8=======>

2022-05-19 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1036
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 50.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-3.66%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.0791.0992+1.88%1.205+11.68%0.1431✓1.377.4M2022-05-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.891.9139+1.27%1.69-10.58%0.0591✗1.75495k2022-05-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2081.2213+1.10%1.163-3.73%0.0168✓1.76527k2022-05-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001370.001385+1.06%0.00125-8.76%0.0457✗1.513.4M2022-05-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.06030.060934+1.05%0.0601-0.33%0.0301✓1.18101k2022-05-26
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07670.07749+1.03%0.0855+11.47%0.1654✓1.80162k2022-05-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9581.9771+0.97%1.74-11.13%0.0699✗1.5599k2022-05-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.16030.161806+0.94%0.1378-14.04%0.1040✗1.529.0M2022-05-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01820.018366+0.91%0.0214+17.58%0.2394✓2.3223.0M2022-05-26
WOOWOOEthereum0.20270.204541+0.91%0.1739-14.21%0.1208✗1.112,1752022-05-26
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06990.070507+0.87%0.0635-9.16%0.0674✗1.003.0M2022-05-26
UOSUltraEthereum0.374410.37761+0.85%0.36594-2.26%0.0210✓1.401.3M2022-05-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.204760.2065+0.85%0.18825-8.06%0.0311✗1.65280k2022-05-26
STXStacksnative0.530.534496+0.85%0.53+0.00%0.0344✓1.15274k2022-05-26
MOVRMoonriverBase23.053823.248+0.84%21.8386-5.27%0.0081✓1.46210k2022-05-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011929+0.84%0.00001064-10.06%0.0649✗1.331.2M2022-05-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037870.038181+0.82%0.03579-5.49%0.0128✗1.3967k2022-05-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.11470.115571+0.76%0.112-2.35%0.0296✓1.641.7M2022-05-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.218.2706+0.74%7.62-7.19%0.0341✗1.285.4M2022-05-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.379650.382387+0.72%0.6772+78.37%0.6374✓1.77327k2022-05-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,486.679,554.40+0.71%7,746.41-18.34%0.1651✗1.203.1M2022-05-26
XEMNEMnative0.05630.05669+0.69%0.0483-14.21%0.1103✗1.3478k2022-05-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,185.7030,378.06+0.64%29,530.70-2.17%0.0079✓0.9776k2022-05-26
MINAMina Protocolnative1.0421.0484+0.62%0.86-17.47%0.1435✗1.46775k2022-05-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.3730.5496+0.59%23.4-22.95%0.2115✗1.4848.8M2022-05-26
GALAGALAEthereum0.08570.086192+0.57%0.0728-15.05%0.1042✗1.73215k2022-05-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5380.541044+0.57%0.511-5.02%0.0007✓1.55967k2022-05-26
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.12380.12449+0.56%0.1067-13.81%0.0866✗1.81645k2022-05-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.390350.392521+0.56%0.37219-4.65%0.0048✓1.30208k2022-05-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.08440.084836+0.52%0.0668-20.85%0.1771✗1.663.1M2022-05-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.3214.3883+0.48%12.08-15.64%0.1265✗1.30822k2022-05-26
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8930.897238+0.47%0.835-6.49%0.0128✗1.586.7M2022-05-26
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum3.0413.054+0.43%2.604-14.37%0.1024✗1.53271k2022-05-26
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3657+0.42%1.48+8.82%0.1372✓1.523.3M2022-05-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.8210.8637+0.40%9.6-11.28%0.0693✗1.4620.1M2022-05-26
DODODODOEthereum0.150.150602+0.40%0.154+2.67%0.0785✓1.513.8M2022-05-26
UNIUniswapEthereum5.185.1993+0.37%4.94-4.63%0.0049✗1.243.5M2022-05-26
FIDABonfidaSolana0.590.592094+0.35%0.48-18.64%0.1654✗1.1937k2022-05-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009390.009421+0.33%0.00867-7.67%0.0528✗0.81195k2022-05-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.6585+0.32%2.3-13.21%0.0779✗1.79390k2022-05-26
