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2022-08-03 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2449
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.78%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.8%
in alpha space · 13.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8281-8.28%1.569-21.27%0.2486✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.1783-3.65%21.15-3.78%0.0426✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.1306-3.36%17.7+21.05%0.1694✗1.1563k2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.3847-3.22%10.61-1.12%0.0458✓1.38334k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017112-3.22%0.01893+7.07%0.0609✗0.82207k2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000096916-3.05%0.00009856-1.41%0.0822✓2.04536k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.87865-2.91%0.98+8.29%0.0232✓1.77513k2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9671-2.81%2.049+1.24%0.0278✓1.41255k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.166042-2.79%0.1819+6.50%0.0319✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1686.9694-2.77%7.116-0.73%0.0635✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.140808-2.76%0.1704+17.68%0.1447✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.975434-2.72%0.9791-2.35%0.0797✓1.72211k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.991107-2.62%1.4709+44.52%0.3390✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040228-2.59%0.0441+6.78%0.0323✗1.2376k2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.794928-2.58%0.88+7.84%0.0171✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.661-2.54%8.348+6.20%0.0265✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.40e-7-2.49%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0670✓0.99170k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.760586-2.49%0.79+1.28%0.0328✓1.453,6872022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6426.9556-2.48%38.68+39.94%0.2952✗1.36773k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.8875-2.47%8.306+2.71%0.0009✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2754-2.45%3.3964+1.15%0.0069✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.076366-2.45%0.08525+8.90%0.0745✗0.731,0202022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.254814-2.44%0.2616+0.15%0.0257✗0.0129k2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8596-2.44%6.395+28.39%0.2489✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019465-2.43%0.020275+1.63%0.0203✓0.42165k2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,466.12-2.41%11,510.60+7.32%0.0259✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.310625-2.41%0.3078-3.30%0.0631✓1.11294k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036589-2.40%0.03296-12.08%0.1744✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001061-2.38%0.001521+39.94%0.2999✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.6309-2.38%2.856+5.97%0.0126✓1.4349k2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.528335-2.36%0.537-0.76%0.0519✓1.40222k2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008478-2.33%0.00896+3.23%0.0069✓1.28375k2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6241-2.31%4.199+13.18%0.0626✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.1941-2.31%2.452+9.17%0.0438✗1.38177k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.396536-2.31%0.41642+2.59%0.0182✓1.38583k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.0968-2.31%3.02-4.73%0.0491✓0.49102k2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2815-2.31%5.43-15.55%0.1753✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.4722-2.31%65.2+16.93%0.1122✗1.3934k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001665-2.31%0.001757+3.11%0.0038✓1.039,4962022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.758-2.28%2.108+17.18%0.1507✗0.64189k2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6508-2.26%1.849+9.47%0.0439✗1.43341k2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3767-2.26%4.752+6.12%0.0548✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.5234-2.24%29.18+26.65%0.1820✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.463945-2.20%0.5471+15.32%0.1104✗1.1246k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.61913-2.19%0.697+10.11%0.0504✗1.4088k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.130872-2.19%0.1532+14.50%0.1048✗1.09779k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.59e-7-2.17%0.00000103+5.10%0.0231✗1.0025k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.195-2.16%3.2108-1.67%0.0321✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.129-2.15%2.3862+9.66%0.0557✗1.2032k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.126033-2.15%0.1324+2.80%0.0009✓1.004,9522022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9792.9425-2.13%111.17+17.06%0.0986✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.08584-2.13%0.08743-0.32%0.0480✓1.3629k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.2955-2.12%38.83+7.68%0.0272✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.750744-2.12%0.883+15.12%0.1128✗1.02377k2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9551-2.10%2.075+3.91%0.0023✓1.27626k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4001-2.09%1.58+10.49%0.0523✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.084304-2.09%0.0919+6.74%0.0303✗1.15128k2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.0543-2.08%62.292+3.28%0.0128✓0.83330k2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053479-2.05%0.0548+0.37%0.0378✓1.28284k2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0132-2.04%1.1615+12.30%0.0940✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