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2022-06-21 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 178 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1707
178 of 178 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 55.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (178 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.510.525757+3.09%0.4962-2.71%0.0328✗1.1588k2022-06-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6520.667605+2.39%0.648-0.61%0.0069✓1.69339k2022-06-28
MOVRMoonriverBase11.37611.6366+2.29%11.0131-3.19%0.0268✗1.30218k2022-06-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08110.082884+2.20%0.0762-6.04%0.0553✗1.336,6612022-06-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.440.448381+1.90%0.8133+84.84%0.6177✓1.0369k2022-06-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,124.851,146.16+1.89%1,142.65+1.58%0.0219✓1.15388.8M2022-06-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6990.711915+1.85%0.621-11.16%0.1110✗1.181.0M2022-06-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016680.016967+1.72%0.01995+19.60%0.1793✓0.80407k2022-06-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2950.300074+1.72%0.4373+48.24%0.4090✓1.50217k2022-06-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063610.006468+1.69%0.005802-8.78%0.0864✗1.033,0112022-06-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.87411.0515+1.63%10.181-6.37%0.0574✗1.144.8M2022-06-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,686.9021,020.31+1.61%20,284.10-1.95%0.0143✓0.9843k2022-06-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.41e-73.47e-7+1.58%3.70e-7+8.58%0.0871✓0.95756k2022-06-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05440.05524+1.54%0.0526-3.31%0.0317✗0.80326k2022-06-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7230.733957+1.52%0.6951-3.86%0.0242✗1.393.8M2022-06-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash119.44121.1588+1.44%103.04-13.73%0.1371✗1.155.4M2022-06-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2381.2556+1.42%1.224-1.13%0.0072✓1.51212k2022-06-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17830.180773+1.39%0.1952+9.48%0.1077✓1.42191k2022-06-28
XMRMoneroMonero118.72120.3577+1.38%117.52-1.01%0.0011✓1.151.8M2022-06-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.002790.002826+1.31%0.002688-3.66%0.0267✗1.095,7382022-06-28
STXStacksnative0.40270.407961+1.31%0.4147+2.98%0.0452✓1.33217k2022-06-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026960.002729+1.23%0.002893+7.31%0.0819✓1.092.2M2022-06-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008010.000810812+1.23%0.0008908+11.21%0.1240✓1.382.3M2022-06-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,696.9620,945.34+1.20%20,252.89-2.15%0.0119✓1.00582.4M2022-06-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.763970.772723+1.15%0.78691+3.00%0.0355✓0.809712022-06-28
FLOWFlownative1.4611.4765+1.06%1.608+10.06%0.1107✓1.17419k2022-06-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.023.0506+1.01%3.06+1.32%0.0194✓0.751.4M2022-06-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8531.8707+0.95%1.957+5.61%0.0794✓1.5897k2022-06-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10890.109856+0.88%0.1286+18.09%0.1783✓0.96246k2022-06-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.48.4724+0.86%9.07+7.98%0.0937✓1.18410k2022-06-28
AAVEAaveEthereum66.1966.7463+0.84%60.04-9.29%0.0693✗1.698.2M2022-06-28
RADRadworksEthereum1.531.5428+0.84%1.76+15.03%0.1565✓1.15270k2022-06-28
OPTIMOptimism0.5120.516207+0.82%0.529+3.32%0.0462✓1.004.6M2022-06-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5333.5615+0.81%3.8+7.56%0.0796✓0.684.4M2022-06-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.6196+0.75%2.51-3.46%0.0187✗1.11636k2022-06-28
COMPCompoundEthereum39.0239.3129+0.75%46.65+19.55%0.2035✓1.4928k2022-06-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,116.855,154.49+0.74%5,637.11+10.17%0.1178✓1.303.8M2022-06-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.694.7243+0.73%5.12+9.17%0.1083✓1.29405k2022-06-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.328.378+0.70%9.27+11.42%0.1222✓0.97244k2022-06-28
QTUMQtumQtum2.82842.8469+0.66%2.8847+1.99%0.0380✓1.1441k2022-06-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8196150.824823+0.64%0.810935-1.06%0.0064✓1.08120k2022-06-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.050170.050479+0.62%0.06235+24.28%0.2408✓1.3670k2022-06-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07520.075661+0.61%0.1012+34.57%0.3217✓1.43220k2022-06-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.053530.053858+0.61%0.06418+19.90%0.1970✓1.001,5802022-06-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21760.218786+0.55%0.2321+6.66%0.0888✓1.37392k2022-06-28
