8=======>

2022-04-06 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1536
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.61%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.4%
in alpha space · 77.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV89.1489.5982+0.51%86.78-2.65%0.0054✓0.782.9M2022-04-13
XYMSymbolnative0.13090.131384+0.37%0.1216-7.10%0.0437✗0.70744k2022-04-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.574.5828+0.28%4.34-5.03%0.0131✓1.41824k2022-04-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076840.076906+0.09%0.07883+2.59%0.0639✓0.8250k2022-04-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012330.01234+0.08%0.01192-3.33%0.0027✗0.6726k2022-04-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41250.412768+0.06%0.3838-6.96%0.0173✗1.1612.7M2022-04-13
SUSHISushiEthereum3.573.5693-0.02%3.34-6.44%0.0079✓1.227.6M2022-04-13
XEMNEMnative0.10350.103424-0.07%0.1026-0.87%0.0349✗0.8955k2022-04-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.025070.02501-0.24%0.02334-6.90%0.0312✓0.794.7M2022-04-13
TRXTRONTron0.0630560.062872-0.29%0.061489-2.49%0.0085✗0.64331k2022-04-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6921.6858-0.37%2.303+36.11%0.3591✗0.983.6M2022-04-13
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001962-0.42%0.00000192-2.54%0.0108✗0.6710.9M2022-04-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.864.8384-0.44%5.091+4.75%0.0986✗0.9984k2022-04-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.940.935684-0.46%0.882-6.17%0.0053✗1.343.0M2022-04-13
ZENHorizenBase41.3141.1005-0.51%40.21-2.66%0.0415✗1.32515k2022-04-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0150660.014981-0.57%0.014887-1.19%0.0354✗0.8723k2022-04-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051780.05148-0.58%0.05107-1.37%0.0414✗1.03576k2022-04-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.7360.731713-0.58%0.6813-7.43%0.0223✓1.028.3M2022-04-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077390.076884-0.65%0.07822+1.07%0.0670✗1.04121k2022-04-13
HIVEHivenative0.94220.935783-0.68%0.9418-0.04%0.0587✗1.092.2M2022-04-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.38330.380614-0.70%0.3702-3.42%0.0347✗1.301.9M2022-04-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1915.0828-0.71%13.56-10.73%0.0495✓1.191.3M2022-04-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.7318.5923-0.74%16.97-9.40%0.0421✓1.0318.5M2022-04-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.30050.298193-0.77%0.2984-0.70%0.0544✗1.12429k2022-04-13
GTGateEthereum6.60736.5548-0.79%6.5645-0.65%0.0299✗0.594.7M2022-04-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045480.045116-0.80%0.04471-1.69%0.0307✗0.8331k2022-04-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.9226.8659-0.81%6.7438-2.57%0.0372✗1.15220k2022-04-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum53.4453.0046-0.81%48.44-9.36%0.0279✓1.307.1M2022-04-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.76660.760341-0.82%0.7464-2.64%0.0275✗0.9619.0M2022-04-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash331328.1956-0.85%341.13+3.06%0.0844✗0.968.6M2022-04-13
UNIUniswapEthereum9.959.8628-0.88%9.66-2.91%0.0300✗1.068.6M2022-04-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.6031.5888-0.88%1.551-3.24%0.0236✗1.001.4M2022-04-13
DODODODOEthereum0.4190.415294-0.88%0.398-5.01%0.0144✗1.194.5M2022-04-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.763.7263-0.90%3.794+0.90%0.0553✗0.782.7M2022-04-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2033530.20151-0.91%0.196528-3.36%0.0229✗1.0019.6M2022-04-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.11471.1037-0.99%1.1232+0.77%0.0716✗1.13161k2022-04-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2591.2465-0.99%1.296+2.94%0.0831✗0.923.1M2022-04-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.67919.484-0.99%19.758+0.40%0.0565✗0.895.4M2022-04-13
FTTFTXEthereum45.0344.5822-0.99%42.86-4.82%0.0106✗1.0414.3M2022-04-13