006562-2.03%0.006078-9.26%0.1017✓0.5239k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.583947-2.02%0.6261+5.05%0.0122✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.506685-2.00%0.532+2.90%0.0071✓1.1513k2022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.456381-1.99%0.48951+5.13%0.0329✗0.7668k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.202904-1.98%0.2472+19.42%0.1340✗1.311,6972022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.042593-1.97%0.04665+7.36%0.0453✗0.942,3002022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18103.1222-1.96%126.64+20.40%0.1573✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.308-1.95%1.3894+4.15%0.0124✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.057362-1.95%0.0686+17.26%0.1165✗1.28799k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1033-1.93%1.046-7.02%0.0850✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015481-1.93%0.015766-0.12%0.0253✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003658-1.93%0.00383+2.68%0.0170✓1.29551k2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.079647-1.92%0.10427+28.40%0.1971✗1.49786k2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002212-1.89%0.002157-4.35%0.0740✓1.001.5M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.673169-1.87%0.766+11.66%0.0575✗1.47106k2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.1649-1.87%62.92+2.63%0.0122✓1.17379k2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.1354-1.85%16.17-1.64%0.0662✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.066956-1.82%0.0739+8.36%0.0530✗0.94229k2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6234-1.82%12.16+12.38%0.0768✗1.20259k2022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030706-1.80%0.03518+12.50%0.0760✗1.2314k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.054725-1.80%0.057508+3.19%0.0214✗0.5824k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.637279-1.80%0.71796+10.63%0.0457✗1.5188k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.064-1.79%1.133+4.58%0.0039✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7575-1.79%4.079+6.61%0.0536✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.057653-1.78%0.0607+3.41%0.0179✓1.43350k2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.155972-1.78%0.1861+17.19%0.1162✗1.24508k2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.775954-1.78%0.976+23.54%0.1710✗1.20225k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3167-1.76%6.71+4.35%0.0071✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4933-1.76%1.52+0.00%0.0029✓0.30221k2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.184744-1.75%0.19756+5.06%0.0454✓2.311,1512022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.991-1.75%4.92-3.15%0.0484✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.7516-1.75%9.22+3.51%0.0154✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9129-1.72%3.098+4.52%0.0075✓1.11597k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8086-1.70%3.057+66.14%0.4628✗1.28430k2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.7025-1.69%47.24+33.82%0.2151✗1.92251k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.241941-1.69%0.2649+7.64%0.0312✗1.22110k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7131.4509-1.68%142.18+6.34%0.0202✗1.204.5M2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.432515-1.68%0.4553+3.50%0.0205✓1.48278k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7225-1.68%5.68-2.41%0.0362✓0.59873k2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.492581-1.66%0.5376+7.33%0.0290✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003089-1.65%0.003961+26.11%0.2006✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004485-1.65%0.00485+6.36%0.0147✓1.31112k2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.132677-1.65%0.1428+5.86%0.0118✓1.2761k2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.72782-1.65%0.77+4.05%0.0274✗0.5983k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.0096-1.64%0.01031+5.64%0.0285✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.114104-1.63%0.1265+9.05%0.0509✗1.07370k2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109097-1.63%0.1219+9.92%0.0500✗1.25505k2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6287-1.62%2.928+9.58%0.0226✗1.75109k2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.0004-1.62%11.986+17.91%0.1152✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5741-1.62%1.82+13.75%0.0809✗1.32122k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.401-1.56%8.75-8.38%0.0954✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7667-1.54%3.04+8.19%0.0204✗1.52198k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4365-1.54%1.6203+11.06%0.0524✗1.40675k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.095708-1.53%0.1008+3.70%0.0067✓1.206,5342022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.3383-1.53%1.444+6.25%0.0139✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.061059-1.52%0.1362+119.68%0.7665✗0.74159k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.1745-1.52%9.062+24.39%0.1727✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030336-1.51%0.03249+5.49%0.0053✓1.301,3502022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.6948-1.49%1.8733+8.89%0.0385✗1.27530k2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.227658-1.49%0.2326+0.65%0.0500✓1.4789k2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.086721-1.46%0.08979+2.02%0.0221✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.0638-1.45%54.6+11.95%0.0742✗1.10574k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011659-1.45%0.0000124+4.82%0.0010✓1.25986k