2022-01-26 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 143 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.0829

143 of 143 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+12.74%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

51.0%

in alpha space · 50.7% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+0.22%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (143 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4593	0.469778	+2.28%	0.37	-19.44%	0.2422	✗	1.53	2.2M	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	78.4855	80.1705	+2.15%	73.5972	-6.23%	0.0883	✗	1.22	445k	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0078	0.007954	+1.97%	0.00607	-22.18%	0.2757	✗	2.40	21.3M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.8	0.81535	+1.92%	1.36	+70.00%	0.5081	✓	1.59	538k	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.64	5.7477	+1.91%	5.77	+2.30%	0.0018	✓	0.94	990k	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.91	1.9462	+1.90%	1.9	-0.52%	0.0273	✗	1.46	5.2M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	7.92	8.066	+1.84%	7.83	-1.14%	0.0326	✗	1.31	3.0M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0491	0.049992	+1.82%	0.05325	+8.45%	0.0597	✓	1.51	1.8M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5576	0.567587	+1.79%	0.6281	+12.64%	0.0979	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.87	2.9174	+1.65%	3.11	+8.36%	0.0608	✓	1.38	27.8M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0439	0.044623	+1.65%	0.0786	+79.04%	0.5616	✓	2.02	22.4M	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.63	99.2256	+1.63%	113.54	+16.30%	0.1325	✓	1.03	7.5M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.322	0.326659	+1.45%	0.316	-1.86%	0.0363	✗	1.42	1.6M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.32	167.6395	+1.40%	162.31	-1.82%	0.0350	✗	1.19	1.3M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.58	10.7284	+1.40%	10.53	-0.47%	0.0216	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	15.24	15.4112	+1.12%	15.79	+3.61%	0.0216	✓	1.21	84.2M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.02	17.1975	+1.04%	18.01	+5.82%	0.0421	✓	1.81	4.0M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.44	3.474	+0.99%	3.37	-2.03%	0.0332	✗	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	92.18	93.0904	+0.99%	101.99	+10.64%	0.0886	✓	1.19	164.2M	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.05	5.0992	+0.97%	5.22	+3.37%	0.0212	✓	0.98	1.1M	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.249392	+0.97%	0.25	+1.21%	0.0003	✓	0.96	70k	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.26	4.3009	+0.96%	4.09	-3.99%	0.0533	✗	1.36	13.0M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.73	1.7465	+0.95%	1.87	+8.09%	0.0653	✓	1.36	2.9M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.13	6.1882	+0.95%	6.53	+6.53%	0.0533	✓	0.21	1.2M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	146.64	147.9867	+0.92%	151.26	+3.15%	0.0189	✓	1.34	14.8M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	13	13.1182	+0.91%	13.76	+5.85%	0.0455	✓	1.01	841k	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	89.84	90.6397	+0.89%	98.35	+9.47%	0.0787	✓	1.32	7.8M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	18.91	19.0643	+0.82%	20.09	+6.24%	0.0489	✓	1.55	871k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.86	20.0191	+0.80%	21.59	+8.71%	0.0727	✓	1.26	34.9M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9233	0.930682	+0.80%	0.9235	+0.02%	0.0103	✗	1.16	38.4M	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.67	0.674649	+0.69%	0.64	-4.48%	0.0570	✗	1.89	1.2M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.03	7.0783	+0.69%	7.54	+7.25%	0.0625	✓	0.30	2.2M	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.28	19.4121	+0.69%	20.19	+4.72%	0.0366	✓	1.18	14.0M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	49.62	49.9579	+0.68%	49.12	-1.01%	0.0196	✗	1.21	7.8M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	125.05	125.8591	+0.65%	121.22	-3.06%	0.0404	✗	1.29	80k	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.16	93.7611	+0.65%	93.05	-0.12%	0.0103	✗	1.18	3.1M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1727	0.1738	+0.64%	0.1803	+4.40%	0.0336	✓	1.38	4.1M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.31	2.3237	+0.59%	2.46	+6.49%	0.0543	✓	1.18	667k	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.5942	5.6272	+0.59%	6.025	+7.70%	0.0651	✓	1.42	229k	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2242	0.225512	+0.59%	0.278	+24.00%	0.2068	✓	1.11	469k	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.1	24.2396	+0.58%	26.55	+10.17%	0.0873	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.115	0.115654	+0.57%	0.1348	+17.22%	0.1511	✓	0.95	349k	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.87	5.9024	+0.55%	5.49	-6.47%	0.0748	✗	1.06	2.6M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.00978	0.009834	+0.55%	0.00978	+0.00%	0.0084	✗	1.32	1.7M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03832	0.038518	+0.52%	0.03913	+2.11%	0.0132	✓	1.12	30k	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1184	0.118915	+0.44%	0.1092	-7.77%	