2022-01-21 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 141 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1273

141 of 141 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+3.48%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

75.9%

in alpha space · 72.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+3.52%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (141 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6365	0.609186	-4.29%	0.6272	-1.46%	0.0333	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-01-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.65	4.4981	-3.27%	3.75	-19.35%	0.1968	✓	0.43	471k	2022-01-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	8.647	8.369	-3.21%	6.452	-25.38%	0.2948	✓	1.00	1.7M	2022-01-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.5661	1.5231	-2.75%	1.2839	-18.02%	0.2055	✓	1.00	4.2M	2022-01-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.351	8.135	-2.59%	5.923	-29.07%	0.3522	✓	1.01	301k	2022-01-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.16704	0.163388	-2.19%	0.1835	+9.85%	0.0631	✗	1.53	6,849	2022-01-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.84	1.8052	-1.89%	1.65	-10.33%	0.1263	✓	1.05	2.7M	2022-01-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.56	6.4367	-1.88%	6.04	-7.93%	0.0915	✓	0.80	616k	2022-01-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	23.31	22.8848	-1.82%	27.6	+18.40%	0.1621	✗	0.73	342k	2022-01-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.05552	0.054519	-1.80%	0.04731	-14.79%	0.1880	✓	1.33	12.0M	2022-01-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7186	4.636	-1.75%	4.5826	-2.88%	0.0526	✓	1.18	443k	2022-01-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.2277	3.1712	-1.75%	3.0715	-4.84%	0.0616	✓	0.86	2,257	2022-01-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.04	309.5341	-1.75%	296.79	-5.79%	0.0781	✓	1.04	7.0M	2022-01-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	114.51	112.5132	-1.74%	109.49	-4.38%	0.0733	✓	1.33	30.5M	2022-01-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1211	1.1016	-1.74%	1.0486	-6.47%	0.0885	✓	1.13	104.1M	2022-01-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.42	13.1932	-1.69%	12.86	-4.17%	0.0495	✓	0.69	813k	2022-01-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1474	0.144921	-1.68%	0.1177	-20.15%	0.2406	✓	0.94	362k	2022-01-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.061424	0.060405	-1.66%	0.046901	-23.64%	0.2877	✓	1.00	644k	2022-01-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.209	1.1891	-1.65%	1.436	+18.78%	0.1444	✗	1.28	4.0M	2022-01-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.64	5.5474	-1.64%	5.14	-8.87%	0.0996	✓	0.67	494k	2022-01-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01394	0.013712	-1.64%	0.01255	-9.97%	0.1184	✓	0.86	21k	2022-01-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8913	0.876874	-1.62%	0.8915	+0.02%	0.0261	✓	1.23	108k	2022-01-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.3417	3.2886	-1.59%	3.0264	-9.44%	0.1295	✓	1.34	3.1M	2022-01-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	64.94	63.9333	-1.55%	50.6	-22.08%	0.2972	✓	1.83	7.7M	2022-01-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.95	25.5494	-1.54%	25.23	-2.77%	0.0503	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-01-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		95.68	94.2127	-1.53%	90.37	-5.55%	0.0742	✓	0.94	1.8M	2022-01-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2523	0.248571	-1.48%	0.2434	-3.53%	0.0645	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-01-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2219	2.1895	-1.46%	2.2835	+2.77%	0.0027	✓	1.14	4.3M	2022-01-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.857	0.844993	-1.40%	0.8173	-4.63%	0.0709	✓	1.09	22.7M	2022-01-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.17	4.1117	-1.40%	4.57	+9.59%	0.0639	✗	1.21	3.2M	2022-01-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5619	0.554275	-1.36%	0.5223	-7.05%	0.1044	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1639	0.161712	-1.34%	0.177	+7.99%	0.0667	✗	0.68	536k	2022-01-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.5345	3.4882	-1.31%	3.4691	-1.85%	0.0062	✓	0.02	371k	