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2022-07-29 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1256
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
15.1%
in alpha space · 26.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8431.6593-9.97%1.946+5.59%0.1982✗1.971.1M2022-08-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011340.010852-4.30%0.00904-20.28%0.1579✓1.26355k2022-08-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.5338.8263-4.20%38.27-5.58%0.0134✓1.411.3M2022-08-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.3933.2539-4.10%3.4602+1.98%0.0789✗0.891.0M2022-08-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,870.2710,434.81-4.01%12,281.30+12.98%0.1902✗1.394.0M2022-08-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.852911-3.95%0.875-1.46%0.0595✗1.735.2M2022-08-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.5212.0658-3.63%12.03-3.91%0.0210✓1.22241k2022-08-05
XVSVenusEthereum7.647.369-3.55%6.65-12.96%0.0752✓1.401.0M2022-08-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.088.7632-3.49%10.63+17.07%0.2199✗1.36256k2022-08-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0531.9814-3.49%2.025-1.36%0.0499✗1.43220k2022-08-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.079620.076928-3.38%0.08336+4.70%0.1099✗1.50768k2022-08-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.95162.8654-2.92%3.2379+9.70%0.1374✗0.77941k2022-08-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8482.765-2.91%2.845-0.11%0.0566✗1.4243k2022-08-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.429780.417683-2.81%0.42795-0.43%0.0517✗1.39592k2022-08-05
MOVRMoonriverBase14.213.8043-2.79%15.3166+7.86%0.1272✗1.1870k2022-08-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.067.8399-2.73%8.382+4.00%0.0916✗1.255.5M2022-08-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash151.84147.6945-2.73%141.93-6.53%0.0164✓1.193.9M2022-08-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.9820.955477-2.70%0.939-4.38%0.0172✓1.76516k2022-08-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.4422.8078-2.70%32.59+39.04%0.3841✗1.38534k2022-08-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5214.3993-2.69%5.341+18.14%0.2047✗0.542.0M2022-08-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.043.9313-2.69%4.061+0.52%0.0666✗1.743.8M2022-08-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000990.000096338-2.69%0.00010097+1.99%0.0856✗1.96646k2022-08-05
APEApeCoinEthereum6.676.4924-2.66%7.573+13.54%0.1872✗1.6911.5M2022-08-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018940.018436-2.66%0.01819-3.96%0.0014✓0.75258k2022-08-05
DODODODOEthereum0.17280.168212-2.66%0.1844+6.71%0.1167✗1.262.9M2022-08-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.545.395-2.62%5.69+2.71%0.0654✗0.62786k2022-08-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.029960.029198-2.54%0.03628+21.09%0.2473✗1.5311.5M2022-08-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4394.3261-2.54%4.72+6.33%0.0987✗0.591.2M2022-08-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.28132.2255-2.45%2.3513+3.07%0.0794✗1.2424k2022-08-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV65.86964.2608-2.44%62.05-5.80%0.0183✓0.85398k2022-08-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.088030.085913-2.40%0.0866-1.62%0.0343✗1.3428k2022-08-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.12920.126141-2.37%0.1459+12.93%0.1672✗1.10617k2022-08-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03880.037882-2.37%0.0451+16.24%0.1984✗1.2268k2022-08-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.019090.018641-2.35%0.020288+6.28%0.0943✗0.49165k2022-08-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4117.0009-2.35%21.35+22.63%0.2450✗0.882.4M2022-08-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8613.7709-2.33%3.911+1.30%0.0482✗0.601.5M2022-08-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8330.813673-2.32%0.824-1.08%0.0418✗1.482,9182022-08-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.5123.9453-2.30%24.97+1.88%0.0733✗1.5927.5M2022-08-05
QTUMQtumQtum4.664.553-2.30%4.0794-12.46%0.0883✓1.0932k2022-08-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.96780.945625-2.29%0.9869+1.97%0.0748✗1.63205k2022-08-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.8611.8185-2.29%3.073+65.13%0.5371✗0.63223k2022-08-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.61461.5782-2.25%1.6-0.90%0.0418✗1.43609k2022-08-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05480.053587-2.21%0.0559+2.01%0.0666✗1.24263k2022-08-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.52130.509889-2.19%0.5694+9.23%0.1301✗1.00234k2022-08-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.132254-2.18%0.1507+11.46%0.1501✗0.993.5M2022-08-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49820.487411-2.17%0.5966+19.75%0.2242✗1.1242k2022-08-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.659.4424-2.15%8.9-7.77%0.0488✓0.521.0M2022-08-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.9840.962865-2.15%1.0748+9.23%0.1330✗1.171.2M2022-08-05