0.0882	✗	1.32	4.1M	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.068	1.0726	+0.43%	1.1125	+4.17%	0.0343	✓	0.99	402k	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.038	3.0494	+0.37%	3.166	+4.21%	0.0356	✓	0.87	993k	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06885	0.069089	+0.35%	0.07379	+7.18%	0.0640	✓	0.79	60k	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041779	0.041922	+0.34%	0.035872	-14.14%	0.1587	✗	1.26	10.8M	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02988	0.029981	+0.34%	0.02927	-2.04%	0.0261	✗	0.93	9.2M	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002111	0.000021181	+0.34%	0.00002064	-2.23%	0.0291	✗	1.42	1.8M	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.3	2.3075	+0.32%	2.18	-5.22%	0.0603	✗	1.56	2.6M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.856	0.858593	+0.30%	0.883	+3.15%	0.0249	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,316.90	36,422.90	+0.29%	37,883.40	+4.31%	0.0370	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.982	7.0021	+0.29%	7.564	+8.34%	0.0766	✓	0.26	38k	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.501	0.502425	+0.28%	0.465	-7.19%	0.0809	✗	1.56	6.4M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014587	0.014627	+0.28%	0.014783	+1.34%	0.0079	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	148.42	148.8268	+0.27%	145.08	-2.25%	0.0277	✗	1.00	2.3M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.05	18.0968	+0.26%	18.76	+3.93%	0.0329	✓	1.39	58.4M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.034	0.034076	+0.22%	0.034	+0.00%	0.0055	✗	1.47	927k	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4047	0.405584	+0.22%	0.4048	+0.02%	0.0048	✗	1.28	11.7M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.552	1.5553	+0.22%	1.696	+9.28%	0.0837	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01035	0.010366	+0.16%	0.00952	-8.02%	0.0880	✗	1.27	2.3M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0472	0.047257	+0.12%	0.0418	-11.44%	0.1257	✗	1.33	9.9M	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00956	0.009571	+0.12%	0.00983	+2.82%	0.0243	✓	1.06	630k	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2561	0.256291	+0.07%	0.2783	+8.67%	0.0789	✓	1.53	4.3M	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0991	0.099172	+0.07%	0.11	+11.00%	0.1003	✓	1.49	1.9M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	36.62	36.6444	+0.07%	38.13	+4.12%	0.0362	✓	1.57	626k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.62	5.6227	+0.05%	6.02	+7.12%	0.0665	✓	0.78	531k	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0799	0.079935	+0.04%	0.0794	-0.63%	0.0095	✗	1.24	342k	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.0743	3.0747	+0.01%	3.1357	+2.00%	0.0171	✓	1.12	3.7M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.68	5.6806	+0.01%	6.05	+6.51%	0.0611	✓	0.84	561k	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8673	0.867246	-0.01%	0.9455	+9.02%	0.0830	✗	1.50	3.5M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	24,190.20	24,187.23	-0.01%	23,029.36	-4.80%	0.0511	✓	0.93	20.9M	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007183	0.000071779	-0.07%	0.00007582	+5.55%	0.0523	✗	1.11	5.9M	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	20.41	20.3924	-0.09%	23.57	+15.48%	0.1432	✗	0.74	377k	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.32	2.318	-0.09%	2.41	+3.88%	0.0367	✗	1.02	800k	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	2.9426	2.9395	-0.11%	3.7524	+27.52%	0.2411	✗	1.37	2.6M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.196933	0.196708	-0.11%	0.193151	-1.92%	0.0206	✓	1.05	27.5M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4503	0.449683	-0.14%	0.4277	-5.02%	0.0532	✓	1.38	2.6M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08331	0.083194	-0.14%	0.08941	+7.32%	0.0694	✗	1.18	45k	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.235	0.234657	-0.15%	0.2314	-1.53%	0.0167	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.530813	0.529889	-0.17%	0.5718	+7.72%	0.0734	✗	1.23	3.4M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.788	3.7813	-0.18%	3.998	+5.54%	0.0539	✗	0.79	396k	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.401	1.3985	-0.18%	1.589	+13.42%	0.1251	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.746	0.744578	-0.19%	0.719	-3.62%	0.0374	✓	1.11	2.0M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	58.8	58.6811	-0.20%	47.6	-19.05%	0.2132	✓	1.75	8.6M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.056164	0.056043	-0.22%	0.058639	+4.41%	0.0432	✗	0.95	491k	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0618	0.061662	-0.22%	0.0643	+4.05%	0.0394	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8025	0.80063	-0.23%	0.8404	+4.72%	0.0460	✗	1.10	20.8M	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.91	4.8971	-0.26%	5.04	+2.65%	0.0271	✗	0.72	457k	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3802	2.3717	-0.36%	2.1064	-11.51%	0.1215	✓	1.29	841k	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,465.00	2,455.55	-0.38%	2,682.66	+8.83%	0.0860	✗	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.887	2.8755	-0.40%	3.03	+4.95%	0.0506	✗	