2022-02-13 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0161

150 of 150 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+1.36%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

48.7%

in alpha space · 91.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-8.76%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.6	1.6049	+0.31%	1.454	-9.13%	0.0086	✓	1.17	1.9M	2022-02-20
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.14	28.2049	+0.23%	27.93	-0.75%	0.0792	✓	0.97	1.1M	2022-02-20
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.29	2.2917	+0.07%	1.82	-20.52%	0.1413	✗	0.97	3.0M	2022-02-20
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.379	0.377961	-0.27%	0.3	-20.84%	0.1057	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-02-20
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07534	0.075113	-0.30%	0.06754	-10.35%	0.0369	✓	0.76	84k	2022-02-20
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0626	0.062379	-0.35%	0.0531	-15.18%	0.0008	✓	1.75	57.0M	2022-02-20
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.06	1.0561	-0.37%	0.9	-15.09%	0.0307	✓	1.41	655k	2022-02-20
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.08	57.8562	-0.39%	52.1	-10.30%	0.0094	✗	1.25	8.8M	2022-02-20
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1611	0.160457	-0.40%	0.1362	-15.46%	0.0675	✓	1.05	470k	2022-02-20
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.60939	0.606909	-0.41%	0.570834	-6.33%	0.0464	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-20
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	121.97	121.4472	-0.43%	107.71	-11.69%	0.0255	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-20
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,091.20	41,892.24	-0.47%	38,642.80	-8.19%	0.0084	✗	0.97	42k	2022-02-20
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.7	8.657	-0.49%	8.95	+2.87%	0.1548	✗	1.33	2.8M	2022-02-20
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.41	7.3609	-0.66%	7.17	-3.24%	0.0010	✓	0.30	1.2M	2022-02-20
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09518	0.094533	-0.68%	0.08575	-9.91%	0.0022	✓	1.09	51k	2022-02-20
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.88	0.87379	-0.71%	0.796	-9.55%	0.0339	✗	1.39	2.4M	2022-02-20
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.01	1.0023	-0.76%	1.1176	+10.66%	0.2189	✗	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-20
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7726	6.7213	-0.76%	6.2563	-7.62%	0.0102	✗	0.89	4.0M	2022-02-20
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5106	6.461	-0.76%	6.2326	-4.27%	0.0967	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-20
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1334	1.1247	-0.76%	0.98512	-13.08%	0.0355	✓	1.06	239k	2022-02-20
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.35	10.2705	-0.77%	9.36	-9.57%	0.0303	✗	1.34	12.5M	2022-02-20
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05267	0.052252	-0.79%	0.0487	-7.54%	0.0591	✗	1.41	1.2M	2022-02-20
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2812	0.278902	-0.82%	0.2525	-10.21%	0.0036	✓	1.12	538k	2022-02-20
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008177	0.000081096	-0.82%	0.00007437	-9.05%	0.0192	✗	1.15	5.5M	2022-02-20
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2688	0.266486	-0.86%	0.2213	-17.67%	0.0427	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-20
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.064588	0.064029	-0.87%	0.06201	-3.99%	0.0523	✗	0.92	344k	2022-02-20
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.126	18.9564	-0.89%	18.962	-0.86%	0.1257	✗	1.37	10.2M	2022-02-20
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.16	39.8015	-0.89%	34.75	-13.47%	0.0084	✓	1.57	400k	2022-02-20
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01036	0.010266	-0.91%	0.00912	-11.97%	0.0233	✓	1.04	489k	2022-02-20
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7279	1.7118	-0.93%	1.6203	-6.23%	0.0479	✗	1.12	69k	2022-02-20
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.747	0.740011	-0.94%	0.7	-6.29%	0.0460	✗	1.11	1.6M	2022-02-20
XEM	NEM	native	0.11	0.108962	-0.94%	0.0988	-10.18%	0.0000	✓	1.07	37k	2022-02-20
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,074.99	41,660.11	-0.99%	38,389.03	-8.76%	0.0099	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-20
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4198	3.3861	-0.99%	2.1375	-37.50%	0.3784	✓	0.89	30k	2022-02-20
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	14.9795	-0.99%	12.98	-14.21%	0.0458	✓	1.06	483k	2022-02-20
