2022-02-21 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1315

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+0.69%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

78.7%

in alpha space · 17.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.66%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.58	1.5966	+1.05%	1.564	-1.01%	0.1896	✗	1.10	3.3M	2022-02-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01937	0.01957	+1.03%	0.01796	-7.28%	0.3395	✗	1.65	10.9M	2022-02-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.77	13.9046	+0.98%	16.18	+17.50%	0.0377	✓	0.74	1.8M	2022-02-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2241	2.2444	+0.91%	2.1929	-1.40%	0.1649	✗	0.92	28k	2022-02-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002404	0.000024247	+0.86%	0.00002579	+7.28%	0.1525	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.34	1.3491	+0.68%	1.571	+17.24%	0.0264	✗	1.16	2.0M	2022-02-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	26.51	26.6754	+0.62%	30.9	+16.56%	0.0034	✓	0.98	1.5M	2022-02-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0474	0.047675	+0.58%	0.0703	+48.31%	0.1155	✓	1.77	64.3M	2022-02-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.92	0.924692	+0.51%	1.236	+34.35%	0.0978	✓	1.25	934k	2022-02-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.06	9.1013	+0.46%	10.15	+12.03%	0.0004	✓	0.70	758k	2022-02-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.7456	+0.38%	6.6	-1.79%	0.0544	✗	0.21	1.3M	2022-02-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0681	0.068334	+0.34%	0.078	+14.54%	0.0803	✗	1.38	1.1M	2022-02-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.279	0.27977	+0.28%	0.308	+10.39%	0.1104	✗	1.34	2.0M	2022-02-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.05994	0.06002	+0.13%	0.07201	+20.14%	0.0575	✓	0.81	80k	2022-02-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.64	8.6495	+0.11%	9.33	+7.99%	0.1247	✗	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.8775	2.88	+0.09%	3.1196	+8.41%	0.0755	✗	1.01	2.5M	2022-02-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.72	0.720537	+0.07%	0.75	+4.17%	0.2638	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,080.10	37,100.83	+0.06%	43,136.20	+16.33%	0.0016	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7431	5.7408	-0.04%	6.4925	+13.05%	0.1049	✓	1.48	172k	2022-02-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.0927	0.092656	-0.05%	0.1081	+16.61%	0.0027	✓	1.02	38k	2022-02-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1283	0.128204	-0.07%	0.1612	+25.64%	0.0697	✗	1.03	467k	2022-02-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4311	0.430369	-0.17%	0.504	+16.91%	0.1384	✓	1.92	2.0M	2022-02-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8148	0.813162	-0.20%	0.9803	+20.31%	0.0531	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01004	0.010017	-0.23%	0.01099	+9.46%	0.1468	✓	1.55	2.2M	2022-02-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.248	0.247429	-0.23%	0.236	-4.84%	0.1900	✓	0.93	68k	2022-02-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25	24.9399	-0.24%	30.53	+22.12%	0.0345	✗	1.09	5.2M	2022-02-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.83	4.818	-0.25%	5.51	+14.08%	0.0119	✗	0.79	431k	2022-02-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1229	0.122556	-0.28%	0.1303	+6.02%	0.1374	✓	1.29	3.2M	2022-02-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.25	1.245	-0.40%	1.36	+8.80%	0.1069	✓	1.27	1.1M	2022-02-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.021	4.0033	-0.44%	4.565	+13.53%	0.0006	✓	0.86	383k	2022-02-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.35	47.1302	-0.46%	54.42	+14.93%	0.0548	✓	1.29	8.1M	2022-02-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.332	2.3206	-0.49%	2.664	+14.24%	0.0720	✓	1.36	579k	2022-02-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2293	0.227987	-0.57%	0.2945	+28.43%	0.0786	✗	1.15	469k	2022-02-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4442	0.44164	-0.58%	0.5007	+12.72%	0.0975	✓	1.45	586k	2022-02-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	1.933	1.9209	-0.63%	2.477	+28.14%	0.0921	✗	1.05	20k	2022-02-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9731	2.9544	-0.63%	3.5483	+19.35%	0.0166	✓	1.30	2.1M	