0.79	478k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.1607	2.1519	-0.41%	2.537	+17.41%	0.1622	✗	1.08	3.1M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6506	1.6433	-0.44%	1.6005	-3.04%	0.0289	✓	1.11	93k	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020906	0.020807	-0.47%	0.020246	-3.16%	0.0299	✓	1.13	3.4M	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	289.23	287.7723	-0.50%	278	-3.88%	0.0369	✓	1.04	8.5M	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3	2.984	-0.53%	3.03	+1.00%	0.0118	✗	1.56	2.2M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.2234	4.1993	-0.57%	4.6307	+9.64%	0.0951	✗	1.21	403k	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.143059	0.142221	-0.59%	0.137104	-4.16%	0.0390	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.63	1.6198	-0.63%	1.63	+0.00%	0.0035	✓	1.26	2.3M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.167	16.0646	-0.63%	17.776	+9.95%	0.0978	✗	1.53	10.9M	2022-02-02
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05048	0.050153	-0.65%	0.04359	-13.65%	0.1425	✓	1.00	9.1M	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	24.34	24.1689	-0.70%	26.29	+8.01%	0.0817	✗	1.08	4.1M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.594	3.5686	-0.71%	4.1355	+15.07%	0.1475	✗	-0.01	375k	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.541	2.5221	-0.74%	2.582	+1.61%	0.0200	✗	1.52	1.0M	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5015	0.497773	-0.74%	0.5398	+7.64%	0.0780	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0722	1.0642	-0.75%	0.8664	-19.19%	0.2101	✓	1.98	1.2M	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.0977	0.096943	-0.77%	0.1015	+3.89%	0.0436	✗	1.05	43k	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01218	0.012085	-0.78%	0.0126	+3.45%	0.0397	✗	0.89	19k	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1625	0.16123	-0.78%	0.1756	+8.06%	0.0839	✗	0.65	570k	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,840.63	36,538.65	-0.82%	36,923.39	+0.22%	0.0082	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	65.89	65.3399	-0.83%	67.87	+3.01%	0.0350	✗	1.31	92.3M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.876	5.8187	-0.97%	5.883	+0.12%	0.0088	✓	0.98	320k	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	32.35	32.0146	-1.04%	26.33	-18.61%	0.1981	✓	1.15	125.9M	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0283	1.0176	-1.04%	1.0423	+1.36%	0.0211	✗	1.27	2.4M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	107	105.8757	-1.05%	108.36	+1.27%	0.0202	✗	1.34	35.8M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.086	2.0639	-1.06%	2.235	+7.14%	0.0772	✗	1.10	23k	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.86	8.7554	-1.18%	9.36	+5.64%	0.0651	✗	0.74	744k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.62	89.4697	-1.27%	90	-0.68%	0.0038	✓	0.95	1.7M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	36.48	36.0033	-1.31%	42.9	+17.60%	0.1726	✗	1.20	33.0M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.3615	6.2767	-1.33%	6.8016	+6.92%	0.0782	✗	0.94	4.3M	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0784	1.064	-1.33%	1.0268	-4.78%	0.0381	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.80993	0.799017	-1.35%	0.81012	+0.02%	0.0098	✓	1.78	698k	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.63	12.4385	-1.52%	14.09	+11.56%	0.1231	✗	0.68	801k	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6906	2.6478	-1.59%	3.0352	+12.81%	0.1342	✗	1.02	1.9M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0645	0.063442	-1.64%	0.0599	-7.13%	0.0607	✓	1.47	605k	2022-02-02
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.052469	0.051599	-1.66%	0.037204	-29.09%	0.3293	✓	1.00	363k	2022-02-02
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2547	1.2297	-1.99%	1.24	-1.17%	0.0061	✓	1.00	3.7M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.051	5.9209	-2.15%	5.754	-4.91%	0.0304	✓	0.81	156k	2022-02-02
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	7.333	7.1668	-2.27%	5.081	-30.71%	0.3462	✓	1.00	1.6M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.63	4.5238	-2.29%	5.33	+15.12%	0.1612	✗	1.26	3.1M	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.8665	2.8004	-2.31%	3.3042	+15.27%	0.1635	✗	0.86	4,332	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5301	0.516088	-2.64%	0.5361	+1.13%	0.0354	✗	1.16	2.1M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7265	1.6776	-2.83%	1.8613	+7.81%	0.1021	✗	0.80	2.4M	2022-02-02
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.48	2.4097	-2.83%	2.12	-14.52%	0.1303	✓	1.00	4.3M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.78	3.6694	-2.93%	3.4	-10.05%	0.0768	✓	0.23	493k	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8612	0.833355	-3.23%	0.8666	+0.63%	0.0357	✗	1.51	107k	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.333	1.2888	-3.32%	1.279	-4.05%	0.0105	✓	1.27	3.6M	2022-02-02
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6029	0.580455	-3.72%	0.4666	-22.61%	0.2226	✓	1.88	52.0M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16532	0.158191	-4.31%	0.19118	+15.64%	0.1859	✗	1.57	16k	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.