.25%0.0576✓1.1414k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1051-1.97%1.1274+0.01%0.0577✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006569-1.96%0.006698-0.03%0.0097✓0.5140k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.1277-1.95%79.26+23.11%0.1567✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.4615-1.95%4.9372+8.51%0.0589✗0.75920k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.430273-1.94%0.4591+4.63%0.0191✓1.48278k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7215-1.91%1.767+0.68%0.0550✓1.43341k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053228-1.91%0.057169+5.35%0.0385✗0.5825k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.585209-1.89%0.6487+8.75%0.0382✗1.14690k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.065445-1.88%0.0718+7.65%0.0394✗0.94183k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048184-1.87%0.05344+8.84%0.0533✗0.8915k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.11796-1.86%0.1425+18.55%0.1112✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3122-1.83%6.61+2.80%0.0328✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.43e-7-1.82%0.00000101+5.21%0.0216✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.89252-1.81%0.967+6.38%0.0199✓1.76496k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.1855-1.78%0.1952+3.35%0.0803✓2.311,1512022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.768147-1.77%0.924+18.16%0.1164✗1.20225k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7173-1.76%5.91+1.55%0.0052✓0.68746k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6802-1.75%2.849+4.44%0.0201✓1.4349k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.04933-1.75%0.053086+5.73%0.0055✓1.2035k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0361-1.74%2.93-5.18%0.0636✓0.49109k2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2356-1.74%8.96+21.67%0.1428✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6558.6203-1.73%61.89+3.76%0.0112✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.491117-1.72%0.5306+6.18%0.0091✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34132.0327-1.72%142.98+6.43%0.0117✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015327-1.72%0.015949+2.27%0.0109✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5368-1.72%4.683+1.45%0.0002✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.7936-1.71%1.9022+4.24%0.0132✓1.27530k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2748-1.71%1.324+2.08%0.0326✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.00107-1.71%0.001521+39.72%0.2813✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.087-1.69%60.91-0.34%0.0530✓1.17379k2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.0283-1.68%21.63+24.88%0.1607✗1.38116k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.8926-1.68%4.2149+6.46%0.0180✗1.0945k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.334495-1.68%0.376118+10.55%0.0453✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.1851-1.68%11.749+13.42%0.0660✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4456-1.66%1.54+4.76%0.0167✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.654906-1.65%0.7242+8.75%0.0148✓1.5188k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017296-1.62%0.01787+1.65%0.0139✓0.82193k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.1927-1.62%42.8+10.25%0.0364✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.00302-1.61%0.004951+61.32%0.4383✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3765-1.61%1.456+4.07%0.0162✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075703-1.60%0.08332+8.31%0.0543✗0.739772022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.095945-1.59%0.0988+1.33%0.0390✓1.207,1482022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.8937-1.59%11.8+6.59%0.0118✓1.20263k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.466222-1.58%0.5032+6.23%0.0060✓1.24808k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5551-1.58%1.52-3.80%0.0397✓0.30242k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.6816-1.57%30.52+4.74%0.0083✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.157529-1.54%0.17809+11.31%0.0357✗1.53212k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.029913-1.54%0.03187+4.90%0.0105✓1.301,4012022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.330977-1.52%0.3613+7.50%0.0235✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004471-1.52%0.00517+13.88%0.0711✗1.31112k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01510.999735-1.52%1.0862+7.00%0.0295✗0.9460k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3494.8806-1.51%107.55+11.64%0.0314✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047473-1.51%0.0488+1.24%0.0463✓1.307,5232022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.161-1.50%63.11+12.70%0.0557✗1.3935k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.40997-1.50%0.458+10.04%0.0362✗1.31127k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.51e-7-1.49%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1275✓0.99164k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9716-1.49%9.201+13.70%0.0742✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.448.6662-1.49%55.61+12.57%0.0712✗1.10574k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,584.28-1.48%1,881.04+16.97%0.0993✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9386-1.45%3.021+1.31%0.0358✓1.12591k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042329-1.42%0.00004644+8.15%0.0271✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.020831-1.42%0.02718+28.63%0.2085✗1.02159k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.223095-1.42%0.2297+1.50%0.0540✓1.4787k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.978478-1.41%1.0527+6.07%0.0005✓1.30532k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.727729-1.39%0.911+23.44%0.1558✗1.21968k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.072095-1.37%0.1304+78.39%0.5512✗0.73159k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5604-1.37%2.875+10.75%0.0164✗1.75109k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.4475-1.36%61.928+2.75%0.0064✓0.83321k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.245128-1.36%0.2705+8.85%0.0292✗1.22101k2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.677-1.35%1.91+12.35%0.0553✗1.32122k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.398862-1.35%0.4605+13.89%0.0761✗1.19107k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.214571-1.35%0.2554+17.43%0.1000✗1.311,5612022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031877-1.34%0.05195+60.79%0.4185✗1.2314k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115254-1.32%0.1263+8.13%0.0305✗1.08370k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.196868-1.32%0.2226+11.58%0.0436✗1.401,2762022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.060817-1.27%0.078+26.62%0.1677✗1.43350k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25157.2689-1.24%160.49+0.78%0.0426✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1359-1.24%1.2591+9.48%0.0434✗1.0543k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.13305-1.23%0.1474+9.43%0.0303✗1.2761k2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9389-1.22%4.7078-5.84%0.0578✓0.17219k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125359-1.21%0.134+5.59%0.0101✓1.004,7012022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.10827-1.21%0.1215+10.86%0.0441✗1.25505k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003725-1.20%0.00393+4.24%0.0198✓1.30551k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.154283-1.16%0.1701+8.97%0.0278✗1.23107k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7932-1.15%2.089+15.16%0.1169✗0.63206k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011718-1.11%0.00001233+4.05%0.0199✓1.25951k2022-08-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.024637-1.06%0.0263+5.62%0.0339✗0.5540k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.215712-1.05%0.228+4.59%0.0304✓1.51782k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,396.45-1.01%23,944.86+5.84%0.0101✓1.00427.9M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.066685-0.99%0.070882+5.24%0.0054✓1.171.7M2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.112799-0.98%0.125283+9.97%0.0487✗0.996.9M2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.732931-0.96%0.85+14.86%0.1142✗0.6079k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.258151-0.94%0.3041+16.69%0.1006✗1.1165k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.540286-0.94%0.5937+8.86%0.0298✗1.14333k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.310617-0.88%0.38689+23.46%0.1558✗1.12396k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.25-0.87%0.2695+6.86%0.0092✗1.16768k2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008151-0.84%0.00834+1.46%0.0284✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9563-0.78%10.512+4.75%0.0084✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.068477-0.73%0.070371+2.02%0.0121✓0.69345k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006106-0.64%0.006618+7.67%0.0323✗0.857,1222022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,360.06-0.60%24,153.10+7.37%0.0215✗0.9813k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.