2022-01-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.738	1.7155	-1.30%	1.639	-5.70%	0.0884	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-01-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	112.32	110.8707	-1.29%	91.35	-18.67%	0.2339	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-01-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	139.37	137.5881	-1.28%	124.2	-10.88%	0.1444	✓	1.21	88k	2022-01-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.9	2.8631	-1.27%	2.29	-21.03%	0.2623	✓	1.12	737k	2022-01-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,569.01	2,536.36	-1.27%	2,546.84	-0.86%	0.0345	✓	1.12	502.4M	2022-01-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022082	0.021809	-1.24%	0.020623	-6.61%	0.0940	✓	1.10	3.7M	2022-01-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.198	0.195553	-1.24%	0.1798	-9.19%	0.1320	✓	1.39	4.3M	2022-01-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	66.07	65.2539	-1.24%	67.06	+1.50%	0.0173	✓	1.29	87.3M	2022-01-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.98	21.7087	-1.23%	19.63	-10.69%	0.1412	✓	1.17	14.5M	2022-01-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	36,456.94	36,007.30	-1.23%	37,741.90	+3.52%	0.0124	✗	1.00	648.0M	2022-01-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.555	3.5117	-1.22%	3.1165	-12.33%	0.1607	✓	1.19	3.9M	2022-01-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.4	9.2867	-1.21%	9.05	-3.72%	0.0511	✓	0.73	800k	2022-01-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007968	0.000078723	-1.20%	0.00007277	-8.67%	0.1145	✓	1.04	6.5M	2022-01-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0303	1.0182	-1.17%	0.9591	-6.91%	0.1014	✓	1.20	32.1M	2022-01-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.35	101.1789	-1.14%	91.3	-10.80%	0.1487	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-01-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01044	0.010323	-1.12%	0.0101	-3.26%	0.0587	✓	1.07	641k	2022-01-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	213.87	211.4753	-1.12%	169	-20.98%	0.2651	✓	1.18	1.3M	2022-01-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.46	2.4326	-1.12%	2.4	-2.44%	0.0488	✓	1.02	869k	2022-01-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.31	6.2399	-1.11%	5.81	-7.92%	0.0967	✓	0.73	652k	2022-01-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.197	2.1727	-1.11%	2.181	-0.73%	0.0332	✓	1.07	24k	2022-01-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5351	0.529257	-1.09%	0.5555	+3.81%	0.0046	✓	1.27	1.7M	2022-01-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0619	0.061225	-1.09%	0.0629	+1.62%	0.0230	✓	1.44	684k	2022-01-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	171.09	169.2275	-1.09%	149.11	-12.85%	0.1691	✓	1.23	17.6M	2022-01-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.63	12.4937	-1.08%	10.67	-15.52%	0.2031	✓	1.31	12.7M	2022-01-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.55846	0.552579	-1.05%	0.544057	-2.58%	0.0572	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-01-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.202862	0.20075	-1.04%	0.198646	-2.08%	0.0476	✓	1.07	24.9M	2022-01-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.808	16.6334	-1.04%	16.846	+0.23%	0.0424	✓	1.59	10.7M	2022-01-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	19.67	19.4667	-1.03%	18.34	-6.76%	0.1073	✓	1.38	58.5M	2022-01-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.12	4.0783	-1.01%	3.923	-4.78%	0.0647	✓	0.75	445k	2022-01-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.81011	0.802058	-0.99%	0.86446	+6.71%	0.0153	✗	1.72	848k	2022-01-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01111	0.011001	-0.98%	0.01046	-5.85%	0.0938	✓	1.25	2.2M	2022-01-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2	1.9811	-0.94%	1.82	-9.00%	0.1316	✓	1.35	3.1M	2022-01-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	58.39	57.8443	-0.93%	47.09	-19.35%	0.2462	✓	1.17	6.3M	2022-01-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	15.55	15.4053	-0.93%	14.23	-8.49%	0.1167	✓	1.08	841k	2022-01-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	172.82	171.2697	-0.90%	149.15	-13.70%	0.1722	✓	0.98	2.7M	2022-01-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2921	0.289488	-0.89%	0.3094	+5.92%	