8=======>

2022-01-15 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0483
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-3.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
91.4%
in alpha space · 100.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.64%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum16.4916.4469-0.26%11.16-32.32%0.1244✓1.2812.4M2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.98330.976472-0.69%0.4454-54.70%0.5710✓1.042.9M2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.046.9908-0.70%4.42-37.22%0.1954✓1.2817.7M2022-01-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.6929.466-0.75%19.01-35.97%0.2165✓1.0815.5M2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0208210.02066-0.77%0.014961-28.14%0.0657✓1.252.6M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,098.2042,761.58-0.78%35,066.43-18.64%0.0078✓1.00679.0M2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,685.8042,342.91-0.80%34,807.70-18.46%0.0059✓0.9814k2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum238.63236.6848-0.82%147.18-38.32%0.2397✓1.1417.6M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum192.18190.5172-0.87%120.3-37.40%0.2259✓1.13145k2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6427.3899-0.90%18.26-33.94%0.1340✓1.3261.7M2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero218.2216.1246-0.95%152.34-30.18%0.1596✓0.923.1M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum3.613.5743-0.99%2.46-31.86%0.0870✓1.392.2M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.76111.6282-1.00%89.24-20.86%0.0300✓0.942.2M2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76983.7312-1.02%3.6015-4.46%0.0489✓-0.07371k2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum3,328.123,293.55-1.04%2,411.90-27.53%0.0954✓1.05533.9M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.2824.2365-1.06%2.9521-31.06%0.0830✓1.353.8M2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8463.8032-1.11%2.804-27.09%0.1591✓0.71526k2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2590560.256138-1.13%0.19237-25.74%0.0741✓1.0324.9M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,487.3633,106.93-1.14%22,897.64-31.62%0.2291✓0.6826.4M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8751.8534-1.15%1.366-27.15%0.0700✓1.142.2M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.762.7266-1.21%1.77-35.87%0.1623✓1.313.2M2022-01-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07560.074631-1.28%0.0376-50.26%0.4793✓1.0027.0M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2224.1663-1.32%3.059-27.55%0.1470✓0.791.1M2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.0685480.067639-1.33%0.05675-17.21%0.0196✗0.95537k2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.19390.191299-1.34%0.1498-22.74%0.1036✓0.68464k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum167.6165.3294-1.35%98.78-41.06%0.3267✓0.916.7M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.027.9087-1.39%5.63-29.80%0.2111✓0.62680k2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.29221.2741-1.40%1.0713-17.09%0.0577✗1.1295.6M2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.13980.137779-1.45%0.0799-42.85%0.2803✓1.282.4M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110240.108627-1.46%0.07873-28.58%0.0910✓1.1225k2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.6826.2865-1.47%16.11-39.62%0.1090✓1.853.9M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.1924.8185-1.47%15.86-37.04%0.2154✓1.1374.2M2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9444.8703-1.49%3.665-25.87%0.1477✓0.66469k2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum1.42321.4019-1.50%0.7316-48.59%0.2618✓1.881.3M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2006-1.50%2.89-45.27%0.3049✓1.3732.4M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.11870.116901-1.52%0.0944-20.47%0.0040✓1.0255k2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014410.014186-1.55%0.00793-44.97%0.0934✓2.3725.3M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative20.34420.0272-1.56%15.129-25.63%0.0479✗1.5910.8M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana147.78145.4671-1.57%94.78-35.86%0.2148✓1.04164.2M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1845960.181614-1.62%0.133158-27.86%0.0853✓1.095.4M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3790.372719-1.66%0.244-35.62%0.2681✓0.7544k2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration289.7284.8834-1.66%190.08-34.39%0.1661✓1.161.4M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030820.000030307-1.67%0.00002053-33.39%0.1108✓1.351.8M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18060.177538-1.70%0.1394-22.81%0.0578✓0.89423k2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.12313.0698-1.71%2.0461-34.48%0.1743✓1.12710k2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1354-1.71%2.33-26.96%0.0979✓0.96918k2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.34160.335739-1.72%0.2645-22.57%0.0604✗1.453.8M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.76.5835-1.74%4.8-28.36%0.1801✓0.66564k2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.1310.935-1.75%6.96-37.47%0.4092✓0.212.6M2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash390.86384.0023-1.75%291.88-25.32%0.0685✓1.007.0M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5381.5105-1.78%1.161-24.51%0.0155✓1.354.2M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05440.053399-1.84%0.0326-40.07%0.2107✓1.371.5M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.121.0991-1.86%0.64-42.86%0.1465✓1.911.5M2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.070280.068957-1.88%0.05051-28.13%0.0622✓1.2114.7M2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.354-1.88%0.9-34.78%0.0698✓1.64556k2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.047.8868-1.90%5.66-29.60%0.1797✓0.74705k2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052430.051428-1.91%0.03631-30.75%0.1323✓1.0519k2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0891.2307-1.99%59.8-35.75%0.1911✓1.12107.5M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59480.582891-2.00%0.4163-30.01%0.0871✓1.2112.2M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.013880.013601-2.01%0.00935-32.64%0.1210✓1.232.0M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3408-2.06%1.62-32.22%0.1575✓1.022.8M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5531.88-2.06%20.54-36.90%0.1531✓1.3934.3M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum7.096.9441-2.06%5.6708-20.02%0.0360✓0.813.8M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum8.478.2931-2.09%6.11-27.86%0.1043✓0.984.1M2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum75.3573.7754-2.09%50.17-33.42%0.1639✓1.086.2M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.7928.1861-2.10%21.51-25.29%0.1297✓0.68360k2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.6129.9657-2.10%18.76-38.71%0.1628✓1.481.0M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.37851.3493-2.12%0.9512-31.00%0.1166