2022-02-04 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1624

147 of 147 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.95%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.1%

in alpha space · 65.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+1.85%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.0000222	0.000022067	-0.60%	0.00002872	+29.37%	0.2401	✗	1.27	1.4M	2022-02-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.147947	0.147021	-0.63%	0.14485	-2.09%	0.0335	✓	1.01	7.1M	2022-02-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	11.18	11.1093	-0.63%	10.65	-4.74%	0.0656	✓	1.27	12.5M	2022-02-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1262	0.125293	-0.72%	0.149	+18.07%	0.1495	✗	1.29	3.3M	2022-02-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.06445	0.063972	-0.74%	0.063958	-0.76%	0.0167	✓	0.90	396k	2022-02-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.207	2.1906	-0.74%	2.1819	-1.13%	0.0250	✓	1.14	888k	2022-02-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.72	8.6537	-0.76%	8.92	+2.29%	0.0076	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	180.53	179.1407	-0.77%	165.1	-8.55%	0.1030	✓	1.16	1.1M	2022-02-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.27	0.26782	-0.81%	0.301	+11.48%	0.1002	✗	0.90	67k	2022-02-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.209216	0.207497	-0.82%	0.215393	+2.95%	0.0192	✗	0.99	25.3M	2022-02-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03121	0.030946	-0.84%	0.03298	+5.67%	0.0482	✗	0.84	7.7M	2022-02-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9113	0.903554	-0.85%	0.9345	+2.55%	0.0030	✓	1.67	783k	2022-02-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4406	0.436744	-0.88%	0.4181	-5.11%	0.0671	✓	1.28	9.7M	2022-02-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.8761	6.8136	-0.91%	6.5603	-4.59%	0.0636	✓	1.40	174k	2022-02-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0408	0.040425	-0.92%	0.047719	+16.96%	0.1434	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.07	102.1146	-0.93%	103.99	+0.89%	0.0026	✓	1.13	2.7M	2022-02-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	20.51	20.3188	-0.93%	18.99	-7.41%	0.0919	✓	1.32	44.7M	2022-02-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01084	0.010738	-0.94%	0.01151	+6.18%	0.0463	✗	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	41,614.64	41,208.29	-0.98%	42,386.47	+1.85%	0.0098	✗	1.00	682.8M	2022-02-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.348552	-0.98%	0.375	+6.53%	0.0496	✗	1.28	1.8M	2022-02-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.51	17.3379	-0.98%	16.22	-7.37%	0.0880	✓	1.16	79.4M	2022-02-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04407	0.043636	-0.98%	0.04188	-4.97%	0.0608	✓	1.07	29k	2022-02-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.267	-1.00%	1.99	-13.10%	0.1523	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	166.87	165.1926	-1.01%	163.71	-1.89%	0.0338	✓	1.35	11.5M	2022-02-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.0106	0.010493	-1.01%	0.01244	+17.36%	0.1465	✗	1.29	1.7M	2022-02-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016562	0.016395	-1.01%	0.015872	-4.17%	0.0536	✓	1.15	2.7M	2022-02-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.84	3.7994	-1.06%	4.25	+10.68%	0.0891	✗	1.25	2.2M	2022-02-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.41	0.405469	-1.11%	0.6358	+55.07%	0.4210	✗	1.57	1.8M	2022-02-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.9665	-1.12%	2.31	-23.00%	0.2675	✓	0.95	2.2M	2022-02-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0704	0.069614	-1.12%	0.072	+2.27%	0.0144	✗	1.05	19k	2022-02-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	88.7362	87.7113	-1.15%	84.8321	-4.40%	0.0581	✓	1.35	351k	2022-02-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	165.31	163.3789	-1.17%	169.21	+2.36%	0.0165	✗	1.01	1.8M	2022-02-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.1	2.0754	-1.17%	2.07	-1.43%	0.0260	✓	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00663	0.006552	-1.17%	0.0062	-6.49%	0.0925	✓	2.03	20.3M	2022-02-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7925	1.7715	-1.17%	1.7756	-0.94%	0.0174	✓	1.07	76k	