0.0112	✗	1.60	4.6M	2022-01-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6672	1.6525	-0.88%	1.6203	-2.81%	0.0589	✓	1.13	95k	2022-01-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	34.64	34.3361	-0.88%	29.5	-14.84%	0.1855	✓	0.97	104.1M	2022-01-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4366	0.4328	-0.87%	0.4141	-5.15%	0.0895	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-01-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061109	0.060578	-0.87%	0.057631	-5.69%	0.0828	✓	0.95	486k	2022-01-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.11	3.0831	-0.87%	2.7962	-10.09%	0.1321	✓	0.99	2.2M	2022-01-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4811	0.477016	-0.85%	0.4527	-5.90%	0.1010	✓	1.40	2.6M	2022-01-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.795	2.7719	-0.83%	2.647	-5.30%	0.0992	✓	1.53	1.1M	2022-01-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.984	0.975901	-0.82%	0.899	-8.64%	0.1299	✓	1.38	2.3M	2022-01-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002226	0.00002208	-0.81%	0.00002134	-4.13%	0.0825	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-01-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.243	6.1936	-0.79%	6.5861	+5.50%	0.0300	✗	0.91	4.3M	2022-01-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.561	0.556565	-0.79%	0.491	-12.48%	0.1789	✓	1.55	8.0M	2022-01-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.23	21.0635	-0.78%	20.08	-5.42%	0.1009	✓	1.53	944k	2022-01-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.016171	0.016045	-0.78%	0.014181	-12.31%	0.1652	✓	1.20	2.7M	2022-01-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.445	1.4339	-0.77%	1.438	-0.48%	0.0384	✓	1.19	1.8M	2022-01-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.957	5.9113	-0.77%	6.131	+2.92%	0.0092	✗	0.79	163k	2022-01-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0834	0.082769	-0.76%	0.0812	-2.64%	0.0605	✓	1.20	269k	2022-01-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.168	3.1451	-0.72%	3.011	-4.96%	0.0699	✓	0.76	526k	2022-01-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.142057	0.141043	-0.71%	0.141603	-0.32%	0.0331	✓	1.07	6.7M	2022-01-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3265	2.3102	-0.70%	2.3494	+0.99%	0.0257	✓	1.23	699k	2022-01-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.01002	0.00995	-0.70%	0.00986	-1.60%	0.0554	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-01-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1848	1.1767	-0.68%	1.1266	-4.91%	0.0777	✓	0.99	402k	2022-01-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1225	6.0832	-0.64%	5.7966	-5.32%	0.0977	✓	1.43	263k	2022-01-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.96	3.9373	-0.57%	3.46	-12.63%	0.1697	✓	1.17	2.4M	2022-01-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.097	0.096485	-0.53%	0.0999	+2.99%	0.0024	✓	1.07	41k	2022-01-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.764	0.760097	-0.51%	0.736	-3.66%	0.0701	✓	1.09	2.0M	2022-01-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.96	4.9366	-0.47%	4.16	-16.13%	0.2167	✓	1.32	17.0M	2022-01-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0303	0.030157	-0.47%	0.03024	-0.20%	0.0316	✓	0.99	8.3M	2022-01-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.73	0.726625	-0.46%	0.64	-12.33%	0.1920	✓	1.88	1.3M	2022-01-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.6	6.5697	-0.46%	6.01	-8.94%	0.1251	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-01-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1206	0.12005	-0.46%	0.1183	-1.91%	0.0612	✓	1.34	4.3M	2022-01-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	9.94	9.9006	-0.40%	8.42	-15.29%	0.2024	✓	1.17	3.0M	2022-01-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08324	0.082921	-0.38%	0.08808	+5.81%	0.0194	✗	1.18	38k	2022-01-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07197	0.071702	-0.37%	0.07192	-0.07%	0.0244	✓	0.79	56k	2022-01-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	0.91734	0.914433	-0.32%	1.0442	+13.83%	0.0912	✗	1.20	2.4M	2022-01-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.71	2.7029	-0.26%	2.82	+4.06%	0.0129	✓	1.60	2.2M	2022-01-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	105.73	105.5246	-0.19%	95.64	-9.54%	