2022-02-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.739	0.734247	-0.64%	0.877	+18.67%	0.0315	✓	1.36	2.1M	2022-02-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.583	2.5662	-0.65%	3.115	+20.60%	0.0644	✗	0.84	203k	2022-02-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0791	0.078545	-0.70%	0.09213	+16.47%	0.0101	✓	1.10	49k	2022-02-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.3	1.2909	-0.70%	1.352	+4.00%	0.1661	✓	1.38	1.9M	2022-02-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.023018	0.022856	-0.71%	0.022655	-1.58%	0.1795	✓	1.11	89k	2022-02-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.27	5.2325	-0.71%	7.55	+43.26%	0.2315	✗	0.88	398k	2022-02-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.519067	0.51534	-0.72%	0.575051	+10.79%	0.0674	✓	1.15	3.5M	2022-02-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.2	4.1696	-0.72%	4.86	+15.71%	0.0161	✓	1.10	485k	2022-02-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	106.88	106.0981	-0.73%	115.74	+8.29%	0.0638	✓	0.98	6.6M	2022-02-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04508	0.044746	-0.74%	0.04871	+8.05%	0.1288	✓	1.39	865k	2022-02-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.635024	-0.78%	0.697	+8.91%	0.0717	✓	1.07	1.9M	2022-02-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.444	0.440478	-0.79%	0.461	+3.83%	0.1671	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.88573	0.878501	-0.82%	1.0426	+17.71%	0.0051	✓	1.08	165k	2022-02-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0613	0.060799	-0.82%	0.0695	+13.38%	0.0318	✓	1.07	14k	2022-02-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.64579	0.640332	-0.85%	0.74117	+14.77%	0.0861	✓	1.51	278k	2022-02-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059472	0.058962	-0.86%	0.061786	+3.89%	0.0827	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00006783	0.000067245	-0.86%	0.00007869	+16.01%	0.0201	✓	1.15	4.6M	2022-02-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.52	8.445	-0.88%	10.53	+23.59%	0.0167	✗	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2042	0.2024	-0.88%	0.2321	+13.66%	0.1008	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.0829	6.0267	-0.92%	6.71	+10.31%	0.0238	✓	0.85	3.2M	2022-02-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	32.14	31.8416	-0.93%	37.91	+17.95%	0.0649	✓	1.55	335k	2022-02-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00847	0.008391	-0.94%	0.00968	+14.29%	0.0188	✓	1.05	504k	2022-02-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6127	1.5974	-0.95%	1.7163	+6.42%	0.1029	✓	1.13	75k	2022-02-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1385	1.1275	-0.97%	1.3278	+16.62%	0.0359	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-02-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15154	0.150071	-0.97%	0.16639	+9.80%	0.1144	✓	1.41	30k	2022-02-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0692	0.068514	-0.99%	0.073	+5.49%	0.1127	✓	1.14	194k	2022-02-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2206	0.218371	-1.01%	0.2454	+11.24%	0.0416	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0263	0.026033	-1.02%	0.029	+10.27%	0.1150	✓	1.45	497k	2022-02-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	21.87	21.6467	-1.02%	26.36	+20.53%	0.0355	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3572	0.353472	-1.04%	0.3772	+5.60%	0.1517	✓	1.41	8.7M	2022-02-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.137	17.9474	-1.05%	20.677	+14.00%	0.0415	✓	1.19	9.8M	2022-02-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.04	5.9766	-1.05%	6.75	+11.75%	0.0650	✗	0.37	32k	2022-02-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.32	5.264	-1.05%	5.875	+10.43%	0.0484	✓	1.03	297k	2022-02-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	148	146.4409	-1.05%	170.31	+15.07%	0.0037	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.241	5.185	-1.07%	5.63	+7.42%	0.0412	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.73	3.6891	-1.10%	4.154	+11.37%	0.0732	✓	1.24	2.3M	2022-02-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.48	12.3419	-1.11%	14.2	+13.78%	0.0180	✓	1.03	404k	2022-02-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.83	5.765	-1.11%	6.6	+13.21%	0.0017	✓	0.89	430k	2022-02-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.95	5.8835	-1.12%	