XVGVergenative0.003350.003368+0.54%0.00303-9.55%0.0753✗1.41662k2022-06-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.021675+0.53%0.02025-6.08%0.0458✗1.03123k2022-06-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.583.5985+0.52%3.64+1.68%0.0248✓0.611.9M2022-06-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006460.00649+0.47%0.00669+3.56%0.0524✓1.02445k2022-06-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09190.092332+0.47%0.0971+5.66%0.0819✓1.461.1M2022-06-28
XTZTezosTezos1.4261.4327+0.47%1.5132+6.12%0.0828✓1.30857k2022-06-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15670.157421+0.46%0.1502-4.15%0.0169✗1.39917k2022-06-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11610.116622+0.45%0.1188+2.33%0.0486✓1.3948k2022-06-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.3741.3798+0.43%1.3393-2.53%0.0026✓1.251.1M2022-06-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09650.096887+0.40%0.1018+5.49%0.0743✓1.15642k2022-06-28
ZECZcashZcash65.6965.951+0.40%58.81-10.47%0.0851✗1.362.9M2022-06-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.0000580.000058204+0.35%0.00010791+86.05%0.6626✓2.091.3M2022-06-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3550.356236+0.35%0.348-1.97%0.0027✓1.2016k2022-06-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3441.3477+0.28%1.365+1.56%0.0457✓1.5273k2022-06-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12520.125532+0.27%0.1208-3.51%0.0083✗1.394.6M2022-06-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.87511.8801+0.26%1.855-1.07%0.0148✓1.3070k2022-06-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05620.056346+0.26%0.0563+0.18%0.0319✓1.51134k2022-06-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2796150.280175+0.20%0.317444+13.53%0.1547✓1.372.4M2022-06-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141210.141471+0.18%0.13391-5.17%0.0194✗1.64247k2022-06-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.640.640943+0.15%0.656+2.50%0.0520✓1.33429k2022-06-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05390.053977+0.14%0.0529-1.86%0.0102✓1.401.6M2022-06-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.030.030042+0.14%0.0423+41.00%0.3699✓1.28194k2022-06-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.76241.7647+0.13%1.81+2.70%0.0444✓0.882.4M2022-06-28
XEMNEMnative0.0415420.041594+0.13%0.040352-2.86%0.0029✗1.2726k2022-06-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.009120.009131+0.13%0.00876-3.95%0.0194✗1.021.4M2022-06-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10950.109602+0.09%0.0999-8.77%0.0628✗1.384.3M2022-06-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.9130.913676+0.07%1.081+18.40%0.1899✓1.001.5M2022-06-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.556680.557065+0.07%0.49508-11.07%0.0817✗1.672.8M2022-06-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9522.9539+0.06%2.859-3.15%0.0153✗0.801.3M2022-06-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.8916.9003+0.06%18.08+7.05%0.0989✓1.4541.8M2022-06-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029690.029696+0.02%0.02843-4.24%0.0141✗1.3620k2022-06-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8262.8266+0.02%3.055+8.10%0.0902✓0.584.3M2022-06-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.956.9513+0.02%7.34+5.61%0.0832✓1.3313.7M2022-06-28
DIADIAEthereum0.379910.379938+0.01%0.37305-1.81%0.0029✗0.71215k2022-06-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.9410.9381-0.02%10.58-3.29%0.0019✗1.62377k2022-06-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03770.037693-0.02%0.0448+18.83%0.2024✗1.37305k2022-06-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38920.388942-0.07%0.3874-0.46%0.0266✗1.41132k2022-06-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5240.523335-0.13%0.5306+1.26%0.0414✗1.27719k2022-06-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.1416.1195-0.13%15.41-4.52%0.0182✓1.232.3M2022-06-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2720.271629-0.14%0.285+4.78%0.0696✗0.99792k2022-06-28
XECeCashnative0.00003820.000038141-0.15%0.00003938+3.09%0.0598✗1.282.6M2022-06-28
HIVEHivenative0.40330.402678-0.15%0.6213+54.05%0.4635✗1.371.2M2022-06-28