UNIUniswapEthereum9.0858.8907-2.14%8.972-1.24%0.0366✗1.407.0M2022-08-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.32080.313968-2.13%0.3054-4.80%0.0055✓1.13309k2022-08-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3862.3355-2.11%2.333-2.22%0.0268✗1.42169k2022-08-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.51.4683-2.11%1.51+0.67%0.0563✗1.441.0M2022-08-05
KSMKusamaHydration63.8762.5232-2.11%63.5-0.58%0.0388✗1.18257k2022-08-05
BANDBandEthereum1.6741.6388-2.11%1.831+9.38%0.1394✗1.45316k2022-08-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7710.754798-2.10%0.758-1.69%0.0337✗1.5080k2022-08-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.155.0433-2.07%5.7+10.68%0.1344✗0.61587k2022-08-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.17110.9398-2.07%10.966-1.84%0.0293✗1.3715.1M2022-08-05
DIADIAEthereum0.485590.475647-2.05%0.47865-1.43%0.0216✗0.7855k2022-08-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.955.8286-2.04%6.06+1.85%0.0520✗0.66554k2022-08-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.694.5945-2.04%5.02+7.04%0.1026✗0.71759k2022-08-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26150.256194-2.03%0.2615+0.00%0.0207✗0.0130k2022-08-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.8711.8333-2.02%2.195+17.32%0.2051✗1.27626k2022-08-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42951.4008-2.01%1.4417+0.85%0.0583✗1.506.1M2022-08-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.622.5677-1.99%2.51-4.20%0.0016✓1.07175k2022-08-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6030.591078-1.98%0.708+17.41%0.2080✗1.4084k2022-08-05
COMPCompoundEthereum58.6957.5305-1.98%61.31+4.46%0.0909✗1.3928k2022-08-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97060.951442-1.97%1.1895+22.55%0.2410✗0.903.9M2022-08-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.9682.9094-1.97%3.047+2.66%0.0681✗1.11619k2022-08-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.50e-7-1.97%3.48e-7-2.67%0.0113✓0.94193k2022-08-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.163.0978-1.97%3.17+0.32%0.0329✗0.5082k2022-08-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7630.748199-1.94%0.833+9.17%0.1268✗0.99360k2022-08-05
AAVEAaveEthereum95.693.7506-1.93%103.27+8.02%0.1294✗1.6610.0M2022-08-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077660.076159-1.93%0.07814+0.62%0.0402✗0.741,2712022-08-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1310.12849-1.92%0.1296-1.07%0.0281✗0.995,4502022-08-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83212.7782-1.90%3.0096+6.27%0.0992✗0.98917k2022-08-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.2617.9196-1.86%18.43+0.93%0.0548✗1.351.3M2022-08-05
METISMetisEthereum36.7236.0389-1.85%47.65+29.77%0.3174✗1.93194k2022-08-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.47250.46377-1.85%0.4587-2.92%0.0180✓1.47220k2022-08-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8877.7413-1.85%7.878-0.11%0.0423✗1.2616.2M2022-08-05
IMXImmutableEthereum1.0611.0414-1.85%1.1864+11.82%0.1583✗1.421.4M2022-08-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.034050.03343-1.82%0.03111-8.63%0.0461✓1.311,3182022-08-05
FISStafiEthereum0.40.39275-1.81%0.3903-2.43%0.0118✓0.922142022-08-05
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5290.519429-1.81%0.57+7.75%0.1155✗1.1513k2022-08-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12730.125013-1.80%0.131+2.91%0.0738✗1.372.5M2022-08-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.661.6302-1.79%1.77+6.63%0.1094✗1.38114k2022-08-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08870.087115-1.79%0.0907+2.25%0.0638✗1.19155k2022-08-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.8033.7354-1.78%3.946+3.76%0.0687✗0.70670k2022-08-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0561280.055143-1.76%0.055256-1.55%0.0140✓0.6120k2022-08-05
