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2022-08-03 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2065
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.96%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.6%
in alpha space · 13.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067367-0.64%0.070307+3.70%0.0094✗0.69364k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006167-0.67%0.006634+6.87%0.0322✗0.848,9962022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,682.82-0.71%23,919.30+4.71%0.0054✓0.9814k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.9535-0.74%10.779+7.49%0.0260✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.306911-0.78%0.37799+22.20%0.1535✗1.13398k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008126-0.78%0.00837+2.20%0.0143✓0.901.6M2022-08-10
SGBSongbirdnative0.0250.024794-0.82%0.026+4.00%0.0206✗0.5545k2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.211193-0.85%0.229+7.51%0.0074✓1.51786k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.540476-0.88%0.6134+12.49%0.0714✗1.14335k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065611-0.89%0.071244+7.62%0.0254✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045392-0.89%0.0495+8.08%0.0234✗1.309,0132022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.733375-0.90%0.77+4.05%0.0198✗0.5983k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.247257-0.90%0.266+6.61%0.0164✗1.17768k2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.113145-0.91%0.125982+10.33%0.0593✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.15378-0.91%0.1652+6.44%0.0118✗1.23102k2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.257422-0.92%0.2716+4.54%0.0007✓1.1265k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.205092-0.92%0.2472+19.42%0.1233✗1.311,6972022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030968-0.97%0.03518+12.50%0.0675✗1.2314k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5843-0.98%1.82+13.75%0.0745✗1.32122k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,597.29-1.00%23,962.18+4.98%0.0100✗1.00427.9M2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1269-1.02%1.2251+7.61%0.0325✗1.0547k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003691-1.04%0.00383+2.68%0.0260✓1.29551k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7797-1.07%2.108+17.18%0.1384✗0.64189k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058072-1.07%0.0607+3.41%0.0251✓1.43350k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011701-1.09%0.0000124+4.82%0.0026✓1.25986k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109663-1.12%0.1219+9.92%0.0449✗1.25505k2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9587-1.13%4.7-6.28%0.0619✓0.17219k2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061293-1.14%0.1362+119.68%0.7627✗0.74159k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.389699-1.15%0.46429+17.77%0.1172✗1.19118k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133337-1.16%0.1428+5.86%0.0068✓1.2761k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11155.2455-1.19%167.53+6.63%0.0225✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127268-1.19%0.1324+2.80%0.0089✓1.004,9522022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.24316-1.19%0.2649+7.64%0.0262✗1.22110k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.5641-1.24%62.292+3.28%0.0042✓0.83330k2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.947985-1.25%1.072+11.67%0.0598✗1.30532k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.114529-1.27%0.1265+9.05%0.0472✗1.07370k2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041891-1.29%0.00004643+9.40%0.0467✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.5002-1.30%1.52+0.00%0.0017✓0.30221k2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.44e-7-1.31%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0790✓0.99170k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.197283-1.31%0.2383+19.21%0.1210✗1.401,1742022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.734215-1.32%0.884+18.82%0.1265✗1.22895k2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9237-1.36%3.098+4.52%0.0037✓1.11597k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.095879-1.36%0.1008+3.70%0.0085✓1.206,5342022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.1044-1.36%54.6+11.95%0.0734✗1.10574k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.322235-1.37%0.3644+11.54%0.0683✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.8934-1.37%9.529+19.07%0.1290✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.396596-1.39%0.4648+15.56%0.0947✗1.32127k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6962-1.40%1.8733+8.89%0.0376✗1.27530k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.9715-1.41%65.2+16.93%0.1030✗1.3934k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.414-1.43%4.752+6.12%0.0463✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.257461-1.43%0.2616+0.15%0.0154✗0.0129k2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004495-1.43%0.00485+6.36%0.0126✓1.31112k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.45958-1.44%0.4979+6.78%0.0198✗1.24892k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6334-1.44%2.928+9.58%0.0208✗1.75109k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077143-1.45%0.08525+8.90%0.0644✗0.731,0202022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.639507-1.46%0.71796+10.63%0.0422✗1.5188k2022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3391-1.46%1.444+6.25%0.0133✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6615-1.47%12.16+12.38%0.0732✗1.20259k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.227697-1.47%0.