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.272	7.1983	-1.01%	6.591	-9.36%	0.0559	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-20
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4062	0.402035	-1.03%	0.3917	-3.57%	0.0968	✗	1.34	8.7M	2022-02-20
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.084	0.083129	-1.04%	0.0729	-13.21%	0.0181	✓	1.24	195k	2022-02-20
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.443	0.43833	-1.05%	0.3961	-10.59%	0.0369	✗	1.51	2.0M	2022-02-20
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.47	4.4228	-1.06%	4.06	-9.17%	0.0277	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-20
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.86	25.5825	-1.07%	23.63	-8.62%	0.0613	✗	1.53	2.0M	2022-02-20
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	44.32	43.8426	-1.08%	40.84	-7.85%	0.0378	✗	1.19	31.6M	2022-02-20
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.210311	0.208031	-1.08%	0.194647	-7.45%	0.0293	✗	1.05	23.0M	2022-02-20
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.499	0.493533	-1.10%	0.471	-5.61%	0.0877	✗	1.47	4.5M	2022-02-20
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5345	0.528536	-1.12%	0.516	-3.46%	0.0971	✗	1.32	2.4M	2022-02-20
HIVE	Hive	native	1.072	1.0599	-1.13%	0.9158	-14.57%	0.0103	✓	1.48	1.9M	2022-02-20
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.903	5.8365	-1.13%	5.516	-6.56%	0.0241	✗	0.88	72k	2022-02-20
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6296	0.622481	-1.13%	0.5079	-19.33%	0.0609	✓	1.55	723k	2022-02-20
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.75	18.537	-1.14%	16.92	-9.76%	0.0344	✗	1.37	34.9M	2022-02-20
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,872.84	2,839.49	-1.16%	2,622.47	-8.72%	0.0241	✗	1.13	572.6M	2022-02-20
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1144	2.0897	-1.17%	1.9689	-6.88%	0.0527	✗	1.22	486k	2022-02-20
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.244	1.2294	-1.17%	1.063	-14.55%	0.0298	✓	1.26	3.2M	2022-02-20
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.89	5.82	-1.19%	4.65	-21.05%	0.1234	✓	1.10	599k	2022-02-20
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.92	91.8022	-1.20%	90.78	-2.30%	0.1050	✗	1.27	179.7M	2022-02-20
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.291	0.287495	-1.20%	0.24	-17.53%	0.0938	✓	0.95	77k	2022-02-20
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2009	0.198444	-1.22%	0.1863	-7.27%	0.0673	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-20
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.49	6.4106	-1.22%	5.7	-12.17%	0.0401	✓	0.84	441k	2022-02-20
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	16.82	16.6105	-1.25%	15.23	-9.45%	0.0735	✗	1.75	3.7M	2022-02-20
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.6	15.4015	-1.27%	14.6	-6.41%	0.0574	✗	1.21	70.2M	2022-02-20
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.5	32.0854	-1.28%	27.23	-16.22%	0.0665	✓	1.06	4.9M	2022-02-20
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01193	0.011778	-1.28%	0.01078	-9.64%	0.0531	✗	1.54	1.7M	2022-02-20
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.45	5.3794	-1.30%	7.05	+29.36%	0.3699	✗	1.08	701k	2022-02-20
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003011	0.000029718	-1.30%	0.00002547	-15.41%	0.0242	✓	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-20
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		92.52	91.3012	-1.32%	84.46	-8.71%	0.0051	✓	0.90	1.2M	2022-02-20
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	333.81	329.3857	-1.33%	302.87	-9.27%	0.0102	✓	1.03	8.9M	2022-02-20
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04259	0.042022	-1.33%	0.03914	-8.10%	0.0332	✗	1.14	30k	2022-02-20
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.148727	0.146732	-1.34%	0.136714	-8.08%	0.0246	✗	1.04	7.0M	2022-02-20
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.8546	3.8022	-1.36%	3.2624	-15.36%	0.0328	✓	1.31	2.4M	2022-02-20
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	163.53	161.2747	-1.38%	138.87	-15.08%	0.0381	✓	1.22	930k	2022-02-20
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0714	0.07041	-1.39%	0.0654	-8.40%	0.0290	✗	1.12	17k	2022-02-20
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.97	76.8853	-1.39%	77.39	-0.74%	0.1313	✗	1.36	98.5M	2022-02-20
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.67	123.9162	-1.40%	110.69	-11.92%	0.0054	✓	1.29	34.8M	2022-02-20
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.052	6.9526	-1.41%	5.697	-19.21%	0.1050	✓	1.03	407k	2022-02-20