QNTQuantEthereum106.29104.4332-1.75%107.26+0.91%0.0467✗1.024.2M2022-08-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16430.161495-1.71%0.1787+8.76%0.1259✗1.25411k2022-08-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015070.001481-1.70%0.001677+11.28%0.1439✗1.0116k2022-08-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.20330.199851-1.70%0.2306+13.43%0.1701✗1.371,5612022-08-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.1730.170108-1.67%0.17777+2.76%0.0744✗1.54207k2022-08-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.668590.657471-1.66%0.69514+3.97%0.0856✗1.5279k2022-08-05
FLOWFlownative1.8661.835-1.66%2.732+46.41%0.4231✗1.27382k2022-08-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.972.9207-1.66%3.17+6.73%0.1120✗1.53192k2022-08-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.6314.3886-1.65%17.22+17.70%0.2081✗1.451.6M2022-08-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010830.001065-1.64%0.001125+3.90%0.0801✗1.291.6M2022-08-05
HIVEHivenative0.53710.528284-1.64%0.5908+10.00%0.1346✗1.161.5M2022-08-05
XVGVergenative0.003660.0036-1.63%0.00385+5.19%0.0928✗1.31539k2022-08-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408430.40179-1.63%0.42676+4.49%0.0842✗1.21118k2022-08-05
ADACardanoCardano0.52220.513744-1.62%0.5176-0.88%0.0321✗1.2543.2M2022-08-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.45e-7-1.61%9.90e-7+3.13%0.0667✗1.0025k2022-08-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009410.009259-1.61%0.0103+9.46%0.1257✗0.974.7M2022-08-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,722.251,694.61-1.60%1,736.79+0.84%0.0494✗1.26387.0M2022-08-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.18350.180562-1.60%0.19602+6.82%0.1278✗2.321,1272022-08-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069910.006879-1.60%0.006749-3.46%0.0087✓0.5339k2022-08-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.62090.61114-1.57%0.6718+8.20%0.1175✗1.16624k2022-08-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33680.331608-1.54%0.3589+6.56%0.1015✗1.147.7M2022-08-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150550.014824-1.53%0.016324+8.43%0.1138✗0.881.2M2022-08-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.5462-1.52%1.58+0.64%0.0264✗0.24268k2022-08-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.7159.794-1.51%62.49+2.93%0.0669✗1.1613.5M2022-08-05
ZECZcashZcash63.562.5548-1.49%69.15+8.90%0.1251✗1.261.5M2022-08-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043230.042592-1.48%0.04533+4.86%0.0811✗0.962,4262022-08-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3311780.326296-1.47%0.358859+8.36%0.1206✗1.291.0M2022-08-05
PROPropyEthereum0.790.778364-1.47%0.74-6.33%0.0386✓0.6179k2022-08-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8513.795-1.45%4.154+7.87%0.1077✗0.88754k2022-08-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.760.748968-1.45%0.848+11.58%0.1486✗1.24205k2022-08-05
DASHDashDash50.6149.8804-1.44%52.4+3.54%0.0712✗1.11594k2022-08-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11720.11552-1.43%0.1255+7.08%0.1038✗1.07352k2022-08-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3281.3092-1.42%1.35+1.66%0.0551✗1.241.2M2022-08-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003160.003115-1.41%0.003213+1.68%0.0507✗1.00999k2022-08-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.7122.6738-1.41%2.752+1.47%0.0634✗1.7692k2022-08-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3090.304668-1.40%0.3403+10.13%0.1340✗1.192.8M2022-08-05
XTZTezosTezos1.70931.6867-1.32%1.8665+9.20%0.1260✗1.25492k2022-08-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971150.958351-1.32%1.0756+10.76%0.1415✗1.33431k2022-08-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066522-1.30%0.0689+2.23%0.0540✗0.96183k2022-08-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05580.055074-1.30%0.0674+20.79%0.2276✗1.30787k2022-08-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2230.220127-1.29%0.2201-1.30%0.0273✗1.391,0652022-08-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011740.000011591-1.27%0.00001212+3.24%0.0689✗1.24951k2022-08-05
NANOnanopayBase0.9929390.980377-1.27%1.0527+6.02%0.0902✗0.9758k2022-08-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17315.1078-1.26%4.9519-4.28%0.0269✓0.21210k2022-08-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.09350.092328-1.25%0.08643-7.56%0.0608✓0.26910k2022-08-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0689470.068093-1.24%0.069799+1.23%0.0473✗1.151.7M2022-08-05
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.873167-1.23%1.159+31.11%0.2971✗0.711.3M2022-08-05
FTTFTXEthereum31.0930.713-1.21%30.76-1.06%0.0203✗0.9510.8M2022-08-05
XECeCashnative0.000044990.000044457-1.19%0.00004553+1.20%0.0468✗1.171.8M2022-08-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24430.241406-1.18%0.2612+6.92%0.1030✗1.23101k2022-08-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07950.078562-1.18%0.0739-7.04%0.0449✓0.83148k2022-08-05