0.1403	✓	1.21	2.8M	2022-01-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.31	3.3041	-0.18%	2.93	-11.48%	0.1716	✓	1.48	32.4M	2022-01-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.392	3.3867	-0.16%	3.294	-2.89%	0.0571	✓	0.85	1.1M	2022-01-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.45	2.4467	-0.14%	1.97	-19.59%	0.2658	✓	1.42	7.4M	2022-01-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.826	7.818	-0.10%	7.091	-9.39%	0.1086	✓	0.32	38k	2022-01-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.94	38.9023	-0.10%	38.97	+0.08%	0.0520	✓	1.55	620k	2022-01-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.271	0.270785	-0.08%	0.247	-8.86%	0.1234	✓	0.91	60k	2022-01-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	17.44	17.432	-0.05%	16.16	-7.34%	0.1182	✓	1.22	75.4M	2022-01-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.967	-0.04%	7.1	-10.92%	0.1278	✓	0.36	3.1M	2022-01-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.19	24.1812	-0.04%	20.31	-16.04%	0.2195	✓	1.30	34.9M	2022-01-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.52	38.5137	-0.02%	40.01	+3.87%	0.0022	✓	1.16	25.7M	2022-01-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.97	0.970236	+0.02%	0.85	-12.37%	0.1887	✗	1.63	569k	2022-01-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	114.44	114.4727	+0.03%	97.25	-15.02%	0.1971	✗	0.98	6.9M	2022-01-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.29	2.2912	+0.05%	2.25	-1.75%	0.0674	✗	1.42	2.7M	2022-01-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.4321	1.4329	+0.06%	1.7954	+25.37%	0.1961	✓	0.85	1.4M	2022-01-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.86	24.8749	+0.06%	25.85	+3.98%	0.0209	✗	1.71	2.7M	2022-01-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.68	5.685	+0.09%	5.11	-10.04%	0.1412	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-01-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0634	0.063489	+0.14%	0.0647	+2.05%	0.0199	✗	1.12	21k	2022-01-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	25,741.64	25,799.27	+0.22%	23,506.67	-8.68%	0.1218	✗	0.83	20.9M	2022-01-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.041641	0.041751	+0.26%	0.038917	-6.54%	0.1147	✗	1.28	9.3M	2022-01-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03977	0.039896	+0.32%	0.04014	+0.93%	0.0325	✗	1.11	25k	2022-01-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2396	0.240508	+0.38%	0.2523	+5.30%	0.0096	✓	1.10	440k	2022-01-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0939	0.09427	+0.39%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0634	✗	1.35	2.0M	2022-01-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.72	6.7489	+0.43%	6.49	-3.42%	0.0454	✗	0.18	1.2M	2022-01-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.906	0.910335	+0.48%	0.931	+2.76%	0.0280	✗	1.46	3.9M	2022-01-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6747	0.678988	+0.64%	0.5887	-12.75%	0.1954	✗	1.52	1.4M	2022-01-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	6.49	6.5313	+0.64%	5.91	-8.94%	0.1306	✗	0.88	1.0M	2022-01-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.352	0.354475	+0.70%	0.328	-6.82%	0.1259	✗	1.39	1.8M	2022-01-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0363	0.036584	+0.78%	0.0353	-2.75%	0.0862	✗	1.46	1.1M	2022-01-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	36,607.80	36,953.29	+0.94%	37,761.00	+3.15%	0.0131	✗	1.00	18k	2022-01-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	95	95.9182	+0.97%	77.0062	-18.94%	0.2633	✗	1.26	489k	2022-01-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0092	0.009292	+1.01%	0.00547	-40.54%	0.6136	✗	2.41	23.2M	2022-01-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.8678	0.878837	+1.27%	0.9906	+14.15%	0.0518	✓	1.96	1.1M	2022-01-28
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.5186	0.525461	+1.32%	0.482	-7.06%	0.1287	✗	1.22	2.4M	2022-01-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05388	0.054619	+1.37%	0.05152	-4.38%	0.1103	✗	1.50	2.1M	2022-01-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.88	18.1273	+1.38%	17.9	+0.11%	0.0754	✗	1.81	4.1M	2022-01-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0417	0.042346	+1.55%	0.0567	+35.97%	0.2573	✓	1.00	24.3M	2022-01-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.