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03005	0.029623	-1.42%	0.02715	-9.65%	0.0072	✓	0.87	6.2M	2022-02-20
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.388	2.3537	-1.44%	2.067	-13.44%	0.0307	✓	1.08	22k	2022-02-20
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4786	3.4285	-1.44%	3.02	-13.18%	0.0235	✓	1.13	2.5M	2022-02-20
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9151	0.90191	-1.44%	0.8239	-9.97%	0.0510	✗	1.54	637k	2022-02-20
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.139	3.0936	-1.44%	2.798	-10.86%	0.0250	✓	0.82	215k	2022-02-20
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.8076	0.795899	-1.45%	0.70618	-12.56%	0.0191	✗	1.51	299k	2022-02-20
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9706	-1.47%	1.73	-13.50%	0.0093	✓	1.32	2.2M	2022-02-20
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.5	5.4189	-1.48%	5.01	-8.91%	0.0039	✓	0.81	398k	2022-02-20
DASH	Dash	Dash	102.03	100.4881	-1.51%	98.1	-3.85%	0.0809	✗	1.14	2.0M	2022-02-20
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.52	2.4819	-1.51%	2.28	-9.52%	0.0101	✓	1.04	415k	2022-02-20
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.27	7.1592	-1.52%	6.57	-9.63%	0.0526	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-20
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.37	2.3338	-1.53%	2.48	+4.64%	0.1798	✗	1.30	383k	2022-02-20
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.43	122.5157	-1.54%	116.98	-5.99%	0.0718	✗	1.29	54k	2022-02-20
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.737	1.7102	-1.54%	1.532	-11.80%	0.0106	✓	1.32	1.1M	2022-02-20
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01362	0.013409	-1.55%	0.01266	-7.05%	0.0151	✓	0.79	13k	2022-02-20
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	20.56	20.2319	-1.60%	19.82	-3.60%	0.0909	✗	1.22	10.5M	2022-02-20
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	117.13	115.2271	-1.62%	108.11	-7.70%	0.0526	✗	1.27	7.2M	2022-02-20
XMR	Monero	Monero	174.01	171.1584	-1.64%	153.87	-11.57%	0.0103	✓	1.05	1.2M	2022-02-20
XVG	Verge	native	0.01099	0.010809	-1.65%	0.00962	-12.47%	0.0121	✓	1.40	1.2M	2022-02-20
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.88	1.8487	-1.67%	1.41	-25.00%	0.1436	✓	1.39	2.9M	2022-02-20
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8967	0.88175	-1.67%	0.8455	-5.71%	0.0614	✗	1.13	26.7M	2022-02-20
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.75	2.7038	-1.68%	2.55	-7.27%	0.0715	✗	1.42	18.4M	2022-02-20
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.437	2.3959	-1.69%	2.039	-16.33%	0.0696	✓	1.00	79k	2022-02-20
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	158.29	155.5829	-1.71%	137.55	-13.10%	0.0061	✓	1.41	8.6M	2022-02-20
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.6803	4.5999	-1.72%	4.0929	-12.55%	0.0039	✓	1.23	355k	2022-02-20
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8231	2.7744	-1.72%	2.6921	-4.64%	0.0635	✗	1.02	2.8M	2022-02-20
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1686	0.165692	-1.72%	0.154	-8.66%	0.0072	✓	0.72	388k	2022-02-20
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.8538	5.7526	-1.73%	5.735	-2.03%	0.0260	✗	0.32	430k	2022-02-20
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2771	0.272251	-1.75%	0.2401	-13.35%	0.0260	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-20
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	17.86	17.5469	-1.75%	14.71	-17.64%	0.1098	✓	0.73	1.1M	2022-02-20
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0431	1.0248	-1.76%	0.9319	-10.66%	0.0086	✓	1.13	115.7M	2022-02-20
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.75	2.7017	-1.76%	2.57	-6.55%	0.0417	✗	1.00	748k	2022-02-20
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03066	0.03012	-1.76%	0.02116	-30.98%	0.2511	✓	1.11	9.8M	2022-02-20
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1475	0.144902	-1.76%	0.1343	-8.95%	0.0495	✗	1.37	3.2M	2022-02-20
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.021469	0.021085	-1.79%	0.019255	-10.31%	0.0220	✗	1.23	2.4M	2022-02-20
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.17187	0.168791	-1.79%	0.15607	-9.19%	0.0712	✗	1.63	36k	2022-02-20
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.06	3.9861	-1.82%	4.38	+7.88%	0.2091	✗	1.25	1.9M	2022-02-20
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.19	25.7105	-1.83%	26.09	-0.38%	0.1194	✗	1.14	71.8M	2022-02-20
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.899	-1.85%	5.36	-10.82%	0.0008	✓	1.04	1.9M	2022-02-20
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8484	0.832727	-1.85%	0.7859	-7.37%	0.0410	✗	1.08	12.4M	2022-02-20