KSMKusamaHydration80.4580.6981+0.31%69.65-13.42%0.0999✗1.271.6M2022-05-26
BANDBandEthereum1.7691.7743+0.30%1.537-13.11%0.0873✗1.51463k2022-05-26
UMAUMAEthereum3.2433.2527+0.30%3.074-5.21%0.0064✓1.692.2M2022-05-26
NANOnanopayBase1.09961.1028+0.29%1.0454-4.92%0.0063✗1.26161k2022-05-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.553870.555502+0.29%0.52703-4.85%0.0025✓1.4891k2022-05-26
QTUMQtumQtum3.97153.983+0.29%3.7936-4.48%0.0043✗1.19133k2022-05-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004780.004792+0.25%0.00406-15.06%0.1203✗1.221.9M2022-05-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot10.0210.0451+0.25%9.12-8.98%0.0464✗1.3513.9M2022-05-26
COMPCompoundEthereum67.5167.6776+0.25%59.25-12.24%0.0804✗1.4130k2022-05-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03430.034384+0.24%0.0312-9.04%0.0444✗1.42198k2022-05-26
RADRadworksEthereum2.072.0745+0.22%2.35+13.53%0.1642✓1.06280k2022-05-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3900030.39084+0.21%0.386689-0.85%0.0411✓1.396.1M2022-05-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.17421.1765+0.19%1.1801+0.50%0.0440✓1.1080k2022-05-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.217.2235+0.19%6.57-8.88%0.0447✗1.3419.2M2022-05-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum13.413.425+0.19%11.83-11.72%0.0909✗0.95622k2022-05-26
API3Api3Ethereum1.8751.8784+0.18%1.523-18.77%0.1496✗1.612.0M2022-05-26
XTZTezosTezos1.7541.7571+0.17%1.8642+6.28%0.1069✓1.281.1M2022-05-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25680.257227+0.17%0.2525-1.67%0.0281✓1.25292k2022-05-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0866380.086782+0.17%0.078018-9.95%0.0643✗1.136.3M2022-05-26
SOLSolanaSolana52.1352.2125+0.16%43.42-16.71%0.1307✗1.4493.8M2022-05-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3370.337456+0.14%0.339+0.59%0.0716✓1.801.7M2022-05-26
XVGVergenative0.005280.005286+0.12%0.00479-9.28%0.0452✗1.43922k2022-05-26
ORCAOrcaSolana0.910.910959+0.11%0.86-5.49%0.0192✗1.03112k2022-05-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.17650.176652+0.09%0.1629-7.71%0.0286✗1.41386k2022-05-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.06260.062639+0.06%0.0603-3.67%0.0073✓1.22406k2022-05-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.45120.451449+0.06%0.3789-16.02%0.1295✗1.2315.4M2022-05-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.672.6714+0.05%2.391-10.45%0.0459✗1.746.1M2022-05-26
CELLCellframeEthereum0.35340.353565+0.05%0.3453-2.29%0.0249✓1.3085k2022-05-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.188.1837+0.05%7.3-10.76%0.0592✗1.488.0M2022-05-26
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6591.6864+0.04%100.94+10.14%0.1540✓1.559.2M2022-05-26
PROPropyEthereum1.141.1403+0.03%1.01-11.40%0.0965✗0.67395k2022-05-26
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1410.141019+0.01%0.1409-0.07%0.0609✓1.65105k2022-05-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050670.050671+0.00%0.05878+16.01%0.1862✓1.0123k2022-05-26
SCSiacoinnative0.005270.005269-0.01%0.00562+6.64%0.1217✗1.54398k2022-05-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.391.3897-0.02%1.27-8.63%0.0493✓1.09138k2022-05-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009240.009237-0.04%0.00918-0.65%0.0362✗1.141.3M2022-05-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.075431-0.04%0.06674-11.56%0.0829✓1.0618k2022-05-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.24920.249057-0.06%0.2065-17.13%0.1658✓0.58386k2022-05-26
DASHDashDash58.5558.512-0.06%58.11-0.75%0.0379✗1.201.1M2022-05-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2590.258828-0.07%0.201-22.39%0.1930✓1.602.7M2022-05-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.2411.2315-0.08%8.75-22.15%0.1907✓1.58159k2022-05-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0163990.016384-0.09%0.017464+6.49%0.1058✗1.133.8M2022-05-26