SOLSolanaSolana41.9441.4474-1.17%40.54-3.34%0.0047✓1.3681.8M2022-08-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2150.212608-1.11%0.228+6.05%0.0996✗1.51786k2022-08-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.061913-1.10%0.0624-0.32%0.0354✗1.40339k2022-08-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.56510.559021-1.08%0.5836+3.27%0.0654✗1.14350k2022-08-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008824-1.07%0.00843-5.49%0.0277✓0.911.6M2022-08-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.04531-1.07%0.0495+8.08%0.1148✗1.347,1312022-08-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9665.9024-1.07%8.341+39.81%0.3671✗1.082.1M2022-08-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23720.234695-1.06%0.2419+1.98%0.0594✗1.4892k2022-08-05
XLMStellarStellar0.1177330.11649-1.06%0.118541+0.69%0.0371✗1.006.8M2022-08-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021890.021659-1.05%0.023038+5.24%0.0810✗0.989,0542022-08-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004390.004344-1.05%0.0047+7.06%0.1047✗1.32103k2022-08-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.12781.1161-1.03%1.196+6.05%0.0901✗1.0643k2022-08-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021770.021545-1.03%0.02241+2.94%0.0597✗1.03149k2022-08-05
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.40e-7-1.01%9.80e-7+3.16%0.0577✗0.845.9M2022-08-05
ZENHorizenBase18.1317.9501-0.99%18.43+1.65%0.0535✗1.38108k2022-08-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029850.029554-0.99%0.03358+12.50%0.1522✗1.2514k2022-08-05
XMRMoneroMonero160.25158.6791-0.98%161.87+1.01%0.0415✗1.101.3M2022-08-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1868.1059-0.98%8.81+7.62%0.1079✗1.259.4M2022-08-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.10810.107066-0.96%0.1139+5.37%0.0876✗1.31491k2022-08-05
GTGateEthereum4.39224.3506-0.95%4.7375+7.86%0.0994✗0.72986k2022-08-05
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,827.5023,605.34-0.93%23,205.30-2.61%0.0022✓0.9819k2022-08-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3491.3365-0.93%1.432+6.15%0.0940✗1.272.4M2022-08-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,784.5023,572.49-0.89%23,320.81-1.95%0.0090✗1.00439.9M2022-08-05
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11261.1031-0.86%1.0569-5.01%0.0223✓1.0412k2022-08-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047210.046808-0.85%0.05101+8.05%0.1037✗0.9015k2022-08-05
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7150.709098-0.83%0.753+5.31%0.0839✗1.21806k2022-08-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.249585-0.80%0.2713+7.83%0.1047✗1.0863k2022-08-05
GITCOINGITCOIN3.02553.0017-0.79%3.1425+3.87%0.0768✗1.5711k2022-08-05
KCSKuCoinnative10.19710.1189-0.77%10.44+2.38%0.0526✗1.092.6M2022-08-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.054482-0.76%0.061+11.11%0.1414✗1.44119k2022-08-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12980.128813-0.76%0.1383+6.55%0.0963✗1.2849k2022-08-05
XEMNEMnative0.0497230.049348-0.76%0.052815+6.22%0.0913✗1.1935k2022-08-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14940.148299-0.74%0.164+9.77%0.1251✗1.2488k2022-08-05
CBKCobakEthereum1.04531.0379-0.71%1.1532+10.33%0.1271✗1.109,6842022-08-05
STEEMSteemnative0.24760.245911-0.68%0.2623+5.94%0.0870✗1.14643k2022-08-05
TRXTRONTron0.0692960.068826-0.68%0.069837+0.78%0.0301✗0.79376k2022-08-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06920.068747-0.65%0.0745+7.66%0.1014✗1.07308k2022-08-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42260.419855-0.65%0.438+3.64%0.0686✗1.34104k2022-08-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0870.086518-0.55%0.1005+15.52%0.1737✗1.216,3652022-08-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5372.5242-0.51%2.47-2.64%0.0035✓0.92105k2022-08-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.320010.318486-0.48%0.3677+14.90%0.1695✗1.3111k2022-08-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.315140.313692-0.46%0.32566+3.34%0.0604✗1.17407k2022-08-05
STXStacksnative0.43040.428849-0.36%0.4918+14.27%0.1616✗1.25606k2022-08-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062090.006188-0.34%0.006334+2.01%0.0408✗0.897,2112022-08-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.302398-0.20%0.337+11.22%0.1288✗1.04766k2022-08-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29210.292528+0.15%0.4379+49.91%0.4258✓1.1375k2022-08-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.