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1025	0.100591	-1.86%	0.091	-11.22%	0.0446	✗	1.58	1.2M	2022-02-20
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.66	4.5728	-1.87%	4.211	-9.64%	0.0044	✓	0.85	369k	2022-02-20
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0312	0.030616	-1.87%	0.028	-10.26%	0.0443	✗	1.46	485k	2022-02-20
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	51.89	50.9099	-1.89%	49.33	-4.93%	0.0994	✗	1.43	7.4M	2022-02-20
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.9	1.864	-1.89%	1.44	-24.21%	0.1493	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-20
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.63	6.5042	-1.90%	6.14	-7.39%	0.0251	✗	0.90	416k	2022-02-20
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	11.07	10.8593	-1.90%	9.77	-11.74%	0.0393	✓	0.72	660k	2022-02-20
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.7675	3.695	-1.93%	2.9539	-21.60%	0.1353	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-20
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.043319	0.042451	-2.00%	0.051219	+18.24%	0.3015	✗	1.24	7.4M	2022-02-20
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.38	20.9486	-2.02%	18.79	-12.11%	0.0349	✗	1.57	375k	2022-02-20
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.66	1.6263	-2.03%	1.49	-10.24%	0.0285	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-20
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.77	19.3614	-2.07%	18.7	-5.41%	0.0724	✗	1.17	24.9M	2022-02-20
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.6965	-2.09%	2.5	-9.22%	0.0485	✗	1.35	1.0M	2022-02-20
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.91	0.890915	-2.10%	0.78	-14.29%	0.0469	✗	1.96	1.0M	2022-02-20
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3168	1.2891	-2.11%	1.8141	+37.77%	0.4872	✗	1.59	120k	2022-02-20
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00579	0.005666	-2.14%	0.00465	-19.69%	0.0121	✓	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-20
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.03	3.9422	-2.18%	3.63	-9.93%	0.0441	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-20
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0866	0.084694	-2.20%	0.0744	-14.09%	0.0019	✓	1.39	608k	2022-02-20
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5644	0.55196	-2.20%	0.4602	-18.46%	0.0088	✓	1.89	1.8M	2022-02-20
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016324	0.015957	-2.25%	0.01318	-19.26%	0.0821	✓	1.19	573k	2022-02-20
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	82.6677	80.7605	-2.31%	74.3242	-10.09%	0.0509	✗	1.46	315k	2022-02-20
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.57	4.4643	-2.31%	6.97	+52.52%	0.4759	✗	0.33	2.0M	2022-02-20
STX	Stacks	native	1.46	1.4245	-2.43%	1.23	-15.75%	0.0551	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-02-20
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.823	1.7785	-2.44%	2.0176	+10.67%	0.1830	✗	0.62	2.9M	2022-02-20
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.387	3.3021	-2.51%	3.107	-8.27%	0.0215	✓	0.90	502k	2022-02-20
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000212	0.000002064	-2.63%	0.00000197	-7.08%	0.0450	✗	1.00	14.2M	2022-02-20
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.95	0.924954	-2.64%	0.94	-1.05%	0.1078	✗	1.00	274k	2022-02-20
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.06	2.9793	-2.64%	2.76	-9.80%	0.0152	✓	1.00	946k	2022-02-20
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.118	0.114835	-2.68%	0.127	+7.63%	0.1924	✗	1.00	71k	2022-02-20
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.027679	0.026909	-2.78%	0.025474	-7.97%	0.0635	✗	1.29	102k	2022-02-20
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5723	0.55572	-2.90%	0.5119	-10.55%	0.0147	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-20
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	22,889.91	22,205.38	-2.99%	20,667.46	-9.71%	0.0164	✓	0.96	7.6M	2022-02-20
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4207	0.407196	-3.21%	0.3785	-10.03%	0.0905	✗	1.78	29.1M	2022-02-20
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.2	2.1157	-3.83%	1.96	-10.91%	0.1062	✗	1.99	1.0M	2022-02-20
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	4.721	4.5359	-3.92%	2.828	-40.10%	0.3882	✓	0.92	779k	2022-02-20
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2947	1.2432	-3.98%	0.95	-26.62%	0.1870	✓	0.89	1.7M	2022-02-20
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04523	0.043173	-4.55%	0.03634	-19.66%	0.1059	✓	0.72	3.4M	2022-02-20

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.