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2022-01-04 · +7d

lstm_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3268
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.83%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 94.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.104-0.19%3.818-7.15%0.0264✓0.66483k2022-01-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0045,804.74-0.44%42,770.20-7.03%0.0010✓0.9810k2022-01-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.6461-0.57%4.382-6.23%0.0059✓0.761.1M2022-01-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022154-0.73%0.018697-16.22%0.0866✓1.202.4M2022-01-11
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124088-0.89%0.1145-8.55%0.0043✓1.10115k2022-01-11
XMRMoneroMonero222.22220.2222-0.90%193.01-13.14%0.0621✓1.013.2M2022-01-11
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.207979-1.01%0.2062-1.86%0.0324✗0.59441k2022-01-11
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.075216-1.02%0.064934-14.55%0.0820✓0.94556k2022-01-11
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96249.3614-1.03%213.29-15.35%0.0776✓1.1414.7M2022-01-11
GTGateEthereum6.49016.423-1.03%6.4129-1.19%0.0565✗0.843.9M2022-01-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.6598-1.14%8-8.68%0.0374✓0.60828k2022-01-11
SUSHISushiEthereum8.077.9773-1.15%6.99-13.38%0.0413✓1.3118.2M2022-01-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.084591-1.18%0.076-11.21%0.0330✓1.0718k2022-01-11
QNTQuantEthereum179.48177.332-1.20%169.57-5.52%0.0213✗0.968.3M2022-01-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2012-1.20%1.86-16.52%0.0908✓1.122.5M2022-01-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.0732-1.21%6.78-5.31%0.0017✓0.64801k2022-01-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0442-1.23%4.814-5.74%0.0050✓0.60549k2022-01-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.118227-1.25%0.10496-12.33%0.0429✓1.1026k2022-01-11
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2117.9821-1.25%15.98-12.25%0.0293✓1.2814.1M2022-01-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,238.25-1.26%42,753.44-6.68%0.0127✓1.00727.0M2022-01-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.088093-1.32%0.07976-10.65%0.0011✓1.452.9M2022-01-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.4206-1.32%10.19-3.50%0.0291✗0.741.2M2022-01-11
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.6645-1.34%3.0312-18.39%0.1165✓1.06798k2022-01-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.40347-1.35%0.361-11.74%0.0607✓0.7339k2022-01-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.054384-1.35%0.04765-13.57%0.0560✓1.1015k2022-01-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.166165-1.37%0.153722-8.76%0.0017✓1.104.6M2022-01-11
QTUMQtumQtum8.99398.8703-1.37%7.521-16.38%0.0671✓1.42268k2022-01-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.2879-1.40%25.55-10.94%0.0124✓1.2971.0M2022-01-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8119.0932-1.41%110.22-8.76%0.0115✓0.953.2M2022-01-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6168-1.42%1.36-17.07%0.0538✓1.72964k2022-01-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7254-1.43%3.7323-1.25%0.0058✓-0.11364k2022-01-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.225-1.44%8.221-12.17%0.0730✓0.61299k2022-01-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.306-1.45%2.1025-10.14%0.0147✓1.12100k2022-01-11
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.6884-1.45%13.71-13.88%0.0554✓1.153.5M2022-01-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0449-1.47%3.1857+3.09%0.1279✗1.202.9M2022-01-11
DASHDashDash134.69132.646-1.52%141.85+5.32%0.1549✗1.271.9M2022-01-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.667959-1.54%0.5691-16.11%0.0711✓1.2911.4M2022-01-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.4376-1.54%4.1768-7.33%0.0287✗1.294.7M2022-01-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.192633-1.57%0.1778-9.15%0.0174✓0.91506k2022-01-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2038-1.57%1.045-14.55%0.0764✓0.942.4M2022-01-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.387223-1.57%0.3363-14.51%0.0383✓1.493.4M2022-01-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2587-1.57%1.141-10.78%0.0327✓0.9521.2M2022-01-11
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02219.4746-1.59%188.96-15.27%0.0707✓1.14211k2022-01-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.4253-1.60%0.9389-35.18%0.3606✓0.824.4M2022-01-11
