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2022-08-01 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0480
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.56%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.6%
in alpha space · 20.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.734157-5.21%0.6064-21.70%0.2180✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4377-4.91%1.899+25.60%0.2326✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0919-4.21%0.9875-13.36%0.1384✓1.65205k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.2559-4.20%5.62-13.94%0.1214✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.37-4.12%7.314+10.08%0.0983✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0233.5974-4.06%38.06+8.68%0.0922✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.143352-4.05%0.1526+2.14%0.0371✓1.11698k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.035-3.99%1.1739+8.90%0.1023✗1.0313k2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.4266-3.98%8.73-0.52%0.0109✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.798349-3.93%0.841+1.20%0.0178✓1.493,6872022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.3626-3.79%30.04+5.63%0.0613✗1.39641k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,187.94-3.65%11,448.81-1.40%0.0091✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6025-3.57%5.71-1.72%0.0050✓0.61732k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.5162-3.56%21.84+13.75%0.1453✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.1717-3.46%3.4773+5.85%0.0715✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.077751-3.41%0.11272+40.02%0.3369✗1.50773k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.081369-3.35%0.08557+1.64%0.0194✓1.3429k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.524-3.31%8.84-10.25%0.0866✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6232.5097-3.30%45.63+35.72%0.2943✗1.94229k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.486-3.30%4.095+13.59%0.1212✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46100.1266-3.22%128.79+24.48%0.2284✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.833579-3.18%0.898+4.30%0.0347✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.313531-3.17%0.5111+57.84%0.4623✗1.1576k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.08956-3.03%0.08629-6.57%0.0428✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.03569-3.02%0.03513-4.54%0.0509✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.919-2.98%5.02-0.99%0.0040✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.022918-2.98%0.023579-0.18%0.0059✓0.989,6292022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.524495-2.89%0.561+3.87%0.0348✗1.41234k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.335561-2.87%0.36941+6.92%0.0658✗1.3112k2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.7776-2.85%3.0082+5.22%0.0437✗1.5612k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.7811-2.81%16.74+18.05%0.1621✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2695-2.81%1.4281+9.33%0.0831✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3496-2.75%2.498+3.39%0.0287✗1.41177k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1665-2.72%1.1648-2.87%0.0268✓1.1010k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3259-2.68%2.74+14.64%0.1392✗1.07301k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0251.9712-2.66%3.023+49.28%0.3983✗1.27415k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.629035-2.63%0.697+7.89%0.0703✗1.4088k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.00914-2.56%0.00911-2.88%0.0324✓1.26359k2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.051844-2.55%0.0543+2.07%0.0175✓1.25269k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.327606-2.50%0.3474+3.39%0.0314✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5356-2.48%1.6087+2.16%0.0135✓1.44589k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0532-2.48%1.084+0.37%0.0127✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.150319-2.45%0.1674+8.63%0.0849✗0.993.5M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8438-2.44%2.058+8.89%0.0771✗1.42234k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.459683-2.40%0.4659-1.08%0.0204✓1.47273k2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.173356-2.39%0.1804+1.58%0.0109✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7303-2.38%2.9975+7.18%0.0709✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1418-2.38%8.259-0.97%0.0144✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.8043-2.33%6.031+22.61%0.2147✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000102384-2.30%0.00009929-5.25%0.0754✓1.94592k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8787-2.25%3.2115+9.05%0.0916✗0.77978k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.168167-2.23%0.1759+2.27%0.0162✓1.25491k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134314.7974-2.23%19.4666+28.63%0.2472✗1.1868k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.476315-2.22%0.48293-0.86%0.0043✓0.7863k2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063394-2.17%0.062-4.32%0.0553✓1.44154k2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.299301-2.16%0.3126+2.19%0.0176✓1.12300k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.5015-2.12%18.67+4.42%0.0336✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.1883-2.11%8.791+5.09%0.0388✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.7958-2.10%3.99+2.91%0.0296✗0.88754k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.0599-2.08%4.1656+0.47%0.0005✓1.0939k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7691-2.07%4.125+7.17%0.0765✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.0104-2.05%1.0662