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2022-07-28 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0648
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.35%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
16.3%
in alpha space · 41.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.325-8.49%1.918+32.46%0.4739✗1.971.1M2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.010891-4.97%0.009-21.47%0.1236✓1.27352k2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8338.9635-4.57%34.8-14.77%0.0378✓1.421.3M2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.810403-4.09%0.846+0.12%0.1348✗1.745.2M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.6195-3.25%11.07-7.83%0.0160✓1.22241k2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69150.7654-3.16%134.34-13.71%0.0523✓1.193.9M2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.6952-3.15%2.728-1.98%0.0882✗1.4443k2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.0112-2.99%3.777-8.66%0.0322✗1.753.8M2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,871.02-2.95%10,646.82+16.48%0.2554✗1.384.0M2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.413194-2.89%0.41954-1.39%0.0899✗1.41592k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.070031-2.88%0.0809+12.19%0.2245✗1.52768k2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.9841-2.87%9.2+11.92%0.2138✗1.36256k2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1189-2.87%5.59+6.07%0.1210✗0.62786k2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.7329-2.76%7.437+7.41%0.1881✗1.6811.5M2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.984387-2.73%0.909-10.18%0.0139✓1.77551k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286313.8981-2.72%14.6359+2.45%0.1148✗1.1970k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7143-2.71%2.48-11.11%0.0332✓1.08175k2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2473-2.71%2.1899-5.20%0.0400✗1.2524k2022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.00009759-2.66%0.00009925-1.01%0.1199✗1.95662k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.081859-2.62%0.08615+2.49%0.1217✗1.3428k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020401-2.56%0.020525-1.97%0.0329✗0.51165k2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8058-2.55%1.967+6.15%0.1616✗1.44217k2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018358-2.51%0.01758-6.64%0.0031✓0.76263k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.159747-2.47%0.1729+5.56%0.1468✗1.282.8M2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.5067-2.47%1.3286-14.00%0.0460✓1.515.6M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.047-2.46%8.819-4.92%0.0490✗1.416.7M2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.713-2.45%1.755-0.06%0.1012✗1.46316k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.805-2.38%8.75-2.99%0.0220✓0.53918k2022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.825901-2.38%0.786-7.09%0.0298✗1.503,1392022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.0937-2.36%7.98+9.84%0.1846✗1.265.5M2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037788-2.36%0.0421+8.79%0.1731✗1.2368k2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.953411-2.35%1.0192+4.38%0.1532✗1.64209k2022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4317.0209-2.35%21.62+24.04%0.2854✗0.882.4M2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.3808-2.31%3.9592-11.71%0.0430✓1.1028k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5345-2.26%1.47-6.37%0.0339✗1.451.0M2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0233-2.25%5.156+25.27%0.2772✗0.552.0M2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration65.4463.9902-2.22%61.12-6.60%0.0171✓1.19244k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.132931-2.18%0.1392+2.43%0.0994✗1.013.2M2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.7018-2.18%23.37-3.55%0.0706✗1.6027.5M2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.488576-2.17%0.5677+13.68%0.2094✗1.1242k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4198.2555-2.15%96.34-4.05%0.0685✗1.679.0M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1361.7983-2.11%60.269-4.53%0.0200✓0.85386k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3563-2.11%2.252-6.44%0.0304✗1.43160k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.1699-2.10%27.99+50.81%0.5056✗1.39534k2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.599226-2.09%0.686+12.09%0.2098✗1.4184k2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.958131-2.03%1.1853+21.20%0.2610✗0.913.9M2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2037-2.03%3.09-5.50%0.0097✓0.5082k2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.289124-2.03%0.302+2.34%0.1035✗1.13323k2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.6745-2.02%1.814+6.14%0.1142✗0.65223k2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.757425-2.01%0.799+3.36%0.1062✗1.00360k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.256768-2.00%0.2611-0.34%0.0173✓0.0131k2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.426547-1.99%–pending––0.912142022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.051358-1.99%0.0537+2.48%0.1081✗1.20263k2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.56e-7-1.99%3.56e-7-2.07%0.0497✗0.96195k2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.473345-1.98%0.5776+19.61%0.2519✗1.00224k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026762-1.97%0.03497+28.10%0.3492✗1.5411.5M2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9756.8389-1.95%56-3.40%0.0587✗1.3932k2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum36.335.5941-1.94%46.01+26.75%0.3590✗1.94181k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.793-1.92%2.223+21.61%0.2830✗1.29626k2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.456511-1.91%0.4388-5.72%0.0385✗1.48220k2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