2326+0.65%0.0502✓1.4789k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.01742-1.47%0.01893+7.07%0.0431✗0.82207k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9793.5659-1.48%111.17+17.06%0.0919✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,594.70-1.49%1,854.12+14.54%0.0887✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.009-1.49%1.0722+4.67%0.0150✗0.9460k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7673-1.52%3.04+8.19%0.0202✗1.52198k2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030332-1.52%0.03249+5.49%0.0054✓1.301,3502022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.330759-1.53%0.369005+9.86%0.0477✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.6532-1.54%31.37+7.80%0.0445✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.508998-1.55%0.532+2.90%0.0116✓1.1513k2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5537.9518-1.55%42.5+10.25%0.0467✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2394-1.56%1.348+7.07%0.0235✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1207-1.56%3.02-4.73%0.0568✓0.49102k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7856.8716-1.57%61.61+6.63%0.0239✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020965-1.57%0.02661+24.93%0.1890✗1.02159k2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003091-1.58%0.003961+26.11%0.1999✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.0033-1.59%11.986+17.91%0.1149✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.185015-1.61%0.19756+5.06%0.0469✓2.311,1512022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.3204-1.61%62.92+2.63%0.0148✓1.17379k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4069-1.62%1.58+10.49%0.0475✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001069-1.62%0.001521+39.94%0.2922✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7131.5161-1.63%142.18+6.34%0.0197✗1.204.5M2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.0656-1.64%1.133+4.58%0.0054✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.8684-1.64%21.93+27.87%0.1957✗1.37116k2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.160346-1.65%0.17975+10.25%0.0396✗1.53212k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1641-1.66%9.062+24.39%0.1742✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057527-1.66%0.0686+17.26%0.1136✗1.28799k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8338-1.66%4.1947+7.59%0.0372✗1.0945k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.492513-1.67%0.5376+7.33%0.0291✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.466404-1.69%0.5471+15.32%0.1051✗1.1246k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048457-1.69%0.052134+5.77%0.0150✓1.2035k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6601-1.71%1.849+9.47%0.0382✗1.43341k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9626-1.72%2.075+3.91%0.0061✓1.27626k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3178-1.74%6.71+4.35%0.0073✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015509-1.75%0.015766-0.12%0.0271✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.776165-1.75%0.976+23.54%0.1707✗1.20225k2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6478-1.75%2.856+5.97%0.0062✓1.4349k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8560.7616-1.76%78.7+27.24%0.1979✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.115918-1.76%0.1462+23.90%0.1654✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054737-1.78%0.057508+3.19%0.0212✗0.5824k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.888802-1.79%0.98+8.29%0.0117✓1.77513k2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006578-1.79%0.006078-9.26%0.1041✓0.5239k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.43e-7-1.80%0.00000101+5.21%0.0282✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.047453-1.83%0.05257+8.75%0.0593✗0.8915k2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.8796-1.84%5.97-0.33%0.0177✓0.68725k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.398393-1.85%0.41642+2.59%0.0229✓1.38583k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.325801-1.87%0.34+2.41%0.0078✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.592312-1.87%0.6574+8.91%0.0488✗1.14690k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4246-1.88%4.9377+9.50%0.0734✗0.75920k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066912-1.89%0.0739+8.36%0.0537✗0.94229k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019565-1.92%0.020275+1.63%0.0151✓0.42165k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001671-1.95%0.001757+3.11%0.0002✓1.039,4962022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.0426-1.96%0.04665+7.36%0.0451✗0.942,3002022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040485-1.97%0.0441+6.78%0.0259✗1.2376k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057149-1.97%0.0635+8.92%0.0377✗1.39167k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1327-1.99%2.3862+9.66%0.0540✗1.2032k2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.084361-2.02%0.0919+6.74%0.0297✗1.15128k2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.5742-2.02%29.18+26.65%0.1798✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.997176-2.03%1.4709+44.52%0.3329✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009559-2.06%0.01031+5.64%0.0328✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002208-2.07%0.002157-4.35%0.0722✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.751132-2.07%0.883+15.12%0.1123✗1.02377k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.60e-7-2.07%0.00000103+5.10%0.0221✗1.0025k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.8086-2.11%18.55+8.04%0.0350✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