6.79	+14.12%	0.0813	✗	0.40	1.4M	2022-02-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	106.4	105.1717	-1.15%	120.75	+13.49%	0.0610	✓	1.29	59k	2022-02-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,023.00	36,592.26	-1.16%	43,192.66	+16.66%	0.0117	✗	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.17816	0.176073	-1.17%	0.197675	+10.95%	0.0466	✓	1.05	21.8M	2022-02-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.4728	0.467248	-1.17%	0.5696	+20.47%	0.0051	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	125.92	124.4189	-1.19%	130.28	+3.46%	0.1377	✓	1.19	930k	2022-02-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.853	1.8308	-1.20%	1.836	-0.92%	0.1513	✓	1.00	85k	2022-02-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.8682	2.833	-1.23%	3.1104	+8.44%	0.0631	✓	1.02	2.4M	2022-02-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.003	0.990426	-1.25%	1.164	+16.05%	0.0312	✓	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.321	2.2916	-1.27%	3.317	+42.91%	0.1733	✗	1.27	845k	2022-02-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3661	0.361393	-1.29%	0.3943	+7.70%	0.1334	✓	1.43	1.5M	2022-02-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.4827	2.4505	-1.30%	2.8507	+14.82%	0.0434	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1686	0.166409	-1.30%	0.1925	+14.18%	0.0703	✓	1.40	3.0M	2022-02-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.9	13.7186	-1.31%	15.37	+10.58%	0.1419	✓	1.66	2.9M	2022-02-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.018035	0.017797	-1.32%	0.0214	+18.66%	0.0099	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-02-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03591	0.035434	-1.33%	0.04194	+16.79%	0.0024	✓	1.11	32k	2022-02-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	39.81	39.2817	-1.33%	45.95	+15.42%	0.0223	✓	1.16	27.6M	2022-02-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.16	2.1313	-1.33%	2.21	+2.31%	0.1512	✓	1.22	324k	2022-02-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.19	15.9738	-1.34%	18.95	+17.05%	0.0350	✓	1.34	30.0M	2022-02-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00451	0.004449	-1.35%	0.00439	-2.66%	0.3094	✓	1.92	12.9M	2022-02-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.51	13.3274	-1.35%	15.14	+12.07%	0.0597	✓	1.21	61.5M	2022-02-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	70.08	69.1324	-1.35%	84.59	+20.70%	0.0290	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-02-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.128094	0.12634	-1.37%	0.133451	+4.18%	0.1011	✓	1.01	4.2M	2022-02-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01284	0.012664	-1.37%	0.01231	-4.13%	0.1481	✓	0.78	15k	2022-02-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.57	1.5484	-1.37%	1.86	+18.47%	0.0241	✓	1.35	2.0M	2022-02-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0257	0.025345	-1.38%	0.02937	+14.28%	0.0282	✗	0.77	4.7M	2022-02-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.77	3.7176	-1.39%	3.934	+4.35%	0.1397	✓	1.27	1.9M	2022-02-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.00	2,532.94	-1.40%	2,923.08	+13.78%	0.0264	✓	1.10	581.4M	2022-02-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.28	3.233	-1.43%	3.54	+7.93%	0.1240	✓	1.39	7.1M	2022-02-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	128.58	126.7313	-1.44%	145.83	+13.42%	0.0824	✓	1.45	6.7M	2022-02-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		80.87	79.7047	-1.44%	88.67	+9.65%	0.0306	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.92	4.8486	-1.45%	7.228	+46.91%	0.2440	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.889	2.8464	-1.47%	3.233	+11.91%	0.0164	✓	0.93	481k	2022-02-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	283.16	278.9833	-1.48%	339.27	+19.82%	0.0439	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7421	0.731111	-1.48%	0.823	+10.90%	0.1100	✓	1.48	411k	2022-02-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	100.47	98.9674	-1.50%	118.68	+18.12%	0.0020	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.34	2.305	-1.50%	2.442	+4.36%	0.1828	✓	1.56	14.4M	2022-02-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	17.63	17.3616	-1.52%	21.16	+20.02%	0.0386	✓	1.53	350k	2022-02-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.384	1.3629	