+3.36%0.0269✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.050634-2.04%0.05269+1.93%0.0190✓0.9015k2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010004-2.02%0.01044+2.25%0.0205✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.1146-2.02%27.92+18.36%0.1521✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.716322-2.01%0.767+4.92%0.0341✗1.4980k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.935841-2.01%0.944-1.15%0.0321✓1.77513k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.919969-2.01%1.1662+24.22%0.2166✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002381-1.96%0.00224-7.78%0.0842✓1.001.8M2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.3874-1.96%2.626+7.84%0.0741✗0.92105k2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1617.8058-1.95%19.15+5.45%0.0412✗1.37116k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.89-1.94%2.9-1.59%0.0293✓1.4349k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8589-1.91%4.04+2.69%0.0293✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9838-1.90%6.04-0.98%0.0059✓0.66623k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.52e-7-1.87%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0202✗0.836.4M2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.045317-1.87%0.04665+1.02%0.0069✓0.962,3002022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.757613-1.86%0.835+8.16%0.0746✗0.99377k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.42e-7-1.84%0.000001+4.17%0.0363✗1.0025k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084236-1.82%0.0896+4.43%0.0346✗1.18137k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019635-1.82%0.018974-5.12%0.0461✓0.51165k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021172-1.80%0.029+34.51%0.2909✗1.03159k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.3377-1.78%4.9055+11.07%0.1062✗0.73916k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.608658-1.77%0.6657+7.44%0.0630✗1.16642k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9869-1.73%2.141+5.89%0.0453✗1.28637k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050554-1.73%0.052476+2.00%0.0100✓1.1938k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6740.9525-1.72%42.2+1.27%0.0013✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.405719-1.72%0.42203+2.24%0.0073✓1.39583k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.121492-1.71%0.1491+20.63%0.1730✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.141363-1.69%0.1447+0.63%0.0062✓1.2859k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.3961-1.68%1.56+9.86%0.0779✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4006-1.68%6.92+6.30%0.0458✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.329381-1.68%0.339+1.19%0.0050✓1.03959k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2246-1.68%11.817+13.64%0.1131✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.162641-1.67%0.17585+6.31%0.0426✗1.54212k2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.2385-1.66%31.49+2.41%0.0186✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040614-1.66%0.0454+9.93%0.0831✗1.2371k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2306-1.65%2.385+5.15%0.0385✗1.2329k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3011-1.65%1.351+2.12%0.0090✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.779957-1.64%0.894+12.74%0.1081✗1.23218k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066317-1.61%0.0737+9.35%0.0835✗0.96229k2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.069374-1.60%0.0826+17.16%0.1497✗1.08567k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8727-1.59%10.19+27.37%0.2265✗1.37263k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8761.8819-1.57%77.53+23.32%0.1966✗1.251.5M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.504769-1.57%0.5372+4.76%0.0335✗1.2541.9M2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.0817-1.55%102.58+6.21%0.0377✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.2354-1.55%64.6+0.58%0.0059✓1.18354k2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,605.74-1.54%1,777.36+8.99%0.0726✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87135.7495-1.54%143.54+4.11%0.0284✗1.194.3M2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.4575-1.54%8.607+13.64%0.1143✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.511052-1.53%0.553+6.55%0.0525✗1.1513k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0783-1.53%11.72+4.18%0.0284✗1.21243k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.700747-1.52%0.69895-1.77%0.0374✓1.5188k2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.18958-1.52%0.19653+2.09%0.0173✓2.311,2222022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4758.5722-1.51%62.61+5.28%0.0401✗1.1613.6M2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014791-1.50%0.016131+7.42%0.0664✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.958.038-1.46%62.01+5.28%0.0342✗1.3932k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.06031-1.45%0.068+11.11%0.0900✗1.30799k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001672-1.45%0.001764+3.95%0.0298✗1.0211k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.6933-1.44%1.875+9.14%0.0686✗1.45327k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004711-1.43%0.00474-0.84%0.0242✓1.32112k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001081-1.42%0.001192+8.77%0.0688✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.417906-1.41%0.4704+10.97%0.0878✗1.33127k2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.35764-1.41%0.363104+0.09%0.0147✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69158.4733-1.38%167.1+3.99%0.0274✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119042-1.37%0.1267+4.97%0.0