COMPCompoundEthereum134.27132.926-1.00%150.02+11.73%0.1765✗1.1662k2022-04-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,166.7042,717.27-1.04%41,146.68-4.68%0.0105✗1.00643.4M2022-04-13
QNTQuantEthereum124122.6878-1.06%115.58-6.79%0.0156✓0.924.3M2022-04-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.756.6784-1.06%6.089-9.79%0.0611✓0.652.0M2022-04-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43670.43202-1.07%0.4479+2.56%0.1255✗1.872.3M2022-04-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,278.6042,800.48-1.10%41,343.10-4.47%0.0112✗0.9630k2022-04-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3875.3273-1.11%5.155-4.31%0.0293✗1.306.2M2022-04-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4760.470689-1.12%0.485+1.89%0.0831✗1.117.0M2022-04-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.754270.745633-1.15%0.74264-1.54%0.0469✗1.06255k2022-04-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.1431.1298-1.16%1.099-3.85%0.0320✗1.2414.9M2022-04-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.366.2865-1.16%6.07-4.56%0.0007✓0.751.0M2022-04-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52480.518638-1.17%0.5319+1.35%0.0609✗0.74429k2022-04-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.9660.954651-1.17%0.9176-5.01%0.0264✗1.38870k2022-04-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05620.055531-1.19%0.0542-3.56%0.0553✗1.6644.1M2022-04-13
AAVEAaveEthereum191.3188.9936-1.21%178.19-6.85%0.0024✓1.2815.7M2022-04-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.281.2645-1.21%1.11-13.28%0.0749✓1.16798k2022-04-13
NANOnanopayBase2.47022.4403-1.21%2.2742-7.93%0.0160✓1.14275k2022-04-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,713.3521,446.37-1.23%19,412.32-10.60%0.0464✓1.116.5M2022-04-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.8519.6029-1.24%18.19-8.36%0.0232✓1.0822.8M2022-04-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.099320.098076-1.25%0.09766-1.67%0.0363✗0.8527k2022-04-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2621.2462-1.25%1.257-0.40%0.0549✗0.971.5M2022-04-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.0312.0055-1.25%1.859-8.47%0.0266✓1.039.5M2022-04-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3442.3145-1.26%2.332-0.51%0.0447✗0.7720k2022-04-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.215.9904-1.29%14.57-10.06%0.0289✓1.342.9M2022-04-13
DASHDashDash113.64112.1633-1.30%105.27-7.37%0.0180✓0.952.9M2022-04-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,168.523,127.06-1.31%3,119.00-1.56%0.0489✗1.07491.5M2022-04-13
XECeCashnative0.000097520.000096227-1.33%0.0000948-2.79%0.0318✗0.989.4M2022-04-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.68360.674523-1.33%0.6049-11.51%0.0470✓1.29719k2022-04-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum5.5265.4518-1.34%4.63-16.21%0.1155✓1.002.5M2022-04-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.22140.218382-1.36%0.2075-6.28%0.0009✓1.05276k2022-04-13
SCSiacoinnative0.011050.010899-1.37%0.01071-3.08%0.0381✗1.16540k2022-04-13
XVGVergenative0.011360.011204-1.38%0.01055-7.13%0.0039✓1.172.2M2022-04-13
GITCOINGITCOIN6.4276.3385-1.38%6.197-3.58%0.0470✗1.4522k2022-04-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum24.1223.7807-1.41%24.37+1.04%0.0901✗1.37810k2022-04-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111.68110.0882-1.43%110.58-0.98%0.0535✗1.0226.1M2022-04-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.042.9962-1.44%2.53-16.78%0.1185✓1.06947k2022-04-13
XVSVenusEthereum11.3911.2259-1.44%10.24-10.10%0.0398✓1.094.4M2022-04-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.476.3767-1.44%6.2-4.17%0.0424✗1.47697k2022-04-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25680.253075-1.45%0.2501-2.61%0.0301✗0.881.9M2022-04-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4737.9046-1.47%38.53+0.16%0.0682✗1.0814.7M2022-04-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.4315.2009-1.48%14.2-7.97%0.0153✓1.1026.4M2022-04-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24490.241259-1.49%0.2488+1.59%0.0787✗1.00473k2022-04-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.7621.4353-1.49%19.4-10.85%0.0474✓1.098.8M2022-04-13