SCSiacoinnative0.004010.004004-0.16%0.00393-2.00%0.0135✗1.48248k2022-06-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.973.9625-0.19%3.93-1.01%0.0063✗0.671.3M2022-06-28
ZENHorizenBase14.5714.5416-0.19%13.58-6.79%0.0377✓1.4159k2022-06-28
KSMKusamaHydration53.5653.447-0.21%50.26-6.16%0.0357✓1.19940k2022-06-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.396.3756-0.22%6.25-2.19%0.0091✓0.501.5M2022-06-28
PROPropyEthereum0.870.868038-0.23%0.89+2.30%0.0416✗0.77174k2022-06-28
TRXTRONTron0.0648340.064679-0.24%0.065755+1.42%0.0360✗0.901.1M2022-06-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.04821.0453-0.28%1.1426+9.01%0.1144✗1.1753k2022-06-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8814.8347-0.30%15.29+2.76%0.0605✗1.391.9M2022-06-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.23770.236954-0.31%0.2406+1.22%0.0408✗1.1895k2022-06-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.8235.8025-0.35%5.472-6.03%0.0292✓1.3611.1M2022-06-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.021681-0.36%0.02148-1.29%0.0148✗1.118,5242022-06-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4670.465204-0.38%0.531+13.70%0.1627✗1.40116k2022-06-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.51.4937-0.42%1.49-0.67%0.0304✗1.51542k2022-06-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049590.049375-0.43%0.04874-1.71%0.0084✗0.9812k2022-06-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1112.1017-0.44%2.2052+4.46%0.0667✗0.862.5M2022-06-28
BANDBandEthereum1.4331.4265-0.45%1.367-4.61%0.0100✓1.50452k2022-06-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0067570.006726-0.46%0.006893+2.01%0.0411✗0.76139k2022-06-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.03040.030259-0.46%0.0311+2.30%0.0378✗0.48131k2022-06-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06640.066074-0.49%0.0556-16.27%0.1465✓1.21137k2022-06-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.13930.138614-0.49%0.1434+2.94%0.0631✗1.35158k2022-06-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24260.241338-0.52%0.2323-4.25%0.0109✓1.2632k2022-06-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.444.416-0.54%4.63+4.28%0.0624✗0.691.4M2022-06-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1144720.113843-0.55%0.114237-0.21%0.0265✗1.0611.6M2022-06-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.284530.282892-0.58%0.268-5.81%0.0258✓1.30504k2022-06-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.09550.094938-0.59%0.1024+7.23%0.1020✗1.22649k2022-06-28
BTTCBTTC8.20e-78.15e-7-0.66%9.20e-7+12.20%0.1404✗0.875.5M2022-06-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043060.042775-0.66%0.0434+0.79%0.0380✗1.082,9602022-06-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132630.013175-0.66%0.011804-11.00%0.0912✓0.861.9M2022-06-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.842370.83674-0.67%0.88757+5.37%0.0883✗1.35713k2022-06-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.147630.146617-0.69%0.14886+0.83%0.0369✗1.008702022-06-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.9655.9227-0.71%5.516-7.53%0.0433✓1.292.6M2022-06-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7517.6951-0.72%7.301-5.81%0.0249✓1.2713.9M2022-06-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10630.10552-0.73%0.1008-5.17%0.0232✓1.047,1212022-06-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4120.408924-0.75%0.647+57.04%0.4925✗1.552,9282022-06-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04730.046939-0.76%0.0466-1.48%0.0242✗1.4514k2022-06-28
ADACardanoCardano0.48080.477117-0.77%0.469-2.45%0.0118✗1.3476.9M2022-06-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.17510.173716-0.79%0.1888+7.82%0.1119✗1.323,4882022-06-28
DASHDashDash4746.627-0.79%46.27-1.55%0.0163✗1.11827k2022-06-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.592.5694-0.80%2.7+4.25%0.0844✗1.61295k2022-06-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.856.7928-0.84%6.303-7.99%0.0465✓1.3141.5M2022-06-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.31130.308637-0.86%0.30824-0.98%0.0293✗1.418,2902022-06-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053240.052767-0.89%0.05048-5.18%0.0110✓1.541.6M2022-06-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.947670.939158-0.90%0.98938+4.40%0.0787✗1.235,7412022-06-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.7734.7296-0.91%4.917+3.02%0.0686✗1.373.9M2022-06-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.48192.4592-0.91%2.5339+2.10%0.0531✗1.072.7M2022-06-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06360.063015-0.92%0.0607-4.56%0.0046✓1.51455k2022-06-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8010.793491-0.94%0.8635+7.80%0.1179✗1.543.2M2022-06-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.4912.4673-0.95%2.591+4.01%0.0757✗1.241.0M2022-06-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024650.024398-1.02%0.02684+8.88%0.1171✗1.004,3662022-06-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.7680.760079-1.03%0.876+14.06%0.1807✗1.791.4M2022-06-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32570.322329-1.03%0.3124-4.08%0.0051✓1.2113.3M2022-06-28