.8135-1.90%15.86+5.03%0.1431✗1.421.5M2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.734907-1.88%0.727-2.94%0.0687✗1.5180k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4721-1.86%1.502+0.13%0.0958✗1.43561k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.657-1.85%10.359-4.60%0.0442✗1.3714.4M2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2207-1.85%4.83+12.33%0.1729✗0.72685k2022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.924282-1.84%1.0339+9.80%0.1745✗1.181.2M2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.438221-1.83%0.45707+2.39%0.0831✗0.7853k2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8062-1.81%2.596-9.17%0.0150✓1.7692k2022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.073978-1.81%0.07693+2.11%0.0780✗0.741,3772022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.2968-1.79%3.844+14.51%0.1854✗0.601.5M2022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.55270.542917-1.77%0.5813+5.17%0.1299✗1.161.5M2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015157-1.76%0.015595+1.08%0.0757✗0.891.2M2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.491205-1.76%0.558+11.60%0.1880✗1.1413k2022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.6872-1.74%5.54+16.14%0.1999✗0.62587k2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.195159-1.73%0.2175+9.52%0.1809✗1.371,5612022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030042-1.73%0.03038-0.62%0.0803✗1.311,3002022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.2683-1.71%5.82+8.58%0.1349✗0.67514k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4362.3548-1.70%59.65-5.96%0.0170✓1.1613.5M2022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8442-1.69%2.6+38.59%0.4108✗1.27413k2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9237-1.69%4.616+15.66%0.1941✗0.601.1M2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.3885-1.69%3.1416+29.31%0.3154✗0.78884k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.161734-1.68%0.1642-0.18%0.0817✗1.26411k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.402026-1.67%0.40433-1.11%0.0703✗1.22118k2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8162-1.67%2.982+4.12%0.1155✗1.10597k2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.2156-1.64%0.1995-8.99%0.0041✓1.391,1792022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.00108-1.64%0.001089-0.82%0.0769✗1.301.6M2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum103.78102.0784-1.64%103.74-0.04%0.0698✗1.014.1M2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,697.21-1.62%1,608.16-6.78%0.0126✓1.26383.0M2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003690.00363-1.61%0.00377+2.17%0.1070✗1.31505k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.119652-1.60%0.1269+4.36%0.1115✗1.005,8712022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.50476-1.59%0.4997-2.57%0.0562✗1.2543.2M2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.660745-1.58%0.66591-0.81%0.0885✗1.5379k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash52.4851.6493-1.58%49.4-5.87%0.0147✓1.12594k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006793-1.57%0.0067-2.91%0.0146✓0.5440k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.0015-1.56%0.001657+8.73%0.1530✗1.0120k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.083289-1.55%0.0854+0.95%0.0883✗1.20155k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5556-1.55%1.58+0.00%0.0294✗0.26283k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009089-1.53%0.00979+6.07%0.1255✗0.974.7M2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.2847-1.53%3.3721+45.34%0.4369✗0.90979k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.45e-7-1.52%9.50e-7-1.04%0.0577✗1.0024k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3364-1.52%1.297-4.42%0.0356✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.180778-1.52%0.18887+2.89%0.1664✗2.321,1272022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.054207-1.51%0.054264-1.41%0.0334✗0.6120k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6677-1.51%3.982+6.93%0.1287✗0.88754k2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.331235-1.51%0.3361-0.06%0.0752✗1.157.7M2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash63.6462.6882-1.50%64.38+1.16%0.0940✗1.271.5M2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.308915-1.49%0.3306+5.42%0.1309✗1.192.7M2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8272-1.49%3.12+8.71%0.1798✗1.54192k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.326104-1.47%0.340211+2.79%0.1105✗1.291.0M2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4471-1.45%3.83+9.49%0.1426✗0.71497k2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5212-1.41%6.43+14.82%0.2270✗1.41959k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.115373-1.39%0.1168-0.17%0.0690✗1.07357k2022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.742648-1.37%0.782+3.85%0.1175✗1.25178k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.982904-1.37%1.0151+1.87%0.0839✗0.9857k2022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.11906-1.36%0.1447+19.88%0.2538✗1.11617k2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.872033-1.35%1.214+37.33%0.3686✗0.711.2M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.967131-1.35%0.99245+1.23%0.0967✗1.34399k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5687-1.34%1.7+6.92%0.1536✗1.38114k2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003065-1.34%0.003069-1.22%0.0540✗1.001.0M2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.80.789299-1.34%0.74-7.50%0.0321✓0.6179k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.6937-1.33%1.8249+6.31%0.1411✗1.26492k2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.2534-1.31%5-6.07%0.0385✓0.21214k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.093114-1.30%0.08541-9.47%0.0725✓0.26859k