FIDABonfidaSolana1.6961.6707-1.49%1.503-11.38%0.0614✓0.9358k2022-04-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.22750.224095-1.50%0.2428+6.73%0.1370✗1.193.2M2022-04-13
ORCAOrcaSolana2.082.0486-1.51%1.91-8.17%0.0366✓0.70268k2022-04-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.33252.2972-1.51%2.2079-5.34%0.0155✗1.151.5M2022-04-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.0614.8324-1.51%15.34+1.86%0.0565✗0.483.8M2022-04-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9233.8636-1.51%3.765-4.03%0.0044✓0.633.3M2022-04-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.019830.019529-1.52%0.01838-7.31%0.0128✓1.002.1M2022-04-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.27490.270581-1.57%0.2554-7.09%0.0043✓1.292.1M2022-04-13
KSMKusamaHydration174.43171.6864-1.57%160.8-7.81%0.0146✓1.061.0M2022-04-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.703410.69222-1.59%0.76168+8.28%0.1486✗1.112.0M2022-04-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8180.804648-1.63%0.781-4.52%0.0142✓0.922.0M2022-04-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.236.1275-1.65%5.77-7.38%0.0222✓0.791.9M2022-04-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4587-1.65%2.32-7.20%0.0102✓1.00160k2022-04-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche82.9981.6191-1.65%80.2-3.36%0.0445✗1.29108.4M2022-04-13
AVTAventusEthereum3.063.0094-1.65%2.55-16.67%0.1450✓0.43422k2022-04-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21010.20661-1.66%0.2-4.81%0.0246✗1.193.3M2022-04-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1433260.140941-1.66%0.139866-2.41%0.0334✗0.863.1M2022-04-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.5252.4827-1.68%2.284-9.54%0.0391✓0.93109k2022-04-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07820.076876-1.69%0.0694-11.25%0.0453✓1.19452k2022-04-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.5622.1757-1.70%21.12-6.38%0.0155✓1.34306k2022-04-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.12190.11981-1.71%0.121-0.74%0.0671✗1.19989k2022-04-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.1550.152314-1.73%0.1421-8.32%0.0205✓1.02228k2022-04-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024360.000023937-1.74%0.00002695+10.63%0.1736✗1.152.6M2022-04-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.9226.4485-1.75%24.69-8.28%0.0154✓1.1137.0M2022-04-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.4972.4533-1.75%2.297-8.01%0.0015✓1.349.4M2022-04-13
STXStacksnative1.271.2473-1.78%1.21-4.72%0.0163✓0.97613k2022-04-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.136.0198-1.80%5.95-2.94%0.0227✗0.721.7M2022-04-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.82570.810435-1.85%0.779-5.66%0.0171✓0.47676k2022-04-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.011.9728-1.85%2.06+2.49%0.1070✗1.331.1M2022-04-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.20522.1644-1.85%2.1716-1.52%0.0433✗0.83152k2022-04-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013020.012777-1.87%0.01099-15.59%0.0939✓1.184.1M2022-04-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5621.5328-1.87%1.4-10.37%0.0319✓1.233.7M2022-04-13
RADRadworksEthereum4.894.7982-1.88%4.74-3.07%0.0340✗0.96573k2022-04-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.54230.532002-1.90%0.4812-11.27%0.0943✓0.135,6342022-04-13
XMRMoneroMonero213.2209.1431-1.90%237.09+11.21%0.1685✗0.901.6M2022-04-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.37682.3293-2.00%2.5403+6.88%0.1224✗0.7412k2022-04-13
SOLSolanaSolana112.94110.6733-2.01%104.95-7.07%0.0072✓1.26102.3M2022-04-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.18051.1567-2.02%1.0848-8.11%0.0005✓1.331.4M2022-04-13