377✗1.07352k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003212-1.34%0.003433+5.44%0.0430✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.7957-1.33%1.894+4.07%0.0242✗1.26492k2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.490072-1.31%0.5796+16.71%0.1420✗1.1247k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9215-1.30%3.052+3.11%0.0180✗1.12619k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0649-1.30%1.2133+12.46%0.0979✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.0032-1.29%1.0855+6.81%0.0485✗1.32525k2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4046-1.29%1.438+1.05%0.0057✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.414029-1.28%0.42996+2.52%0.0099✓1.21118k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5323-1.28%2.889+12.63%0.0914✗1.7595k2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.227777-1.27%0.2285-0.95%0.0310✓1.4897k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.338079-1.26%0.3629+5.99%0.0446✗1.147.7M2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.000044574-1.25%0.00004589+1.66%0.0024✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7549.1264-1.25%56.22+13.01%0.1094✗1.11574k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0057-1.25%1.0843+6.46%0.0532✗0.9660k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2304-1.25%1.2304-1.25%0.0245✓1.0643k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7727-1.24%2.06+14.76%0.1355✗0.64189k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.455688-1.22%0.5085+10.23%0.0810✗1.25778k2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5414-1.20%1.55-0.64%0.0006✓0.22268k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017687-1.19%0.01763-1.51%0.0213✓0.78229k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8264-1.18%3.02+5.59%0.0313✗1.52192k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2911-1.17%3.05-8.41%0.0874✓0.4994k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.0847-1.17%9.276+13.40%0.1089✗1.2410.0M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.26263-1.16%0.2624-1.24%0.0268✓1.13768k2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.204654-1.13%0.2282+10.24%0.0768✗1.401,1792022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.258896-1.11%0.2614-0.15%0.0094✓0.0128k2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011838-1.10%0.00001229+2.67%0.0091✓1.23986k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078163-1.03%0.08965+13.51%0.1203✗0.731,1722022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,033.63-1.03%23,815.65+2.33%0.0104✓1.00414.2M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.260387-1.03%0.2624-0.27%0.0206✓1.23101k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.3192-1.03%4.707+7.86%0.0726✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124239-1.00%0.1317+4.94%0.0355✗0.994,9522022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.063468-0.99%0.1545+141.03%0.8710✗0.81155k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.274271-0.99%0.2733-1.34%0.0283✓1.0867k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056674-0.98%0.05725+0.03%0.0037✓0.6022k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068071-0.95%0.070056+1.94%0.0023✓1.151.7M2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.115111-0.94%0.1199+3.18%0.0108✗1.30472k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.720559-0.89%0.774+6.46%0.0436✗1.21806k2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059678-0.87%0.0607+0.83%0.0153✓1.40339k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.02975-0.86%0.03333+11.06%0.0836✗1.311,2932022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.55268-0.85%0.6088+9.22%0.0705✗1.14341k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.1723-0.83%62.317+2.70%0.0156✗0.85345k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.27e-7-0.78%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0082✗0.96178k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003722-0.76%0.00377+0.53%0.0172✓1.31559k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.306816-0.75%0.33107+7.10%0.0492✗1.17398k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1516-0.74%4.8-7.51%0.0755✓0.21210k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.006601-0.74%0.0063-5.26%0.0590✓0.5438k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117439-0.73%0.130156+10.02%0.0799✗0.996.8M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163529-0.71%0.163-1.03%0.0318✓1.2494k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008363-0.68%0.00837-0.59%0.0202✓0.911.6M2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.209253-0.64%0.2677+27.11%0.2151✗1.361,6972022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.094494-0.64%0.1038+9.15%0.0662✗1.216,7862022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9023-0.61%10.767+8.07%0.0588✗1.082.1M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031853-0.58%0.0332+3.62%0.0129✗1.2414k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048028-0.56%0.0517+7.04%0.0427✗1.347,6872022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.621-0.55%1.85+13.50%0.1006✗1.37114k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.21983-0.53%0.23+4.07%0.0104✗1.51821k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.069646-0.47%0.070047+0.11%0.0121✓0.78373k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.776769-0.41%0.79+1.28%0.0030✓0.6179k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006295-0.41%0.006716+6.25%0.0440✗0.909,1592022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,083.53-0.38%23,846.60+2.91%0.0100✗0.9814k2022-08-08
SGBSongbirdnative0.02450.024453-0.19%0.0249+1.63%0.0063✗0.5143k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.