QNTQuantEthereum68.3868.3013-0.12%63.46-7.20%0.0338✓1.063.6M2022-05-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1304660.130305-0.12%0.12416-4.83%0.0077✓1.0912.9M2022-05-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13740.13723-0.12%0.1257-8.52%0.0477✓1.0820k2022-05-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027190.027153-0.13%0.02729+0.37%0.0404✗0.95188k2022-05-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.1251.0495-0.14%48.987-4.17%0.0052✓0.971.6M2022-05-26
MANADecentralandEthereum1.11851.117-0.14%0.98818-11.65%0.0637✓1.581.2M2022-05-26
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5840.583094-0.16%0.587+0.51%0.0635✗1.5216k2022-05-26
ADACardanoCardano0.53260.531752-0.16%0.4785-10.16%0.0550✓1.3648.2M2022-05-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.536.5188-0.17%6.91+5.82%0.1108✗1.41785k2022-05-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13430.134055-0.18%0.1285-4.32%0.0182✗1.625.8M2022-05-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34060.339947-0.19%0.3091-9.25%0.0469✓1.299.0M2022-05-26
SGBSongbirdnative0.03430.034231-0.20%0.0355+3.50%0.0502✗0.37138k2022-05-26
HIVEHivenative0.49240.491291-0.23%0.4622-6.13%0.0130✓1.291.6M2022-05-26
CBKCobakEthereum1.1221.1191-0.26%1.204+7.31%0.1108✗1.0117k2022-05-26
ZENHorizenBase2120.9462-0.26%19.6-6.67%0.0071✓1.59171k2022-05-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash196.24195.6388-0.31%179.2-8.68%0.0441✓1.175.3M2022-05-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,017.572,011.29-0.31%1,790.65-11.25%0.0777✓1.03464.2M2022-05-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.907119-0.32%0.79-13.19%0.0801✓1.56762k2022-05-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.49172.4831-0.35%2.3532-5.56%0.0069✓1.26123k2022-05-26
GITCOINGITCOIN2.652.6404-0.36%2.354-11.17%0.0478✓1.8022k2022-05-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.70.697414-0.37%0.628-10.29%0.0487✓1.50315k2022-05-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.13450.134-0.37%0.1378+2.45%0.0701✗1.131.2M2022-05-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.09090.090559-0.38%0.0866-4.73%0.0146✓0.81184k2022-05-26
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0652.0564-0.41%1.952-5.47%0.0210✗1.96850k2022-05-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001120.000001115-0.43%0.00000106-5.36%0.0216✓0.787.7M2022-05-26
BORABORAKlay Token0.363010.361342-0.46%0.44128+21.56%0.2626✗1.6826k2022-05-26
TRXTRONTron0.0733830.073035-0.47%0.082262+12.10%0.1484✗0.791.2M2022-05-26
XECeCashnative0.000047070.000046843-0.48%0.00004648-1.25%0.0418✗1.336.1M2022-05-26
GLMGolemEthereum0.26740.266086-0.49%0.2474-7.48%0.0215✓1.37167k2022-05-26
STEEMSteemnative0.25990.258599-0.50%0.2446-5.89%0.0184✓1.001.3M2022-05-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.013680.013609-0.52%0.01228-10.23%0.0635✓1.053.2M2022-05-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.00754.981-0.53%4.9167-1.81%0.0045✓0.23299k2022-05-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.930.925067-0.53%0.913-1.83%0.0276✗1.09769k2022-05-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum21.7921.6737-0.53%19.48-10.60%0.0542✓1.413.4M2022-05-26
XMRMoneroMonero165.93165.03-0.54%188.99+13.90%0.1764✗1.092.9M2022-05-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3780.375918-0.55%0.346-8.47%0.0410✓1.121.1M2022-05-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48640.483707-0.55%0.5063+4.09%0.1029✗1.53289k2022-05-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.12280.122106-0.56%0.1125-8.39%0.0319✓1.341.1M2022-05-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.9652.9457-0.65%2.702-8.87%0.0459✓1.0899k2022-05-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1960.194607-0.71%0.1817-7.30%0.0134✓1.48649k2022-05-26
APEApeCoinEthereum8.0557.9955-0.74%6.371-20.91%0.1362✓2.4494.8M2022-05-26
AVTAventusEthereum1.261.2506-0.75%1.12-11.11%0.0796✓0.82201k2022-05-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,274.5930,044.98-0.76%29,166.06-3.66%0.0076✗1.00686.2M2022-05-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.44e-77.39e-7-0.77%5.80e-7-22.08%0.2123✓0.791.4M2022-05-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin72.0271.4455-0.80%63.42-11.94%0.0749✓1.1919.5M2022-05-26
KCSKuCoinnative15.30715.1752-0.86%15.514+1.35%0.0587✗0.985.0M2022-05-26
