2022-02-20 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2214

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+6.53%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

76.7%

in alpha space · 78.0% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.75%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.97	6.5998	-5.31%	6.6	-5.31%	0.0046	✓	0.26	2.0M	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	7.05	6.7175	-4.72%	4.3	-39.01%	0.4303	✓	0.89	682k	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.8141	1.7353	-4.34%	1.541	-15.05%	0.0920	✓	1.51	189k	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03634	0.034899	-3.97%	0.03182	-12.44%	0.0796	✓	0.72	1.9M	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.96	1.8901	-3.56%	1.81	-7.65%	0.0114	✓	1.81	690k	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5119	0.495052	-3.29%	0.5151	+0.63%	0.0558	✗	0.91	724k	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.127	0.122833	-3.28%	0.14	+10.24%	0.1501	✗	1.09	51k	2022-02-27
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.76	2.6699	-3.26%	2.41	-12.68%	0.0848	✓	1.00	696k	2022-02-27
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.94	0.91147	-3.04%	0.99	+5.32%	0.1003	✗	1.00	277k	2022-02-27
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000197	0.000001911	-3.00%	0.00000184	-6.60%	0.0201	✓	1.00	14.3M	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0176	1.9581	-2.95%	1.897	-5.98%	0.0227	✓	0.51	2.8M	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.95	0.922346	-2.91%	0.7935	-16.47%	0.1374	✓	0.74	1.5M	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.051219	0.049731	-2.91%	0.046151	-9.89%	0.0519	✓	1.29	7.5M	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3785	0.367523	-2.90%	0.3174	-16.14%	0.1171	✓	1.67	16.9M	2022-02-27
STX	Stacks	native	1.23	1.1981	-2.59%	1.12	-8.94%	0.0449	✓	1.28	817k	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.107	3.0393	-2.18%	3.002	-3.38%	0.0037	✓	0.91	492k	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.09	25.544	-2.09%	26.8	+2.72%	0.0669	✗	1.07	57.6M	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	49.33	48.3032	-2.08%	72.51	+46.99%	0.4306	✗	1.38	5.1M	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	18.7	18.3154	-2.06%	17.24	-7.81%	0.0399	✓	1.17	23.0M	2022-02-27
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.57	2.5176	-2.04%	2.14	-16.73%	0.1449	✓	1.00	681k	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.9319	0.912997	-2.03%	0.8569	-8.05%	0.0437	✓	1.12	97.3M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.091	0.089161	-2.02%	0.0773	-15.05%	0.1161	✓	1.51	807k	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.49	1.4602	-2.00%	1.384	-7.11%	0.0319	✓	1.23	1.1M	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,667.46	20,261.58	-1.96%	19,385.43	-6.20%	0.0262	✓	1.02	6.0M	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01318	0.012923	-1.95%	0.011286	-14.37%	0.1154	✓	1.14	81k	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0929	4.0147	-1.91%	3.8286	-6.46%	0.0265	✓	1.19	327k	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.735	5.629	-1.85%	5.951	+3.77%	0.0624	✗	0.38	430k	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8455	0.829939	-1.84%	0.7983	-5.58%	0.0169	✓	1.24	24.6M	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7859	0.771549	-1.83%	0.7097	-9.70%	0.0638	✓	1.12	9.9M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.44	1.4139	-1.82%	1.31	-9.03%	0.0546	✓	1.23	1.2M	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.38	4.3005	-1.81%	3.452	-21.19%	0.1978	✓	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.025474	0.025012	-1.81%	0.022401	-12.06%	0.0910	✓	1.09	89k	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	74.3242	73.0047	-1.78%	61.5448	-17.19%	0.1441	✓	1.51	281k	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.82	19.4802	-1.71%	20.38	+2.83%	0.0669	✗	1.23	10.5M	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.154	0.151397	-1.69%	0.141	-8.44%	0.0578	✓	0.76	350k	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	98.1	