8=======>

2022-02-18 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1797
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.3%
in alpha space · 88.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.86%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5181.5253+0.48%1.445-4.81%0.0325✗1.152.1M2022-02-25
IMXImmutableEthereum2.052.0591+0.44%1.536-25.07%0.2735✗1.043.2M2022-02-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06020.060385+0.31%0.0696+15.61%0.1747✓1.7364.3M2022-02-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.215.2457+0.30%14.74-3.03%0.0209✗0.681.7M2022-02-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.990.99295+0.30%1.168+17.98%0.1863✓1.27818k2022-02-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3220.322521+0.16%0.297-7.76%0.0575✗1.332.3M2022-02-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0829.1188+0.13%30.26+4.06%0.0560✓0.931.2M2022-02-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028150.00002816+0.03%0.00002483-11.79%0.0998✗1.383.8M2022-02-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,196.7040,175.91-0.05%39,386.50-2.02%0.0015✓0.9758k2022-02-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.14460.144221-0.26%0.1468+1.52%0.0370✗1.03470k2022-02-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.677.6414-0.37%6.33-17.47%0.1847✓0.191.4M2022-02-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.071670.071367-0.42%0.0649-9.45%0.0806✓0.7788k2022-02-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.025520.025407-0.44%0.01819-28.72%0.3082✓1.3810.9M2022-02-25
XEMNEMnative0.10110.100647-0.45%0.0985-2.57%0.0025✓1.0237k2022-02-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2610.259754-0.48%0.229-12.26%0.1088✓0.9173k2022-02-25
QNTQuantEthereum113.58112.9323-0.57%112.52-0.93%0.0154✗1.017.5M2022-02-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum55.5955.234-0.64%51.16-7.97%0.0527✓1.279.2M2022-02-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative28.9628.774-0.64%28.01-3.28%0.0068✓1.075.2M2022-02-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049650.049294-0.72%0.04609-7.17%0.0415✓1.371.0M2022-02-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.860.853792-0.72%0.882+2.56%0.0577✗1.342.4M2022-02-25
HIVEHivenative0.99990.992423-0.75%0.9019-9.80%0.0665✓1.551.9M2022-02-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2099-0.76%4.61-12.19%0.1081✓0.76415k2022-02-25
XVSVenusEthereum10.3510.2675-0.80%9.2-11.11%0.0865✓1.243.2M2022-02-25
STORJStorjEthereum1.04191.0333-0.83%0.95596-8.25%0.0579✓1.06193k2022-02-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5949840.590069-0.83%0.539539-9.32%0.0681✓1.143.6M2022-02-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.090460.089711-0.83%0.08597-4.96%0.0221✓1.0950k2022-02-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.26770.265442-0.84%0.2632-1.68%0.0121✗1.09538k2022-02-25
XECeCashnative0.00007860.000077919-0.87%0.00007523-4.29%0.0138✓1.134.8M2022-02-25
TRXTRONTron0.0630850.062535-0.87%0.059479-5.72%0.0343✓0.84330k2022-02-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.975.9178-0.87%5.3-11.22%0.0947✓0.83398k2022-02-25
GTGateEthereum6.64036.5822-0.87%6.3134-4.92%0.0261✓0.833.6M2022-02-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.66541.6507-0.89%1.6127-3.17%0.0022✓1.1272k2022-02-25
ZENHorizenBase37.1136.7809-0.89%34.73-6.41%0.0285✓1.53405k2022-02-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13650.135248-0.92%0.1292-5.35%0.0218✓1.273.3M2022-02-25
SCSiacoinnative0.009610.00952-0.94%0.0088-8.43%0.0594✓1.02504k2022-02-25
UNIUniswapEthereum10.1610.0633-0.95%9.25-8.96%0.0597✓1.3111.7M2022-02-25
DODODODOEthereum0.4940.489272-0.96%0.447-9.51%0.0642✓1.394.7M2022-02-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1710.0699-0.98%9.37-7.87%0.0596✓0.66821k2022-02-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012040.01192-0.99%0.01016-15.61%0.1304✓1.572.2M2022-02-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.2222.1996-1.01%2.187-1.58%0.0139✗1.0420k2022-02-25
KCSKuCoinnative19.55219.3511-1.03%19.466-0.44%0.0287✗1.2110.0M2022-02-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41260.40836-1.03%0.3611-12.48%0.0968✓1.399.0M2022-02-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.10933.0772-1.03%2.7311-12.16%0.1013✓0.962.5M2022-02-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.1961.1836-1.04%1.2474+4.30%0.0763✗1.262.6M2022-02-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,983.5639,565.18-1.05%39,238.48-1.86%0.0105✗1.00690.2M2022-02-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum25.0124.7417-1.07%25.27+1.04%0.0494✗1.502.0M2022-02-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06820.067465-1.08%0.0646-5.28%0.0233✓1.0717k2022-02-25