-1.53%	1.566	+13.15%	0.0811	✓	1.43	970k	2022-02-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	102.78	101.1749	-1.56%	113.82	+10.74%	0.0694	✓	1.21	29.9M	2022-02-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	82.97	81.6732	-1.56%	99.74	+20.21%	0.0084	✓	1.24	154.8M	2022-02-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9047	1.8748	-1.57%	1.9381	+1.75%	0.1573	✓	1.24	218k	2022-02-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.04	85.6652	-1.58%	100.51	+15.48%	0.0180	✓	1.15	1.5M	2022-02-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	68.7997	67.7128	-1.58%	67.763	-1.51%	0.2313	✓	1.51	257k	2022-02-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00929	0.009143	-1.58%	0.01037	+11.63%	0.0743	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.17	2.1354	-1.60%	2.44	+12.44%	0.0238	✓	1.02	283k	2022-02-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1488	0.146317	-1.67%	0.1531	+2.89%	0.0815	✓	0.82	362k	2022-02-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,642.84	19,311.82	-1.69%	21,589.29	+9.91%	0.0469	✓	1.03	5.8M	2022-02-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7113	0.699159	-1.71%	0.7967	+12.01%	0.0446	✓	1.14	9.9M	2022-02-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.64	18.3206	-1.71%	21.72	+16.52%	0.0208	✓	1.24	10.1M	2022-02-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7852	0.771195	-1.78%	0.8684	+10.60%	0.0730	✓	1.24	23.9M	2022-02-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.012214	0.01199	-1.84%	0.012148	-0.54%	0.1646	✓	1.15	61k	2022-02-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7534	3.6844	-1.84%	4.2345	+12.82%	0.0454	✓	1.20	309k	2022-02-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	23.83	23.3756	-1.91%	31.38	+31.68%	0.1252	✗	1.10	56.2M	2022-02-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.37	1.3438	-1.91%	1.505	+9.85%	0.0768	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.07	4.9717	-1.94%	4.85	-4.34%	0.1781	✓	0.99	682k	2022-02-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.37	2.3235	-1.96%	2.52	+6.33%	0.0730	✓	1.00	639k	2022-02-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8572	0.84033	-1.97%	0.964	+12.46%	0.0387	✓	1.14	97.3M	2022-02-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.77	17.4161	-1.99%	20.13	+13.28%	0.0358	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8395	5.721	-2.03%	5.9258	+1.48%	0.0241	✓	0.38	412k	2022-02-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0877	0.085917	-2.03%	0.0857	-2.28%	0.2340	✓	1.50	700k	2022-02-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8883	0.869602	-2.10%	0.7584	-14.62%	0.2533	✓	0.76	1.5M	2022-02-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.13	49.054	-2.15%	91.38	+82.29%	0.4141	✗	1.35	4.8M	2022-02-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3401	0.332536	-2.22%	0.3657	+7.53%	0.1626	✓	1.67	16.7M	2022-02-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.11	1.0834	-2.39%	1.25	+12.61%	0.0586	✓	1.31	782k	2022-02-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050288	0.048988	-2.58%	0.049264	-2.04%	0.1903	✓	1.27	7.5M	2022-02-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7569	1.7096	-2.69%	2.4391	+38.83%	0.2730	✗	0.53	2.8M	2022-02-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.91	0.885061	-2.74%	1.07	+17.58%	0.0356	✗	1.00	281k	2022-02-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000194	0.000001881	-3.05%	0.00000199	+2.58%	0.0977	✓	1.00	14.4M	2022-02-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.481	0.465893	-3.14%	0.5607	+16.57%	0.0433	✗	0.92	684k	2022-02-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.62	2.5365	-3.19%	2.64	+0.76%	0.1141	✓	1.00	694k	2022-02-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03362	0.032518	-3.28%	0.03503	+4.19%	0.0386	✓	0.73	1.7M	2022-02-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.646	1.591	-3.34%	1.6754	+1.79%	0.1846	✓	1.53	191k	2022-02-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.72	5.5236	-3.43%	7.529	+31.63%	0.2569	✗	0.34	2.0M	2022-02-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.132	0.127263	-3.59%	0.132	+0.00%	0.1227	✓	1.03	51k	2022-02-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.99	1.9176	-3.64%	1.84	-7.54%	0.3107	✓	1.75	680k	2022-02-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.