96.4542	-1.68%	88.3	-9.99%	0.0688	✓	1.11	1.5M	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.63	3.5693	-1.67%	3.12	-14.05%	0.1102	✓	1.38	7.2M	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.55	2.5074	-1.67%	2.185	-14.31%	0.1096	✓	1.59	14.5M	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.79	18.4779	-1.66%	19.91	+5.96%	0.1019	✗	1.54	350k	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.532	1.5067	-1.65%	1.377	-10.12%	0.0649	✓	1.42	1.0M	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.28	2.2426	-1.64%	2.17	-4.82%	0.0149	✓	1.02	299k	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8239	0.810451	-1.63%	0.7266	-11.81%	0.0823	✓	1.52	417k	2022-02-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.78	89.299	-1.63%	85.7	-5.60%	0.0194	✓	1.23	171.7M	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00465	0.004575	-1.62%	0.00404	-13.12%	0.0900	✓	1.94	13.2M	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.9689	1.9376	-1.59%	1.7425	-11.50%	0.0841	✓	1.25	233k	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	108.11	106.3981	-1.58%	102.66	-5.04%	0.0147	✓	1.19	7.6M	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00962	0.009468	-1.58%	0.00923	-4.05%	0.0025	✓	1.30	1.2M	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	110.69	108.9393	-1.58%	103.05	-6.90%	0.0342	✓	1.21	30.0M	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.36	5.2761	-1.57%	4.795	-10.54%	0.0781	✓	0.99	1.8M	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	137.55	135.407	-1.56%	131.61	-4.32%	0.0030	✓	1.44	6.8M	2022-02-27
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.039	2.0079	-1.53%	1.681	-17.56%	0.1600	✓	1.00	84k	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	302.87	298.2727	-1.52%	304.19	+0.44%	0.0369	✗	0.98	8.0M	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.48	2.4431	-1.49%	1.97	-20.56%	0.1943	✓	1.19	359k	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7044	-1.48%	1.6	-7.51%	0.0397	✓	1.33	2.0M	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6921	2.6527	-1.46%	2.5576	-5.00%	0.0147	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.39	76.2644	-1.45%	75.09	-2.97%	0.0101	✓	1.45	106.7M	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15607	0.1538	-1.45%	0.15123	-3.10%	0.0084	✓	1.43	30k	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.46	83.2415	-1.44%	81.71	-3.26%	0.0029	✓	0.89	1.1M	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	15.23	15.0106	-1.44%	13.22	-13.20%	0.0970	✓	1.70	3.0M	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.5	2.4641	-1.44%	3.224	+28.96%	0.2912	✗	1.27	845k	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.06	4.0019	-1.43%	3.741	-7.86%	0.0457	✓	1.23	2.3M	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.019255	0.018981	-1.42%	0.01839	-4.49%	0.0114	✓	1.15	2.4M	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1863	0.183669	-1.41%	0.1674	-10.14%	0.0684	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.6	14.3941	-1.41%	13.65	-6.51%	0.0319	✓	1.20	63.5M	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.136714	0.134794	-1.40%	0.123115	-9.95%	0.0729	✓	1.00	4.7M	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03914	0.038591	-1.40%	0.03926	+0.31%	0.0366	✗	1.10	32k	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02715	0.026769	-1.40%	0.02689	-0.96%	0.0197	✗	0.86	5.0M	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	138.87	136.9307	-1.40%	117.66	-15.27%	0.1309	✓	1.17	930k	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.41	1.3908	-1.36%	1.197	-15.11%	0.1258	✓	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,622.47	2,586.86	-1.36%	2,618.01	-0.17%	0.0317	✗	1.12	581.4M	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.02	2.9794	-1.34%	2.8883	-4.36%	0.0136	✓	0.99	2.4M	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.92	16.6929	-1.34%	17.5	+3.43%	0.0709	✗	1.34	31.3M	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3961	0.390795	-1.34%	0.3419	-13.68%	0.1084	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.063	1.049	-1.32%	1.081	+1.69%	0.0521	✗	1.25	3.0M	