KSMKusamaHydration296.29291.5532-1.60%260.77-11.99%0.0348✓1.111.3M2022-01-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6511-1.60%1.398-16.69%0.0724✓1.365.7M2022-01-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.27475-1.63%0.263177-5.78%0.0275✗1.0224.9M2022-01-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3345-1.64%3.2-5.60%0.0278✗1.00995k2022-01-11
ZECZcashZcash147.34144.8771-1.67%141.38-4.05%0.0690✗1.3510.1M2022-01-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.0356-1.68%26.6+13.53%0.2354✗1.3269.2M2022-01-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8891.3067-1.69%72.75-21.67%0.1607✓0.966.3M2022-01-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.360996-1.72%0.3101-15.57%0.0639✓1.273.0M2022-01-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.6067-1.72%20.39-15.11%0.0753✓1.031.2M2022-01-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.682217-1.77%0.6511-6.25%0.0410✗1.275.2M2022-01-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6168-1.78%1.273-22.66%0.1501✓1.293.4M2022-01-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.0926-1.78%7.094-13.90%0.0444✓1.26336k2022-01-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.7727-1.78%14.78-1.73%0.0479✗0.691.1M2022-01-11
FTTFTXEthereum41.3540.6152-1.78%39.78-3.80%0.0517✗1.0519.4M2022-01-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1335.487-1.78%28.89-20.04%0.1342✓1.0322.7M2022-01-11
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.6507-1.79%19.378-12.10%0.0021✓1.6313.6M2022-01-11
SOLSolanaSolana167.72164.6985-1.80%140.27-16.37%0.0868✓1.07211.5M2022-01-11
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000110866-1.82%0.00009356-17.14%0.1017✓0.987.2M2022-01-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4735,621.96-1.82%32,768.96-9.68%0.0412✓0.6117.3M2022-01-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.1766-1.82%29.43-17.86%0.0727✓1.531.1M2022-01-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,715.45-1.84%3,240.83-14.38%0.0650✓1.04619.8M2022-01-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.190714-1.85%0.1471-24.29%0.1778✓1.182.1M2022-01-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.8614-1.87%8.65-4.21%0.0531✗1.123.9M2022-01-11
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.85659-1.88%0.747-14.43%0.0350✓1.478.1M2022-01-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.032777-1.88%0.029265-12.40%0.0425✓1.027.3M2022-01-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.195734-1.89%0.1605-19.55%0.1126✓1.244.8M2022-01-11
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.9433-1.90%4.1752-17.14%0.0772✓1.334.9M2022-01-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.082282-1.91%0.07076-15.64%0.0666✓1.2220.9M2022-01-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4316-1.95%2.15-13.31%0.0498✓1.064.0M2022-01-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7567-1.95%1.5924-11.12%0.0424✓0.81668k2022-01-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3101.2677-1.97%89.66-13.20%0.0443✓1.12115.7M2022-01-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2730.6545-1.97%28.42-9.11%0.0288✓0.68385k2022-01-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.627-1.97%3.8424-18.59%0.1383✓0.6917k2022-01-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.000031809-1.98%0.00002762-14.88%0.0551✓1.251.7M2022-01-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3522-1.98%2.8-18.13%0.0904✓1.303.0M2022-01-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.068079-2.04%0.0574-17.41%0.0737✓1.401.6M2022-01-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.326-2.05%8.1-4.71%0.0252✗0.76773k2022-01-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06175.9362-2.07%5.328-12.10%0.0251✓1.20553k2022-01-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38418.506-2.08%369.84-13.46%0.0536✓1.019.0M2022-01-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.4008-2.08%29.69-12.96%0.0459✓1.043.7M2022-01-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6369-2.08%2.311-14.18%0.0609✓1.031.9M2022-01-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3139-2.15%1.3709+2.10%0.1188✗1.10922k2022-01-11
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543181.4587-2.15%165.565-10.72%0.0112✓1.16574k2022-01-11
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6288-2.19%3.45-7.01%0.0239✗1.08626k2022-01-11
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.2803-2.21%1.1879-9.27%0.0008✓1.0997.2M2022-01-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6344-2.22%1.4467-13.44%0.0445✓1.1230.0M2022-01-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.048188-2.24%0.04184-15.11%0.0788✓0.908.2M2022-01-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.096882-2.24%0.0824-16.85%0.0677✓1.361.5M2022-01-11