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.042631-1.29%0.04386+1.55%0.0796✗0.971,9372022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011698-1.29%0.00001185+0.00%0.0787✗1.25986k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.9602-1.28%17.75+3.32%0.1179✗1.371.3M2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.1288-1.26%7.364+1.99%0.0994✗1.2716.2M2022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.068245-1.24%0.067353-2.53%0.0477✗1.151.7M2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.4034-1.23%38.82-9.57%0.0159✓1.3781.8M2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054047-1.19%0.063+15.17%0.2225✗1.31765k2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.237833-1.15%0.2263-5.94%0.0290✗1.4999k2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021628-1.14%0.022448+2.61%0.0892✗0.988,3682022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.082666-1.12%0.0731-12.56%0.0794✓0.83155k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.241476-1.12%0.2485+1.76%0.0940✗1.24110k2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.94228-1.10%1.1273+18.31%0.2548✗1.431.4M2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.570068-1.10%0.5965+3.49%0.1071✗1.17624k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.064791-1.08%0.0667+1.83%0.0797✗0.96183k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.213689-1.07%0.218+0.93%0.0998✗1.51786k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.8666-1.07%8.092+36.46%0.3799✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000043807-1.07%0.00004294-3.03%0.0421✗1.181.7M2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004373-1.06%0.00454+2.71%0.1074✗1.32106k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.2429.9198-1.06%29.14-3.64%0.0240✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008856-1.06%0.00822-8.16%0.0260✓0.921.6M2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.115472-1.04%0.113921-2.37%0.0393✗1.006.8M2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062245-1.04%0.0616-2.07%0.0638✗1.41337k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero162.51160.8172-1.04%159.25-2.01%0.0482✗1.101.3M2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.2738-1.01%17.32-6.18%0.0194✗1.38100k2022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.541131-1.00%0.5454-0.22%0.0680✗1.14350k2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.41e-7-0.99%9.60e-7+1.05%0.0646✗0.845.9M2022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.1243-0.99%1.1502+1.28%0.0795✗1.0743k2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.158455-0.97%0.16-0.01%0.0914✗1.55205k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.069429-0.96%0.0733+4.56%0.1106✗1.07299k2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.7819-0.94%8.092+3.00%0.1055✗1.269.4M2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,650.63-0.94%22,495.20-5.78%0.0016✓0.9819k2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3612-0.93%1.399+1.82%0.0954✗1.292.4M2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.107-0.92%1.0505-5.98%0.0023✓1.0312k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7023,634.27-0.91%22,623.94-5.15%0.0092✓1.00429.5M2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029667-0.88%0.03231+7.95%0.1516✗1.2514k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.29644.2587-0.88%4.55+5.90%0.1044✗0.72968k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.252497-0.87%0.2606+2.32%0.0890✗1.0963k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.113817-0.86%0.1202+4.70%0.1277✗1.382.5M2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.71692-0.84%0.738+2.07%0.0927✗1.21806k2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047041-0.84%0.0491+3.50%0.0908✗0.9115k2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.020819-0.82%0.02113+0.67%0.0693✗1.03136k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.4817-0.81%2.9175+16.60%0.2138✗0.98863k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.043946-0.80%0.0482+8.80%0.1633✗1.347,1312022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.427557-0.80%0.4162-3.43%0.0445✗1.35104k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105158-0.79%0.1096+3.40%0.1109✗1.32491k2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.048899-0.79%0.05021+1.87%0.0891✗1.1832k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8213-0.78%3.1854+12.02%0.2051✗1.5810k2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.2629-0.77%10.035-2.98%0.0353✗1.092.4M2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0361-0.76%1.1129+6.60%0.1301✗1.119,1202022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.148728-0.72%0.1561+4.21%0.1143✗1.2587k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.069275-0.70%0.068981-1.12%0.0373✗0.79376k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.052829-0.70%0.0593+11.47%0.1925✗1.46109k2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.12975-0.65%0.1347+3.14%0.1059✗1.3049k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.248932-0.63%0.2522+0.68%0.0743✗1.16643k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6182-0.60%2.415-8.31%0.0319✓0.93105k2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.323774-0.59%0.31338-3.78%0.0295✗1.18407k2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.31604-0.46%0.36281+14.27%0.2075✗1.3111k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.43440.432401-0.46%0.4737+9.05%0.1577✗1.26606k2022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.084516-0.45%0.0975+14.84%0.2070✗1.216,3652022-08-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006153-0.43%0.006146-0.54%0.0457✗0.894,8812022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.303462-0.18%0.333+9.54%0.1479✗1.04681k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.301066-0.11%0.329+9.16%0.1492✗1.1575k2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.