2022-02-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09859	0.097425	-1.18%	0.09752	-1.09%	0.0169	✓	0.97	47k	2022-02-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9987	0.986771	-1.19%	0.9169	-8.19%	0.0937	✓	1.10	29.7M	2022-02-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	20.65	20.4016	-1.20%	17.24	-16.51%	0.2002	✓	1.73	3.9M	2022-02-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.65	2.6174	-1.23%	2.58	-2.64%	0.0326	✓	0.99	604k	2022-02-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.47	6.3899	-1.24%	5.99	-7.42%	0.0828	✓	0.99	818k	2022-02-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	51.33	50.6853	-1.26%	59.07	+15.08%	0.1327	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-02-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.373	4.318	-1.26%	4.453	+1.83%	0.0162	✗	0.79	351k	2022-02-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,998.19	2,959.52	-1.29%	2,929.08	-2.31%	0.0303	✓	1.09	573.1M	2022-02-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	40,457.70	39,931.14	-1.30%	42,347.70	+4.67%	0.0408	✗	0.97	51k	2022-02-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	54.06	53.3546	-1.30%	50.35	-6.86%	0.0840	✓	1.42	8.8M	2022-02-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1398	1.1245	-1.34%	1.0803	-5.22%	0.0602	✓	1.10	113.2M	2022-02-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3098	0.305571	-1.37%	0.2888	-6.78%	0.0846	✓	1.53	4.1M	2022-02-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04226	0.041682	-1.37%	0.03653	-13.56%	0.1516	✓	1.07	9.0M	2022-02-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.772	0.76125	-1.39%	0.771	-0.13%	0.0062	✓	1.03	1.6M	2022-02-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1886	0.185907	-1.43%	0.1735	-8.01%	0.0816	✓	0.68	423k	2022-02-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1096	0.108022	-1.44%	0.1086	-0.91%	0.0122	✓	0.95	40k	2022-02-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.71	2.671	-1.44%	2.54	-6.27%	0.0718	✓	1.17	494k	2022-02-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.447	19.1642	-1.45%	19.087	-1.85%	0.0299	✓	1.41	10.5M	2022-02-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.89	9.7455	-1.46%	10.1	+2.12%	0.0228	✗	0.70	660k	2022-02-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.8	0.788304	-1.46%	0.92	+15.00%	0.1202	✗	1.87	1.0M	2022-02-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	22.27	21.9397	-1.48%	19.82	-11.00%	0.1226	✓	1.14	28.0M	2022-02-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0871	0.085796	-1.50%	0.0868	-0.34%	0.0095	✓	1.15	256k	2022-02-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.19	6.0967	-1.51%	5.96	-3.72%	0.0422	✓	1.06	1.9M	2022-02-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.373	3.3221	-1.51%	3.4051	+0.95%	0.0056	✓	1.04	2.6M	2022-02-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05692	0.056044	-1.54%	0.05622	-1.23%	0.0211	✓	1.32	1.5M	2022-02-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	306.37	301.5786	-1.56%	321.01	+4.78%	0.0438	✗	1.01	7.6M	2022-02-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008267	0.000081341	-1.61%	0.00008391	+1.50%	0.0110	✓	1.09	5.5M	2022-02-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.44	5.3518	-1.62%	5.4	-0.74%	0.0092	✓	0.99	952k	2022-02-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.99	21.6329	-1.62%	22.36	+1.68%	0.0050	✓	1.53	418k	2022-02-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.13	14.8837	-1.63%	14.96	-1.12%	0.0127	✓	0.97	731k	2022-02-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.43	3.3739	-1.64%	2.89	-15.74%	0.1805	✓	1.40	21.7M	2022-02-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.69	110.8336	-1.65%	96.5	-14.37%	0.1600	✓	1.17	191.4M	2022-02-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.46	6.3533	-1.65%	6.47	+0.15%	0.0029	✓	0.83	483k	2022-02-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	31.13	30.6132	-1.66%	26.56	-14.68%	0.1622	✓	1.10	110.8M	2022-02-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	132.7	130.4948	-1.66%	124.54	-6.15%	0.0693	✓	1.23	54k	2022-02-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.234	3.1796	-1.68%	3.154	-2.47%	0.0223	✓	0.77	212k	2022-02-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.978	0.961491	-1.69%	0.96	-1.84%	0.0262	✓	1.34	