GITCOINGITCOIN6.9036.8282-1.08%6.282-9.00%0.0767✓0.3536k2022-02-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.4414.2821-1.09%12.83-11.15%0.0880✓1.02483k2022-02-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.754520.74618-1.11%0.7023-6.92%0.0327✓1.48334k2022-02-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.97952.9465-1.11%2.1201-28.84%0.3114✓0.9527k2022-02-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.762321-1.13%0.654-15.18%0.1334✓1.051.9M2022-02-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.2470.244207-1.13%0.2121-14.13%0.1123✓1.523.8M2022-02-25
QTUMQtumQtum7.23337.151-1.14%6.1326-15.22%0.1263✓1.45179k2022-02-25
XLMStellarStellar0.2006340.198333-1.15%0.191142-4.73%0.0177✓1.0222.0M2022-02-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.8815.8127-1.16%4.933-16.12%0.1490✓0.8068k2022-02-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07970.078765-1.17%0.0689-13.55%0.1129✓1.11210k2022-02-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0763.0394-1.19%2.7299-11.25%0.0887✓0.992.4M2022-02-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52290.516647-1.20%0.4821-7.80%0.0447✓1.302.3M2022-02-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56820.561388-1.20%0.4634-18.44%0.1649✓1.43665k2022-02-25
XTZTezosTezos3.62343.5799-1.20%3.2131-11.32%0.0844✓1.262.2M2022-02-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.295.2263-1.20%4.62-12.67%0.1037✓1.04517k2022-02-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25430.251211-1.21%0.2233-12.19%0.0990✓1.001.8M2022-02-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.42110.415952-1.22%0.3727-11.49%0.0828✓1.441.6M2022-02-25
FTTFTXEthereum43.0942.5545-1.24%43.09+0.00%0.0345✗1.1729.5M2022-02-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1041.0903-1.24%1.145+3.71%0.0722✗1.233.3M2022-02-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012790.012628-1.27%0.01202-6.02%0.0342✓0.8015k2022-02-25
ETHEthereumEthereum2,780.082,744.81-1.27%2,769.52-0.38%0.0300✗1.12588.4M2022-02-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.8317.6037-1.27%17.28-3.08%0.0066✓1.3432.8M2022-02-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.52050.513788-1.29%0.419-19.50%0.1690✓1.861.9M2022-02-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.022.9809-1.30%2.571-14.87%0.1332✓0.78212k2022-02-25
XMRMoneroMonero160.94158.8216-1.32%153.74-4.47%0.0135✓1.011.2M2022-02-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.19670.194087-1.33%0.1741-11.49%0.0829✓1.373.5M2022-02-25
COMPCompoundEthereum121.52119.8794-1.35%112.66-7.29%0.0379✓1.2959k2022-02-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum15.214.9946-1.35%14.39-5.33%0.0186✓1.2069.3M2022-02-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV87.4486.2583-1.35%84.8-3.02%0.0004✓0.881.1M2022-02-25
RADRadworksEthereum5.35.2282-1.35%4.51-14.91%0.1285✓1.03701k2022-02-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.936.8361-1.36%6.32-8.80%0.0715✓0.371.6M2022-02-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7715.556-1.36%14.87-5.71%0.0131✓1.703.1M2022-02-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.3896.302-1.36%5.635-11.80%0.0933✓0.99407k2022-02-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1386120.136724-1.36%0.127781-7.81%0.0487✓1.015.6M2022-02-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash310.22305.9156-1.39%309.04-0.38%0.0285✗0.988.4M2022-02-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.374.3091-1.39%4.017-8.08%0.0472✓1.222.5M2022-02-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041010.040438-1.40%0.0389-5.15%0.0182✓1.0931k2022-02-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.029280.028871-1.40%0.02922-0.20%0.0280✗0.855.3M2022-02-25
KSMKusamaHydration150.07147.9642-1.40%124.6-16.97%0.1499✓1.17973k2022-02-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.821.794-1.43%1.66-8.79%0.0526✓1.332.1M2022-02-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.432.3953-1.43%2.09-13.99%0.1136✓1.21390k2022-02-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0195990.019316-1.45%0.01813-7.50%0.0417✓1.152.4M2022-02-25
SOLSolanaSolana89.988.5957-1.45%92.84+3.27%0.0702✗1.24179.7M2022-02-25
NANOnanopayBase2.05482.025-1.45%1.8773-8.64%0.0524✓1.24292k2022-02-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin114.85113.1817-1.45%109.33-4.81%0.0118✓1.2131.6M2022-02-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03020.029758-1.46%0.0277-8.28%0.0445✓1.44493k2022-02-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.5812.5429-1.48%2.336-9.49%0.0607✓1.28911k2022-02-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.376.2756-1.48%5.65-11.30%0.0889✓0.86449k2022-02-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.7582.5067-1.48%81.05-3.22%0.0083✓1.39110.8M2022-02-25
ZECZcashZcash109.21107.5758-1.50%106.72-2.28%0.0142✓1.187.6M2022-02-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08120.079969-1.52%0.0734-9.61%0.0607✓1.331.1M2022-02-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7164.6437-1.53%4.091-13.25%0.1114✓0.81383k2022-02-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.382.3432-1.55%2.28-4.20%0.0081✓1.02342k2022-02-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.581.5555-1.55%1.315-16.77%0.1424✓1.362.7M2022-02-25