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.84	40.3037	-1.31%	41.51	+1.64%	0.0501	✗	1.16	27.9M	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.0594	-1.31%	5.65	-7.98%	0.0546	✓	0.87	430k	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01266	0.012496	-1.30%	0.01158	-8.53%	0.0617	✓	0.82	15k	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.57	6.4851	-1.29%	5.93	-9.74%	0.0823	✓	0.41	1.4M	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	116.98	115.4685	-1.29%	108.08	-7.61%	0.0436	✓	1.27	66k	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.697	5.6235	-1.29%	5.036	-11.60%	0.0919	✓	1.04	327k	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.516	0.509477	-1.26%	0.4859	-5.83%	0.0241	✓	1.32	2.3M	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.028	0.02765	-1.25%	0.0267	-4.64%	0.0091	✓	1.46	499k	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.194647	0.1923	-1.21%	0.181008	-7.01%	0.0422	✓	1.04	21.8M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	153.87	152.074	-1.17%	150.62	-2.11%	0.0081	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5079	0.50198	-1.17%	0.4426	-12.86%	0.1008	✓	1.42	610k	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2213	0.218741	-1.16%	0.1985	-10.30%	0.0699	✓	1.54	3.6M	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,389.03	37,949.47	-1.15%	37,717.08	-1.75%	0.0115	✗	1.00	633.0M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.98	12.8324	-1.14%	12	-7.55%	0.0488	✓	1.03	448k	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.516	5.4535	-1.13%	4.682	-15.12%	0.1385	✓	0.80	65k	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2401	0.237402	-1.12%	0.2326	-3.12%	0.0027	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.591	6.5175	-1.12%	5.854	-11.18%	0.1007	✓	0.38	35k	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	23.63	23.3685	-1.11%	23.96	+1.40%	0.0516	✗	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3917	0.387423	-1.09%	0.3363	-14.14%	0.1169	✓	1.39	8.7M	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.65	4.6001	-1.07%	4.21	-9.46%	0.0695	✓	1.08	510k	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.70618	0.69864	-1.07%	0.66823	-5.37%	0.0181	✓	1.49	298k	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.962	18.7604	-1.06%	19.035	+0.38%	0.0356	✗	1.20	9.8M	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.36	9.2629	-1.04%	9.77	+4.38%	0.0766	✗	1.32	11.4M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.2624	3.2287	-1.03%	3.1219	-4.31%	0.0111	✓	1.28	2.1M	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0729	0.072152	-1.03%	0.0675	-7.41%	0.0467	✓	1.13	194k	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.798	2.7694	-1.02%	2.647	-5.40%	0.0310	✓	0.81	206k	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.471	0.466264	-1.01%	0.416	-11.68%	0.0896	✓	1.38	4.5M	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00912	0.009029	-1.00%	0.00867	-4.93%	0.0224	✓	1.03	504k	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.570834	0.565235	-0.98%	0.521555	-8.63%	0.0603	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.75	34.4092	-0.98%	32.64	-6.07%	0.0253	✓	1.56	364k	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007437	0.000073651	-0.97%	0.00007235	-2.72%	0.0022	✓	1.13	4.7M	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0654	0.06477	-0.96%	0.0644	-1.53%	0.0131	✗	1.07	15k	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2525	0.250117	-0.94%	0.2684	+6.30%	0.0903	✗	1.12	518k	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6052	-0.93%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0284	✓	1.14	75k	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0744	0.073715	-0.92%	0.0698	-6.18%	0.0307	✓	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.98512	0.976169	-0.91%	0.9359	-5.00%	0.0234	✓	1.06	180k	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.2563	6.1997	-0.90%	6.3355	+1.27%	0.0366	✗	0.85	3.5M	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08575	0.084975	-0.90%	0.08363	-2.47%	0.0032	✓	1.08	49k	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06201	