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8240.816817-0.87%0.785-4.73%0.0023✓1.133.2M2022-05-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.920.7163-0.88%21.87+4.64%0.1016✗1.273.9M2022-05-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.7090.702545-0.91%0.616-13.12%0.0740✓1.541.9M2022-05-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69160.68526-0.92%0.5767-16.61%0.1177✓1.475.5M2022-05-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026760.026505-0.95%0.02667-0.34%0.0446✗1.0324k2022-05-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004690.004645-0.96%0.0042-10.45%0.0622✓1.0319k2022-05-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.6312.5024-1.01%10.39-17.74%0.1241✓1.636.7M2022-05-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9131.8937-1.01%2.344+22.53%0.2494✗0.97793k2022-05-26
FTTFTXEthereum30.9130.5937-1.02%27.54-10.90%0.0693✓0.9612.3M2022-05-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.177.0919-1.09%5.37-25.10%0.2466✓0.852.9M2022-05-26
GMTGMTEthereum1.4951.4783-1.12%0.92-38.46%0.4369✓1.005.5M2022-05-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045280.044762-1.14%0.0487+7.55%0.1208✗0.988,0692022-05-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.009010.008905-1.17%0.009061+0.57%0.0562✗1.0412k2022-05-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum4.224.1703-1.18%3.01-28.67%0.2916✓0.92788k2022-05-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.04342.0186-1.21%2.3023+12.67%0.1685✗0.994.6M2022-05-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.67111.65-1.26%1.4724-11.89%0.0920✓0.5914k2022-05-26
GTGateEthereum5.60315.5286-1.33%5.46-2.55%0.0076✓0.545.0M2022-05-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4291.4096-1.36%1.272-10.99%0.0501✓1.4113.5M2022-05-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05810.057303-1.37%0.0483-16.87%0.1239✓1.261.5M2022-05-26
ZECZcashZcash104.45103.0137-1.38%87.51-16.22%0.1138✓1.325.7M2022-05-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.012520.01233-1.51%0.01116-10.86%0.0428✓1.5340.8M2022-05-26
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.28293.2327-1.53%3.1242-4.83%0.0242✗1.5610.1M2022-05-26
XYMSymbolnative0.06690.065853-1.57%0.0571-14.65%0.1147✓0.75475k2022-05-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0181360.017848-1.59%0.016456-9.26%0.0551✓0.70199k2022-05-26
RUNETHORChainTHORChain3.0092.9549-1.80%2.637-12.36%0.0765✓1.00183k2022-05-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.063.9824-1.91%4.14+1.97%0.0713✗0.87798k2022-05-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.21292.1704-1.92%2.4001+8.46%0.1399✗1.052.5M2022-05-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.32290.316115-2.10%0.2849-11.77%0.0563✓1.28445k2022-05-26
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3651.3361-2.12%1.224-10.33%0.0503✓1.004.2M2022-05-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.2664-2.21%3.56+6.59%0.1254✗1.05557k2022-05-26
XVSVenusEthereum6.035.8823-2.45%4.38-27.36%0.2328✓1.662.7M2022-05-26
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1880.183374-2.46%0.1658-11.81%0.0634✓1.004,0132022-05-26
LUNATerraTerra 20.000140.000136281-2.66%0.00013202-5.70%0.0683✗2.687.3M2022-05-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1382.0782-2.80%2.144+0.28%0.0715✗1.08730k2022-05-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2515.1006-2.86%3.293-37.29%0.3983✓1.051.6M2022-05-26
DIADIAEthereum0.571170.554072-2.99%0.42439-25.70%0.2471✓0.5270k2022-05-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.5242-3.18%3.68+1.10%0.0762✗0.88521k2022-05-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.68712.5915-3.56%1.945-27.62%0.2377✓1.328.8M2022-05-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7043.5514-4.12%4.096+10.58%0.1631✗0.552.4M2022-05-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.418.0229-4.60%7.24-13.91%0.0823✓0.551.2M2022-05-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.031980.029932-6.40%0.02388-25.33%0.1972✓0.77400k2022-05-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.