4281-2.11%1.6203+11.06%0.0583✗1.40675k2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.430481-2.14%0.4553+3.50%0.0158✓1.48278k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008493-2.16%0.00896+3.23%0.0087✓1.28375k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8001-2.17%3.057+66.14%0.4675✗1.28430k2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7422-2.19%4.079+6.61%0.0576✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1961-2.22%2.452+9.17%0.0429✗1.38177k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.8896-2.22%4.046+1.71%0.0057✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8171-2.25%4.198+7.50%0.0535✗0.86922k2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.419-2.26%2.734+10.46%0.0791✗0.89110k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0108-2.27%1.1615+12.30%0.0963✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097683-2.29%0.00009856-1.41%0.0901✓2.04536k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.6798-2.30%8.348+6.20%0.0241✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.312617-2.31%0.3479+8.72%0.0503✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.669815-2.36%0.766+11.66%0.0625✗1.47106k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.581887-2.37%0.6261+5.05%0.0157✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0793-2.38%1.145+3.56%0.0053✓1.1111k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.454465-2.40%0.48951+5.13%0.0371✗0.7668k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.154942-2.43%0.1861+17.19%0.1229✗1.24508k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.130538-2.44%0.1532+14.50%0.1073✗1.09779k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.166603-2.46%0.1819+6.50%0.0285✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.141203-2.48%0.1704+17.68%0.1419✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8558-2.51%6.395+28.39%0.2497✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.310236-2.53%0.3078-3.30%0.0619✓1.11294k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.616896-2.54%0.697+10.11%0.0540✗1.4088k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.776-2.54%2.9592+3.89%0.0162✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053182-2.60%0.0548+0.37%0.0322✓1.28284k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.2393-2.62%17.7+21.05%0.1617✗1.1563k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.67-2.66%9.22+3.51%0.0060✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.6583-2.78%5.68-2.41%0.0249✓0.59873k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.0936-2.79%1.046-7.02%0.0762✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.2966-2.80%1.3894+4.15%0.0037✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022394-2.87%0.024212+5.01%0.0312✗0.9611k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.085447-2.91%0.08979+2.02%0.0369✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.338992-2.93%0.36767+5.28%0.0177✓1.3113k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.6568-2.97%3.0285+10.61%0.0549✗1.5612k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.8457-2.98%8.306+2.71%0.0062✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.972728-2.99%0.9791-2.35%0.0769✓1.72211k2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.074983-3.00%0.0827+6.99%0.0442✗1.11952k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9631-3.01%2.049+1.24%0.0258✓1.41255k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.524805-3.01%0.537-0.76%0.0452✓1.40222k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1667-3.02%3.2108-1.67%0.0232✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.255-3.06%3.3964+1.15%0.0007✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9228-3.10%4.92-3.15%0.0346✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036311-3.14%0.03296-12.08%0.1668✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.308176-3.15%0.4951+55.59%0.4192✗1.1377k2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.392-3.16%2.59+4.86%0.0271✓1.08398k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.2471-3.17%8.75-8.38%0.0789✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18101.8162-3.20%126.64+20.40%0.1701✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,372.60-3.29%11,510.60+7.32%0.0349✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.754065-3.33%0.79+1.28%0.0242✓1.453,6872022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4415.8901-3.34%16.17-1.64%0.0509✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.078467-3.38%0.10427+28.40%0.2120✗1.49786k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.0922-3.42%47.24+33.82%0.2328✗1.92251k2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.084614-3.53%0.08743-0.32%0.0336✓1.3629k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.787071-3.55%0.88+7.84%0.0270✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.5767-3.59%4.199+13.18%0.0758✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.5778-3.84%38.68+39.94%0.3093✗1.36773k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03720.99707-3.87%1.1836+14.12%0.1204✗1.0513k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0634.6556-3.89%38.83+7.68%0.0455✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.1769-3.94%5.43-15.55%0.1585✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.1119-3.95%21.15-3.78%0.0395✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.2815-4.18%10.61-1.12%0.0358✓1.38334k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.8459-4.49%7.116-0.73%0.0456✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8552-6.91%1.569-21.27%0.2634✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.