DIADIAEthereum0.980.960228-2.02%0.9-8.16%0.0442✓0.43186k2022-04-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3455.2366-2.03%4.83-9.64%0.0315✓1.03101k2022-04-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.96344.8616-2.05%5.3919+8.63%0.1309✗0.576.1M2022-04-13
PROPropyEthereum1.481.4496-2.05%1.79+20.95%0.2591✗1.01166k2022-04-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24540.240248-2.10%0.1992-18.83%0.1394✓1.001.0M2022-04-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.82265.7002-2.10%5.7116-1.91%0.0247✗0.47165k2022-04-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.866360.848103-2.11%0.8421-2.80%0.0408✗1.00392k2022-04-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.159720.156352-2.11%0.14884-6.81%0.0099✓0.8218k2022-04-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.704619-2.14%0.65-9.72%0.0066✓1.55438k2022-04-13
XTZTezosTezos3.2993.2283-2.14%3.1756-3.74%0.0346✗1.071.1M2022-04-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5211.4883-2.15%1.59+4.54%0.1306✗1.35463k2022-04-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10550.103229-2.15%0.1238+17.35%0.2326✗1.06201k2022-04-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.3861.3561-2.15%1.0691-22.86%0.1718✓1.38223k2022-04-13
MOVRMoonriverBase66.997865.5508-2.16%59.5722-11.08%0.0251✓1.47191k2022-04-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2820.275794-2.20%0.277-1.77%0.0451✗0.8531k2022-04-13
BANDBandEthereum4.3264.2301-2.22%3.925-9.27%0.0164✓1.22706k2022-04-13
ADACardanoCardano1.05251.0291-2.22%0.9748-7.38%0.0060✓1.0163.5M2022-04-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.78924.6825-2.23%4.6431-3.05%0.0364✗0.94287k2022-04-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.838.6304-2.26%8.6-2.60%0.0312✗0.732.4M2022-04-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.029280.028613-2.28%0.02812-3.96%0.0374✗1.14300k2022-04-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004790.004678-2.34%0.00423-11.69%0.0399✓1.279.0M2022-04-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0278320.02718-2.34%0.028273+1.58%0.0770✗0.78194k2022-04-13
UMAUMAEthereum6.8716.7086-2.36%6.559-4.54%0.0457✗1.424.7M2022-04-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.525.3891-2.37%4.904-11.16%0.0756✓0.396.7M2022-04-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.45380.442865-2.41%0.4461-1.70%0.0552✗1.00840k2022-04-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9713.6219-2.49%13.99+0.14%0.0448✗0.383.0M2022-04-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.49254.3778-2.55%4.1073-8.57%0.0347✓0.616.3M2022-04-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038770.037765-2.59%0.03708-4.36%0.0145✓0.69962k2022-04-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0228.2638-2.61%27.23-6.17%0.0062✓0.91690k2022-04-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.46186.2901-2.66%5.9834-7.40%0.0023✓1.0933.6M2022-04-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.038580.037518-2.75%0.03819-1.01%0.0681✗1.054.1M2022-04-13
ZECZcashZcash160.99156.541-2.76%152.73-5.13%0.0199✓0.9315.0M2022-04-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031760.030875-2.79%0.02014-36.59%0.3585✓1.4357.1M2022-04-13
LUNATerraTerra 2108.1104.9843-2.88%87.8-18.78%0.1161✓1.319.5M2022-04-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.39070.379375-2.90%0.3628-7.14%0.0255✓1.4610.7M2022-04-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.0882.9975-2.93%3.8567+24.89%0.2865✗0.723.6M2022-04-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.7266.5209-3.05%6.529-2.93%0.0537✗1.09448k2022-04-13
API3Api3Ethereum5.5695.3978-3.07%4.194-24.69%0.2249✓0.573.9M2022-04-13
APEApeCoinEthereum10.65410.2883-3.43%13.258+24.44%0.3015✗1.0064.6M2022-04-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2110.203681-3.47%0.264+25.12%0.2870✗0.5830k2022-04-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.753.6096-3.75%3.947+5.25%0.1467✗1.20434k2022-04-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.80e-78.45e-7-3.95%8.51e-7-3.26%0.0133✓-0.43811k2022-04-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.