GTGateEthereum4.21484.171-1.04%4.1715-1.03%0.0163✗0.751.6M2022-06-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6890.681664-1.06%0.74+7.40%0.1041✗1.01367k2022-06-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2972.2725-1.07%2.717+18.28%0.2099✗1.4486k2022-06-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19480.192605-1.13%0.1992+2.26%0.0554✗1.002,3672022-06-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0654590.064709-1.15%0.065943+0.74%0.0467✗1.281.5M2022-06-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1823.1447-1.17%3.039-4.49%0.0198✓0.665.2M2022-06-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.813.7637-1.22%3.29-13.65%0.1128✓1.00287k2022-06-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3934.3388-1.23%4.897+11.47%0.1595✗1.7718.8M2022-06-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4892.4572-1.28%2.463-1.04%0.0232✗0.96111k2022-06-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.7262.8984-1.29%57.136-10.33%0.0777✓0.851.3M2022-06-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.70.690759-1.32%0.7251+3.59%0.0793✗1.42195k2022-06-28
STEEMSteemnative0.21510.212134-1.38%0.219+1.81%0.0590✗1.25673k2022-06-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009620.009486-1.39%0.00936-2.70%0.0060✓0.908.9M2022-06-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164050.016173-1.41%0.015124-7.81%0.0535✓0.63469k2022-06-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.794.7223-1.41%4.68-2.30%0.0257✗1.601.5M2022-06-28
QNTQuantEthereum56.1455.2976-1.50%57.6+2.60%0.0615✗0.962.1M2022-06-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.5975.5031-1.68%5.7501+2.74%0.0493✗0.25226k2022-06-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8060.792268-1.70%0.772-4.22%0.0077✓0.841.9M2022-06-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.231.2089-1.71%1.09-11.38%0.0695✓1.57974k2022-06-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3091.2858-1.77%1.308-0.08%0.0485✗1.453.8M2022-06-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin53.4652.5059-1.78%52.65-1.52%0.0286✗1.1918.2M2022-06-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28920.283859-1.85%0.2751-4.88%0.0042✓1.254.8M2022-06-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8020.786991-1.87%0.989+23.32%0.2703✗1.9329.5M2022-06-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.60732.5582-1.88%2.7158+4.16%0.0972✗1.7213k2022-06-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.81.7656-1.91%1.57-12.78%0.1083✓0.42402k2022-06-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2560.250986-1.96%0.271+5.86%0.1118✗1.621.3M2022-06-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023560.023096-1.97%0.02343-0.55%0.0532✗1.7938.7M2022-06-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52710.516038-2.10%0.4746-9.96%0.0620✓1.00135k2022-06-28
SOLSolanaSolana36.3635.5933-2.11%35.3-2.92%0.0202✓1.31103.2M2022-06-28
FTTFTXEthereum27.3926.8075-2.13%25.63-6.43%0.0244✓0.9410.5M2022-06-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1280.125028-2.32%0.1264-1.25%0.0324✗0.993.6M2022-06-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010630.000010383-2.33%0.00000995-6.40%0.0158✓1.23850k2022-06-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.371890.362122-2.63%0.3695-0.64%0.0483✗1.30134k2022-06-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.83840.815246-2.76%0.7367-12.13%0.0773✓1.112.9M2022-06-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.068.7847-3.04%8.81-2.76%0.0350✗1.481.9M2022-06-28
XYMSymbolnative0.053950.052229-3.19%0.052599-2.50%0.0213✓0.6664k2022-06-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.6061.547-3.68%1.657+3.18%0.0977✗1.33892k2022-06-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.714410.68286-4.42%0.75096+5.12%0.1273✗1.4967k2022-06-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.1212.9726-4.76%2.488-20.28%0.1380✓1.842.9M2022-06-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.