BANDBandEthereum5.665.5321-2.26%5.14-9.19%0.0085✓1.192.1M2022-01-11
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.0775-2.30%2.765-12.22%0.0481✓0.8541k2022-01-11
ZENHorizenBase64.4262.8711-2.40%56.11-12.90%0.0098✓1.50807k2022-01-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019245-2.46%0.01644-16.68%0.1127✓0.6535k2022-01-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.866478-2.47%0.718632-19.11%0.1093✓1.122.8M2022-01-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44142.8208-2.47%131.67-10.09%0.0118✓1.3536.7M2022-01-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.4362-2.48%5.08-23.03%0.1572✓1.153.3M2022-01-11
XVGVergenative0.017210.01678-2.50%0.01386-19.47%0.1088✓1.192.2M2022-01-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.13.9975-2.50%3.54-13.66%0.0524✓1.00967k2022-01-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.060722-2.53%0.064925+4.21%0.1631✗1.397.4M2022-01-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.645171-2.54%0.516-22.05%0.1366✓1.262.2M2022-01-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.128966-2.59%0.1102-16.77%0.0830✓1.07304k2022-01-11
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.6164-2.61%3.61-23.84%0.1768✓1.002.5M2022-01-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.107114-2.62%0.09134-16.96%0.1150✓0.6455k2022-01-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.1975-2.72%9.73-15.46%0.1520✓-0.172.2M2022-01-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1187-2.72%0.96-16.52%0.0838✓1.001.8M2022-01-11
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015043-2.76%0.0135-12.73%0.0421✓0.96783k2022-01-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8232.8699-2.81%34.45+1.86%0.1428✗1.3924.2M2022-01-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2468-2.81%1.0548-17.79%0.0454✓1.761.2M2022-01-11
RADRadworksEthereum11.2710.9475-2.86%8.01-28.93%0.2545✓0.841.2M2022-01-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.153-2.88%1.025-13.66%0.0207✓1.401.7M2022-01-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.115761-2.89%0.077-35.40%0.3386✓1.0033.0M2022-01-11
LUNATerraTerra 284.5682.12-2.89%73.57-13.00%0.0408✓1.006.3M2022-01-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.9035-2.90%4.61-24.18%0.1532✓1.3629.4M2022-01-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.018872-3.07%0.01475-24.24%0.1585✓1.272.2M2022-01-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.798-3.11%3.57-8.93%0.0287✓1.3110.7M2022-01-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.292969-3.15%0.2641-12.69%0.0137✓1.304.6M2022-01-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.414-3.16%1.2365-15.32%0.0679✓0.963.6M2022-01-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.346016-3.19%0.3228-9.68%0.0004✓1.00293k2022-01-11
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06511.9977-3.27%1.4915-27.78%0.1624✓1.881.4M2022-01-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.2515-3.32%3.766+11.98%0.2571✗1.591.8M2022-01-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.8822-3.32%9.67-21.32%0.1640✓0.611.2M2022-01-11
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67215.1476-3.35%11.203-28.52%0.3068✓-0.0786k2022-01-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.1615-3.43%11.23-28.47%0.3015✓-0.023.9M2022-01-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.0653-3.44%2.9312-7.66%0.0207✓0.955.7M2022-01-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.7554-3.46%2.93-24.68%0.1790✓1.003.3M2022-01-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03510.999166-3.47%0.8921-13.82%0.0442✓1.00145k2022-01-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6737.2964-3.55%26.75-30.82%0.2081✓1.805.4M2022-01-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.686843-3.71%0.5799-18.70%0.0780✓1.322.8M2022-01-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8341.2014-3.80%36.84-13.99%0.0018✓1.642.8M2022-01-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.0203-3.84%0.01458-30.93%0.2618✓1.0028.5M2022-01-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.195985-3.95%0.17303-15.20%0.0166✓1.566,4462022-01-11
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5249-4.24%1.3102-17.73%0.0562✓1.385.2M2022-01-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0540.1923-4.42%38.71-7.94%0.0245✓0.9043.4M2022-01-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.581344-6.33%0.6261+0.89%0.1705✗1.39650k2022-01-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.776159-7.39%0.6826-18.55%0.0098✓1.7233.4M2022-01-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.