✓1.1330.5M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12571.1017-2.14%0.78-30.71%0.1450✓0.9723.2M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.715.5877-2.14%3.49-38.88%0.2496✓1.072.3M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093280.091235-2.19%0.06237-33.14%0.2305✓0.7349k2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.078655-2.29%0.0594-26.21%0.0596✓1.0716k2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.6610.4155-2.29%8.68-18.57%0.0264✓0.76898k2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum8.398.1949-2.33%5.06-39.69%0.3001✓0.881.1M2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0741.0487-2.36%0.711-33.80%0.1919✓0.952.2M2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.36144.2585-2.36%3.0068-31.06%0.0876✓1.264.1M2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase154.3287150.6656-2.37%83.9941-45.57%0.3804✓0.99489k2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum14.1613.8215-2.39%7.59-46.40%0.3655✓1.133.0M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum8.30258.1033-2.40%5.5565-33.07%0.0936✓1.38263k2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017030.016619-2.41%0.01275-25.13%0.1293✓0.6624k2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5340.521043-2.43%0.319-40.26%0.2270✓1.281.8M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum4644.864-2.47%33.44-27.30%0.0745✓1.0621.8M2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.285.1491-2.48%3.78-28.41%0.0682✓1.173.3M2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.6926-2.50%12.62-16.26%0.0126✓0.681.0M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.6220.1035-2.50%13.19-36.03%0.2678✓0.74886k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32480.316657-2.51%0.2331-28.23%0.0425✓1.282.2M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.8432.7715-2.52%1.979-30.39%0.1524✓0.8925k2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.06531.0383-2.54%0.71467-32.91%0.0140✓1.74937k2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3241.2904-2.54%0.87-34.29%0.1170✓1.342.7M2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17190.16752-2.55%0.1135-33.97%0.1360✓1.234.2M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.041390.040332-2.56%0.02985-27.88%0.1173✓0.898.4M2022-01-22
LUNATerraTerra 287.5585.2965-2.57%62.89-28.17%0.0628✗1.787.4M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.084639-2.60%0.0543-37.51%0.1543✓1.401.1M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash141.33137.5853-2.65%97.07-31.32%0.1070✓1.172.8M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0289080.028138-2.67%0.020108-30.44%0.1238✓1.035.7M2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080270.078116-2.68%0.04896-39.01%0.1744✓1.422.4M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.0892.0308-2.78%1.65-21.01%0.0055✓1.0395k2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos39.1638.0449-2.85%29.27-25.26%0.0679✓0.9486.7M2022-01-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0870320.084476-2.94%0.054184-37.74%0.2378✓1.002.2M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.15810.8298-2.94%6.944-37.77%0.4154✓0.1440k2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.73143.3681-2.95%108.41-26.62%0.0008✓1.3531.1M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.4438-2.99%2.08-41.41%0.2461✓1.258.5M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.810.785556-3.02%0.496-38.77%0.1605✓1.458.0M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.469.1707-3.06%5.61-40.70%0.3476✓0.701.0M2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.343.2376-3.07%2.567-23.14%0.1259✗1.741.1M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35463.2512-3.08%2.7227-18.84%0.0686✗1.192.3M2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.35281.311-3.09%0.80696-40.35%0.2703✓1.042.9M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000101090.000097964-3.09%0.00006839-32.35%0.1518✓1.016.5M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015030.014562-3.11%0.00998-33.60%0.1122✓1.292.2M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum1.69621.6432-3.12%1.0381-38.80%0.2770✓0.88502k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7577620.733707-3.17%0.518861-31.53%0.1203✓1.102.5M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.014050.013596-3.23%0.0094-33.10%0.1663✓0.98641k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.1447-3.24%2.1-35.38%0.1415✓1.273.1M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.63580.615188-3.24%0.5658-11.01%0.2019✗1.38736k2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8717.6158-3.24%6.424-18.38%0.0910✗1.27260k2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.8631.7876-3.26%24.23-26.26%0.0601✓1.022.9M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1177.8474-3.32%5.8-28.55%0.1543✓0.72188k2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579120.055955-3.38%0.036765-36.52%0.1793✓1.177.5M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73490.709949-3.40%0.5076-30.93%0.0751✓1.263.7M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2234.9823-3.42%23.84-34.18%0.0425✓1.652.7M2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.99862.8924-3.54%2.0434-31.86%0.1386✓1.015.1M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.53.3755-3.56%2.34-33.14%0.1480✓1.06808k2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash144.36139.2161-3.56%94.59-34.48%0.1330✓1.2310.9M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.32731.2799-3.57%0.7987-39.83%0.1883✓1.373.9M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.33450.322429-3.61%0.2179-34.86%0.1803✓1.03397k2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.819.4519-3.65%6.06-38.23%0.4474✓-0.011.5M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08461.0444-3.71%0.5834-46.21%0.2924✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.52591.468-3.80%1.5039-1.44%0.2022✗0.86926k2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase55.1152.9835-3.86%35.28-35.98%0.1163✓1.41649k2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.26690.256502-3.90%0.1764-33.91%0.1043✓1.313.9M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11410.109522-4.01%0.0732-35.85%0.1718✓1.12296k2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4582.3581-4.06%1.506-38.73%0.2217✓1.102.0M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06181.0161-4.31%0.7106-33.08%0.1487✓1.01108k2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.7576.4611-4.38%4.2394-37.26%0.1812✓1.16457k2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13693.9517-4.48%2.9642-28.35%0.1439✓0.702,2572022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6770.646104-4.56%0.4385-35.23%0.1047✓1.372.7M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.208480.198289-4.89%0.15638-24.99%0.0863✗1.575,3602022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.89630.852184-4.92%0.5482-38.84%0.0849✓1.7338.7M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.094.8158-5.39%4.82-5.30%0.1705✗0.82471k2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.