AAVEAaveEthereum145.64143.3668-1.56%139.7-4.08%0.0008✓1.427.3M2022-02-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.6741.6473-1.60%1.45-13.38%0.1018✓1.371.1M2022-02-25
XVGVergenative0.010630.010458-1.62%0.00953-10.35%0.0685✓1.301.2M2022-02-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7085.6149-1.63%5.9173+3.67%0.0595✗0.37441k2022-02-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.890.875442-1.64%0.72-19.10%0.1583✓1.971.2M2022-02-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0220.6717-1.66%18.94-9.90%0.0645✓1.2210.8M2022-02-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8770.862401-1.66%0.7733-11.82%0.0815✓1.46464k2022-02-25
XYMSymbolnative0.16090.158163-1.70%0.1469-8.70%0.0614✓0.66372k2022-02-25
DASHDashDash105.32103.5046-1.72%92.9-11.79%0.0874✓1.101.7M2022-02-25
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0171.9821-1.73%1.834-9.07%0.0589✓1.0068k2022-02-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.812.761-1.74%2.365-15.84%0.1264✓1.5115.4M2022-02-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.8950.879036-1.78%0.8312-7.13%0.0327✓1.2426.6M2022-02-25
UMAUMAEthereum5.925.8143-1.79%4.938-16.59%0.1444✓1.011.9M2022-02-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.354.2714-1.81%3.9392-9.44%0.0586✓1.19330k2022-02-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.80150.786961-1.81%0.7386-7.85%0.0433✓1.0710.8M2022-02-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.1285-1.86%21.16+3.17%0.0787✗1.53383k2022-02-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.913.8347-1.93%3.3-15.60%0.1243✓1.387.8M2022-02-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.611.5788-1.94%1.21-24.84%0.2432✓1.211.2M2022-02-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.972.9123-1.94%2.7367-7.85%0.0399✓1.183.3M2022-02-25
ADACardanoCardano0.99580.976336-1.95%0.8997-9.65%0.0609✓1.1198.1M2022-02-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8526.3235-1.96%27.3+1.68%0.0560✗1.0464.2M2022-02-25
LUNATerraTerra 250.6149.6166-1.96%73.2+44.64%0.4154✗1.415.6M2022-02-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.591.5583-1.99%1.453-8.62%0.0469✓1.221.3M2022-02-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.09780.095844-2.00%0.082-16.16%0.1277✓1.50919k2022-02-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.6119.2058-2.06%17.68-9.84%0.0611✓1.1523.7M2022-02-25
MOVRMoonriverBase83.197981.429-2.13%67.1249-19.32%0.1654✓1.47315k2022-02-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1813.1113-2.19%2.9-8.83%0.0537✓0.88481k2022-02-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.005160.005045-2.22%0.00434-15.89%0.1140✓1.9415.8M2022-02-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.0159840.015623-2.26%0.011713-26.72%0.2674✓1.10335k2022-02-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.932.8619-2.33%2.23-23.89%0.2307✓1.00736k2022-02-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.171010.166987-2.35%0.15869-7.20%0.0239✓1.4432k2022-02-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum21,934.4621,414.64-2.37%20,170.96-8.04%0.0409✓1.016.5M2022-02-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.04870.047536-2.39%0.048666-0.07%0.0462✗1.217.5M2022-02-25
BANDBandEthereum4.74.5826-2.50%3.679-21.72%0.1966✓1.221.9M2022-02-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0269370.026259-2.52%0.022712-15.68%0.1237✓1.1488k2022-02-25
STXStacksnative1.351.3153-2.57%1.15-14.81%0.1155✓1.00911k2022-02-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.60491.5617-2.69%1.6442+2.45%0.0799✗1.51164k2022-02-25
BTTCBTTC0.000002050.00000199-2.91%0.0000019-7.32%0.0276✓1.0014.3M2022-02-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.11762.0545-2.98%1.8595-12.19%0.0894✓0.553.1M2022-02-25
ORCAOrcaSolana2.852.7615-3.11%2.73-4.21%0.0074✓1.00737k2022-02-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56120.54298-3.25%0.533-5.02%0.0016✓0.90780k2022-02-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8893.7588-3.35%2.39-38.54%0.4316✓1.13593k2022-02-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.41980.405589-3.39%0.3513-16.32%0.1124✓1.6617.8M2022-02-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.05421.0179-3.45%0.8833-16.21%0.1274✓0.771.5M2022-02-25
PROPropyEthereum2.152.0686-3.78%1.96-8.84%0.0203✓1.79744k2022-02-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1390.133553-3.92%0.138-0.72%0.0533✗1.0957k2022-02-25
API3Api3Ethereum6.015.7467-4.38%7.09+17.97%0.2139✗0.201.8M2022-02-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.040940.039139-4.40%0.03546-13.39%0.0854✓0.711.9M2022-02-25
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0204-4.64%1.02-4.67%0.0184✓1.00271k2022-02-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.