2.3M	2022-02-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.43	6.3204	-1.71%	6.24	-2.95%	0.0266	✓	0.75	481k	2022-02-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08239	0.080967	-1.73%	0.07747	-5.97%	0.0578	✓	0.74	80k	2022-02-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.63	21.2559	-1.73%	21.09	-2.50%	0.0287	✓	1.14	10.4M	2022-02-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2513	0.246934	-1.74%	0.2594	+3.22%	0.0291	✗	1.10	1.8M	2022-02-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	134.25	131.894	-1.75%	129.51	-3.53%	0.0349	✓	0.91	8.1M	2022-02-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.61	93.9273	-1.76%	94.64	-1.01%	0.0090	✓	0.90	1.7M	2022-02-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2023	0.198734	-1.76%	0.2056	+1.63%	0.0106	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.1	2.0615	-1.84%	2.28	+8.57%	0.0824	✗	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.721	1.6887	-1.88%	1.637	-4.88%	0.0513	✓	1.10	1.6M	2022-02-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.55	1.5206	-1.90%	1.51	-2.58%	0.0254	✓	1.00	1.3M	2022-02-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.77	1.7364	-1.90%	1.71	-3.39%	0.0377	✓	1.22	1.8M	2022-02-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.734	2.6807	-1.95%	2.754	+0.73%	0.0026	✓	1.33	986k	2022-02-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.21	105.111	-1.96%	116.54	+8.70%	0.0804	✗	1.24	6.6M	2022-02-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.039645	0.038854	-2.00%	0.032124	-18.97%	0.2138	✓	1.28	123k	2022-02-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01119	0.010967	-2.00%	0.01056	-5.63%	0.0563	✓	1.01	572k	2022-02-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,905.44	24,403.85	-2.01%	23,115.13	-7.19%	0.0711	✓	0.92	12.5M	2022-02-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5902	0.578282	-2.02%	0.5696	-3.49%	0.0381	✓	1.25	2.7M	2022-02-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.495	2.4441	-2.04%	2.354	-5.65%	0.0562	✓	1.01	21k	2022-02-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.0141	3.9319	-2.05%	4.3129	+7.44%	0.0692	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	8.01	7.8458	-2.05%	7.97	-0.50%	0.0091	✓	0.36	1.7M	2022-02-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.67	29.0614	-2.05%	29.96	+0.98%	0.0007	✓	1.62	2.1M	2022-02-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.647332	0.633951	-2.07%	0.616904	-4.70%	0.0479	✓	1.12	3.5M	2022-02-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.186	3.1194	-2.09%	3.6	+12.99%	0.1261	✗	0.94	2.2M	2022-02-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.47	4.3754	-2.12%	4.09	-8.50%	0.0920	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	121.42	118.8348	-2.13%	125.69	+3.52%	0.0323	✗	1.29	33.0M	2022-02-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	6.454	6.3146	-2.16%	7.219	+11.85%	0.1158	✗	0.98	320k	2022-02-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.2494	1.2224	-2.16%	1.1623	-6.97%	0.0683	✓	0.97	333k	2022-02-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05094	0.049832	-2.18%	0.05111	+0.33%	0.0069	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1207	0.118052	-2.19%	0.1086	-10.02%	0.1097	✓	1.43	1.6M	2022-02-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5994	0.586082	-2.22%	0.5956	-0.63%	0.0040	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.39	5.269	-2.24%	5.47	+1.48%	0.0242	✗	0.72	398k	2022-02-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4872	0.476173	-2.26%	0.4583	-5.93%	0.0632	✓	1.36	2.0M	2022-02-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.172	1.1451	-2.29%	1.0976	-6.35%	0.0645	✓	1.20	2.4M	2022-02-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.89908	0.878293	-2.31%	0.82329	-8.43%	0.0940	✓	1.60	351k	2022-02-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6793	0.663564	-2.32%	0.6537	-3.77%	0.0412	✓	1.43	1.1M	2022-02-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46.03	44.9565	-2.33%	43.46	-5.58%	0.0551	✓	1.15	34.8M	2022-02-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.996	7.8092	-2.34%	7.923	-0.91%	0.0082	✓	0.34	40k	2022-02-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.7	28.9997	-2.36%	32.74	+10.24%	0.1024	✗	1.03	3.8M	