2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.315387-1.44%0.3479+8.72%0.0414✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9211-1.43%4.046+1.71%0.0024✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.241-1.43%1.348+7.07%0.0222✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01514.9436-1.43%4.7-6.28%0.0589✓0.17219k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7856.9578-1.42%61.61+6.63%0.0224✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.905-1.42%5.97-0.33%0.0220✓0.68725k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.322089-1.41%0.3644+11.54%0.0687✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.331179-1.40%0.369005+9.86%0.0464✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.388734-1.39%0.46429+17.77%0.1197✗1.19118k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.246029-1.39%0.266+6.61%0.0214✗1.17768k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.809-1.39%2.9592+3.89%0.0044✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076256-1.35%0.0827+6.99%0.0274✗1.11952k2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.9386-1.35%18.55+8.04%0.0273✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,597.03-1.35%1,854.12+14.54%0.0872✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4417-1.34%2.734+10.46%0.0697✗0.89110k2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.595583-1.33%0.6574+8.91%0.0433✗1.14690k2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8533-1.32%4.198+7.50%0.0440✗0.86922k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.73417-1.32%0.884+18.82%0.1266✗1.22895k2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.011-1.30%1.0722+4.67%0.0131✗0.9460k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,558.13-1.25%23,919.30+4.71%0.0109✓0.9814k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.314234-1.25%0.4951+55.59%0.3997✗1.1377k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.0854-1.24%78.7+27.24%0.1926✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11155.2005-1.22%167.53+6.63%0.0228✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.065398-1.21%0.071244+7.62%0.0287✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.256665-1.21%0.2716+4.54%0.0023✓1.1265k2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4404-1.20%2.59+4.86%0.0071✓1.08398k2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.8523-1.19%4.1947+7.59%0.0324✗1.0945k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.539002-1.16%0.6134+12.49%0.0741✗1.14335k2022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008096-1.15%0.00837+2.20%0.0106✓0.901.6M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.1086-1.14%42.5+10.25%0.0426✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.949033-1.14%1.072+11.67%0.0587✗1.30532k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045281-1.13%0.0495+8.08%0.0258✗1.309,0132022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000041968-1.11%0.00004643+9.40%0.0448✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.210658-1.10%0.229+7.51%0.0099✓1.51786k2022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.49e-7-1.09%0.00000101+5.21%0.0211✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.126-1.09%1.2251+7.61%0.0333✗1.0547k2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.047825-1.06%0.05257+8.75%0.0515✗0.8915k2022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116754-1.06%0.1462+23.90%0.1582✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.113013-1.03%0.125982+10.33%0.0605✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.161397-1.01%0.17975+10.25%0.0331✗1.53212k2022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.8077-1.00%31.37+7.80%0.0391✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.197896-1.00%0.2383+19.21%0.1179✗1.401,1742022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4647-0.99%4.9377+9.50%0.0644✗0.75920k2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.9327-0.95%10.779+7.49%0.0281✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,608.43-0.95%23,962.18+4.98%0.0095✗1.00427.9M2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.022845-0.91%0.024212+5.01%0.0112✗0.9611k2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.153784-0.91%0.1652+6.44%0.0118✗1.23102k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.32904-0.89%0.34+2.41%0.0177✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048861-0.87%0.052134+5.77%0.0066✓1.2035k2022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021115-0.87%0.02661+24.93%0.1819✗1.02159k2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.306704-0.84%0.37799+22.20%0.1542✗1.13398k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1517.0107-0.81%21.93+27.87%0.1873✗1.37116k2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067271-0.78%0.070307+3.70%0.0108✗0.69364k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0292-0.77%1.1836+14.12%0.0887✗1.0513k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.0971-0.77%1.145+3.56%0.0111✓1.1111k2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9432-0.75%9.529+19.07%0.1227✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057867-0.74%0.0635+8.92%0.0252✗1.39167k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.346758-0.71%0.36767+5.28%0.0050✓1.3113k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7214-0.61%3.0285+10.61%0.0309✗1.5612k2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006179-0.46%0.006634+6.87%0.0302✗0.848,9962022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.4004-0.45%0.4648+15.56%0.0852✗1.32127k2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.464354-0.42%0.4979+6.78%0.0094✗1.24892k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.