0.06145	-0.90%	0.058112	-6.29%	0.0411	✓	0.84	307k	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1176	1.1076	-0.90%	1.1719	+4.86%	0.0801	✗	1.34	2.5M	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.7	0.693749	-0.89%	0.648	-7.43%	0.0495	✓	1.06	2.0M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.067	2.0488	-0.88%	2.379	+15.09%	0.1679	✗	1.04	20k	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.6506	-0.87%	6.32	+10.88%	0.1268	✗	0.84	398k	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0487	0.048313	-0.79%	0.04436	-8.91%	0.0609	✓	1.38	903k	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.796	0.789745	-0.79%	0.812	+2.01%	0.0520	✗	1.37	2.2M	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	52.1	51.6959	-0.78%	47.98	-7.91%	0.0519	✓	1.29	8.7M	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.211	4.1807	-0.72%	4.06	-3.59%	0.0145	✓	0.84	395k	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9158	0.909674	-0.67%	0.8849	-3.37%	0.0000	✓	1.56	1.8M	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	107.71	106.9948	-0.66%	105.8	-1.77%	0.0065	✓	1.01	6.6M	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1343	0.133416	-0.66%	0.115	-14.37%	0.1256	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-02-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4602	0.457179	-0.66%	0.4116	-10.56%	0.0707	✓	1.94	2.0M	2022-02-27
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.828	2.8108	-0.61%	2.358	-16.62%	0.1530	✓	1.28	579k	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01078	0.010718	-0.58%	0.00965	-10.48%	0.0773	✓	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	27.23	27.0876	-0.52%	27.37	+0.51%	0.0293	✗	1.07	5.2M	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.01	4.9853	-0.49%	4.64	-7.39%	0.0580	✓	0.78	431k	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06754	0.067217	-0.48%	0.06333	-6.23%	0.0458	✓	0.78	84k	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.78	0.776698	-0.42%	0.67	-14.10%	0.1130	✓	1.97	1.2M	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.2326	6.2076	-0.40%	5.8667	-5.87%	0.0306	✓	1.47	172k	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0988	0.098477	-0.33%	0.1	+1.21%	0.0332	✗	1.01	38k	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.9539	2.9447	-0.31%	2.859	-3.21%	0.0122	✓	0.98	2.5M	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1362	0.135783	-0.31%	0.1447	+6.24%	0.0818	✗	1.03	470k	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.24	0.239413	-0.24%	0.217	-9.58%	0.0817	✓	0.94	68k	2022-02-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.9384	-0.13%	8.4	-6.15%	0.0391	✓	1.31	3.2M	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.77	9.7579	-0.12%	9.35	-4.30%	0.0309	✓	0.67	821k	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,642.80	38,632.57	-0.03%	37,686.70	-2.47%	0.0077	✓	0.97	42k	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.17	7.1783	+0.12%	6.06	-15.48%	0.1658	✗	0.20	1.4M	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.3	0.300443	+0.15%	0.28	-6.67%	0.0470	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.93	28.0497	+0.43%	29.13	+4.30%	0.0548	✓	0.97	1.4M	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0531	0.053346	+0.46%	0.0605	+13.94%	0.1568	✓	1.75	64.3M	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.454	1.4609	+0.48%	1.43	-1.65%	0.0012	✓	1.14	2.1M	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.9	0.904838	+0.54%	1.179	+31.00%	0.2872	✓	1.28	878k	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002547	0.000025629	+0.62%	0.00002342	-8.05%	0.0656	✗	1.39	3.7M	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.82	1.8323	+0.68%	1.412	-22.42%	0.2420	✗	1.06	3.2M	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.71	14.8124	+0.70%	14.64	-0.48%	0.0008	✓	0.71	1.8M	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1375	2.1528	+0.72%	2.23	+4.33%	0.0519	✓	0.94	28k	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.02116	0.021337	+0.84%	0.01609	-23.96%	0.2539	✗	1.61	10.9M	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.