2022-02-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.9567	0.933979	-2.37%	0.8754	-8.50%	0.0836	✓	1.02	14.7M	2022-02-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0386	6.8714	-2.38%	6.7399	-4.24%	0.0353	✓	0.87	4.1M	2022-02-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	77.91	76.059	-2.38%	81.81	+5.01%	0.0484	✗	1.33	89.7M	2022-02-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.543	0.530098	-2.38%	0.52	-4.24%	0.0449	✓	1.40	4.6M	2022-02-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01363	0.013303	-2.40%	0.01359	-0.29%	0.0052	✓	0.88	13k	2022-02-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.14	2.0883	-2.42%	1.95	-8.88%	0.0938	✓	1.38	3.7M	2022-02-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.97	14.6061	-2.43%	16.98	+13.43%	0.1385	✗	0.66	908k	2022-02-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.123	5.973	-2.45%	6.01	-1.85%	0.0089	✓	0.82	103k	2022-02-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.823	1.7782	-2.46%	1.833	+0.55%	0.0088	✓	1.17	1.3M	2022-02-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.38	7.1973	-2.48%	7.7	+4.34%	0.0619	✗	0.30	1.1M	2022-02-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	43.19	42.1205	-2.48%	40.36	-6.55%	0.0709	✓	1.54	568k	2022-02-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1601	0.156051	-2.53%	0.1566	-2.19%	0.0156	✓	1.04	337k	2022-02-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5318	0.51834	-2.53%	0.4503	-15.33%	0.1738	✓	1.80	44.4M	2022-02-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.9837	4.8576	-2.53%	4.7016	-5.66%	0.0550	✓	1.22	364k	2022-02-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.1583	5.0215	-2.65%	6.1868	+19.94%	0.2041	✗	0.25	376k	2022-02-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.458	1.4193	-2.66%	1.257	-13.79%	0.1441	✓	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.01	0.982991	-2.67%	0.96	-4.95%	0.0420	✓	1.00	369k	2022-02-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.56	3.4646	-2.68%	3.29	-7.58%	0.0667	✓	0.82	708k	2022-02-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.8185	2.7422	-2.71%	2.9222	+3.68%	0.0473	✗	0.88	2.8M	2022-02-11
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.748	5.5923	-2.71%	5.157	-10.28%	0.0994	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.57	3.473	-2.72%	3.97	+11.20%	0.1284	✗	0.29	1.5M	2022-02-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.124	0.120559	-2.77%	0.117	-5.65%	0.0483	✓	1.00	110k	2022-02-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.24	1.2052	-2.81%	1.1	-11.29%	0.1147	✓	1.27	490k	2022-02-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3064	0.297709	-2.84%	0.2842	-7.25%	0.0660	✓	1.06	566k	2022-02-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1073	1.0752	-2.90%	1.074	-3.01%	0.0267	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2609	1.223	-3.00%	1.2269	-2.70%	0.0152	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-02-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000223	0.000002162	-3.05%	0.00000216	-3.14%	0.0193	✓	1.00	15.7M	2022-02-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0663	0.064246	-3.10%	0.0869	+31.07%	0.2797	✗	1.22	540k	2022-02-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.53	5.3581	-3.11%	4.9	-11.39%	0.1114	✓	1.20	3.0M	2022-02-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.0224	0.021679	-3.22%	0.022611	+0.94%	0.0231	✓	1.03	2.7M	2022-02-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.964	0.932676	-3.25%	1.1483	+19.12%	0.1815	✗	1.44	99k	2022-02-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0798	0.076722	-3.86%	0.0654	-18.05%	0.1942	✓	1.88	26.7M	2022-02-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	2.0881	2.0047	-3.99%	1.9151	-8.29%	0.0579	✓	0.66	3.5M	2022-02-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	29.4	28.1915	-4.11%	28.06	-4.56%	0.0222	✓	0.95	484k	2022-02-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20472	0.19629	-4.12%	0.18907	-7.64%	0.0649	✓	1.49	32k	2022-02-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0408	0.039078	-4.22%	0.0319	-21.81%	0.2315	✓	1.55	490k	2022-02-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.4217	3.269	-4.46%	3.5941	+5.04%	0.0794	✗	0.84	26k	2022-02-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.